1.Development and validation of a multidisciplinary risk assessment scale for immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated myocarditis
Yanan DAI ; Yuan LIU ; Yuchen XU ; Qingqing CAI ; Yan WANG ; Yuhong ZHOU ; Leilei CHENG ; Junbo GE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(4):561-567
Objective To develop a risk assessment scale for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-associated myocarditis based on multidisciplinary collaboration, and to evaluate its diagnostic performance. Methods Based on multidisciplinary cooperation, integrating clinical experience from oncology and cardiology, literature data, and patient conditions, a risk assessment scale for ICI-associated myocarditis was developed. A total of 101 patients with malignancies who received immunotherapy at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from October 2020 to October 2024 were included as the validation cohort. Patients were stratified into low-risk (0-1 point), medium-risk (2-4 points), and high-risk (≥5 points) groups based on their scale scores. The association between pretictive risk stratifications and actual assessment results was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive value of the scale for ICI-associated myocarditis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Agreement between the scale scores and actual assessment results was assessed using Cohen’s Kappa coefficient. Results Based on the scale pretictive results, 28(27.7%), 8(7.9%), 65(64.4%) patients were at low risk, medium risk, and high risk for ICI-related myocarditis, respectively; however, 46(45.5%), 8(7.9%), 47(46.5%) were at low risk, medium risk, and high risk actually. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of ICI-related myocarditis in the high-risk group was significantly higher than that in the medium- and low-risk groups (P<0.05). In the multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, the ICI-related myocarditis risk in high-risk group was about 4 times that in the low-risk group. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the average area under the curve (AUC) for predicting ICI-related myocarditis was 0.81, with an accuracy of 0.74. The Cohen’s Kappa coefficient was 0.55, indicating moderate agreement. In the actual high-risk group, no patient was predicted to be at low risk; in the actual low-risk group, 16 patients were predicted to be at high risk. Conclusions This risk assessment scale for ICI-associated myocarditis shows high predictive performance. It provides oncologists with a simple yet effective multidisciplinary diagnostic reference tool, potentially enhancing early identification of ICI-associated myocarditis.
2.Comparison of the efficacy of 3 technics in the diagnosis of oral mucosal pemphigoid
Yuhong WANG ; Yuan LIU ; Minghui WEI ; Yuanyuan WANG ; Xinwen WANG
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2024;40(4):547-551
Objective:To compare the efficacy of histopathology(HE),direct immunofluorescence(DIF)and serum anti-BP 180/BP230 antibody ELISA detection(BP 180/BP230)in the diagnosis of oral mucous membrane pemphigoid(MMP).Methods:53 pa-tients with MMP were included.HE,DIF and serum BP 180/230 test results were analyzed and compared.Results:MMP was finally diagnosed in 48 patients by the comprehensive utilization of the 3 techics.There were 8 males(16.7%)and 40 females(83.3%),aged 34-76 years(median age 62 years),with a median duration of 9 months and an interquartile range of 3-12 months.6 patients had ex-traoral sites involvement,including skin(n=3,6.3%),genitalia(n=2,4.2%)and throat(n=1,2.1%).The main site of oral mu-cosa involvement was gingiva(n=40,83.3%),followed by palate(n=22,45.8%),cheek(n=15,31.3%),tongue(n=4,8.3%)and lip(n=3,6.3%).The sensitivity of the routine HE combined with modified biopsy was 83.3%(40/48)and missed diagnosis rate was 16.7%(8/48);the sensitivity of DIF was 85.4%(41/48)and missed diagnosis rate was 14.6%(7/48);the sensitivity of BP180/230 was 47.9%(23/48)and missed diagnosis rate was 52.1%(25/48).The kappa coefficient of agreement between HE and DIFwas0.354(95%CI:0.060,0.648),between BP180/230 ELISA and DIF was-0.112(95%CI:-0.328,0.104),and be-tween HE and BP180/230 ELISA wasO.031(95%CI:-0.181,0.243).Conclusion:HE and DIF have similar effective rate for MMP diagnosis,and they can complement each other.ELISA detection can be used as a supplementary examination for the more accurate di-agnostic of MMP.
3.Risk Prediction of Recent Delivery in Pregnant Women with Threatened Early Preterm Labor
Yanqing LIU ; Yuhong YUAN ; Qi SHI
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(8):670-675
Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity>1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length<20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI>30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95%CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity>1(HR 3.095,95%CI 1.759-5.447,P<0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95%CI 2.216-5.362,P<0.001),cervical length<20 mm(HR3.594,95%CI 2.289-5.646,P<0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95%CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95%CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI>30 kg/m2 at admission,parity>1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length<20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.
4.The effect of Ba Duan Jin on the balance of community-dwelling older adults: a cluster randomized control trial
Leilei DUAN ; Yubin ZHAO ; Yuliang ER ; Pengpeng YE ; Wei WANG ; Xin GAO ; Xiao DENG ; Ye JIN ; Yuan WANG ; Cuirong JI ; Xinyan MA ; Cong GAO ; Yuhong ZHAO ; Suqiu ZHU ; Shuzhen SU ; Xin'e GUO ; Juanjuan PENG ; Yan YU ; Chen YANG ; Yaya SU ; Ming ZHAO ; Lihua GUO ; Yiping WU ; Yangnu LUO ; Ruilin MENG ; Haofeng XU ; Huazhang LIU ; Huihong RUAN ; Bo XIE ; Huimin ZHANG ; Yuhua LIAO ; Yan CHEN ; Linhong WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):250-256
Objective:To assess the effectiveness of a 6-month Ba Duan Jin exercise program in improving the balance of community-dwelling older adults.Methods:A two arms, parallel-group, cluster randomized controlled trial was conducted in 1 028 community residents aged 60-80 years in 40 communities in 5 provinces of China. Participants in the intervention group (20 communities, 523 people) received Ba Duan Jin exercise 5 days/week, 1 hour/day for 6 months, and three times of falls prevention health education, and the control group (20 communities, 505 people) received falls prevention health education same as the intervention group. The Berg balance scale (BBS) score was the leading outcome indicator, and the secondary outcome indicators included the length of time of standing on one foot (with eyes open and closed), standing in a tandem stance (with eyes open and closed), the closed circle test, and the timed up to test.Results:A total of 1 028 participants were included in the final analysis, including 731 women (71.11%) and 297 men (28.89%), and the age was (69.87±5.67) years. After the 3-month intervention, compared with the baseline data, the BBS score of the intervention group was significantly higher than the control group by 3.05 (95% CI: 2.23-3.88) points ( P<0.001). After the 6-month intervention, compared with the baseline data, the BBS score of the intervention group was significantly higher than the control group by 4.70 (95% CI: 4.03-5.37) points ( P<0.001). Ba Duan Jin showed significant improvement ( P<0.05) in all secondary outcomes after 6 months of exercise in the intervention group compared with the control group. Conclusions:This study showed that Ba Duan Jin exercise can improve balance in community-dwelling older adults aged 60-80. The longer the exercise time, the better the improvement.
5.Effect of attachment on coping styles in patients with advanced lung cancer: the chain-mediated role of disease perception and hope
Lianghui MA ; Yuhong LI ; Dehui YUAN ; Hui WENG ; Wangwang OU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2024;40(6):441-448
Objective:To explore the mediating chain effect between attachment and coping style of disease perception and hope in patients with advanced lung cancer, and to provide theoretical basis for improving coping style in patients with advanced lung cancer.Methods:From October 2021 to June 2022, 354 patients with advanced lung cancer in the First and Second Affiliated Hospitals of Anhui Medical University were selected by convenience sampling. The general information questionnaire, the Experiences in Close Relationships Inventory, the Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire, the Herth Hope Index, and the Medical Coping Modes Questionnaire were used to conduct cross-sectional questionnaire survey. SPSS 25.0 software and Bootstrap method were used to construct and verify the chain mediation model.Results:Finally, 336 patients with advanced lung cancer were included, including 214 males and 122 females, aged 27-79(59.43 ± 8.61) years old. Attachment avoidance score was (3.31 ± 1.01) points, attachment anxiety score was (3.86 ± 1.17) points, illness perception score was (40.07 ± 12.01) points, hope score was (34.05 ± 5.87) points, and face coping score was (18.75 ± 5.34) points in patients with advanced lung cancer. The avoidance coping score was (15.47 ± 1.97) points, and the yielding coping score was (9.62 ± 3.85) points. In patients with advanced lung cancer, attachment avoidance and attachment anxiety were positively correlated with yield coping ( r=0.448, 0.747, both P<0.01), positively correlated with illness perception ( r=0.356, 0.627, both P<0.01), and negatively correlated with hope ( r=-0.406, -0.670, both P<0.01). Illness perception was positively correlated with yield coping ( r=0.744, P<0.01), and negatively correlated with hope ( r=-0.628, P<0.01). Hope was negatively correlated with yield response ( r=-0.769, P<0.01). The mediation model showed that the chain mediating effect of attachment avoidance, illness perception, hope and yield coping was significant in patients with advanced lung cancer, with an effect value of 0.009 and an effect size of 13.95%. The chain mediating effect of attachment anxiety, illness perception, hope and yield coping were significant, with an effect value of 0.010 and an effect size of 8.27%. Conclusions:Attachment can not only directly predict submission coping in advanced lung cancer patients, but also indirectly predict submission coping through the chain mediation of illness perception and hope.
6.Explore the Mechanism of Limonin Against Hepatic Fibrosis Based on Network Pharmacology and Animal Experiments
Yuhong XIAO ; Zhenxiang AN ; Fang WANG ; Jinwen WANG ; Xia SHAO ; Ying YUAN
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(4):460-468
OBJECTIVE
To explore the mechanism of limonin treating in hepatic fibrosis through network pharmacology, and validate its mechanism by molecular docking and animal experiments.
METHODS
Firstly, the targets of limonin and hepatic fibrosis were screened from the SwissTargetPrediction, GeneCards and DisGeNet database, etc. Meanwhile, the common targets of limonin and hepatic fibrosis were obtained from the bioinformatics website. The protein protein interaction network of common target was constructed by using STRING database and Cytoscape software, and the CytoNCA plug-in was used to screen core targets. And then the enrichment analysis of GO and KEGG on the common target was performed by Metascape database. Thereby, the possible mechanism of limonin against hepatic fibrosis were predicted. Finally, the AutoDock Vina was used for molecular docking verification, and the prediction results of network pharmacology were verified by animal experiments.
RESULTS
The prediction results indicated that limonin might acted on 86 targets including AKT1, VEGFA and HIF1A, and participated in biological processes including hormone response, protein phosphorylation, angiogenesis, and PI3K-Akt pathway, HIF-1 pathway, VEGF pathway and other signaling pathways related to hepatic fibrosis. The results of protein protein interaction network topology analysis showed that the 11 core targets including AKT1, VEGFA, HIF1A and PIK3CA, etc. Molecular docking results showed that limonin had strong affinity and relatively stable binding conformation with the core targets. In the animal experiments, compared with the model group, hyaluronidase(HA) and laminin(LN) in rat serume in high-dose group of limonin(LH) and low-dose group of limonin(LL)(except for LN in LL group) were declined(P<0.01 or P<0.05), and the degree of inflammation and hepatic fibrosis were relieved to different degrees in liver tissue of the LH group and LL group; Western blotting and qPCR detection showed that protein and mRNA expression levels of AKT, HIF-1α and VEGF(except for VEGF in LL group) was down-regulated in the LH group and LL group(P<0.01 or P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
Limonin may acts on AKT1, VEGFA, HIF1A and other core targets to treat hepatic fibrosis angiogenesis, which may be related to the inhibition of AKT/HIF-1α/VEGF signaling pathway.
7.Risk Prediction of Recent Delivery in Pregnant Women with Threatened Early Preterm Labor
Yanqing LIU ; Yuhong YUAN ; Qi SHI
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(8):670-675
Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity>1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length<20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI>30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95%CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity>1(HR 3.095,95%CI 1.759-5.447,P<0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95%CI 2.216-5.362,P<0.001),cervical length<20 mm(HR3.594,95%CI 2.289-5.646,P<0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95%CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95%CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI>30 kg/m2 at admission,parity>1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length<20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.
8.Risk Prediction of Recent Delivery in Pregnant Women with Threatened Early Preterm Labor
Yanqing LIU ; Yuhong YUAN ; Qi SHI
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(8):670-675
Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity>1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length<20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI>30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95%CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity>1(HR 3.095,95%CI 1.759-5.447,P<0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95%CI 2.216-5.362,P<0.001),cervical length<20 mm(HR3.594,95%CI 2.289-5.646,P<0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95%CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95%CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI>30 kg/m2 at admission,parity>1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length<20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.
9.Risk Prediction of Recent Delivery in Pregnant Women with Threatened Early Preterm Labor
Yanqing LIU ; Yuhong YUAN ; Qi SHI
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(8):670-675
Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity>1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length<20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI>30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95%CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity>1(HR 3.095,95%CI 1.759-5.447,P<0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95%CI 2.216-5.362,P<0.001),cervical length<20 mm(HR3.594,95%CI 2.289-5.646,P<0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95%CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95%CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI>30 kg/m2 at admission,parity>1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length<20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.
10.Risk Prediction of Recent Delivery in Pregnant Women with Threatened Early Preterm Labor
Yanqing LIU ; Yuhong YUAN ; Qi SHI
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(8):670-675
Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity>1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length<20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI>30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95%CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity>1(HR 3.095,95%CI 1.759-5.447,P<0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95%CI 2.216-5.362,P<0.001),cervical length<20 mm(HR3.594,95%CI 2.289-5.646,P<0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95%CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95%CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI>30 kg/m2 at admission,parity>1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length<20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.


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