1.Effect and Mechanisms of Luteolin on Gout
Jinlai CHENG ; Xiaoyu ZHANG ; Yuyan XU ; Huajing WANG ; Yuqing TAN ; Feng SUI ; Miyi YANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(1):140-149
ObjectiveTo integrate network pharmacology prediction with multi-level experimental verification methods, and to explore in depth the therapeutic efficacy and potential mechanism of luteolin in treating gout. MethodsDatabases were used to obtain potential pharmacodynamic targets of luteolin. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) network construction and network pharmacology analysis techniques were used to screen key core targets of luteolin in gout treatment. Further biological function enrichment analysis and signaling pathway analysis were performed on these targets. Molecular docking simulation was used to calculate the binding energy between luteolin and potential core targets, clarifying the strength of their interactions. In the in vivo experiment for hyperuricemia, 48 mice were randomly divided into a blank group, a model group, an allopurinol group (5 mg·kg-1), and low-dose (10 mg·kg-1), medium-dose (30 mg·kg-1), and high-dose (90 mg·kg-1) luteolin groups. For the first three days, the blank and model groups were gavaged with an equal volume of normal saline, while the allopurinol group and luteolin groups were gavaged with corresponding drugs. From day 4 onwards, modeling was performed by intraperitoneal injection at 12:00 daily (normal saline for the blank group, and oxonic acid potassium-hypoxanthine mixture for other groups, with 300 mg·kg-1 for each group). Gavage intervention was administered at 18:00 daily (normal saline for the blank/model groups, and corresponding drugs for the treatment groups) until day 7. After sampling, levels of serum uric acid (UA), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were measured. Levels of xanthine oxidase (XO) in the liver and kidney, ATP-binding cassette transporter G2 (ABCG2) and malondialdehyde (MDA) in the kidney, and superoxide dismutase (SOD) in the liver were determined. Renal HE staining was also performed. In the pharmacodynamic study of gouty arthritis, 36 rats were randomly divided into a blank group, a model group, a colchicine group (0.315 mg·kg-1), and low-dose (7 mg·kg-1), medium-dose (21 mg·kg-1), and high-dose (63 mg·kg-1) luteolin groups. The model was established by vertically injecting 100 µL of 25 g·L-1 monosodium urate suspension into the posterior lateral aspect of the right ankle joint (the blank group was injected with an equal volume of normal saline), with repeated injections every two days for reinforcement. From day 2 after modeling, daily gavage administration was performed (normal saline for the blank/model groups, and corresponding drugs for the treatment groups) for a total of 16 days. During the experiment, ankle swelling and pain threshold were measured regularly. After sampling, levels of serum tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and interleukin-1β (IL-1β) were determined. Ankle joints were subjected to HE, Masson, and safranin O-fast green staining, and HE staining was also performed on ankle synovial tissue and various organs. Western blot was used to determine the expression levels of key proteins in gout-related signaling pathways. ResultsNetwork pharmacology analysis predicted that luteolin may regulate over 20 core targets, such as XO, ABCG2, nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2), and SOD, through acting on signaling pathways including NF-κB, phosphoinositide 3-kinase/protein kinase B (PI3K/Akt), and ABC transporters, thereby affecting uric acid metabolism and inflammatory responses. In the hyperuricemia model, compared with the blank group, the model group showed significantly increased serum UA level, liver and kidney XO activity, renal ABCG2 expression, and liver SOD activity (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the high-dose luteolin group significantly reduced serum UA level (P<0.01), inhibited liver and kidney XO activity (P<0.01), and significantly increased renal ABCG2 expression and liver SOD activity (P<0.01), effectively alleviating renal oxidative stress damage and improving renal histopathological status. In the gouty arthritis model, compared with the blank group, the model group showed significant ankle swelling, decreased pain threshold, and significantly increased levels of IL-6, IL-1β, and TNF-α in serum and synovial tissue (P<0.01). The high-dose luteolin group significantly reduced ankle swelling, prolonged hot plate pain threshold, effectively decreased the levels of the above inflammatory factors in serum and synovial tissue (P<0.01), and significantly improved ankle pathological damage, showing good analgesic and anti-inflammatory effects. Western blot results further confirmed that luteolin significantly upregulated Nrf2 protein expression and downregulated XO and nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain (NOD)-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3) expression in animals. ConclusionLuteolin can improve symptoms of hyperuricemia and gouty arthritis, and its potential mechanism may be related to inhibiting XO activity, increasing ABCG2 and SOD levels, and regulating Nrf2-mediated oxidative stress-related pathways.
2.Prognostic risk classification of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: Data-driven exploration and prospect
Ying WANG ; Yuqing ZHAO ; Jinjin LIU ; You DENG ; Hong YOU ; Jingjie ZHAO
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(2):427-431
Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), as one of the most common chronic liver diseases in the world, poses a severe challenge to precision diagnosis and treatment due to its complex pathogenesis and highly heterogeneous disease progression. Existing clinical classification systems cannot meet the needs for comprehensively analyzing the complexity of the disease and the heterogeneity of its adverse outcomes. In recent years, data-driven prognostic risk classification methods have gradually emerged, optimizing the ability for predicting adverse outcomes and enhancing the accuracy of identifying different endpoint outcomes. However, such paradigm of “classify first, associate outcomes later” suffers from a “black-box” nature, and there are various indicators for classification, leading to limited stability and generalizability in clinical application. Future research needs to integrate or establish large-scale population cohorts, develop outcome-oriented prognostic risk classification models, incorporate dynamic data, refine classification algorithms, and validate their generalizability across multiple populations, thereby providing reliable support for the precision diagnosis and treatment of MAFLD.
3.Macrophage autophagy in lung diseases:two-sided effects
Huijuan YOU ; Shuzhen WU ; Rong RONG ; Liyuan CHEN ; Yuqing ZHAO ; Qinglu WANG ; Xiaowei OU ; Fengying YANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1516-1526
BACKGROUND:Macrophages play a key role in the occurrence and progression of lung diseases,and autophagy plays an important role in maintaining environmental homeostasis and functional stability in macrophages.It has been suggested that macrophage autophagic activity has two sides in lung inflammatory diseases.OBJECTIVE:To summarize the relationship between macrophage autophagy and lung diseases,thereby providing reference for exploring the prevention and treatment strategies of lung inflammatory diseases by targeting macrophage autophagy.METHODS:Literature retrieval was performed in CNKI and PubMed for relevant literature published from database inception to September 2024.The search terms were"macrophage autophagy,efferocytosis,macrophage polarization,acute lung injury,pneumonia,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,pulmonary fibrosis,asthma"in Chinese and English,respectively.The search results were included or excluded based on the selection criteria,and 100 papers that met the criteria were finally included in the review.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The obstruction of autophagy flow will induce the polarization imbalance of macrophages and impair their efferocytosis,resulting in the increase of M1 macrophages and aggravating inflammation.(2)The judgment of autophagic activity should be based on whether the autophagy flow is smooth or not,and it is essential to evaluate the degradation ability of autophagy.Some studies failed to comprehensively detect the degradation ability of autophagy lysosomes to assess whether the autophagy flow is unobtrusive.As a result,the so-called two-sided view of pulmonary macrophage autophagy in pulmonary inflammatory diseases in such studies is actually related to the one-sided judgment of autophagy activity.(3)The pathological manifestations vary across different pulmonary diseases and even at different stages of the same disease.Activation of macrophage autophagy plays a positive role in regulating pulmonary inflammatory homeostasis in conditions such as acute lung injury,infectious pneumonia,mild chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,early-stage pulmonary fibrosis,and secondary asthma.However,in the severe fibrotic stage of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and the progressive stage of pulmonary fibrosis,the activation of pulmonary macrophage autophagy aggravates pulmonary fibrosis,reflecting the dual nature of macrophage autophagy.In allergic asthma,autophagy is activated in lung-resident macrophages but suppressed in infiltrating monocyte-derived macrophages from circulation.The former is closely related to airway stenosis,and the latter aggravates pneumonia disorders.Therefore,identifying the types and progression stages of lung diseases,along with accurately assessing autophagic activity,is crucial for future investigations into the relationship between macrophage autophagy and disease pathogenesis,thereby facilitating the development of therapeutic strategies in the future.
4.Macrophage autophagy in lung diseases:two-sided effects
Huijuan YOU ; Shuzhen WU ; Rong RONG ; Liyuan CHEN ; Yuqing ZHAO ; Qinglu WANG ; Xiaowei OU ; Fengying YANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1516-1526
BACKGROUND:Macrophages play a key role in the occurrence and progression of lung diseases,and autophagy plays an important role in maintaining environmental homeostasis and functional stability in macrophages.It has been suggested that macrophage autophagic activity has two sides in lung inflammatory diseases.OBJECTIVE:To summarize the relationship between macrophage autophagy and lung diseases,thereby providing reference for exploring the prevention and treatment strategies of lung inflammatory diseases by targeting macrophage autophagy.METHODS:Literature retrieval was performed in CNKI and PubMed for relevant literature published from database inception to September 2024.The search terms were"macrophage autophagy,efferocytosis,macrophage polarization,acute lung injury,pneumonia,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,pulmonary fibrosis,asthma"in Chinese and English,respectively.The search results were included or excluded based on the selection criteria,and 100 papers that met the criteria were finally included in the review.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The obstruction of autophagy flow will induce the polarization imbalance of macrophages and impair their efferocytosis,resulting in the increase of M1 macrophages and aggravating inflammation.(2)The judgment of autophagic activity should be based on whether the autophagy flow is smooth or not,and it is essential to evaluate the degradation ability of autophagy.Some studies failed to comprehensively detect the degradation ability of autophagy lysosomes to assess whether the autophagy flow is unobtrusive.As a result,the so-called two-sided view of pulmonary macrophage autophagy in pulmonary inflammatory diseases in such studies is actually related to the one-sided judgment of autophagy activity.(3)The pathological manifestations vary across different pulmonary diseases and even at different stages of the same disease.Activation of macrophage autophagy plays a positive role in regulating pulmonary inflammatory homeostasis in conditions such as acute lung injury,infectious pneumonia,mild chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,early-stage pulmonary fibrosis,and secondary asthma.However,in the severe fibrotic stage of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and the progressive stage of pulmonary fibrosis,the activation of pulmonary macrophage autophagy aggravates pulmonary fibrosis,reflecting the dual nature of macrophage autophagy.In allergic asthma,autophagy is activated in lung-resident macrophages but suppressed in infiltrating monocyte-derived macrophages from circulation.The former is closely related to airway stenosis,and the latter aggravates pneumonia disorders.Therefore,identifying the types and progression stages of lung diseases,along with accurately assessing autophagic activity,is crucial for future investigations into the relationship between macrophage autophagy and disease pathogenesis,thereby facilitating the development of therapeutic strategies in the future.
5.Analysis of risk factors for cardiovascular events and construction of a nomogram prediction model in patients undergoing long-term peritoneal dialysis
Xinyuan ZHOU ; Yuxin JIANG ; Xiaoxia WANG ; Xiangjie YANG ; Runzhe ZHOU ; Yuqing MENG ; Dingxin ZHANG ; Jin ZHANG ; Ying WANG
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(4):748-757
ObjectiveTo analyze the risk factors for long-term cardiovascular events in patients undergoing long-term peritoneal dialysis (PD), and to construct and validate a visual nomogram prediction model based on multiple parameters. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted, consecutively enrolling 248 maintenance PD patients (dialysis duration ≥ 3 months). Demographic characteristics, clinical indicators, laboratory parameters, and echocardiographic indices (including left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF], ratio of early diastolic mitral inflow velocity to early diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e’), etc.) were collected. The composite endpoint was defined as the occurrence of cardiovascular events or cardiovascular death, with non-cardiovascular death as the competing risk and loss to follow-up or the end of follow-up as censoring events. Fine-Gray competing risks model was used to screen independent predictors, based on which a nomogram model was constructed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method (1 000 resamplings), and the concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (time-dependent ROC) curve were calculated to evaluate the model performance. ResultsWith a median follow-up of 29 months (interquartile range: 24–35 months), 88 patients (35.48%) reached the composite endpoint, including 80 cases of cardiovascular events and 8 cases of cardiovascular death, and 4 patients died of non-cardiovascular causes. Multivariate Fine-Gray analysis revealed that age, diabetes mellitus, hemoglobin (HGB) level and E/e' ratio were independent influencing factors of the composite endpoint. Specifically, each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 3.0% increase in the risk of the composite endpoint (HR=1.030, P=0.006); patients with diabetes mellitus had a 167.9% higher risk compared with non-diabetic patients (HR=2.679, P=0.007); each 1g/L increase in HGB level contributed to a 1.5% reduction in the risk (HR=0.985, P=0.003); and each 0.1 increase in E/e' ratio led to a 7.2% increase in the risk (HR=1.072, P=0.045). The nomogram model had a C-index of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.698–0.820), and the AUC of the time-dependent ROC curve reached 0.849 at 23 months of follow-up. ConclusionIncreased age, complicated with diabetes mellitus, decreased HGB, and elevated E/e' ratio are independent risk factors of long-term occurrence of cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death in patients undergoing long-term PD. The nomogram model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive value and clinical applicability, which can provide a reference for cardiovascular risk stratification and individualized intervention in long-term PD patients.
6.Expert Consensus on Treatment of Simple Obesity in Children with Chinese Herbal Medicine
; Yingke LIU ; Xinxin REN ; Tiefeng ZHANG ; Yuqing LIU ; Junhong WANG ; Juan YU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(17):175-183
Childhood obesity is a chronic nutritional disorder caused by multiple factors that result in excessive total body fat and/or increased local fat content and abnormal fat distribution,sometimes accompanied by complications such as metabolic syndrome. The obesity caused by other factors excluding the secondary factors like genetics or metabolism is referred to as simple obesity. The incidence of childhood obesity in China is showing a trend toward younger ages and rapid growth,posing a serious threat to people's health and creating a heavy economic burden. Therefore,it is urgent to control and effectively intervene in childhood obesity. Traditional Chinese herbal medicine has long been a representative of internal treatment and shows effectiveness and advantages in the clinical treatment of childhood obesity. However,there is currently a lack of a comprehensive set of diagnostic and treatment standards,as well as evidence-based clinical practice. In order to improve clinical physicians' understanding of this disease and to promote the standardization and rationalization of herbal treatment,experts in clinical Chinese and Western medicine,nutrition,and methodology from across China were invited. On the basis of expert experience and current evidence,the Grading of Recommendations Assessment,Development,and Evaluation (GRADE) method was used to grade the evidence and recommendations. After two rounds of Delphi expert consultations,the guideline secretariat revised and refined the materials based on expert opinions. Ultimately,14 entries of expert consensus and recommendations were formulated,highlighting the advantages and characteristics of herbal treatment for childhood obesity,clarifying syndrome differentiation,medication,treatment cycles,and combination therapy plans for common clinical syndromes,thereby providing more treatment ideas in clinical practice and better leveraging therapeutic advantages.
7.Periodic Dynamic Evolution of Lung Collateral Microenvironment and Staged Treatment Strategies After Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection Based on Theory of Latent Pathogens
Liwei LIU ; Yuqing CAO ; Ni WANG ; Yipin FAN ; Yan MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(18):208-217
Tuberculosis (TB) is a major infectious disease that seriously endangers public health. In traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), TB is considered to be caused by "exogenous latent tuberculosis pathogens", and whether the disease occurs depends on the strength of healthy Qi. The disease course is characterized by five features: Hidden latency, pathological accumulation, triggering due to deficiency of healthy Qi, depletion of healthy Qi, and prolonged progression with difficulty in recovery. The latent stage is based on the fundamental pathogenesis of "specific latent pathogens concealed in the lung collaterals and waiting for the appropriate time to manifest", which exhibits the temporal and spatial characteristics of latent pathogens. During this stage, Mycobacterium tuberculosis remains in a dormant state and maintains a dynamic balance with the host immune system. The triggering and progression stages are characterized by the core pathogenesis of "deficiency of healthy Qi initiating pathogenic factors and excessive pathogenic factors triggering disease". Immune dysfunction may lead to severe pathological damage to the structure of the lung collaterals. The key pathogenesis of the latent-retention stage is "persistent latent pathogens consuming healthy Qi", which is also the core reason for the difficulty in treating initial TB onset, prolonged disease progression, and recurrent attacks. Based on the theory of latent pathogens, this study establishes a four-stage prevention and treatment system "with pathogenesis as the guiding principle and disease stages as the criteria". The corresponding therapeutic principles include tonifying Qi and nourishing Yin, clearing and transforming latent phlegm, regulating and tonifying the spleen and kidney, strengthening healthy Qi and replenishing the primordial Qi, nourishing Yin and reducing fire, suppressing and eliminating tuberculosis pathogens, tonifying deficiency, restoring primordial Qi, clearing residual pathogens, and eliminating pathogenic factors. Guided by the theory of latent pathogens, this article systematically elucidates the TCM connotation of M. tuberculosis invasion of the lung collaterals and the staged syndrome differentiation and treatment approach, providing theoretical foundations and practical guidance for the prevention and treatment of TB through integrated Chinese and Western medicine and offering new perspectives for the prevention and control of infectious diseases using TCM.
8.Assessment of myocardial reserve using dobutamine stress echocardiography in valvular heart diseases with reduced ejection fraction and its implications for surgical strategy
Yuqing JIAO ; Haibo ZHANG ; Tiange LUO ; Chun ZHANG ; Jie HAN ; Yichen ZHAO ; Jiangang WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(08):1258-1266
Objective To elucidate the application scope and delineate the criteria of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) in assessing surgical risk associated with valvular heart diseases in patients presenting with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods This retrospective analysis encompassed data from patients with reduced LVEF (LVEF<40%) who underwent DSE prior to valvular heart surgery at the Valvular Surgery Center of Beijing Anzhen Hospital between May 2016 and September 2024. Patients were stratified based on the terminal dose of dobutamine into two cohorts: a limited dose group [receiving a maximum dobutamine dose of <5 µg/(kg·min) due to concomitant conditions such as suspected atrial thrombus, aortic dilation, or previous myocardial infarction] and a non-limited dose group (where dosage was adjusted to either achieve the maximum positive standard or the maximal dose tolerable by the patient). Within the non-limited dose group, patients were further classified into positive and negative response groups. The positive response post DSE was defined based on the following criteria: LVEF≥55% (the maximum positive standard), LVEF<55% but with a 5% improvement (the minimum positive standard) from resting situation, aortic maximum velocity (AVmax)≥400 cm/s, or mean pressure gradient (meanPG)≥40 mm Hg, latter two applicable only to patients with aortic stenosis. Clinical indicators were compared in the three groups. Results A total of 99 patients were enrolled, aged 35 to 87 years, with an average age of (61.7±10.1) years. The number of males was significantly higher than that of females (3:1). There were 61 (61.6%) patients undergoing aortic valve surgery, 25 (25.3%) undergoing mitral valve surgery, and 13 (13.1%) undergoing combined aortic and mitral valve surgery. Nineteen (19.2%) patients experienced adverse symptoms such as palpitations, head and face numbness, dizziness, chest tightness post DSE. Additionally, new-onset or aggravated ventricular premature ventricular contractions were in 40 (40.4%) patients. All above symptoms and signs resolved minutes after cessation of the test. No severe adverse events necessitating oxygen therapy or emergency intervention occurred. Among the 93 patients in the non-limited dose group, 86 were classified in the positive response group and 7 in the negative response group. The left ventricular end diastolic diameter, left ventricular end systolic diameter, and LVEF in the positive group all showed significant improvement compared to preoperative values, and were also significantly better than those in the negative group (P<0.05). All 7 patients with negative DSE results underwent interventional surgery, which was significantly different from the positive group (36 patients, 41.9%). In the limited dose group (n=6), 4 patients with a positive result or a positive trend on DSE underwent median sternotomy, 2 received interventional treatment due to a negative response. No significant differences in mortality were observed among the groups (P>0.05). Conclusion Dobutamine stress echocardiography significantly contributes to risk stratification in surgical interventions for patients with valvular heart disease complicated by reduced LVEF. It aids in determining optimal timing and methods for surgery. With comprehensive patient evaluation and controlled dobutamine dosing, the application of DSE can be safely expanded.
9.Influence of self-esteem, alexithymia and alienation on non-suicidal self-injury behaviors in adolescents
Chunxing XU ; Hongzheng LI ; Yongcai MENG ; Yuqing ZHANG ; Meng LI ; Yaomu ZHANG ; Yaqin WANG
Sichuan Mental Health 2025;38(1):65-70
BackgroundIn recent years, the incidence of non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) behaviors among adolescents has been increasing annually. Self-esteem and alexithymia are strongly associated with NSSI behaviors, and alienation is closely linked to both self-esteem and alexithymia. However, there is limited research on the relationship between alienation and NSSI behaviors among adolescents in China. ObjectiveTo analyze the relationship between alienation and NSSI behaviors among adolescents, and to explore the factors influencing NSSI behaviors in this population, so as to provide insights for the prevention and treatment of NSSI behaviors in adolescents. MethodsAdolescents admitted to the Department of Psychiatry and Psychology at the 923rd Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army from September 1, 2021 to March 1, 2023, who met the diagnostic criteria for NSSI in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fifth edition (DSM-5), were selected as the study group (n=60). Concurrently, middle school students from Nanning were recruited as the control group (n=60). Participants were assessed using Adolescent Self Harm Scale (ASHS), Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale (RSES), Toronto Alexithymia Scale (TAS) and Adolescent Students′ Alienation Scale (ASAS). Pearson correlation analysis was employed to examine the relationships between scale scores in the study group, and Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the influencing factors of NSSI behaviors among adolescents. ResultsThe RSES score of the study group was significantly lower than that of the control group (t=-7.033, P<0.01). The TAS and ASAS scores of the study group were significantly higher than those of the control group (t=5.591, 8.124, P<0.01). The ASHS score was negatively correlated with RSES score (r=-0.410, P<0.01) and positively correlated with ASAS score (r=0.555, P<0.01). The RSES scores of the study group were negatively correlated with TAS and ASAS scores (r=-0.317, -0.590, P<0.05 or 0.01). Logistic regression analysis showed that being female (OR=0.714, 95% CI: 0.042~0.709) was a protective factor for NSSI behaviors among adolescents, while high alienation (OR=1.028, 95% CI: 1.013~1.043) and residing in rural areas (OR=6.692, 95% CI: 2.038~21.967) were risk factors for NSSI behaviors among adolescents. ConclusionAlienation was positively correlated with NSSI behaviors in adolescents. Female adolescents had a lower risk of NSSI behaviors, while those with higher levels of alienation or residing in rural areas were more prone to NSSI behaviors. [Funded by Self-financed Scientific Research Project of the Health Commission of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (number, Z20210656); Self-financed Scientific Research Project of the Health Commission of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (number, Z-A20231057)]
10.Carvedilol to prevent hepatic decompensation of cirrhosis in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension stratified by new non-invasive model (CHESS2306)
Chuan LIU ; Hong YOU ; Qing-Lei ZENG ; Yu Jun WONG ; Bingqiong WANG ; Ivica GRGUREVIC ; Chenghai LIU ; Hyung Joon YIM ; Wei GOU ; Bingtian DONG ; Shenghong JU ; Yanan GUO ; Qian YU ; Masashi HIROOKA ; Hirayuki ENOMOTO ; Amr Shaaban HANAFY ; Zhujun CAO ; Xiemin DONG ; Jing LV ; Tae Hyung KIM ; Yohei KOIZUMI ; Yoichi HIASA ; Takashi NISHIMURA ; Hiroko IIJIMA ; Chuanjun XU ; Erhei DAI ; Xiaoling LAN ; Changxiang LAI ; Shirong LIU ; Fang WANG ; Ying GUO ; Jiaojian LV ; Liting ZHANG ; Yuqing WANG ; Qing XIE ; Chuxiao SHAO ; Zhensheng LIU ; Federico RAVAIOLI ; Antonio COLECCHIA ; Jie LI ; Gao-Jun TENG ; Xiaolong QI
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(1):105-118
Background:
s/Aims: Non-invasive models stratifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) are limited. Herein, we developed a new non-invasive model for predicting CSPH in patients with compensated cirrhosis and investigated whether carvedilol can prevent hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified using the new model.
Methods:
Non-invasive risk factors of CSPH were identified via systematic review and meta-analysis of studies involving patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). A new non-invasive model was validated for various performance aspects in three cohorts, i.e., a multicenter HVPG cohort, a follow-up cohort, and a carvediloltreating cohort.
Results:
In the meta-analysis with six studies (n=819), liver stiffness measurement and platelet count were identified as independent risk factors for CSPH and were used to develop the new “CSPH risk” model. In the HVPG cohort (n=151), the new model accurately predicted CSPH with cutoff values of 0 and –0.68 for ruling in and out CSPH, respectively. In the follow-up cohort (n=1,102), the cumulative incidences of decompensation events significantly differed using the cutoff values of <–0.68 (low-risk), –0.68 to 0 (medium-risk), and >0 (high-risk). In the carvediloltreated cohort, patients with high-risk CSPH treated with carvedilol (n=81) had lower rates of decompensation events than non-selective beta-blockers untreated patients with high-risk CSPH (n=613 before propensity score matching [PSM], n=162 after PSM).
Conclusions
Treatment with carvedilol significantly reduces the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the new model.

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