1.Research on predictive models for adverse postoperative outcomes in cardiac surgery patients in western China: Integrating machine learning and SHAP interpretation
Fan LI ; Zhenfei HU ; Haiting ZHAN ; Yidan HUANG ; Xiaowen DAI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(10):1393-1403
Objective To develop and compare the predictive performance of five machine learning models for adverse postoperative outcomes in cardiac surgery patients, and to identify key decision factors through SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretability analysis. Methods A retrospective collection of perioperative data (including demographic information, preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative indicators) with 88 variables was conducted from adult cardiac surgery patients at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University in 2023. Adverse postoperative outcomes were defined as the occurrence of acute kidney injury and/or in-hospital mortality during the postoperative hospitalization period following cardiac surgery. Patients were divided into an adverse outcome group and a favorable outcome group based on the presence of adverse postoperative outcomes. After screening feature variables using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method, five machine learning models were constructed: eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), gradient boosting machine (GBM), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), and generalized linear model (GLM). The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a test set at a 7 : 3 ratio using stratified sampling, with postoperative outcome as the stratification factor. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, decision curve analysis, and F1 Score. The SHAP method was applied to analyze feature contribution. Results A total of 639 patients were included, comprising 395 males and 244 females, with a median age of 62 (55, 69) years. The adverse outcome group consisted of 191 patients, while the favorable outcome group included 448 patients, resulting in an adverse postoperative outcome incidence of 29.9%. Univariate analysis showed no significant differences between the two groups for any variables (P>0.05). Using LASSO regression, 16 feature variables were selected (including cardiopulmonary bypass support time, blood glucose on postoperative day 3, creatine kinase-MB isoenzyme, systemic inflammatory response index, etc.), and five machine learning models (GLM, RF, GBM, LightGBM, XGBoost) were constructed. Evaluation results demonstrated that the XGBoost model exhibited the best predictive performance on both the training set (n=447) and test set (n=192), with area under the curve values of 0.761 [95%CI (0.719, 0.800) ] and 0.759 [95%CI (0.692, 0.818) ], respectively. It also significantly outperformed other models in positive predictive value, and balanced accuracy in the test set. Decision curve analysis further confirmed its clinical utility across various risk thresholds. SHAP analysis indicated that variables such as cardiopulmonary bypass support time, blood glucose on postoperative day 3, creatine kinase-MB isoenzyme, and inflammatory markers (SIRI, NLR, CAR) had high contributions to the prediction. Conclusion The XGBoost model effectively predicts adverse postoperative outcomes in cardiac surgery patients. Clinically, attention should be focused on cardiopulmonary bypass support time, postoperative blood glucose control, and monitoring of inflammatory levels to improve patient prognosis.
2.A preliminary clinical study of polyester spacer-enhanced pancreatico-intestinal anastomosis in pancreaticoduodenectomy
Xin LI ; Jiayi WANG ; Shaohua LI ; Ruili ZHU ; Zhenfei JIA ; Chengyun MA ; Xianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2024;30(1):44-49
Objective:To investigate the safety and utility of using polyester spacers in conventional pancreatico-enteric anastomosis in pancreaticoduodenectomy to achieve prevention of postoperative pancreatic fistula.Methods:The clinical data of 82 patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy completed by the same physician in Anyang People's Hospital from August 2018 to August 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, including 52 males and 30 females, aged (62.21±9.75) years. They were divided into two groups, test group ( n=40) and control group ( n=42) according to whether polyester spacers were used in pancreatico-intestinal anastomosis, the perioperative data of the two groups were compared, and Logistic analysis was used to analyze the risk factors affecting postoperative pancreatic fistula. Results:There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in terms of biliary fistula, intestinal fistula, abdominal infection, abdominal bleeding, and postoperative mortality rate (all P>0.05). The incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula in the test group was 20.0% (8/40) which was lower than that in the control group 45.2% (19/42), and the difference was statistically significant ( P=0.015). Soft pancreas texture ( OR=16.595, 95% CI: 1.891~145.657) was an independent risk factor for postoperative pancreatic fistula, while improved pancreatic enterostomy with polyester spacers ( OR=0.332, 95% CI: 0.114~0.969) could reduce the risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula. Conclusion:Use of polyester spacers to reinforce the pancreatico-enteric anastomosis during pancreaticoduodenectomy reduces the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistulae with good safety and practicality.
3.Dexmedetomidine protects myocardium from ischemia/reperfusion injury by down regulating expression of Dectin-1 and inhibiting immune cells infiltration
Siyu CHEN ; Jianjiang WU ; Aimei LI ; Li DENG ; Zhenfei HU ; Jiang WANG
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2024;40(9):1843-1849
Objective:To explore the molecular mechanism of dexmedetomidine(Dex)protecting ischemia/reperfusion(I/R)myocardium.Methods:Wild type mice were grouped into control(Control)group,sham operation(Sham)group,WT I/R group,WT Dex group,and Dectin-1 knock out mice were grouped into KO I/R group and KO Dex group in the in vivo study(n=6).TTC stain-ing was used to determine the myocardial infarction area(%)of the above six groups of mice.HE staining and pathological analyze was used to determine the myocardial injury.Serum TNF-α,IL-6 and IL-10 levels in mice were detected by ELISA.Flow cytometry(FCM)was used to count and sort of infiltrating M2 macrophages and neutrophils in myocardium.qPCR assay was used to determine the Dectin-1 mRNA expression in the above sorted cells.Results:TTC results showed that there was no myocardial infarction in the mice of Control group and Sham group.Compared with the WT I/R group,the infarct volume was significantly lower in WT Dex group,KO I/R group and KO Dex group(P<0.05).Compared with the KO I/R group,the infarct volume was reduced in KO Dex group(P<0.05).The results of HE staining showed that the myocardial fibers of the WT I/R group of mice were disorderly arranged,with a large number of broken myocardial fibers,while the myocardial fibers of the WT Dex group,KO I/R group and KO Dex group of mice had a little breakage,the structural damage was not significant,and the myocardial arrangement was relatively neat.The degree of myocardi-al injury of mice in KO Dex group were less than that in KO I/R group mice.ELISA results showed that compared with Sham group,the serum TNF-α and IL-6 levels of the mice in WT I/R group were significantly increased,and the IL-10 level was significantly de-creased.Compared with WT I/R group,serum TNF-α and IL-6 levels of the mice in WT Dex group and KO I/R group were significant-ly decreased,and IL-10 level was significantly increased.Compared with KO I/R group,the serum TNF-α and IL-6 levels of the mice in KO Dex group were significantly decreased,and the IL-10 level was significantly increased(P<0.05).FCM cell counting results showed that compared with Sham group,a large number of M2 macrophages and neutrophils were infiltrated in the myocardium of WT I/R group of mice(P<0.05).Compared with WT I/R group,the M2 macrophages and neutrophils infiltrated in the myocardium were significantly decreased in WT Dex group,KO I/R group and KO Dex group of mice(P<0.05).While there was no significant differ-ence between the KO I/R group and the KO Dex group mice(P>0.05).qPCR results showed that compared with Sham group,the ex-pression level of Dectin-1 mRNA in the myocardial infiltrated M2 macrophages and neutrophils were significantly up-regulated in WT I/R group of mice(P<0.05).While compared with WT I/R group,the expression level of Dectin-1 mRNA in Dex group of mice was sig-nificantly lower(P<0.05).Mice in KO I/R group and KO Dex group did not express Dectin-1.Conclusion:The protective mecha-nisms of Dex preconditioning on I/R injured myocardium involves reducing the infiltrating number of M2 macrophages and neutrophils in myocardium after I/R injury,which may be achieved by inhibiting the expression of Dectin-1.
4.Clinical guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fracture with kyphotic deformity in the elderly (version 2024)
Jian CHEN ; Qingqing LI ; Jun GU ; Zhiyi HU ; Shujie ZHAO ; Zhenfei HUANG ; Tao JIANG ; Wei ZHOU ; Xiaojian CAO ; Yongxin REN ; Weihua CAI ; Lipeng YU ; Tao SUI ; Qian WANG ; Pengyu TANG ; Mengyuan WU ; Weihu MA ; Xuhua LU ; Hongjian LIU ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Xiaozhong ZHOU ; Baorong HE ; Kainan LI ; Tengbo YU ; Xiaodong GUO ; Yongxiang WANG ; Yong HAI ; Jiangang SHI ; Baoshan XU ; Weishi LI ; Jinglong YAN ; Guangzhi NING ; Yongfei GUO ; Zhijun QIAO ; Feng ZHANG ; Fubing WANG ; Fuyang CHEN ; Yan JIA ; Xiaohua ZHOU ; Yuhui PENG ; Jin FAN ; Guoyong YIN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(11):961-973
The incidence of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fracture (OTLVF) in the elderly is gradually increasing. The kyphotic deformity caused by various factors has become an important characteristic of OTLVF and has received increasing attention. Its clinical manifestations include pain, delayed nerve damage, sagittal imbalance, etc. Currently, the definition and diagnosis of OTLVF with kyphotic deformity in the elderly are still unclear. Although there are many treatment options, they are controversial. Existing guidelines or consensuses pay little attention to this type of fracture with kyphotic deformity. To this end, the Lumbar Education Working Group of the Spine Branch of the Chinese Medicine Education Association and Editorial Committee of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized the experts in the relevant fields to jointly develop Clinical guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic thoracolumbar vertebral fractures with kyphotic deformity in the elderly ( version 2024), based on evidence-based medical advancements and the principles of scientificity, practicality, and advanced nature, which provided 18 recommendations to standardize the clinical diagnosis and treatment.
5.Clinical study on Zhuang medicine Fuzheng compound in the treatment of advanced epidermal growth factor receptor sensitive mutant non-small cell lung cancer
Juanmei MO ; Shunrong ZHANG ; Xiao LIANG ; Chanjuan LI ; Hongrui ZHANG ; Zhenfei HUANG ; Haidi WEN ; Wei LIN
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2022;44(10):1102-1106
Objective:To evaluate Zhuang medicine Fuzheng compound combined with epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) in the treatment of advanced epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) sensitive mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).Methods:A total of 120 patients with advanced NSCLC who met the inclusion criteria from June 2019 to May 2020 in Guangxi International Zhuang Medical Hospital were divided into 2 groups according to the random number table method, with 60 in each group. The control group was treated with TKIs, and the observation group was treated with Zhuang medicine Fuzheng compound combined with EGFR-TKIs. TCM syndrome scores were compared, and the quality of life of the patients was assessed by the Quality of Life Scale (QLQ-C30). The serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), squamous cell carcinoma associated antigen (SCC-Ag) and carbohydrate antigen 50 (CA50) were detected by radioimmunoassay, and the levels of CD3 +, CD4 +, and CD8 + were detected by flow cytometry, and the CD4 +/CD8 + ratio was calculated. The adverse reactions during the treatment were observed and recorded. Results:The objective remission rate in the observation group was 66.7% (40/60) and the disease control rate was 81.7% (49/60), while in the control group were 48.3% (29/60) and 63.3% (38/60), respectively.The differences were statistically significant ( χ2 values were 4.13 and 5.06, P values were 0.042 and 0.025, respectively). After treatment, the scores of chest tightness, shortness of breath, blood in sputum, mental fatigue in the observation group were significantly lower than those in the control group ( t values were 8.72, 5.02, 5.47, all Ps<0.001), After treatment, QLQ-C30 score in the observation group was significantly higher than that of the control group ( t=5.21, P<0.01). After treatment, CEA [(31.45±4.56) mU/L vs. (38.98±5.71) mU/L, t=7.98], SCC-Ag [(4.87±0.93) μg/L vs. (7.29±1.25) μg/L, t=12.03], CA50 [(58.27±7.14) U/L vs. (66.48±7.94) U/L, t=5.96] levels were significantly lower than those in the control group ( P<0.01); CD3 +[(52.43±5.01)% vs. (48.56±4.87)%, t=4.29], CD4 + [(54.89±5.03)% vs. (51.09±5.22)%, t=4.06], CD4 +/CD8 + [(1.95±0.28) vs. (1.65±0.27), t=5.97] significantly higher than those in the control group ( P<0.01), CD8 + [(28.12±2.70)% vs. (31.23±2.64)%, t=6.38] significantly lower than that of the control group ( P<0.01). During the treatment period, the incidence of adverse reactions in the observation group was 13.3% (8/60) and that in the control group was 8.3% (5/60), with a statistically significant difference between two groups ( χ 2=0.78, P=0.378). Conclusion:The Zhuang medicine Fuzheng compound combined with EGFR-TKIs can reduce the level of tumor markers in patients with advanced EGFR-sensitive mutant NSCLC, improve patients' TCM syndromes, quality of life, enhance patient immunity, and improve efficacy.
6.Clinical guideline for spinal reconstruction of osteoporotic thoracolumbar fracture in elderly patients (version 2022)
Tao SUI ; Jian CHEN ; Zhenfei HUANG ; Zhiyi HU ; Weihua CAI ; Lipeng YU ; Xiaojian CAO ; Wei ZHOU ; Qingqing LI ; Jin FAN ; Qian WANG ; Pengyu TANG ; Shujie ZHAO ; Lin CHEN ; Zhiming CUI ; Wenyuan DING ; Shiqing FENG ; Xinmin FENG ; Yanzheng GAO ; Baorong HE ; Jianzhong HUO ; Haijun LI ; Jun LIU ; Fei LUO ; Chao MA ; Zhijun QIAO ; Qiang WANG ; Shouguo WANG ; Xiaotao WU ; Nanwei XU ; Jinglong YAN ; Zhaoming YE ; Feng YUAN ; Jishan YUAN ; Jie ZHAO ; Xiaozhong ZHOU ; Mengyuan WU ; Yongxin REN ; Guoyong YIN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2022;38(12):1057-1066
Osteoporotic thoracolumbar fracture in the elderly will seriously reduce their quality of life and life expectancy. For osteoporotic thoracolumbar fracture in the elderly, spinal reconstruction is necessary, which should comprehensively consider factors such as the physical condition, fracture type, clinical characteristics and osteoporosis degree. While there lacks relevant clinical norms or guidelines on selection of spinal reconstruction strategies. In order to standardize the concept of spinal reconstruction for osteoporotic thoracolumbar fracture in the elderly, based on the principles of scientificity, practicality and progressiveness, the authors formulated the Clinical guideline for spinal reconstruction of osteoporotic thoracolumbar fracture in elderly patients ( version 2022), in which suggestions based on evidence of evidence-based medicine were put forward upon 10 important issues related to the fracture classification, non-operative treatment strategies and surgical treatment strategies in spinal reconstruction after osteoporosis thoracolumbar fracture in the elderly, hoping to provide a reference for clinical treatment.
7.Prophylactic Dexamethasone on Pain Flare in Spine Metastasis Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy and Hypofractionated Radiotherapy
Runmei WANG ; Hao YANG ; Rong YU ; Zhenfei WANG ; Yu WU ; Hong LI ; Yue HU
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2021;48(12):1096-1100
Objective To explore the incidence of pain flare (PF) in spine metastasis stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) or hypofractionated radiotherapy (HF) and the prophylactical effect of dexamethasone. Methods Sixty-five patients were treated with spine metastasis SBRT and randomly divided into control group (SBRT or HF,
8. Efficacy and mechanism of Xiaobanxia Decoction and categorized formula in preventing and treating delayed chemotherapeutic vomiting
Jiyan ZHAO ; Jinxi LI ; Yimin ZHANG ; Zhenfei DONG ; Junning WANG
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2020;42(2):138-143
Objective:
To observe the pharmacodynamic effect of
9.Rapamycin alleviates inflammation by up-regulating TGF-β/Smad signaling in a mouse model of autoimmune encephalomyelitis.
Zhenfei LI ; Lingling NIE ; Liping CHEN ; Yafei SUN ; Li GUO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2019;39(1):35-42
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the efficacy of rapmycin for treatment of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) in mice and explore the underlying mechanism.
METHODS:
An EAE model was established in C57BL/6 mice. After immunization, the mice were divided into model group and rapamycin groups treated daily with low-dose (0.3 mg/kg) or high-dose (1 mg/kg) rapamycin. The clinical scores of the mice were observed using Knoz score, the infiltration of IL-17 cells in the central nervous system (CNS) was determined using immunohistochemistry; the differentiation of peripheral Treg cells was analyzed using flow cytometry, and the changes in the levels of cytokines were detected with ELISA; the changes in the expressions of p-Smad2 and p- smad3 were investigated using Western blotting.
RESULTS:
High-dose rapamycin significantly improved the neurological deficits scores of EAE mice. In high-dose rapamycin group, the scores in the onset stage, peak stage and remission stage were 0.14±0.38, 0.43±1.13 and 0.14±0.37, respectively, as compared with 1.14±0.69, 2.14±1.06 and 2.2±0.75 in the model group. The infiltration of inflammatory IL-17 cells was significantly lower in high-dose rapamycin group than in the model group (43±1.83 153.5±7.02). High-dose rapamycin obviously inhibited the production of IL-12, IFN-γ, IL-17 and IL-23 and induced the anti-inflammatory cytokines IL-10 and TGF-β. The percentage of Treg in CD4+ T cells was significantly higher in high- dose rapamycin group than in the model group (10.17 ± 0.68 3.52 ± 0.32). In the experiment, combined treatments of the lymphocytes isolated from the mice with rapamycin and TGF-β induced a significant increase in the number of Treg cells (13.66±1.89) compared with the treatment with rapamycin (6.23±0.80) or TGF-β (4.87±0.85) alone. Rapamycin also obviously up-regulated the expression of p-Smad2 and p-Smad3 in the lymphocytes.
CONCLUSIONS
Rapamycin can promote the differentiation of Treg cells by up-regulating the expression of p-Smad2 and p-smad3 to improve neurological deficits in mice with EAE.
Animals
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Anti-Inflammatory Agents
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administration & dosage
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therapeutic use
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Cell Differentiation
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drug effects
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Encephalomyelitis, Autoimmune, Experimental
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drug therapy
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metabolism
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Interferon-gamma
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metabolism
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Interleukins
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metabolism
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Lymphocytes
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cytology
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Mice
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Sirolimus
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administration & dosage
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therapeutic use
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Smad Proteins
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metabolism
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T-Lymphocytes, Regulatory
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cytology
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drug effects
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Transforming Growth Factor beta
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metabolism
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Up-Regulation
10.Development of Intelligent Infusion Management System.
Da LI ; Yuan GAO ; Zhenfei DUAN ; Lei XIA
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2019;43(3):176-178
OBJECTIVE:
The intelligent infusion management system is established through intelligent internet of things, by using the gravity sensor, acceleration sensor and other equipment.
METHODS:
Establish an infusion management platform based on B/S architecture. Combined with the intelligent terminal and get the major values, including:the infusion speed, the remaining liquid and so on. Besides, it can integrate with the HIS, EMR and PDA.
RESULTS:
It has solved the data collection of the whole infusion process, realized the real-time visualization during the infusion, and improved the quality of nursing management.
CONCLUSIONS
In the paper, it has been used in wards more than 2 years, which has reduced the workload of the infusion and improved the satisfaction of patients. At the same time, it has provided the infusion big data collection and statistics for the research and auxiliary treatment.
Hospitals
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Humans
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Internet
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Materials Management, Hospital

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