Objective:To assess the fall risk of hospitalized patients with cardiovascular diseases, analyze the related influencing factors, and construct a prediction model based on machine learning technology, so as to provide a basis for the fall management of hospitalized patients with cardiovascular diseases.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. A total of 450 patients admitted to the Department of Cardiology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from June 2017 to June 2024 were selected as the research objects by convenience sampling method. By reviewing electronic medical records, trained nurses extracted the patients' general information and Activities of Daily Living Scale (ADL) scores during hospitalization. Lasso regression was used to screen risk factors, and machine learning libraries were used to construct support vector machine (SVM), decision tree, XGBoost, and neural network models. Bootstrap resampling method and area under the curve (AUC) were used to verify the model performance.Results:Among the 450 patients, there were 261 males and 189 females, with a mean age of (66.0 ± 8.4) years. Among them, 90 patients fell during hospitalization and 360 patients did not fall. The results of Lasso regression showed that ADL score ≤60 points, use of hypnotics, hypokalemia, nighttime toilet visits≥2 times, use of antihypertensive drugs, no caregiver, and history of atrial fibrillation were all risk factors for falls in hospitalized patients with cardiovascular diseases (regression coefficients ranging from 0.61 to 1.20, all P<0.01). Among the machine learning models, XGBoost had the best comprehensive performance (AUC=0.98), which was better than decision tree (AUC=0.66), SVM (AUC=0.95), and neural network (AUC=0.87). Conclusions:The fall risk of hospitalized patients with cardiovascular diseases is jointly affected by physiological, medication and behavioral factors, and the XGBoost model can effectively identify high-risk groups. In actual clinical work, nursing strategies can be optimized in combination with risk factors, and the application of intelligent fall prediction and assessment tools can be promoted.

Objective:To compare minimally invasive surgery with traditional open surgery, analyze the current application status of health economic evaluations in the treatment of digestive tract cancers, such as esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, and colorectal cancer by minimally invasive surgery and provide evidence for the rational selection of clinical treatment, alleviation of disease-related economic burdens, and rational allocation of healthcare resources.Methods:By using five databases, i.e. China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang data, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, PubMed, and Embase, a database was established to retrieve all the papers about health economic studies of minimally invasive surgery for esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, and colorectal cancer published until December 31, 2023. Literature was analyzed by using software NoteExpress 3.8, and data were processed using Excel 2021. The quality of included papers was evaluated using the CHEERS 2022 checklist, and Meta-analysis was conducted by using software Stata 17.0.Results:A total of 10 919 relevant papers were retrieved, and 59 studies were included. Only 14 studies (23.7%) used standard health economic evaluation methods. Meta-analysis results revealed no significant differences in direct medical expenditure and total expenditure between minimally invasive surgery and open surgery. However, the expenditure for minimally invasive surgery exhibited a significant increase [mean difference ( MD)=5 973.12 yuan, P<0.001], while hospital stay and indirect expenditure significantly decreased ( MD: -4.85 days and -733.79 yuan, P<0.001). In China, for gastric cancer, the direct medical expenditure of endoscopic surgery was lower than that of open surgery ( MD=-33 000.00 yuan) with no significant difference ( P<0.001). In colorectal cancer cases, the direct medical and surgical expenditures for laparoscopic surgery were higher than those for open surgery ( MD: 4 277.94 yuan and 4 267.80 yuan, P<0.001), while the indirect and total medical expenditures decreased ( MD: -768.34 yuan and -159.10 yuan). Hospital stays in patients who had minimally invasive surgery for all three types of cancer were shorter than those who had open surgery ( P<0.001). Conclusions:In the treatment of gastrointestinal cancer, compared with open surgery, minimally invasive surgery shows higher expenditure, but has advantages, such as shorter hospital stay and lower indirect expenditure, and there were no significant differences in direct medical and total expenditures between the two approaches. When conducting health economic evaluation, factors such as postoperative complications, hospital stay, and patient's economic status should be considered for their impact on total medical expenditure. It is necessary to pay attention to the application of health economic evaluations in healthcare decision-making.

Objective:To study the association between subtypes of hypertension and risk for all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular mortalities in the elderly in communities of Beijing.Methods:The data were collected from the Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study. The elderly in 5 urban areas (former Xicheng, former Xuanwu, Fangshan, Haidian and Tongzhou) and 4 rural areas (Yanqing, Miyun, Huairou and Daxing) in Beijing were selected as the study subjects by multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling. The baseline survey was conducted from July 2009 to September 2015. The follow-up was conducted until March 31, 2021, and a total of 6 326 participants were enrolled. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the association of SBP, DBP, normal blood pressure, high normal blood pressure, simple systolic hypertension, simple diastolic hypertension and systolic diastolic hypertension with all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality.Results:By March 31, 2021, the median follow-up time was 6.30 years, the all-cause mortality density was 201.67/10 000 person-years, and the cardio-cerebrovascular mortality density was 90.20/10 000 person-years. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that the risk for all-cause mortality increased by 5.6% ( HR=1.056, 95% CI: 1.020-1.092), and the risk for cardio-cerebrovasculvar mortality increased by 12.5% ( HR=1.125, 95% CI: 1.071-1.182) for every 10 mmHg increase in SBP. The risk for all-cause mortality increased by 8.6% ( HR=1.086, 95% CI: 1.023-1.152), and the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality increased by 19.9% ( HR=1.199, 95% CI: 1.101-1.306) for every 10 mmHg increase in DBP. Compared with the normal blood pressure group, the risk for all-cause mortality increased by 64.8% ( HR=1.648, 95% CI: 1.049-2.591) and the risk for cardio- cerebrovascular mortality increased by 112.8% ( HR=2.128, 95% CI: 1.069-4.233) in the simple diastolic hypertension group. The risk for all-cause mortality increased by 34.4% ( HR=1.344, 95% CI: 1.023-1.467) and the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality increased by 111.3% ( HR=2.113, 95% CI: 1.384-3.225) in the systolic-diastolic hypertension group. Conclusions:In the elderly in communities of Beijing, beside systolic-diastolic hypertension. It is necessary to pay close attention to the simple diastolic hypertension, which has lower prevalence, and give targeted prevention and treatment.

Objective:To investigate the association of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) in normal range and cardiovascular health (CVH) score with cardio-cerebroascular and all-cause mortality in urban elderly residents in Beijing.Methods:Based on Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study, data from 1 817 elderly participants with normal UACR were analyzed, and UACR was used as both continuous and categorical variable. "Life's Essential 8" was used to develop a CVH score. Statistical analysis was performed by using software SPSS 26.0 and R 4.2.1, including two independent samples t-test, χ2 test and non-parametric test. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models stratified by CVH score and the restricted cubic spline were used to analyse the association of UACR with the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality. Results:By March 31, 2021, the median follow-up time M ( Q1, Q3) was 11.28 (10.84, 11.36) years, a total of 308 deaths were recorded during follow-up, and the mortality density was 163.87/10 000 person-years. The age of the participants was (71.4±6.6) years, and 1 070 participants were women. The results showed that the risk for both cardio-cerebrovascular disease and all-cause mortality decreased with the decrease of UACR in the low CVH score group ( HR=0.500, 95% CI: 0.341-0.734; HR=0.793, 95% CI: 0.647-0.971), and in the high CVH score group, there was a decreasing trend in the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality with the decrease of UACR ( HR=0.665, 95% CI: 0.447-0.990). Compared with the participants with low CVH score and higher UACR, the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality decreased by 68.9% and 45.6%, respectively, in the participants with high CVH score and lower UACR ( HR=0.311, 95% CI: 0.131-0.739; HR=0.544, 95% CI: 0.360-0.822), and the risk for all-cause mortality decreased by 26.7% in the participants with high CVH score and higher UACR ( HR=0.733, 95% CI: 0.542-0.993). Conclusions:In urban elderly residents in Beijing, higher UACR were associated with a significantly increased risk for cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality, and in the low-CVH score group, decreased UACR was protective factor against cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality. The combined effect of cardiovascular health status and normal UACR had a greater protection against the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality.

Objective:To describe and analyze the distribution characteristics of a body shape index (ABSI) and its association with all-cause mortality in the elderly in communities of Beijing.Methods:The baseline and follow-up data of 10 423 subjects in Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study were used. The endpoint outcome was all-cause mortality in follow-up. The associations of ABSI, BMI and waist circumference with all-cause mortality were analyzed with a Cox proportional hazard regression model.Results:The mean follow-up time in this cohort was 6.36 years and the all-cause mortality was 15.27%. The restricted cubic spline results showed that ABSI showed a "U" association with all-cause mortality in the total population. After adjustment for confounding factors, compared with the normal ABSI group, the risk for all-cause mortality was higher in the low ABSI group ( HR=1.69, 95% CI: 1.32-2.17) and high ABSI group ( HR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.40-2.18). Compared with the normal BMI group, low BMI was associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality ( HR=1.70, 95% CI: 1.40-2.08). Compared with the normal waist circumference group, central obesity was associated with a decreased risk for all-cause mortality ( HR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.80-0.99). The results of gender specific analysis on ABSI association with all-cause mortality were similar to that in total population, but the strength of association varied among different age groups. Cross-grouping results showed that older people with normal BMI and waist circumference and abnormal ABSI had an increased risk of all-cause mortality ( HR=1.91, 95% CI: 1.22-2.99). Conclusions:In Beijing, ABSI is correlated with the risk for all-cause mortality in the elderly population, which is more sensitive and specific than the traditional indicators (BMI and waist circumference). They can be used as one of the physical measurement indicators for all-cause mortality risk prediction in the health risk assessment and management in the elderly.

Objective:To explore the association between physical activity (PA) level and all-cause mortality in the elderly with different obesity status in Beijing.Methods:The study subjects were from the Cardiovascular and Cognitive Healthy Study in Middle-Aged and Elderly Residents of Beijing, a total of 3 746 individuals aged ≥60 years in the baseline survey between 2013 and 2015 were included in the study. Questionnaire survey and physical examination were conducted to collect the basic information of the individuals. The metabolic equivalent of the elderly was used to calculate the PA level, and an international PA questionnaire was used to determine the PA intensity. BMI, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) and a body shape index (ABSI) were used to evaluate individuals' obesity status. The distribution of different PA levels under different obesity states was described by using bar chart and cumulative percentage bar chart. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the correlation between the level of PA and all-cause mortality risk in different types of obesity status.Results:By December 31, 2019, the median follow-up time was 5.46 years, and the mortality density was 244.55/10 000 person-years. Compared with the individuals in high-PA intensity group, the all-cause mortality risk increased by 41% ( HR=1.41, 95% CI: 1.14-1.76) and 122% ( HR=2.22, 95% CI: 1.76-2.81), respectively, in moderate and low PA intensity groups. Compared with the individuals in high-PA intensity-high-obesity group, based on the BMI, the all-cause mortality risk increased by 85% ( HR=1.85, 95% CI: 1.08-3.16) and 250% ( HR=3.50, 95% CI: 2.01-6.10) in those in moderate-PA intensity-high-obesity group and in low-intensity-high-obesity group. Based on the WHtR, the all-cause mortality risk increased by 53% ( HR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.02-2.29) and 218% ( HR=3.18, 95% CI: 2.09-4.86), respectively, in those with moderate-PA intensity-high-obesity and those with low-PA intensity-high-obesity. According to the ABSI, the all-cause mortality risk increased by 120% in those in low-PA intensity-high-obesity group ( HR=2.20, 95% CI: 1.53-3.18). Based on any one of the indicators BMI, WHtR, or ABSI, there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality risk between high-intensity-moderate-obesity group and high-intensity-low-obesity group (all P>0.05). Conclusions:PA level is closely associated with the all-cause mortality risk in the elderly in communities of Beijing. Increasing PA level can not only reduce the all-cause mortality risk but also reduce even eliminate the excess all-cause mortality risk associated with obesity.

Objective:To analyze the association between different lipid indicators and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in the elderly, identify a better lipid indicator for the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in the elderly in communities of Beijing.Methods:The elderly aged 60 years and above were selected from the Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study from July 2009 to September 2015. Remnant cholesterol (RC) was derived by calculation. The Cox proportional hazard regression models determined the HR and 95% CI incidating the associations of baseline different lipid indicators with cardio-cerebrovascular and all-cause mortality. Results:By March 31, 2021, with a mean follow-up duration of 6.88 years in the study population, a total of 492 cardio-cerebrovascular deaths and 1 056 all-cause deaths wre recorded. The HR values indicating the association between LDL-C, HDL-C, and RC were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.78-0.97), 0.46 (95% CI: 0.35-0.62), and 1.29 (95% CI: 1.14-1.45) for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality, respectively, and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.86-1.00), 0.66 (95% CI: 0.55-0.80) and 1.22 (95% CI: 1.12-1.33) for all-cause mortality. The associations of RC and HDL-C with cardio-cerebrovascular mortality were consistent regardless of hyperlipidemia in the elderly. Subgroup analyses showed that elevated RC was associated with increased risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality, and elevated HDL-C was associated with decreased risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in the elderly in different gender, age, smoking status, drinking status, and diabetes status groups in communities of Beijing. Conclusion:RC might be a better potential lipid indicator for the risk for cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in the elderly in communities compared with traditional cholesterol indicator.

Objective:To analyze the correlation between serum uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (UHR) and risk of all-cause death or cardiovascular disease (CVD) death among urban and rural elderly in Beijing.Methods:Based on the Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study, 9 022 participants with complete baseline data were enrolled, and their survival and death outcomes were followed up. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model were used to analyze the associations between the UHR level and the risks of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality.Results:As of March 31, 2021, the median follow-up time M( Q1, Q3) was 6.18 (5.36, 6.75) years. There were 1 166 all-deaths, with a death density of 19.26 per 1 000 person-years, and 562 CVD deaths, with a death density of 9.28 per 1 000 person-years. After adjusting sociodemographic characteristics and lifestyle factors, multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 3% ( HR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.02-1.04) and the risk of CVD mortality increased by 4% ( HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06) for every 1% increase in UHR. Compared with the T1 group of UHR tertiles, the T3 group had a 42% increase in the risk of all-cause death ( HR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.22-1.66) and a 53% increase in the risk of CVD death ( HR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.21-1.94). Conclusions:The UHR level is significantly associated with the risks of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality among urban and rural older adults in Beijing. The UHR level may be one of the potential predictors of death risk in community-dwelling older adults.

Objective To investigate the correlation between single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs)of the EGF gene,including rs11569017(A>T),rs2237051(A>G),rs3733625(C>T),and rs4444903(A>G),and the risk of non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)in a Han population of Yunnan.Methods A total of 439 patients with NSCLC and 520 healthy controls were recruited in Yunnan Province between January 2022 and December 2023.Genotyping of four SNP loci in the EGF gene was performed using TaqMan probes,followed by analysis of allele,genotype,genetic model,and haplotype distribution frequencies between NSCLC and control groups.Stratified analyses were further conducted based on NSCLC pathological types and clinical stages.Results The rs2237051 locus showed significant differences in allele(P=0.011)and genotype(P=0.042)frequencies between the squamous cell carcinoma(SCC)group and the control group.The frequency of the A allele was lower in the SCC group than in the control group(OR=0.71,95%CI 0.54～1.85),but there was no difference after Bonferroni correction(P>0.0125).Under the log-additive model,the rs2237051-2G/G+A/G genotype was associated with an increased risk of SCC(P=0.01;OR=1.42,95%CI 1.08～1.86).However,the association lost statistical significance after Bonferroni correction(P>0.0125).The haplotype rs11569017-rs2237051-rs3733625-rs4444903 has no difference between the two groups(P>0.0125).The stratified analysis revealed no significant associations between the genetic loci and different disease stages(P>0.0125).Conclusion In the Yunnan Han population,the individuals carrying the rs2237051-A allele of the EGF gene have a significantly lower risk of squamous lung cancer,but further functional experiments are needed to verify the protective mechanism.

Objective:To compare minimally invasive surgery with traditional open surgery, analyze the current application status of health economic evaluations in the treatment of digestive tract cancers, such as esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, and colorectal cancer by minimally invasive surgery and provide evidence for the rational selection of clinical treatment, alleviation of disease-related economic burdens, and rational allocation of healthcare resources.Methods:By using five databases, i.e. China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang data, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, PubMed, and Embase, a database was established to retrieve all the papers about health economic studies of minimally invasive surgery for esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, and colorectal cancer published until December 31, 2023. Literature was analyzed by using software NoteExpress 3.8, and data were processed using Excel 2021. The quality of included papers was evaluated using the CHEERS 2022 checklist, and Meta-analysis was conducted by using software Stata 17.0.Results:A total of 10 919 relevant papers were retrieved, and 59 studies were included. Only 14 studies (23.7%) used standard health economic evaluation methods. Meta-analysis results revealed no significant differences in direct medical expenditure and total expenditure between minimally invasive surgery and open surgery. However, the expenditure for minimally invasive surgery exhibited a significant increase [mean difference ( MD)=5 973.12 yuan, P<0.001], while hospital stay and indirect expenditure significantly decreased ( MD: -4.85 days and -733.79 yuan, P<0.001). In China, for gastric cancer, the direct medical expenditure of endoscopic surgery was lower than that of open surgery ( MD=-33 000.00 yuan) with no significant difference ( P<0.001). In colorectal cancer cases, the direct medical and surgical expenditures for laparoscopic surgery were higher than those for open surgery ( MD: 4 277.94 yuan and 4 267.80 yuan, P<0.001), while the indirect and total medical expenditures decreased ( MD: -768.34 yuan and -159.10 yuan). Hospital stays in patients who had minimally invasive surgery for all three types of cancer were shorter than those who had open surgery ( P<0.001). Conclusions:In the treatment of gastrointestinal cancer, compared with open surgery, minimally invasive surgery shows higher expenditure, but has advantages, such as shorter hospital stay and lower indirect expenditure, and there were no significant differences in direct medical and total expenditures between the two approaches. When conducting health economic evaluation, factors such as postoperative complications, hospital stay, and patient's economic status should be considered for their impact on total medical expenditure. It is necessary to pay attention to the application of health economic evaluations in healthcare decision-making.