1.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
2.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
3.Inhibition of WAC alleviates the chondrocyte proinflammatory secretory phenotype and cartilage degradation via H2BK120ub1 and H3K27me3 coregulation.
Peitao XU ; Guiwen YE ; Xiaojun XU ; Zhidong LIU ; Wenhui YU ; Guan ZHENG ; Zepeng SU ; Jiajie LIN ; Yunshu CHE ; Yipeng ZENG ; Zhikun LI ; Pei FENG ; Qian CAO ; Zhongyu XIE ; Yanfeng WU ; Huiyong SHEN ; Jinteng LI
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(8):4064-4077
Several types of arthritis share the common feature that the generation of inflammatory mediators leads to joint cartilage degradation. However, the shared mechanism is largely unknown. H2BK120ub1 was reportedly involved in various inflammatory diseases but its role in the shared mechanism in inflammatory joint conditions remains elusive. The present study demonstrated that levels of cartilage degradation, H2BK120ub1, and its regulator WW domain-containing adapter protein with coiled-coil (WAC) were increased in cartilage in human rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and osteoarthritis (OA) patients as well as in experimental RA and OA mice. By regulating H2BK120ub1 and H3K27me3, WAC regulated the secretion of inflammatory and cartilage-degrading factors. WAC influenced the level of H3K27me3 by regulating nuclear entry of the H3K27 demethylase KDM6B, and acted as a key factor of the crosstalk between H2BK120ub1 and H3K27me3. The cartilage-specific knockout of WAC demonstrated the ability to alleviate cartilage degradation in collagen-induced arthritis (CIA) and collagenase-induced osteoarthritis (CIOA) mice. Through molecular docking and dynamic simulation, doxercalciferol was found to inhibit WAC and the development of cartilage degradation in the CIA and CIOA models. Our study demonstrated that WAC is a key factor of cartilage degradation in arthritis, and targeting WAC by doxercalciferol could be a viable therapeutic strategy for treating cartilage destruction in several types of arthritis.
4.Research on the protective effects and influencing factors of hearing protection device in different industries
Shibiao SU ; Xi ZHONG ; Qifan HUANG ; Qinyu OU ; Yingyin ZHANG ; Zepeng LI ; Xi LUO ; Simin CHEN ; Zhaoying HUANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(7):508-512
Objective:To evaluate the current situation of the protective effect of hearing protection device (HPD) worn by manufacturing workers and discuss their possible influencing factors.Methods:A total of 3634 noisy workers were surveyed and tested. The study conducted surveys of workers on the use of HPD. The 3M TM E-A-R Fit TM binaural verification system was used to measure the personal attenuation device (PAR) of workers wearing HPD. Results:The M ( Q1, Q3) of baseline PAR obtained by 3634 workers was 12 (2, 19) dB. There was a statistically significant difference in baseline PAR among the three types of HPDs ( H=336.39, P<0.01) . After pairwise comparison, it was found that the baseline PAR of workers wearing foam earplugs and earmuffs was higher than that of pre-molded earplugs ( P<0.01) . There were differences in baseline PAR among workers in different industries ( Z=359.73, P<0.01) . Education level, age of using HPD, types of HPDs, noise exposure intensity, with or without knowledge of correct methods, and comfort evaluation were the main factors affecting baseline PAR ( P<0.05) . There were 1536 workers (43.4%) failed the baseline PAR test. After the intervention, the median PAR increased significantly from 1 (0, 6) dB (baseline) to 18 (14, 22) dB (after the intervention) ( P<0.01) . The follow-up test found that the follow-up PAR of 328 workers was higher than the baseline PAR of the initial test, and the follow-up PAR was higher than the post-intervention PAR of the initial test ( P<0.01) . Conclusion:Under the conditions of this study, the protective effect of HPD was affected by factors such as incorrect understanding of wearing methods, exposure to high-intensity noise, low education level, a short period of time of HPD use and low comfort of hearing protectors. The protective effect could be improved through training, optimizing the wearing of hearing protector models, and follow-up interventions. Enterprises should use suitability verification to ensure the correct selection and wearing of noisy workers.
5.Association between CaSR Gene rs17251221,rs60388563 Loci Polymorphisms and Genetic Susceptibility to Breast Cancer
Mingchao LIU ; Huimin FENG ; Zepeng LIU ; Yansong LI ; Qiuxia JIANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(4):24-28
Objective To investigate the relationship between calcium-sensing receptor(CaSR)gene rs17251221,rs60388563 loci polymorphisms and the genetic susceptibility of breast cancer(BC).Methods A total of 122 patients with breast cancer admitted to Hengshui Second People's Hospital from January 2022 to June 2024 were selected as the BC group,and 100 healthy women without blood relationship at the same time were selected as the control group.The polymorphisms of CaSR gene rs17251221,rs60388563 loci were detected by polymerase chain reaction(PCR).The clinical data,genotype distribution and allele frequency were compared between the two groups.Non-conditional Logistic regression model was used to analyze the correlation between CaSR gene polymorphism and genetic susceptibility of BC patients.Results Comparing the general data of the two group,the proportion of family history of cancer in the BC group was significantly higher than that in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(t=12.246,P<0.05).The genotype distribution of CaSR gene rs17251221 and rs60388563 loci in the control group and the BC group was consistent with the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium law(χ2=0.087~1.202,P>0.05),which was representative of the population.Under the co-dominant model of rs17251221 and rs60388563 loci,the risk of BC in GG genotype was significantly increased(OR=1.493,95%CI=1.070~2.108;OR=1.483,95%CI=1.034~2.121).Under the dominant model(AA vs GA+GG)and recessive model(GG vs GA+AA),the rs17251221 locus carrying G allele(OR=1.371,95%CI=1.023~1.824)and A allele(OR=0.524,95%CI=0.221~0.926)was significantly associated with the risk of BC(P<0.05).Under the dominant model(CC vs GC+GG)and recessive model(GG vs GC+CC),the rs60388563 locus carrying G allele(OR=1.245,95%CI=1.107~1.461)and C allele(OR=0.682,95%CI=0.523~0.974)was significantly associated with the risk of BC(P<0.05).Conclusion The rs17251221,rs60388563 loci polymorphisms of CaSR gene are closely related to BC susceptibility,and the risk of BC is high in individuals carrying G allele.
6.The development, reform and system construction of organ transplantation in China
Jun REN ; Zepeng LI ; Wujun XUE
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2025;46(6):397-402
After more than sixty years of exploration and practice, China has established an organ donation and transplantation system with distinctive Chinese characteristics, achieving a leapfrog development from technology introduction to independent innovation. Through systematic reforms such as formulating and improving legal regulations including the Regulation on Human Organ Donation and Transplantation, optimizing the China Organ Transplant Response System (COTRS), and comprehensively implementing voluntary citizen donation, the number of organ donations and transplantations in China has ranked among the top in the world. However, challenges remain, including a relatively low donation rate, regional disparities, and insufficient public awareness. In the future, efforts should focus on building a four-level coordinated organ donation management system at the provincial, municipal, county/district, and medical institution levels, strengthening the organic connection between primary healthcare networks and Organ Procurement Organization (OPO). Through systematic measures such as improving public education and awareness systems, optimizing the allocation of medical resources, and refining organizational structures, China aims to continuously increase the organ donation rate and promote the high-quality development of its organ transplantation, thereby contributing Chinese wisdom and solutions to the global progress of organ transplantation.
7.A study of the intervention effect of nose pads and elastic adjustment clasps on the fit of KN95 masks
Yingyin ZHANG ; Qifan HUANG ; Xiaotang SU ; Xi ZHONG ; Zepeng LI ; Xi LUO ; Shibiao SU
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(3):164-169
Objective:To investigate the fit of dust-exposed workers wearing KN95 masks in a city of Guangdong Province, and to discuss the intervention effect of nose pads and elastic adjustment clasps on the fit of KN95 masks.Methods:In January 2024, 145 dust-exposed workers from a stone processing enterprise in a city of Guangdong Province were selected as study subjects by convenience sampling, and 4 types of KN95 masks commonly used by dust-exposed workers were selected as test masks. The head and face dimensions of the study subjects were measured using a right-angle gauge and a curved-angle gauge, and the fit factor (FF) of the KN95 masks was tested using the quantitative fit test for respiratory protective equipment, and the intervention of adding nose pads or elastic adjustment clasps was given to those who failed the first fit test. The paired t-test was used to compare the changes of workers' FF before and after the intervention. Results:The coverage rate of the study population in the facial subsection of the Chinese Han population was 71.0% (103/145). Before intervention, the overall passing rate of the fit test of 4 types of KN95 masks was 16.6% (24/145), and the passing rate of 4 types of masks had statistical significance ( χ2=19.73, P<0.001). After intervention, the overall passing rate of the fit test of masks was 33.9% (41/121), and the geometric mean of the total FF after intervention increased from 15.9 to 62.7 ( t=-13.53, P<0.001), among which 88.4% (107/121) workers' FF improved after intervention, and 11.6% (14/121) of workers had reduced FF. Conclusion:Dust-exposed workers in a city of Guangdong Province have a low coverage rate of facial subsection among Chinese Han population, and the passing rate of KN95 mask fit test is low. Interventions using additional nose pads or elastic adjustment clasps can partially improve the fit of the mask, and it is still necessary to continue to explore interventions to improve the fit of mask wearers.
8.Analysis of the actual protective effect and its influencing factors of respiratory protective equipment for trichloroethylene-exposed workers
Qifan HUANG ; Yingyin ZHANG ; Zhuandi ZHAO ; Weitao LIN ; Jiaheng HE ; Zepeng LI ; Xi ZHONG ; Xi LUO ; Shibiao SU
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(3):170-174
Objective:To understand the current status of the actual protective effect of respiratory protective equipment (RPE) for workers exposed to trichloroethylene (TCE), and to explore the factors affecting the actual protective effect.Methods:From July to December 2023, a total of 75 workers occupationally exposed to TCE from 21 hardware and electronics manufacturing facilities in a province were selected as research objects by convenient sampling method. Workplace protection factor (WPF) was used as an index to evaluate the actual protective effect of workers' RPE. The concentration of TCE inside and outside the RPE was detected to calculate WPE, and the temperature, humidity and wind speed near the working place were measured, as well as the forced vital capacity, respiratory rate, heart rate and other indicators of the worker were measured. The log-transformed WPF value (lgWPF) followed a normal distribution. One-sample t-test was used to compare the difference between the mean lgWPF and the log value of the assigned protection factor (APF) of the half mask (lgAPF=1). Multiple linear regression model was used to investigate the influencing factors of lgWPF. Results:The lgWPF of 75 TCE-exposed workers ranged from 0.40 to 1.32 (0.84±0.22). The mean of lgWPF was lower than that of lgAPF, and the difference was statistically significant ( t=-6.37, P<0.001). After adjusting for confounding factors, the results of multiple linear regression showed that humidity, forced vital capacity and respiratory rate were negatively correlated with lgWPF ( β=-0.008, -0.079, -0.021, P<0.05) . Conclusion:The actual protective efficacy of RPE among workers exposed to TCE is suboptimal. High humidity, elevated forced vital capacity, and increased respiratory rate may be contributing factors to the diminished protective performance of RPE.
9.Epidemiological investigation and analysis of occupational injuries of workers in metallurgical and shipbuilding and repairing industry
Xi LUO ; Zepeng LI ; Yingyin ZHANG ; Dan WANG ; Weijiang HU ; Jinnan ZHENG ; Shibiao SU
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(3):201-205
Objective:To understand the occupational injury situation of front-line workers in metallurgical and shipbuilding and repairing industry, and explore the risk factors of occupational injury.Methods:From September 2023 to March 2024, using cluster sampling method, front-line workers from 2 metallurgical enterprises in Shaoguan and Jinan City and 2 shipbuilding and repairing enterprises in Jiangmen and Shenzhen City were selected as the investigation objects. 6248 questionnaires were distributed and collected, and 6178 were effective questionnaires, with a effective recovery rate of 98.88%. The basic information, living habits, working system, protection and occupational injury of workers were investigated, and the data of occupational injury in factories was collected. The types, jobs and main causes of occupational injuries in different industries were analyzed, and the influencing factors of occupational injuries were analyzed by univariate and multi-factor logistic regression.Results:The incidence of occupational injury was 3.13% (128/4086) in metallurgical industry and 4.02% (84/2092) in shipbuilding and repairing industry. The top three occupational injuries in the metallurgical industry were furnace worker (17.19%, 22/128), steel rolling worker (14.84%, 19/128), maintenance worker (10.16%, 13/128), and the top three injury types were mechanical injury (24.22%, 31/128), height fall (20.31%, 26/128) and object strikes (17.97%, 23/128). The top three occupational injuries in shipbuilding and repairing industry were welder (20.24%, 17/84), riveter (9.52%, 8/84) and crane (8.33%, 7/84). The top three injury types were hit by objects (34.52%, 29/84), hit by falling objects (22.62%, 19/84), and lifting injury (20.24%, 17/84). The injuries of workers in metallurgical industry and shipbuilding and repairing industry were mainly fractures, accounting for 32.03% (41/128) and 60.71% (51/84), respectively. The incidence of occupational injury was higher in males, with sleep disorder, high temperature exposure and chemical toxicity exposure ( P<0.05). There were significant differences in age, smoking degree, working age and emotional state between workers with occupational injury and those without occupational injury ( P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that male, age above 50 years old, moderate smoking, working years of 5-9 years, mild anxiety, poor health status and high temperature exposure were risk factors for occupational injury ( OR=25.57, 3.72, 14.27, 2.09, 1.50, 4.36, 0.66, P<0.05) . Conclusion:The incidence of occupational injury is higher in shipbuilding and repairing industry, and fracture is the main type of occupational injury. The occurrence of occupational injury is affected by gender, age, smoking, working age, emotional state, health status and high temperature exposure.
10.Research on the protective effects and influencing factors of hearing protection device in different industries
Shibiao SU ; Xi ZHONG ; Qifan HUANG ; Qinyu OU ; Yingyin ZHANG ; Zepeng LI ; Xi LUO ; Simin CHEN ; Zhaoying HUANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(7):508-512
Objective:To evaluate the current situation of the protective effect of hearing protection device (HPD) worn by manufacturing workers and discuss their possible influencing factors.Methods:A total of 3634 noisy workers were surveyed and tested. The study conducted surveys of workers on the use of HPD. The 3M TM E-A-R Fit TM binaural verification system was used to measure the personal attenuation device (PAR) of workers wearing HPD. Results:The M ( Q1, Q3) of baseline PAR obtained by 3634 workers was 12 (2, 19) dB. There was a statistically significant difference in baseline PAR among the three types of HPDs ( H=336.39, P<0.01) . After pairwise comparison, it was found that the baseline PAR of workers wearing foam earplugs and earmuffs was higher than that of pre-molded earplugs ( P<0.01) . There were differences in baseline PAR among workers in different industries ( Z=359.73, P<0.01) . Education level, age of using HPD, types of HPDs, noise exposure intensity, with or without knowledge of correct methods, and comfort evaluation were the main factors affecting baseline PAR ( P<0.05) . There were 1536 workers (43.4%) failed the baseline PAR test. After the intervention, the median PAR increased significantly from 1 (0, 6) dB (baseline) to 18 (14, 22) dB (after the intervention) ( P<0.01) . The follow-up test found that the follow-up PAR of 328 workers was higher than the baseline PAR of the initial test, and the follow-up PAR was higher than the post-intervention PAR of the initial test ( P<0.01) . Conclusion:Under the conditions of this study, the protective effect of HPD was affected by factors such as incorrect understanding of wearing methods, exposure to high-intensity noise, low education level, a short period of time of HPD use and low comfort of hearing protectors. The protective effect could be improved through training, optimizing the wearing of hearing protector models, and follow-up interventions. Enterprises should use suitability verification to ensure the correct selection and wearing of noisy workers.

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