1.Distribution of pupil diameter and its association with myopia in school age children
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(8):1194-1197
Objective:
To investigate the distribution of pupil diameter and its association with myopia in school age children, providing ideas into the mechanisms of the role of pupil diameter in the onset and development of myopia.
Methods:
Adopting a combination of stratified cluster random sampling and convenience sampling method, 3 839 children from six schools in Shandong Province were included in September 2021. Pupil diameters distribution was analyzed by age, sex, and myopic status. Pearson correlation analysis was used to assess the relationship between pupil diameter and cycloplegic spherical equivalent (SE), as well as axial length (AL) and other variables. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to match myopic and non myopic children at a 1∶1 ratio based on age and sex. A generalized linear model (GLM) was constructed with pupil diameter as the dependent variable to identify independent factors influencing pupil size and its association with myopia.
Results:
The mean pupil diameter of school age children was (5.77±0.80)mm. Pupil diameter exhibited a significant increasing trend with age ( F =49.34, P trend < 0.01). Myopic children had a significantly larger mean pupil diameter [(6.10±0.73)mm] compared to non myopic children [(5.62±0.79)mm] with a statistically significant difference( t=18.10, P <0.01). Multivariable GLM analysis, adjusted for age, amplitude of accommodation, and uncorrected visual acuity, revealed a negative correlation between pupil diameter and cycloplegic SE (before PSM: β =-0.089, after PSM: β =-0.063, both P <0.01).
Conclusions
Myopic school age children exhibite larger pupil diameters than their non myopic counterparts. Pupil diameter may serve as a potential indicator for monitoring myopia development in school age children.
2.Diagnostic yield and safety of pancreatic cystic lesions: A comparison between EUS-FNA and EUS-FNB.
Xiaoyu YU ; Mingmei YE ; Yawen NI ; Qianqi LIU ; Pan GONG ; Yuanyuan HUANG ; Xiaoyan WANG ; Li TIAN
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(2):227-236
OBJECTIVES:
In recent years, the incidence and detection rate of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) have increased significantly. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) plays an indispensable role in the diagnosis and differential diagnosis of PCLs. However, evidence comparing the diagnostic performance of EUS-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) and fine-needle biopsy (FNB) remains limited. This study aims to compare the diagnostic yield, adequacy of tissue acquisition, and safety between EUS-FNA and EUS-FNB in evaluating PCLs to inform clinical practice.
METHODS:
A retrospective review was conducted on patients with PCLs who underwent either EUS-FNA or EUS-FNB between January 2014 and August 2021. The diagnostic yield, tissue acquisition adequacy, and incidence of adverse events were compared between the 2 groups.
RESULTS:
A total of 90 patients with PCLs were included (52 in the FNA group and 38 in the FNB group). The diagnostic yield was similar between the FNA and FNB groups (94.2% vs 94.7%, P>0.05). The adequacy of tissue acquisition was 71.2% in the FNA group and 81.6% in the FNB group (P>0.05). No statistically significant difference was observed in the incidence of adverse events between the 2 groups (P>0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Both EUS-FNA and EUS-FNB demonstrate equally high diagnostic yields and tissue adequacy in PCLs, with excellent safety profiles. Both methods are safe and effective diagnostic tools for evaluating PCLs.
Humans
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Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Fine Needle Aspiration/adverse effects*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Female
;
Male
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Pancreatic Cyst/diagnostic imaging*
;
Middle Aged
;
Biopsy, Fine-Needle/adverse effects*
;
Aged
;
Pancreatic Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
Adult
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Endosonography/methods*
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Pancreas/pathology*
;
Diagnosis, Differential
3.Effects of penehyclidine hydrochloride administered at different time points on neurological function and blood-brain barrier in rat model of intracerebral hemorrhage
Yuanyuan HUANG ; Teng GONG ; Cong ZHANG ; Jing LI ; Shide HU
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(16):20-27
Objective To investigate the effects of penehyclidine hydrochloride(PHC)admin-istered at different time points on neurological function and the blood-brain barrier(BBB)in rat model of severe intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH),and to preliminarily explore its potential mechanism of action based on the growth arrest-specific protein 6(GAS6)/receptor tyrosine kinase(Axl)signaling pathway.Methods ICH model rats were established via intracerebral injection of a collagenase type Ⅳ solu-tion.The model rats were randomly divided into sham operation group(intracerebral injection of an equal volume of saline),model group(intracerebral injection of 0.4 μL of collagenase type Ⅳ solu-tion),24 h drug administration group(intracerebral injection of 0.4 μL of collagenase type Ⅳ solu-tion combined with intraperitoneal injection of 2 mg/kg PHC 24 h after successful model establish-ment),6 h drug administration group(intracerebral injection of 0.4 μL of collagenase type Ⅳ solu-tion combined with intraperitoneal injection of 2 mg/kg PHC 6 h after successful model establish-ment),pre-drug administration group(intraperitoneal injection of 2 mg/kg PHC before modeling combined with intracerebral injection of 0.4 μL of collagenase type Ⅳ solution),and pathway in-hibitor group(intraperitoneal injection of 2 mg/kg PHC before modeling combined with intracerebral injection of 0.4 μL of collagenase type Ⅳ solution and intraperitoneal injection of 75 mg/kg R428,a GAS6/Axl signaling pathway inhibitor,after successful model establishment).The degree of neu-rological impairment in rats was assessed after successful model establishment and at the end of treat-ment;brain tissue water content in rats was calculated;brain tissue damage and Evans blue(EB)content in rats were evaluated using hematoxylin-eosin(HE)and EB staining methods;western blot was used to detect the expression levels of Claudin-5,zonula occludens-1(ZO-1),Occludin,ma-trix metalloproteinase-9(MMP-9),and proteins related to the GAS6/Axl signaling pathway in brain tissue.Results HE staining revealed that compared with the sham operation group,the model group exhibited irregular arrangement of brain tissue cells,a large number of necrotic cells,and sig-nificant infiltration of inflammatory cells;compared with the model group,the 24 h drug administra-tion,6 h drug administration,pre-drug administration,and pathway inhibitor groups showed more orderly brain tissue cells,reduced cell gaps,and decreased infiltration of inflammatory cells;com-pared with the 24 h drug administration group,the 6 h drug administration,pre-drug administration,and pathway inhibitor groups exhibited more intact brain tissue cell structures,reduced cell gaps,and decreased infiltration of inflammatory cells;compared with the pre-drug administration group,the 6 h drug administration and pathway inhibitor groups showed slight swelling of brain tissue cells and a small amount of inflammatory cell infiltration.Compared with the sham operation group,the model group had increased neurological function scores,brain tissue water content,EB content in brain tissue,and MMP-9 protein levels,along with decreased levels of ZO-1,Occludin,Claudin-5 proteins,and GAS6 and p-Axl protein expression;compared with the model group,the 24 h drug administration,6 h drug administration,pre-drugadministration,and pathway inhibitor groups had decreased neurological function scores,brain tissue water content,EB content in brain tissue,and MMP-9 protein levels,along with increased levels of ZO-1,Occludin,Claudin-5 proteins,and GAS6 and p-Axl protein levels in brain tissue;compared with the 24 h drug administration group,the 6 h drug administration,pre-drug administration,and pathway inhibitor groups had decreased neurological function scores,brain tissue water content,EB content in brain tissue,and MMP-9 protein levels,along with increased levels of ZO-1,Occludin,Claudin-5 proteins,and GAS6 and p-Axl protein expression;compared with the pre-drug administration group,the 6 h drug administra-tion and pathway inhibitor groups had increased neurological function scores,brain tissue water con-tent,EB content in brain tissue,and MMP-9 protein levels,along with decreased levels of ZO-1,Occludin,Claudin-5 proteins,and GAS6 and p-Axl protein expression in brain tissue;the between-group differences mentioned above were statistically significant(P<0.05).Conclusion Early ad-ministration of PHC can improve neurological function and the BBB in ICH rats by reducing brain tissue damage and brain edema,and its mechanism may be related to the activation of the GAS6/Axl signaling pathway.
4.Establishment and value analysis of a clinical predictive model for patients with secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis
Wuchao WANG ; Siqi LIU ; Hao GONG ; Yuanyuan PEI ; Jihong ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(9):1251-1257
Objective:To establish a clinical predictive model for poor clinical outcomes in patients with secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (sHLH) and to evaluate its clinical application value.Methods:Patients diagnosed with sHLH who met the study criteria and were initially admitted to the Emergency Department of Peking University People’s Hospital between September 2017 and December 2024 were enrolled. Clinical data were collected, and patients were categorized into a death group or a survival group based on clinical outcomes as the observational endpoint. Differences in clinical data between the two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to screen significant variables, and a predictive model nomogram was developed using the R programming language. The discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility of the predictive model were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. K-fold cross-validation was employed to evaluate the model's performance. The model was compared with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score.Results:A total of 116 cases were enrolled in the study, comprising 36 cases in the mortality group and 80 cases in the survival group. Multivariate logistic analysis identified age, platelet count, prothrombin time, total bilirubin, altered mental status, and cardiac involvement as factors significantly associated with clinical outcomes. Based on these factors, an early warning model for adverse clinical prognosis was established, and a corresponding nomogram was developed. The model demonstrated excellent discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility (AUC=0.950; Hosmer-Lemeshow test: χ2=2.5476, P=0.980; calibration curve: R 2=0.649, P=0.906), outperforming both the APACHE Ⅱ and SOFA scores in predicting adverse outcomes (both P<0.01). Conclusions:This study established an early warning model for adverse clinical prognosis in sHLH based on objective clinical data. The model aids in the clinical assessment of sHLH patients, facilitates early warning, and supports clinical decision-making for treatment.
5.Self-sufficient nanoparticles with dual-enzyme activity trigger radical storms and activate cascade-amplified antitumor immunologic responses.
Liping BAI ; Jin YANG ; Siting YU ; Zhongzheng XIANG ; Yuanyuan ZENG ; Meiling SHEN ; Xiaorong KOU ; Qinjie WU ; Changyang GONG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2024;14(2):821-835
Radiotherapy (RT) can potentially induce systemic immune responses by initiating immunogenic cell death (ICD) of tumor cells. However, RT-induced antitumor immunologic responses are sporadic and insufficient against cancer metastases. Herein, we construct multifunctional self-sufficient nanoparticles (MARS) with dual-enzyme activity (GOx and peroxidase-like) to trigger radical storms and activate the cascade-amplified systemic immune responses to suppress both local tumors and metastatic relapse. In addition to limiting the Warburg effect to actualize starvation therapy, MARS catalyzes glucose to produce hydrogen peroxide (H2O2), which is then used in the Cu+-mediated Fenton-like reaction and RT sensitization. RT and chemodynamic therapy produce reactive oxygen species in the form of radical storms, which have a robust ICD impact on mobilizing the immune system. Thus, when MARS is combined with RT, potent systemic antitumor immunity can be generated by activating antigen-presenting cells, promoting dendritic cells maturation, increasing the infiltration of cytotoxic T lymphocytes, and reprogramming the immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment. Furthermore, the synergistic therapy of RT and MARS effectively suppresses local tumor growth, increases mouse longevity, and results in a 90% reduction in lung metastasis and postoperative recurrence. Overall, we provide a viable approach to treating cancer by inducing radical storms and activating cascade-amplified systemic immunity.
6.Protective mechanism of amifostine on acute radiation injury by regulating gut microbiota
Yue CONG ; Li LI ; Yimeng ZHAO ; Yuanyuan XU ; Jianting GONG ; Jiali GUAN
China Pharmacy 2024;35(4):459-463
OBJECTIVE To explore the protective mechanism of amifostine on acute radiation injury mice. METHODS Thirty C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into normal control group, model group and amifostine group (150 mg/kg), with 10 mice in each group. Thirty minutes before irradiation, the mice in the amifostine group were intraperitoneally injected with amifostine; normal control group and model group were given constant volume of normal saline intraperitoneally; then acute radiation injury was induced by 4 Gy X-ray radiation in both model group and amifostine group. The white blood cell count (WBC), platelet count and red blood cell (RBC) count in mice were detected 2 hours before irradiation and on days 1, 4, 7, 10 and 14 after irradiation; the changes in the proportion of WBC (neutrophils, lymphocytes and monocytes) on the 7th day after irradiation were analyzed. The 16S rRNA high-throughput sequencing was used to analyze the structure of gut microbiota in mice feces on the 7th day after irradiation, then its correlation with WBC was analyzed. RESULTS The counts of WBC on the 1st, 4th, 7th and 10th day after irradiation, platelet count on the 10th day after irradiation and RBC count on the 1st day after irradiation in the amifostine group were significantly higher than those in model group (P<0.05). Compared with normal control group,β diversity of gut microbiome showed significant change, relative abundance of Firmicutes increased and that of Bacteroidetes decreased in model group. Amifostine could reverse the change in β diversity of gut microbiome, and the relative abundance of Bacteroidetes and Firmicutes. The model group consisted of four distinct species, namely Allobaculum, Erysipelotrichia, Erysipelotrichales and Erysipelotrichaceae, which were significantly negatively correlated with the proportion of peripheral blood lymphocytes (P<0.01); amifostine group consisted of two distinct species, namely Lactobacillus murinus and L. crispatus, which were significantly negatively correlated with the proportion of neutrophils (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS Amifostine significantly improves irradiation-induced injury by regulating dysbiosis of LY201816) gut microbiota.
7.Mutation analysis of T-cell and B-cell epitopes derived from HBV PreS-S protein in HBsAb positive occult hepatitis B virus infection
Yan GUO ; Yuanyuan JING ; Jin LI ; Hanshi GONG ; Yong DUAN ; Yan LI ; Wenjuan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(5):506-512
Objective:To analyze the mutation of T-cell and B-cell epitopes derived from HBV PreS-S protein in occult hepatitis B virus (OHBV) and investigate the biological mechanisms of occult hepatitis B virus infection (OBI) and HBsAb positive OBI.Methods:The PreS-S region of OBI samples were amplified by nested PCR, the products were sequenced and HBV genotypes were determined. The mutations of T-cell and B-cell epitopes derived from HBV PreS-S protein were analyzed and compared among groups of HBV genotypes and the presence of HBsAb. The affinity of the high frequency of T-cell epitope substitutions were analyzed by SYF PEITHI, the changes of antigenic characteristics of high frequency of B-cell epitope substitutions were analyzed by Ab Designer, Expasy ProtParam tool, Epitope Prediction and Analysis Tools.Results:The PreS-S region of HBV was amplified in 21 samples, including 4 HBsAb+ OBI B, 6 HBsAb-OBI B, 6 HBsAb+ OBI C, 5 HBsAb-OBI C. The mutation rates in PreS-S region of OBI were significantly higher than wild type HBV strains(OBI Bvs. WT B: 2.64%: 0.66%, P<0.001; OBI Cvs. WT C: 3.67%: 1.19%, P<0.001). The mutation rates of the immunoreactive area were significantly higher than non-immunoreactive area in OBI (OBI B: 3.57%: 1.86%, P=0.005; OBI C: 4.78%: 2.65%, P<0.001). The mutation rates of the immunoreactive and non-immunoreactive area in OBI C were higher than OBI B, but there was no statistically significant difference (immunoreactive area: 4.78%: 3.57%, P=0.107; non-immunoreactive area: 2.65%: 1.86%, P=0.142). The mutation rates of T-cell and B-cell epitopes of HBsAb-OBI were higher than HBsAb+ OBI, although there was no significant difference (HBsAb-OBI Bvs. HBsAb+ OBI B: 4.17∶3.01, P=0.303; HBsAb-OBI Cvs. HBsAb+ OBI C: 5.65∶4.26, P=0.207). The affinity analysis of 4 high frequency T-cell epitope substitutions, including T47A/K, S174N, L175S, V177A, showed that the changes of affinity of most mutation sites were not obvious; the antigenicity analysis of 3 high frequency B-cell epitope substitutions, including G73S, K122R, I126M/T, did not show noticeable changes and the hydrophilicity, surface accessibility of some mutation sites were even better than wild strain. Conclusions:The mutation rates in PreS-S region of OBI were significantly higher than wild type HBV strains. The mutation rates of the immunoreactive area were higher than non-immunoreactive area in OBI. The variant activity of OBI C was higher than OBI B. The mutations of OBI might occur randomly and were not selected by antibody pressure. Single epitope and multi-epitopes combinational mutations might be a reason for OBI.
8.Expression level of serum UBE2C and TRIM27 in patients with endometrial cancer and their correlation with pathological parameters
Fei CHAI ; Zhenwen CHEN ; Hongyan LIU ; Su LI ; Yuanyuan GONG ; Yingying ZHAO
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(13):1808-1813
Objective To investigate the expression level of serum ubiquitin-conjugating enzyme 2C(UBE2C)and tripartite motif-containing protein 27(TRIM27)in patients with endometrial cancer(EC)and their correlation with pathological parameters.Methods A total of 96 EC patients from March 2020 to March 2023 were selected as EC group;65 patients with endometrial atypical hyperplasia(EAH)as EAH group,and 80 healthy subjects as the control group.Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay was applied to analyze the expression level of serum UBE2C and TRIM27.The relationship between serum UBE2C,TRIM27,and pathological data was analyzed;receiver operating characteristic was applied to evaluate the predictive value of serum UBE2C and TRIM27 level for EC.Results The level of serum UBE2C and TRIM27 of EC patients was obviously higher than that in healthy subjects(P<0.05),and was correlated with tumor diameter,tumor differentiation,lymph node metastasis,FIGO stage,muscle layer invasion depth,cervical involvement,estrogen receptor expression,and progestogen receptor expression(P<0.05).There was positive correlation between serum UBE2C and TRIM27(r=0.475,P<0.001);and the level of serum UBE2C and TRIM27 was positively correlated with tumor diameter,lymph node metastasis,FIGO stage,and depth of musclular invasion,but negatively with tumor differentiation,estrogen receptor expression,and progestogen receptor expression(P<0.05).The combination of UBE2C and TRIM27 had obviously higher AUC in evaluating EC than single detection(ZUBE2C-combination=3.406,P<0.001,ZTRIM27-combination=3.285,P=0.001).Conclusion The expression level of UBE2C and TRIM27 in serum of EC patients is up-regulated,which is closely related to pathological parameters.The level of serum UBE2C and TRIM27 can provide reference for early diagnosis of EC.
9.The role of NLRP3 signaling pathway in allergic rhinoconjunctivitis
Yubo GONG ; Xiaohua GUO ; Wen-Jun LU ; Yuanchao LI ; Changyu QIU ; Yuanyuan SHI ; Liping XIA ; Lin SHI ; Wei WU ; Ling LUO
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(14):1922-1927
Objective The objective of this study was to establish a mouse model of allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and investigate the role of the NLRP3 signaling pathway in allergic rhinoconjunctivitis.Methods Thirty-three female C57 mice(SPF)were randomLy divided into 3 groups:the control group,the experimental group,and the NLRP3-/-group.On days 0,4,7,14,and 21,the experimental group and NLRP3-/-group received a 0.2 mL intraperitoneal injection of medicine containing OVA(100 μg)and adjuvant Al(OH)3(4 mg),respectively.After an interval of 3 days,each eye and nose were dosed with 10 μL of 5%OVA for five consecutive days a week to induce allergic symptoms.During sensitization and excitation stages,the control group was replaced with an equiva-lent amount of PBS.Ocular and nasal symptoms were observed and scored.The levels of OVA-specific IgE,IL-4,IL-17,and IL-18 in serum were measured using ELISA,while changes in palpebral conjunctiva and nasal mucosa were assessed by hematoxylin-eosin staining.The expression of NLRP3 mRNA in conjunctival tissue and nasal mucosa was determined using real-time PCR analysis.Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS17.0 software with P<0.05 considered as statistically significant difference.Results The experimental group and NLRP3-/-group exhibited induced nasal and ocular allergic symptoms.In the experimental group,the duration of nasal allergy symptoms was(10.500±1.080)days,while the duration of eye allergy symptoms was(20.300±2.058)days.In the NLRP3-/-group,the duration of nasal allergy symptoms was(13.400±1.955)days,and for eye allergy symp-toms it was(20.900±2.132)days.The duration of nasal allergies in the NLRP3-/-group significantly exceeded that in the experimental group(P<0.05),whereas there were no significant differences observed in eye allergy durations between these two groups(P>0.05).Levels of OVA-specific IgE,IL-4,and IL-17 were significantly higher in both the experimental and NLRP3-/-groups compared to those in the control group(P<0.05).Additionally,serum IL-18 content increased significantly in the experimental group when compared with both control and NLRP3-/-groups(P<0.05).Conjunctival tissue lesions as well as nasal mucosa damage were evident in both experimental and NLRP3-/-groups.mRNA expression levels of NLRP3 within conjunctival tissue and nasal mucosa from the experimental group showed a significant increase when compared to those from both control and NLRP3-/-groups(P<0.05).Conclusion Allergic rhinoconjunctivitis pathogenesis is influenced by various factors;however,the involvement of NLPR3 signaling pathway promotes its development.
10.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.


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