1.Pathogenesis Reasoning Chain-of-thought Supervision for Large Language Models: Syndrome Manifestation Recognition and Multidimensional Evaluation in Spleen-stomach Disorders
Shu-Han YANG ; Yu-Xin HU ; Xin-Yu YU ; Yu-Ying TU ; Yi-Chang ZANG ; Pan-Fei LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(5):1240-1263
ObjectiveThe essence of syndrome manifestation recognition in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) is to infer the body’s latent pathogenesis state from clinical observational information, rather than to perform simple label matching. However, previous studies have largely modeled this task as syndrome pattern classification within a fixed label space, which does not adequately reflect the cognition process of TCM syndrome differentiation centered on pathogenesis reasoning, and is also insufficient to capture the openness, semantic variability, and cross-disease reusability of syndrome manifestation expression. This study aimed to investigate whether introducing pathogenesis reasoning chain-of-thought (PR-CoT) supervision into large language models (LLMs) could improve the quality and cognitive consistency of syndrome manifestation recognition and support cross-disease transfer. MethodsSyndrome manifestation recognition was formulated as a conditional generation task under the framework of clinical observational information (X)→pathogenesis structure (Z)→syndrome pattern output (Y), where Z serves as an explicit intermediate structural variable linking the clinical evidence and syndrome judgment. Within this framework, a PR-CoT-supervised dataset for syndrome manifestation recognition was constructed based on medical case records of spleen-stomach disorders. After preprocessing, information extraction, manual proofreading, and data cleaning, the dataset comprised 4 800 training cases, 400 development cases, and 400 test cases. Each sample was annotated with a structured PR-CoT consisting of three progressive levels: clinical information summarization, comprehensive pathogenesis analysis, and syndrome pattern output. Supervised fine-tuning was conducted on open-source LLMs, with an end-to-end model serving as the baseline. Qwen3-32B was used as the primary experimental model, and Qwen3-14B as the scale comparison model. A progressive multidimensional evaluation framework was further established, comprising a structural parsing level, a semantic similarity level, and an expert blind review level. At the structural parsing level, syndrome pattern expressions were decomposed into structural elements and evaluated using Precision, Recall, F1 score, and Jaccard similarity. At the semantic similarity level, independent LLMs scored the theoretical proximity between predicted and reference syndrome patterns. At the expert blind review level, three TCM experts independently evaluated model outputs on two dimensions: syndrome differentiation consistency and terminology standardization of syndrome patterns. In addition, zero-shot cross-disease transfer evaluation was conducted on gynecological and heart-system disorder test sets. ResultsAt the structural parsing level, PR-CoT supervision did not lead to a stable improvement in the element-wise overlap of syndrome pattern structural components. Compared with the corresponding baselines, neither Qwen3-32B nor Qwen3-14B showed consistent advantages in structural matching metrics after the introduction of PR-CoT supervision. In contrast, at the semantic similarity level, PR-CoT supervision produced stable positive gains across different model scales and evaluation systems. The average semantic score of Qwen3-32B increased from 6.425 8 in the baseline model to 6.585 0 after PR-CoT supervision, and that of Qwen3-14B increased from 5.870 0 to 5.964 2. At the expert blind review level, the overall score of Qwen3-32B (PR-CoT) was 7.026 0±0.107 7, higher than 6.416 3±0.288 9 for its baseline. In zero-shot cross-disease testing, the PR-CoT model still showed advantages in semantic evaluation and expert evaluation on both gynecological and heart-system disorder test sets, indicating a certain degree of transferability. ConclusionThe benefits of PR-CoT supervision are mainly reflected in TCM semantic consistency and clinical plausibility, rather than in improved hard matching of structural elements. These findings support understanding syndrome manifestation recognition as a process of generating and expressing latent pathogenesis structures, rather than as a classification task within a traditional fixed label space. By introducing pathogenesis reasoning as an explicit intermediate structure into the modeling process and combining it with a progressive multidimensional evaluation framework, this study provides a methodological pathway for intelligent TCM syndrome differentiation that integrates theoretical alignment, interpretability, and multi-level evaluation.
2.Pathogenesis Reasoning Chain-of-thought Supervision for Large Language Models: Syndrome Manifestation Recognition and Multidimensional Evaluation in Spleen-stomach Disorders
Shu-Han YANG ; Yu-Xin HU ; Xin-Yu YU ; Yu-Ying TU ; Yi-Chang ZANG ; Pan-Fei LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(5):1240-1263
ObjectiveThe essence of syndrome manifestation recognition in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) is to infer the body’s latent pathogenesis state from clinical observational information, rather than to perform simple label matching. However, previous studies have largely modeled this task as syndrome pattern classification within a fixed label space, which does not adequately reflect the cognition process of TCM syndrome differentiation centered on pathogenesis reasoning, and is also insufficient to capture the openness, semantic variability, and cross-disease reusability of syndrome manifestation expression. This study aimed to investigate whether introducing pathogenesis reasoning chain-of-thought (PR-CoT) supervision into large language models (LLMs) could improve the quality and cognitive consistency of syndrome manifestation recognition and support cross-disease transfer. MethodsSyndrome manifestation recognition was formulated as a conditional generation task under the framework of clinical observational information (X)→pathogenesis structure (Z)→syndrome pattern output (Y), where Z serves as an explicit intermediate structural variable linking the clinical evidence and syndrome judgment. Within this framework, a PR-CoT-supervised dataset for syndrome manifestation recognition was constructed based on medical case records of spleen-stomach disorders. After preprocessing, information extraction, manual proofreading, and data cleaning, the dataset comprised 4 800 training cases, 400 development cases, and 400 test cases. Each sample was annotated with a structured PR-CoT consisting of three progressive levels: clinical information summarization, comprehensive pathogenesis analysis, and syndrome pattern output. Supervised fine-tuning was conducted on open-source LLMs, with an end-to-end model serving as the baseline. Qwen3-32B was used as the primary experimental model, and Qwen3-14B as the scale comparison model. A progressive multidimensional evaluation framework was further established, comprising a structural parsing level, a semantic similarity level, and an expert blind review level. At the structural parsing level, syndrome pattern expressions were decomposed into structural elements and evaluated using Precision, Recall, F1 score, and Jaccard similarity. At the semantic similarity level, independent LLMs scored the theoretical proximity between predicted and reference syndrome patterns. At the expert blind review level, three TCM experts independently evaluated model outputs on two dimensions: syndrome differentiation consistency and terminology standardization of syndrome patterns. In addition, zero-shot cross-disease transfer evaluation was conducted on gynecological and heart-system disorder test sets. ResultsAt the structural parsing level, PR-CoT supervision did not lead to a stable improvement in the element-wise overlap of syndrome pattern structural components. Compared with the corresponding baselines, neither Qwen3-32B nor Qwen3-14B showed consistent advantages in structural matching metrics after the introduction of PR-CoT supervision. In contrast, at the semantic similarity level, PR-CoT supervision produced stable positive gains across different model scales and evaluation systems. The average semantic score of Qwen3-32B increased from 6.425 8 in the baseline model to 6.585 0 after PR-CoT supervision, and that of Qwen3-14B increased from 5.870 0 to 5.964 2. At the expert blind review level, the overall score of Qwen3-32B (PR-CoT) was 7.026 0±0.107 7, higher than 6.416 3±0.288 9 for its baseline. In zero-shot cross-disease testing, the PR-CoT model still showed advantages in semantic evaluation and expert evaluation on both gynecological and heart-system disorder test sets, indicating a certain degree of transferability. ConclusionThe benefits of PR-CoT supervision are mainly reflected in TCM semantic consistency and clinical plausibility, rather than in improved hard matching of structural elements. These findings support understanding syndrome manifestation recognition as a process of generating and expressing latent pathogenesis structures, rather than as a classification task within a traditional fixed label space. By introducing pathogenesis reasoning as an explicit intermediate structure into the modeling process and combining it with a progressive multidimensional evaluation framework, this study provides a methodological pathway for intelligent TCM syndrome differentiation that integrates theoretical alignment, interpretability, and multi-level evaluation.
3.Construction of Human-derived Chondrocyte PIEZO2 Overexpressing Cell Line and Identification of Osteoarthritis Phenotype
Bo-Yang XU ; Yi-Fei FAN ; Yu-Qing DU ; Meng-Ze SUN ; Jun-Yan WANG ; Jin CHENG ; Ying-Fang AO ; Xiao-Qing HU
Chinese Journal of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2025;41(6):871-878
To investigate the molecular mechanisms underlying the mechanosensitive ion channel PI-EZO2 in osteoarthritis(OA),we developed a lentiviral vector for endogenous PIEZO2 overexpression and established a stable PIEZO2-high-expressing immortalized human primary chondrocyte line.By map-ping the open reading frame of the PIEZO2 locus and designing sequence-specific sgRNA,we employed the CRISPR/Cas9 synergistic activation mediator(SAM)system to precisely integrate transcriptional ac-tivation elements into the PIEZO2 promoter region.Lentiviral-mediated targeted genomic integration en-sured endogenous PIEZO2 overexpression,confirmed by mCherry fluorescence tracing coupled with flow cytometric sorting,which revealed membrane-specific localization of PIEZO2 protein(localization effi-ciency:78.49%).Quantitative PCR demonstrated a 17-fold upregulation of PIEZO2 mRNA,while Western blotting validated enhanced membrane-localized protein expression.Strikingly,PIEZO2-overex-pressing chondrocytes exhibited hallmark OA metabolic phenotypes compared to wild-type controls:typeⅡ collagen mRNA expression decreased to 50%of baseline levels,whereas matrix metalloproteinase 13(MMP13)mRNA surged by 20-fold.These alterations recapitulated the pathological matrix metabolic phenotype observed in biomechanical OA models induced by cyclic mechanical stress(10%strain,0.5 Hz,8 h/day for 2 consecutive days).Collectively,we successfully generated a human chondrocyte model with stable PIEZO2 overexpression,which faithfully mirrors mechanotransduction-driven OA progression.This engineered cellular system provides a robust platform for dissecting PIEZO2-mediated mechanosig-naling networks and advancing targeted therapeutic discovery.
4.A Retrospective Cohort Study on the Improvement of Prognosis of Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Using Traditional Chinese Medicine Preparations
Li DOU ; Wei WANG ; Manshu YU ; Sicheng YUAN ; Jingyi HU ; Yuwen ZHUANG ; Minghao QI ; Yuanyuan WANG ; Fei YANG ; Jiale MENG ; Tao GUO ; Xiaoxiao WANG
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(11):1585-1595
OBJECTIVE The emergence of evolving variants of Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)has fostered the need for change of newer and adaptive treatments for these infections.During the COVID-19 pandemic and persists,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)herbs exhibit significant bioactivity and therapeutic effect.This study is aimed to evaluate the efficacy of four TCM preparations on 28-day mortality risk of patients and changes of the laboratory indicators.METHODS The retrospective cohort study included patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to the Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine from December 15,2022 to January 15,2023,and those died within 48 hours of admission or cannot be tracked for outcomes were excluded.The pri-mary outcome was survival status in 28 days(death or survival)starting from the day of admission.The second outcomes were labora-tory indicators,including absolute lymphocyte count,lactate dehydrogenase,creatinine,and blood urea nitrogen.Binary logistic re-gressions were used to estimate the effect of TCM preparations on the primary and secondary outcomes in main analysis.Meanwhile,heterogeneity and robustness of results from main analysis were assessed by subgroup analyses and multiple sensitivity analyses.RESULTS 1 816 eligible patients were included in analysis dataset,including 573 patients received standard care(control group)and 1 243 patients received TCM preparations(hospital preparation group).The 28-day mortality rate of hospital preparation group was lower than that of control group(4.75%vs.14.83%),and the difference was statistically significant(χ2=54.666,P<0.001).The risk of 28-day mortality was 0.535 times lower in the hospital preparation group as compared with the control group(OR=0.46,95%CI:0.305-0.708,P<0.001)showed by multivariable binary logistic regressions.Subgroup analyses showed that taking TCM preparations reduced the 28-day mortality risk.Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that the results of the main analysis for primary outcomes were robust.For secondary outcomes,the risk of abnormal absolute lymphocyte counts at discharge in the hospital prepara-tion group decreased by 0.284 times(OR=0.703,95%CI:0.515-0.961,P=0.027).CONCLUSION Compared with standard of care,taking four hospital preparations including Kanggan Heji,Feining Heji,Qishen Gubiao Keli,and Qianghuo Qushi Qingwen Heji decreased risk of 28-day mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients.TCM therapy achieves adequate therapeutic effects in COVID-19.
5.Design and application of digital intelligence-driven critical treatment platform
Fei-fei LUO ; Yuan-shuai CHEN ; Li ZHANG ; Yu-jun HU ; Zhan-rong ZHANG ; Xu-jiao GONG ; Man HUANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(1):38-43
Objective To design a digital intelligence-driven critical treatment platform to implement integrated treatment procedure inside and outside the hospital and intelligent whole-course managment from pre-hospital emergency care to discharge for critically ill patients.Methods The platform was designed with 5G,IoT,big data and aritificial intelligence techniques and developed with Java language,which adopted Oracle database-based data management and front-end and back-end separation mode,with the front end realized by Vue.js framework and the back end by microservice architecture.There were five functional modules for pre-hospital emergency care,multidisciplinary joint diagnosis and treatment,critical care,quality control management and post-discharge follow-up involved in the platform.Results The platform developed simplified the treatment procedure,enhanced the timeliness of emergency care,decreased the workload of nursing staffs and improved medical service efficiency and working efficiency effectively.Conclusion The platform increases first aid quality and treatment efficiency and provides critically ill patients with high-quality medical experience.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(1):38-43]
6.Association between serum IgG concentrations and prognosis in IgA nephropathy patients
Fei TANG ; Ricong XU ; Haofei HU ; Yuan CHENG ; Rong CAO ; Cai TAO ; Xueqing YU ; Wei CHEN ; Qijun WAN
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(7):498-506
Objective:To investigate the association between serum IgG concentration and renal prognosis in patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN).Methods:It was a multi-center retrospective cohort study, patients with biopsy proven primary IgAN who were recorded in the Chinese IgA Nephropathy Information Registration System between April 1996 and September 2018 were included. Exclusion criteria were: (1) age <18 years; (2) <8 glomeruli in biopsy specimens; (3) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <15 ml·min -1·(1.73 m 2) -1 at biopsy; (4) missing baseline serum IgG values; (5) incomplete follow-up data; (6) follow-up duration <12 months. Enrolled patients were divided into 3 groups according to the baseline tertiles of serum IgG: ≤9.50 g/L (G1 group), 9.51-11.99 g/L (G2 group), and ≥12.00 g/L (G3 group). Clinical, and pathological parameters were compared across groups. The endpoint events were defined as doubled serum creatinine level from baseline, or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Results:A total of 1 976 IgAN patients were included in this study, 631 were in G1 group, 664 in G2 group, and 681 in G3 group. The comparison of baseline clinical data showed that there were statistically significant differences among the three groups in terms of gender, age, microscopic hematuria, edema, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, eGFR, 24-hour urine protein quantity, blood uric acid, blood albumin, serum IgA, serum IgM, the proportion of using immunosuppressants, and the proportion of using glucocorticoids (all P<0.05). In terms of pathology, the higher the serum IgG concentration, the relatively less severe the overall renal pathological damage. The results of univariate Cox regression analysis showed that gender, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, eGFR, 24-hour urine protein quantity, total protein, serum albumin, globulin, serum IgG, Oxford renal pathological classification, glomerular sclerosis ratio, and glomerular IgM deposition were all associated with the occurrence of renal endpoint events (all P<0.05). Based on clinical practice and previous studies, after adjusting for gender, age, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, eGFR, 24-hour urine protein quantity, body mass index, Oxford renal pathological classification, glomerular sclerosis ratio, and the use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, glucocorticoids, and immunosuppressants, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that as a continuous variable, the baseline serum IgG level ( HR=0.91, 95% CI 0.87-0.96) was independently associated with the risk of renal endpoint events in IgAN patients; as a categorical variable, with serum IgG ≤ 9.50 g/L as the reference, serum IgG 9.51-11.99 g/L and serum IgG ≥ 12.00 g/L were independent factors for the occurrence of renal endpoint events in IgAN patients ( HR=0.69, 95% CI 0.49-0.96, P=0.027; HR=0.50, 95% CI 0.34-0.74, P<0.001). During a median follow-up of 33(21, 53) months started from the date of renal biopsy and continued until December 31, 2019, the median follow-up duration was 33 (21, 53) months, and a total of 232 patients (11.74%) reached the composite endpoint. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the higher the serum IgG concentration in patients with IgAN, the higher their cumulative renal survival rate (Log-rank test, χ2=47.176, P<0.001). Conclusion:The higher level of serum IgG at diagnosis is associated with better clinicopathologic features and renal outcomes, and may portend better renal survival in IgAN patients.
7.Preparation of pH/NIR dual-responsive metal-organic framework com-posite nanoparticles co-loaded with indocyanine green and siSphK1 and its in vitro anti-non-small-cell lung cancer study
Bingjie LÜ ; Xiaohong YAN ; Fei YU ; Haoran HU ; Lulu WANG ; Yang YANG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(8):1550-1558
AIM:This study aims to design pH/near-infrared(NIR)dual-responsive metal-organic framework composite nanoparticles co-loaded with indocyanine green(ICG)and sphingosine kinase 1(SphK1)siRNA(siSphK1),and to evaluate their anticancer efficacy against non-small-cell lung cancer A549 cells.METHODS:The ZIF-8 nanopar-ticles were synthesized and loaded with ICG and siSphK1 to prepare ZIF-8@ICG@siSphK1 nanoparticles.Their morpholo-gy,particle size,surface charge,and crystalline structure were characterized through transmission electron microscopy,dynamic light scattering,and X-ray diffraction.Stability,siSphK1 encapsulation and protection,and pH/NIR response were assessed.The gene silencing efficacy and anticancer activity in A549 cells were evaluated using Western blot,RT-qPCR,MTT assay,flow cytometry,and reactive oxygen species(ROS)fluorescence staining.RESULTS:The ZIF-8@ICG@siSphK1 nanoparticles exhibited a typical polyhedral structure with an average particle size of(76.8±0.9)nm and a ζ potential of(9.2±0.1)mV.The nanoparticles effectively encapsulated siSphK1,protecting it from RNase degra-dation,and demonstrated excellent NIR responsiveness with a photothermal conversion efficiency of 39.7%.After 10 h of 808 nm laser irradiation,siRNA cumulative release was significantly higher at pH 5.5 compared with pH 7.4.In A549 cells,the nanoparticles efficiently delivered siSphK1 under NIR irradiation,significantly down-regulated SphK1 gene ex-pression,inhibited cell proliferation,induced apoptosis,and increased intracellular ROS levels.CONCLUSION:The ZIF-8@ICG@siSphK1 nanoparticles effectively induce cytotoxic effects against A549 cells through gene silencing and pho-tothermal therapy.
8.A new tetralone glycoside in leaves of Cyclocarya paliurus.
Ting-Si GUO ; Qin HUANG ; Qi-Qi HU ; Fei-Bing HUANG ; Qing-Ling XIE ; Han-Wen YUAN ; Wei WANG ; Yu-Qing JIAN
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(1):146-167
The chemical constituents from leaves of Cyclocarya paliurus were isolated and purified by chromatography on silica gel, C_(18) reverse-phase silica gel, and Sephadex LH-20 gel, as well as semi-preparative high-performance liquid chromatography. Six compounds were identified by UV, IR, NMR, MS, calculated ECD, and comparison with literature data as cyclopaloside D(1), boscialin(2),(5R,6S)-6-hydroxy-6-[(E)-3-hydroxybut-1-enyl]-1,1,5-trimethylcyclohexanone(3), 3S,5R-dihydroxy-6R,7-megastigmadien-9-one(4), 3S,5R-dihydroxy-6S,7-megastigmadien-9-one(5), and gingerglycolipid A(6), respectively. Among them, compound 1 was identified as a new tetralone glycoside, and compounds 2-6 were isolated from leaves of C. paliurus for the first time. Furthermore, compound 1 exhibited strong antioxidant activity, with the IC_(50) of(454.20±31.81)μmol·L~(-1) and(881.82±42.31)μmol·L~(-1) in scavenging DPPH and ABTS free radicals, respectively.
Plant Leaves/chemistry*
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Glycosides/isolation & purification*
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Juglandaceae/chemistry*
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Tetralones/isolation & purification*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/isolation & purification*
9.Phase changes and quantity-quality transfer of raw material, calcined decoction pieces, and standard decoction of Ostreae Concha (Ostrea rivularis).
Hong-Yi ZHANG ; Jing-Wei ZHOU ; Jia-Wen LIU ; Wen-Bo FEI ; Shi-Ru HUANG ; Yu-Mei CHEN ; Chong-Yang LI ; Fei-Fei LI ; Qiao-Ling MA ; Fu WANG ; Yuan HU ; You-Ping LIU ; Shi-Lin CHEN ; Lin CHEN ; Hong-Ping CHEN
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(5):1209-1223
The phase changes and quantity-quality transfer of 17 batches of Ostreae Concha(Ostrea rivularis) during the raw material-calcined decoction pieces-standard decoction process were analyzed. The content of calcium carbonate(CaCO_3), the main component, was determined by chemical titration, and the extract yield and transfer rate were calculated. The CaCO_3 content in the raw material, calcined decoction pieces, and standard decoction was 94.39%-98.80%, 95.03%-99.22%, and 84.58%-90.47%, respectively. The process of raw material to calcined decoction pieces showed the yield range of 96.85% to 98.55% and the CaCO_3 transfer rate range of 96.92% to 99.27%. The process of calcined decoction pieces to standard decoction showed the extract yield range of 2.86% to 5.48% and the CaCO_3 transfer rate range of 2.59% to 5.13%. The results of X-ray fluorescence(XRF) assay showed that the raw material, calcined decoction pieces, and standard decoction mainly contained Ca, Na, Mg, Si, Br, Cl, Al, Fe, Cr, Mn, and K. The chemometric results showed an increase in the relative content of Cr, Fe, and Si from raw material to calcined decoction pieces and an increase in the relative content of Mg, Al, Br, K, Cl, and Na from calcined decoction pieces to standard decoction. X-ray diffraction(XRD) was employed to establish XRD characteristic patterns of the raw material, calcined decoction pieces, and standard decoction. The XRD results showed that the main phase of all three was calcite, and no transformation of crystalline form or generation of new phase was observed. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy(FTIR) was employed to establish the FTIR characteristic spectra of the raw material, calcined decoction pieces, and standard decoction. The FTIR results showed that the raw material had internal vibrations of O-H, C-H, C=O, C-O, and CO■ groups. Due to the loss of organic matter components after calcination, no information about the vibrations of C-H, C=O, and C-O groups was observed in the spectra of calcined decoction pieces and standard decoction. In summary, this study elucidated the quantity-quality transfer and phase changes in the raw material-calcined decoction pieces-standard decoction process by determining the CaCO_3 content, calculating the extract yield and transfer rate, and comparing the element changes, FTIR characteristic spectra, and XRD characteristic pattern. The results were reasonable and reliable, laying a foundation for the subsequent process research and quality control of the formula granules of calcined Ostreae Concha(O. rivularis Gould), and providing ideas and methods for the quality control of the whole process of raw material-decoction pieces-standard decoction-formula granules of Ostreae Concha and other testacean traditional Chinese medicine.
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/isolation & purification*
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Calcium Carbonate/analysis*
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Quality Control
10.Risk factor analysis and nomogram prediction model construction for pneumonia complicating infectious mononucleosis in adults
Fei HU ; Mei-Juan PENG ; Xu-Yang ZHENG ; Rui LI ; Jia-Yi ZHAN ; Hai-Feng HU ; Hong-Kai XU ; Deng-Hui YU ; Hong DU ; Jian-Qi LIAN
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(11):1359-1365
Objective To investigate the risk factors for pneumonia complicating infectious mononucleosis(IM)in adults and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 198 IM patients admitted to the Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University from January 2015 to December 2021.Patients were divided into pneumonia group(n=52)and non-pneumonia group(n=146)based on whether pulmonary infection occurred during hospitalization.The baseline data(age,gender,place of onset,etc.),clinical manifestations(maximum body temperature,lymph node enlargement,splenomegaly,etc.),and inflammatory indicators[white blood cell count(WBC),C-reactive protein(CRP),etc.]were compared between the two groups.Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to analyze the key indicators affecting the hospital stay of IM patients.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors for pneumonia complicating IM in adults and construct a nomogram prediction model based on the identified risk factors.The predictive efficacy of the model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the consistency of the model was assessed using the calibration curve.The fit of the model was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Additionally,the sensitivity,specificity,and accuracy of the model were assessed using confusion matrix.Results Compared with non-pneumonia group,the pneumonia group had a significantly higher proportion of patients from rural areas,with body mass index(BMI)≥24 kg/m2,smoking history,hepatomegaly,fever duration of≥7 d,as well as increased total hospitalization costs and average daily hospitalization costs,and prolonged hospital stay(P<0.05).The proportion of patients with a history of antibiotic use was lower in the pneumonia group(P<0.05).Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients from rural areas,with BMI≥24 kg/m2,smoking history,no prophylactic use of antibiotics,fever duration≥7 d,and hepatomegaly had significantly prolonged hospital stays(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that living in a rural area(OR=4.089,P<0.05),hepatomegaly(OR=4.082,P<0.05),and elevated WBC(OR=1.205,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for pneumonia complicating IM in adults,while the prophylactic use of antibiotics(OR=0.142,P<0.05)was an independent protective factor.The area under the ROC curve of the constructed nomogram prediction model was 0.827(95%CI 0.762-0.892),and the slope of the calibration curve was close to 1,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed χ2=5.299,P=0.725,indicating good consistency and fit of the prediction model.The results of the confusion matrix assessment showed that the sensitivity of the model was 0.669(0.624-0.773),the specificity was 0.827(0.724-0.930),and the accuracy was 0.732(0.665-0.793).Conclusion The nomogram prediction model based on place of onset,hepatomegaly,the prophylactic use of antibiotics and WBC has excellent fit and discrimination,providing an effective quantitative tool for prognosis assessment of IM.

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