1.A nomogram prediction model for antibiotic-associated diarrhea in ICU patients receiving mechanical ventilation
Yunjing HOU ; Shujuan HOU ; Yanan MAO ; Yan SUN ; Sheng TANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(18):2780-2785
OBJECTIVE To establish a risk prediction model for antibiotic-associated diarrhea(AAD)in intensive care unit(ICU)patients receiving mechanical ventilation so as to provide bases for early identification of high-risk population and formulation of corresponding individualized prevention strategies.METHODS A total of 1016 pa-tients who received mechanical ventilation and were treated with antibiotics in the ICU of The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from Jan.1,2020 to Jun.30,2022 were retrospectively enrolled in the study and were divided into the AAD group with 200 cases and the non-AA group according to the diagnostic criteria for AAD.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for risk factors for AAD in the ICU patients receiv-ing mechanical ventilation,and the nomogram prediction model was established with R software.The performance of the model was evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and calibration curves.RESULTS Among the 1016 patients who underwent mechanical ventilation,200 had AAD,and the incidence rate of AAD was 19.69%.Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that hemoglobulin[OR=0.990,95%CI(0.983 to 0.997)],C-reactive protein[OR=1.046,95%CI(1.009 to 1.085)],serum phosphorus[OR=0.498,95%CI(0.328 to 0.755)],serum lipase[OR=1.001,95%CI(1.000 to 1.002)],ceftriaxo ne sodium[OR=2.331,95%CI(1.253 to 4.334)],linezolid[OR=2.387,95%CI(1.329 to 4.289)],fluconazole[OR=2.083,95%CI(1.238 to 3.505)]and sedatives[OR=0.307,95%CI(0.160 to 0.590)]were the risk factors for the AAD in the ICU patients receiving mechanical ventilation.The area under ROC curve(AUC)of the predic-tion model established based on the risk factors was 0.705 for the training set,0.751 for the validation set.Hos-mer-Lemeshow test indicated that the predicated probability of the model was consistent with the actual risk for the occurrence(x2=6.057,5.304,P=0.641,0.725).CONCLUSION The nomogram model that is established based on the above influencing factors can quantitatively predict the risk for AAD in the ICU patients undergo-ing mechanical ventilation,and it has certain clinical predictive efficiency.
2.A nomogram prediction model for antibiotic-associated diarrhea in ICU patients receiving mechanical ventilation
Yunjing HOU ; Shujuan HOU ; Yanan MAO ; Yan SUN ; Sheng TANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(18):2780-2785
OBJECTIVE To establish a risk prediction model for antibiotic-associated diarrhea(AAD)in intensive care unit(ICU)patients receiving mechanical ventilation so as to provide bases for early identification of high-risk population and formulation of corresponding individualized prevention strategies.METHODS A total of 1016 pa-tients who received mechanical ventilation and were treated with antibiotics in the ICU of The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from Jan.1,2020 to Jun.30,2022 were retrospectively enrolled in the study and were divided into the AAD group with 200 cases and the non-AA group according to the diagnostic criteria for AAD.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for risk factors for AAD in the ICU patients receiv-ing mechanical ventilation,and the nomogram prediction model was established with R software.The performance of the model was evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and calibration curves.RESULTS Among the 1016 patients who underwent mechanical ventilation,200 had AAD,and the incidence rate of AAD was 19.69%.Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that hemoglobulin[OR=0.990,95%CI(0.983 to 0.997)],C-reactive protein[OR=1.046,95%CI(1.009 to 1.085)],serum phosphorus[OR=0.498,95%CI(0.328 to 0.755)],serum lipase[OR=1.001,95%CI(1.000 to 1.002)],ceftriaxo ne sodium[OR=2.331,95%CI(1.253 to 4.334)],linezolid[OR=2.387,95%CI(1.329 to 4.289)],fluconazole[OR=2.083,95%CI(1.238 to 3.505)]and sedatives[OR=0.307,95%CI(0.160 to 0.590)]were the risk factors for the AAD in the ICU patients receiving mechanical ventilation.The area under ROC curve(AUC)of the predic-tion model established based on the risk factors was 0.705 for the training set,0.751 for the validation set.Hos-mer-Lemeshow test indicated that the predicated probability of the model was consistent with the actual risk for the occurrence(x2=6.057,5.304,P=0.641,0.725).CONCLUSION The nomogram model that is established based on the above influencing factors can quantitatively predict the risk for AAD in the ICU patients undergo-ing mechanical ventilation,and it has certain clinical predictive efficiency.
3.Analysis to early warning of blood growth differentiation factor-15 in high intensity training
Yunjing SHENG ; Qinrui XING ; Tingli WANG ; Shangqing CHANG ; Haiyan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2021;30(6):685-688
Objective:To explore the early warning of blood growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15) as a new stress indicator.Methods:A total of 53 armed police soldiers selected to participate in high-intensity training, measuring the soldiers' serum GDF15, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (S-CRP), and C-reactive protein (CRP) before and after the high-intensity training , Interleukin-6 (IL-6), Procalcitonin (PCT) levels, compare the coefficient of variation of each index; use SPSS 24 software for statistical analysis, measurement data are expressed as mean ± standard deviation (Mean±SD), The comparison of measurement data adopts group t test. Results:The GDF15 level of fighters after high-intensity training was (176.28±97.45) pg/mL, which was higher than (120.35±69.87) pg/mL before high-intensity training. The difference was very significant ( P <0.001). After high-intensity training, IL-6 and CRP levels were lower than before high-intensity training, the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05); there was no statistically significant difference in S-CRP and PCT before and after high-intensity training ( P>0.05). The coefficient of variation of GDF15 index is smaller than S-CRP, CRP, IL-6, PCT. Conclusion:Blood growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15) is of great significance in warning the stress state after high-intensity training. It has higher sensitivity than other conventional stress indicators like S-CRP, CRP, IL-6 and PCT.
4.The Correlation between GDF15 and sudden death
Shangqing CHANG ; Yunjing SHENG ; Guoxin HAN ; Shuoshuo LI ; Haiyan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2021;30(6):689-693
Objective:To explore the early warning and prediction value of GDF15 for sudden death patients.Methods:From January to December 2018, 49 patients with sudden death who were treated in the Emergency Department of the First Clinical Center of PLA General Hospital were included in the case group, and 46 healthy physical examiners in the Physical Examination Center of the Hospital were randomly selected as the control group. The general situation, comparison of myocardial markers and analysis of the basic data of the case group were carried out, so as to evaluate the early warning value of each myocardial marker in sudden death.Results:Patients aged 40-49 years old accounted the highest proportion among sudden death cases, reaching 26.54%. Sudden death under 60 years old accounted for 59.19%, and the ratio of male to female was 3.83:1. There were significant differences between the case group and the control group in CK-MB [(41.35±98.38) vs. (3.13±2.17), P=0.009], CK [(2652.82±6845.66) vs. (102.73±47.93), P=0.012], and GDF15 [(549.80±809.79) vs. (115.70±167.42), P=0.001]. At the same time, the AUC value of GDF15 was 0.816, which has the highest diagnostic value for sudden death. And CK-MB, CK and GDF15 had no correlation with age. Conclusions:GDF15, as a biological marker, has a good early warning function in sudden death.
5.The value of growth differentiation factor 15 in early diagnosis of acute chest pain
Shangqing CHANG ; Yunjing SHENG ; Qinrui XING ; Kaidi YANG ; Tingli WANG ; Xiangqian GUO ; Haiyan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2021;30(6):694-698
Objective:To explore the value of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) in the early diagnosis of acute chest pain.Methods:A total of 96 patients with acute chest pain admitted to the Emergency Department of Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital from January to November 2020 were retrospectively collected. The sex, age, troponin T, creatine kinase, creatine kinase isoenzyme, GDF15 and B-type natriuretic peptide of patients within 30 min after admission were recorded, and the differences of each index in different groups were compared. ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the diagnostic value of GDF15 and TNT/BNP in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The Gensini score, left ventricular ejection fraction, length of stay in hospital and the number of stents were calculated, and the correlation between these indexes and GDF15 concentration was evaluated.Results:The general trend of acute chest pain was more male than female (72.92% vs. 27.08%) , the oldest group was the UA group (64.67 ± 13.87) years old , the youngest group was cardiac arrest group (47.29 ± 9.99) years old . There were higher rates of hypertension in the STEMI group, NSTEMI group and UA group, and none of the groups showed significant advantage in diabetes. The GDF15 concentration was higher in ACS related chest pain group [(2.360 ± 1.710) ng/mL vs. (1.380 ± 1.040) ng/mL, P<0.01]. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of GDF15 combined with TNT was up to 0.863. GDF15 concentration was negatively correlated with ejection fraction, positively correlated with Gensini score, positively correlated with the number of stents implanted, and positively correlated with the length of hospital stay. Conclusions:GDF15 is valuable in the diagnosis and prognosis of acute chest pain. The combination of GDF15 and TNT can improve the diagnostic rate of ACS.

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