1.Establishing of mortality predictive model for elderly critically ill patients using simple bedside indicators and interpretable machine learning algorithms.
Yulan MENG ; Jiaxin LI ; Xinqiang SHAN ; Pengyu LU ; Wei HUANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):170-176
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the feasibility of incorporating simple bedside indicators into death predictive model for elderly critically ill patients based on interpretability machine learning algorithms, providing a new scheme for clinical disease assessment.
METHODS:
Elderly critically ill patients aged ≥ 65 years who were hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) of Tacheng People's Hospital of Ili Kazak Autonomous Prefecture from June 2017 to May 2020 were retrospectively selected. Basic parameters including demographic characteristics, basic vital signs and fluid intake and output within 24 hours after admission, as well acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), Glasgow coma score (GCS) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) were also collected. According to outcomes in hospital, patients were divided into survival group and death group. Four datasets were constructed respectively, namely baseline dataset (B), including age, body temperature, heart rate, pulse oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, mean arterial pressure, urine output volume, infusion volume, and crystal solution volume; B+APACHE II dataset (BA), B+GCS dataset (BG), and B+SOFA dataset (BS). Then three machine learning algorithms, Logistic regression (LR), extreme gradient boosting (XGboost) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) were used to develop the corresponding mortality predictive models within four datasets. The feature importance histogram of each prediction model was drawn by SHapley additive explanation (SHAP) method. The area under curve (AUC), accuracy and F1 score of each model were compared to determine the optimal prediction model and then illuminate the nomogram.
RESULTS:
A total of 392 patients were collected, including 341 in the survival group and 51 in the death group. There were statistically significant differences in heart rate, pulse oxygen saturation, mean arterial pressure, infusion volume, crystal solution volume, and etiological distribution between the two groups. The top three causes of death were shock, cerebral hemorrhage, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Among the 12 prognostic models trained by three machine learning algorithms, overall performance of prognostic models based on B dataset was behind, whereas the LR model trained by BA dataset achieved the best performance than others with AUC of 0.767 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.692-0.836], accuracy of 0.875 (95%CI was 0.837-0.903) and F1 score of 0.190. The top 3 variables in this model were crystal solution volume with first 24 hours, heart rate and mean arterial pressure. The nomogram of the model showed that the total score between 150 and 230 were advisable.
CONCLUSION
The interpretable machine learning model including simple bedside parameters combined with APACHE II score could effectively identify the risk of death in elderly patients with critically illness.
Humans
;
Critical Illness
;
Machine Learning
;
Aged
;
Algorithms
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Retrospective Studies
;
APACHE
;
Prognosis
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Male
;
Female
2.Correlation of gait parameters and muscle parameters with imaging in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients
Jing LIU ; Chunxin XU ; Yangyang LU ; Qinquan QU ; Qi ZHU ; Yulan GUO ; Min SHEN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(21):4477-4485
BACKGROUND:Gait analysis,as a radiation-free dynamic assessment method,may be able to assist imaging to evaluate patients with scoliosis,thereby reducing radiation exposure.OBJECTIVE:To analyze the correlation between gait parameters and imaging parameters in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,and preliminarily explore the potential mechanism through OpenSim simulation modeling.METHODS:Twenty adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients aged 10-18 years with Cobb angle of 10°-45° were selected as adolescent idiopathic scoliosisgroup. The control group was normal children of the same age and the same body mass index range,and a total of 40 subjects were included. The differences in spatiotemporal parameter,kinematic parameters,dynamic parameters,and gait deviation index of the two groups were compared to explore the correlation between pathological gait and coronal balance. The related mechanisms were preliminarily studied.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1) The comparison of gait parameters between groups showed that the percentage of bilateral support phase and double support phase increased in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,and the percentage of bilateral swing phase decreased (P<0.05). The maximum adduction angle of the left hip joint of patients in the adolescent idiopathic scoliosis group was greater than that of the control group,and the maximum abduction angle of the bilateral hip joints was significantly less than that of the control group (P<0.05). The ankle joints of the two groups when the bilateral heels initially touched the ground;the difference between angles was significant (P<0.05). The peak power of right hip flexor muscle group in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly decreased when they pushed off the ground (P<0.05). (2) The results of the correlation study showed that the maximum abductive angle of the right hip joint was significantly positively correlated with the Cobb angle (r=0.552,P=0.012),and the right peak power of right hip flexor muscle and C7 lateral offset were significantly negatively correlated (r=-0.475,P=0.034). There was a significant positive correlation between ankle angle and lateral pelvic tilt when left foot followed the ground (r=0.476,P=0.034). (3) The simulation results of muscle length showed that the change of muscle fiber length of gluteal medium muscle in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly reduced (P<0.05). The change of muscle fiber length of the bilateral internal oblique muscle was significantly reduced in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients (P<0.05). Comparing the muscle fiber length of the two groups when foot followed the ground,it was found that the muscle fiber length of the calf triceps of the adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly shorter when foot followed the ground (P<0.05). (4) The results showed that the postural stability control of the trunk of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was decreased,which was manifested as slow step frequency,increased percentage of double support phase and decreased percentage of swing phase. The common pattern of low foot striking pattern is caused by bilateral Achilles tendon tension. In adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,the ability of hip flexor muscle to do work is decreased,which may be related to joint angular velocity and main bend direction.
3.Correlation between genetic polymorphism of lncRNA GAS5 and risk of polycystic ovary syndrome
Yulan LU ; Xiaoxia PANG ; Xinghong CHE ; Yuxia WEI ; Chunhong LIU
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(2):348-353
AIM:To investigate the association between long noncoding RNA(lncRNA)growth arrest-specific transcript 5(GAS5)genetic polymorphism and the onset of polycystic ovary syndrome(PCOS).METHODS:The case-control study was performed,selecting 236 PCOS patients diagnosed at the Reproductive Medicine Center of the Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Youjiang University for Nationalities from May 2018 to May 2019 as the case group,while 277 healthy women matched in sex and age during the same period were selected as the control group.The iMLDR single nucleotide polymorphism(SNP)was used to detected the genotypes of rs145204276 I/D,rs55829688 C/T and rs6790 G/A in GAS5 gene.The correlation between GAS5 gene polymorphism and PCOS was analyzed using logistic regression.RESULTS:The difference of GAS5 gene rs145204276 I/D polymorphism had statistical significance between control group and PCOS group.Logistic regression analysis showed that compared with the I/I genotype,the I/D and D/D genotypes,as well as the dominant model I/D+D/D,had a reduced risk of PCOS[I/D vs I:OR(95%CI)=0.61(0.42,0.88),P=0.009;D vs I/I:OR(95%CI)=0.44(0.23,0.84),P=0.013;I/D+D vs I/I:OR(95%CI)=0.57(0.40,0.81),P=0.002].Compared with the I allele,the D allele significantly reduced the risk of PCOS[D vs I:OR(95%CI)=0.62(0.47,0.82),P=0.001).There was no statistically significant difference in the polymorphism of rs55829688 C/T and rs6790 G/A between control group and PCOS group(P>0.05).The combined analysis of haplotypes showed that the difference of D-T-A haplo-type distribution was statistically significant between control group and PCOS group[OR(95%CI)=0.61(0.45,0.84),P=0.002].CONCLUSION:The polymorphism of GAS5 gene rs145204276 I/D may be associated with genetic suscepti-bility to PCOS,and individuals carrying the D allele may have a reduced risk of developing PCOS.
4.Correlation of gait parameters and muscle parameters with imaging in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients
Jing LIU ; Chunxin XU ; Yangyang LU ; Qinquan QU ; Qi ZHU ; Yulan GUO ; Min SHEN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(21):4477-4485
BACKGROUND:Gait analysis,as a radiation-free dynamic assessment method,may be able to assist imaging to evaluate patients with scoliosis,thereby reducing radiation exposure.OBJECTIVE:To analyze the correlation between gait parameters and imaging parameters in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,and preliminarily explore the potential mechanism through OpenSim simulation modeling.METHODS:Twenty adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients aged 10-18 years with Cobb angle of 10°-45° were selected as adolescent idiopathic scoliosisgroup. The control group was normal children of the same age and the same body mass index range,and a total of 40 subjects were included. The differences in spatiotemporal parameter,kinematic parameters,dynamic parameters,and gait deviation index of the two groups were compared to explore the correlation between pathological gait and coronal balance. The related mechanisms were preliminarily studied.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1) The comparison of gait parameters between groups showed that the percentage of bilateral support phase and double support phase increased in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,and the percentage of bilateral swing phase decreased (P<0.05). The maximum adduction angle of the left hip joint of patients in the adolescent idiopathic scoliosis group was greater than that of the control group,and the maximum abduction angle of the bilateral hip joints was significantly less than that of the control group (P<0.05). The ankle joints of the two groups when the bilateral heels initially touched the ground;the difference between angles was significant (P<0.05). The peak power of right hip flexor muscle group in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly decreased when they pushed off the ground (P<0.05). (2) The results of the correlation study showed that the maximum abductive angle of the right hip joint was significantly positively correlated with the Cobb angle (r=0.552,P=0.012),and the right peak power of right hip flexor muscle and C7 lateral offset were significantly negatively correlated (r=-0.475,P=0.034). There was a significant positive correlation between ankle angle and lateral pelvic tilt when left foot followed the ground (r=0.476,P=0.034). (3) The simulation results of muscle length showed that the change of muscle fiber length of gluteal medium muscle in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly reduced (P<0.05). The change of muscle fiber length of the bilateral internal oblique muscle was significantly reduced in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients (P<0.05). Comparing the muscle fiber length of the two groups when foot followed the ground,it was found that the muscle fiber length of the calf triceps of the adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was significantly shorter when foot followed the ground (P<0.05). (4) The results showed that the postural stability control of the trunk of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients was decreased,which was manifested as slow step frequency,increased percentage of double support phase and decreased percentage of swing phase. The common pattern of low foot striking pattern is caused by bilateral Achilles tendon tension. In adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients,the ability of hip flexor muscle to do work is decreased,which may be related to joint angular velocity and main bend direction.
5.Correlation between genetic polymorphism of lncRNA GAS5 and risk of polycystic ovary syndrome
Yulan LU ; Xiaoxia PANG ; Xinghong CHE ; Yuxia WEI ; Chunhong LIU
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(2):348-353
AIM:To investigate the association between long noncoding RNA(lncRNA)growth arrest-specific transcript 5(GAS5)genetic polymorphism and the onset of polycystic ovary syndrome(PCOS).METHODS:The case-control study was performed,selecting 236 PCOS patients diagnosed at the Reproductive Medicine Center of the Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Youjiang University for Nationalities from May 2018 to May 2019 as the case group,while 277 healthy women matched in sex and age during the same period were selected as the control group.The iMLDR single nucleotide polymorphism(SNP)was used to detected the genotypes of rs145204276 I/D,rs55829688 C/T and rs6790 G/A in GAS5 gene.The correlation between GAS5 gene polymorphism and PCOS was analyzed using logistic regression.RESULTS:The difference of GAS5 gene rs145204276 I/D polymorphism had statistical significance between control group and PCOS group.Logistic regression analysis showed that compared with the I/I genotype,the I/D and D/D genotypes,as well as the dominant model I/D+D/D,had a reduced risk of PCOS[I/D vs I:OR(95%CI)=0.61(0.42,0.88),P=0.009;D vs I/I:OR(95%CI)=0.44(0.23,0.84),P=0.013;I/D+D vs I/I:OR(95%CI)=0.57(0.40,0.81),P=0.002].Compared with the I allele,the D allele significantly reduced the risk of PCOS[D vs I:OR(95%CI)=0.62(0.47,0.82),P=0.001).There was no statistically significant difference in the polymorphism of rs55829688 C/T and rs6790 G/A between control group and PCOS group(P>0.05).The combined analysis of haplotypes showed that the difference of D-T-A haplo-type distribution was statistically significant between control group and PCOS group[OR(95%CI)=0.61(0.45,0.84),P=0.002].CONCLUSION:The polymorphism of GAS5 gene rs145204276 I/D may be associated with genetic suscepti-bility to PCOS,and individuals carrying the D allele may have a reduced risk of developing PCOS.
6.Ultrasound Multimodality Examination Improves the Diagnostic Efficiency of Non-Mass-Like Breast Lesions
Huiyan WANG ; Longying LU ; Heqing ZHANG ; Xue WAN ; Yushuang HE ; Honghao LUO ; Yulan PENG ; Lin MA ; Haina ZHAO
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2024;55(5):1240-1246
Objective This study is focused on ultrasound multimodality examination,which refers to the combined use of three ultrasound examination modalities,ultrasound(US),acoustic radiation force impulse(ARFI)imaging,and contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS).The purpose of this study is to analyze the value of applying ultrasound multimodality examination in the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant breast non-mass-like lesions(NMLs).Methods Cases of breast NMLs were analyzed retrospectively,and the nature of all the lesions was verified by pathological examination.Based on the gray-scale ultrasound image characteristics,the cases were classified into types Ⅰto Ⅴ,and type Ⅰ and type Ⅱ were further classified into 4 subtypes,Ⅰa,Ⅰ b,Ⅱ a,and Ⅱ b,according to whether there was also calcification,and the proportion of malignant cases in each subtype was statistically analyzed.Logistic regression models of US,US+ARFI,US+CEUS,and US+ARFI+CEUS for the diagnosis of malignant cases were established,ROC curves were drawn,the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated,and comparisons were made accordingly.The detection rate of malignant NMLs without calcification(atypical malignant NMLs)by the combination examination of US,ARFI,and CEUS was analyzed.Results A total of 407 cases were included in the study.All subjects were female,aged 22 to 81 years,with the average age being(47.0±1 1.0)years.There were 220 benign cases and 187 malignant cases.Ranked from the highest to the lowest,the malignancy proportion of the different types wasⅠb>Ⅱb>Ⅲ>V>Ⅰa>Ⅱa>Ⅳ.The malignant proportion of the low echo area with calcification was significantly higher than that of the lesions without calcification.The AUC(95%confidence interval[CI])for diagnosing malignant cases with the logistic regression models of US,US+ARFI,US+CEUS,and US+ARFI+CEUS were 0.895(0.862-0.927),0.908(0.878-0.937),0.921(0.893-0.948),and 0.927(0.902-0.952),respectively.Comparison of the AUC of the 4 regression models showed significant differences(P<0.001).The detection rate of US for NMLs without calcification was 80.7%.When US was used in combination with ARFI and CEUS,86.4%of the malignant NMLs lesions without calcification could be detected if the lesion CEUS score was 4 or 5 points or if shear-wave velocity(SWV)≥4.28 m/s.Conclusion Breast NMLs with calcification show high risks of malignancy,and a pathological examination is always recommended for a conclusive diagnosis.Ultrasound multimodality examination can improve the diagnostic accuracy of breast NML without calcification.
7.Associations between hypertensive snowbirds′ length of migratory stay and blood pressure control
Sikun CHEN ; Xinyuan LU ; Lin LYU ; Lingjun WANG ; Yulan ZHAO ; Jinming YU ; Dayi HU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(9):1058-1064
Objective:To explore the relationship between the hypertensive snowbirds′ length of migratory stay and their blood pressure control and blood pressure levels.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional study. A population of snowbirds with hypertension was recruited between October and November 2022, and a structured questionnaire was used to collect their self-measured blood pressure and length of stay in Hainan Province. The blood pressure control status is determined based on self-measured blood pressure. According to the self-measured blood pressure to determine whether the blood pressure was well controlled. The associations between snowbirds′ length of stay and their blood pressure control as well as their self-measured blood pressure were analyzed using restricted cubic splines.Results:A total of 362 research subjects were included, 169(46.7%) of whom were male, and their age was (69.7±7.0) years old. The participants′ self-measured systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure were (129.1±16.2) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) and (78.9±10.1) mmHg, respectively. Overall, 174 (48.1%) participants attained adequate blood pressure control. The median length of stay in Wuzhishan City was 7(6, 7) months. There was an inverted U-shaped association between snowbirds′ length of stay and blood pressure control (overall: P=0.023; nonlinearity: P=0.014), where participants with a length of stay of 7 months had the highest rate of blood pressure control. There is a U-shaped curve relationship between length of stay and systolic blood pressure (overall: P=0.001; nonlinearity: P=0.033), and a linear negative correlation with diastolic blood pressure ( β=-1.19, P=0.003). Conclusions:Compared with hypertensive snowbirds with too long or too short lengths of stay, snowbirds who stayed in Wuzhishan City for seven months have better blood pressure control, and systolic blood pressure is also lower.
8.Pharmaceutical care in a case of myocardial infarction complicated with antithrombotic therapy after tricuspid valve repair
Yulan LIU ; Mei LIU ; Yi LU ; Hui BI ; Guili XU
Journal of Pharmaceutical Practice 2023;41(12):760-762
Objective To investigate the antithrombotic therapy for acute myocardial infarction patients after PCI stenting combined with tricuspid valve repair. Methods The risk of bleeding and embolization was evaluated, relevant data were reviewed, professional knowledges of pharmacy were utilized through the whole treatment process, individualized medication plan for patients was designed and used. Results A better therapeutic effect was achieved through the implementation of pharmaceutical care and medication education to the patients. Conclusion Clinical pharmacists carry out pharmaceutical care in antithrombotic drugs utilities,which could improve the safety level of drug use and provide basis for clinical rational drug use.
9.A multicenter survey on the current status of human caring in hospital wards in China
Yilan LIU ; Fengjian ZHANG ; Xinjuan WU ; Yinglan LI ; Deying HU ; Shengxiu ZHAO ; Yanjin LIU ; Gendi LU ; Dongmei DAI ; Chaoyan XU ; Liqing YUE ; Bilong FENG ; Rong XU ; Yanli WANG ; Adan FU ; Li GOU ; Xiaoping LOU ; Li YANG ; Xinman DOU ; Huijuan SONG ; Xiuli LI ; Yi LI ; Yulan XU ; Liping TAN ; Liu HU ; Xiaodong NING
Chinese Journal of Hospital Administration 2023;39(10):774-780
Objective:To explore the current situation of nursing human caring in hospital wards and analyze its influencing factors, so as to facilitate the development of nursing human caring practice.Methods:From July to November 2022, a total of 107 hospitals were surveyed through stratified convenience sampling method, and 4 072 ward nursing managers were recruited to finish the general information questionnaire and the ward nursing human caring status questionnaire. The general information included the region, class and type of the hospital, etc. The ward nursing human caring status questionnaire included 38 items in 5 dimensions of nursing human caring system and process, humanistic quality and training of nursing staff, humanistic environment and facilities, human caring procedures and measures, and human caring quality evaluation and improvement, with a full score of 190 points. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze the general data, independent samples t-test, ANOVA and correlation analysis were used to analyze the factors influencing the current status of nursing human caring in the ward, while multiple linear regression analysis was used to conduct a multivariate analysis. Results:The score of nursing human caring in hospital wards was 156.91±27.78. Whether the hospital had carried out nursing human caring pilot(demonstration) wards, whether the ward had previously been a hospital nursing human caring pilot(demonstration) nursing unit, the type of ward, and whether nursing managers had participated in human caring training were the influencing factors of the implication of nursing humanistic caring in wards( P<0.05). Conclusions:The practice of nursing human caring in hospital wards is at a good level, but needs to be further strengthened. Nursing managers should take systematically strategies to promote the development of nursing human caring practice.
10.Study of the association of lncRNA-GAS5 gene polymorphisms with systemic lupus erythematosus in Guangxi population.
Yulan LU ; Yan LAN ; Huatuo HUANG ; Yanxin HUANG ; Yuxia WEI ; Chunfang WANG ; Chunhong LIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2023;40(1):114-120
OBJECTIVE:
To assess the association of rs55829688 and rs75315904 polymorphisms of the lncRNA-GAS5 gene with susceptibility to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in Guangxi population.
METHODS:
Peripheral venous blood samples were collected from the SLE group and control group. Following extraction of genomic DNA, SNPscan and Sanger sequencing were carried out to determine the genotypes for the rs55829688 and rs75315904 loci of the lncRNA-GAS5 gene.
RESULTS:
No difference was found between the two groups with regard to the genotypic frequencies for rs55829688 and rs75315904 (P > 0.05). However, the frequencies of C allele of rs55829688 between the two groups was significantly different (P < 0.05). In the SLE group, the frequencies of C allele and CT+CC genotype for rs55829688 among SLE patients with nephritis were significantly lower than those of SLE patients without nephritis (P < 0.05). In addition, haplotype analysis showed that the frequency of rs55829688 C/rs75315904 A allele in the SLE group was lower than that of the control group (P < 0.05).
CONCLUSION
In Guangxi population, the carrier status of rs55829688 C allele of the lncRNA-GAS5 gene may reduce the risk of SLE and its complicated nephritis, and the rs55829688 C/rs75315904 A haplotype may reduce the risk for SLE.
Humans
;
Case-Control Studies
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Gene Frequency
;
Genetic Predisposition to Disease
;
Genotype
;
Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic/genetics*
;
Nephritis
;
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
;
RNA, Long Noncoding/genetics*

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