1.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
2.Heterogeneity of Wnt1-Cre-marked and Pax2-Cre-marked first branchial arch cranial neural crest cells in mice
Jue XU ; Shuang LIU ; Honggao FU ; Meiying SHAO ; Meiling CHEN ; Zhen HUANG
West China Journal of Stomatology 2024;42(4):435-443
Objective This study aimed to explore the heterogeneity and gene ontology of Wnt1-Cre-marked and Pax2-Cre-marked first branchial arch cranial neural crest cells(CNCs)in mice.Methods The embryos of Wnt1-Cre;R26RmTmG and Pax2-Cre;R26RmTmG at embryonic day(E)8.0-E9.25 were collected for histological observation.We per-formed immunostaining to compare green fluorescent pro-tein(GFP)-positive CNCs in Pax2-Cre;R26RAi9 and Wnt1-Cre;R26RAi9 mice at E15.5.Single-cell RNA sequencing(scRNA-seq)was used to analyze the first branchial arch GFP-positive CNCs from Wnt1-Cre;R26RmTmG and Pax2-cre;R26RmTmGmice at E10.5.Real time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction(q-PCR)was performed to val-idate the differential genes.Results Wnt1-Cre-marked and Pax2-Cre-marked CNCs migrated from the neural plateto first and second branchial arches and to the first branchial arch,respectively,at E8.0.Although Wnt1-Cre-marked and Pax2-Cre-marked CNCs were found mostly in cranial-facial tissues,the former had higher expression in palate and tongue.The results of scRNA-seq showed that Pax2-Cre-marked CNCs specifically contributed to osteoblast differentia-tion and ossification,while Wnt1-Cre-marked CNCs participated in limb development,cell migration,and ossification.The q-PCR data also confirmed the results of gene ontology analysis.Conclusion Pax2-Cre mice are perfect experimen-tal animal models for research on first branchial arch CNCs and derivatives in osteoblast differentiation and ossification.
3.Short-course radiotherapy combined with CAPOX and PD-1 inhibitor for the total neoadjuvant therapy of locally advanced rectal cancer: the preliminary single-center findings of a prospective, multicentre, randomized phase II trial (TORCH).
Ya Qi WANG ; Li Jun SHEN ; Jue Feng WAN ; Hui ZHANG ; Yan WANG ; Xian WU ; Jing Wen WANG ; Ren Jie WANG ; Yi Qun SUN ; Tong TONG ; Dan HUANG ; Lei WANG ; Wei Qi SHENG ; Xun ZHANG ; Guo Xiang CAI ; Ye XU ; San Jun CAI ; Zhen ZHANG ; Fan XIA
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2023;26(5):448-458
Objective: Total neoadjuvant therapy has been used to improve tumor responses and prevent distant metastases in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Patients with complete clinical responses (cCR) then have the option of choosing a watch and wait (W&W) strategy and organ preservation. It has recently been shown that hypofractionated radiotherapy has better synergistic effects with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors than does conventionally fractionated radiotherapy, increasing the sensitivity of microsatellite stable (MSS) colorectal cancer to immunotherapy. Thus, in this trial we aimed to determine whether total neoadjuvant therapy comprising short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) combined with a PD-1 inhibitor improves the degree of tumor regression in patients with LARC. Methods: TORCH is a prospective, multicenter, randomized, phase II trial (TORCH Registration No. NCT04518280). Patients with LARC (T3-4/N+M0, distance from anus ≤10 cm) are eligible and are randomly assigned to consolidation or induction arms. Those in the consolidation arm receive SCRT (25Gy/5 Fx), followed by six cycles of toripalimab plus capecitabine and oxaliplatin (ToriCAPOX). Those in the induction arm receive two cycles of ToriCAPOX, then undergo SCRT, followed by four cycles of ToriCAPOX. Patients in both groups undergo total mesorectal excision (TME) or can choose a W&W strategy if cCR has been achieved. The primary endpoint is the complete response rate (CR, pathological complete response [pCR] plus continuous cCR for more than 1 year). The secondary endpoints include rates of Grade 3-4 acute adverse effects (AEs) etc. Results: Up to 30 September 2022, 62 patients attending our center were enrolled (Consolidation arm: 34, Induction arm:28). Their median age was 53 (27-69) years. Fifty-nine of them had MSS/pMMR type cancer (95.2%), and only three MSI-H/dMMR. Additionally, 55 patients (88.7%) had Stage III disease. The following important characteristics were distributed as follows: lower location (≤5 cm from anus, 48/62, 77.4%), deeper invasion by primary lesion (cT4 7/62, 11.3%; mesorectal fascia involved 17/62, 27.4%), and high risk of distant metastasis (cN2 26/62, 41.9%; EMVI+ 11/62, 17.7%). All 62 patients completed the SCRT and at least five cycles of ToriCAPOX, 52/62 (83.9%) completing six cycles of ToriCAPOX. Finally, 29 patients achieved cCR (46.8%, 29/62), 18 of whom decided to adopt a W&W strategy. TME was performed on 32 patients. Pathological examination showed 18 had achieved pCR, four TRG 1, and 10 TRG 2-3. The three patients with MSI-H disease all achieved cCR. One of these patients was found to have pCR after surgery whereas the other two adopted a W&W strategy. Thus, the pCR and CR rates were 56.2% (18/32) and 58.1% (36/62), respectively. The TRG 0-1 rate was 68.8% (22/32). The most common non-hematologic AEs were poor appetite (49/60, 81.7%), numbness (49/60, 81.7%), nausea (47/60, 78.3%) and asthenia (43/60, 71.7%); two patients did not complete this survey. The most common hematologic AEs were thrombocytopenia (48/62, 77.4%), anemia (47/62, 75.8%), leukopenia/neutropenia (44/62, 71.0%) and high transaminase (39/62, 62.9%). The main Grade III-IV AE was thrombocytopenia (22/62, 35.5%), with three patients (3/62, 4.8%) having Grade IV thrombocytopenia. No Grade V AEs were noted. Conclusions: SCRT-based total neoadjuvant therapy combined with toripalimab can achieve a surprisingly good CR rate in patients with LARC and thus has the potential to offer new treatment options for organ preservation in patients with MSS and lower-location rectal cancer. Meanwhile, the preliminary findings of a single center show good tolerability, the main Grade III-IV AE being thrombocytopenia. The significant efficacy and long-term prognostic benefit need to be determined by further follow-up.
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
;
Chemoradiotherapy
;
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Neoadjuvant Therapy
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rectal Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Thrombocytopenia/drug therapy*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Adult
;
Aged
4.Electromyographic signals and the starting threshold voltage of orbicularis oris muscle in healthy rhesus monkeys.
Jue Bo YU ; Tian Zhen ZHANG ; Dong Yue XU ; Ke Yong LI
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2023;58(4):368-373
Objective: To investigate the characteristics of electromyography (EMG) signals and the starting threshold voltages of the orbicularis oris muscles (OOM) in healthy rhesus monkeys under different muscle movement conditions. Methods: The EMG signals and the starting threshold voltages at different time points in 4 healthy rhesus monkeys were acquired and recorded with EMG device and evoked potentiometer. The voltage amplitude variation of EMG signals was analyzed, and the voltage amplitude range of EMG signals at the beginning of OOM contraction was established. The data were statistically analyzed by one-way ANOVA. Results: The EMG of OOM in healthy monkeys in the quiet, natural and continuous mouth-closed state was linear and relatively stable, and the absolute value fluctuated between 15 and 50 μV. The EMG waveform increased rapidly during the natural lip contraction movement, and its amplitude fluctuated greatly, with the highest absolute value of the peak value reaching hundreds of microvolts. The amplitude of EMG induced by continuous mouth closure was more than thousands of microvolts. There was no significant difference in EMG amplitudes of OOM in the healthy rhesus monkey under quiet and continuous lip closure at different time points (P>0.05). There was no significant difference in threshold voltages in the state of natural lip contraction of bilateral OOM at different time points (average range: 57.17-57.47 μV) in the healthy rhesus monkeys (P>0.05). There was no significant difference in threshold voltages of OOM induced by bilateral OOM at different time points(average range: 55.38-55.99 μV) in the healthy rhesus monkeys(P>0.05). There were significant differences in the absolute values of EMG amplitudes of OOM between the three lip movement modes: (30.67±8.72) μV in quiet and natural continuous lip closure (475.12±54.72) μV in natural lip contraction, and (921.22±312.79) μV in the induced persistent lip closure, with t values of -8.48, -9.35 and -5.01 respectively, all P<0.001. Conclusions: The EMG signals of OOM show different characteristics under different muscle movement conditions, which can be used as a basis for computer to judge and recognize the movement conditions of OOM. The upper limits of the EMG threshold voltage values of OOM under different motion states are 55-60 μV.
Animals
;
Lip
;
Macaca mulatta
;
Facial Muscles
;
Electromyography
5.Clinical study of central nervous system complications associated with hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Tonglin HU ; Zhen SHANG ; Yang CAO ; Yicheng ZHANG ; Fankai MENG ; Yang YANG ; Jue WANG ; Donghua ZHANG ; Linjing LAI ; Shan LIU ; Hangping GE ; Yi XIAO
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2023;44(11):675-681
Objective:To explore the risk factors and outcomes of central nervous system(CNS)complications associated with hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(HSCT).Methods:A total of 550 recipient after HSCT in the department of hematology of Tongji Hospital affiliated to Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 1 2019 to August 31 2021were enrolled.According to the occurrence of CNS complications, they were divided into the CNS group(24 cases)and the non CNS group(526 cases). The clinical information and prognosis were compared.We further analyzed the risk factors associated with CNS complications, and conducted multivariate logistic regression on statistically significant indicators.Cox regression analysis is conducted on prognostic factors such as age, gender and risk degree.Results:A total of 550 recipients were enrolled, of which 330 underwent allo-HSCT, and others received auto-HSCT.A total of 24 cases (4.36%)had CNS complications, of which 4 cases had 2 types of CNS complications.The type of CNS complications included intracranial infection(8 cases, 28.57%), transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy(TA-TMA)(6 cases, 21.43%), central tumor invasion(4 cases, 14.29%), intracranial hemorrhage(4 cases, 14.29%), leucodystrophy(2 cases, 7.14%)and unexplained encephalopathy(4 cases, 14.29%). Logistic regression analysis of risk factors related to CNS complications showed that, Platelet implantation time( β=0.084, OR=1.088, P=0.048), CMV infection( β=1.295, OR=3.65, P=0.008)is positively correlated with the occurrence of CNS complications in HSCT recipients but age( β=-0.052, OR=0.949, P=0.004)is negatively correlated with it.Nine of the 24 cases(37.50%)who experienced CNS complications died, including 3 cases of intracranial infection, 3 cases of cerebral hemorrhage, 2 cases of TMA, and 1 case of unexplained encephalopathy.Platelet implantation time is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of CNS complications in HSCT recipients. Conclusions:Our results indicated that, age, CMV infection and platelet implantation time were associated with the occurrence of CNS complications after HSCT.Platelet implantation time is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of CNS complications in HSCT recipients.
6.Clinical observation of contralateral needling plus tendon-bone balancing Tuina for scapulohumeral periarthritis
Yangyang AN ; Xu ZHOU ; Zhen LI ; Hongmin MA ; Guochuan YE ; Jue HONG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2023;21(5):375-382
Objective:To observe the clinical efficacy of combining contralateral needling and tendon-bone balancing Tuina(Chinese therapeutic massage)in treating scapulohumeral periarthritis(SP). Methods:Sixty-eight eligible participants were chosen and randomized into an acupuncture group and an acupuncture plus Tuina group,with 34 cases in each group.The acupuncture group received treatment with contralateral needling,and the acupuncture plus Tuina group was treated with contralateral needling combined with tendon-bone balancing Tuina.The post-treatment changes in the Constant-Murley score for comprehensive shoulder function,visual analog scale(VAS)score for pain,and shoulder range of motion(ROM)score were compared after 2 treatment courses to estimate the clinical efficacy in the two groups. Results:After treatment,the total effective rate was 96.7%in the acupuncture plus Tuina group versus 83.9%in the acupuncture group,showing a significant difference between the two groups(P<0.05).The Constant-Murley shoulder function score increased in the acupuncture plus Tuina group after the intervention;a decreased VAS pain score and an increased shoulder ROM score were found in both groups.After 1 and 2 treatment courses,the between-group comparisons of the Constant-Murley and shoulder ROM scores showed statistical significance(P<0.05).Regarding the VAS score,the acupuncture plus Tuina group was lower than the acupuncture group after the first treatment course(P<0.05),but there was no significant difference between the two groups after 2 treatment courses(P>0.05). Conclusion:Contralateral needling plus tendon-bone balancing Tuina can produce more significant clinical efficacy and relieve pain faster than contralateral needling alone in treating SP.
7.Clinical benefits of a modified Cryopiece system for cryopreservation of rare ejaculated and testicular spermatozoa for ICSI.
Wei CHEN ; Chuan HUANG ; Peng LI ; Feng LIU ; Jian SUN ; Zi-Jue ZHU ; Jing ZHAI ; Yuan XU ; Yan HONG ; Jian-Lin HU ; Yun-Peng PENG ; Zhen-Bo ZHANG ; Yu WU ; Zheng LI
Asian Journal of Andrology 2022;24(5):533-539
Cryopreservation of rare testicular-retrieved spermatozoa for intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) in patients with severe oligozoospermia and azoospermia remains a major challenge in clinical practice. This study evaluated the Cryopiece system as a potential technique to cryopreserve rare human spermatozoa for ICSI. Small numbers of ejaculated (24 patients) and testicular (13 patients) spermatozoa were cryopreserved using the Cryopiece system. The total number of recovered spermatozoa and motility were assessed after thawing. Thirty-seven couples underwent ICSI using spermatozoa cryopreserved by the Cryopiece system, and ICSI outcomes (rates of fertilization, embryo cleavage, and clinical pregnancy) were evaluated. The average sperm post-thaw retrieval rate was 79.1%, and motility was 29.7%. Ejaculated spermatozoa had a higher post-thaw motility (32.5%) than testicular spermatozoa (21.8%; P = 0.005). ICSI achieved a fertilization rate of 61.9%, embryo cleavage rate of 84.6%, and clinical pregnancy rate of 43.3%. The ICSI outcomes in the ejaculated and testicular frozen-thawed spermatozoa were similar. Assisted oocyte activation (AOA) after ICSI with motile (72.1%) or immotile (71.9%) spermatozoa resulted in a significantly higher fertilization rate than that when using motile spermatozoa without AOA (52.0%; P = 0.005). However, AOA did not enhance the clinical pregnancy rate (55.6% or 40.0% vs 35.3%; P = 0.703). The Cryopiece system is simple and useful for the cryopreservation of small numbers of ejaculated or testicular spermatozoa for ICSI in patients with severe oligozoospermia or nonobstructive azoospermia.
Azoospermia
;
Cryopreservation
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Oligospermia
;
Pregnancy
;
Pregnancy Rate
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Semen
;
Sperm Injections, Intracytoplasmic
;
Sperm Motility
;
Spermatozoa
;
Testis
8.Novel mutation in ODF2 causes multiple morphological abnormalities of the sperm flagella in an infertile male.
Zi-Jue ZHU ; Yi-Zhou WANG ; Xiao-Bo WANG ; Chen-Cheng YAO ; Liang-Yu ZHAO ; Zhen-Bo ZHANG ; Yu WU ; Wei CHEN ; Zheng LI
Asian Journal of Andrology 2022;24(5):463-472
Numerous genes have been associated with multiple morphological abnormalities of the sperm flagella (MMAF), which cause severe asthenozoospermia and lead to male infertility, while the causes of approximately 50% of MMAF cases remain unclear. To reveal the genetic causes of MMAF in an infertile patient, whole-exome sequencing was performed to screen for pathogenic genes, and electron microscope was used to reveal the sperm flagellar ultrastructure. A novel heterozygous missense mutation in the outer dense fiber protein 2 (ODF2) gene was detected, which was inherited from the patient's mother and predicted to be potentially damaging. Transmission electron microscopy revealed that the outer dense fibers were defective in the patient's sperm tail, which was similar to that of the reported heterozygous Odf2 mutation mouse. Immunostaining of ODF2 showed severe ODF2 expression defects in the patient's sperm. Therefore, it was concluded that the heterozygous mutation in ODF2 caused MMAF in this case. To evaluate the possibility of assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment for this patient, intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) was performed, with the help of a hypo-osmotic swelling test and laser-assisted immotile sperm selection (LAISS) for available sperm screening, and artificial oocyte activation with ionomycin was applied to improve the fertilization rate. Four ICSI cycles were performed, and live birth was achieved in the LAISS-applied cycle, suggesting that LAISS would be valuable in ART treatment for MMAF.
Abnormalities, Multiple
;
Animals
;
Flagella
;
Heat-Shock Proteins
;
Humans
;
Infertility, Male
;
Male
;
Mice
;
Mutation
;
Semen
;
Sperm Tail
;
Spermatozoa
9.Establishment of a predictive nomogram model for predicting the death of very preterm infants during hospitalization.
Zhen-Zhen JUE ; Juan SONG ; Zhu-Ye ZHOU ; Wen-Dong LI ; Yu-Yang YUE ; Fa-Lin XU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2022;24(6):654-661
OBJECTIVES:
To establish a nomogram model for predicting the risk of death of very preterm infants during hospitalization.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was performed on the medical data of 1 714 very preterm infants who were admitted to the Department of Neonatology, the Third Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, from January 2015 to December 2019. These infants were randomly divided into a training cohort (1 179 infants) and a validation cohort (535 infants) at a ratio of 7∶3. The logistic regression analysis was used to screen out independent predictive factors and establish a nomogram model, and the feasibility of the nomogram model was assessed by the validation set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the discriminatory ability, accuracy, and clinical applicability of the model.
RESULTS:
Among the 1 714 very preterm infants, 260 died and 1 454 survived during hospitalization. By the multivariate logistic regression analysis of the training set, 8 variables including gestational age <28 weeks, birth weight <1 000 g, severe asphyxia, severe intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), grade III-IV respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), and sepsis, cesarean section, and use of prenatal glucocorticoids were selected and a nomogram model for predicting the risk of death during hospitalization was established. In the training cohort, the nomogram model had an AUC of 0.790 (95%CI: 0.751-0.828) in predicting the death of very preterm infants during hospitalization, while in the validation cohort, it had an AUC of 0.808 (95%CI: 0.754-0.861). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed a good fit (P>0.05). DCA results showed a high net benefit of clinical intervention in very preterm infants when the threshold probability was 10%-60% for the training cohort and 10%-70% for the validation cohort.
CONCLUSIONS
A nomogram model for predicting the risk of death during hospitalization has been established and validated in very preterm infants, which can help clinicians predict the probability of death during hospitalization in these infants.
Cesarean Section
;
Female
;
Fetal Growth Retardation
;
Hospitalization
;
Humans
;
Infant
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Premature
;
Infant, Premature, Diseases
;
Nomograms
;
Pregnancy
;
Retrospective Studies
10.A model for predicting the probability of poor outcome at 3 months after intravenous thrombolysis for elderly patients with acute cerebral infarction
Wei XU ; Huiping LI ; Zhen WANG ; Guohua HE ; Jue HU ; Kangping SONG ; Yangping TONG ; Fangyi LI ; Hongquan GUO ; Xinfeng LIU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2022;41(11):1303-1309
Objective:To explore independent predictors for poor outcome at 3 months in elderly patients with acute cerebral infarction(ACI)treated with intravenous thrombolysis(IVT), and to develop a nomogram-based predictive model.Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study.Clinical, laboratory and imaging data of 346 elderly patients with ACI treated with IVT from January 2016 to April 2021 in our hospital were collected.Poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale(mRS)score >2 at 3 months after the stroke.Logistic regression analysis was used to screen for independent factors predicting poor outcome in elderly ACI patients treated with IVT, and a corresponding nomogram model was developed using the R software.The ROC curve, calibration plots and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate discrimination, calibration and clinical application value of the nomogram model.Results:Among 346 candidates, 109 developed a poor outcome, representing a rate of 31.5%.Logistic regression analysis showed that symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation( OR=15.647, 95% CI: 8.913-27.454), stroke severity(moderate stroke, OR=3.322, 95% CI: 1.414-7.811; moderate-severe stroke, OR=8.169, 95% CI: 4.102-16.258; severe stroke, OR=9.653, 95% CI: 5.440-17.121), stroke-associated pneumonia( OR=2.239, 95% CI: 1.134-4.420), and heart failure( OR=2.758, 95% CI: 1.424-5.336)were independent predictors for poor outcome at 3 months in elderly ACI patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis(all P<0.05). With the area under curve(AUC-ROC)value at 0.85(95% CI: 0.80-0.89), the nomogram model, which was composed of the above four predictors, demonstrated good discrimination.On the calibration plot, the mean absolute error was 0.020, indicating that the model had good calibration.Decision curve analysis revealed that the model had good clinical application value. Conclusions:The nomogram model composed of symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation, stroke severity, stroke-associated pneumonia and heart failure may predict poor outcome at 3 months in elderly ACI patients treated with IVT, with high prediction accuracy and high clinical application value.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail