1.Global, regional, national incidence, and mortality of breast cancer in older women: A population-based cancer registry data analysis.
Chao LI ; Shaoyuan LEI ; Yan XU ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Lin LI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Li DING
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2917-2924
BACKGROUND:
The burden of breast cancer for older adults has been rising with the increasing population aging. This study aims to describe the burden of breast cancer in older adults worldwide, analyze the temporal trends for older breast cancer incidence, and assess the socioeconomic inequalities of breast cancer incidence and mortality with human development index (HDI) levels, which will provide valuable information in preventing and controlling the increasing breast cancer burden in older women.
METHODS:
The incidence and mortality rates of specific cancer types in older individuals in 2022 were sourced from the Global Cancer Today database. Trends in breast cancer incidence acquired from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) database. HDI and other risk factors were obtained from the United Nations. We used a generalized linear model to estimate the rate ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) between HDI levels and breast cancer burden in older people.
RESULTS:
It was estimated approximately 1,058,466 newly diagnosed breast cancer cases and 383,774 breast cancer deaths in women ≥60 years, accounting for 18.9% and 12.7% of global cancer cases and deaths. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) were 172.9 and 57.7 per 100,000, ranking first and second among all cancer incidence and mortality in older women. The highest ASIR and ASMR were four-fold higher than the lowest, with ASIR ranging from a peak of 399.1 per 100,000 in Australia-New Zealand to a low of 90.6 per 100,000 in South Central Asia, and ASMR varying from a high of 118.6 per 100,000 in Melanesia to a low of 28.8 per 100,000 in East Asia. The largest increases in ASIR from 1998-2002 to 2013-2017 were observed in South Korea, China, and Estonia. The corresponding estimated 5-year average percentage changes (EAPC) were 6.01%, 2.89%, and 1.93%, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
The global burden of breast cancer in older women is increasing fast and varies greatly across countries. Effective prevention strategies are essential to address the increasing breast cancer burden for older women.
Humans
;
Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Incidence
;
Middle Aged
;
Registries
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Factors
2.Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022
Rongshou ZHENG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Shaoming WANG ; Li LI ; Kexin SUN ; Hongmei ZENG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(3):221-231
Objective:The National Central Cancer Registry estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022, using incidence and mortality data collected by the National Cancer Center.Methods:According to the data of 700 cancer registries in 2018 and the data of 106 cancer registries from 2010 to 2018, the age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the incidence rate and mortality rate of all cancers and 23 types of cancer in 2022, stratified by gender and urban and rural areas. We estimated the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022 based on the estimated rate and population data in 2022.Results:The estimated results showed that in 2022, there were approximately 4 824 700 new cancer cases in China (2 533 900 in males and 2 290 800 in females), with an age-standardized incidence rate of Chinese population (ASIR) of 208.58 per 100 000 (212.67 per 100 000 for males and 208.08 per 100 000 for females). Approximately 2 903 900 new cancer cases occurred in urban areas, with an ASIR of 212.95 per 100 000. It was estimated about 1 920 800 new cancer cases in rural areas, and the ASIR was 199.65 per 100 000. The top five cancers (lung cancer 1 060 600, colorectal cancer 517 100, thyroid cancer 466 100, liver cancer 367 700 and female breast cancer 357 200) accounted for 57.4% of all new cases. The estimated number of deaths from cancer in China in 2022 was 2 574 200 (1 629 300 in males and 944 900 in females), with an age-standardized mortality rate of Chinese population (ASMR) of 97.08 per 100 000 (127.70 per 100 000 in males and 68.67 per 100 000 in females). The number of deaths from cancer in urban and rural areas was about 1 400 600 and 1 173 400, with the ASMR of 92.37 and 103.97 per 100 000 in urban and rural areas, respectively. The top five leading cause of cancers death (lung cancer 733 300, liver cancer 316 500, gastric cancer 260 400, colorectal cancer 240 000 and esophageal cancer 187 500) accounted for 67.5% of all cancer deaths. Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality in men and women. The incidence rate in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas, while the mortality rate was lower than that in rural areas.Conclusions:The burden of cancer in China is still relatively heavy, with significant differences in cancer patterns in gender, urban-rural, and regional. The burden of cancer presents a coexistence of developed and developing countries, and the situation of cancer prevention and control is still serious in China.
3.Five-year survival analysis of gastric cancer from population-based cancer registration data in Zhejiang province, China
Huizhang LI ; Hongting ZHU ; Yaoyao CHEN ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Guangfu JIN ; Lingbin DU ; Xiangdong CHENG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(9):862-870
Objective:To analyze epidemiology of gastric cancer five-year survival distribution in Zhejiang population-based cancer registration.Methods:The follow-up data of registrated gastric cancer cases diagnosed from 2008 to 2019 in 22 national cancer registry areas of Zhejiang Province were collected and divided into three diagnostic periods: 2008-2011, 2012-2015 and 2016-2019 to calculate five-year observed survival rates (OSRs), five-year relative survival rates (RSRs) and five-year age-standardized relative survival rates (ARSRs). The distribution of population characteristics (including gender, urban/rural, age group and occupation) and clinical characteristics (including the highest diagnostic institution, sub-site, pathological type and degree of differentiation) of gastric cancer survival rates in each period were analysed.Results:51 663 new cases of gastric cancer in 2008-2019 in the cancer registration area of Zhejiang Province were included in the analysis, and the ARSR of gastric cancer in 2008-2011, 2012-2015 and 2016-2019 showed an increasing trend (39.2%, 41.3% and 44.7%, respectively). In 2016-2019, the ARSR was similar across gender and urban and rural areas (44.4% for men and 45.7% for women; 44.9% in urban areas and 44.2% in rural areas); Among people with different occupations, the ARSR was highest among business and service workers (55.3%), the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fisheries, water conservancy production workers and domestic workers were lower (41.5% and 43.2%, respectively). The highest diagnostic institution was the provincial hospital with a higher gastric cancer survival rate (47.0%) than the municipal (43.4%) and district (43.6%) levels. The ARSR for gastric cancer was relatively high in the lesser curvature (59.7%), pylorus (50.4%), antrum (49.3%), and greater curvature (48.7%), and lowest in cardia (38.9%). Among the major pathological types, adenocarcinoma (NOS) had an ARSR of 48.1%, mucinous adenocarcinoma 41.3%, imprinted cell carcinoma 39.4%, and squamous carcinoma 33.4%. The ARSR for highly differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated and undifferentiated gastric cancers were 80.6%, 57.9%, 43.2% and 36.8%, respectively.Conclusion:The 5-year survival rate of gastric cancer in Zhejiang Province is high and on the rise, with similar survival rates in different genders, urban and rural areas, and significant differences in the survival rates of gastric cancer patients with different occupational groups, highest diagnostic institutions, tumour sub-sites, pathological types and differentiation degrees.
4.Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022
Rongshou ZHENG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Shaoming WANG ; Li LI ; Kexin SUN ; Hongmei ZENG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(3):221-231
Objective:The National Central Cancer Registry estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022, using incidence and mortality data collected by the National Cancer Center.Methods:According to the data of 700 cancer registries in 2018 and the data of 106 cancer registries from 2010 to 2018, the age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the incidence rate and mortality rate of all cancers and 23 types of cancer in 2022, stratified by gender and urban and rural areas. We estimated the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022 based on the estimated rate and population data in 2022.Results:The estimated results showed that in 2022, there were approximately 4 824 700 new cancer cases in China (2 533 900 in males and 2 290 800 in females), with an age-standardized incidence rate of Chinese population (ASIR) of 208.58 per 100 000 (212.67 per 100 000 for males and 208.08 per 100 000 for females). Approximately 2 903 900 new cancer cases occurred in urban areas, with an ASIR of 212.95 per 100 000. It was estimated about 1 920 800 new cancer cases in rural areas, and the ASIR was 199.65 per 100 000. The top five cancers (lung cancer 1 060 600, colorectal cancer 517 100, thyroid cancer 466 100, liver cancer 367 700 and female breast cancer 357 200) accounted for 57.4% of all new cases. The estimated number of deaths from cancer in China in 2022 was 2 574 200 (1 629 300 in males and 944 900 in females), with an age-standardized mortality rate of Chinese population (ASMR) of 97.08 per 100 000 (127.70 per 100 000 in males and 68.67 per 100 000 in females). The number of deaths from cancer in urban and rural areas was about 1 400 600 and 1 173 400, with the ASMR of 92.37 and 103.97 per 100 000 in urban and rural areas, respectively. The top five leading cause of cancers death (lung cancer 733 300, liver cancer 316 500, gastric cancer 260 400, colorectal cancer 240 000 and esophageal cancer 187 500) accounted for 67.5% of all cancer deaths. Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality in men and women. The incidence rate in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas, while the mortality rate was lower than that in rural areas.Conclusions:The burden of cancer in China is still relatively heavy, with significant differences in cancer patterns in gender, urban-rural, and regional. The burden of cancer presents a coexistence of developed and developing countries, and the situation of cancer prevention and control is still serious in China.
5.Five-year survival analysis of gastric cancer from population-based cancer registration data in Zhejiang province, China
Huizhang LI ; Hongting ZHU ; Yaoyao CHEN ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Guangfu JIN ; Lingbin DU ; Xiangdong CHENG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(9):862-870
Objective:To analyze epidemiology of gastric cancer five-year survival distribution in Zhejiang population-based cancer registration.Methods:The follow-up data of registrated gastric cancer cases diagnosed from 2008 to 2019 in 22 national cancer registry areas of Zhejiang Province were collected and divided into three diagnostic periods: 2008-2011, 2012-2015 and 2016-2019 to calculate five-year observed survival rates (OSRs), five-year relative survival rates (RSRs) and five-year age-standardized relative survival rates (ARSRs). The distribution of population characteristics (including gender, urban/rural, age group and occupation) and clinical characteristics (including the highest diagnostic institution, sub-site, pathological type and degree of differentiation) of gastric cancer survival rates in each period were analysed.Results:51 663 new cases of gastric cancer in 2008-2019 in the cancer registration area of Zhejiang Province were included in the analysis, and the ARSR of gastric cancer in 2008-2011, 2012-2015 and 2016-2019 showed an increasing trend (39.2%, 41.3% and 44.7%, respectively). In 2016-2019, the ARSR was similar across gender and urban and rural areas (44.4% for men and 45.7% for women; 44.9% in urban areas and 44.2% in rural areas); Among people with different occupations, the ARSR was highest among business and service workers (55.3%), the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fisheries, water conservancy production workers and domestic workers were lower (41.5% and 43.2%, respectively). The highest diagnostic institution was the provincial hospital with a higher gastric cancer survival rate (47.0%) than the municipal (43.4%) and district (43.6%) levels. The ARSR for gastric cancer was relatively high in the lesser curvature (59.7%), pylorus (50.4%), antrum (49.3%), and greater curvature (48.7%), and lowest in cardia (38.9%). Among the major pathological types, adenocarcinoma (NOS) had an ARSR of 48.1%, mucinous adenocarcinoma 41.3%, imprinted cell carcinoma 39.4%, and squamous carcinoma 33.4%. The ARSR for highly differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated and undifferentiated gastric cancers were 80.6%, 57.9%, 43.2% and 36.8%, respectively.Conclusion:The 5-year survival rate of gastric cancer in Zhejiang Province is high and on the rise, with similar survival rates in different genders, urban and rural areas, and significant differences in the survival rates of gastric cancer patients with different occupational groups, highest diagnostic institutions, tumour sub-sites, pathological types and differentiation degrees.
6.Incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years of female breast cancer in China, 2022
Kexin SUN ; Bailin ZHANG ; Shaoyuan LEI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Xin LIANG ; Li LI ; Xiaolong FENG ; Siwei ZHANG ; Hongmei ZENG ; Yifei YAO ; Peiqing MA ; Shaoming WANG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(20):2429-2436
Background::Breast cancer is ranked among the most prevalent malignancies in the Chinese female population. However, comprehensive reports detailing the latest epidemiological data and attributable disease burden have not been extensively documented.Methods::In 2018, high-quality cancer surveillance data were recorded in 700 population-based cancer registries in China. We extracted data on female breast cancers (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ICD-10]: C50) and estimated the incidence and mortality in 2022 according to the baseline data and corresponding trends from 2010 to 2018. Pathological types were classified according to the ICD for Oncology, 3rd Edition codes. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of the years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs).Results::In 2022, approximately 357,200 new female breast cancer cases and 75,000 deaths occurred in China, accounting for 15.59% and 7.94% of total new cancer cases and deaths, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 33.04 per 100,000. When analyzed by pathological type, the ASIRs for papillary neoplasms, invasive breast carcinoma, rare and salivary gland-type tumors, and other types were 1.13, 29.79, 0.24, and 1.88 per 100,000, respectively. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) was 6.10 per 100,000. A total of 2,628,000 DALYs were found to be attributable to female breast cancer in China, comprising 2,278,300 YLLs and 349,700 YLDs. The ASIR, ASMR, and age-standardized rate (ASR) for DALYs in urban areas were consistently higher than those in rural areas. We observed a four-fold increase in the ASIR and ASR for DALYs and an eight-fold increase in the ASMR among females over 55 years compared with those aged under 55 years.Conclusion::These data provide invaluable insights into the latest epidemiology of female breast cancer in China and highlight the urgency for disease prevention and control strategy formulation.
7.Global, regional, and national lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer in 2022: A population-based study in 185 countries.
Meng LI ; Xin WEN ; Xin LIANG ; Mengwen LIU ; Li ZHANG ; Rongshou ZHENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3101-3107
BACKGROUND:
Lifetime cancer risk is an index that indicates the cumulative probability of cancer at some age during a person's lifetime. Nevertheless, comparative evaluations regarding the probability of developing lung cancer and dying from the disease among diverse populations at the global, regional, and national levels are scarce.
METHODS:
Lung cancer data from 185 countries were obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022, and data on any other cause of death were acquired from the United Nations. The lifetime risks of lung cancer development and death were estimated using adjustment for multiple primary cancers (AMP) method. The lung cancer risks in countries or regions worldwide were compared by region and the Human Development Index (HDI).
RESULTS:
The global lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer in 2022 was 3.49% and 2.69%, respectively. The lifetime probabilities of developing lung cancer in countries/areas with low, medium, high, and very high HDIs were 0.33%, 0.95%, 4.72%, and 5.29%, and dying from lung cancer in low, medium, high and very high HDI countries were 0.30%, 0.86%, 3.69% and 3.92%, respectively. After the age of 40 years, the remaining probability of lung cancer development and death decreased with age, leaving a residual risk of 2.00% and 1.71%, respectively, starting at 70 years.
CONCLUSIONS
The probability of developing lung cancer during one's lifetime is equivalent to 1 in 28 and 1 in 37 people suffering and dying from lung cancer. The age-related risk of developing and dying of lung cancer varies among geographic locations with different HDIs.
Humans
;
Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
8.Global esophageal cancer epidemiology in 2022 and predictions for 2050: A comprehensive analysis and projections based on GLOBOCAN data.
Ling QI ; Mengfei SUN ; Weixin LIU ; Xuefeng ZHANG ; Yongjun YU ; Ziqiang TIAN ; Zhiyu NI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Yong LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3108-3116
BACKGROUND:
The burden of esophageal cancer varies across different regions of the world. The aim of this study is to analyze the current burden of esophageal cancer in 185 countries in 2022 and to project the trends up to the year 2050.
METHODS:
We extracted data on primary esophageal cancer cases and deaths from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, which includes data from 185 countries. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and mortality rates (ASMR) per 100,000 person-years were calculated by stratifying by Human Development Index (HDI) levels and regions. Considering changes in population size and age structure, we assumed that the risks of incidence and mortality remain constant at the levels of 2022 to forecast the number of new cases and deaths from esophageal cancer globally by 2050.
RESULTS:
In 2022, an estimated 511,054 people were diagnosed with esophageal cancer globally, and 445,391 died from the disease. The global ASIR and ASMR for esophageal cancer were 5.00 and 4.30 per 100,000, respectively. The highest rates were observed in East Africa (7.60 for incidence, 7.20 for mortality per 100,000), East Asia (7.60 for incidence, 5.90 for mortality per 100,000), Southern Africa (6.30 for incidence, 5.90 for mortality per 100,000), and South Central Asia (5.80 for incidence, 5.50 for mortality per 100,000). Among the 185 countries worldwide, esophageal cancer was among the top five causes of cancer incidence in 18 countries and among the top five causes of cancer mortality in 25 countries. In 2022, China had 224,012 new cases and 187,467 deaths from esophageal cancer, accounting for approximately 43.8% and 42.1% of the global total, respectively, which is higher than the proportion of China's population to the global population (17.9%). ASIR was 8.30 per 100,000, and ASMR was 6.70 per 100,000. The highest burden of esophageal cancer was in high HDI countries, with new cases and deaths accounting for 51.3% and 50.0% of the global total, respectively. The ASIR and ASMR were highest in the high HDI group (6.10 and 5.10 per 100,000, respectively), also exceeding the global averages. There was a trend of decreasing mortality to incidence ratio with increasing HDI, but no correlation was observed between HDI and ASIR or ASMR. In all regions worldwide, the incidence and mortality rates were higher in males than in females (with a male-to-female ASR ratio ranging from 1.10 to 28.7). Compared to 2022, it is projected that by 2050, the number of new esophageal cancer cases will increase by approximately 80.5%, and deaths will increase by 85.4% due to population growth and aging.
CONCLUSIONS
The burden of esophageal cancer remains heavy. Adopting a healthy lifestyle, including reducing tobacco and alcohol intake, avoiding moldy foods, and increasing intake of fresh fruits and vegetables, can help reduce the risk of stomach and esophageal cancer. In addition, the development and implementation of evidence-based and effective public health policies are critical to reducing the global disease burden of esophageal cancer.
Esophageal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Incidence
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Global Health
;
Aged
;
Adult
9.Primary malignant bone tumors incidence, mortality, and trends in China from 2000 to 2015.
Yunfeng XI ; Liying QIAO ; Buqi NA ; Huimin LIU ; Siwei ZHANG ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Wenrui WANG ; Kexin SUN ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(17):2037-2043
BACKGROUND:
Primary malignant bone tumors are uncommon, and their epidemiological features are rarely reported. We aimed to study the incidence and death characteristics of bone tumors from 2000 to 2015.
METHODS:
Population-based cancer registries submitted registry data to National Central Cancer Registry of China (NCCRC). The data collected from 501 local cancer registries in China were assessed using NCCRC screening methods and criteria. Incidence and mortality rates of primary bone tumor were stratified by age group, gender, and area. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were adjusted using the Chinese standard population in 2000 and Segi's world population. The annual percentage change (APC) in rate was calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.
RESULTS:
Data from 368 registries met quality control criteria, of which 134 and 234 were from urban and rural areas, respectively. The data covered 309,553,499 persons. The crude incidence, age-standardized incidence, and crude mortality rates were 1.77, 1.35, and 1.31 per 100,000, respectively. Incidence and mortality rates were higher in males than those in females; they showed downward trends, with declines of 2.2% and 4.8% per year, respectively, and the rates in urban areas were lower than those in rural areas. Significant declining trends were observed in urban areas. Stable trends were seen in rural areas during 2000 to 2007, followed by downward trends. Age-specific incidence and mortality rates showed stable trends in the age group of 0 to 19 years, and downward trends in the age group elder than 19 years.
CONCLUSIONS
The incidence and mortality rates of primary malignant bone tumors in rural areas were higher compared to those in urban areas. Targeted prevention measures are required to monitor and control bone tumor incidence and improve the quality of life of affected patients. This research can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of bone tumors, as well as basic information for follow-up research.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Infant
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Male
;
Young Adult
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Incidence
;
Quality of Life
;
Bone Neoplasms/mortality*
;
East Asian People
10.Incidence and survival of neuroendocrine neoplasms in China with comparison to the United States.
Rongshou ZHENG ; Hong ZHAO ; Lan AN ; Siwei ZHANG ; Ru CHEN ; Shaoming WANG ; Kexin SUN ; Hongmei ZENG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(10):1216-1224
BACKGROUND:
Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are rare tumors characterized by variable biology and delayed diagnosis. However, the nationwide epidemiology of NENs has never been reported in China. We aimed to estimate the incidence and survival statistics of NENs in China, in comparison to those in the United States during the same period.
METHODS:
Based on the data from 246 population-based cancer registries covering 272.5 million people of China, we calculated age-specific incidence on NENs in 2017 and multiplied by corresponding national population to estimate the nationwide incidence in China. The data of 22 population-based cancer registries were used to estimate the trends of NENs incidence from 2000 to 2017 through the Joinpoint regression model. We used the cohort approach to analyze the 5-year age-standardized relative survival by sex, age group, and urban-rural area between 2008 and 2013, based on data from 176 high-quality cancer registries. We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 18 program to estimate the comparable incidence and survival of NENs in the United States.
RESULTS:
The overall age-standardized rate (ASR) of NENs incidence was lower in China (1.14 per 100,000) than in the United States (6.26 per 100,000). The most common primary sites were lungs, pancreas, stomach, and rectum in China. The ASRs of NENs incidence increased by 9.8% and 3.6% per year in China and the United States, respectively. The overall 5-year relative survival in China (36.2%) was lower than in the United States (63.9%). The 5-year relative survival was higher for female patients than male patients, and was higher in urban areas than in rural areas.
CONCLUSIONS
The disparities in burden of NENs persist across sex, area, age group, and site in China and the United States. These findings may provide a scientific basis on prevention and control of NENs in the two countries.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
United States/epidemiology*
;
Incidence
;
Neuroendocrine Tumors/pathology*
;
Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Registries
;
Urban Population
;
China/epidemiology*

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail