Objective:To investigate the application of time series models in forecasting pre-hospital emergency ambulance trips in Handan City and develop the LPro ensemble model for improved prediction accuracy to support emergency resource allocation.Methods:Pre-hospital emergency data from Handan Emergency Medical Command Center (2019-2023) were retrospectively analyzed. From 324 799 original records, 289 949 valid records were included after cleaning. The training set (2019-2022: 215 918 records) included 35 527 records in 2019, 52 015 in 2020, 61 836 in 2021, and 66 540 in 2022. The validation set (2023) contained 74 031 records. ARIMA, linear trend seasonal, exponential smoothing, and Prophet models were fitted to the training set. The LPro ensemble model was constructed using MAPE-based weighting (linear trend seasonal model: 0.38, Prophet: 0.62). Performance metrics included MAPE, RMSE, MAE, and R 2. Results:Data showed annual growth (compound annual growth rate 23.27%) and seasonal patterns (October peaks, February troughs). Ambulance dispatches increased annually with monthly cyclical patterns. For 2023 validation predictions: ARIMA (MAPE 8.76%, RMSE 619, MAE 491, R 2 0.4563), linear trend seasonal (MAPE 9.83%, RMSE 671, MAE 545, R 2 0.3608), Prophet (MAPE 8.43%, RMSE 562, MAE 503, R 2 0.5513), exponential smoothing (MAPE 8.08%, RMSE 643, MAE 410, R 2 0.4124). LPro model showed superior performance (MAPE 7.05%, RMSE 491, MAE 393, R 2 0.6570), with 16.37% lower MAPE, 12.63% lower RMSE, 21.87% lower MAE, and 19.17% higher R 2 versus Prophet. Conclusion:The LPro ensemble model substantially enhances prediction accuracy and reliability, offering scientific support for emergency resource optimization and dispatch scheduling in Handan City.

Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever in Shenzhen City in 2024, so as to provide insights into formulation of the preventive and control measures for dengue fever. Methods The epidemiological data of dengue cases reported in Shenzhen City in 2024 were extracted from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System and field epidemiological survey data of dengue fever in Shenzhen City, and the temporal, regional and population distributions of dengue fever cases, source of acquire dengue virus infections, disease diagnosis and treatment and outbreaks were analyzed. The dengue virus nucleic acid was tested and the serotypes of dengue virus were characterized using real-time quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) assay, and the dengue virus gene was sequenced using next-generation sequencing (NGS). In addition, the surveillance on the density of Aedes albopictus was performed using Breteau index (BI) and mosquito oviposition index (MOI). Results A total of 1 735 dengue fever cases were reported in Shenzhen City in 2024, including 952 local cases and 783 imported cases. Most imported dengue fever cases acquired infections from eight cities of Foshan, Guangzhou, Zhongshan, Jiangmen, Dongguan, Zhaoqing, Huizhou, and Zhuhai in the Pearl River Delta region (664 cases, 84.8% of total imported cases) into Baoan, Longgang, and Nanshan districts. The epidemic exhibited an early onset and rapid progression, peaking during the period between September and November (1 632 cases, 94.1% of total cases), and dengue fever cases were distributed across 73 subdistricts in 10 districts, with most cases reported in densely populated central and western regions. The dengue fever cases had a male-to-female ratio of 1.9∶1.0, and a median age of 37 (21) years, with a higher median age among local cases than among imported cases [40 (20) years vs. 33(15) years; Z = -10.30, P < 0.05]. Housework, unemployment, workers, and business service were predominant occupations (1 405 cases, 81.0% of total cases), and there was a significant difference in the constituent ratio of occupations between local and imported cases (χ² = 92.30, P < 0.05). Among the 1 735 dengue fever cases, the median duration from onset to definitive diagnosis was 3.3 (2.9) days, and 1 686 cases (97.2%) were identified in healthcare facilities, with a low rate of hospitalization and isolation seen in 1 701 inpatients with available epidemiological data (485 cases, 28.5% of total inpatients). A total of 29 outbreaks of dengue fever occurred in Shenzhen City across 2024, which primarily in construction sites (27 outbreaks, 93.1% of total). Dengue virus type I was the dominant serotype causing dengue fever in Shenzhen City in 2024. Sequencing showed that the genomes of dengue virus from multiple dengue fever cases in Shenzhen City shared a high sequence homology with those from cities neighboring Shenzhen City, and there might be intra-city transmission of dengue virus among multiple construction sites in Shenzhen City. The Aedes albopictus density was significantly higher in Shenzhen City in 2024 than in 2023, peaking from May to September. The annual MOI values ranged from 0.9 to 14.0, and the BI values ranged from 0.6 to 6.0. Conclusions The overall epidemic of dengue fever was severe in Shenzhen City in 2024, which was greatly affected by case importation from neighboring cities, construction sites-centered local transmission, and the effectives of routine mosquito vector control was not satisfactory. Integrated dengue fever control measures should be implemented, focusing on regional joint prevention and control mechanisms, capacity building for mosquito vector control, addressing challenges in epidemic containment at construction sites, and strengthening case detection and management systems.

This consensus will introduce the characteristics of fillers used in the surgical cavities of domestic nasal surgery patients based on relevant literature and expert opinions. It will also provide recommendations for the selection of cavity fillers for different nasal diseases, with chronic sinusitis as a representative example.
Humans ; Nasal Cavity/surgery* ; Nasal Surgical Procedures ; China ; Consensus ; Sinusitis/surgery* ; Dermal Fillers

OBJECTIVE: Observational studies have shown inconsistent associations of loneliness or social isolation (SI) with ischemic heart disease (IHD), with unknown mediators. METHODS: Using data from genome-wide association studies of predominantly European ancestry, we performed a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) study to estimate causal effects of loneliness ( N = 487,647) and SI traits on IHD ( N = 184,305). SI traits included whether individuals lived alone, participated in various types of social activities, and how often they had contact with friends or family ( N = 459,830 to 461,369). A network MR study was conducted to evaluate the mediating roles of 20 candidate mediators, including metabolic, behavioral and psychological factors. RESULTS: Loneliness increased IHD risk ( OR= 2.129; 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.380 to 3.285), mediated by body fat percentage, waist-hip ratio, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. For SI traits, only fewer social activities increased IHD risk ( OR= 1.815; 95% CI: 1.189 to 2.772), mediated by hypertension, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, fasting insulin, and smoking cessation. No reverse causality of IHD with loneliness and SI was found. CONCLUSION These findings suggested more attention should be paid to individuals who feel lonely and have fewer social activities to prevent IHD, with several mediators as prioritized targets for intervention.
Loneliness/psychology* ; Humans ; Mendelian Randomization Analysis ; Social Isolation ; Myocardial Ischemia/etiology* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Risk Factors ; Aged

Occult hepatitis B virus(HBV)infection(OBI)represents a potential reservoir for HBV transmission,capable of spreading through routes such as blood transfusion.Additionally,OBI can con-tribute to the chronic progression of hepatitis B-related diseases,sustaining a state of chronic HBV infec-tion.In individuals with compromised immune function or undergoing immunosuppressive therapy,OBI may lead to HBV re-activation,potentially triggering severe liver conditions such as acute hepatitis or liv-er failure.As a result,OBI poses a significant public health challenge,profoundly impacting the health and well-being of affected populations and complicating HBV infection control efforts in China.Clinically diagnosing OBI remains challenging,but its hallmark is serum hepatitis B surface antigen negative and the presence of HBV covalently closed circular DNA(cccDNA)in the liver.With the increasing focus on achieving functional cure for chronic hepatitis B,both domestic and international guidelines have re-fined functional cure.Notably,these guidelines acknowledge that cccDNA may persist in the liver tissue of individuals who have achieved functional cure,suggesting resemblance of an occult infection state.Here,we provide a comprehensive overview of OBI,including its definition,classification,public health implications,underlying mechanisms,and clinical reactivation.By updating the understanding of OBI,we aim to raise awareness among clinicians and public health professionals regarding the significance of OBI in the current context and encourage greater attention to this population.

Hospital pharmacy research is significant in enhancing the level of rational drug use,improving the quality of pharmacy services,and promoting the improvement of drug treatment effects.To guarantee the standardization of hospital pharmacy research,the compilation team of"Hospital Pharmacy Research Standards"adheres to the principles of scientificity,universality,guidance,and operability,combs through the key management contents from three aspects,namely,relevant national policy docu-ments,relevant domestic and international standards and norms,and literature analysis,combines with the actual working condition of hospital pharmacy research,and formulates the standards after several rounds of opinion collection and expert argumentation.This paper analyzes the key contents of the standard,including basic requirements,research process management,and research re-sults management,to provide guidance and reference for hospital pharmacy researchers to understand the standard in-depth and further improve the standardization of hospital pharmacy research.

Drug quality problems seriously threaten the life and health of patients,drug quality problems handling is an important part of pharmaceutical management in medical institutions,and strengthening the management of drug quality problems in medical institutions can provide a strong guarantee for drug safety of patients.This standard was compiled by the Pharmaceutical Affairs Commission of the Chinese Hospital Association,and the process included problems identification,framework development,manuscript writing,opinions gathering,expert argumentation and deliberation,and standards development.The standard regulates the basic requirements,coping strategies,quality control and continuous improvement of drug quality problems handling in medical institutions.This article elaborates on the methods and contents of formulating standards for drug quality problems handling,to pro-vide reference and inspiration for medical institutions to carry out drug quality problems handling.

In the mid-20th century,internal mammary artery(IMA)ligation attracted attention for improving myocardial ischemia survival and relieving angina symptoms in animals,but was eliminated after sham-operation trials confirmed that its efficacy stemmed from a placebo effect.Recent advances in interventional techniques have led to the revival of distal IMA blockade,which has been shown to improve myocardial perfusion by modulating collateral circulation.Randomized controlled trials further showed that angina relief was significantly better in the blockade group than in the sham-operated group,especially in right coronary artery(RCA)and left anterior descending(LAD)lesions,but not in the ileocecal branch due to the lack of IMA collateral connections.Anatomy suggests that the internal mammary artery forms a natural collateral pathway to the RCA/LAD via the pericardial phrenic artery,which is the anatomic basis for its efficacy.Current technical limitations include incomplete occlusion,device-related complications,and insufficient evidence of long-term prognosis.Future studies are needed to optimize the design of occlusion devices,explore combined therapeutic strategies,and conduct controlled studies with conventional revascularization techniques.In this review,we systematically review the 100-year evolution of IMA occlusion,the paradigm shift from surgical ligation to precision intervention,analyze its anatomical and hemodynamic mechanisms,integrate evidence-based evidence and propose screening criteria for indications,and provide a new pathway for individualized treatment of high-risk patients who cannot tolerate coronary artery bypass grafting/percutaneous coronary intervention.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of"Shibao Decoction"in the management of late-onset hypogonadism(LOH)caused by deficiency of kidney essence.Methods:Sixty male patients with late-onset hypogonadism of kidney essence defi-ciency type were randomly assigned to the treatment group and the control group,each with 30 cases.The patients in treatment group were treated with oral Shibao Decoction,while the control group was treated with oral Testosterone Undecanoate Capsules.The patients in both groups were treated for 12 weeks.The PADAM symptom score,TCM syndrome score,serum total testosterone(TT),serum free testosterone(FT),sex hormone binding globulin(SHBG),body mass index(BMI),total skeletal muscle mass index(SMI),appendicular skeletal muscle mass index(ASMI),FBG,FINS,and insulin resistance index(HOMA-IR)levels were compared be-tween the two groups.Results:After treatment,PADAM scores for each item and TCM symptoms score decreased,TT and FT in-creased in both groups,all with statistically significant differences from those of pre-treatment(P＜0.05).The level of SHBG in the control group decreased(P＜0.05),which had not changed significantly in the treatment group(P＞0.05).After treatment,SMI and ASMI increased in both groups significantly(P＜0.05).BMI decreased in the control group(P＜0.05),which had not changed significantly in the treatment group(P＞0.05).The level of FINS decreased in the control group(P＜0.05),which had not changed significantly in the treatment group(P＞0.05).FPG had not changed significantly in both groups(P＞0.05),and the insulin resist-ance index(HOMA-IR)had significantly improved in both groups,all with statistically significant differences from those of pre-treat-ment(P＜0.05).After treatment,the total effective rates of PADAM score and TCM syndrome score in the treatment group were 73.3％and 86.6％respectively,and the total effective rates in the control group were 66.7％and 76.6％respectively.The total ef-fective rates of the two scores in the treatment group were slightly higher than those in the control group(P＞0.05).There was no sig-nificant difference in the indicators between the two groups after treatment,and the treatment group is generally comparable with the control group in the therapeutic effects(P＞0.05).And no adverse reactions occurred during treatment in both groups.Conclu-sion:The"Shibao Decoction"has a remarkable therapeutic effect on late-onset hypogonadism caused by deficiency of kidney essence and has good safety.It can be used as an alternative to testosterone undecanoate and is worthy of clinical promotion and application.

Pulmonary nodules(PNs),a critical imaging indicator for early lung cancer screening,require deeper mechanistic explo-ration of their malignant transformation.Current Western medicine strategies—primarily surveillance—suffer from delayed interven-tion,while traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)theories(e.g.,"phlegm-blood stasis binding")inadequately explain the dynamic pro-gression of malignancy.Integrating You Yi's theory of"where there is mass hardness,there must be latent yang"with modern research on PN malignant transformation,this study proposes a novel pathogenic mechanism of"latent yang as cause,mass hardness as effect":Depressed latent yang drives pro-tumorigenic microenvironments(e.g.,immunosuppression,hypoxic stress,chronic inflammation),leading to the coagulation of phlegm,stasis,fire,and toxins into cancer toxin.Based on this framework,a core therapeutic principle of"dispersing latent yang and intercepting malignant transition in stages"was established,providing a new paradigm for TCM-based early intervention against PN malignancy.