1.Short-term results of a multicenter study based on a modified N7 induction regimen combined with arsenic trioxide in the treatment of children with high-risk neuroblastoma
Shu YANG ; Kailan CHEN ; Yunyan HE ; Xiaomin PENG ; Hao XIONG ; Wenguang JIA ; Sha WU ; Xunqi JI ; Yuwen CHEN ; Chuan TIAN ; Zhonglü YE ; Zhen YANG ; Jianjun ZHU ; Aiguo LIU ; Xiaohua TIAN ; Fengjuan PAN ; Ke HUANG ; Dunhua ZHOU ; Jianpei FANG ; Yang LI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(10):949-955
Objective:To analyze the short-term clinical efficacy and safety of arsenic trioxide (ATO) combined with a modified N7 induction regimen in the treatment of children with high-risk neuroblastoma (NB).Methods:This study was a prospective, single-arm, multicenter phase Ⅱ clinical study. Sixty-seven high-risk NB children from eight units of Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Wuhan Children′s Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Kunming Children′s Hospital, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and Guangdong Provincial Agricultural Reclamation Center Hospital were enrolled from January 2019 to August 2023 and were treated with ATO combined with a modified N7 induction regimen. The efficacy and adverse effects at the end of induction chemotherapy were assessed and analyzed, and the differences in the clinical characteristics were further compared between the treatment-responsive and treatment-unresponsive groups by using the Fisher′s exact test.Results:Among 67 high-risk NB children, there were 40 males (60%) and 27 females (40%), with the age of disease onset of 3.5 (2.6, 4.8) years. Primary NB sites were mostly in retroperitoneum (including adrenal gland) (56/67, 84%) and the common metastases sites at initial diagnosis were distant lymph node in 25 cases (37%),bone in 48 cases (72%),bone marrow in 56 cases (84%) and intracalvarium in 3 cases (4%). MYCN gene amplification were detected in 28 cases (42%). At the end of induction, 33 cases (49%) achieved complete remission, 29 cases (43%) achieved partial remission, 1 case (1%) with stable disease, and 4 cases (6%) were assessed as progressive disease (PD). The objective remission rate was 93% (62/67) and the disease control rate was 94% (63/67). The percentage of central system metastases at the initial diagnosis was higher in the treatment-unresponsive group than in the treatment-responsive group (2/5 vs. 2% (1/62), P=0.013), whereas the difference in MYCN gene amplification was not statistically significant between two groups (3/5 vs.40% (25/62), P=0.786). Grade Ⅲ or higher adverse reactions during the induction chemotherapy period were myelosuppression occurred in 60 cases (90%), gastrointestinal symptoms occurred in 33 cases (49%), infections occurred in 20 cases (30%), hepatotoxicity occurred in 4 cases (6%), and cardiovascular toxicity occurred in 1 case (2%). There were no chemotherapy-related deaths. Conclusion:ATO combined with N7-modified induction regimen had a superiority in efficacy and safety, which deserved further promotion in clinical practice.
2.Circular RNAs Involved in The Development of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma
Si-Cheng ZUO ; Dan WANG ; Yong-Zhen MO ; Yu-Hang LIU ; Jiao-Di CAI ; Can GUO ; Fang XIONG ; Guo-Qun CHEN
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(4):809-821
Circular RNAs (circRNAs) are a kind of non-coding RNA (ncRNA) with covalent closed-loop structure. They have attracted more and more attention because of their high stability, evolutionary conservatism, and tissue expression specificity. It has shown that circRNAs are involved in the development of a variety of diseases including malignant tumors recently. Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignant tumor that occurs in the nasopharynx and has a unique ethnic and geographical distribution in South China and Southeast Asia. Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection is closely related to the development of NPC. Radiotherapy and chemotherapy are the mainstays of treatment for NPC. But tumor recurrence or distant metastasis is the leading cause of death in patients with NPC. Several studies have shown that circRNAs, as gene expression regulators, play an important role in NPC and affect the progression of NPC. This review mainly summarized the research status of abnormally expressed circRNAs in NPC and EBV-encoded circRNAs. We also discussed the possibility of circRNAs as a therapeutic target, diagnostic and prognostic marker for NPC.
4.Application of remote fundus image reading training in improving the diagnostic ability of ophthalmologists in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region
Xufeng ZHAO ; Xiuyan MA ; Xuejing LI ; Li QIN ; Lina SUO ; Wenping MA ; Shihao LI ; Jiaxing CHEN ; Yaxin YANG ; Xinxia LI ; Tao XIE ; Juan LI ; Yuanshan XIONG ; Zhiyong WU ; Zhihuai CHANG ; Mowen FANG ; Ting WANG ; Hong LIU ; Pengju MA ; Pengpeng LIU ; Jing RAN ; Di YANG ; Changle XUE ; Zhen XIE ; Zhao FAN ; Yang WANG ; Peng LEI ; Qingjiang HUANG ; Bing LI ; Shi FENG ; Zhangwanyu WEI ; Yishuang MAO ; Weihong YU ; Linjun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2024;40(12):941-946
Objective:To explore the feasibility and effect of remote medical education model using online film reading training to improve the ability of ophthalmologists in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (hereinafter referred to as "Xinjiang Region" ) in diagnosing fundus diseases.Methods:The three-level film reading training system of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps system division hospital-Corps Hospital-Peking Union Medical College Hospital was established. From June 2022 to January 2023, 4 159 posterior color fundus images were continuously collected from Department of Ophthalmology of Xinjiang Corps Hospital and 4 divisional hospitals in the Corps medical system. Among them, hypertensive retinopathy, diabetic retinopathy, exudative age-related macular degeneration (AMD), atrophic AMD and retinal vein occlusion were 3 073, 651, 43, 186 and 206 cases, respectively. The images were divided into 3 rounds (first, second and last) according to the proportion of diseases. The doctors who participated in the training (hereinafter referred to as the "training") were 15 ophthalmologists from the Corps Hospital of Xinjiang Region and the division hospital of the Corps system. There were 7 male and 8 female. Age was (38.1±4.0) years. The titles of senior, deputy senior, intermediate and junior are 1, 6, 5 and 3 respectively; Bachelor's degree and master's degree are 13 and 2 respectively. The working time of fundus disease specialty was (9.6±3.3) years. The film reading system training was conducted before the first round of labeling, and after each round of film reading, the doctors of Peking Union Medical College Hospital gave feedback and explanation on the film reading results. The diagnostic consistency, sensitivity and specificity were compared by paired sample t test. Spearman or Pearson correlation analysis was conducted between the improvement of diagnostic level and professional title, education, age and working hours of ocular fundus disease. Results:All the participating doctors completed the first, second and last reading. After each round of film reading, the film reading summary was carried out for 2 hours. The average diagnostic agreement rates of participating physicians were 53.0%, 67.0% and 75.0%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.38, 0.69, 054 and 0.66, 0.85, 0.96, respectively. There was significant difference between the first and last examination ( P<0.001). The sensitivity of the second reading was significantly higher than that of the first reading, and the sensitivity of the last reading was significantly lower than that of the second reading, with statistical significance ( P<0.05). The specificity of the second reading was significantly higher than that of the first reading, and the last reading was significantly higher than that of the second reading, with statistical significance ( P<0.05). There was no significant correlation ( P>0.05) between the improvement of diagnostic level of participating physicians and educational background ( Rho=0.07), professional title ( Rho=0.13), age ( r=0.20), and working time of ophthalmofundus disease specialty ( r=0.26). Conclusions:Relying on the three-level online telemedicine training, it can improve the ability of ophthalmologists in Xinjiang region to diagnose fundus diseases. The preliminary telemedicine education model has demonstrated potential for feasibility and effectiveness in remote areas with inadequate medical resources.
5.Phylogenetic analysis of adenovirus and arenavirus in rodents from coastal cities in Fujian Province
Zhi-wei ZENG ; Jing LIU ; Guo-ying XU ; Teng-wei HAN ; Jia-xiong WANG ; Shu-heng ZHOU ; Ling-qiong HUANG ; Fang-zhen XIAO
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(11):1073-1078
This study was aimed at exploring the infections and viral genetic characteristics in rodents from coastal cities in Fujian Province.Intestinal tissue samples were obtained from rodents in Ningde,Fuzhou,Quanzhou,and Zhangzhou city.The adenovirus DNA polymerase(DPOL)gene was analyzed by nested PCR,and the large(L)segment gene of arenavirus was as-sessed with RT-PCR.Homology and genetic characteristics were analyzed in bioinformatics software.A total of 152 rodents were captured and showed a murine adenovirus infection rate of 4.61%.The murine adenovirus infection rate was 5.26%in wild rodents and 4.21%in domestic rodents.Murine adenoviruses were detected in four rodent species:Rattus sladeni,Rattus nor-vegicus,Rattus tanezumi,and Rattus losea.This was the first time that murine adenovirus has been detected in Rattus slade-ni.Analysis of relevant factors revealed no significant differences in murine adenovirus infection rates by rodent species,sex,age,and habitat.Sequence analysis indicated that the adenoviruses infecting rodents in coastal cities of Fujian were Murine ade-novirus 2 and Murine adenovirus 3.A significant difference was observed in the sequences of murine adenoviruses with respect to those in other regions,with nucleic acid sequence identity ranging from 72.25%to 91.01%.No arenavirus was detected in any rodent specimens.Adenovirus infections were found in rodents in coastal cities of Fujian Province,but no arenavirus infec-tions were found.This study provides useful information to support further research on murine adenovirus and arenavirus in Fujian Province.
6.Phylogenetic analysis of adenovirus and arenavirus in rodents from coastal cities in Fujian Province
Zhi-wei ZENG ; Jing LIU ; Guo-ying XU ; Teng-wei HAN ; Jia-xiong WANG ; Shu-heng ZHOU ; Ling-qiong HUANG ; Fang-zhen XIAO
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(11):1073-1078
This study was aimed at exploring the infections and viral genetic characteristics in rodents from coastal cities in Fujian Province.Intestinal tissue samples were obtained from rodents in Ningde,Fuzhou,Quanzhou,and Zhangzhou city.The adenovirus DNA polymerase(DPOL)gene was analyzed by nested PCR,and the large(L)segment gene of arenavirus was as-sessed with RT-PCR.Homology and genetic characteristics were analyzed in bioinformatics software.A total of 152 rodents were captured and showed a murine adenovirus infection rate of 4.61%.The murine adenovirus infection rate was 5.26%in wild rodents and 4.21%in domestic rodents.Murine adenoviruses were detected in four rodent species:Rattus sladeni,Rattus nor-vegicus,Rattus tanezumi,and Rattus losea.This was the first time that murine adenovirus has been detected in Rattus slade-ni.Analysis of relevant factors revealed no significant differences in murine adenovirus infection rates by rodent species,sex,age,and habitat.Sequence analysis indicated that the adenoviruses infecting rodents in coastal cities of Fujian were Murine ade-novirus 2 and Murine adenovirus 3.A significant difference was observed in the sequences of murine adenoviruses with respect to those in other regions,with nucleic acid sequence identity ranging from 72.25%to 91.01%.No arenavirus was detected in any rodent specimens.Adenovirus infections were found in rodents in coastal cities of Fujian Province,but no arenavirus infec-tions were found.This study provides useful information to support further research on murine adenovirus and arenavirus in Fujian Province.
7.Application of remote fundus image reading training in improving the diagnostic ability of ophthalmologists in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region
Xufeng ZHAO ; Xiuyan MA ; Xuejing LI ; Li QIN ; Lina SUO ; Wenping MA ; Shihao LI ; Jiaxing CHEN ; Yaxin YANG ; Xinxia LI ; Tao XIE ; Juan LI ; Yuanshan XIONG ; Zhiyong WU ; Zhihuai CHANG ; Mowen FANG ; Ting WANG ; Hong LIU ; Pengju MA ; Pengpeng LIU ; Jing RAN ; Di YANG ; Changle XUE ; Zhen XIE ; Zhao FAN ; Yang WANG ; Peng LEI ; Qingjiang HUANG ; Bing LI ; Shi FENG ; Zhangwanyu WEI ; Yishuang MAO ; Weihong YU ; Linjun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2024;40(12):941-946
Objective:To explore the feasibility and effect of remote medical education model using online film reading training to improve the ability of ophthalmologists in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (hereinafter referred to as "Xinjiang Region" ) in diagnosing fundus diseases.Methods:The three-level film reading training system of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps system division hospital-Corps Hospital-Peking Union Medical College Hospital was established. From June 2022 to January 2023, 4 159 posterior color fundus images were continuously collected from Department of Ophthalmology of Xinjiang Corps Hospital and 4 divisional hospitals in the Corps medical system. Among them, hypertensive retinopathy, diabetic retinopathy, exudative age-related macular degeneration (AMD), atrophic AMD and retinal vein occlusion were 3 073, 651, 43, 186 and 206 cases, respectively. The images were divided into 3 rounds (first, second and last) according to the proportion of diseases. The doctors who participated in the training (hereinafter referred to as the "training") were 15 ophthalmologists from the Corps Hospital of Xinjiang Region and the division hospital of the Corps system. There were 7 male and 8 female. Age was (38.1±4.0) years. The titles of senior, deputy senior, intermediate and junior are 1, 6, 5 and 3 respectively; Bachelor's degree and master's degree are 13 and 2 respectively. The working time of fundus disease specialty was (9.6±3.3) years. The film reading system training was conducted before the first round of labeling, and after each round of film reading, the doctors of Peking Union Medical College Hospital gave feedback and explanation on the film reading results. The diagnostic consistency, sensitivity and specificity were compared by paired sample t test. Spearman or Pearson correlation analysis was conducted between the improvement of diagnostic level and professional title, education, age and working hours of ocular fundus disease. Results:All the participating doctors completed the first, second and last reading. After each round of film reading, the film reading summary was carried out for 2 hours. The average diagnostic agreement rates of participating physicians were 53.0%, 67.0% and 75.0%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.38, 0.69, 054 and 0.66, 0.85, 0.96, respectively. There was significant difference between the first and last examination ( P<0.001). The sensitivity of the second reading was significantly higher than that of the first reading, and the sensitivity of the last reading was significantly lower than that of the second reading, with statistical significance ( P<0.05). The specificity of the second reading was significantly higher than that of the first reading, and the last reading was significantly higher than that of the second reading, with statistical significance ( P<0.05). There was no significant correlation ( P>0.05) between the improvement of diagnostic level of participating physicians and educational background ( Rho=0.07), professional title ( Rho=0.13), age ( r=0.20), and working time of ophthalmofundus disease specialty ( r=0.26). Conclusions:Relying on the three-level online telemedicine training, it can improve the ability of ophthalmologists in Xinjiang region to diagnose fundus diseases. The preliminary telemedicine education model has demonstrated potential for feasibility and effectiveness in remote areas with inadequate medical resources.
8.Epidemiological characteristics of a 2019-nCoV outbreak caused by Omicron variant BF.7 in Shenzhen.
Yan Peng CHENG ; Dong Feng KONG ; Jia ZHANG ; Zi Quan LYU ; Zhi Gao CHEN ; Hua Wei XIONG ; Yan LU ; Qing Shan LUO ; Qiu Ying LYU ; Jin ZHAO ; Ying WEN ; Jia WAN ; Fang Fang LU ; Jian Hua LU ; Xuan ZOU ; Zhen ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(3):379-385
Objective: To explore the epidemiological characteristic of a COVID-19 outbreak caused by 2019-nCoV Omicron variant BF.7 and other provinces imported in Shenzhen and analyze transmission chains and characteristics. Methods: Field epidemiological survey was conducted to identify the transmission chain, analyze the generation relationship among the cases. The 2019-nCoV nucleic acid positive samples were used for gene sequencing. Results: From 8 to 23 October, 2022, a total of 196 cases of COVID-19 were reported in Shenzhen, all the cases had epidemiological links. In the cases, 100 were men and 96 were women, with a median of age, M (Q1, Q3) was 33(25, 46) years. The outbreak was caused by traverlers initial cases infected with 2019-nCoV who returned to Shenzhen after traveling outside of Guangdong Province.There were four transmission chains, including the transmission in place of residence and neighbourhood, affecting 8 persons, transmission in social activity in the evening on 7 October, affecting 65 persons, transmission in work place on 8 October, affecting 48 persons, and transmission in a building near the work place, affecting 74 persons. The median of the incubation period of the infection, M (Q1, Q3) was 1.44 (1.11, 2.17) days. The incubation period of indoor exposure less than that of the outdoor exposure, M (Q1, Q3) was 1.38 (1.06, 1.84) and 1.95 (1.22, 2.99) days, respcetively (Wald χ2=10.27, P=0.001). With the increase of case generation, the number and probability of gene mutation increased. In the same transmission chain, the proportion of having 1-3 mutation sites was high in the cases in the first generation. Conclusions: The transmission chains were clear in this epidemic. The incubation period of Omicron variant BF.7 infection was shorter, the transmission speed was faster, and the gene mutation rate was higher. It is necessary to conduct prompt response and strict disease control when epidemic occurs.
Male
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Humans
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Female
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
COVID-19/epidemiology*
;
Disease Outbreaks
;
Epidemics
;
China/epidemiology*
9.Establishment and validation of a novel nomogram to predict overall survival after radical nephrectomy.
Long Bin XIONG ; Xiang Peng ZOU ; Kang NING ; Xin LUO ; Yu Lu PENG ; Zhao Hui ZHOU ; Jun WANG ; Zhen LI ; Chun Ping YU ; Pei DONG ; Sheng Jie GUO ; Hui HAN ; Fang Jian ZHOU ; Zhi Ling ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(8):681-689
Objective: To establish a nomogram prognostic model for predicting the 5-, 10-, and 15-year overall survival (OS) of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with radical nephrectomy (RN), compare the modelled results with the results of pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the Mayo Clinic Stage, Size, Grade, and Necrosis (SSIGN) score commonly used in foreign countries, and stratify the patients into different prognostic risk subgroups. Methods: A total of 1 246 non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with RN in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from 1999 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen the variables that influence the prognosis for nomogram establishment, and the bootstrap random sampling was used for internal validation. The time-receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the calibration curve and the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to evaluate the nomogram. The prediction efficacy of the nomogram and that of the pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score was compared through the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, patients were stratified into different risk subgroups according to our nomogram scores. Results: A total of 1 246 patients managed with RN were enrolled in this study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological T and N stages were independent prognostic factors for RN patients (all P<0.05). A nomogram model named SYSUCC based on these factors was built to predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival rate of the participating patients. In the bootstrap random sampling with 1 000 iterations, all these factors occurred for more than 800 times as independent predictors. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of SYSUCC was higher compared with pure pathological staging [0.770 (95% CI: 0.716-0.823) vs 0.674 (95% CI: 0.621-0.728)]. The calibration curve showed that the survival rate as predicted by the SYSUCC model simulated the actual rate, while the clinical DCA showed that the SYSUCC nomogram has a benefit in certain probability ranges. In the ROC analysis that included 857 patients with detailed pathological nuclear stages, the nomogram had a larger AUC (5-/10-year AUC: 0.823/0.804) and better discriminating ability than pure pathological staging (5-/10-year AUC: 0.701/0.658), Karakiewicz nomogram (5-/10-year AUC: 0.772/0.734) and SSIGN score (5-/10-year AUC: 0.792/0.750) in predicting the 5-/10-year OS of RN patients (all P<0.05). In addition, the AUC of the SYSUCC nomogram for predicting the 15-year OS (0.820) was larger than that of the SSIGN score (0.709), and there was no statistical difference (P<0.05) between the SYSUCC nomogram, pure pathological staging (0.773) and the Karakiewicz nomogram (0.826). The calibration curve was close to the standard curve, which indicated that the model has good predictive performance. Finally, patients were stratified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk subgroups (738, 379 and 129, respectively) according to the SYSUCC nomogram scores, among whom patients in intermediate- and high-risk subgroups had a worse OS than patients in the low-risk subgroup (intermediate-risk group vs. low-risk group: HR=4.33, 95% CI: 3.22-5.81, P<0.001; high-risk group vs low-risk group: HR=11.95, 95% CI: 8.29-17.24, P<0.001), and the high-risk subgroup had a worse OS than the intermediate-risk group (HR=2.63, 95% CI: 1.88-3.68, P<0.001). Conclusions: Age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological stage were independent prognostic factors for non-metastasis renal cell carcinoma patients after RN. The SYSUCC nomogram based on these independent prognostic factors can better predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year OS than pure pathological staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score of patients after RN. In addition, the SYSUCC nomogram has good discrimination, agreement, risk stratification and clinical application potential.
Humans
;
Nomograms
;
Retrospective Studies
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Carcinoma, Renal Cell/pathology*
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Prognosis
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Risk Factors
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Nephrectomy
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Kidney Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Necrosis
10.Establishment and validation of a novel nomogram to predict overall survival after radical nephrectomy.
Long Bin XIONG ; Xiang Peng ZOU ; Kang NING ; Xin LUO ; Yu Lu PENG ; Zhao Hui ZHOU ; Jun WANG ; Zhen LI ; Chun Ping YU ; Pei DONG ; Sheng Jie GUO ; Hui HAN ; Fang Jian ZHOU ; Zhi Ling ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(8):681-689
Objective: To establish a nomogram prognostic model for predicting the 5-, 10-, and 15-year overall survival (OS) of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with radical nephrectomy (RN), compare the modelled results with the results of pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the Mayo Clinic Stage, Size, Grade, and Necrosis (SSIGN) score commonly used in foreign countries, and stratify the patients into different prognostic risk subgroups. Methods: A total of 1 246 non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with RN in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from 1999 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen the variables that influence the prognosis for nomogram establishment, and the bootstrap random sampling was used for internal validation. The time-receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the calibration curve and the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to evaluate the nomogram. The prediction efficacy of the nomogram and that of the pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score was compared through the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, patients were stratified into different risk subgroups according to our nomogram scores. Results: A total of 1 246 patients managed with RN were enrolled in this study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological T and N stages were independent prognostic factors for RN patients (all P<0.05). A nomogram model named SYSUCC based on these factors was built to predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival rate of the participating patients. In the bootstrap random sampling with 1 000 iterations, all these factors occurred for more than 800 times as independent predictors. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of SYSUCC was higher compared with pure pathological staging [0.770 (95% CI: 0.716-0.823) vs 0.674 (95% CI: 0.621-0.728)]. The calibration curve showed that the survival rate as predicted by the SYSUCC model simulated the actual rate, while the clinical DCA showed that the SYSUCC nomogram has a benefit in certain probability ranges. In the ROC analysis that included 857 patients with detailed pathological nuclear stages, the nomogram had a larger AUC (5-/10-year AUC: 0.823/0.804) and better discriminating ability than pure pathological staging (5-/10-year AUC: 0.701/0.658), Karakiewicz nomogram (5-/10-year AUC: 0.772/0.734) and SSIGN score (5-/10-year AUC: 0.792/0.750) in predicting the 5-/10-year OS of RN patients (all P<0.05). In addition, the AUC of the SYSUCC nomogram for predicting the 15-year OS (0.820) was larger than that of the SSIGN score (0.709), and there was no statistical difference (P<0.05) between the SYSUCC nomogram, pure pathological staging (0.773) and the Karakiewicz nomogram (0.826). The calibration curve was close to the standard curve, which indicated that the model has good predictive performance. Finally, patients were stratified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk subgroups (738, 379 and 129, respectively) according to the SYSUCC nomogram scores, among whom patients in intermediate- and high-risk subgroups had a worse OS than patients in the low-risk subgroup (intermediate-risk group vs. low-risk group: HR=4.33, 95% CI: 3.22-5.81, P<0.001; high-risk group vs low-risk group: HR=11.95, 95% CI: 8.29-17.24, P<0.001), and the high-risk subgroup had a worse OS than the intermediate-risk group (HR=2.63, 95% CI: 1.88-3.68, P<0.001). Conclusions: Age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological stage were independent prognostic factors for non-metastasis renal cell carcinoma patients after RN. The SYSUCC nomogram based on these independent prognostic factors can better predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year OS than pure pathological staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score of patients after RN. In addition, the SYSUCC nomogram has good discrimination, agreement, risk stratification and clinical application potential.
Humans
;
Nomograms
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Carcinoma, Renal Cell/pathology*
;
Prognosis
;
Risk Factors
;
Nephrectomy
;
Kidney Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Necrosis

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