1.Development of A Prognostic Prediction Model for Primary Membranous Nephropathy in the Elderly Based on Machine Learning
Yuzhu XU ; Shuqin LIU ; Dingding WANG ; Wei CHEN ; Xin WANG
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(2):370-381
Elderly patients with primary membranous nephropathy (PMN) exhibit significant prognostic heterogeneity and poor tolerance to immunotherapy. However, there is a lack of early prognostic prediction tools specifically for this population. This study aimed to develop a prognostic prediction model applicable to elderly PMN patients. This study retrospectively included elderly patients with PMN confirmed by renal biopsy. The primary endpoint was a adverse composite outcome including end-stage renal disease (ESRD), a ≥50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), or all-cause death. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort at a ratio of 7∶3. Key prognostic features were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression combined with random survival forest, and a predictive model was constructed based on penalized Cox regression. Model performance was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. The SurvSHAP (t) method was employed for interpretability analysis of the model. A total of 309 elderly patients with PMN were included in this study, with a median age of 65.00 years (IQR, 62.00-68.00) and a male predominance 61.2%(189/309).During a median follow-up of 47.00 months (IQR, 25.00-89.00), 38.2%(118/309) reached the endpoint event. The final model included nine key features, including eGFR, total protein (TP), glomerular capsular adhesion, urine glucose, segmental glomerulosclerosis proportion, fibrinogen, urea, age, and activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT). In the validation cohort, the model demonstrated good discrimination, with a C-index of 0.731(95% CI: 0.652-0.797). The time-dependent AUROCs for predicting adverse outcomes at 3, 5, and 10 years were 0.758(95% CI: 0.614-0.901), 0.781(95% CI: 0.646-0.916), and 0.866(95% CI: 0.740-0.993), respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated a high degree of concordance between predicted probabilities and actual event rates. Decision curve analysis confirmed the net clinical benefit of the model.SurvSHAP (t) analysis showed that eGFR, TP, glomerular capsular adhesion, urine glucose, and the proportion of segmental glomerular sclerosis were the top five variables contributing to the model. This prognostic model effectively predicts the risk of adverse outcomes in elderly patients with PMN in the internal validation cohort, offering a potential scientific basis for individualized risk stratification and treatment decision-making in this population.
2.Expert consensus on the application of nasal cavity filling substances in nasal surgery patients(2025, Shanghai).
Keqing ZHAO ; Shaoqing YU ; Hongquan WEI ; Chenjie YU ; Guangke WANG ; Shijie QIU ; Yanjun WANG ; Hongtao ZHEN ; Yucheng YANG ; Yurong GU ; Tao GUO ; Feng LIU ; Meiping LU ; Bin SUN ; Yanli YANG ; Yuzhu WAN ; Cuida MENG ; Yanan SUN ; Yi ZHAO ; Qun LI ; An LI ; Luo BA ; Linli TIAN ; Guodong YU ; Xin FENG ; Wen LIU ; Yongtuan LI ; Jian WU ; De HUAI ; Dongsheng GU ; Hanqiang LU ; Xinyi SHI ; Huiping YE ; Yan JIANG ; Weitian ZHANG ; Yu XU ; Zhenxiao HUANG ; Huabin LI
Journal of Clinical Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;39(4):285-291
This consensus will introduce the characteristics of fillers used in the surgical cavities of domestic nasal surgery patients based on relevant literature and expert opinions. It will also provide recommendations for the selection of cavity fillers for different nasal diseases, with chronic sinusitis as a representative example.
Humans
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Nasal Cavity/surgery*
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Nasal Surgical Procedures
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China
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Consensus
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Sinusitis/surgery*
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Dermal Fillers
3.Study on the Relationship between miR-425-5p/PTCH1 Axis Molecular Expression and Clinical Pathological Characteristics and Prognosis in Primary Laryngeal Cancer Tissue
Ran XU ; Lijun ZHANG ; Yuzhu JI ; Shuang ZHANG ; Zhenhua JIANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(4):50-54,66
Objective To investigate the relationship between microRNA(miR)-425-5p/patched homolog 1(PTCH1)axis molecules and clinical pathological parameters and prognosis in cancer tissues of primary laryngeal cancer(PLC)patients.Methods 102 PLC patients admitted to Mianyang Central Hospital from March 2020 to March 2021 were selected.The relative expression level of miR-425-5p and PTCH1 positive expression rate in PLC cancer tissues and adjacent normal tissues were compared,and the relationship between miR-425-5p relative expression level,PTCH1 positive expression rate and PLC clinical pathological parameters was analyzed.Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-Rank were used χ2 tests were conducted to analyze the 3-year cumulative survival rate of miR-425-5p and PTCH1 positive/negative expression groups,and COX regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of PLC prognosis.Results Compared with normal tissue adjacent to cancer,the relative expression level of miR-425-5p in PLC cancer tissue was significantly increased(2.12±0.52 vs 0.98±0.17),and the positive expression rate of PTCH1 was significantly reduced(27.45%vs 61.76%),with statistical significance(t/χ2=21.045,24.302,all P<0.05).Compared with patients with T1-T2,N0,and high differentiation of tumors,patients with T3-T4,N1-N3,and low differentiation of tumors showed a significant increase in the relative expression of miR-425-5p(t=3.647,2.900,3.029),and a significant decrease in the positive expression rate of PTCH1(χ2=5.842,4.011,5.136),the differences were statistically significance(all P<0.05).The 3-year cumulative survival rate of the miR-425-5p high expression group was 64.52%(20/31),which was significantly lower than that of the low expression group at 84.06%(58/69).The 3-year cumulative survival rate of the PTCH1 high expression group was 80.00%(28/35),which was significantly higher than that of the low expression group at 64.62%(42/65),and the differences were statistically significant(Log-Rank χ2=4.287,4.548,all P<0.05).Elevated T taging,cervical lymph node recurrence,elevated N staging,pharyngeal recurrence,elevated miR-425-5p,and negative PTCH1 expression were risk factors for poor prognosis of PLC(all P<0.05).Conclusion High expression of miR-425-5p and low expression of PTCH1 in cancer tissues of primary laryngeal cancer patients are significantly correlated with elevated T stage,low tumor differentiation,elevated N stage,and low 3-year cumulative survival rate.
4.Analysis on the Strategy of"Three-division Co-management"of Chinese Medicine Practitioners Participating in Chronic Diseases
Peilian ZHANG ; Huirong XU ; Wentian CHEN ; Yuzhu ZHANG ; Wenting HONG ; Wanzhen CAI
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(8):71-75
Objective:It aims to explore the advantages,disadvantages,opportunities and challenges of Chinese medicine practitioners participating in the"three-division co-management"service model in diabetes management,analyze its performance in policy support,resource matching and patient satisfaction,and put forward optimization strategies to enhance the role of Chinese medicine practitioners in chronic disease management.Methods:Through literature analysis,questionnaire survey and semi-structured interview,the data of six pilot units of"three divisions co-management"in Jinjiang were collected,and the internal and external environment of Chinese medicine practitioners participating in the"three divisions co-management"model was systematically evaluated by the Strengths,Weaknesses,Opportunities,Threats(SWOT)and the Politics,Economic,Society,Technology(PEST).Results:Chinese medicine practitioners' participation in the"three-division co-management"model has obvious advantages in policy support,resource matching and patient satisfaction,but it also faces key obstacles such as lack of incentive mechanism,shortage of Chinese medicine practitioners' resources and limitation of medical insurance reimbursement.The survey shows that 99.7%of the respondents are willing to choose this mode again,and 96.43%of the respondents said that the medical experience has improved significantly.However,43.92%of the subjects think that the professional knowledge and skills of doctors need to be improved,and 32.2%of the subjects think that the effect of Chinese medicine treatment on reducing the dependence and side effects of western medicine is limited.Conclusion:It is feasible and practical for Chinese medicine practitioners to participate in the"three divisions co-management"model,but it is necessary to further improve its service effect and sustainability by improving the performance appraisal mechanism,expanding the scope of medical insurance reimbursement,and strengthening the training for Chinese medicine practitioners' resources.
5.Study on the Relationship between miR-425-5p/PTCH1 Axis Molecular Expression and Clinical Pathological Characteristics and Prognosis in Primary Laryngeal Cancer Tissue
Ran XU ; Lijun ZHANG ; Yuzhu JI ; Shuang ZHANG ; Zhenhua JIANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(4):50-54,66
Objective To investigate the relationship between microRNA(miR)-425-5p/patched homolog 1(PTCH1)axis molecules and clinical pathological parameters and prognosis in cancer tissues of primary laryngeal cancer(PLC)patients.Methods 102 PLC patients admitted to Mianyang Central Hospital from March 2020 to March 2021 were selected.The relative expression level of miR-425-5p and PTCH1 positive expression rate in PLC cancer tissues and adjacent normal tissues were compared,and the relationship between miR-425-5p relative expression level,PTCH1 positive expression rate and PLC clinical pathological parameters was analyzed.Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-Rank were used χ2 tests were conducted to analyze the 3-year cumulative survival rate of miR-425-5p and PTCH1 positive/negative expression groups,and COX regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of PLC prognosis.Results Compared with normal tissue adjacent to cancer,the relative expression level of miR-425-5p in PLC cancer tissue was significantly increased(2.12±0.52 vs 0.98±0.17),and the positive expression rate of PTCH1 was significantly reduced(27.45%vs 61.76%),with statistical significance(t/χ2=21.045,24.302,all P<0.05).Compared with patients with T1-T2,N0,and high differentiation of tumors,patients with T3-T4,N1-N3,and low differentiation of tumors showed a significant increase in the relative expression of miR-425-5p(t=3.647,2.900,3.029),and a significant decrease in the positive expression rate of PTCH1(χ2=5.842,4.011,5.136),the differences were statistically significance(all P<0.05).The 3-year cumulative survival rate of the miR-425-5p high expression group was 64.52%(20/31),which was significantly lower than that of the low expression group at 84.06%(58/69).The 3-year cumulative survival rate of the PTCH1 high expression group was 80.00%(28/35),which was significantly higher than that of the low expression group at 64.62%(42/65),and the differences were statistically significant(Log-Rank χ2=4.287,4.548,all P<0.05).Elevated T taging,cervical lymph node recurrence,elevated N staging,pharyngeal recurrence,elevated miR-425-5p,and negative PTCH1 expression were risk factors for poor prognosis of PLC(all P<0.05).Conclusion High expression of miR-425-5p and low expression of PTCH1 in cancer tissues of primary laryngeal cancer patients are significantly correlated with elevated T stage,low tumor differentiation,elevated N stage,and low 3-year cumulative survival rate.
6.Analysis on the Strategy of"Three-division Co-management"of Chinese Medicine Practitioners Participating in Chronic Diseases
Peilian ZHANG ; Huirong XU ; Wentian CHEN ; Yuzhu ZHANG ; Wenting HONG ; Wanzhen CAI
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(8):71-75
Objective:It aims to explore the advantages,disadvantages,opportunities and challenges of Chinese medicine practitioners participating in the"three-division co-management"service model in diabetes management,analyze its performance in policy support,resource matching and patient satisfaction,and put forward optimization strategies to enhance the role of Chinese medicine practitioners in chronic disease management.Methods:Through literature analysis,questionnaire survey and semi-structured interview,the data of six pilot units of"three divisions co-management"in Jinjiang were collected,and the internal and external environment of Chinese medicine practitioners participating in the"three divisions co-management"model was systematically evaluated by the Strengths,Weaknesses,Opportunities,Threats(SWOT)and the Politics,Economic,Society,Technology(PEST).Results:Chinese medicine practitioners' participation in the"three-division co-management"model has obvious advantages in policy support,resource matching and patient satisfaction,but it also faces key obstacles such as lack of incentive mechanism,shortage of Chinese medicine practitioners' resources and limitation of medical insurance reimbursement.The survey shows that 99.7%of the respondents are willing to choose this mode again,and 96.43%of the respondents said that the medical experience has improved significantly.However,43.92%of the subjects think that the professional knowledge and skills of doctors need to be improved,and 32.2%of the subjects think that the effect of Chinese medicine treatment on reducing the dependence and side effects of western medicine is limited.Conclusion:It is feasible and practical for Chinese medicine practitioners to participate in the"three divisions co-management"model,but it is necessary to further improve its service effect and sustainability by improving the performance appraisal mechanism,expanding the scope of medical insurance reimbursement,and strengthening the training for Chinese medicine practitioners' resources.
7.The association of cholesterol crystals and non-culprit plaque characteristics in AMI patients: an OCT study
Jiawei ZHAO ; Rui ZHAO ; Chao FANG ; Yuzhu CHEN ; Xueming XU ; Lina CUI ; Xianqin MA ; Jingbo HOU ; Jiannan DAI ; Bo YU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(6):659-666
Objective:To analyze plaque characteristics of non-culprit coronary lesions with cholesterol crystals in patients with acute myocardial infarction(AMI) by using optical coherence tomography(OCT). We also investigated the potential association between cholesterol crystals with plaque rupture and healed plaque at non-culprit segment.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Between January 2017 and December 2017, patients with AMI who underwent 3-vessel OCT imaging were included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence or absence of cholesterol crystals at the non-culprit lesions. All patients underwent coronary angiography and OCT examination, and non-culprit plaque characteristics were compared between the two groups. The generalized estimating equation log-binomial multirariate regression model was used to assess the relationship between non-culprit lesions with cholesterol crystals and plaque rupture and plaque healing. The follow-up data collection ended in October 2023. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted, and log-rank tests were used to compare the cumulative incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events between the two groups.Results:A total of 173 AMI patients were included (aged (56.8±11.6) years; 124 men (71.7%)). Among 710 non-culprit lesions identified by OCT, there were 102 (14.4%) in cholesterol crystals group and 608 (85.6%) in non-cholesterol crystals group. Compared with non-culprit lesions without cholesterol crystals, those with cholesterol crystals had smaller minimum lumen diameter, severer diameter stenosis, and longer lesion length (all P<0.01). The prevalence of plaque rupture (17.6% (18/102) vs. 4.9% (30/608), P=0.001) and thin-cap fibroatheroma (31.4% (32/102) vs. 11.5% (70/608), P<0.01) was higher in the cholesterol crystals groups than in the non-cholesterol crystals group. In addition, vulnerable plaque characteristics such as (44.1% (45/102) vs. 25.8% (157/608), P<0.01), macrophages were more frequently observed in non-culprit lesions with cholesterol crystals. The generalized estimating equation log-binomial multivariate regression analyses showed that non-culprit cholesterol crystals were positively correlated with healed plaque ( OR=1.583, 95% CI: 1.004-2.495, P=0.048). Conversely, cholesterol crystals were not associated with plaque rupture ( OR=1.632, 95% CI: 0.745-3.576, P=0.221). The follow-up time was 2 142 (1 880, 2 198) days. Non-culprit cholesterol crystals were not related to the major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with AMI (log-rank P=0.558). Conclusions:Among AMI patients, non-culprit lesions with cholesterol crystals presented with severer luminal stenosis and increased plaque vulnerability. The presence of non-culprit cholesterol crystals was associated with rather than plaque rupture.
8.Clinical characteristics of patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease
Hao GAO ; Yuzhu LEI ; Haiyun HUANG ; Xiang XU ; Chao ZHANG ; Jianfang ZHU ; Lihua LI ; Min ZENG ; Shuhui CHEN ; Jinli HE ; Yanxiu CHEN ; Zhihui ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(10):1200-1206
Objective:To describe the characteristics, etiology and patterns of outpatients and inpatients patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease (VHD).Methods:This is a cross-sectional study. Outpatients and inpatients with moderate or severe VHD who underwent transthoracic echocardiography for first examination from 1 st January 2001 to 1 st January 2020 in Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University were enrolled. Data were collected from medical records and big data platform of Southwest Hospital. Characteristics of age and gender, etiology and types of VHD were descriptively analysed. Results:A total of 68 354 patients with moderate or severe VHD were enrolled. The age was 63 (50, 72) years. And 35 706 (52.24%) patients were female. (1) Age characteristics: There was similar age trend between male and female patients with moderate or severe VHD. The number of patients increased firstly and then decreased and reached its peak in the age group of 65-69 years old. The peak age of mitral stenosis patients was 45-49 years, which was earlier than that of whole patients with moderate or severe VHD. The median age of patients with bicuspid aortic valve was 42 years. (2) Gender characteristics: The proportion of tricuspid regurgitation, pulmonary regurgitation, mitral regurgitation, mitral stenosis and valve surgery in female patients with moderate or severe VHD were higher than those in male patients. The proportion of aortic regurgitation, aortic stenosis and bicuspid aortic valve in male patients with moderate or severe VHD were significantly higher than those in female patients (all P<0.05). (3) Etiology: The proportion of rheumatic VHD was 13.07% (8 934/68 354), which was higher than that of degenerative VHD (0.67% (458/68 354)). (4) Types of VHD: Tricuspid regurgitation made contribution to the largest proportion with 60.72% (41 503/68 354), followed by mitral regurgitation, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, pulmonary regurgitation and aortic stenosis. Conclusions:There are certain regional characteristics in the prevalence of moderate or severe VHD in southwest China, suggesting different attention should be paid on the whole process of refined management of moderate or severe VHD.
9.Surgical strategy for lumbar degenerative diseases with segment instability between upper instrument vertebra and adjacent upper vertebra
Xi LI ; Lei LIU ; Zhe ZHANG ; Yuzhu XU ; Peiyang WANG ; Xiaolong LI ; Guozhen LIU ; Lele ZHANG ; Zhiyang XIE ; Yuao TAO ; Pan FAN ; Yuntao WANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(10):658-668
Objective:To summarize long-term clinical follow-up results of segment instability between the upper instrumented vertebra (UIV) and the adjacent upper vertebra (UIV+1) and to establish the optimal timing for surgery for UIV+1.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 265 patients with lumbar degenerative diseases who underwent transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF) surgery at the Department of Spinal Surgery, Zhongda Hospital, from January 2014 to December 2018. The cohort included 119 male and 146 female patients, with an average age of 64.93 years (range: 32-86 years). Preoperative dynamic imaging measured sagittal angulation (SA) and sagittal translation (ST) of the UIV+1/UIV segment. Patients with SA>10° or ST>2 mm were categorized into the unstable group, further divided into the unstable non-fusion group and the unstable fusion group based on whether UIV+1 expansion fusion was performed. The remaining patients were classified into the stable group. Imaging indicators, Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) scores, Oswestry disability index (ODI) scores, and Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) scores were compared among the groups, with JOA improvement rates calculated to assess clinical efficacy. Pearson correlation coefficient analysis was employed to examine correlations between preoperative imaging indicators and final follow-up JOA improvement rates. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and the maximum Youden index were utilized to determine thresholds for preoperative SA and ST.Results:The follow-up duration for all patients was 73.53±12.92 months (range: 61-108 months). The stable group (124 cases) included 61 males and 63 females, aged 64.31±9.83 years (range: 44-82 years). The unstable non-fusion group (59 cases) included 22 males and 37 females, aged 65.76±11.01 years (range: 32-86 years). The unstable fusion group (82 cases) included 36 males and 46 females, aged 65.26±8.68 years (range: 47-80 years). At the last follow-up, the unstable non-fusion group exhibited ΔSA 0.90°±1.97° and ΔST 0.77±1.27 mm, both significantly higher than the stable group's ΔSA 0.25°±1.57° and ΔST 0.34±0.34 mm ( t=3.564, P<0.001; t=2.311, P=0.022). Clinical improvements were lower in the unstable non-fusion group compared to the other two groups: VAS (2.28±0.83), ODI (5.91%±3.46%), JOA (24.11±1.78), with a JOA improvement rate of 60%. The stable group showed VAS (1.51±0.69), ODI (3.71%±1.75%), JOA (27.33±1.91), with a JOA improvement rate of 83%. The unstable fusion group had VAS (1.46±0.83), ODI (3.46%±1.81%), JOA (26.48±1.66), with a JOA improvement rate of 78%. These differences were statistically significant ( F=32.117, P<0.001; F=24.827, P<0.001; F=92.658, P<0.001; F=93.341, P<0.001). The JOA improvement rate was negatively correlated with preoperative SA ( r=-0.363, P<0.001) to a low extent, and with preoperative ST ( r=-0.596, P<0.001) to a moderate extent. ROC curve analysis determined the preoperative SA threshold as 11.5° and the preoperative ST threshold as 1.85 mm. Conclusion:Pre-existing instability of the responsible segment UIV and UIV+1 (SA>10° or ST>2 mm) may worsen during long-term follow-up after TLIF. When preoperative SA exceeds 11.5° and ST exceeds 1.85 mm between UIV and UIV+1, performing an extended fusion involving UIV+1 can ensure surgical efficacy over long-term follow-up.
10.Review on the etiology and risk factors of progressive local kyphosis after vertebral augmentation for osteoporotic vertebral fractures
Jiadong WANG ; Lei LIU ; Yuzhu XU ; Pan FAN ; Lele ZHANG ; Wenwu GAN ; Feng ZHANG ; Yuntao WANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(21):1424-1431
With an aging population, the incidence of osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs) is on the rise, posing new challenges for developing personalized treatment strategies. For patients who do not respond to conservative treatment, percutaneous vertebroplasty or percutaneous kyphoplasty (PVP/PKP) remains the preferred surgical option due to its minimal invasiveness and rapid recovery time. However, progressive local kyphosis (PLK) is one of the most severe complications following PVP/PKP, with an incidence rate of 1.5%-25.8%. PLK often presents with recurring thoracic and lower back pain, and in severe cases, spinal stenosis, causing symptoms like numbness and pain in the lower limbs. The severity of PLK varies, and treatments can range from conservative management and bone cement reinforcement to internal fixation or osteotomy. Current studies suggest that re-fracture of the affected vertebra, intervertebral disc degeneration, and osteonecrosis may be underlying mechanisms. These conditions shift the axial load forward, promoting postoperative PLK, which tends to progress over time. Postoperative PLK is closely associated with patient characteristics, fracture details, surgical factors, and post-surgery osteoporosis management. 1) The severity of osteoporosis, as indicated by the T-score from bone mineral density testing, can help predict postoperative PLK. While factors like age and gender influence osteoporosis severity, no direct relationship has been established between these factors and PLK. 2) Thoracolumbar fractures, old nonunion fractures, endplate fractures, or severe preoperative compression changes with kyphosis can increase PLK risk. Surgical factors, including the use of balloons or implants and the distribution of bone cement, also play a role. Personalized treatment plans should be developed based on the patient's general condition and imaging results to ensure adequate bone cement diffusion, as enhanced integration can reduce PLK risk. 3) Postoperative anti-osteoporosis therapy is also crucial; long-term therapy, particularly with teriparatide, can prevent PLK. Recognizing the related risk factors and establishing predictive models can help clinicians tailor treatments. Machine learning models, utilizing big data, are particularly adept at handling complex interrelated risk factors and may provide a powerful tool for personalized treatment in the future.

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