1.Clinical efficacy of open reduction and internal fixation with plates versus minimally invasive Kirschner wire fixation for osteoporotic Colles' fractures.
Jun-Wei ZHANG ; Jin-Yong HOU ; Zhao-Hui LI ; Zhen-Yuan MA ; Xiang GAO ; Hong-Zheng BI ; Ling-Ling CHEN ; Hai-Tao WANG ; Wei-Zhi NIE ; Yong-Zhong CHENG ; Xiao-Bing XI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(1):18-24
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the short-term clinical efficacy and safety of closed reduction with Kirschner wire fixation versus open reduction with plate fixation for treating osteoporotic Colles' fractures in middle-aged and elderly patients.
METHODS:
Between January 2018 and January 2023, 119 patients with Colles fractures were retrospectively analyzed, including 39 males and 80 females, aged from 48 to 74 years old with an average of(60.58±6.71) years old. The time from injury to operation ranged 1 to 13 days with an average of (5.29±2.52) days. According to the surgical method, they were divided into Kirschner wire fixation group (Kirschner wire group) and plate internal fixation group (plate group). In Kirschner wire group, there were a total of 68 patients, comprising 21 males and 47 females. The average age was (61.15±6.24) years old, ranged from 49 to 74 years old. Among them, 41 cases involved the left side while 27 cases involved the right side. In the plate group, there were a total of 51 patients, including 18 males and 33 females. The average age was (59.78±5.71) years old ranged from 48 to 72 years old. Among them, there were 31 cases on the left side and 20 cases on the right side. The following parameters were recorded before and after the operation:operation time, intraoperative blood loss, hospitalization days, hospitalization expenses, postoperative complications, and radiographic parameters of distal radius (distal radius height, ulnar deviation angle, palmar tilt angle). The clinical efficacy was evaluated at 3 and 12 months after the operation using Gartland-Werley and disabilites of the arm shoulder and hand (DASH) scores.
RESULTS:
The patients in both groups were followed up for a duration from 12 to 19 months with an average of(13.32±2.02) months. The Kirschner wire group exhibited significantly shorter operation time compared to the plate group 27.91(13.00, 42.00) min vs 67.52(29.72, 105.32) min, Z=-8.74, P=0.00. Intraoperative blood loss was also significantly lower in the Kirschner wire group than in the plate group 3.24(1.08, 5.40) ml vs 21.91(17.38, 26.44) ml, Z=-9.31, P=0.00. Furthermore, patients in the Kirschner wire group had a shorter length of hospital stay compared to those in the plate group (8.38±2.63) days vs (11.40±2.78) days, t=-3.12, P=0.00. Additionally, hospitalization cost was significantly lower in the Kirschner wire group than in the plate group 10 111.29(6 738.98, 13 483.60) yuan vs 15 871.11(11 690.40, 20 051.82) yuan, Z=-5.62, P=0.00. The incidence of complications was 2 cases in the Kirschner wire group and 1 case in the plate group, with no statistically significant difference(P>0.05). At 3 months postoprative, the radial height of the Kirschner wire group was found to be significantly smaller than that of the plate group, with measurements of (11.45±1.69) mm and (12.11±1.78) mm respectively (t=-2.06, P=0.04). However, there were no statistically significant differences observed in ulnar deviation angle and palmar tilt angle between the two groups (P>0.05). The DASH score and Gartland-Werley score in the Kirschner group were significantly higher than those in the plate group at 3 months post-operation (19.10±9.89) vs (13.47±3.51), t=4.34, P=0.00;(11.15±3.61) vs (6.41±2.75), t=8.13, P=0.00). However, there was no significant difference between the two groups at 12 months post-operation (P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
Compared to plate internal fixation, closed reduction with Kirschner wire support fixation yields a slightly inferior recovery of radial height;however, there is no significant disparity in the functional score of the affected limb at 12 months post-operation. Nonetheless, this technique offers advantages such as shorter operation time, reduced intraoperative blood loss, decreased hospitalization duration, and lower cost.
Humans
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
;
Bone Wires
;
Bone Plates
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Colles' Fracture/surgery*
;
Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures/methods*
;
Open Fracture Reduction/methods*
;
Osteoporotic Fractures/surgery*
2.The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) score in patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease.
Mu-Rong XIE ; Bin ZHANG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Jun-Xing LV ; De-Jing FENG ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Shuai GUO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(9):759-774
BACKGROUND:
Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
METHODS & RESULTS:
The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology.
CONCLUSION
The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.
3.Analysis of phenotype formation mechanism of a new variety of Lonicera japonica Flos "Huajin 6" at long bud stage
Run-zhu LI ; Cong-lian LIANG ; Zhen-hua LIU ; Jia LI ; Yong-qing ZHANG ; Hai-yan LIU ; Gao-bin PU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(2):476-481
Based on the long bud stage phenotype of a new
4.Effects of different disinfection methods on ultrasound imaging and application firmness of ultrasound-guided subclavian vein puncture
Hai-Yan GAO ; Zhen TIAN ; Wen-Wen SUN ; Hao WANG ; Chun-Hui HU
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(5):432-435
Objective To investigate the effects of different disinfection methods on ultrasound imaging and application firmness of ultrasound-guided subclavian vein puncture.Methods A total of 138 patients received ultrasound-guided subclavian vein puncture were selected as the study subjects and randomly divided into the chlorhexidine alcohol group,the iodophor group and the chlorhexidine alcohol+ iodophor group,with 46 cases in each group.They were disinfected with chlorhexidine alcohol,iodophor,and chlorhexidine alcohol and iodophor,respectively.The disinfection effect,ultrasound imaging and application fixation of patients in the three groups were compared.Results There was no statistically significant difference in the bacterial count or disinfection qualification rate of the puncture sites before and after disinfection of patients among the three groups(P>0.05).The ultrasound imaging clarity rate during puncture in the chlorhexidine alcohol group was significantly lower than those in the iodophor group and the chlorhexidine alcohol+iodophor group(P<0.05);while the rate of sticking up or shedding of application in the iodophor group 24 hours after puncture was significantly higher than those in the chlorhexidine alcohol group and the chlorhexidine alcohol+iodophor group(P<0.05).Conclusion Disinfecting the puncture area twice with chlorhexidine alcohol and then disinfecting the ultrasound exploration area once with iodophor can obtain satisfactory disinfection effect for patients undergoing ultrasound-guided subclavian vein puncture,with clearer ultrasound imaging and stronger adhesion of the application at the same time.
5.Correlation between the level of NT-proBNP and cardiorespiratory fitness of individuals following acute high altitude exposure
Ping-Ping LI ; Xiao-Wei YE ; Jie YANG ; Zhe-Xue QIN ; Shi-Zhu BIAN ; Ji-Hang ZHANG ; Xu-Bin GAO ; Meng-Jia SUN ; Zhen LIU ; Hai-Lin LYU ; Qian-Yu JIA ; Yuan-Qi YANG ; Bing-Jie YANG ; Lan HUANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(9):998-1003
Objective To investigate the correlation between the level of N-terminal pro-Brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP)and cardiorespiratory fitness following acute exposure to high altitude.Methods Forty-six subjects were recruited from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University in June 2022,including 19 males and 27 females.After completing cardiopulmonary exercise test(CPET),serological detection of myocardial cell-related markers,and multiple metabolites at a plain altitude(300 meters above sea level),all subjects flew to a high-altitude location(3900 meters above sea level).Biomarker testing and CPET were repeated on the second and third days after arrival at high altitude.Changes in serum biomarker and key CPET indicators before and after rapid ascent to high altitude were compared,and the correlation between serum levels of various myocardial cell-related markers and metabolites and high altitude cardiorespiratory fitness was analyzed.Results Compared with the plain altitude,there was a significant decrease in maximal oxygen uptake after rapid ascent to high altitude[(25.41±6.20)ml/(kg.min)vs.(30.17±5.01)ml/(kg.min),P<0.001].Serum levels of NT-proBNP,Epinephrine(E),plasma renin activity(PRA),angiotensin Ⅱ(Ang Ⅱ),angiotensin-converting enzyme 2(ACE2)and leptin(LEP)significantly increased,with all differences being statistically significant(P<0.05)after acute high altitude exposure.In contrast,no statistically significant differences were observed for creatine kinase MB(CK-MB),cardiac troponin I(cTnI),myoglobin(Myo)and norepinephrine(NE)(P>0.05).Correlation analysis showed a significant negative correlation between NT-proBNP at plain altitude(r=-0.768,P<0.001)and at high altitude(r=-0.791,P<0.001)with maximal oxygen uptake at high altitude.Multivariate linear regression analysis indicated that maximal oxygen uptake at plain altitude(t=2.069,P=0.045),NT-proBNP at plain altitude(t=-2.436,P=0.020)and at high altitude(t=-3.578,P=0.001)were independent influencing factors of cardiorespiratory fitness at high altitude.Conclusion Cardiorespiratory fitness significantly decreases after rapid ascent to high altitude,and the baseline NT-proBNP level at plain altitude is closely related to cardiorespiratory fitness at high altitude,making it a potential predictor indicator for high altitude cardiorespiratory fitness.
6.Electroacupuncture inhibiting LPS-induced chronic neuroinflammation by regulating the cortical NF-κB/NOD-like receptor protein 3 signaling pathway
Li-Juan WANG ; Ce GAO ; Zhi-Hong ZHAO ; Zhen HAI ; Wen-Hui LI ; Qiu-Qin HAN
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2024;55(5):547-555
Objective To observe the effect of electric stimulation on nuclear factor-κB(NF-κB)/NOD-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3)signaling pathway and microglial cell morphology in mice with lipopolysaccharide(LPS)induced chronic neuroinflammation,and to explore the protective mechanism of electric stimulation on brain of mice.Methods C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into blank control group(n=8),model group(n=12),sham electroacupuncture group(n=6)and electroacupuncture group(n=6).Except blank control group,mice in other groups were injected intraperitoneally with LPS(0.25 mg/kg)for 7 consecutive days.On the 8th day,mice in the sham electroacupuncture group and electroacupuncture group were treated with acupuncture or Zusanli electroacupuncture for 7 consecutive days.The mice were weighed before the experiment,on the 7th and 14th days.On the 13th day,the elevated cross maze test was performed on the mice.The open field test was performed on the 14th day.After the experiment,immunofluorescence assay was used to determine the expression of microglial ionized calcium binding adaptor molecule-1(Iba-1)in prefrontal cortex region.The mRNA expression of NF-κB,inducible nitric oxide synthase(iNOS),tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),Caspase-1 and interleukin(IL)-18 were detected by Real-time PCR.The protein expression levels of NF-κB,iNOS,NLRP3,apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a CARD(ASC),Caspase-1,IL-1βand IL-18 were detected by Western blotting.Results Weight change,On the 7th day,compared with the control group,the body weight of mice in model group,sham electroacupuncture group and electroacupuncture group decreased(P<0.0001),respectively;On the 14th day,compared with the control group,the weight of mice in the model group decreased(P<0.0001);Compared with the sham electroacupuncture group,the body weight of mice in the electroacupuncture group increased(P<0.05).Elevated cross maze experiment,compared with the control group,the total distance and open arm retention time of mice in model group decreased,while the closed arm retention time increased(P<0.05).The open field experiment showed that compared with the control group,the model group mice showed a decrease in total distance traveled,slower movement speed,and fewer entries into the central area(P<0.001);Compared with the model group,the electroacupuncture group showed an increase in all three indicators(P<0.01);Compared with the sham electroacupuncture group,the total distance and motion speed of mice in electroacupuncture group both increased(P<0.05).Immunofluorescence assay,compared with the control group,the relative fluorescence of Iba-1 in prefrontal cortex area of mice in model group increased(P<0.05).Compared with the model and sham electroacupuncture group,the relative fluorescence of Iba-1 in prefrontal cortex area of mice in electroacupuncture group decreased(P<0.05).Real-time PCR showed that compared with the control group,mRNA expressions of NF-κB,iNOS,TNF-α,Caspase-1 and IL-18 in the model group increased(P<0.05);Compared with the model group,mRNA expressions of NF-κB,iNOS,TNF-α,Caspase-1 and IL-18 in electroacupuncture group decreased(P<0.05).Western blotting indicated that compared with the control group,the protein expressions of NF-κB,iNOS,Caspase-1,IL-1β and IL-18 in model group increased(P<0.05);Compared with model group,the protein expressions of NF-κB,iNOS,NLRP3,ASC,Caspase-1,IL-1β and IL-18 in electroacupuncture group decreased(P<0.05);Compared with the sham electroacupuncture group,IL-18 protein in electroacupuncture group decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion Electroacupuncture can improve the behavioral performance of mice and inhibit the activation of microglia in the cortical region of mice,which may play an anti-inflammatory and protective role by regulating NF-κB/NLRP3 pathway.
7.Therapeutic effects of osthol on acute pancreatitis model rats
Hai-Yun GAO ; Li-Jing SHEN ; Hai-Rong LIU ; Xue-Zhen WANG ; Yi-Fei ZHANG ; Jia LI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(3):403-407
Objective To investigate the therapeutic effect of cnithol on acute pancreatitis(AP)rats and its regulatory mechanism on phosphoinositol 3-kinase(PI3K)/protein kinase B(Akt)signaling pathway.Methods SPF-grade SD male rats were randomly divided into control group,model group(50 μg·kg-1 hyranin+10 mg·kg-1 LPS),positive control group(2 mg·kg-1 dexamethasone),experimental-L group(20 mg·kg-1 osthol)and experimental-H group(40 mg·kg-1 osthol),experimental-H+740Y-P group(40 mg·kg-1 osthol+2 mg·kg-1 PI3K activator 740Y-P),15 mice in each group.The activities of amylase and lipase in serum of rats were detected by automatic biochemical analyzer 24 h after the last administration.The levels of inflammatory factors tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α)and interleukin-6(IL-6)in serum,the content of malondialdehyde(MDA)and the activity of superoxide dismutase(SOD)in pancreas were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).Hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining was used to observe the pathological changes of pancreatic tissue and score the pathological damage.Western blot was used to detect the expression of PI3K/Akt pathway related proteins in rat pancreas.Results The activities of serum amylase in control group,model group,positive control group,experimental-H group and experimental-H+740Y-P group were(135.67±12.89),(1 027.84±32.16),(174.31±15.27),(186.70±17.39)and(835.92±28.78)U·mL-1,respectively;the contents of TNF-α were(35.69±3.10),(223.54±15.23),(48.76±4.25),(52.31±4.68)and(208.46±13.65)pg·mL-1,respectively;the contents of MDA were(2.15±0.14),(6.37±0.42),(2.78±0.17),(2.81±0.15)and(5.96±0.36)nmol·mg-1,respectively;the histopathological injury scores were 1.12±0.07,10.23±0.38,3.14±0.21,3.25±0.23 and 9.68±0.40,respectively;p-PI3K/PI3K ratios were 0.82±0.05,1.96±0.15,1.07±0.06,1.10±0.07 and 1.69±0.14,respectively.The above indexes were compared with the control group in the model group,the positive control group,experimental-H group and the model group,and the above indexes of experimental-H+740Y-P group and experimental-H group,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).Conclusion Gossetin can play a therapeutic role in AP,and its mechanism may be related to the inhibition of PI3K/Akt signaling pathway.
8.Mechanism of Jiming Powder in ameliorating heart failure with preserved ejection fraction based on metabolomics.
Xiao-Qi WEI ; Xin-Yi FAN ; Hai-Yin PU ; Shuai LI ; Jia-Yang TANG ; Kuo GAO ; Fang-He LI ; Xue YU ; Shu-Zhen GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(17):4747-4760
In this study, untargeted metabolomics was conducted using the liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS) technique to analyze the potential biomarkers in the plasma of mice with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction(HFpEF) induced by a high-fat diet(HFD) and nitric oxide synthase inhibitor(Nω-nitro-L-arginine methyl ester hydrochloride, L-NAME) and explore the pharmacological effects and mechanism of Jiming Powder in improving HFpEF. Male C57BL/6N mice aged eight weeks were randomly assigned to a control group, a model group, an empagliflozin(10 mg·kg~(-1)·d~(-1)) group, and high-and low-dose Jiming Powder(14.3 and 7.15 g·kg~(-1)·d~(-1)) groups. Mice in the control group were fed on a low-fat diet, and mice in the model group and groups with drug intervention were fed on a high-fat diet. All mice had free access to water, with water in the model group and Jiming Powder groups being supplemented with L-NAME(0.5 g·L~(-1)). Drugs were administered on the first day of modeling, and 15 weeks later, blood pressure and cardiac function of the mice in each group were measured. Heart tissues were collected for hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining to observe pathological changes and Masson's staining to observe myocardial collagen deposition. Untargeted metabolomics analysis was performed on the plasma collected from mice in each group, and metabolic pathway analysis was conducted using MetaboAnalyst 5.0. The results showed that the blood pressure was significantly lower and the myocardial concentric hypertrophy and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction were significantly improved in both the high-dose and low-dose Jiming Powder groups as compared with those in the model group. HE and Masson staining showed that both high-dose and low-dose Jiming Powder significantly alleviated myocardial fibrosis. In the metabolomics experiment, 23 potential biomarkers were identified and eight strongly correlated metabolic pathways were enriched, including linoleic acid metabolism, histidine metabolism, alpha-linolenic acid metabolism, glycerophospholipid metabolism, purine metabolism, porphyrin and chlorophyll metabolism, arachidonic acid metabolism, and pyrimidine metabolism. The study confirmed the pharmacological effects of Jiming Powder in lowering blood pressure and ameliorating HFpEF and revealed the mechanism of Jiming Powder using the metabolomics technique, providing experimental evidence for the clinical application of Jiming Powder in treating HFpEF and a new perspective for advancing and developing TCM therapy for HFpEF.
Male
;
Mice
;
Animals
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Heart Failure/metabolism*
;
Powders
;
Stroke Volume/physiology*
;
Chromatography, Liquid
;
NG-Nitroarginine Methyl Ester/therapeutic use*
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry
;
Metabolomics
;
Biomarkers
;
Water
9.Effect and mechanism of Jiming Powder on myocardial fibrosis in mice with myocardial infarction.
Xin-Yi FAN ; Xiao-Qi WEI ; Yun-Yang ZHANG ; Hai-Yin PU ; Fang-He LI ; Kuo GAO ; Xue YU ; Shu-Zhen GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(21):5838-5850
Jiming Powder is a traditional ancient prescription with good therapeutic effect in the treatment of heart failure, but its mechanism lacks further exploration. In this study, a mouse model of coronary artery ligation was used to evaluate the effect and mechanism of Jiming Powder on myocardial fibrosis in mice with myocardial infarction. The study constructed a mouse model of heart failure after myocardial infarction using the method of left anterior descending coronary artery ligation. The efficacy of Jiming Powder was evaluated from multiple angles, including ultrasound imaging, hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining, Masson staining, Sirius Red staining, and serum myocardial enzyme spectrum detection. Western blot analysis was performed to detect key proteins involved in ventricular remodeling, including transforming growth factor-β1(TGF-β1), α-smooth muscle actin(α-SMA), wingless-type MMTV integration site family member 3a(Wnt3a), β-catenin, matrix metallopeptidase 2(MMP2), matrix metallopeptidase 3(MMP3), TIMP metallopeptidase inhibitor 1(TIMP1), and TIMP metallopeptidase inhibitor 2(TIMP2). The results showed that compared with the model group, the high and low-dose Jiming Powder significantly reduced the left ventricular internal diameter in systole(LVID;s) and diastole(LVID;d), increased the left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF) and left ventricular fractional shortening(LVFS), effectively improved cardiac function in mice after myocardial infarction, and effectively reduced the levels of myocardial injury markers such as creatine kinase(CK), creatine kinase isoenzyme(CK-MB), and lactic dehydrogenase(LDH), thus protecting ischemic myocardium. HE staining showed that Jiming Powder could attenuate myocardial inflammatory cell infiltration after myocardial infarction. Masson and Sirius Red staining demonstrated that Jiming Powder effectively inhibited myocardial fibrosis, reduced the collagen Ⅰ/Ⅲ ratio in myocardial tissues, and improved collagen remodeling after myocardial infarction. Western blot results showed that Jiming Powder reduced the expression of TGF-β1, α-SMA, Wnt3a, and β-catenin, decreased the levels of MMP2, MMP3, and TIMP2, and increased the level of TIMP1, suggesting its role in inhibiting cardiac fibroblast transformation, reducing extracellular matrix metabolism in myocardial cells, and lowering collagen Ⅰ and α-SMA content, thus exerting an anti-myocardial fibrosis effect after myocardial infarction. This study revealed the role of Jiming Powder in improving ventricular remodeling and treating myocardial infarction, laying the foundation for further research on the pharmacological effect of Jiming Powder.
Mice
;
Animals
;
Transforming Growth Factor beta1/metabolism*
;
Matrix Metalloproteinase 2/metabolism*
;
beta Catenin/metabolism*
;
Matrix Metalloproteinase 3/therapeutic use*
;
Powders
;
Ventricular Remodeling
;
Stroke Volume
;
Ventricular Function, Left
;
Myocardial Infarction/drug therapy*
;
Myocardium/pathology*
;
Heart Failure/metabolism*
;
Collagen/metabolism*
;
Creatine Kinase
;
Fibrosis
10.Development and validation of a score predicting mortality for older patients with mitral regurgitation.
De-Jing FENG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Bin ZHANG ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Wei-Wei WANG ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Zheng ZHOU ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Zi-Kai YU ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Jun-Xing LV ; Shuai GUO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(8):577-585
OBJECTIVE:
To develop and validate a user-friendly risk score for older mitral regurgitation (MR) patients, referred to as the Elder-MR score.
METHODS:
The China Senile Valvular Heart Disease (China-DVD) Cohort Study functioned as the development cohort, while the China Valvular Heart Disease (China-VHD) Study was employed for external validation. We included patients aged 60 years and above receiving medical treatment for moderate or severe MR (2274 patients in the development cohort and 1929 patients in the validation cohort). Candidate predictors were chosen using Cox's proportional hazards model and stepwise selection with Akaike's information criterion.
RESULTS:
Eight predictors were identified: age ≥ 75 years, body mass index < 20 kg/m2, NYHA class III/IV, secondary MR, anemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, albumin < 35 g/L, and left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%. The model displayed satisfactory performance in predicting one-year mortality in both the development cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.69-0.77, Brier score = 0.06) and the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.68-0.78, Brier score = 0.06). The Elder-MR score ranges from 0 to 15 points. At a one-year follow-up, each point increase in the Elder-MR score represents a 1.27-fold risk of death (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.34, P < 0.001) in the development cohort and a 1.24-fold risk of death (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.17-1.30, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Compared to EuroSCORE II, the Elder-MR score demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for one-year mortality in the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.71 vs. 0.70, net reclassification improvement = 0.320, P < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.029, P < 0.01).
CONCLUSIONS
The Elder-MR score may serve as an effective risk stratification tool to assist clinical decision-making in older MR patients.

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