Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

Autoimmune hepatitis （AIH） is a chronic inflammatory liver disease. The pathogenesis of AIH remains unclear， but it is mainly autoimmune injury caused by the breakdown of autoimmune tolerance due to the abnormal activation of the immune system， while the specific molecular mechanism remains unknown. Recent studies have shown that abnormal amino acid metabolism plays an important role in the development and progression of AIH. This article reviews the research advances in amino acid metabolic reprogramming in AIH， in order to provide a theoretical basis for amino acid metabolism as a new target for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of AIH.

Lens injury is an important etiological factor in the reduction of visual function following ocular trauma.Currently, there are no clear standards for the classification of lens injury, and comprehensive diagnostic tools are lacking.This deficiency leads to numerous controversies and challenges in critical areas, such as diagnosis and preoperative evalution, timing of surgery, surgical strategy, and assessment of postoperative prognosis.Tomographic imaging technology, such as computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, optical coherence tomography, has introduced a new dimension to the evaluation of lens injury, which is crucial for assessing the transparency, texture, location, morphology, and integrity of the lens, as well as the zonules and nearby intraocular structures.However, the use of tomographic imaging technology is somewhat limited due to the limitations of relying on a single method.With the ongoing advancement of imaging technologies and the rapid development of big data and artificial intelligence, tomographic imaging will become an increasingly essential tool in the future management of lens injury.Our expert group reviewed the epidemiological characteristics and classification of lens injury and the major challenges currently faced in the diagnosis and treatment of lens injury, and provided expert recommendations mainly focusing on the application, shortcomings and limitations of current tomographic imaging technology in the diagnosis and treatment of lens injury, and future development directions.

Objective Exploring the application value of the teaching model combining Learning in Context(LIC)and Multidisciplinary Team(MDT)in clinical internships of thoracic surgery.Methods Eighty-eight undergraduate clinical medical students who underwent clinical internship in the Department of Thoracic Surgery at our hospital from September 2022 to June 2023 were selected as study subjects.They were randomly divided into observation group(n=45)and control group(n=43)u-sing random number table method.The control group received traditional clinical teaching,while the observation group received LIC combined with MDT teaching model.Theoretical knowledge mastery,clinical operational skills,and clinical thinking abilities were compared between the two groups,with 6-month long-term learning effectiveness follow-up evaluation.Time series analysis and radar chart analysis were employed to assess dynamic changes in teaching effectiveness and core competency development.Results The observation group showed significantly higher scores than the control group in theoretical knowledge,clinical opera-tional skills,clinical thinking abilities,teamwork and communication competencies,teaching method satisfaction,and autono-mous learning.Six-month follow-up evaluation revealed that the observation group's comprehensive development level was signifi-cantly higher than the control group.Time series analysis demonstrated that the observation group exhibited a steeper learning curve with greater improvement amplitude compared to the control group.Radar chart analysis showed more balanced development across eight core competency dimensions in the observation group.Conclusion The LIC combined with MDT teaching model can significantly improve thoracic surgery clinical internship students'theoretical knowledge mastery,operational skills,and clinical thinking abilities.

Objective:To construct a clinical practice training system for master′s degree students specializing in oral nursing based on the competency iceberg model for job performance, and to provide a valuable reference for the clinical training of master′s students in oral nursing.Methods:The research team initially formulated the components of the clinical practice training system through an extensive literature review and semi-structured interviews. From October 17, 2023, to November 13, 2023, the Delphi expert consultation methodology was utilized to facilitate two rounds of inquiries involving 20 specialists in the domain of oral care.Results:The positive coefficients of the two rounds of expert inquiries were 95.24% (20/21) and 100.00% (21/21). The authority coefficients were 0.925 and 0.929, while the variation coefficients ranged from 0.00 to 0.22 and from 0.05 to 0.11. Additionally, Kendall′s harmony coefficients were 0.229 and 0.319 (both P<0.01). The finalized training system included training objectives, training content, training requirements and examinations, totaling 3 first-level items, 18 second-level items and 67 third-level items. Conclusions:The training system of clinical practice for oral nursing graduate students constructed in this study is informative and reliable, and can provide reference for clinical practice of professional postgraduates in oral nursing.

Objective To investigate the value of the absolute number of lymphocyte subpopulations as an early warning indicator for children with SMPP(severe mycoplasma pneumonia,SMPP)and to analyze the character-istics observed via bronchoscopy,thereby providing a valuable reference for the early diagnosis of SMPP.Methods This study included 102 children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(MPP),comprising 54 cases of common MPP and 48 cases of SMPP.The lymphocyte subpopulations,clinical characteristics,and laboratory indicators were analyzed.Results There were statistically significant differences between the two groups in the absolute number levels of lymphocyte subpopulations CD3+CD19-T,CD4+T,CD3-CD19+B,CD3-/CD16+CD56+NK cells(P<0.05).The absolute numbers of CD3+CD19-T,CD4+T,CD3-CD19+B,and CD3-/CD16+CD56+NK cells showed negative correlations with serum ferritin,LDH,CRP,and D-D,respectively(P<0.05).Multifactorial logistic regression analysis identified the absolute numbers of CD3+CD19-T,CD4+T,CD3-CD19+B,and CD3-/CD16+CD56+NK cells as independent risk factors for severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(SMPP).ROC analysis demonstrated that the areas under the curve for diagnosing SMPP based on the absolute numbers of CD3+CD19-T,CD4+T,CD3-CD19+B,and CD3-/CD16+CD56+NK cells were 0.711,0.887,0.856,and 0.860,respectively,with sensitivities of 47.4%,80.8%,82.1%,and 92.3%,and specificities of 89.7%,87.2%,75%,and 70.5%,respectively.The combined ROC curve of the four lymphocyte subsets had an area of 0.983,with a sensitivity of 97.4%and specificity of 92.3%.The proportions of bronchoscopy findings and microscopic examination of mucus plugs in the SMPP group were significantly higher than those in the ordinary MPP group(P<0.05).In the mucoid plug subgroup,the absolute numbers of CD3?CD19?T cells and CD4?T cells were significantly lower compared to the non-mucoid plug subgroup,while the percentage of CD8?T cells increased and the CD4?/CD8? ratio decreased(all P<0.05).Conclusions The absolute number of CD3+CD19-T,CD4+T,CD3-CD19+B,and CD3-/CD16+CD56+NK cells in peripheral blood serves as a highly sensitive and specific predictor of small airway mucus plugging phenomenon(SMPP)and can thus be utilized as a potential biomarker for SMPP.Microscopic analysis under SMPP conditions reveals a high prevalence of mucus plugs,necessitating proactive bronchoscopic intervention.Furthermore,the significant imbalance in T cell subpopulations is strongly correlated with the formation of mucus plugs observed during bronchoscopy.

Lens injury is an important etiological factor in the reduction of visual function following ocular trauma.Currently, there are no clear standards for the classification of lens injury, and comprehensive diagnostic tools are lacking.This deficiency leads to numerous controversies and challenges in critical areas, such as diagnosis and preoperative evalution, timing of surgery, surgical strategy, and assessment of postoperative prognosis.Tomographic imaging technology, such as computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, optical coherence tomography, has introduced a new dimension to the evaluation of lens injury, which is crucial for assessing the transparency, texture, location, morphology, and integrity of the lens, as well as the zonules and nearby intraocular structures.However, the use of tomographic imaging technology is somewhat limited due to the limitations of relying on a single method.With the ongoing advancement of imaging technologies and the rapid development of big data and artificial intelligence, tomographic imaging will become an increasingly essential tool in the future management of lens injury.Our expert group reviewed the epidemiological characteristics and classification of lens injury and the major challenges currently faced in the diagnosis and treatment of lens injury, and provided expert recommendations mainly focusing on the application, shortcomings and limitations of current tomographic imaging technology in the diagnosis and treatment of lens injury, and future development directions.

Turning to critical illness is a common stage of various diseases and injuries before death. Patients usually have complex health conditions, while the treatment process involves a wide range of content, along with high requirements for doctor′s professionalism and multi-specialty teamwork, as well as a great demand for time-sensitive treatments. However, this is not matched with critical care professionals and the current state of medical care in China. Telemedicine, which shortens the distance of medical professionals and the gap of disease diagnosis and treatments in various regions through electronic information, can effectively solve the current problem. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a standardized, high-quality visualization telemedicine round system .Therefore, experts have been organized to search domestic and foreign literature on telemedicine round for critically ill patients and to form this consensus based on clinical experiences so as to further improve the level of critical care treatments in regions.

Objective:To investigate the value of carotid，radial and podalic artery intima thickness（CIT，RIT，PIT）combined with monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio（MHR）in predicting the severity of coronary artery stenosis in patients with premature coronary artery disease（PCAD）.Methods:A total of 80 patients with PCAD who received treatment in Henan Provincial People's Hospital from October 2023 to May 2024 were prospectively recruited，and they were divided into high group（≥41 score，40 cases）and low group（＜41 score，40 cases）according to the median dichotomy of Gensini score. Thirty-four gender，age and body mass index（BMI）-matched healthy volunteers were selected as the control group. The CIT，RIT，PIT，media and intima media thickness of carotid，radial artery and podalic artery（CMT，RMT，PMT，CIMT，RIMT，PIMT）were measured using 24 MHz ultra-high frequency ultrasound probe，and the ratio of intima to media thickness（CIT/CMT，RIT/RMT，PIT/PMT）was calculated. The differences of general clinical data，laboratory indexes and ultrasonic parameters among the three groups were compared. Risk factors affecting the severity of coronary stenosis in PCAD patients were explored by binary logistic regression. Subject working characteristic curves were plotted，area under the curve（AUC）was calculated，and the values of each ultrasound parameter and MHR in the independent and combined diagnosis of the severity of coronary artery stenosis in PCAD patients were evaluated.Results:①There were no statistically significant differences in age，gender，BMI，total cholesterol，CMT，RMT and PMT among the three groups（all P＞0.05）. There were no statistically significant differences in the comparison of smoking，hypertension，diabetes mellitus，systolic blood pressure，diastolic blood pressure，low-density lipoprotein cholesterol，total cholesterol，and triglycerides between the two subgroups of the PCAD（all P>0.05）. ②CIT，CIMT，CIT/CMT，RIT，RIMT，RIT/RMT，PIT，PIMT，PIT/PMT were thickened in the high group compared with the low group，and MHR was higher than in the low group（all P<0.05），the differences in the above parameters remained statistically significant when comparing the PCAD group with the control group（all P<0.05）. ③The AUC values for MHR，CIT，RIT and PIT alone to predict the severity of coronary stenosis in patients with PCAD were 0.781，0.767，0.780 and 0.722，respectively. The combined diagnostic efficiency of the four parameters was better than the independent diagnostic efficiency（AUC = 0.885）. Conclusions:CIT，RIT and PIT are thicker in PCAD patients with high Gensini score and the combination of artery intima thickness and MHR has good efficacy in predicting the severity of coronary artery stenosis in PCAD patients.

Objective To summarize the changing prevalence of carbapenem resistance in Enterobacterales based on the data of CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program from 2015 to 2021 for improving antimicrobial treatment in clinical practice.Methods Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed using a commercial automated susceptibility testing system according to the unified CHINET protocol.The results were interpreted according to the breakpoints of the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)M100 31st ed in 2021.Results Over the seven-year period(2015-2021),the overall prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales(CRE)was 9.43％(62 342/661 235).The prevalence of CRE strains in Klebsiella pneumoniae,Citrobacter freundii,and Enterobacter cloacae was 22.38％,9.73％,and 8.47％,respectively.The prevalence of CRE strains in Escherichia coli was 1.99％.A few CRE strains were also identified in Salmonella and Shigella.The CRE strains were mainly isolated from respiratory specimens(44.23±2.80)％,followed by blood(20.88±3.40)％and urine(18.40±3.45)％.Intensive care units(ICUs)were the major source of the CRE strains(27.43±5.20)％.CRE strains were resistant to all the β-lactam antibiotics tested and most non-β-lactam antimicrobial agents.The CRE strains were relatively susceptible to tigecycline and polymyxins with low resistance rates.Conclusions The prevalence of CRE strains was increasing from 2015 to 2021.CRE strains were highly resistant to most of the antibacterial drugs used in clinical practice.Clinicians should prescribe antimicrobial agents rationally.Hospitals should strengthen antibiotic stewardship in key clinical settings such as ICUs,and take effective infection control measures to curb CRE outbreak and epidemic in hospitals.