OBJECTIVE: To analyze the disease burden of pelvic fractures at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2023 using data from the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), and to predict the disease burden through 2050. METHODS: Leveraging data from the GBD 2023, this study investigated the disease burden of pelvic fractures across 204 countries and regions. Assessment indicators included incidence rate, prevalence rate, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The Joinpoint regression model was employed to analyze trends in pelvic fracture burden from 1990 to 2023, while the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to quantify this temporal trend. The relationship between the socio-demographic index and pelvic fracture burden was evaluated. Furthermore, the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was applied to predict trends in pelvic fracture burden through 2050. RESULTS: In 2023, the estimated number of new pelvic fracture cases globally was 7 479 884 [95% uncertainty interval ( UI): 5 293 401-10 611 876], representing a 42.74% increase from 1990. In the same year, the number of prevalent pelvic fracture cases and YLDs were 23 007 508 (95% UI: 21 021 518-25 327 165) and 3 909 228 person-years (95% UI: 2 725 498-5 194 385), respectively. Additionally, age-standardized rates exhibited an opposing downward trend. Significant disparities in the disease burden of pelvic fractures were identified across different age groups, genders, and social contexts. According to predictions from the LSTM model, the global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of pelvic fractures will be approximately 88.44 per 100 000 persons by 2050, while the total number of incident cases will rise to 8 547 095. CONCLUSION Although the overall incidence rate, prevalence rate, and YLDs of pelvic fractures have exhibited an upward trend over the past three decades, the ASIR, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized years of life lost rate (ASYR) have shown a downward trend. It is predicted that over the upcoming 26-year period, the age-standardized rate of disease burden due to pelvic fractures will further decrease, while the number of incident cases and prevalent cases will continue to exhibit an upward trend. Formulating more targeted disease prevention strategies is critical to addressing disparities across genders, regions, and other dimensions, and to mitigating the burden of pelvic fractures.
Humans ; Fractures, Bone/epidemiology* ; Pelvic Bones/injuries* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Incidence ; Prevalence ; Aged ; Global Burden of Disease/trends* ; Global Health ; Adolescent ; Cost of Illness ; Young Adult ; Forecasting ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Memory, Short-Term

Objective:To explore the longitudinal predictive relationship between self-neglect and frailty among older adults.Methods:Data were drawn from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey conducted in 2011 (T1), 2014 (T2), and 2018 (T3). A total of 1 495 older adults aged≥65 years at T1 who participated in three consecutive surveys and had no missing key variables were included. General demographic information, self-neglect scores, and frailty status were extracted. Spearman correlation analysis was used to examine the association between self-neglect and frailty. Cross-lagged analysis was employed to investigate the potential causal relationship between the two variables.Results:The self-neglect scores for 1 495 older adults at T1, T2, and T3 were (2.84±1.39), (2.47±1.30), and (2.41±1.20), respectively, showing a declining trend. The frailty scores at T1, T2, and T3 were 0 (0, 1.00), 0 (0, 2.00), and 1.00 (0, 2.00), respectively, indicating an increasing trend. Cross-lagged analysis revealed that self-neglect at T1 positively predicted frailty at T2 (β=0.076, P=0.004). Frailty at both T1 and T2 positively predicted self-neglect at T2 (β=0.057, P=0.044) and T3 (β=0.058, P=0.029), respectively. Conclusions:Frailty among older adults positively predicts self-neglect, and self-neglect also has a certain predictive effect on frailty. Medical staff should strengthen early screening and intervention for frailty in older adults to delay the occurrence and progression of self-neglect.

Objective:To explore the longitudinal predictive relationship between self-neglect and frailty among older adults.Methods:Data were drawn from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey conducted in 2011 (T1), 2014 (T2), and 2018 (T3). A total of 1 495 older adults aged≥65 years at T1 who participated in three consecutive surveys and had no missing key variables were included. General demographic information, self-neglect scores, and frailty status were extracted. Spearman correlation analysis was used to examine the association between self-neglect and frailty. Cross-lagged analysis was employed to investigate the potential causal relationship between the two variables.Results:The self-neglect scores for 1 495 older adults at T1, T2, and T3 were (2.84±1.39), (2.47±1.30), and (2.41±1.20), respectively, showing a declining trend. The frailty scores at T1, T2, and T3 were 0 (0, 1.00), 0 (0, 2.00), and 1.00 (0, 2.00), respectively, indicating an increasing trend. Cross-lagged analysis revealed that self-neglect at T1 positively predicted frailty at T2 (β=0.076, P=0.004). Frailty at both T1 and T2 positively predicted self-neglect at T2 (β=0.057, P=0.044) and T3 (β=0.058, P=0.029), respectively. Conclusions:Frailty among older adults positively predicts self-neglect, and self-neglect also has a certain predictive effect on frailty. Medical staff should strengthen early screening and intervention for frailty in older adults to delay the occurrence and progression of self-neglect.

Resident standardization training is a major part of education of medical students after graduation , and is extremely important for high-level physician training and raising the quality of medical treatment. We trained the residents comprehensively according to the characteristics of echocardiography in terms of theoretical knowledge, clinical manipulative skills, clinical thinking ability, scientific research ability and communication and team cooperation ability, and carried out the relative examination according to the training. On the basis of practice, we explored the establishment of a standardized training mode and evaluation system suitable for echocardiography resident doctors in China.

Objective Allograft vasculopathy (AV), feature of chronic rejection, is a major serious long-term post-operation complication in organ transplantation. The accurate mechanisms for AV have not been definitively established, but extensive basic and clinical studies demonstrate AV is triggered by immune reaction and nonimmunologic factors, and also possibly attributed to the metabolism of branched-chain amino acids (BCAA). Methods The transplanted hearts from Lewis to Sprague-Dawely rats served as allografts and those from Lewis to Lewis rats as isografts based on Ono 's model. The differential proteins in transplanted hearts were separated by comparative proteomic technique, and some enzymes which regulated the metabolism of BCAA were identified and validated.Results All transplanted hearts at second week postoperation were characterized by lumen loss (total area-luminal area/total area) in coronary artery, but more predominant at 8th week. All samples from the left ventricles were analyzed by proteomic techniques and the subunits E1 a, E1β and E3 of branched-chain α-ketoacid dehydrogenase (BCKDH) complex were decreased in the heart allografts.Immunohistological detection also showed the expression of BCKDH was reduced not only in the cardiac muscle but also more significantly in blool vessels with cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV).BCAA concentrations were increased in the cardiac allografts, but there was no difference in the serum. Conclusion These findings suggest that the catabolic pathways of the BCAA may be inhibited owing to the reduced expression of BCKDH complex, and elevated intracellular concentrations of leucine. The vascular smooth muscle cell and cardiac muscle cell proliferation is stimulated via mTOR-dependent and mTOR-independent pathways, which is associated with the formation of myocardial hypertrophy and AV in the heart allografts.