1.Risk Identification Model of Coronary Artery Stenosis Constructed Based on Random Forest
Yongfeng LV ; Yujing WANG ; Leyi ZHANG ; Yixin LI ; Na YUAN ; Jing TIAN
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(1):138-146
ObjectiveTo establish a risk recognition model for coronary artery stenosis by using a machine learning method and to identify the key causative factors. MethodsPatients aged ≥18 years,diagnosed with coronary heart disease through coronary angiography from January 2013 to May 2020 in two prominent hospitals in Shanxi Province, were continuously enrolled. Logistic regression,back propagation neural network (BPNN), and random forest(RF)algorithms were used to construct models for detecting the causative factors of coronary artery stenosis. Sensitivity (TPR), specificity (TNR), accuracy (ACC), positive predictive value (PV+), negative predictive value (PV-), area under subject operating characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration curve were used to compare the discrimination and calibration performance of the models. The best model was then employed to predict the main risk variables associated with coronary stenosis. ResultsThe RF model exhibited superior comprehensive performance compared to logistic regression and BPNN models. The TPR values for logistic regression,BPNN,and RF models were 75.76%, 74.30%, and 93.70%, while ACC values were 74.05%, 72.30%, and 79.49%, respectively. The AUC values were:logistic regression 0.739 9; BPNN 0.723 1; RF 0.752 2. Manifestations such as chest pains,abnormal ST segments on ECG,ventricular premature beats with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, regional wall motion abnormalities(RWMA) by color echocardiography, aortic regurgitation(AR), pulmonary insufficiency (PI), family history of cardiovascular diseases,and body mass index(BMI)were identified as top ten important variables affecting coronary stenosis according to the RF model. ConclusionsRandom forest model shows the best comprehensive performance in identification and accurate assessment of coronary artery stenosis. The prediction of risk factors affecting coronary artery stenosis can provide a scientific basis for clinical intervention and help to formulate further diagnosis and treatment strategies so as to delay the disease progression.
2.Early effectiveness of posterior 180-degree decompression via unilateral biportal endoscopy in treatment of lumbar spinal stenosis combined with MSU-1 lumbar disc herniation.
Feiyu ZHAO ; Xiaoting QIU ; Jie YUAN ; Ruxing LIU ; Xinyuan WEI ; Wei ZHAO ; Yongfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(6):735-740
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate early effectiveness of posterior 180-degree decompression via unilateral biportal endoscopy (UBE) in the treatment of lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) combined with Michigan State University (MSU)-1 lumbar disc herniation (LDH).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 33 patients with LSS combined with MSU-1 LDH, who met selection criteria and were treated between March 2022 and January 2024. All patients underwent UBE-assisted 180-degree spinal canal decompression. The cohort comprised 17 males and 16 females, aged 37-82 years (mean, 67.1 years). Preoperative presentations included bilateral lower limbs intermittent claudication and radiating pain, with disease duration ranging from 5 to 13 months (mean, 8.5 months). Affected segments included L 3, 4 in 4 cases, L 4, 5 in 28 cases, and L 5, S 1 in 1 case. LSS was rated as Schizas grade A in 4 cases, grade B in 5 cases, grade C in 13 cases, and grade D in 11 cases. LDH was categorized as MSU-1A in 24 cases, MSU-1B in 2 cases, and MSU-1AB in 7 cases. Intraoperative parameters (operation time, blood loss) and postoperative hospitalization length were recorded. The visual analogue scale (VAS) score and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) were used to assess the lower limb pain and functional outcomes after operation. Clinical efficacy was evaluated at last follow-up via modified MacNab criteria. Quantitative radiological assessments included dural sac cross-sectional area (DSCA) measurements and spinal stenosis grading on lumbar MRI. Morphological classification of lumbar canal stenosis was determined according to the Schizas grading, categorized into four grades.
RESULTS:
The operation time was 60.4-90.8 minutes (mean, 80.3 minutes) and intraoperative blood loss was 13-47 mL (mean, 29.9 mL). The postoperative hospitalization length was 3-5 days (mean, 3.8 days). All patients were followed up 12-16 months (mean, 13.8 months). The VAS score and ODI improved at immediate and 3, 6, and 12 months after operation compared to before operation, and the differences between different time points were significant ( P<0.05). At last follow-up, the clinical efficacy assessed by the modified MacNab criteria were graded as excellent in 23 cases, good in 9 cases, and poor in 1 case, with an excellent and good rate of 96.97%. Postoperative lumbar MRI revealed the significant decompression of the dural sac in 32 cases, with 1 case showing inadequate dural expansion. DSCA measurements confirmed progressive enlargement and stenosis reduction over time. The differences were significant ( P<0.05) before operation, immediately after operation, and at 6 months after operation. At 6 months after operation, Schizas grading of spinal stenosis improved to grade A in 27 cases and grade B in 6 cases.
CONCLUSION
Posterior 180-degree decompression via UBE is a safe and feasible strategy for treating LSS combined with MSU-1 LDH, achieving effective neural decompression while preserving intervertebral disc integrity.
Humans
;
Spinal Stenosis/diagnostic imaging*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Lumbar Vertebrae/surgery*
;
Middle Aged
;
Intervertebral Disc Displacement/complications*
;
Decompression, Surgical/methods*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Endoscopy/methods*
;
Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Treatment Outcome
3.Expression of WNT10A in papillary thyroid carcinoma and its effect on cell proliferation, invasion, and metastasis.
Li YUAN ; Ping ZHOU ; Yongfeng ZHAO ; Jiale LI ; Yan ZHANG ; Wengang LIU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(3):402-415
OBJECTIVES:
Lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is closely associated with tumor recurrence and patient survival. However, current technologies have limited sensitivity in detecting occult cervical lymph node metastases. Identifying accurate molecular markers for predicting PTC metastasis holds significant clinical value. This study aims to analyze WNT10A expression in PTC and its clinical significance, and to explore the role of WNT10A gene knockdown in PTC cell proliferation, invasion, and metastasis.
METHODS:
The expression of WNT10A in thyroid carcinoma was analyzed using the Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis (GEPIA) and University of Alabama at Birminghara Cancer data analysis Portal (UALCAN) databases. Real-time RT-PCR was used to measure WNT10A mRNA levels in tumor and adjacent normal tissues from 32 PTC patients. Immunohistochemistry was conducted on 158 PTC specimens to assess WNT10A protein expression and its correlation with clinicopathological features. In vitro experiments were performed using K1 and TPC-1 cell lines. Cell proliferation was assessed using the Celigo system and methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium (MTT) assays; apoptosis was measured via flow cytometry; invasion and metastasis were evaluated using scratch and Transwell assays. A xenograft model was established in nude mice to observe tumor growth, and tumor weight and volume were compared between cell lines. Differentially expressed genes regulated by WNT10A were identified via mRNA sequencing, followed by Gene Ontology (GO) and ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA). Real-time PCR and Western blotting were used to validate the effects of WNT10A on key downstream mRNA and protein in the Tec kinase signaling pathway.
RESULTS:
WNT10A mRNA expression was significantly higher in thyroid cancer tissues compared to adjacent normal tissues according to GEPIA and UALCAN (both P<0.01). The real-time RT-PCR result showed that WNT10A mRNA expression in PTC tissues was high than that in adjacent tissues (P<0.01). Immunohistochemistry revealed significantly higher WNT10A protein expression in PTC tissues compared to adjacent tissues (P<0.01), and its expression correlated with multifocality, extrathyroidal invasion, and lymph node metastasis. WNT10A knockdown significantly inhibited proliferation, altered cell cycle distribution, and increased apoptosis in K1 and TPC-1 cells (all P<0.01). WNT10A silencing also reduced migration and invasion abilities in both cell lines. In vivo, WNT10A knockdown in TPC-1 cells suppressed tumor formation in nude mice. GO analysis and IPA suggested that the Tec kinase signaling pathway was a key downstream target of WNT10A. RT-PCR and Western blotting confirmed that WNT10A knockdown downregulated the expression of key genes (STAT3, MAPK8, TNFRSF21, and AKT2) in this pathway.
CONCLUSIONS
WNT10A is highly expressed in PTC and is associated with tumor proliferation, invasion, and metastasis. Its tumor-promoting effects may be mediated through suppression of the Tec kinase signaling pathway.
Humans
;
Cell Proliferation
;
Thyroid Cancer, Papillary/pathology*
;
Thyroid Neoplasms/metabolism*
;
Animals
;
Wnt Proteins/metabolism*
;
Neoplasm Invasiveness
;
Mice
;
Cell Line, Tumor
;
Female
;
Male
;
Mice, Nude
;
Apoptosis
;
Lymphatic Metastasis
;
Middle Aged
;
Cell Movement
;
Adult
4.Effects and mechanism of Yiqi huoxue decoction on lumbar disc herniation in rats
Xue BAI ; Xiaoxian SUN ; Yang GUO ; Yong MA ; Mengmin LIU ; Hong JIANG ; Shun LIN ; Rui CAO ; Yongfeng YUAN ; Jintao LIU
China Pharmacy 2024;35(10):1186-1192
OBJECTIVE To investigate the effects and mechanism of Yiqi huoxue decoction (YQHX) on lumbar disc herniation in rats. METHODS Rats were randomly divided into sham operation group, model group, NF-κB inhibitor group (QNZ group, 1 mg/kg), YQHX group (9.1 g/kg) and combination group (YQHX+QNZ group, the same dose as each single drug group), with 10 rats in each group. Except for sham operation group, lumbar disc herniation model of rats was induced in other groups; administration groups were given QNZ intraperitoneally or/and YQHX intragastrically, once a day, for 8 consecutive weeks. The severity of intervertebral disc herniation was evaluated in each group; the pathological changes of intervertebral discs and the changes of autophagy of nucleus pulposus cells were all observed; the level of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in serum, and the ratios of Bcl-2/adenovirus E1B interacting protein 3 (BNIP3) and Beclin-1 positive cells in intervertebral disctissues were detected; the phosphorylation of nuclear factor-κB (NF-κB) p65, the expressions of tumor necrosis factor receptor- associated factor-2 (TRAF-2), TRAF-3, BNIP3 and LC3B protein, and mRNA expressions of NF-κB p65, LC3B, p62,BNIP3 and Beclin-1 were determined. RESULTS Compared with model group, Pfirrmann grading score decreased significantly,the pathological injury of intervertebral disc tissue was relieved in YQHX group; the number of autophagosomes in nucleus pulposus cells increased; serum level of TNF-α and mRNA expression of p62 in intervertebral disc tissue decreased significantly; the ratios of BNIP3 and Beclin-1 positive cells, the phosphorylation of NF-κB p65, the expressions of TRAF-2, TRAF-3, BNIP3 and LC3B protein as well as the mRNA expressions of NF- κB p65, LC3B, BNIP3 and Beclin-1 decreased significantly in intervertebral disc tissues (P<0.05). The changes of above indexes in YQHX group were reversed partly in YQHX+QNZ group. CONCLUSIONS YQHX promotes the elevation of autophagy level of intervertebral discs, slows down the inflammatory response and the progression of lumbar disc herniation by activating the NF-κB signaling pathway.
5.Precipitating and aggravating factors in patients with fibromyalgia syndrome: a cross-sectional study
Yang LI ; Yuan JIA ; Yuya XIAO ; Hui WANG ; Yayun ZHAO ; Yongfeng ZHANG ; Juan JIAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2024;28(3):189-194
Objective:To investigate the precipitating and aggravating factors in patients with fibromyalgia (FMS) compared to patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).Methods:This study was conducted from January 2015 to November 2021, using a cross-sectional survey research method, based on references to develop a patient-reported "onset and exacerbation triggers questionnaire", and surveyed patients with FMS and RA at the same time, and counted the types and proportions of onset and exacerbation triggers in the two groups of patients and used the chi-square test to make comparisons between the groups.Results:A total of 415 patients with FMS and 200 patients with RA participated the survey. 146 patients with FMS (35.2%) and 38 patients with RA (19.0%) reported morbidity triggers. Experiencing physical injury (71, 17.1%), wind-cold/cold-dampness (30 patients, 7.2%), mental stress (26, 6.2%), and exercise fatigue (10 patients, 2.4%) were the common morbidity triggers for FMS. More FMS patients reported to have experienced physical injuries and mental stress before the onset of the disease compared to RA patients [8.2%(17/200), χ2=5.41, P=0.020; 1.5%(3/200), χ2=6.82, P=0.009]. Exacerbation triggers were reported by 319 patients with FMS (76.9%) and 137 patients with RA (68.5%), in the order of weather changes (219 patients, 52.7%), physical labor (192 patients, 46.2%), mood swings (147 patients, 35.4%), sleep deprivation (145 patients, 34.9%), and mental stress (130 patients, 31.3%). The proportion of FMS patients with symptom exacerbation due to physical labor [46.2%(192/415)], mood swings[35.4%(147/415)], sleep deprivation[34.9%(145/415)], mental stress[31.3%(130/415)], and infection [9.3%(39/415)] was significantly higher than that of RA patients [35.0%(70/200), χ2=7.00, P=0.008; 19.5%(39/200), χ2=16.22, P<0.001; 13.5%(27/200), χ2=30.79, P<0.001; 17.5%(35/200), χ2=13.14, P<0.001; 3.0%(6/200), χ2=8.15, P=0.004). Conclusion:More than a third of FMS patients reported precipitating factors, and nearly four fifths FMS patients reported at least one aggravating trigger. FMS patients are likely to be more sensitive to environmental changes and perceived stress than RA patients.
6.Establishment of SYBR Green Ⅰ-based quantitative PCR targeting pseudorabies virus UL35 gene
Xinyu ZHANG ; Hongxia WU ; Yongfeng LI ; Yuan SUN ; Qiang FU ; HuaJi QIU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(11):2334-2340
Quantitative analysis of UL35 and gB genes at different time points after PRV infection showed that there were significant differences between the two at 2.5,5.0 and 20.0 h after infec-tion,and the expression of UL35 gene could be observed in the early stage of PRV infection.To de-termine whether the UL 35 gene can be used as a target for the diagnosis of PRV infection,a spe-cific primer pair was designed and synthesized according to the conserved sequence of the UL35 gene of different PRV strains,and used to amplify a fragment of 54 bp in length.After optimizing the reaction conditions and system,the standard curve for the established by SYBR Green Ⅰ real-time PCR detection method showed that it had good repeatability,specificity and a good linear rela-tionship to the template concentration.No amplifications for porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus(PRRSV),classical swine fever virus(CSFV),and African swine fever virus(AS-FV)were detected.Compared with the existing similar methods,the established method showed no difference in sensitivity.The coefficient of variation of inter-and intra-group repeatability for the method was less than 2%.Detection of the samples in mice challenged with PRV revealed a certain amount of viral load in tissue.The results showed that UL35 gene can be used as a target for the diagnosis of PRV infection.
7.Construction and practice of intelligent management mode for hospital clinical research based on collaborative governance
Bingwei WANG ; Liang MA ; Ruoyan HAN ; Changpeng LIU ; Yuan WANG ; Zhenhui LIU ; Yongfeng CHEN ; Mingming ZHAO ; Yan ZHENG ; Yanyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Hospital Administration 2024;40(9):666-671
Promoting the transformation and development of public hospitals into clinical research-oriented hospitals is the necessary way for China to deepen the reform of medicine and health system. In August 2019, Henan Cancer Hospital deeply combined the key elements of clinical research management with the concept of multidisciplinary collaborative governance, created an offline operating end of collaborative governance (including the front collaborative recruitment system, the middle collaborative quality management system, and the terminal collaborative transformation system), built a supporting internet plus intelligent auxiliary end (including the intelligent recruitment manager, the intelligent quality manager and the intelligent transformation manager), and built a clinical research intelligent management mode covering the trinity of subject recruitment, clinical research quality control, and innovation achievements transformation. The hospital focused on management elements such as " focusing on quality, improving efficiency, and increasing motivation" , and drove the front, middle, and terminal ends of the model to work together, to ensure the quality and efficiency of clinical research and achieve a comprehensive improvement in the hospital′s clinical research level. As of December 2023, the hospital had undertaken over 2 000 clinical research projects of various types, with a cumulative amount of clinical research conversion contracts exceeding 53 million yuan. This practice had achieved good results and could provided references for other tertiary public hospitals to promote high-quality development of clinical research.
8.Diagnostic value of a combined serology-based model for minimal hepatic encephalopathy in patients with compensated cirrhosis
Shanghao LIU ; Hongmei ZU ; Yan HUANG ; Xiaoqing GUO ; Huiling XIANG ; Tong DANG ; Xiaoyan LI ; Zhaolan YAN ; Yajing LI ; Fei LIU ; Jia SUN ; Ruixin SONG ; Junqing YAN ; Qing YE ; Jing WANG ; Xianmei MENG ; Haiying WANG ; Zhenyu JIANG ; Lei HUANG ; Fanping MENG ; Guo ZHANG ; Wenjuan WANG ; Shaoqi YANG ; Shengjuan HU ; Jigang RUAN ; Chuang LEI ; Qinghai WANG ; Hongling TIAN ; Qi ZHENG ; Yiling LI ; Ningning WANG ; Huipeng CUI ; Yanmeng WANG ; Zhangshu QU ; Min YUAN ; Yijun LIU ; Ying CHEN ; Yuxiang XIA ; Yayuan LIU ; Ying LIU ; Suxuan QU ; Hong TAO ; Ruichun SHI ; Xiaoting YANG ; Dan JIN ; Dan SU ; Yongfeng YANG ; Wei YE ; Na LIU ; Rongyu TANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Qin LIU ; Gaoliang ZOU ; Ziyue LI ; Caiyan ZHAO ; Qian ZHAO ; Qingge ZHANG ; Huafang GAO ; Tao MENG ; Jie LI ; Weihua WU ; Jian WANG ; Chuanlong YANG ; Hui LYU ; Chuan LIU ; Fusheng WANG ; Junliang FU ; Xiaolong QI
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2023;46(1):52-61
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic accuracy of serological indicators and evaluate the diagnostic value of a new established combined serological model on identifying the minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) in patients with compensated cirrhosis.Methods:This prospective multicenter study enrolled 263 compensated cirrhotic patients from 23 hospitals in 15 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities of China between October 2021 and August 2022. Clinical data and laboratory test results were collected, and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was calculated. Ammonia level was corrected to the upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN) by the baseline blood ammonia measurements/upper limit of the normal reference value. MHE was diagnosed by combined abnormal number connection test-A and abnormal digit symbol test as suggested by Guidelines on the management of hepatic encephalopathy in cirrhosis. The patients were randomly divided (7∶3) into training set ( n=185) and validation set ( n=78) based on caret package of R language. Logistic regression was used to establish a combined model of MHE diagnosis. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve. The internal verification was carried out by the Bootstrap method ( n=200). AUC comparisons were achieved using the Delong test. Results:In the training set, prevalence of MHE was 37.8% (70/185). There were statistically significant differences in AMM-ULN, albumin, platelet, alkaline phosphatase, international normalized ratio, MELD score and education between non-MHE group and MHE group (all P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that AMM-ULN [odds ratio ( OR)=1.78, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.05-3.14, P=0.038] and MELD score ( OR=1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.20, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for MHE, and the AUC for predicting MHE were 0.663, 0.625, respectively. Compared with the use of blood AMM-ULN and MELD score alone, the AUC of the combined model of AMM-ULN, MELD score and education exhibited better predictive performance in determining the presence of MHE was 0.755, the specificity and sensitivity was 85.2% and 55.7%, respectively. Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve showed that the model had good calibration ( P=0.733). The AUC for internal validation of the combined model for diagnosing MHE was 0.752. In the validation set, the AUC of the combined model for diagnosing MHE was 0.794, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good calibration ( P=0.841). Conclusion:Use of the combined model including AMM-ULN, MELD score and education could improve the predictive efficiency of MHE among patients with compensated cirrhosis.
9.The current situation of the diagnosis of fibromyalgia syndrome
Yang LI ; Yuan JIA ; Yuya XIAO ; Hui WANG ; Yayun ZHAO ; Yongfeng ZHANG ; Juan JIAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2022;26(9):596-602
Objective:To investigate the currentstatus of the diagnosis of fibromyalgia syndrome (FMS), and analyze the related factors in order to improve the diagnostic level of the disease.Methods:A survey was carried out, A "FMS diagnosis table" was developed. The demographic data and past medical experience of patients were recorded. The rates of misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis were calculated. The specific misdiagnosed cases were recorded and analyzed. According to the previous diagnosis history, patients were divided into misdiagnosed group, missed diagnosis group and correct diagnosis group. The demographic characteristics, medical history and disease severity in the misdiagnosis group and missed diagnosis group were statistically analyzed, and compared with the correct diagnosis group. The reasons for missed diagnosis or misdiagnosis were explored.Results:A total of 277 patients were included in the survey. Only 19.1%(53 cases) of patients were correctly diagnosed, 22.7%(63 cases) of patients were misdiagnosed, 58.1% of patients were missed. The mean time from first symptom to disease diagnosis was (51.0±81.2) months. They were often misdiagnosed as osteoarthritis ( n=21, 33.3%), rheumatoid arthritis ( n=13, 20.6%), lumbar disease ( n=12, 19.0%), and anxiety and depression ( n=11, 17.4%). Patients' social and economic status such as age, income, educational level and the diagnosis level of pain related clinicians in medical institutions at all levels were factors that might influence misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis rate. In terms of demographic characteristics, the correctly diagnosed group had a lower average age of (44±13) years ( t=8.64/9.20, P<0.05), a higher proportion of employees, a higher monthly income ( χ2=7.10/6.87, P<0.05), and a higher education level ( χ2=7.12, P<0.05). In terms of visits, the rate of visits to other medical institutions (private hospitals) in the missed diagnosis group was higher, and the number of doctors visited was also lower. In terms of illness, the diffuse pain index (WPI) score and FMS symptom severity (SSS) score were lower in the missed diagnosis group. Conclusion:The current situation of the diagnosis of FMS in China is not optimistic, and the diagnosis should be differentiated from osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, cervical and lumbar diseases, and cardiac diseases. In order to reduce the misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis of this disease, it is necessary to strengthen the public education, improve the understanding of this disease in primary care doctors, and physicians in orthopedics, acupuncture and pain departments.
10.Incidence of unintended pregnancy within 2 years after delivery and its influencing factors in China
Caixia YANG ; Xuhong ZHAO ; Yuyan LI ; Yanfei ZHOU ; Lin'ai ZHANG ; Dong YUAN ; Wei XIA ; Jianmei WANG ; Jiandong SONG ; Wen LYU ; Yongfeng LUO ; Lifang JIANG ; Li JIANG ; Xiaochen HUANG ; Xiaoyu HU ; Xiaojing DONG ; Tongyin CHENG ; Yuanzhong ZHOU ; Yan ZHANG ; Yan CHE
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2021;56(9):616-621
Objective:To investigate the present situation of unintended pregnancy within two years postpartum and its influencing factors in China.Methods:Participants who delivered a live birth at 60 hospitals in 15 provinces in the eastern, central and western regions of China during July 2015 to June 2016 were interviewed by using structured questionnaire. Information on occurrence of unintended pregnancy within 2 years after delivery, postpartum contraceptive use, sexual resumption, breastfeeding, and women′s socio-demographic characteristics, and so on, were collected. Life-table analysis, cluster log-rank tests and a 2-level Cox regression model were used for data analysis.Results:A total of 18 045 postpartum women were investigated. The cumulative 1- and 2-year unintended pregnancy rates after delivery were 5.3% (95% CI: 4.5%-6.1%) and 13.1% (95% CI: 11.3%-14.8%), respectively. Cox regression model analysis showed that the risk of unintended pregnancy within 2 years postpartum were increased in younger women, ethnic minorities, women with abortion history, and those who had a vaginal delivery with short lactation time and late postpartum contraceptive initiation (all P<0.01). The risk of postpartum unintended pregnancy was not associated with geographic regions and hospitals where women gave a birth (all P>0.05). Conclusions:In China, the risk of unintended pregnancy within 2 years after delivery is relatively high. Service institutions and service providers should improve the quality of postpartum family planning services, promote the use of high effect contraceptive methods, and educate women to use a method at the time of their sexual resumption or even before.

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