1.Clinical Advantages of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Treatment of Childhood Simple Obesity: Insights from Expert Consensus
Qi ZHANG ; Yingke LIU ; Xiaoxiao ZHANG ; Guichen NI ; Heyin XIAO ; Junhong WANG ; Liqun WU ; Zhanfeng YAN ; Kundi WANG ; Jiajia CHEN ; Hong ZHENG ; Xinying GAO ; Liya WEI ; Qiang HE ; Qian ZHAO ; Huimin SU ; Zhaolan LIU ; Dafeng LONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(6):238-245
Childhood simple obesity has become a significant public health issue in China. Modern medicine primarily relies on lifestyle interventions and often suffers from poor long-term compliance, while pharmacological options are limited and associated with potential adverse effects. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) has a long history in the prevention and management of this condition, demonstrating eight distinct advantages, including systematic theoretical foundation, diversified therapeutic approaches, definite therapeutic efficacy, high safety profile, good patient compliance, comprehensive intervention strategies, emphasis on prevention, and stepwise treatment protocols. Additionally, TCM is characterized by six distinctive features: the use of natural medicinal substances, non-invasive external therapies, integration of medicinal dietetics, simple exercise regimens, precise syndrome differentiation, and diverse dosage forms. By combining internal and external treatments, TCM facilitates individualized regimen adjustment and holistic regulation, demonstrating remarkable effects in improving obesity-related metabolic indicators, regulating constitutional imbalance, and promoting healthy behaviors. However, challenges remain, such as inconsistent operational standards, insufficient high-quality clinical evidence, and a gap between basic research and clinical application. Future efforts should focus on accelerating the standardization of TCM diagnosis and treatment, conducting multicenter randomized controlled trials, and fostering interdisciplinary integration, so as to enhance the scientific validity and international recognition of TCM in the prevention and treatment of childhood obesity.
2.Forty Cases of Mid-Stage Diabetes Kidney Disease Patients of Blood Stasis Syndrome Treated with Huayu Tongluo Formula (化瘀通络方) as an Adjunct Therapy: A Multi-Center, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial
Yun MA ; Kaishuang WANG ; Shuang CAO ; Bingwu ZHAO ; Lu BAI ; Su WU ; Yuwei GAO ; Xinghua WANG ; Dong BIAN ; Zhiqiang CHEN
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(6):588-595
ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical efficacy of Huayu Tongluo Formula (化瘀通络方, HTF) in patients with mid-stage diabetic kidney disease of blood stasis syndrome and explore its potential mechanisms. MethodsA multi-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial was conducted. Ninety patients of mid-stage diabetic kidney disease of blood stasis syndrome were divided into a control group of 46 cases and a treatment group of 44 cases. Both groups received conventional western medicine treatment, the treatment group additionally taking HTF, while the control group taking a placebo of the formula. The treatment was administered once daily for 24 weeks. The primary outcomes included 24-hour urine total protein (24 h-UTP), serum albumin (Alb), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and serum creatinine (Scr).The secondary outcomes included changes in levels of endothelin-1 (ET-1), nitric oxide (NO), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome scores before and after treatment. Clinical efficacy was evaluated based on TCM syndrome scores and overall disease outcomes. Adverse reactions and endpoint events were recorded. ResultsIn the treatment group after treatment, 24 h-UTP, ET-1, and VEGF levels significantly decreased (P<0.05), Alb and NO levels significantly increased (P<0.05); while the TCM syndrome scores for edema, lumbar pain, numbness of limbs, dark purple lips, dark purple tongue or purpura, and thin, rough pulse all significantly decreased (P<0.05). In the control group, no significant changes were observed in any of the indicators after treatment (P>0.05).Compared with the control group, the treatment group showed significant reductions in 24 h-UTP, ET-1, and VEGF levels, and increases in Alb and NO levels (P<0.05). The TCM syndrome scores for edema, lumbar pain, dark purple tongue or purpura, and thin, rough pulse were all lower in the treatment group than in the control group (P<0.05). The total effective rate of TCM syndrome in the treatment group was 59.09% (26/44), and the overall clinical effective rate was 45.45% (20/44). In the control group, these rates were 15.22% (7/46) and 8.7% (4/46), respectively, with the treatment group showing significantly better outcomes (P<0.05). A total of 7 adverse events occurred across both groups, with no significant difference (P>0.05). No endpoint events occurred during the study. ConclusionOn the basis of conventional treatment of Western medicine, HTF can further reduce urinary protein levels and improve clinical symptoms in patients with mid-stage diabetic kidney disease of blood stasis syndrome. The mechanism may be related to its effects on endothelial function.
3.Comparison of Three Drowning-related Plankton Testing Methods in Drowning Diagnosis
Xiao-Feng ZHANG ; Qin SU ; Xiao-Hui CHEN ; Wei-Bin WU ; Dong-Yun ZHENG ; Jian ZHAO ; Ling CHEN ; Qu-Yi XU ; Chao LIU
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;41(3):244-251
Objective To compare the application effects of plankton multiplex polymerase chain reac-tion-capillary electrophoresis(PCR-CE),SYBR Green Ⅰ real-time quantitative PCR(qPCR)and microwave digestion-vacuum filtration-automated scanning electron microscopy(MD-VF-Auto SEM)in the diagnosis of drowning.Methods Lung,liver and kidney tissues from 212 drowned corpses and 30 non-drowned corpses were examined respectively by the three drowning-related plankton testing methods,and the detection rates of plankton in each tissue by three methods were compared.Results In drowned corpses,the total detection rates of PCR-CE,qPCR,and MD-VF-Auto SEM were 93.9%,96.2%,and 95.3%,respectively,with no statistically significant difference(P>0.05).The detection rate of lung tissue by MD-VF-Auto SEM(100%)was higher than those of PCR-CE and qPCR(P<0.05),and there was no significant difference in the detection rates of the three methods in liver or kidney tissues(P>0.05).In non-drowning corpses,a small number of diatoms(less than 10 cells/10 g)were detected by MD-VF-Auto SEM method,only in liver and kidney tissues,while the other two methods yielded negative results for all tissues.Conclusion All three methods have good efficacy in the examination of drowned corpses.The MD-VF-Auto SEM method directly observes diatom morpho-logical characteristics through scanning electron microscopy,and the qualitative and quantitative analy-ses are intuitive and accurate.It has great advantages in the examination of difficult degradation samples.The PCR-CE method and qPCR method have a low sample demand(0.5 g),are easy to operate and have short detection time(4-7 h).They are easy to be applied in the grassroots depart-ments and are suitable for the rapid determination of drowned corpses in routin cases.The combina-tion of the two DNA methods with the MD-VF-Auto SEM method can increase the detection rate of plankton,ensuring the reliability of examination results.This combined use is of significant importance in the application of drowning diagnosis.
4.Efficacy Analysis of Pinggan Capsules in Treating Hypertension Complicated with Anxiety and Depression
Hang ZHENG ; Hui SU ; Rui CHEN ; Ziming ZHAO ; Tianyue WU ; Weixian LU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;42(6):1355-1363
Objective To investigate the clinical efficacy of Pinggan Capsules(composed of six Chinese herbs,i.e.Gentianae Radix et Rhizoma,Prunellae Spica,Rehmanniae Radix,Gastrodiae Rhizoma,Gardeniae Fructus and Plantaginis Herba)in treating patients with hypertension complicated with anxiety and depression of liver-yang hyperactivity type,and to explore the related influencing factors of efficacy.Methods A total of 150 patients diagnosed as hypertension complicated with anxiety and depression of liver-yang hyperactivity type treated at Guangdong Second Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital from January 2022 to January 2023 were enrolled.The patients were randomly divided into the trial group and the control group using a random number table,with 75 cases in each group.The control group received conventional medicine treatment(Amlodipine Besylate Tablets plus Losartan Potassium Tablets),while the trial group received Pinggan Capsules in addition to the conventional treatment.The treatment for the two groups lasted for 8 weeks.Before and after treatment,the changes in blood pressure,Self-Rating Anxiety Scale(SAS)scores,Self-Rating Depression Scale(SDS)scores,and scores of each domain of World Health Organization Quality of Life-BREF(WHO-QOL-BREF)were observed in the two groups.Antihypertensive efficacy,TCM syndrome efficacy,and drug safety in the two groups were evaluated,and the main factors influencing the efficacy of Pinggan Capsules were analyzed.Results(1)During the treatment period,6 cases dropped out from the trial group and 4 cases dropped out from the control group.A total of 140 patients completed the full course of treatment,including 69 in the trial group and 71 in the control group.(2)After 8 weeks of treatment,the total effective rate for antihypertensive efficacy in the trial group was 89.86%(62/69),significantly higher than that in the control group[64.79%(46/71)].The intergroup(tested by chi-square test)showed that the antihypertensive efficacy of the trial group was significantly superior to that of the control group(P<0.05).(3)After 8 weeks of treatment,the total effective rate for TCM syndrome efficacy in the trial group was 92.75%(64/69),significantly higher than that in the control group[66.20%(47/71)].The intergroup(tested by chi-square test)showed that the TCM syndrome efficacy of the trial group was significantly superior to that of the control group(P<0.05).(4)After treatment,systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure were improved in both groups compared to those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement in the trial group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(5)After treatment,the scores of all domains(physical,psychological,social relationships,and environmental)of WHO-QOL-BREF scale were significantly improved in both groups compared to those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement in the trial group was significantly superior to in the control group(P<0.05).(6)After treatment,SAS and SDS scores were significantly improved in both groups compared to those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement in the trial group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(7)No significant adverse reactions occurred in either group during the treatment period,indicating high safety.(8)Sankey diagram and correspondence analysis showed that patients aged<65 years,male,grade 1 hypertension,mild anxiety,and mild depression achieved significant hypotensive effect and symptom-relief effect(P<0.05).Conclusion Pinggan Capsules have significant clinical efficacy in treating hypertension complicated with anxiety and depression of liver-yang hyperactivity type and is worthy of clinical promotion and application.
5.Establishment of different pneumonia mouse models suitable for traditional Chinese medicine screening.
Xing-Nan YUE ; Jia-Yin HAN ; Chen PAN ; Yu-Shi ZHANG ; Su-Yan LIU ; Yong ZHAO ; Xiao-Meng ZHANG ; Jing-Wen WU ; Xuan TANG ; Ai-Hua LIANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(15):4089-4099
In this study, lipopolysaccharide(LPS), ovalbumin(OVA), and compound 48/80(C48/80) were administered to establish non-infectious pneumonia models under simulated clinical conditions, and the correlation between their pathological characteristics and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) syndromes was compared, providing the basis for the selection of appropriate animal models for TCM efficacy evaluation. An acute pneumonia model was established by nasal instillation of LPS combined with intraperitoneal injection for intensive stimulation. Three doses of OVA mixed with aluminum hydroxide adjuvant were injected intraperitoneally on days one, three, and five and OVA was administered via endotracheal drip for excitation on days 14-18 to establish an OVA-induced allergic pneumonia model. A single intravenous injection of three doses of C48/80 was adopted to establish a C48/80-induced pneumonia model. By detecting the changes in peripheral blood leukocyte classification, lung tissue and plasma cytokines, immunoglobulins(Ig), histamine levels, and arachidonic acid metabolites, the multi-dimensional analysis was carried out based on pathological evaluation. The results showed that the three models could cause pulmonary edema, increased wet weight in the lung, and obvious exudative inflammation in lung tissue pathology, especially for LPS. A number of pyrogenic cytokines, inclading interleukin(IL)-6, interferon(IFN)-γ, IL-1β, and IL-4 were significantly elevated in the LPS pneumonia model. Significantly increased levels of prostacyclin analogs such as prostaglandin E2(PGE2) and PGD2, which cause increased vascular permeability, and neutrophils in peripheral blood were significantly elevated. The model could partly reflect the clinical characteristics of phlegm heat accumulating in the lung or dampness toxin obstructing the lung. The OVA model showed that the sensitization mediators IgE and leukotriene E4(LTE4) were increased, and the anti-inflammatory prostacyclin 6-keto-PGF2α was decreased. Immune cells(lymphocytes and monocytes) were decreased, and inflammatory cells(neutrophils and basophils) were increased, reflecting the characteristics of "deficiency", "phlegm", or "dampness". Lymphocytes, monocytes, and basophils were significantly increased in the C48/80 model. The phenotype of the model was that the content of histamine, a large number of prostacyclins(6-keto-PGE1, PGF2α, 15-keto-PGF2α, 6-keto-PGF1α, 13,14-D-15-keto-PGE2, PGD2, PGE2, and PGH2), LTE4, and 5-hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid(5S-HETE) was significantly increased, and these indicators were associated with vascular expansion and increased vascular permeability. The pyrogenic inflammatory cytokines were not increased. The C48/80 model reflected the characteristics of cold and damp accumulation. In the study, three non-infectious pneumonia models were constructed. The LPS model exhibited neutrophil infiltration and elevated inflammatory factors, which was suitable for the efficacy study of TCM for clearing heat, detoxifying, removing dampness, and eliminating phlegm. The OVA model, which took allergic inflammation as an index, was suitable for the efficacy study of Yiqi Gubiao formulas. The C48/80 model exhibited increased vasoactive substances(histamine, PGs, and LTE4), which was suitable for the efficacy study and evaluation of TCM for warming the lung, dispersing cold, drying dampness, and resolving phlegm. The study provides a theoretical basis for model selection for the efficacy evaluation of TCM in the treatment of pneumonia.
Animals
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Disease Models, Animal
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Mice
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Pneumonia/genetics*
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Male
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Humans
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Cytokines/immunology*
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Female
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Lipopolysaccharides/adverse effects*
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Lung/drug effects*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal
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Ovalbumin
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Mice, Inbred BALB C
6.Primary intraosseous synovial sarcoma:a case report and literature review
Wen ZHAO ; Wei-Jun QIAN ; Li LI ; Yan-Min WANG ; Peng-Hui SU ; Chao-Xin ZHANG ; Liang XU ; Tie-Cheng WU ; Jun-Qi LIU ; Ya-Jun WANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(11):1419-1425
Objective To report a case of tibial synovial sarcoma and review relevant literature to enhance understanding of this disease.Methods The clinical data of a patient with tibial synovial sarcoma treated at Kaifeng Central Hospital were retrospectively analyzed.A literature search was conducted in domestic and international databases,including China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI),Wanfang Data,PubMed,Web of Science,and Embase,up to July 2024.Relevant literature was comprehensively reviewed to summarize the imaging and pathological characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of synovial sarcoma.Results A 29-year-old female patient was admitted with left lower extremity pain.X-ray examination revealed a proximal tibia space-occupying lesion suggestive of malignancy,and a mid-tibial space-occupying lesion considered benign.Contrast-enhanced computed tomography(CT)and plain magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)of the proximal tibial lesion also suggested malignancy.Ultrasound-guided biopsy of the proximal tibial tumor revealed a poorly differentiated malignant tumor.Immunohistochemistry results indicated monophasic synovial sarcoma,requiring genetic testing for definitive diagnosis.The patient underwent wide resection of the proximal left tibial malignancy with tumor-type artificial joint replacement,combined with curettage and bone cement filling for the left mid-tibial lesion under anesthesia.Postoperative pathology of space-occupying lesions in the proximal tibia confirmed monophasic synovial sarcoma,and fluorescence in situ hybridization(FISH)demonstrated a rupture of the synovial sarcoma translocation gene(SYT)(i.e.,SS18 positive).There was no recurrence or metastasis found in the patient during the reexamination 6 months after postoperative chemotherapy.As of July 2024,15 cases of genetically confirmed primary intraosseous synovial sarcoma have been reported internationally.Symptoms included pain and swelling,with a medical history of 1-2 years.The X-ray and CT findings showed osteolytic destruction with bone cortical discontinuity.In 13 cases,the intraosseous masses extended to the extraosseous area;in 2 cases,punctate calcifications were detected within the masses.Plain MRI scan showed iso-signal or hypo-signal on T1WI and hyper-signal,iso-signal,and hypo-signal on fat-suppressed T2WI,and enhanced MRI scan demonstrated heterogeneous enhancement.Pathological examination showed spindle-shaped cells under microscopy.Immunohistochemistry results showed positive epithelial membrane antigen(EMA),broad-spectrum cytokeratin(AE1/AE3),Ewing's sarcoma marker(CD99),and transducin-like enhancer of Split 1(TLE1).Twelve patients underwent surgical treatment;6 patients received adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery,of whom 4 developed local recurrence or distant metastasis at initial diagnosis,and 3 died during follow-up.Among the 6 patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy,3 suffered from recurrence or distant metastasis.Conclusions Primary intraosseous synovial sarcoma is a rare malignant tumor with non-specific clinical manifestations.Imaging features typically include osteolytic destruction and intraosseous masses extending extraosseously,suggesting an intraosseous origin.Pathology and immunohistochemistry aid diagnosis,but definitive confirmation relies on further genetic testing.At present,the main treatment regimens for synovial sarcoma involve comprehensive therapies such as surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy,and the prognosis of patients is poor.
7.Psychological Characteristics and Pain Tolerance of Adolescents with Depression Experiencing Self-injury or Suicidality
Linyuan XU ; Huajun ZHAO ; Chao LI ; Yan SU ; Shihua BAO ; Lei WU ; Qingwei LI ; Bingkui ZHANG
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(1):68-77
Objective To explore the influencing factors of self injury or suicide in adolescent patients with depression.Methods A total of 96 adolescents who were diagnosed with depressive disorder at Yunnan Psychiatirc Hospital and Kunming Psychiatirc Hospital from January 2023 to May 2024 were selected for the study.The case group consisted of 61 adolescents who had self-injury or suicidal behaviors within 30 days,while the control group consisted of 35 adolescents who had no self-injury or suicidal behaviors within at least 30 days.Assessments were performed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9(PHQ-9),Millon Screening Inventory for Borderline Personality Disorder(MSI-BPD),House-Tree-Person Drawing Test(HTP),and the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale(C-SSRS).Among these,72 subjects underwent skin pressure pain threshold testing using the Algometer HP-50,with 12 in the self-harm or suicide group within 2 days and 60 in the group beyond 2 days.Results(1)Analysis of gender and age between the two groups showed statistically significant differences(P<0.05),with a higher proportion of females and younger ages in the 30-day group;(2)The PHQ-9 score for the 30-day group was(19.59±5.99),with a score of(2.41±0.97)for item 9("Thoughts that it would be better to be dead or to hurt oneself in some way"),and an MSI-BPD score of(7.43±1.61).The scores for the group over 30 days were(10.89±7.99),(1.00±1.11)for item 9,and(5.40±3.13)for MSI-BPD.Independent samples t-test analysis showed significant differences(P<0.01);(3)In the 30-day group,five drawing characteristics from the 47 HTP characteristics(shift of center of gravity,hair not disheveled or no hair,no mountains,no sun,and no flowers or grass)were found to occur at a higher rate,with statistical significance(P<0.05);(4)In the binary logistic regression analysis of 96 patients with the 30-day suicide or self-injury behavior as the dependent variable,the absence of flowers and PHQ-9 question 9 score are the risk factors for adolescent depression patients to have self-injury or suicide behavior within 30 days(OR no flowers=7.934,OR score on PHQ-9 question 9=3.554).(5)Among the 72 subjects the skin pressure pain threshold for adolescents who exhibited self-injure or suicide behaviors within 2 days(8.83±4.27 N)was significantly higher than that for patients beyond 2 days(6.48±3.00 N),with statistical significance(t=-2.201,P<0.05).Additionally,the score for item 9 of the PHQ-9 was higher(2.50±0.67 vs 1.87±0.95),also showing statistical significance(t=-2.201,P<0.05).Conclusion The absence of flowers or grass in HTP painting,and stronger suicidal ideation or suicide attempt are risk factors for self-injury or suicidal behavior in adolescents with depression.Furthermore,those who self-injure or commit suicide within 2 days have a higher pain threshold compared to those beyond 2 days.
8.Association Between Obesity-Related Metabolic Indices and Knee Osteoarthritis: A Cross-Sectional Study in Middle-Aged and Older Chinese Adults
Changfa HUANG ; Hao FAN ; Ze WEI ; Jing HAO ; Lijin LIU ; Su LIU ; Zhifa ZHENG ; Fei LIU ; Lina ZHAO ; Zhihong WU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;17(1):172-180
To investigate the association between obesity-related metabolic indices and the risk of knee osteoarthritis(KOA) in middle-aged and older Chinese adults(≥45 years) using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS). Data from two CHARLS survey waves(2011—2012 and 2015—2016) were analyzed. Obesity indices—including body mass index(BMI), waist circumference(WC), waist-to-height ratio(WHtR), visceral adiposity index(VAI), a body shape index(ABSI), body roundness index(BRI), lipid accumulation product(LAP), conicity index(CI), and Chinese visceral adiposity index(CVAI)-and metabolic indices-triglyceride glucose index(TyG), TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR-were collected. Covariates comprised demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and health status. Three multivariate logistic regression models were constructed. Sex-subgroup analyses assessed heterogeneity, and receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves with area under the curve(AUC) were used to evaluate diagnostic performance. Among 9527 participants, the prevalence of KOA was 9.59%(914/9527). After adjusting for confounders, linear regression revealed significant positive associations between KOA and BMI( BMI, BRI, LAP, TyG-BMI, and TyG-WHtR may serve as auxiliary indicators for KOA risk assessment in middle-aged and older women, but their standalone screening value remains modest. Clinical evaluation and integration with other risk factors are recommended for comprehensive risk stratification.
9.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
10.Trends in incidence of notifiable infectious diseases in Nanjing City from 2004 to 2022
ZHOU Qinyi ; MA Tao ; ZHAO Yueyuan ; WANG Hengxue ; WU Xiaoqing ; DING Songning ; SU Jingjing
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(5):476-480
Objective:
To investigate the incidence trend and epidemic characteristics of notifiable infectious diseases in Nanjing City from 2004 to 2022, so as to provide the basis for improving the prevention, control, and monitoring strategies of infectious diseases.
Methods:
Data pertaining to notifiable infectious diseases reported in Nanjing City from 2004 to 2022 were retrieved from the Infectious Disease Surveillance System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. Infectious diseases were classified by law and transmission routes. Temporal distribution incidence of notifiable infectious diseases were descriptively analyzed. The trends in incidence of notifiable disease were analyzed using annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC).
Results:
A total of 33 types of notifiable infectious diseases with 505 275 cases were reported in Nanjing City from 2004 to 2022. The average annual reported incidence was 347.45/105, showing a decreasing trend from 2018 to 2022 (APC=-13.499%, P<0.05), and there was no significant trend overall (AAPC=-1.586%, P>0.05). A total of 203 235 cases of 25 types of class A and B notifiable infectious diseases were reported, with an average annual reported incidence of 139.75/100 000, showing an overall decreasing trend (AAPC=-4.954%, P<0.05). Eight types of class C notifiable infectious diseases with 302 042 cases were reported, with an average annual reported incidence of 207.69/100 000. The reported incidence showed an increasing trend from 2004 to 2018 (APC=10.117%, P<0.05), and a decreasing trend from 2018 to 2022 (APC=-27.467%, P<0.05). There was no trend overall (AAPC=-0.360%, P>0.05). The reported incidence of blood-borne and sexually transmitted infectious diseases was the highest in class A and B infectious diseases, with an average annual reported incidence of 69.88/100 000, which was at a high epidemic level throughout the year, except February. The reported incidence of respiratory infectious diseases was 51.30/100 000, with a high reported incidence in April and December. The reported incidence of intestinal infectious diseases was the highest (178.06/100 000) in class C infectious diseases, with a high reported incidence in June and November.
Conclusions
The reported incidence of notifiable infectious diseases in Nanjing City was generally stable from 2004 to 2022. The peak incidence of respiratory infectious diseases occurred in winter and spring, and that of intestinal infectious diseases was in summer and autumn. It is necessary to strengthen the surveillance and intervention of blood-borne and sexually transmitted infectious diseases, respiratory infectious diseases, and intestinal infectious diseases to reduce the risk of infectious diseases.


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