1.Incidence Trend of Brain and Other Central Nervous System Tumors in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021
Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Yuanyou XU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Jian ZHU
China Cancer 2025;34(6):471-476
[Purpose]To analyze the incidence trend and age,period,cohort effects of brain and other central nervous system tumors(brain tumor)in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021.[Methods]The incidence data of brain tumor from 1972 to 2021 were collected from the Qidong cancer registry database.The crude incidence rate(CR),age-standardized rate by Chi-nese standard population(ASRC),age-standardized rate by world standard population(ASRW)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated.The age-period-cohort(APC)model was used to analyze the age,period,and cohort effects of brain tumor incidence in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021.[Results]A total of 2 801 cases of brain tumor occurred in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021,including 1 475 male cases and 1 326 female cases.From 1972-1976 to 2017-2021,the CR increased from 1.81/10 5 to 9.28/10 5,the ASRC increased from 2.07/10 5 to 4.96/10 5,and ASRW increased from 2.00/105 to 4.98/105.From 1972 to 2021 the AAPC of CR,ASRC and ASRW were 3.97%(3.53%for male and 4.37%for female),2.02%(1.66%for male and 2.24%for female)and 2.06%(1.63%for male and 2.24%for female)(all P<0.001).The Wald's Chi-square test of the APC model showed that there were significant differences in the trends of age,period and birth cohort effect of brain tumor risk(all P<0.05).The age effect showed that the incidence of brain tumor increased with age,starting from the age group of 45~49 years old and reaching a peak of 25.84/10 5 in age group of 75~79 years old(95%CI:21.17/10 5~31.53/10 5).The period ef-fect showed that the risk of recent period was higher than that in the early period using 1992-1996 period as the reference,reaching the highest in 2012-2016(RR=1.64,95%CI:1.38~1.95).The birth cohort effect showed that the highest risk was in 2017-2021 births cohort(RR=11.17,95%CI:4.26~29.26)using 1952-1956 birth cohort as the reference.[Conclusion]The incidence of brain tumor in Qidong City has been rising;and age,period and cohort are the main influencing factors,suggesting that the middle-aged and elderly population should be the focus of brain tumor prevention and control.
2.Analysis and prediction of the 50-year incidence trend of malignant tumors in the elderly of Qidong City
Mingbo JIANG ; Jian ZHU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Lulu DING ; Yuanyou XU ; Jianguo CHEN ; Jian MAO
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(4):531-537
Objective:To analyze the incidence trends of malignant tumors in the elderly population aged over 60 years in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021, as well as to predict the incidence rate for the next decade.Methods:Data were obtained from the Qidong Cancer Registry and Reporting System.The crude incidence rate(CR), age-standardized incidence rate using the Chinese standard population(ASRC), and age-standardized incidence rate based on Segi's world standard population(ASRW)were calculated.Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to determine the average annual percentage change(AAPC)in incidence.Additionally, the ARIMA model implemented in SAS 9.2 software was utilized for time series analysis to forecast incidence trends over the forthcoming 10 years.Results:In Qidong City, a total of 87, 401 malignant tumors were reported in the elderly population.The ASRW increased from 736.85 per 100, 000 in the years 1972-1976 to 1 056.33 per 100, 000 in 2017-2021.Specifically, the ASRW for males rose from 968.56 per 100, 000 to 1 332.75 per 100, 000, while the ASRW for females increased from 550.62 per 100, 000 to 825.44 per 100, 000, with AAPC values of 1.16%, 0.94%, and 1.44% over 50 years(all P<0.001).The incidence trend exhibited an upward trajectory with age, peaking in the 75-79 age group.The AAPC values for the incidence rates in the age groups of 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and those aged over 80 were 0.64%, 0.93%, 0.92%, 2.02%, and 2.44%, respectively(all P<0.001).Among the various cancers, lung cancer, which ranked first, saw an increase in ASRW from 100.87 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 248.84 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.In contrast, gastric cancer, ranked second, decreased from 216.23 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 103.54 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Liver cancer, ranked third, fluctuated from 113.47 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 125.13 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Colorectal cancer, ranked fourth, increased from 40.06 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 123.47 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021, while esophageal cancer, ranked fifth, decreased from 63.42 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 28.65 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.The AAPC values over 50 years for these cancers were 2.25%, -1.89%, 0.36%, 3.13%, and -1.86%, respectively(all P<0.05).Projections indicate that by 2031, the incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong will reach 1 253.84 per 100, 000, with estimates of 1 566.67 per 100, 000 for males and 983.14 per 100, 000 for females. Conclusions:The incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong City is increasing.Common types of cancer in this demographic include lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, colorectal cancer, and esophageal cancer.Notably, lung cancer, liver cancer, and colorectal cancer are on the rise and should be prioritized in cancer prevention and control efforts.
3.Trend of Incidence Rates of Gallbladder Cancer in Qi-dong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021
Yuanyou XU ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Lulu DING ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yongfeng YAN ; Jianguo CHEN ; Jian ZHU
China Cancer 2025;34(4):290-296
[Purpose]To analyze the trend of incidence rates of gallbladder cancer in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021.[Methods]The incidence data of gallbladder cancer from 1972 to 2021 were collected from the Qidong Tumour Registry database,the crude incidence rate(CR),age-standardized rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC),age-standardized rate by world standard population(ASRW)of gallbladder cancer were calculated.Trend analysis was per-formed using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to calculate the average annual percentage change(AAPC)of gallbladder cancer incidence rates,and time trend analysis was performed on the overall inci-dence rate by sex and age.[Results]A total of 1 369 cases of gallbladder cancer occurred in Qi-dong City from 1972 to 2021,accounting for 0.93%of all malignant tumors.The overall CR of gallbladder cancer was 2.44/105 in 50 years,ASRC was 0.88/105 and ASRW was 1.45/105.The truncated rate of 35~64 years old was 1.98/105,the cumulative incidence of gallbladder cancer at 0~74 years old was 0.16%,and the risk of cumulative incidence of gallbladder cancer was 0.16%.CR was slightly higher in women than that in men,but after standardization it was slightly higher in men than that in women.The sex ratio of CR,ASRC and ASRW was 0.89,1.07 and 1.06,respectively.With the increase of age,the incidence of gallbladder cancer was also increased.The age of onset was slightly increased in last 50 years.In last 50 years,there was an upward trend in the overall incidence of gallbladder cancer,the incidence both for men and women,and the inci-dence of each age group.[Conclusion]The incidence of gallbladder cancer in Qidong City has increased considerably during the past 50 years,and continuing attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of gallbladder cancer especially for the key populations.
4.Analysis of Survival Rate of Breast Cancer from 1972 to 2019 and Prediction for Next 10 Years in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province
Junlei WANG ; Jun WANG ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Yuanyou XU ; Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Jianguo CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Qichao NI
China Cancer 2025;34(4):304-310
[Purpose]To analyze the survival rate of breast cancer in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2019 and to predict the trend in the next 10 years.[Methods]The data of breast cancer collected from Qidong Cancer Registry from 1972 to 2019 were extracted.Observed survival rate(OSR),relative survival rate(RSR),age-adjusted relative survival(ARS)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)of breast cancer were calculated.ARIMA model was used to predict the trend of breast cancer survival rate.[Results]The 5-year RSR increased from 57.30%during 1972-1977 to 89.01%during 2014-2019,and the uptrend of RSR in the 8 periods was statistically significant(P<0.001).The 5-year ARS increased from 48.12%during 1972-1977 to 85.64%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.85%(t=10.113,P<0.001).The 5-year RSR during 1972-2019 for males was 85.22%,and for females was 74.51%.For females,the 5-year RSR in-creased from 56.44%during 1972-1977 to 88.93%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.29%(t=13.087,P<0.001),and the 5-year ARS increased from 46.14%during 1972-1977 to 85.23%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.90%(t=10.369,P<0.001).The 5-year RSR in the age groups of 25~34,35~44,45~54,55~64,65~74,and over 75 years old were 66.91%,74.69%,76.97%,75.52%,73.44%and 66.40%,respectively;the corresponding AAPCs of 5-RSR in above age groups were 1.02%(t=3.816,P=0.009),1.03%(t=4.936,P=0.003),1.23%(t=5.826,P=0.001),1.86%(t=5.997,P=0.001),2.13%(t=10.245,P<0.001),and 1.44%(t=6.405,P=0.001),respectively.ARIMA modeling of survival trend prediction showed that 5-RSR and 5-ARS for breast cancer will be ascended to 98.76%and 98.33%by 2028,respectively.[Conclusion]The overall survival rate of registered breast cancer cases in Qidong City has been greatly improved and will be further improved in the future,more attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of breast cancer.
5.Overview of host-directed antiviral targets for future research and drug development.
Xiaoxia GU ; Mengzhu ZHENG ; Ya GAO ; Shuang LIN ; Xiaotian ZHANG ; Chunmei CHEN ; Hucheng ZHU ; Weiguang SUN ; Yonghui ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(4):1723-1751
Viruses constitute a significant group of pathogens that have caused numerous fatalities and substantial economic losses in recent years, particularly with the emergence of coronaviruses. While the impact of SARS-CoV-2 appears to be diminishing in daily life, only a limited number of drugs have received approval or emergency use authorization for its treatment. Given the high mutation rate of viral genomes, host-directed agents (HDAs) have emerged as a preferred choice due to their broad applicability and lasting effectiveness. In contrast to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), HDAs offer several advantages, including broad-spectrum antiviral activities, potential efficacy against future emerging viruses, and a lower likelihood of inducing drug resistance. In our review article, we have synthesized known host-directed antiviral targets that span diverse cellular pathways and mechanisms, shedding light on the intricate interplay between host cells and viruses. Additionally, we have provided a brief overview of the development of HDAs based on these targets. We aim for this comprehensive analysis to offer valuable perspectives and insights that can guide future antiviral research and drug development efforts.
6.Diphenylemestrins A-E: diketopiperazine-diphenyl ether hybrids from Aspergillus nidulans.
Aimin FU ; Qin LI ; Yang XIAO ; Jiaxin DONG ; Yuanyang PENG ; Yu CHEN ; Qingyi TONG ; Chunmei CHEN ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Hucheng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(6):727-732
A chemical investigation of secondary metabolites (SMs) from Aspergillus nidulans resulted in the identification of five novel dioxopiperazine (DKP)-diphenyl ether hybrids, designated as diphenylemestrins A-E (1-5). These compounds 1-5 represent the first known dimers combining DKP and diphenyl ether structures, with compound 4 featuring an uncommon dibenzofuran as the diphenyl ether component. The structural elucidation and determination of absolute stereochemistry were accomplished through spectroscopic analysis and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations. Notably, diphenylemestrin C (3) exhibited moderate cytostatic activity against NB4 cells, with a half maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) value of 21.99 μmol·L-1, and induced apoptosis at higher concentrations.
Aspergillus nidulans/metabolism*
;
Diketopiperazines/pharmacology*
;
Molecular Structure
;
Phenyl Ethers/pharmacology*
;
Humans
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
7.(±)-Talapyrones A-F: six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers with unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems from Talaromycesadpressus.
Meijia ZHENG ; Xinyi ZHAO ; Chenxi ZHOU ; Hong LIAO ; Qin LI ; Yuling LU ; Bingbing DAI ; Weiguang SUN ; Ying YE ; Chunmei CHEN ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Hucheng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(8):932-937
(±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6), six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers featuring unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems, were isolated from the fungus Talaromyces adpressus. Their structures were determined by spectroscopic analysis and HR-ESI-MS data, and their absolute configurations were elucidated using a modified Mosher's method and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations. (±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6) possess a 6/6/6 tricyclic skeleton, presumably formed through a Michael addition reaction between one molecule of α-pyrone derivative and one molecule of C8 poly-β-keto chain. In addition, compounds 2/3 and 4/5 are two pairs of C-18 epimers, respectively. Putative biosynthetic pathways of 1-6 were discussed.
Polyketides/isolation & purification*
;
Talaromyces/chemistry*
;
Stereoisomerism
;
Molecular Structure
;
Circular Dichroism
;
Pyrones/chemistry*
8.Trend of Incidence Rates of Gallbladder Cancer in Qi-dong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021
Yuanyou XU ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Lulu DING ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yongfeng YAN ; Jianguo CHEN ; Jian ZHU
China Cancer 2025;34(4):290-296
[Purpose]To analyze the trend of incidence rates of gallbladder cancer in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021.[Methods]The incidence data of gallbladder cancer from 1972 to 2021 were collected from the Qidong Tumour Registry database,the crude incidence rate(CR),age-standardized rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC),age-standardized rate by world standard population(ASRW)of gallbladder cancer were calculated.Trend analysis was per-formed using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to calculate the average annual percentage change(AAPC)of gallbladder cancer incidence rates,and time trend analysis was performed on the overall inci-dence rate by sex and age.[Results]A total of 1 369 cases of gallbladder cancer occurred in Qi-dong City from 1972 to 2021,accounting for 0.93%of all malignant tumors.The overall CR of gallbladder cancer was 2.44/105 in 50 years,ASRC was 0.88/105 and ASRW was 1.45/105.The truncated rate of 35~64 years old was 1.98/105,the cumulative incidence of gallbladder cancer at 0~74 years old was 0.16%,and the risk of cumulative incidence of gallbladder cancer was 0.16%.CR was slightly higher in women than that in men,but after standardization it was slightly higher in men than that in women.The sex ratio of CR,ASRC and ASRW was 0.89,1.07 and 1.06,respectively.With the increase of age,the incidence of gallbladder cancer was also increased.The age of onset was slightly increased in last 50 years.In last 50 years,there was an upward trend in the overall incidence of gallbladder cancer,the incidence both for men and women,and the inci-dence of each age group.[Conclusion]The incidence of gallbladder cancer in Qidong City has increased considerably during the past 50 years,and continuing attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of gallbladder cancer especially for the key populations.
9.Analysis of Survival Rate of Breast Cancer from 1972 to 2019 and Prediction for Next 10 Years in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province
Junlei WANG ; Jun WANG ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Yuanyou XU ; Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Jianguo CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Qichao NI
China Cancer 2025;34(4):304-310
[Purpose]To analyze the survival rate of breast cancer in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2019 and to predict the trend in the next 10 years.[Methods]The data of breast cancer collected from Qidong Cancer Registry from 1972 to 2019 were extracted.Observed survival rate(OSR),relative survival rate(RSR),age-adjusted relative survival(ARS)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)of breast cancer were calculated.ARIMA model was used to predict the trend of breast cancer survival rate.[Results]The 5-year RSR increased from 57.30%during 1972-1977 to 89.01%during 2014-2019,and the uptrend of RSR in the 8 periods was statistically significant(P<0.001).The 5-year ARS increased from 48.12%during 1972-1977 to 85.64%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.85%(t=10.113,P<0.001).The 5-year RSR during 1972-2019 for males was 85.22%,and for females was 74.51%.For females,the 5-year RSR in-creased from 56.44%during 1972-1977 to 88.93%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.29%(t=13.087,P<0.001),and the 5-year ARS increased from 46.14%during 1972-1977 to 85.23%during 2014-2019 with an AAPC of 1.90%(t=10.369,P<0.001).The 5-year RSR in the age groups of 25~34,35~44,45~54,55~64,65~74,and over 75 years old were 66.91%,74.69%,76.97%,75.52%,73.44%and 66.40%,respectively;the corresponding AAPCs of 5-RSR in above age groups were 1.02%(t=3.816,P=0.009),1.03%(t=4.936,P=0.003),1.23%(t=5.826,P=0.001),1.86%(t=5.997,P=0.001),2.13%(t=10.245,P<0.001),and 1.44%(t=6.405,P=0.001),respectively.ARIMA modeling of survival trend prediction showed that 5-RSR and 5-ARS for breast cancer will be ascended to 98.76%and 98.33%by 2028,respectively.[Conclusion]The overall survival rate of registered breast cancer cases in Qidong City has been greatly improved and will be further improved in the future,more attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of breast cancer.
10.Epidemic characteristics of ovarian cancer incidence from 1972 to 2021 in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province
Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Yuanyou XU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jian FAN
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(8):696-702
Objective:To analyze the trend of ovarian cancer incidence in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021 and evaluate the age, period, and cohort effect.Methods:The ovarian cancer incidence data from 1972 to 2021 were extracted from the Qidong Cancer Registry Database, the crude incidence rate (CR), age standardized rate by Chinese population (ASR-C), age standardized rate by world population (ASR-W), and average annual percent change (AAPC) were calculated. The age-period-cohort model was used to analyze the age, period, and birth cohort effects of the ovarian cancer incidence in Qidong from 1972 to 2021.Results:From 1972 to 2021, a total of 1 007 cases of ovarian cancer occurred in Qidong. The AAPC values of CR, ASR-C, and ASR-W were 7.02% , 5.17%, and 5.12% , respectively (all P<0.001). The time trends showed that, the AAPC values of the age groups of 0-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and over 75 years old were 4.10%, 4.74%, 6.02%, 4.86%, 4.23%, and 5.18%, respectively (all P<0.05). The age effect showed that the incidence rate of ovarian cancer increased obviously from the 45-49 year-old group, reaching a peak of 20.67/100 000 in the 75-79 year-old group. Compared with the 1992-1996 group, the period of 2002-2021 had significant effects on the incidence rise of ovarian cancer (all P<0.05), and the incidence rate ratio ( RR) increased with the period: in 2017-2021 the RR was 3.86 (95% CI: 2.72-5.47). Using births from 1952 to 1956 as the reference group, the RR increased slowly from 0.12 (95% CI: 0.02-0.91) in 1892-1896, and peaked in 2007-2011 with an RR of 18.05 (95% CI: 3.51-92.87). The birth cohorts in 1967-2011 had significant effects on the incidence rise of ovarian cancer (all P<0.05). The Waldχ 2 test of the age-period-cohort model showed that there were significant differences in the age, period, and birth cohort effects (all P<0.001). Conclusions:The incidence of ovarian cancer in Qidong was on the rise. Age, period, and cohort were the main factors affecting the incidence of ovarian cancer. The middle-aged and elderly women were the focus of ovarian cancer prevention and control.

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