1.Stomach cancer epidemic in Chinese mainland: Current trends and future predictions.
Wenxuan ZHU ; Wanyue DONG ; Yunning LIU ; Ruhai BAI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(2):205-212
BACKGROUND:
China is one of the countries with the highest burdens of stomach cancer. The objective of this study was to analyze long-term trends in the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Chinese mainland from 1990 to 2019 and to make projections until 2030.
METHODS:
Data on stomach cancer were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Population data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 and World Population Prospects 2019. An age-period-cohort framework and decomposition analysis were used in this study.
RESULTS:
The net drift for the incidence of stomach cancer was 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0, 0.4%) per year for men and -1.8% (95% CI: -2.0%, -1.6%) for women. The net drift for mortality was -1.6% (95% CI: -1.8%, -1.3%) per year for men and -3.3% (95% CI: -3.5%, -3.1%) for women. In the last 10-15 years, the risk of stomach cancer occurrence and death has continued to decline for both sexes. Regarding birth cohorts, although the risk of stomach cancer death decreased in general among women and men born after 1920, the risk of occurrence increased in recent birth cohorts (men born after 1970 and women born after 1985). It is expected that the age-standardized incidence will increase among men and decrease among women, and age-standardized mortality will decrease for both sexes. The largest contributor to the projected increase in incident cases and deaths is population aging, and elderly individuals are projected to have an increased proportion of occurrence and death.
CONCLUSIONS
In the past three decades, the incidence of stomach cancer among men has increased in Chinese mainland, and this trend is projected to continue. Aging will be the main contributor to future increased stomach cancer occurrence and deaths. To reduce the health impact of stomach cancer, more efforts are needed.
Adult
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
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Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*
2.The status of violence against children in China, 2013-2021
Xin GAO ; Pengpeng YE ; Ye JIN ; Yuan WANG ; Yunning LIU ; Cuirong JI ; Xiang SI ; Xiaolei ZHU ; Yibing YANG ; Leilei DUAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(10):1371-1375
Objective:This study aims to obtain the prevalence and features associated with Violence Against Children (VAC) in China and, thus, formulate a prevention strategy.Methods:The mortality-related data of VAC was sourced from the National Disease Surveillance Points System (DSP) during 2013-2021. We analyzed the DSP data regarding children aged 0-17 years old who died from violence. The hospital cases of VAC was sourced from the National Injury Surveillance System (NISS), 2013-2021. We analyzed the data from NISS with the parameter of "intentional injury" caused by VAC in children aged between 0-17 years. Using robust linear regression, we analyze the time trend in the proportion of violence incidence. To understand the variations in the incidence of different types of violence across genders, we apply the chi-square test and adjusted Pearson residuals.Results:The overall trend of death caused by VAC has declined; it was reduced to 0.14/100 000 in 2021 from 0.33/100 000 in 2013. In 2021, male VAC mortality (0.15/100 000) was higher than females (0.13/100 000). The proportion of VAC cases to all injury cases has declined from 3.34% in 2013 to 2.29% in 2021. Among 9 344 VAC cases supervised by hospitals in 2021, the number of males (7 503 cases) was around 4 times that of females (1 841 cases), and the top three modes of violence were blunt tools (64.77%), falls (7.46%) and sharp instruments (6.18%), and 45 cases of sexual violence included 38 girls and 7 boys.Conclusions:The declining death rate due to VAC may be related to the benign development of Chinese society. Prevention strategies targeting training in parenting skills and problem-solving should be prioritized.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of centenarian deaths in China during 2013-2020: A trend and subnational analysis
Fan MAO ; Weiwei ZHANG ; Peng YIN ; Lijun WANG ; Jinling YOU ; Jiangmei LIU ; Yunning LIU ; Maigeng ZHOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(13):1544-1552
Background::Studies that comprehensively address the characteristics of centenarian deaths are rare. The present study aimed to depict the characteristics of centenarian deaths in China and their changing trends.Methods::Data on centenarian deaths between 2013 and 2020 were obtained from the national mortality surveillance system of China, including date, place of death (PoD), and underlying cause of death (CoD). Descriptive analyses were performed to understand the epidemiological characteristics, and a joinpoint regression model was adopted to examine the changing trends in the proportions of different PoDs, CoDs among centenarians, and centenarian deaths accounting for all deaths and deaths among people aged 65 years and older.Results::There were 46,938 registered centenarian deaths between 2013 and 2020 that included 34,311 females (73.10%) and 12,627 males (26.90%). January (12.05%), February (9.99%), and December (9.74%) were the top three months with the highest number of deaths. The proportions of deaths that occurred in homes, hospitals, and nursing homes were 81.71%, 13.63%, and 2.68%, respectively. The proportion of deaths in nursing homes increased by 9.60% (95% confidence intervals [CIs], 6.4-12.9%) from 2014 to 2020. Heart disease (35.72%) was the leading cause of death, followed by respiratory diseases (17.63%), cerebrovascular disease (15.60%), and old age (11.22%). The proportion of respiratory diseases decreased by 4.8% (95% CI, -8.8 to -0.7%), and the proportion of deaths from old age decreased by 2.3 % (95% CI, -4.4 to -0.1%) per year. Shanghai had the highest proportions of deaths in hospitals (39.38%) and nursing homes (14.68%). Sichuan had the highest proportion of deaths attributed to respiratory diseases (32.30%), while Jiangsu (26.58%) and Zhejiang (23.61%) had the highest proportions of deaths from old age.Conclusion::Unlike other countries, centenarian deaths in China are characterized by a higher proportion of home and heart disease deaths, and this death pattern differs across provinces.
4.Characteristics of vascular endothelial function and its relationship with coronary artery injury in children with incomplete Kawasaki disease of different ages
Ruihua LIU ; Jianwei LI ; Yunning FAN ; Guangfei SUN ; Yixuan WANG
Journal of Chinese Physician 2024;26(8):1151-1156
Objective:To explore the characteristics of endothelial function in children with incomplete Kawasaki disease (IKD) of different ages and its relationship with coronary artery lesion (CAL).Methods:A total of 200 children with IKD admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University from February 2020 to May 2022 were selected as the IKD group, and another 200 healthy children who underwent physical examinations during the same period were selected as the control group. According to the age of children with IKD, infants ( n=78) were classified as those under 1 year old, infants ( n=62) were classified as those between 1-3 years old, and preschool children ( n=60) were classified as those over 3-6 years old. The endothelial function characteristics of IKD children in different age groups and normal control group children were analyzed and compared. In addition, IKD patients were divided into CAL group ( n=110) and nCAL group ( n=90) based on whether CAL was merged. The age, carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), flow-mediated-dilation (FMD), carotid stiffness index (SI), nitroglycerin-mediated dilation (NMD), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), C-reactive protein (CRP), brachial artery endothelial dependent dilation function (EDD) and other clinical data were compared between the two groups. Cox proportional hazards model was used for univariate and multivariate analysis to identify the risk factors for CAL in IKD patients. A column chart prediction model was constructed and evaluated. Results:There were statistically significant differences in FMD, NMD, SI, IMT, reactive congestion index (RHI), and EDD between IKD patients and normal control group children (all P<0.05). There were statistically significant differences in FMD, NMD, SI, IMT, RHI, and EDD among three groups of IKD children of different ages (all P<0.05). There were statistically significant differences in the proportion of children aged ≤3 years, TNF-α, CRP, SI, IMT, EDD, FMD, and NMD between the nCAL and CAL groups (all P<0.05). Age ≤3 years, elevated levels of TNF-α, CRP, SI, IMT, and EDD, as well as decreased levels of FMD and NMD, were independent risk factors for CAL in children with IKD (all P<0.05). The column chart prediction model had high discrimination, and the area under the curve for predicting CAL occurrence in children with IKD was 0.868 and 0.830, respectively. Conclusions:There are significant differences in endothelial function among children with IKD of different ages, and endothelial function is closely related to the occurrence of CAL. When endothelial function is abnormal, CAL is more likely to occur.
5.Correlation between drug resistance rate of common pathogens in blood culture and the frequency of antimicrobial drug use
Aiwen JIANG ; Jiekun PU ; Jinlu LIU ; Qianqian PANG ; Yunning LIU ; Heming ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2024;28(12):125-131
Objective To analyze the correlation between the drug resistance rate of common pathogens in blood culture of inpatients from the First Hospital Affiliated to Hebei North University from 2019 to 2021 and the frequency of antimicrobial drug use (DDDs). Methods Strains isolated from positive blood cultures of inpatients from 2019 to 2021 were collected, and data on antimicrobial drug use in patients with positive blood cultures during the same period were also collected. WHONET 5.6 software and Pearson correlation analysis were used to explore the correlation between pathogenic bacterial resistance rate and antimicrobial DDDs. Results A total of 916 samples tested positive in blood cultures from 2019 to 2021. Among the top antimicrobial drugs in DDDs, the DDDs of cefazolin, cefuroxime, and ceftazidime all showed an upward trend year by year (the increase from 2019 to 2021 was 38.8%, 228.3%, and 87.1%, respectively). A total of 739 pathogenic bacteria strains were isolated from positive blood culture samples from 2019 to 2021, and the top five pathogenic bacteria were
6.Trend of hypertension death and its impact on life expectancy in 6 northwestern provinces of China, 2013-2021
Haitao BI ; Baohua WANG ; Yunning LIU ; Yong ZHOU ; Qiutong WANG ; Jing WU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(9):1344-1351
Objective:To analyze the mortality trend of hypertension in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Qinghai Province, Shaanxi Province, Gansu Province, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region (6 provinces) in northwestern China, from 2013 to 2021, and evaluate the influence of hypertension on people's life expectancy.Methods:Based on national death surveillance data and demographic data in the 6 provinces from 2013 to 2021, the mortality rate, standardized mortality rate, life expectancy, cause eliminated life expectancy (CELE), potential gains in life expectancy (PGLEs) and life loss rate of hypertension were calculated. Software Joinpoint was used to analyze the mortality trends and calculate average annual percentage change (AAPC) and annual percentage change (APC) in hypertension deaths.Results:From 2013 to 2021, the overall standardized mortality rate of hypertension in the 6 provinces showed a downward trend (AAPC=-1.82%, P=0.050). The mortality rate in rural area was always higher than that in urban area, and showed an increasing trend after 2016 (APC=4.74%, P=0.003), and the mortality rate in men was always higher than that in women. The incidence trend of deaths of different types of hypertension were different, and the deaths caused by hypertensive heart disease accounted for the highest proportion (72.69%). In 2021, the life expectancy of the population in the 6 provinces increased by 1.01 years, the CELE increased by 0.93 years, the PGLEs decreased by 0.08 years, and the life loss rate decreased by 0.11% compared with 2013. Conclusions:The overall standardized mortality rate of hypertension showed a decreasing trend in the 6 northwestern provinces from 2013 to 2021, but it showed an increasing trend in rural area after 2016. Prevention of hypertension should be further strengthened in rural area, men and elderly population.
7.Measurement and algorithm of healthy life expectancy: a scoping review
Wanqi WANG ; Jinghan QU ; Mengze LIU ; Minrui LI ; Boying ZANG ; Junwen ZHOU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Rui ZHANG ; Yunning LIU ; Lijun WANG ; Xia WAN ; Feng SUN ; Jing WU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(12):1986-1994
Objective:Healthy life expectancy (HLE), which combines life expectancy with health, is an essential comprehensive measure of life length and quality. This article aimed to systematically review the methods for defining and measuring HLE and describe application studies published, providing a reference for decision makers to select and develop methods suitable for China's conditions to measure HLE.Methods:Seven Chinese and English literature databases were searched up to May 7, 2022, and several related reviews and bibliography were manually retrieved. Systematic reviews and empirical research were included concerning HLE indicators and measurement of HLE. Information including the study area, type of the study, study population, HLE index, measurement method, data sources, and results from application studies published in the last five years were extracted. The evolution of the definition of HLE, the scope of different indicators, the measurement scale of health, and measurement methods, were all collected. Results of the empirical research related to measurement methods of indicators were summarized. The study followed the scoping review framework and was written according to the PRISMA-ScR statement.Results:A total of 84 articles were included, including 13 reviews, 17 original studies related to HLE index definition, ten original studies related to index measurement, and 44 empirical studies conducted in the past five years. There were as many as 20 indicators related to HLE, and each scale had its emphasis. A total of ten methods measuring HLE were identified, which vary in the definition of health, whether using weight, and the data type. The most commonly used indicators in the past five years were disability-free life expectancy and HLE. For the method of HLE calculation, Sullivan's method was mainly used for cross-sectional data, and the multistate life table was mainly used for longitudinal data.Conclusions:There are various definitions and measurement methods of HLE, but none are suitable for all scenarios. To summarize the HLE concept, health evaluation techniques, measurement methods, and application studies published worldwide can provide a reference for the localization of HLE measurement in China.
8.Analysis on all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy in China, 2005-2018
Wei WANG ; Peng YIN ; Lijun WANG ; Yunning LIU ; Jiangmei LIU ; Jinlei QI ; Jinling YOU ; Lin LIN ; Maigeng ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(8):1420-1428
Objective:To understand the geographical variations and temporal trends of all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy in China at national and subnational levels during 2005-2018.Methods:Using data from National Cause-of-death Reporting System, China National Maternal and Child Health Surveillance System, Under-reporting Surveys, and related social determinants covariates, we estimated all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy at national and subnational levels in China during 2005-2018. We depicted the geographical variations and temporal trends between provinces on mortality rate and life expectancy. We then decomposed changes in national and subnational deaths into three explanatory components: change due to age-specific mortality rate, change due to the population structure by age, and change due to growth of the total population.Results:In 2018, it was estimated that there were 10 482 297 total deaths (95% CI: 9 723 233-11 466 875 deaths) in China, with 6 113 926 men (95% CI: 5 773 158-6 572 407 men) and 4 368 241 women (95% CI: 3 950 075-4 894 468 women). The all-cause mortality rate was 755.54 per 100 000 (95% CI: 701.49 per 100 000-825.78 per 100 000), with 861.78 per 100 000 (95% CI: 813.75 per 100 000-926.40 per 100 000) in men and 642.73 per 100 000 (95% CI: 581.20 per 100 000-720.15 per 100 000) in women, while age-standardized all-cause mortality rate was 652.27 per 100 000 (95% CI: 599.22 per 100 000-721.71 per 100 000), with 806.38 per 100 000 (95% CI: 755.10 per 100 000-874.31 per 100 000) in men and 503.37 per 100 000 (95% CI: 450.50 per 100 000-572.01 per 100 000) in women. In 2018, it was estimated that the life expectancy in the whole country was 77.15 years old (95% CI: 75.92-78.11 years old), with 74.81 (95% CI: 73.57-75.76) in men and 79.87 (95% CI: 78.61-80.91) in women. Developed areas as Shanghai, Beijing, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang owned comparatively higher life expectancy, while undeveloped areas like Tibet, Guizhou, Xinjiang, and Qinghai showed lower levels. During 2005-2018, there was a 29.87% increase in total deaths at the national level, with 27.74% in men and 31.29% in women. Changes due to age-specific mortality rate, the population structure by age, and the growth of the total population constituted -35.74%, 7.34%, and 58.28% of the total increase, respectively. Conclusions:From 2005 to 2018, the all-cause mortality rate increased while the age-standardized mortality rate decreased substantially among Chinese residents. Change due to population structure by age was the dominant driver. An upward trend of life expectancy was observed in all provinces, with marked differences between the provinces.
9.Analysis on factors associated with the place of death among individuals with cardiovascular diseases in China, 2018
Wei WANG ; Yunning LIU ; Peng YIN ; Lijun WANG ; Jiangmei LIU ; Jinlei QI ; Jinling YOU ; Lin LIN ; Maigeng ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(8):1429-1436
Objective:To understand the distribution patterns of the place of death (PoD) among individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the provinces of China in 2018. Relationships between CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions and individual demographics, social-economic status (SES), the underlying cause of death, and local cultural factors were also explored.Methods:Using data from the National Cause-of-death Reporting System, we examined potential, influential factors of CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions through multilevel logistic regression.Results:In 2018, there were 853 832 CVD deaths in disease surveillance points in the country, with 661 625 (77.49%) home deaths and 156 441 (18.32%) occurring in healthcare and medical institutions. Factors including sex, age, nationality, marital status, education level, occupation, the underlying cause of death, criterion for diagnosis, and urban/rural residency, were significantly influential on CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions. Meanwhile, spatial variations were shown at factors the subnational level, with 45.39% related to factors at the individual level.Conclusion:Home was the dominant place for CVD deaths in the country, with substantial spatial variations in PoD between provinces. The probability of dying in healthcare/medical settings was comparatively higher among CVD patients with superior socioeconomic status and who lived in urban areas. Adequate information should be collected and included in further studies on exploring influential factors of PoD. Since both social factors, individual preferences, and acute and chronic CVD deaths are critical, it is necessary to enhance treatment capacity. A booming approach incorporating home/hospice care with on-site medical services might also improve the quality of end-of-life care among CVD patients in China.
10.Influences of using different spatial weight matrices in analyzing spatial autocorrelation of cardiovascular diseases mortality in China
Wei WANG ; Yunning LIU ; Peng YIN ; Lijun WANG ; Jiangmei LIU ; Jinlei QI ; Jinling YOU ; Lin LIN ; Maigeng ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(8):1437-1444
Objective:To explore the potential influences and applicability of different spatial weight matrices used in analyzing spatial autocorrelation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in China.Methods:Using data from the National Cause-of-death Reporting System, we used adjacency-based Rook and Queen contiguity and distance-based K nearest neighbors/distance threshold. We then conducted global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis of CVD mortality at the county level in China, 2018.Results:All four categories and 26 types of spatial weight matrices had detected significant global and local spatial autocorrelation of CVD mortality in China. Global Moran's I statistics reached its peak when using first-order Rook (0.406), first-order Queen (0.406), K nearest neighbors including five spatial units (0.409), and distance threshold with 100 kilometers (0.358). Meanwhile, apparent local spatial autocorrelation was found in CVD mortality. Substantial disparities were observed when detecting "High-High clusters", "Low-Low clusters", "High-Low clusters" and "Low-High clusters" of CVD mortality spatial distribution by using different weight matrices. Conclusions:Using different spatial weight matrices in analyzing the spatial autocorrelation of CVD mortality, we could understand the spatial distribution characteristics of CVD mortality in-depth at the county level in China. In this way, adequate supports could also be provided on CVD premature death control and rational medical resource allocation regionally.


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