1.Development of a nomogram prediction model of 30-day mortality risk for elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction after coronary artery bypass grafting
Fenlong XUE ; Yuhui ZHANG ; Yin YANG ; Yunpeng BAI ; Shaopeng ZHANG ; Qingliang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(04):597-604
Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly (≥70 years) HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024 was performed. Simple random sampling in R software was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. Results A total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training set, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression, five independent risk factors were identified: IABP use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065-11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269-67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057-46.089, P=0.007), Cr (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997-6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000-2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: area under the curve (AUC) in the training set was 0.898 (95%CI 0.831-0.966) and in the validation set was 0.912 (95%CI 0.805-1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.
2.Working practices in eliminating the public health crisis caused by viral hepatitis in Hainan Province of China
Weihua LI ; Changfu XIONG ; Taifan CHEN ; Bin HE ; Dapeng YIN ; Xuexia ZENG ; Feng LIN ; Biyu CHEN ; Xiaomei ZENG ; Biao WU ; Juan JIANG ; Lu ZHONG ; Yuhui ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):228-233
In 2022, Hainan provincial government launched the project for the prevention and control of viral hepatitis with the goals of a hepatitis B screening rate of 90%, a diagnostic rate of 90%, and a treatment rate of 80% among people aged 18 years and above by the year 2025, and the main intervention measures include population-based prevention, case screening, antiviral therapy, and health management. As of December 31, 2024, a total of 6.875 million individuals in the general population had been screened for hepatitis B, with a screening rate of 95.6%. A total of 184 710 individuals with positive HBsAg were identified, among whom 156 772 were diagnosed through serological reexamination, resulting in a diagnostic rate of 84.9%. A total of 50 742 patients with chronic hepatitis B were identified, among whom 42 921 had hepatitis B-specific health records established for health management, with a file establishment rate of 84.6%. A total of 31 553 individuals received antiviral therapy, with a treatment rate of 62.2%. A total of 2.503 million individuals at a high risk of hepatitis C were screened, among whom 4 870 tested positive for HCV antibody and 3 858 underwent HCV RNA testing, resulting in a diagnostic rate of 79.2%, and 1 824 individuals with positive HCV RNA were identified, among whom 1 194 received antiviral therapy, with a treatment rate of 65.5%. In addition, 159 301 individuals with negative HBsAg and anti-HBs and an age of 20 — 40 years were inoculated with hepatitis B vaccine free of charge. Through the implementation of the project for the prevention and control of viral hepatitis, a large number of hepatitis patients have been identified, treated, and managed in the province within a short period of time, which significantly accelerates the efforts to eliminate the crisis of viral hepatitis.
3.Spring and summer-autumn pollen grading and forecasting model based on daily visits of allergic rhinitis patients
Yuhui OUYANG ; Zhaoyin YIN ; Yun YAN ; Jingguo CHEN ; Wenxuan FEI ; Lili GONG ; Weiwei LIU ; Xiaojia LIU ; Daoliang SONG ; Zhendong XU ; Ying ZHANG ; Yuan ZHANG ; Luo ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;60(3):313-320
Objective:To establish graded forecast models of pollen concentration in spring and summer-autumn in northern China, based on long-term data of pollen and allergic rhinitis (AR) medical visits in 8 cities of northern China.Methods:Pollen concentration and the characteristics of AR patients from 8 cities of northern China, including Beijing, Baotou, Hohhot, Xi′an, Xining, Cangzhou, Liaocheng and Zibo, were analyzed. Spearman′s correlation was used to examine the relationship between pollen concentration and daily AR patient visits. A pollen concentration grading was establish, and a pollen forecast model was created using the eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The model incorporated meteorological factors and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations.Results:The spring pollen period started early and lasted long in Beijing and Xi ′an, while the summer-autumn pollen period started earlier and persisted longer in Xining, Baotou and Hohhot. During summer-autumn pollen period, and the spring period in most cities (except Baotou and Cangzhou), average daily patient visits were significantly higher than those in non-pollen periods. A strong correlation was observed between daily AR patient visits and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations in both the spring and summer-autumn periods across all cities. Based on the correlation, a pollen concentration grading standard of northern China was established. The accuracy evaluation of pollen concentration prediction model showed that the percentage of forecasts with either completely accurate or within one level difference exceeded 91% in spring and 95% in summer-autumn. The most important predictive variable in the model was the pollen level from previous day, followed by the temperature and humidity.Conclusion:The grading prediction model for pollen concentration provides guidance for AR patients in term of travel, early defense and treatment, as well as the determining medication schedules for clinical drug research and specific immunotherapy.
4.Consensus on early diagnosis and treatment of psoriatic arthritis (2025)
Ranran YAO ; Lin CAI ; Liling XU ; Yuhui LI ; Yuan JIA ; Yin SU
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(4):265-279
Psoriasis arthritis (PsA) is a chronic inflammatory musculoskeletal disease intricately linked to psoriasis (PsO), with a multifaceted etiology encompassing genetic, environmental, and immunological factors. Characterized by complex clinical manifestations, PsA often follows a protracted course with a propensity for relapses, potentially culminating in joint deformity and disability. The condition is further complicated by associated comorbidities such as inflammatory bowel disease, uveitis, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome, which significantly diminish patients′ quality of life. Early detection and screening of PsA are crucial for its management and prevention of adverse outcomes. However, in China, there is a notable deficiency in the recognition and early diagnosis of PsA, with missed or incorrect diagnoses being relatively common. The consensus comprises four overarching statements and sixteen detailed recommendations, with the overarching goal of enhancing the early diagnosis and treatment of PsA by clinical physicians, thereby improving patient outcomes.
5.Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for post-stroke cognitive impairment
Yuhui ZHAO ; Tingting YIN ; Guanglei FU
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(5):1194-1200
Objective To construct and validate a predictive model of post-stroke cognitive impairment(PSCI)in ischemic stroke patients.Methods A total of 517 ischemic stroke patients admitted to the Depart-ment of Neurology of the hospital from January to December 2021 were selected by convenience sampling method,and were randomly divided into 359 cases of the modeling group and 158 cases of the validation group according to a 7∶3 ratio.In the modeling group,logistic regression analysis was used to screen risk factors for PSCI in the modeling group,and a column chart model was constructed.The performance of the column chart model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and area under the curve(AUC),goodness of fit test Hosmer Lemeshow(H-L test),calibration curve,and clinical decision curve(DCA)in the validation group.Results The incidence of cognitive impairment after ischemic stroke in the modeling group was 63.8%(229/359).The AUC value in the column chart model was 0.836,and the H-L test result was x2=7.254,P=0.510.The calibration curve was close to the ideal curve at 45°.DCA was higher than the reference line,and homocysteine,age,NIHSS score,and educational level were the main predictive factors.Conclusion Con-structing a predictive model for post-stroke cognitive impairment in patients with ischemic stroke has good predictive value.
6.Association of physical exercise willingness and insomnia with depressive symptoms among college students
YIN Wenlong, CHAI Yehong, CHENG Tianbao, JIANG Zhihua, SUN Xiaolong, ZHANG Yi, WAN Yuhui
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(8):1147-1150
Objective:
To understand the association of physical exercise willingness and insomnia with depressive symptoms among college students, so as to provide reference for improving depressive symptoms of college students.
Methods:
From October 2022 to April 2023, cluster sampling was used to recruit 11 101 college students from four colleges in Anhui Province. The questionnaire survey was conducted to investigate the willingness to engage in physical exercise, insomnia and depressive symptoms of college students. The multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the association of physical exercise willingness and insomnia with depressive symptoms of college students.
Results:
The prevalence of depressive symptoms among college students was 9.24%. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that college students who were passive participants/non participants in physical activity, or who experienced insomnia, had a higher likelihood of depressive symptoms compared to those who were active participants or did not experience insomnia ( OR =1.84, 2.07, 4.02, all P <0.01). College students who were passive participants or non participants in physical activity and concurrently experienced insomnia had a higher risk of depressive symptoms compared with those who were active participants or did not experience insomnia ( OR =1.87-8.39, all P <0.01). Gender stratified analysis showed that the combined effect of passive physical exercise and insomnia increased the risk of depressive symptoms in both male ( OR = 1.81 -9.87) and female college students ( OR =1.67-7.39) (all P <0.05).
Conclusions
Both physical exercise willingness and insomnia are associated with depressive symptoms in college students. In order to improve the depressive symptoms of college students, it is necessary to improve the enthusiasm of physical exercise and strengthen the education of sleep health awareness.
7.Consensus on early diagnosis and treatment of psoriatic arthritis (2025)
Ranran YAO ; Lin CAI ; Liling XU ; Yuhui LI ; Yuan JIA ; Yin SU
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(4):265-279
Psoriasis arthritis (PsA) is a chronic inflammatory musculoskeletal disease intricately linked to psoriasis (PsO), with a multifaceted etiology encompassing genetic, environmental, and immunological factors. Characterized by complex clinical manifestations, PsA often follows a protracted course with a propensity for relapses, potentially culminating in joint deformity and disability. The condition is further complicated by associated comorbidities such as inflammatory bowel disease, uveitis, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome, which significantly diminish patients′ quality of life. Early detection and screening of PsA are crucial for its management and prevention of adverse outcomes. However, in China, there is a notable deficiency in the recognition and early diagnosis of PsA, with missed or incorrect diagnoses being relatively common. The consensus comprises four overarching statements and sixteen detailed recommendations, with the overarching goal of enhancing the early diagnosis and treatment of PsA by clinical physicians, thereby improving patient outcomes.
8.Spring and summer-autumn pollen grading and forecasting model based on daily visits of allergic rhinitis patients
Yuhui OUYANG ; Zhaoyin YIN ; Yun YAN ; Jingguo CHEN ; Wenxuan FEI ; Lili GONG ; Weiwei LIU ; Xiaojia LIU ; Daoliang SONG ; Zhendong XU ; Ying ZHANG ; Yuan ZHANG ; Luo ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;60(3):313-320
Objective:To establish graded forecast models of pollen concentration in spring and summer-autumn in northern China, based on long-term data of pollen and allergic rhinitis (AR) medical visits in 8 cities of northern China.Methods:Pollen concentration and the characteristics of AR patients from 8 cities of northern China, including Beijing, Baotou, Hohhot, Xi′an, Xining, Cangzhou, Liaocheng and Zibo, were analyzed. Spearman′s correlation was used to examine the relationship between pollen concentration and daily AR patient visits. A pollen concentration grading was establish, and a pollen forecast model was created using the eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The model incorporated meteorological factors and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations.Results:The spring pollen period started early and lasted long in Beijing and Xi ′an, while the summer-autumn pollen period started earlier and persisted longer in Xining, Baotou and Hohhot. During summer-autumn pollen period, and the spring period in most cities (except Baotou and Cangzhou), average daily patient visits were significantly higher than those in non-pollen periods. A strong correlation was observed between daily AR patient visits and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations in both the spring and summer-autumn periods across all cities. Based on the correlation, a pollen concentration grading standard of northern China was established. The accuracy evaluation of pollen concentration prediction model showed that the percentage of forecasts with either completely accurate or within one level difference exceeded 91% in spring and 95% in summer-autumn. The most important predictive variable in the model was the pollen level from previous day, followed by the temperature and humidity.Conclusion:The grading prediction model for pollen concentration provides guidance for AR patients in term of travel, early defense and treatment, as well as the determining medication schedules for clinical drug research and specific immunotherapy.
9.Investigation and analysisof hyperuricemia in annual physical examination of military pilots
Yuanyuan SONG ; Yang KANG ; Hui YIN ; Yuhui ZHU
Space Medicine & Medical Engineering 2024;35(4):241-244
Objective To investigate the prevalence and related factors of hyperuricemia in military pilots,and to provide an objective basis for the prevention and treatment of hyperuricemia.Methods A total of 389 pilots who underwent annual physical examination in our department from 2020 to 2021 were selected as the research objects.The detection of hyperuricemia was analyzed,and the serum uric acid values of pilots with different body mass index,type of aircraft and flight time were compared.Logistic multiple regression analysis was performed with serum uric acid(UA)as the dependent variable,fasting blood glucose systolic blood pressure,diastolic blood pressure,body mass index(BMI),serum creatinine,total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),high density lipoprotein(HDL),low density lipoprotein(LDL),triglyceride and glucose index(TyG index),cystine protease inhibitor C(Cys-C)and other indicators as independent variables to clarify the relationship between UA value and these indicators.Results Among the 389 pilots,there were 46 cases of hyperuricemia,and the total detection rate was 11.83%.According to the occupational related factors BMI,aircraft type and flight time,the average UA values of pilots with different BMI groups were statistically significant(F=5.333,P=0.005),while the average UA values of pilots with different aircraft types and flight time groups were not statistically significant(F=1.502,P=0.224;F=0.375,P=0.866).Logistic multiple regression analysis showed that creatinine(OR=1.09,P<0.01),triglyceride(OR=5.10,P<0.01),high density lipoprotein(OR=0.14,P<0.01),low density lipoprotein(OR=1.99,P<0.05)and TyG index(OR=2.15,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for hyperuricemia.Conclusion Creatinine,blood lipid level and TyG index are closely related to hyperuricemia.
10.Predictive value of D-dimer for futile recanalization after mechanical thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke
Qianwen WANG ; Yuhui CHEN ; Jiawen YIN ; Jinyu QIAO ; Peng QI ; Juan CHEN ; Tao GONG
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2024;23(3):279-284
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of preoperative D-dimer level for futile recanalization (FR) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).Methods:It was a nested case-control study. A total of 116 patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke, who underwent successful recanalization (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction, mTICI≥2b) after MT at the Stroke Unit of Beijing Hospital from August 2018 to January 2022,were consecutively enrolled, including 72 males (62.1%) with the age of (72.8±13.1) years. According to the 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score after MT, patients were divided into the meaningful recanalization group (mRS 0-2, n=41) and the futile recanalization group (mRS 3-6, n=75). The baseline clinical data of enrolled patients was collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for FR after MT in patients with AIS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of D-dimer for FR. Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) ( OR=1.038, 95% CI: 1.012-1.065, P=0.004), baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score≥12 ( OR=10.157, 95% CI: 3.624-28.470, P<0.001) and high preoperative D-dimer level ( OR=4.536, 95% CI: 1.379-14.922, P=0.013) were independent predictors of FR after MT in AIS patients with LVO. ROC curve analysis indicated a good predictive value of preoperative D-dimer for the occurrence of FR ( AUC=0.733, 95% CI: 0.638-0.829, P<0.05), the optimal cut-off value of D-dimer was 2.65 μg/L(Lg), with the Youden index, sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 0.435, 53.3%, 90.2% and 66.4%, respectively. Conclusion:High preoperative D-dimer level is an independent predictor of futile recanalization after MT in AIS patients with LVO, which shows good predictive ability for futile recanalization.


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