1.Epidemiological characteristics and incidence trend prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease in Jinshan District, Shanghai in 2018 - 2023
Pengyan LI ; Zhaopeng DONG ; Canlei SONG ; Shuahua LI ; Jianru DU ; Tang WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):62-66
Objective To analyze the epidemiological and pathogenic characteristics and incidence trend of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Jinshan District, Shanghai, and to provide data support for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods Case information and etiological data of HFMD in Jinshan District from 2018 to 2023 were collected. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the temporal, spatial and population distribution of HFMD cases and their etiological composition and changes. An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was established to predict the incidence trend of HFMD in 2024. Results From 2018 to 2023, a total of 5,979 cases of HFMD were reported in Jinshan District, with an average annual incidence rate of 123.00/100,000. There were no reports of severe cases or deaths. The incidence of HFMD showed unimodal distribution in 2018 and 2023, bimodal distribution in 2019, and there was no obvious peaks in 2020—2022. The town with the highest average annual incidence rate was Jinshanwei Town, and the town with the lowest average annual incidence rate was Fengjing Town. The male-to-female ratio of the cases was 1.42:1. Most of the cases were under 5 years old, and scattered children were the most common occupation. CVA6 was the predominant pathogen, but EV-A71 was not detected. The optimal fitting prediction model was SARIMAX (2, 0, 0) × (1, 0, 0, 12), and the model predicted a trend of decline after rising first in the incidence of HFMD in Jinshan District in 2024. Conclusion There are obvious temporal, spatial and population differences in HFMD incidence in Jinshan District, and the dominant pathogen of HFMD is CVA6. Prediction data can be used to further strengthen epidemic monitoring, timely detect new variants, and provide the basis for timely adjustment of prevention and control measures of HFMD.
2.Comparison of interoperability among the standard systems of Chinese,the United States,European,and Japanese Pharmacopoeias and other standard systems
Xinyi XU ; Zhen LIU ; Leran TAO ; Haoyun SONG ; Dan LI ; Wenli YU ; Guannan WANG ; Heng LI ; Yun WANG ; Zhaopeng YANG
China Pharmacist 2024;27(2):233-241
Objective To provide reference for the optimization and improvement of interoperability between the standard system of the Chinese Pharmacopoeia and other standards.Methods The interoperability of various pharmacopoeia standard systems was compared by searching for citations from the Chinese Pharmacopoeia,the United States Pharmacopoeia-National Formulary,the European Pharmacopoeia,the Japanese Pharmacopoeia,and other standards,including references to domestic regulations and guidelines,standards of the International Organization for Standardization,guidelines from the International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use,documents of the World Health Organization,and standards from other countries and international organizations.Results In recent years,pharmacopoeias in the world had continuously increased the citation of non pharmacopoeial standards.The types,quantities,and fields of the United States Pharmacopoeia-National Formulary referencing other standards far exceed those of other pharmacopoeias.The Chinese Pharmacopoeia cites the least number of other standards.Conclusion It is suggested that the Chinese Pharmacopoeia should enhance the interoperability with other standard systems in the standards of various professional fields,enhance the openness,harmonization and advantages,and form a more complete standard system.
3.A cohort study of maternal smoking during pregnancy, offspring genetic risk, and overall cancer mortality
Guanlian PANG ; Zhimin MA ; Mingxuan ZHU ; Wenjing GE ; Yuanlin MOU ; Guoqing WANG ; Zhaopeng ZHU ; Qiao LI ; Meng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(8):1045-1051
Objective:To investigate the independent and combined effects of maternal smoking during pregnancy and offspring genetic susceptibility on overall cancer mortality.Methods:Based on the United Kingdom Biobank ( n=419 228) data, the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on offspring overall cancer (including 16 cancers in men and 18 in women) mortality and its combined effect and interaction with offspring genetic factors. Results:Maternal smoking during pregnancy was significantly associated with a 13% increased risk of overall cancer mortality in men [hazard ratio( HR)=1.13, 95% CI: 1.06-1.20] and 19% increased risk in women ( HR=1.19, 95% CI: 1.11-1.27). Participants with high genetic risk had the highest overall cancer mortality than those with low genetic risk (men: HR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.30-1.55; women: HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.25-1.52). Compared with participants without maternal smoking during pregnancy and low genetic risk, those with maternal smoking during pregnancy and high genetic risk were associated with a 56% increased risk of overall cancer mortality in men ( HR=1.56, 95% CI: 1.37-1.77) and 59% in women ( HR=1.59, 95% CI: 1.39-1.83). Conclusion:Maternal smoking during pregnancy may increase offspring overall cancer mortality and more severe harm in individuals with high genetic risk.
4.The effect of air pollution on lung function changes: a population-based association study from United Kingdom Biobank
Mingxuan ZHU ; Chen JI ; Xia ZHU ; Guanlian PANG ; Zhaopeng ZHU ; Qiao LI ; Guoqing WANG ; Wenjing GE ; Meng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(8):1059-1065
Objective:To investigate the impact of air pollution on dynamic changes in lung function and further explore the association between genetic factors and lung function and its changes.Methods:Research data were from 14 506 participants in the United Kingdom Biobank with two complete baseline and follow-up lung function tests. Particulate matter [including particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm and ≤10 μm (PM 2.5 and PM 10)], nitrogen dioxide (NO 2), and nitrogen oxides (NO x) concentrations were estimated using land-use regression models. Annual changes in lung function were calculated based on baseline and follow-up lung function tests. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) of lung function [forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV 1), forced vital capacity (FVC), and the ratio of FEV 1 to FVC (FEV 1/FVC)] were constructed by genetic variations. The association between air pollution concentrations and lung function changes was analyzed by multiple linear regression models, and the impact of genetic factors on lung function and its changes was also assessed. Results:PM 2.5, PM 10, NO 2, and NO x showed a negative correlation with FVC changes [PM 2.5: -6.66 (95% CI: -9.92- -3.40) ml/year; PM 10: -0.40 (95% CI: -0.77- -0.03) ml/year; NO 2: -1.84 (95% CI: -2.60- -1.07) ml/year; NO x: -1.37 (95% CI: -2.27- -0.46) ml/year]. Additionally, PM 2.5, PM 10and NO 2 were also negatively correlated with changes in FEV 1 [PM 2.5: -3.19 (95% CI: -5.79- -0.59) ml/year; PM 10: -3.00 (95% CI: -5.92- -0.08) ml/year; NO 2: -0.95 (95% CI: -1.56- -0.34) ml/year]. PRS of lung function were positively correlated with baseline lung function (FVC, FEV 1, and FEV 1/FVC) and lung function changes (all β>0, all P<0.001). In different PRS stratification analyses, the effect of air pollution on lung function changes remained significant, and there was no apparent heterogeneity. Conclusions:PRS of lung function are significantly associated with baseline and lung function changes. Long-term exposure to air pollution accelerates the decline of lung function indicators such as FVC and FEV 1. The effects of air pollution are consistent in individuals with different genetic risk scores.
5.Comparison of system architecture between Chinese,United States,European and Japanese pharmacopoeias
Xinyi XU ; Zhen LIU ; Leran TAO ; Haoyun SONG ; Dan LI ; Wenli YU ; Guannan WANG ; Hao LI ; Zhaopeng YANG
Drug Standards of China 2024;25(3):209-219
The standard system refers to the scientific organic whole formed by the internal connections of stand-ards within a certain range.The completeness of the drug standard system plays a crucial role in ensuring drug safety.Pharmacopoeia is the core of the drug standard system.This article compared the architecture of the Chi-nese Pharmacopoeia,the United States Pharmacopoeia,the European Pharmacopoeia,and the Japanese Pharma-copoeia on the aspects of overall architecture,monographs architecture,general notice architecture,general tech-nical requirements architecture,and other standard architecture,as well as the implementation of various types of standards,aiming to provide reference for the optimization and improvement of the standard system of the Chinese Pharmacopoeia.
6.Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting unfavorable prognosis at 6 months after moderate and severe traumatic brain injury
Hongqiao YANG ; Zhaopeng ZHOU ; Mei LIU ; Changgeng DING ; Wenwen CHE ; Yuhai WANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(6):487-497
Objective:To construct a nomogram for predicting unfavorable prognosis at 6 months after moderate and severe traumatic brain injury (msTBI) and validate its predictive effectiveness.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 387 patients with msTBI who were admitted to 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA from January 2020 to December 2022, including 265 males and 122 females, aged 6-97 years [58(47, 68)years]. According to the Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score at 6 months after injury, the patients were divided into favorable prognosis group (GOS 4-5 points, n=201) and unfavorable prognosis group (GOS 1-3 points, n=186). The clinical characteristics, imaging manifestations, and laboratory test results of the two groups on admission were recorded. Univariate analysis was applied to evaluate the correlation between the aforementioned indicators and the unfavorable prognosis of the msTBI patients at 6 months after injury. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of single variable and the correlation heatmap among continuous variables were plotted. Lasso regression was used to select variables and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent predictive factors so as to construct Logistic regression equation and plot the nomogram. The internal verification was carried out by means of random and non-random split of data. In random split, the data were divided randomly with a ratio of 6∶4 into training group ( n=232) and verification group ( n=155). In non-random split, the patients admitted from January 2020 to December 2021 were assigned to the training group ( n=260), while those admitted from January 2022 to December 2022 to the verification group ( n=127). Area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the model in the training group and verification group, calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test to evaluate its goodness of fit, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate its clinical applicability. The influence of inclusion of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) model on the warning effectiveness of poor prognosis was analyzed in comparison with the model without inclusion of NLR. Results:Univariate analysis showed that there was a certain correlation between age, length of hospital stay, Glasgow coma scale (GCS), American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) classification, Injury severity score (ISS), prehospital tracheal intubation, hypotension, hypoxia, pupillary responsiveness, midline shift, basilar cisterna status, traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (tSAH), D-Dimer, prothrombin time activity (PTA), glucose, hemoglobin, K +, Cl -, Ca 2+, HCO -, creatinine, albumin, lactic acid, platelet, lymphocyte, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), NLR, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and unfavorable prognosis of msTBI patients at 6 months after injury ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The ROC curve of single variable showed that GCS (AUC=0.82), ISS (AUC=0.81), pupillary responsiveness (AUC=0.76), basal cistern status (AUC=0.73) and NLR (AUC=0.73) had good predictive validity. The results of the correlation heatmap showed that there was a significant correlation and collinearity among the continuous variables, while no collinearity was found between ISS and NLR. Fourteen potential predictors selected by Lasso regression were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis and its results showed that age ( OR=0.86, 95% CI 1.38, 5.19), GCS 6-8 points ( OR=3.13, 95% CI 1.06, 9.27), GCS 3-5 points ( OR=12.36, 95% CI 2.81, 54.27), ISS ( OR=3.68, 95% CI 1.38, 9.80), pupillary responsiveness ( OR=2.45, 95% CI 0.85, 7.07), and NLR ( OR=2.62, 95% CI 1.52, 4.51) were identified as the independent risk factors for unfavorable prognosis of msTBI patients at 6 months after injury ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The multivariate Logistic regression equation was Logit [P/(1-P)]=0.066×"age"+ 1.474×"GCS 6-8"+2.357×"GCS 3-5"+0.066×"ISS"+0.965×"absence of pupillary light reflex"+0.194×"NLR"-10.704. In the internal verification of random split of data, the AUC value of the model was 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.96) in the training group and 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.97) in the verification group. In the internal verification of non-random split, the AUC value was 0.94 (95% CI 0.91, 0.97) in the training group and 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.97) in the verification group. The calibration curve and H-L test showed that the model had good calibration ability ( P>0.5). The results of DCA showed that the application of the nomogram would increase the net benefit of the patients (risk threshold probability of 0.0-0.8). Compared with the conventional model (AUC=0.90), inclusion of NLR model (AUC=0.93) enhanced the warning effectiveness. Conclusions:Age, GCS, ISS, pupillary responsiveness and NLR are independent risk factors affecting unfavorable prognosis in msTBI patients at 6 months after injury, based on which the nomogram constructed can better predict the clinical outcome of msTBI patients.
7.Progress in the treatment of femoral head fracture combined with posterior hip dislocation
Xingang JIANG ; Zhaopeng GAO ; Bo CHANG ; Li LIU ; Haibin WANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(22):1489-1495
Femoral head fracture combined with posterior hip dislocation is a serious traumatic condition. Conservative treatment has a long time of bed rest, and may cause muscle apraxia atrophy, hypostatic pneumonia, deep vein thrombosis of the lower limbs, or pulmonary embolism, which has poor clinical efficacy. Therefore, surgical treatment is the first choice for femoral head fracture combined with posterior hip dislocation. The direct anterior approach of the hip can better expose Pipkin type I and type II femoral head fractures without the need to dislocate the hip completely. However, the disadvantage is that it destroys the structural integrity of the anterior hip joint, which increases the risk of femoral head necrosis and heterotopic ossification to a certain extent. The medial approach can also be chosen for Pipkin type I and II fractures, but it is important to avoid damaging the integrity of the fascial layer, some small vascular branches can be ligated, and injury to the medial rotary femoral artery should be avoided. The lateral approach is considered to be an effective treatment for Pipkin type III fractures, but there is limited exposure of the posterior acetabular injury and a risk of injury to the superior gluteal vessels and nerves, which may be secondary to adductor weakness postoperatively. The posterior approach is the main surgical approach for type IV Pipkin fracture. The classic posterior lateral approaches mainly include the Kocher - Langenbeck approach and the Ganz surgical dislocation approach. The Kocher - Langenbeck approach does not destroy the abductors and is particularly suitable for patients with posterior hip dislocation and difficult to reposition. Ganz surgical approach protects the blood supply of the medial femoral circumcator artery, so the incidence of femoral head necrosis is low. It can achieve all-round visualization of the femoral head and acetabulum, comprehensively evaluate the lesions of the femoral head and acetabulum, and find the occult injuries missed in imaging examinations..
8.Resistance of Aedes albopictus to commonly used insecticides in Jinshan District, Shanghai
LI Jing ; WANG Tang ; CHEN Ruyan ; XU Feng ; DONG Zhaopeng ; LIU Hongxia
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(3):295-
Objective To investigate the resistance level of Aedes albopictus to commonly used insecticides in Jinshan District, Shanghai, to provide a reference for standardizing the use of insecticides. Methods The larval dipping test was used to detect the resistance of Ae. Albopictus larvae to five kinds of insecticides, the SPSS 18.0 software was utilized to calculate the toxic regression equation and the median lethal concentration (LC50) of insecticides on the larvae. The resistance level was determined by evaluating the 24-hour mortality of adult Ae. Albopictus exposed to diagnostic doses of commonly used insecticides with the adult mosquito contact tube method. Results In 2018 and 2019, Ae. Albopictus larvae in the Jinshan District of Shanghai displayed moderate and high resistance to beta-cypermethrin, with resistance ratios of 25.03 and 65.96 folds respectively; high resistance to deltamethrin, with resistance ratios of 57.25 and 211.75 folds respectively; high resistance to permethrin, with resistance ratios of 46.17 and 243.36 folds. In 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2023, they showed moderate to high resistance to temephos with resistance ratios of 19.55, 23.94, 53.48, and 22.12 folds respectively. In 2021 and 2023, moderate resistance to fenitrothion was observed, with resistance ratios of 30.04 and 12.54 folds respectively. Adult Ae. Albopictus adults exhibited resistance to 0.03% deltamethrin, 0.07% lambda-cyhalothrin, 0.4% permethrin, and 0.08% beta-cypermethrin, with mortality rates ranging from 17.20% to 49.67% in 2021 and 2023. Potential resistance was observed to 0.7% lambda-cyhalothrin and 0.2% fenitrothion, with mortalities of 97.48% and 83.74% respectively. Sensitivity was noted to 0.05% propoxur with a mortality rate of 100.00%. Conclusions Ae. Albopictus in the Jinshan District, Shanghai, has developed varying resistance levels to different types of insecticides, including pyrethroids and organophosphates. It is recommended to strengthen the dynamic monitoring of the resistance of Ae. Albopictus and implement comprehensive prevention and control measures with a focus on environmental management, scientifically and rationally selecting hygienic insecticides to delay and mitigate the emergence of resistance.
9.Epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease clusters in kindergartens and schools in Jinshan District
WANG Tang ; DONG Zhaopeng ; LI Shuhua ; MO Pinghua ; ZHAO Yiming ; SONG Canlei
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(9):800-802
Objective:
To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of clusters of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in kindergartens and schools in Jinshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2016 to 2021, so as to provide insights into improving the prevention and control measurements of HFMD in Jinshan District.
Methods:
Data of HFMD cases in Jinshan District from 2016 to 2021 were collected through Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and data pertaining to HFMD clusters in kindergartens and schools were also collected. The scale, temporal distribution, regional distribution and distribution of cluster places were descriptively analyzed.
Results:
Totally 338 HFMD clusters involving 974 cases were identified in kindergartens and schools in Jinshan District from 2016 to 2021, with an average attack rate of 9.89%. The number of cases in each cluster ranged from 2 to 12 cases, with a median number of 2 (interquartile range, 1) cases, and there were 223 clusters involving 2 cases, accounting for 65.98%. The duration of clusters ranged from 1 to 16 days, with a median duration of 4 (interquartile range, 3) days. HFMD peaked from April to June (136 clusters, 40.24%) and from September to December (176 clusters, 52.07%). All the 11 streets and towns (high-tech zones) were reported HFMD clusters, and the three largest number of clusters were reported in Zhujing Town (72 clusters, 21.30%), Shanyang Town (63 clusters, 18.64%) and Tinglin Town (40 clusters, 11.83%). There were 268 HFMD clusters in kindergartens (79.29%) and 70 in schools (20.71%), and the prevalence of HFMD clusters was higher in kindergartens than in schools (35.51% vs. 17.03%; χ2=31.507, P<0.001).
Conclusions
HFMD clusters in kindergartens and schools showed seasonal characteristics from 2016 to 2021 in Jinshan District, which predominantly occurred in Zhujing Town, Shanyang Town and Tinglin Town, and kindergartens were the main places.
10.Association of microsatellite instability with clinicopathological features and prognosis of colon cancer patients
Chentong YUAN ; Zhaopeng LI ; Fangzheng YANG ; Shengnan WANG ; Yancheng SONG ; Yu LI
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2023;38(6):412-417
Objective:To investigate the relationship between microsatellite instability (MSI) , and clinicopathological features ,prognosis in patients with stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer.Methods:Patients undergoing surgical resection for stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colonic tumor in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from Dec 2016 to Nov 2018 were enrolled. All the 292 patients were with stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer and MSI status. Propensity score matching method was used to match the two groups of patients according to 1:1. χ 2 analysis, Logistic Regression and COX regression was used to analyse the relationship between MSI status, the clinicopathological features and prognosis. Results:The risk of MSI-H in young patients ( OR=0.340, 95% CI: 0.126~0.921, P=0.034), right-sided colon cancer ( OR=7.985, 95% CI: 3.040-20.973, P<0.001), mucinous adenocarcinoma ( OR=4.285, 95% CI: 1.495-12.284, P=0.007), poorer differentiation ( OR=4.848, 95% CI: 1.597-14.716, P=0.005), N0 staging ( OR=0.235 , 95% CI: 0.077-0.719, P=0.011) increased . The total OS of colon cancer patients in the MSS group (66.7%) and the MSI-H group (86.9%) were statistically different( P=0.003). The MSI status ( HR=0.367, 95% CI: 0.151-0.891, P=0.027) is an independent factor affecting the prognosis of patients. Conclusions:In stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer, patients with MSI-H have a better prognosis. MSI status is prognosis relevant factor for colon cancer patients.


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