1.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
2.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
3.Progress on antisense oligonucleotide in the field of antibacterial therapy
Jia LI ; Xiao-lu HAN ; Shi-yu SONG ; Jin-tao LIN ; Zhi-qiang TANG ; Zeng-ming WANG ; Liang XU ; Ai-ping ZHENG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2025;60(2):337-347
With the widespread use of antibiotics, drug-resistant bacterial infections have become a significant threat to human health. Finding new antibacterial strategies that can effectively control drug-resistant bacterial infections has become an urgent task. Unlike small molecule drugs that target bacterial proteins, antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) can target genes related to bacterial resistance, pathogenesis, growth, reproduction and biofilm formation. By regulating the expression of these genes, ASO can inhibit or kill bacteria, providing a novel approach for the development of antibacterial drugs. To overcome the challenge of delivering antisense oligonucleotide into bacterial cells, various drug delivery systems have been applied in this field, including cell-penetrating peptides, lipid nanoparticles and inorganic nanoparticles, which have injected new momentum into the development of antisense oligonucleotide in the antibacterial realm. This review summarizes the current development of small nucleic acid drugs, the antibacterial mechanisms, targets, sequences and delivery vectors of antisense oligonucleotide, providing a reference for the research and development of antisense oligonucleotide in the treatment of bacterial infections.
4.Network pharmacology-based mechanism of combined leech and bear bile on hepatobiliary diseases
Chen GAO ; Yu-shi GUO ; Xin-yi GUO ; Ling-zhi ZHANG ; Guo-hua YANG ; Yu-sheng YANG ; Tao MA ; Hua SUN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2025;60(1):105-116
In order to explore the possible role and molecular mechanism of the combined action of leech and bear bile in liver and gallbladder diseases, this study first used network pharmacology methods to screen the components and targets of leech and bear bile, as well as the related target genes of liver and gallbladder diseases. The selected key genes were subjected to interaction network and GO/KEGG enrichment analysis. Then, using sodium oleate induced HepG2 cell lipid deposition model and
5.Effect Analysis of Different Interventions to Improve Neuroinflammation in The Treatment of Alzheimer’s Disease
Jiang-Hui SHAN ; Chao-Yang CHU ; Shi-Yu CHEN ; Zhi-Cheng LIN ; Yu-Yu ZHOU ; Tian-Yuan FANG ; Chu-Xia ZHANG ; Biao XIAO ; Kai XIE ; Qing-Juan WANG ; Zhi-Tao LIU ; Li-Ping LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2025;52(2):310-333
Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a central neurodegenerative disease characterized by progressive cognitive decline and memory impairment in clinical. Currently, there are no effective treatments for AD. In recent years, a variety of therapeutic approaches from different perspectives have been explored to treat AD. Although the drug therapies targeted at the clearance of amyloid β-protein (Aβ) had made a breakthrough in clinical trials, there were associated with adverse events. Neuroinflammation plays a crucial role in the onset and progression of AD. Continuous neuroinflammatory was considered to be the third major pathological feature of AD, which could promote the formation of extracellular amyloid plaques and intracellular neurofibrillary tangles. At the same time, these toxic substances could accelerate the development of neuroinflammation, form a vicious cycle, and exacerbate disease progression. Reducing neuroinflammation could break the feedback loop pattern between neuroinflammation, Aβ plaque deposition and Tau tangles, which might be an effective therapeutic strategy for treating AD. Traditional Chinese herbs such as Polygonum multiflorum and Curcuma were utilized in the treatment of AD due to their ability to mitigate neuroinflammation. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs such as ibuprofen and indomethacin had been shown to reduce the level of inflammasomes in the body, and taking these drugs was associated with a low incidence of AD. Biosynthetic nanomaterials loaded with oxytocin were demonstrated to have the capability to anti-inflammatory and penetrate the blood-brain barrier effectively, and they played an anti-inflammatory role via sustained-releasing oxytocin in the brain. Transplantation of mesenchymal stem cells could reduce neuroinflammation and inhibit the activation of microglia. The secretion of mesenchymal stem cells could not only improve neuroinflammation, but also exert a multi-target comprehensive therapeutic effect, making it potentially more suitable for the treatment of AD. Enhancing the level of TREM2 in microglial cells using gene editing technologies, or application of TREM2 antibodies such as Ab-T1, hT2AB could improve microglial cell function and reduce the level of neuroinflammation, which might be a potential treatment for AD. Probiotic therapy, fecal flora transplantation, antibiotic therapy, and dietary intervention could reshape the composition of the gut microbiota and alleviate neuroinflammation through the gut-brain axis. However, the drugs of sodium oligomannose remain controversial. Both exercise intervention and electromagnetic intervention had the potential to attenuate neuroinflammation, thereby delaying AD process. This article focuses on the role of drug therapy, gene therapy, stem cell therapy, gut microbiota therapy, exercise intervention, and brain stimulation in improving neuroinflammation in recent years, aiming to provide a novel insight for the treatment of AD by intervening neuroinflammation in the future.
6.Prognostic comparison between pulmonary metastasectomy and combination immunotherapy with targeted molecular therapies for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma with pulmonary metastasis:A propensity score matching analysis
Juxian SUN ; Chang LIU ; Xiandong TAO ; Yu YANG ; Hai JIN ; Shuqun CHENG ; Huazheng SHI ; Maolin YAN ; Jie SHI
Liver Research 2025;9(1):29-35
Background and aims:Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)with pulmonary metastasis(PM)has a poor prognosis,and optimal treatment strategies remain controversial.This study aimed to compare the long-term outcomes of patients with advanced HCC with PM who were treated with resection of pul-monary metastases versus those treated with targeted therapies combined with immunotherapy.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the medical records of HCC patients with PM who underwent either pulmonary metastasectomy or immunotherapy combined with targeted therapies at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital,Changhai Hospital of Shanghai,Fujian Provincial Hospital,and West China Hospital of Sichuan University from September 2013 to October 2022.One-to-one propensity score matching(PSM)was employed to control the influence of potential confounders,and the survival outcomes were compared.Results:A total of 119 HCC patients with PM were included in this study.The overall survival(OS)of patients who underwent pulmonary metastasectomy was significantly longer than that of patients who received immunotherapy targeted combinations(OS:1-year,80.0%vs.59.3%;2-year,31.7%vs.20.3%;3-year,20.0%vs.0;P<0.001).After PSM,the long-term prognosis of the pulmonary metastasectomy group remained significantly better than that of the immunotherapy combination group(OS:1-year,87.0%vs.69.6%;2-year,34.8%vs.30.4%;3-year,21.7%vs.0;P=0.005).Multivariate analysis revealed that treat-ment allocation(hazard ratio(HR)=2.177,95%confidence interval(CI)=1.068-4.439)and hepatic tumor T stage(HR=2.342,95%CI=1.209-4.538)were independent risk factors for OS.Conclusions:Pulmonary metastasectomy was associated with improved survival compared to immu-notherapy combined with targeted therapies and may represent an optimal treatment option for highly selected HCC patients with resectable PM.
7.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomic features in predicting CK19 expression and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
Weihao CHEN ; Yixing YU ; Wenhao GU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(11):1275-1285
Objective:To investigate the value of habitat radiomic features based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced MRI in establishing a predictive model for cytokeratin 19 (CK19) expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to evaluate its role in prognostic risk stratification.Methods:This multicenter case-control study retrospectively enrolled 489 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI between June 2016 and June 2024. Among them, 346 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were divided into a training cohort ( n=245) and an internal test cohort ( n=101) via stratified sampling at a 7∶3 ratio. And 143 patients from Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University served as an external validation cohort. The training cohort included 53 CK19-positive and 192 CK19-negative patients. The internal test cohort included 21 CK19-positive and 80 CK19-negative patients. The external validation cohort included 30 CK19-positive and 113 CK19-negative patients. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential factors associated with CK19 expression, and a clinical-radiologic model was constructed. The k-means clustering algorithm was applied to segment target HCC lesions into 3 subregions. Radiomic features were extracted and selected from these habitat subregions. Habitat radiomics models were constructed for the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase (HBP), and combined phases (CP). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified independent clinical and radiologic predictors of CK19 expression, and the optimal habitat model score was integrated to build a clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model predictive performance. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the differences in survival curves were compared with the log-rank test. Results:Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ( OR=2.629, 95% CI 1.412-4.896, P=0.002), AP enhancement ( OR=3.636, 95% CI 1.642-8.052, P=0.001), AP peritumoral enhancement ( OR=2.219, 95% CI 1.084-4.542, P=0.029), and HBP peritumoral hypointensity ( OR=2.010, 95% CI 1.004-4.021, P=0.049) were potential factors associated with CK19 expression, which were incorporated into the clinical-radiologic model. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the AUC of the clinical-radiologic model was 0.690 (95% CI 0.590-0.778) and 0.650 (95% CI 0.565-0.727), respectively. The habitat radiomics model based on CP images demonstrated the highest performance. It achieved AUC of 0.729 (95% CI 0.622-0.836) and 0.725 (95% CI 0.607-0.842) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified AFP ( OR=2.494, 95% CI 1.163-5.348, P=0.019), AP enhancement ( OR=5.230, 95% CI 1.868-14.643, P=0.002) and habitat radiomics model score ( OR=4.105, 95% CI 2.643-6.368, P<0.001) as independent predictors of CK19 positivity. Based on these factors, a combined clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model was established. The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model achieved AUCs of 0.767 (95% CI 0.671-0.846) and 0.730 (95% CI 0.649-0.801) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Significant differences in RFS were observed between the CK19-positive group (25.1 month) and CK19-negative group (51.0 month) as predicted by the clinical-radiologic-habitat model ( χ2=4.17, P=0.041). Conclusion:The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomics demonstrates good predictive performance for CK19 expression in HCC and offers valuable prognostic stratification for clinical practice.
8.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI deep learning in preoperative prediction of vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters of hepatocellular carcinoma
Jinjing WANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Wenhao GU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU ; Yixing YU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(6):657-664
Objective:To explore the value of the deep learning model based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA) enhanced MRI in preoperatively predicting vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods:This study adopted a case-control design to retrospectively analyze 420 patients with HCC confirmed by postoperative pathology who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI between June 2016 and March 2023. A total of 420 patients were divided into a training set ( n=305) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and an external validation set ( n=115) from Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University. Based on postoperative pathological findings, patients were stratified into VETC-positive and VETC-negative groups. The training set comprised 161 VETC-positive cases and 144 VETC-negative cases, while the external validation set included 55 VETC-positive cases and 60 VETC-negative cases. Tumor regions of interest in arterial, portal venous, and hepatobiliary phases were manually delineated using ITK-SNAP software. Pre-trained Vgg19, Densenet121, and Vision Transformer (ViT) models were employed for transfer learning, extracting deep learning features from each image. Feature data were processed using FAE software, and 12 logistic regression models (arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase models) were constructed to select the optimal deep learning model. Independent predictors in clinical characteristics were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to establish a clinical model for predicting VETC pattern. Subsequently, a clinical-deep learning fusion model was developed by integrating these clinical predictors with the optimal deep learning features. Model performance in predicting VETC-positive HCC was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:In the external validation set, the area under the curve (AUC) of the Vgg19 model in the arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase, respectively were 0.799,0.756,0.789,0.821, which were higher than those of Densenet121 (AUC: 0.544,0.581,0.544,0.583) and ViT (AUC: 0.740,0.752,0.785,0.767) model. The three-phase combined Vgg19 model achieved the highest AUC of 0.821 (95% CI 0.746-0.897). Multivariate logistic regression identified alpha-fetoprotein level ( OR=1.826,95% CI 1.069-3.120, P=0.028) and tumor diameter ( OR=1.329,95% CI 1.206-1.466, P<0.001) as independent predictors of VETC-positive HCC, forming the clinical model with an AUC of 0.789 (95% CI 0.703-0.859). The clinical-deep learning fusion model further achieved the AUC of 0.825 (95% CI 0.749-0.900). Calibration curves confirmed high concordance between predicted and actual probabilities for the three-phase Vgg19 model, while DCA revealed greater net clinical benefit for the combined Vgg19 and fusion models compared with the clinical model alone. Conclusions:The deep learning model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI can be used to predict VETC of HCC preoperatively, among which the three-phase combined Vgg19 model and the clinical-deep learning model provide high predictive value.
9.Effects of Hofmeister series ions on encapsulation efficiencies of three components in inclusion complex of volatile oils from Wenjing Decoction
Wen SHEN ; Zhuo-yuan LI ; Lin TAO ; Wei XIE ; Run SHI ; Yu-han CUI ; Wen LI ; Jun-song LI
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(11):3571-3580
AIM To explore the effects of Hofmeister series ions on encapsulation efficiencies of cinnamaldehyde,paeonol,and ligustilide in inclusion complex of volatile oils from Wenjing Decoction.METHODS The volatile oils were extracted,after which the β-cyclodextrin inclusion complex was prepared,the thermal stability was evaluated,and encapsulation efficiencies and inclusion complex constants of various volatile components in Na2SO4,NaH2PO4,NaCl,NaI,NaSCN solutions were determined.RESULTS The β-cyclodextrin inclusion complex demonstrated good thermal stability within 10 d.After the addtion of Hofmeister series ions,various volatile components displayed increased encapsulation efficiencies and inclusion complex constants,and concentration-dependent manner was observable in the latter.CONCLUSION Hofmeister series ions can affect the binding affinities of volatile components and β-cyclodextrin in volatile oils from Wenjing Decoction,thus regulate their encapsulation efficiencies.
10.Expert consensus on non-surgical treatment for acute lateral ankle sprain (version 2025)
Hui CHE ; Wenge DING ; Shiming FENG ; Xueping GU ; Qinwei GUO ; Jianchao GUI ; Yinghui HUA ; Yuefeng HAO ; Qinglin HAN ; Bo HU ; Xiaojun LIANG ; Guoping LI ; Yunxia LI ; Qi LI ; Yanlin LI ; Xin MA ; Jun MA ; Xudong MIAO ; Jianzhong QIN ; Xiaodong QIN ; Xu SUN ; Kefu SUN ; Weidong SONG ; Dai SHI ; Zhongmin SHI ; Youlun TAO ; Xu WANG ; Youhua WANG ; Liheng WANG ; Anli WANG ; Aiguo WANG ; Weidong WU ; Yajun XU ; Weidong XU ; Renjie XU ; Yongsheng XU ; Tengbo YU ; Lianqi YAN ; Xiaodong YUAN ; Yuan ZHU ; Mingzhu ZHANG ; Hongtao ZHANG ; Xintao ZHANG ; Xiaofei ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(6):517-529
Acute lateral ankle sprain (ALAS) is one of the most common sport injuries, with high incidence, recurrence and disability rates. Currently, exercise rehabilitation-based non-surgical treatment is the primary management approach for ALAS. However, there remain improper practices such as excessive immobilization or uncontrolled activity, which contribute to recurrent sprains and chronic ankle instability, significantly impairing patients′ athletic function and quality of life. To standardize the non-surgical management of ALAS, improve the cure rates, and reduce the recurrence and disability rates, Chinese Sports Rehabilitation Medicine Training Project of Chinese Medical Association, Foot and Ankle Basics and Orthopedics Group, Orthopedic Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association, and Sports Medicine Branch of Jiangsu Medical Association organized relevant experts to formulate Expert consensus on non-surgical treatment for acute lateral ankle sprain ( version 2025), following the principles of scientific vigor, practicality, and innovation. Thirteen recommendations were proposed for standardized treatment protocols across different healing phases, aiming to provide references for standard management of ALAS and improve the therapeutic outcomes.

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