1.Comparison of short-term clinical efficacy between CO external fixation and internal fixation with steel plate in the treatment of unstable distal radius fractures.
Min-Rui FU ; Chang-Long SHI ; Yong-Zhong CHENG ; Ming-Ming MA ; Zheng-Lin NIU ; Hai-Xiang SUN ; Jing-Hua GAO ; Zhong-Kai WU ; Yi-Ming XU
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(1):10-17
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the short-term clinical efficacy of external fixation and internal fixation with steel plate in the treatment of unstable distal radius fractures (AO-23C type), based on the principles of Chinese osteosynthesis (CO).
METHODS:
Forty-eight patients with unstable distal radius fractures between January 2022 and February 2023 were retrospectively analyzed and divided into the CO external fixation group and internal fixation group. CO external fixation group consisted of 25 patients, including 7 males and 18 females, aged from 37 to 56 years old with an average of ( 52.6±11.3) years old. Among them, there were 7 patients of traffic accidents and 18 patients of falls, resulting in a total of 25 patients of closed fractures and no open fractures, the treatment was conducted using closed reduction and CO external fixation. The internal fixation group consisted of 23 patients, comprising 8 males and 15 females, age ranged from 41 to 59 years old, with an average age of(53.3±13.7) years old. Among them, 8 patients resulted from car accidents while the remaining 15 patients were caused by falls. All 23 patients were closed fractures without any open fractures observed. The technique of open reduction and internal fixation with steel plate was employed. The perioperative data, including injury-operation time, operation duration, blood loss, and length of hospital stay, were assessed in both groups. Additionally, the QuickDASH score and visual analogue scale (VAS) were evaluated. Range of motion and grip strength assessment, imaging findings such as palmar inclination angle, ulnar declination angle, radius length, articular surface step, intra-articular space measurements were also examined along with any complications.
RESULTS:
The follow-up duration ranged from 0 to 24 months, with an average duration of (16.0±3.8) months. The CO external fixation exhibited significantly shorter time from injury to operation (2.4±3.3) d vs (7.4±3.7) d, shorter operation duration (56.27±15.23) min vs (74.10±5.26) min, lower blood loss (14.52±6.54) ml vs (32.32±10.03) ml, and reduced hospitalization days (14.04±3.24 )d vs (16.45±3.05) d compared to the internal fixation group (P<0.05). The QuickDASH score at 12 months post-operation was (8.21±1.64) in the CO external fixation group, while no significant difference was observed in the internal fixation group (7.04±3.64), P>0.05. There were no statistically significant differences in VAS between two groups at 6 weeks, as well as 1 and 3 months post-surgery (P>0.05). Additionally, there were no significant disparities observed in terms of range of motion and grip strength between two groups at the 2-year follow-up after the operation (P>0.05). After 12 months of surgery, the CO external fixation group exhibited a significantly smaller palmar inclination angle (17.90±2.18) ° vs (19.87±3.21) °, reduced articular surface step (0.11±0.03) mm vs (0.17±0.02) mm, and shorter radius length (8.16±1.11) mm compared to the internal fixation group (9.59±1.02) mm, P<0.05. The ulnar deviation angle and intra-articular space did not show any significant difference between two groups (P>0.05). The reduced fell within the allowable range between the CO external fixation group (23 out of 25 cases) and the internal fixation group (21 out of 23 cases) was not statistically significant (P=0.29). There was no significant difference in complications between the two groups(P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
Both the CO external fixation and open reduction with plate internal fixation demonstrate clinical efficacy in managing unstable distal radius fractures. The CO external fixation offers advantages in shorter injury-to-operation times, reduced intraoperative blood loss, and decreased surgical durations, while radial shortening is more effectively controlled by internal fixation.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Radius Fractures/physiopathology*
;
Adult
;
Bone Plates
;
Fracture Fixation, Internal/methods*
;
External Fixators
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Fracture Fixation/methods*
;
Wrist Fractures
2.Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio combined with CURB-65 score for elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to department of emergency
Jia-yi ZHENG ; Fu-peng WU ; Hai-su LU ; Yu-qi TAO ; Ke-yu SUN
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(3):416-423
Objective To develop an objective and precise prognostic model for assessing severity and prognosis in elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)admitted to the emergency department.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on elderly patients with CAP admitted to Department of Emergency,Minhang Hospital,Fudan University between Jun 2018 and Dec 2020.With the primary outcome being the 30-day in-hospital mortality rate of elderly CAP patients,four systemic inflammatory response markers,including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio(MLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),and systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses.The predictive performance of different scoring systems was compared.Results A total of 421 elderly CAP cases were enrolled.The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that NLR was an independent risk factor for elderly inpatients with CAP.We combined NLR with the existing CURB-65 score for joint optimization to construct a scoring system or a clinical prognosis model,by quantifying and assigning optimal cut-off value of 11.4 for NLR,and established the NLR+CURB-65 score.The ROC curve was constructed to compare the areas under the curve of the three different scoring systems(NLR,CURB-65,and NLR+CURB-65).The area under the curve of the NLR+CURB-65 score was significantly higher than that of the CURB-65 score.Based on the optimal cut-off value of 3 for NLR+CURB-65 score,the patients were stratified into high-risk group(n=188)and low-risk group(n=233).The K-M survival curve was utilized and indicated that compared with high-risk group,low-risk group had a lower mortality rate and a higher discharge rate.Conclusion For elderly emergency hospitalized patients with CAP,the combination of NLR and CURB-65 score showed high predictive value for assessing disease severity and prognosis.
3.Influencing factors of recurrence after gallbladder stones combine with common bile duct multiple stones and establishment and verification of nomogram prediction model
Peng LIU ; Fu-cheng LIU ; Xin ZHAO ; Hai-peng QIAO ; Xiao-feng LIU ; Zheng YANG
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(1):1-6
Objective:Analyze the influencing factors of postoperative recurrence of common bile duct stones in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones,and evaluate the application value of nomogram predic-tion models.Methods:Collected clinical data of 587 patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones who underwent surgical treatment at Beijing Fengtai Hospital from January 2022 to January 2024.They were divided into a training cohort(n=410)and a validation cohort(n=177)according to a 7∶3 ratio.Analyzed the influencing factors of postoperative recurrence of common bile duct stones in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones,and constructed a nomogram prediction model based on this.Results:The recurrence rate of postoperative common bile duct stones in the training queue was 38.05%(156/410).Age,BMI,intrahepatic bile duct stones,initial course of dis-ease,duodenal diverticulum,biliary tract infection,history of biliary surgery,thickness of the common bile duct wall,num-ber of multiple stones in the common bile duct,diameter of the common bile duct,and dysfunction of the Oddis sphincter in the duodenal papilla during ERCP examination are independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with gallbladder stones combined with multiple stones in the common bile duct(P<0.05).The AUC of the constructed nomo-gram prediction model in the training queue and validation queue were 0.854 and 0.889,respectively.The Hosmer Lem-eshow fitting test results showed that there was no statistically significant difference between the predicted probability and the actual probability of the prediction model(x2=3.952,P=0.865),indicating that this model has good predictive abil-ity.Conclusion:The nomogram prediction model based on various risk factors can effectively predict the risk of post-operative common bile duct stone recurrence in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones.
4.Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio combined with CURB-65 score for elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to department of emergency
Jia-yi ZHENG ; Fu-peng WU ; Hai-su LU ; Yu-qi TAO ; Ke-yu SUN
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(3):416-423
Objective To develop an objective and precise prognostic model for assessing severity and prognosis in elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)admitted to the emergency department.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on elderly patients with CAP admitted to Department of Emergency,Minhang Hospital,Fudan University between Jun 2018 and Dec 2020.With the primary outcome being the 30-day in-hospital mortality rate of elderly CAP patients,four systemic inflammatory response markers,including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio(MLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),and systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses.The predictive performance of different scoring systems was compared.Results A total of 421 elderly CAP cases were enrolled.The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that NLR was an independent risk factor for elderly inpatients with CAP.We combined NLR with the existing CURB-65 score for joint optimization to construct a scoring system or a clinical prognosis model,by quantifying and assigning optimal cut-off value of 11.4 for NLR,and established the NLR+CURB-65 score.The ROC curve was constructed to compare the areas under the curve of the three different scoring systems(NLR,CURB-65,and NLR+CURB-65).The area under the curve of the NLR+CURB-65 score was significantly higher than that of the CURB-65 score.Based on the optimal cut-off value of 3 for NLR+CURB-65 score,the patients were stratified into high-risk group(n=188)and low-risk group(n=233).The K-M survival curve was utilized and indicated that compared with high-risk group,low-risk group had a lower mortality rate and a higher discharge rate.Conclusion For elderly emergency hospitalized patients with CAP,the combination of NLR and CURB-65 score showed high predictive value for assessing disease severity and prognosis.
5.Influencing factors of recurrence after gallbladder stones combine with common bile duct multiple stones and establishment and verification of nomogram prediction model
Peng LIU ; Fu-cheng LIU ; Xin ZHAO ; Hai-peng QIAO ; Xiao-feng LIU ; Zheng YANG
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(1):1-6
Objective:Analyze the influencing factors of postoperative recurrence of common bile duct stones in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones,and evaluate the application value of nomogram predic-tion models.Methods:Collected clinical data of 587 patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones who underwent surgical treatment at Beijing Fengtai Hospital from January 2022 to January 2024.They were divided into a training cohort(n=410)and a validation cohort(n=177)according to a 7∶3 ratio.Analyzed the influencing factors of postoperative recurrence of common bile duct stones in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones,and constructed a nomogram prediction model based on this.Results:The recurrence rate of postoperative common bile duct stones in the training queue was 38.05%(156/410).Age,BMI,intrahepatic bile duct stones,initial course of dis-ease,duodenal diverticulum,biliary tract infection,history of biliary surgery,thickness of the common bile duct wall,num-ber of multiple stones in the common bile duct,diameter of the common bile duct,and dysfunction of the Oddis sphincter in the duodenal papilla during ERCP examination are independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with gallbladder stones combined with multiple stones in the common bile duct(P<0.05).The AUC of the constructed nomo-gram prediction model in the training queue and validation queue were 0.854 and 0.889,respectively.The Hosmer Lem-eshow fitting test results showed that there was no statistically significant difference between the predicted probability and the actual probability of the prediction model(x2=3.952,P=0.865),indicating that this model has good predictive abil-ity.Conclusion:The nomogram prediction model based on various risk factors can effectively predict the risk of post-operative common bile duct stone recurrence in patients with gallstones and multiple common bile duct stones.
6.Targeted surveillance results of healthcare-associated infection in the liver transplantation intensive care unit from 2018 to 2022
Ya YANG ; Jia-yan DING ; Mei HUANG ; Feng LU ; Rui-hong SHEN ; Juan-xiu QIN ; Wen-qin ZHOU ; Xiao-fang FU ; Hai-qun BAN ; Yu-xiao DEND ; Jun-hua ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(12):1514-1519
Objective To analyze the characteristics of healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in patients in liver transplantation intensive care unit(ICU),and provide basis for the effective prevention and control of liver post-transplantation infection.Methods Targeted surveillance data of HAI in liver transplantation ICU from 2018 to 2022 were analyzed retrospectively.Incidence,incidence trend,infection site,pathogens and drug resistance were analyzed.Results A total of 3 762 liver transplantation patients were surveilled,106 patients developed 133 cases of HAI,with an incidence of 2.82%and a case incidence of 3.54%.There was no significant difference among the years(P=0.473).Infection mainly occurred within 2 weeks after admission to ICU,accounting for 85.85%.The main infection sites included blood system(26.32%),respiratory system(22.56%),and surgical site(19.55%).The average utilization rates of central veinous catheterization,urethral catheterization,and ventilator were 85.77%,70.58%,and 40.83%,respectively.The incidences of central line-associated bloodstream infection(CLABSI),catheter-associated urinary tract infection(CAUTI),and ventilator-associated pneumonia(VAP)were 0.54‰,0.33‰,and 1.84‰,respectively.A total of 131 strains of pathogens were detected,of which Gram-negative bac-teria accounted for 38.17%and Gram-positive bacteria accounted for 29.77%.The top three pathogens were Kleb-siella pneumoniae(15.27%),Enterococcus faecium(11.45%),and Acinetobacter baumannii(9.16%).Conclusion Effective prevention and control measures should be taken based on the characteristics of HAI in the liver transplan-tation ICU,so as to curb bacterial resistance and reduce liver post-transplantation HAI.
7.Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome (version 2024)
Junyu WANG ; Hai JIN ; Danfeng ZHANG ; Rutong YU ; Mingkun YU ; Yijie MA ; Yue MA ; Ning WANG ; Chunhong WANG ; Chunhui WANG ; Qing WANG ; Xinyu WANG ; Xinjun WANG ; Hengli TIAN ; Xinhua TIAN ; Yijun BAO ; Hua FENG ; Wa DA ; Liquan LYU ; Haijun REN ; Jinfang LIU ; Guodong LIU ; Chunhui LIU ; Junwen GUAN ; Rongcai JIANG ; Yiming LI ; Lihong LI ; Zhenxing LI ; Jinglian LI ; Jun YANG ; Chaohua YANG ; Xiao BU ; Xuehai WU ; Li BIE ; Binghui QIU ; Yongming ZHANG ; Qingjiu ZHANG ; Bo ZHANG ; Xiangtong ZHANG ; Rongbin CHEN ; Chao LIN ; Hu JIN ; Weiming ZHENG ; Mingliang ZHAO ; Liang ZHAO ; Rong HU ; Jixin DUAN ; Jiemin YAO ; Hechun XIA ; Ye GU ; Tao QIAN ; Suokai QIAN ; Tao XU ; Guoyi GAO ; Xiaoping TANG ; Qibing HUANG ; Rong FU ; Jun KANG ; Guobiao LIANG ; Kaiwei HAN ; Zhenmin HAN ; Shuo HAN ; Jun PU ; Lijun HENG ; Junji WEI ; Lijun HOU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(5):385-396
Traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome (TSOFS) is a symptom complex caused by nerve entrapment in the supraorbital fissure after skull base trauma. If the compressed cranial nerve in the supraorbital fissure is not decompressed surgically, ptosis, diplopia and eye movement disorder may exist for a long time and seriously affect the patients′ quality of life. Since its overall incidence is not high, it is not familiarized with the majority of neurosurgeons and some TSOFS may be complicated with skull base vascular injury. If the supraorbital fissure surgery is performed without treatment of vascular injury, it may cause massive hemorrhage, and disability and even life-threatening in severe cases. At present, there is no consensus or guideline on the diagnosis and treatment of TSOFS that can be referred to both domestically and internationally. To improve the understanding of TSOFS among clinical physicians and establish standardized diagnosis and treatment plans, the Skull Base Trauma Group of the Neurorepair Professional Committee of the Chinese Medical Doctor Association, Neurotrauma Group of the Neurosurgery Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, Neurotrauma Group of the Traumatology Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, and Editorial Committee of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized relevant experts to formulate Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of traumatic supraorbital fissure syndrome ( version 2024) based on evidence of evidence-based medicine and clinical experience of diagnosis and treatment. This consensus puts forward 12 recommendations on the diagnosis, classification, treatment, efficacy evaluation and follow-up of TSOFS, aiming to provide references for neurosurgeons from hospitals of all levels to standardize the diagnosis and treatment of TSOFS.
8.Targeted surveillance results of healthcare-associated infection in the liver transplantation intensive care unit from 2018 to 2022
Ya YANG ; Jia-yan DING ; Mei HUANG ; Feng LU ; Rui-hong SHEN ; Juan-xiu QIN ; Wen-qin ZHOU ; Xiao-fang FU ; Hai-qun BAN ; Yu-xiao DEND ; Jun-hua ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(12):1514-1519
Objective To analyze the characteristics of healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in patients in liver transplantation intensive care unit(ICU),and provide basis for the effective prevention and control of liver post-transplantation infection.Methods Targeted surveillance data of HAI in liver transplantation ICU from 2018 to 2022 were analyzed retrospectively.Incidence,incidence trend,infection site,pathogens and drug resistance were analyzed.Results A total of 3 762 liver transplantation patients were surveilled,106 patients developed 133 cases of HAI,with an incidence of 2.82%and a case incidence of 3.54%.There was no significant difference among the years(P=0.473).Infection mainly occurred within 2 weeks after admission to ICU,accounting for 85.85%.The main infection sites included blood system(26.32%),respiratory system(22.56%),and surgical site(19.55%).The average utilization rates of central veinous catheterization,urethral catheterization,and ventilator were 85.77%,70.58%,and 40.83%,respectively.The incidences of central line-associated bloodstream infection(CLABSI),catheter-associated urinary tract infection(CAUTI),and ventilator-associated pneumonia(VAP)were 0.54‰,0.33‰,and 1.84‰,respectively.A total of 131 strains of pathogens were detected,of which Gram-negative bac-teria accounted for 38.17%and Gram-positive bacteria accounted for 29.77%.The top three pathogens were Kleb-siella pneumoniae(15.27%),Enterococcus faecium(11.45%),and Acinetobacter baumannii(9.16%).Conclusion Effective prevention and control measures should be taken based on the characteristics of HAI in the liver transplan-tation ICU,so as to curb bacterial resistance and reduce liver post-transplantation HAI.
9.Therapeutic effect of ursodeoxycholic acid-berberine supramolecular nanoparticles on ulcerative colitis based on supramolecular system induced by weak bond.
Shan GAO ; Feng GAO ; Jing-Wei KONG ; Zhi-Jia WANG ; Hao-Cheng ZHENG ; Xin-Qi JIANG ; Shu-Jing XU ; Shan-Lan LI ; Ming-Jun LU ; Zi-Qi DAI ; Fu-Hao CHU ; Bing XU ; Hai-Min LEI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(10):2739-2748
Ulcerative colitis(UC) is a recurrent, intractable inflammatory bowel disease. Coptidis Rhizoma and Bovis Calculus, serving as heat-clearing and toxin-removing drugs, have long been used in the treatment of UC. Berberine(BBR) and ursodeoxycholic acid(UDCA), the main active components of Coptidis Rhizoma and Bovis Calculus, respectively, were employed to obtain UDCA-BBR supramolecular nanoparticles by stimulated co-decocting process for enhancing the therapeutic effect on UC. As revealed by the characterization of supramolecular nanoparticles by field emission scanning electron microscopy(FE-SEM) and dynamic light scattering(DLS), the supramolecular nanoparticles were tetrahedral nanoparticles with an average particle size of 180 nm. The molecular structure was described by ultraviolet spectroscopy, fluorescence spectroscopy, infrared spectroscopy, high-resolution mass spectrometry, and hydrogen-nuclear magnetic resonance(H-NMR) spectroscopy. The results showed that the formation of the supramolecular nano-particle was attributed to the mutual electrostatic attraction and hydrophobic interaction between BBR and UDCA. Additionally, supramolecular nanoparticles were also characterized by sustained release and pH sensitivity. The acute UC model was induced by dextran sulfate sodium(DSS) in mice. It was found that supramolecular nanoparticles could effectively improve body mass reduction and colon shortening in mice with UC(P<0.001) and decrease disease activity index(DAI)(P<0.01). There were statistically significant differences between the supramolecular nanoparticles group and the mechanical mixture group(P<0.001, P<0.05). Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) was used to detect the serum levels of tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α) and interleukin-6(IL-6), and the results showed that supramolecular nanoparticles could reduce serum TNF-α and IL-6 levels(P<0.001) and exhibited an obvious difference with the mechanical mixture group(P<0.01, P<0.05). Flow cytometry indicated that supramolecular nanoparticles could reduce the recruitment of neutrophils in the lamina propria of the colon(P<0.05), which was significantly different from the mechanical mixture group(P<0.05). These findings suggested that as compared with the mechanical mixture, the supramolecular nanoparticles could effectively improve the symptoms of acute UC in mice. The study provides a new research idea for the poor absorption of small molecules and the unsatisfactory therapeutic effect of traditional Chinese medicine and lays a foundation for the research on the nano-drug delivery system of traditional Chinese medicine.
Animals
;
Mice
;
Colitis, Ulcerative/drug therapy*
;
Ursodeoxycholic Acid/adverse effects*
;
Berberine/pharmacology*
;
Interleukin-6
;
Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/pharmacology*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
;
Colon
;
Nanoparticles
;
Dextran Sulfate/adverse effects*
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Colitis/chemically induced*
10.Predictive validation of existing bleeding and thromboembolic scores in elderly patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation and acute coronary syndrome.
Hong-Hong ZHANG ; Qi LIU ; Hai-Jing ZHAO ; Ya-Ni YU ; Liu-Yang TIAN ; Ying-Yue ZHANG ; Zi-Hao FU ; Li ZHENG ; Yue ZHU ; Yu-Han MA ; Shuang LI ; Yang-Yang MA ; Yu-Qi LIU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(5):330-340
BACKGROUND:
The validation of various risk scores in elderly patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has not been reported. The present study compared the predictive performance of existing risk scores in these patients.
METHODS:
A total of 1252 elderly patients with AF and ACS comorbidities (≥ 65 years old) were consecutively enrolled from January 2015 to December 2019. All patients were followed up for one year. The predictive performance of risk scores in predicting bleeding and thromboembolic events was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
During the 1-year follow-up, 183 (14.6%) patients had thromboembolic events, 198 (15.8%) patients had BARC class ≥ 2 bleeding events, and 61 (4.9%) patients had BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. For the BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events, discrimination of the existing risk scores was low to moderate, PRECISE-DAPT (C-statistic: 0.638, 95% CI: 0.611-0.665), ATRIA (C-statistic: 0.615, 95% CI: 0.587-0.642), PARIS-MB (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), HAS-BLED (C-statistic: 0.597, 95% CI: 0.569-0.624) and CRUSADE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). However, the calibration was good. PRECISE-DAPT showed a higher integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) than PARIS-MB, HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and CRUSADE (P < 0.05) and the best decision curve analysis (DCA). For thromboembolic events, the discrimination of GRACE (C-statistic: 0.636, 95% CI: 0.608-0.662) was higher than CHA2DS2-VASc (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), OPT-CAD (C-statistic: 0.602, 95% CI: 0.574-0.629) and PARIS-CTE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). The calibration was good. Compared to OPT-CAD and PARIS-CTE, the IDI of the GRACE score slightly improved (P < 0.05). However, NRI analysis showed no significant difference. DCA showed that the clinical practicability of thromboembolic risk scores was similar.
CONCLUSIONS
The discrimination and calibration of existing risk scores in predicting 1-year thromboembolic and bleeding events were unsatisfactory in elderly patients with comorbid AF and ACS. PRECISE-DAPT showed higher IDI and DCA than other risk scores in predicting BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. The GRACE score showed a slight advantage in predicting thrombotic events.

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