1.Evaluation of the anticoagulant effect of nafamostat mesylate in continuous veno-venous hemofiltration with different dilution methods for uremic patients
Li SHEN ; Yao ZHANG ; Jun WANG ; Hong ZHU ; Yong QIN ; Yuewu TANG ; Ni DU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(3):350-355
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the anticoagulant efficacy and safety of nafamostat mesylate (NM) in the treatment of uremic patients at high risk of bleeding undergoing continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (CVVH) with different methods (pre- dilution and post-dilution). METHODS A total of 130 uremic patients at high risk of bleeding who underwent CVVH treatment in the nephrology department of Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital from July 2023 to September 2024 were selected. They were divided into pre-dilution group and post-dilution group according to the random number table method, with 65 cases in each group. Both groups of patients received CVVH treatment under NM anticoagulation. The pre-dilution group adopted the pre-dilution replacement method, while the post-dilution group adopted the post-dilution replacement method. The coagulation, pressure, and usage duration of the filter and dialysis circuit venous reservoirs were compared between the two groups. The changes in prothrombin time (PT), prothrombin time-international normalized ratio (PT-INR), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and fibrinogen (FIB) in the peripheral venous blood before the heparin pump and after the filter at 1, 4 and 7 h of CVVH treatment, as well as 20 min after the end of treatment, were compared between the two groups. The single-compartment urea clearance rate (spKt/V), β2-microglobulin (β2-MG) clearance rate and the incidence of adverse reactions were duni2007@foxmail.com compared between the two groups. RESULTS Both the pre-dilution and post-dilution groups had 60 patients who completed the study. The incidence of grade Ⅱ-Ⅲ coagulation of the filter and venous reservoirs, as well as the number of patients with transmembrane and venous pressure alarm intervention in the post- dilution group were significantly higher or more than those in the pre-dilution group (P<0.05), while usage time of the filter and the pipeline in the post-dilution group was significantly shorter than that in the pre-dilution group (P<0.05). The APTT values before the heparin pump as well as PT and APTT values after the filter at 1 h, 4 h, and 7 h of CVVH treatment in the post-dilution group were significantly higher than those in the pre-dilution group (P<0.001). There were no significant differences in PT, PT- INR, APTT and FIB between the two groups of patients 20 min after the end of treatment (P>0.05). The spKt/v and β2-MG clearance rates in the post-dilution group were significantly higher than those in the pre-dilution group (P<0.001). There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS When NM is used as an anticoagulant in the CVVH treatment of uremic patients at high risk of bleeding, compared with the pre-dilution treatment method, the post-dilution treatment method has a higher incidence of filter and dialysis tubing venous reservoir, a shorter usage time of the filter and pipeline, and a greater impact on extracorporeal coagulation, but has a higher solute clearance rate. Clinically, different dilution methods can be selected according to the different treatment needs of patients.
2.The role of free triiodothyronine to free thyroxine ratio in the differential diagnosis of thyrotoxicosis: A cross-sectional study
Menon Saieehwaran ; Sy Liang Yong ; Vijiya Mala Velayutham ; Jason Tan Seng Hong ; Avni Patel ; Zienna Zufida binti Zainol Rashid ; Hanisah Abdul Hamid ; Salbiah binti Mohd Isa ; Li Vern Lim
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2026;41(S1):11-
Introduction:
Accurate diagnosis of thyrotoxicosis, a condition resulting from excessive thyroid hormone activity, is essential for
appropriate management. However, access to diagnostic tools such as thyrotropin receptor antibody (TRAb) assays
and thyroid ultrasonography remains limited in resource-constrained settings, highlighting the need for cost-effective
alternatives. Recent studies suggest that the free triiodothyronine to free thyroxine (FT3/FT4) ratio may serve as a potential
biomarker for differentiating the causes of thyrotoxicosis.
Methodology:
This cross-sectional study evaluated the FT3/FT4 ratio in newly diagnosed thyrotoxicosis patients aged ≥18 years recruited
from Hospital Tengku Ampuan Rahimah, Hospital Banting, Klinik Kesihatan Pelabuhan Klang, and Klinik Kesihatan
Pandamaran between February and December 2025. All participants underwent thyroid function testing (FT3, FT4, and
TSH) and autoantibody assessment (TRAb and anti-thyroid peroxidase [anti-TPO]). Diagnostic performance of the FT3/FT4
ratio for Graves’ disease was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Results:
Fifty-eight patients were included, of whom 58.6% were diagnosed with Graves’ disease. Patients with Graves’ disease had
significantly higher FT3 levels (median 16.8 pmol/L; IQR 10.9–25.7) compared to those with non-Graves’ thyrotoxicosis
(median 8.3 pmol/L; IQR 5.3–13.5; p <0.001), with similar trends observed for FT4 levels (p <0.001). However, the FT3/
FT4 ratio did not differ significantly between groups (p >0.05), with an overall ROC AUC of 0.572, indicating poor
discriminatory ability. Subgroup analysis based on FT4 levels improved performance; at FT4 <30 pmol/L, the FT3/FT4
ratio demonstrated 75.0% sensitivity, 91.7% specificity, and 87.5% diagnostic accuracy at a cutoff of 0.3445 (AUC = 0.813;
95% CI: 0.570–1.000; p = 0.069). No significant association was observed between the FT3/FT4 ratio and TRAb or anti-TPO.
Conclusion
The FT3/FT4 ratio has limited overall diagnostic utility but may provide adjunctive value in selected biochemical
contexts, particularly in settings with limited access to immunological testing.
Diagnosis, Differential
;
Thyroxine
;
Triiodothyronine
;
Thyrotoxicosis
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
3.Identification and infection rate of densovirus in Culex pipiens pallens in Beijing in 2023
Xiu-yan XU ; Ting YAN ; Si-jie ZHU ; Jing LI ; Mei-de LIU ; Hong-jiang ZHANG ; Ting LIU ; Qiu-hong LI ; Xiao-jie ZHOU ; Ying TONG ; Yong ZHANG
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(1):25-30
Objective This study conducted molecular biological identification of the viruses carried by Culex pipiens pallens specimens collected in Shunyi District, Beijing in 2023, and observed the changes in the infection rate of the viruses carried by Cx. pipiens pallens at different collection times. Methods Cx. pipiens pallens were collected using carbon dioxide mosquito traps. The mosquito samples were ground in batches and analyzed by molecular biology technologies. The virus infection rate at different collection times was analyzed statistically. Results 17 strains of Culex pipiens pallens densovirus(CppDNV)were identified from Cx. pipiens pallens samples collected in Shunyi District, Beijing, in 2023. The nucleotide sequence analysis of the virus genome coding region showed that CppDNV was a single-stranded DNA virus with a total length of 3 335 nt, encoding 2 non-structural proteins(NS1, NS2)and 1 capsid protein(VP). The nucleotide(amino acid)sequence lengths of the three proteins were 2 376 nt(791 aa),1 092 nt(363 aa)and 1 071 nt(356 aa), respectively. Phylogenetic analysis showed that CppDNV was located in genus Brevihamaparvovirus. Statistical analysis showed no significant difference in infection rates across collection times(χ2=4.429, P=0.194). Conclusions CppDNV was identified in Cx. pipiens pallens in Beijing, and it was stably maintained in this natural population.
4.Association between executive function and emotional and behavioral problems among first-grade elementary school students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(7):922-925
Objective:
To explore the association between executive function and emotional and behavioral problems in first-grade elementary school students, so as to provide a reference for promoting children s mental health.
Methods:
From March to May 2024, 423 first-grade elementary school students from 6 primary schools aged 6-7 were selected by using stratified cluster random sampling in Shanxi, Shanghai, Shandong, Guangxi, Xinjiang, and Jiangxi. Data were collected by using the Executive Function Assessment Scale and the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. An independent samples t-test was used to analyze differences in executive function of different genders and differences in emotional and behavioral problems among first-grade school students with varying executive function levels; a linear regression model was employed to analyze the association between children s executive function and emotional and behavioral problems.
Results:
A total of 42 first-grade elementary school students (9.9%) were identified as having executive function deficits. Students in the executive function deficit group scored higher on internalizing behavior (7.50±0.52), externalizing behavior (11.26±0.52), and total difficulties (18.52± 0.93 ) were significantly higher than those of children without deficits (4.37±0.14, 6.69±0.17, 10.64±0.27) ( t =5.79, 8.50, 9.23, all P <0.05). Results of linear regression analysis showed that, after controlling for relevant covariates such as gender, age, family economic status, being an only child, and body mass index, the factor scores, dimensional scores, and total scores of executive function were all positively correlated with scores for externalizing problems, internalizing problems, and total difficulties ( β =0.07-0.32, all P <0.05).
Conclusions
Children s executive function is closely associated with emotional and behavioral problems, and those with poorer executive function exhibit more pronounced emotional and behavioral problems. Improving children s executive function may help promote their mental health.
5.Correlation of knee joint asymmetry with balance and walking ability in hemiplegic stroke patients
Zheng-Hua XIAO ; Jiang MA ; Hong LI ; Fang WANG ; Li-Ying GUO ; Xiao-Lin TAO ; Feng ZHANG ; Ya-Yong LI ; Xiao-Li YAN
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(2):134-140
Objective To explore the correlation of bilateral knee joint strength asymmetry with balance,walking ability,and motor function in hemiplegic stroke patients,providing a reference for clinical assessment of stroke patients.Methods A total of 46 hemiplegic stroke patients admitted to the Rehabilitation Medicine Department of People's Hospital of Shijiazhuang from February to December 2023 were selected.According to the Berg Balance Scale(BBS)scores,patients were divided into Group A(BBS score≤20,n=23)and Group B(BBS score>20,n=23).The peak torque and differences of bilateral knee flexors and extensors were compared between two groups.Isokinetic technology was used to assess the differences in peak torque of bilateral knee joints at 60°/s and 120°/s.BBS,Functional Ambulation Classification(FAC),and Fugl-Meyer Assessment of Lower Extremity(FMA-LE)were used to evaluate patients'balance,walking ability,and lower limb motor function.The correlation between bilateral knee joint peak torque and its difference with the scores of three functional scales was analyzed.Results The peak torque of knee flexors and extensors at 60°/s in group A was significantly lower than that in group B(P<0.05).At both 60°/s and 120°/s the differences in peak torque between the healthy and affected sides of knee flexors and extensors were greater than those in group B(P<0.05).At 60°/s,the difference in peak torque of bilateral knee extensors in hemiplegic stroke patients was negatively correlated with the scores of BBS,FAC,and FMA-LE(r=-0.569,-0.582,-0.606,P<0.01),as did the knee flexors(r=-0.534,-0.386,-0.458,P<0.05).At 120°/s,similar negative correlations were observed for both knee extensors(r=-0.304,-0.304,-0.443,P<0.05)and flexors(r=-0.337,-0.349,-0.370,P<0.05).Conclusions Bilateral knee joint strength asymmetry in hemiplegic stroke patients is negatively correlated with balance and walking ability.The difference in strength between the two sides of knee joint may be one of the clinical indicators for evaluating the motor function of stroke patients.
6.Predictive value of toe-to-room temperature gradient for 28 d mortality in sepsis patients:a single center prospective observational clinical study
Lu-Lan LI ; Yi-Lin LIU ; Yong LIU ; Shao-Wu CHEN ; Hong-Bin HU ; Zhen-Hua ZENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(5):536-544
Objective To investigate the predictive value of temperature gradients on the mortality of sepsis patients and their correlation with fluid input.Methods By means of a prospective observational method,154 patients with sepsis or septic shock admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine at Nanfang Hospital,Southern Medical University from November 2019 to November 2021 were included as research subjects.They were divided into a survivor group(n=118)and a non-survivor group(n=36)according to whether they survived within 28 days.The core-to-toe temperature gradient(CTTG)and toe-to-room temperature gradient(TRTG)were monitored and calculated immediately upon admission to the intensive care unit(ICU)and 6 hours after admission.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to explore the predictive value of temperature gradients on mortality,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to explore the risk factors of 28-day mortality in sepsis patients.The results were verified through survival analysis.Correlation analysis and multivariate analysis of variance were used to explore the correlation between temperature gradients and fluid input,as well as noradrenaline doses.Results Among the 154 patients,118 survived within 28 days(survivor group),and 36 died(non-survivor group).ROC curve and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a toe-to-room temperature gradient of≤5.35℃within 6 hours after admission was a risk factor for 28-day mortality.Compared with patients with a high toe-to-room temperature gradient(>5.35℃),patients with a low toe-to-room temperature gradient(≤5.35℃)had a 2.74-fold increase in the risk of 28-day mortality(P=0.004,95%CI 1.54,9.12).The CTTG and TRTG upon admission to the ICU and 6 hours after admission were not significantly associated with fluid input or noradrenaline doses(P>0.05).Conclusions A toe-to-room temperature gradient of less than or equal to 5.35℃within 6 hours after ICU admission is a risk factor for 28-day mortality in sepsis patients.The improvement of temperature gradients at different time points is not associated with fluid input.
7.Effect of miR-185-5p targeted negative regulation of TM9SF1 on proliferation,migration and autophagy in lung adenocarcinoma cells
Xiao-Na WANG ; Xiu-Ying GONG ; Miao-Miao ZHAO ; Qing-Hua LIU ; Yong LI ; Kun WANG ; Chong-Gao YIN ; Hong-Li LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(5):566-574
Objective To investigate the effect of miR-185-5p-mediated targeted negative regulation of transmembrane 9 superfamily member 1(TM9SF1)on proliferation,migration and autophagy in lung adenocarcinoma cells.Methods The expression of miR-185-5p in lung adenocarcinoma tissues was analyzed using dataset GSE51853 downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO)database.Potential target proteins of miR-185-5p were predicted using online databases(miRTargetLink,miRTarbase,and DIANA-microT-CD),and autophagy-related proteins were obtained from HADb.The intersected results from these four databases was identified,and survival curves of vascular endothelial growth factor A(VEGFA)and TM9SF1 within the overlapping candidates were analyzed using the StarBase database.TM9SF1 3'UTR wild-type(WT)or TM9SF1 3'UTR mutant(MUT)reporter plasmids were separately co-transfected with miR-185-5p control plasmid(CON)or miR-185-5p overexpression plasmid(over-miR-185-5p)into HEK-293T cells.A dual-luciferase reporter gene assay was employed to assess the binding interaction between miR-185-5p and TM9SF1 and quantify the subsequent luciferase activity.Western blotting was used to assess TM9SF1 protein expression levels in A549 cells transfected with over-miR-185-5p.A549 cells were divided into three groups:(1)CON+NC group,co-transfected with miR-185-5p control plasmid and TM9SF1 control plasmid;(2)over-miR-185-5p+NC group,co-transfected with over-miR-185-5p and TM9SF1 control plasmid;(3)over-miR-185-5p+over-TM9SF1 group,co-transfected with both miR-185-5p and TM9SF1 overexpression plasmids.EdU cell proliferation assay,wound healing assay,and Transwell migration assay were performed to validate the effects of miR-185-5p targeted binding to TM9SF1 on proliferation and migration capacities in lung adenocarcinoma.Changes in autophagic flux and mitochondrial membrane potential(MMP)of lung adenocarcinoma cells were detected using stubRFP-sensGFP-LC3 lentivirus and JC-1 assays,respectively.Results In the GSE51853 dataset,miR-185-5p expression level was significantly lower in lung adenocarcinoma tissues compared with normal lung tissues(P<0.01).qRT-PCR analysis revealed that miR-185-5p expression was downregulated in lung adenocarcinoma cell lines NCI-H1299 and A549 compared with normal lung epithelial cells BEAS-2B(P<0.01).Bioinformatics predictions using miRTargetLink,miRTarbase,DIANA-microT-CD,and HADb databases indicated that miR-185-5p could target and regulate the autophagy-related protein TM9SF1.Dual-luciferase reporter assays and Western blotting demonstrated that miR-185-5p directly bound to the 3'UTR region of TM9SF1 mRNA,and overexpression of miR-185-5p significantly reduced the expression of target protein TM9SF1(P<0.05).EdU cell proliferation,wound healing,and Transwell migration assays demonstrated that miR-185-5p overexpression inhibited proliferation and migration capacities of lung adenocarcinoma cells,whereas TM9SF1 overexpression could attenuate this inhibition effect(P<0.05).Results of stubRFP-sensGFP-LC3 for autophagic flux analysis demonstrated that overexpression of miR-185-5p enhanced autophagic flux in A549 cells,whereas co-overexpression of miR-185-5p and TM9SF1 suppressed autophagic flux.JC-1 assays showed a decreased MMP level in A549 cells after miR-185-5p overexpression,with higher MMP level observed when miR-185-5p and TM9SF1 were co-overexpressed.Conclusion miR-185-5p may suppress proliferation,migration,and autophagy capacities in lung adenocarcinoma cells by targeting TM9SF1 through negative regulation.
8.Effects of moderate static magnetic field exposure on emotional behavior and brain damage related molecules in mice
Xue-Jia WANG ; Xue-Feng YANG ; Yu-Meng YE ; Yong-Yi WANG ; Yan-Hui HAO ; Hong-Yan ZUO ; Feng-Song LIU ; Yang LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(5):592-598
Objective To investigate the effects of a 100 mT static magnetic field(SMF)on emotional behavior and brain damage-related molecules in mice.Methods Fifty-eight C57BL/6N mice were randomly divided into control group(n=25)and observation group(n=33).Mice in observation group were exposed to a 100 mT SMF for 0.5 h/d over 14 consecutive days,while mice in control group underwent pseudo-exposure.On the 7 and 14 days of exposure,anxiety-like behavior was assessed using open field and elevated plus maze tests.Cerebral blood flow was monitored using laser speckle imaging,and the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),interleukin(IL)-1β,IL-4,central nervous system specific protein β(S100β),neuron-specific enolase(NSE),and brain-derived neurotrophic factor(BDNF)were measured by radioimmunoassay.BDNF expression in the brain was detected by immunofluorescence.Results On the 7 and 14 days of SMF exposure,the open field and elevated plus maze tests showed no statistically significant differences between observation and control groups in the frequencies,durations,and distance entering the central area of the open field and the open arm of the elevated plus maze(P>0.05).Laser speckle imaging revealed no significant difference in cerebral cortical perfusion compared with pre-exposure period(P>0.05).The results of radioimmunoassay showed that compared with control group,on the 7 d of SMF exposure,the serum IL-1β,NSE and S100β levels were significantly increased(P<0.05),the serum BDNF level was significantly decreased(P<0.05),and the IL-1β and TNF-α contents in brain tissues were significantly increased in observation group(P<0.01).On the 14 d of SMF exposure,serum IL-1β,TNF-α,NSE,and S100β levels were significantly increased(P<0.05,P<0.0001),and the brain IL-1β and TNF-α levels were significantly increased(P<0.01)in observation group.No statistically significant differences were found in anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-4 level of serum and brain tissue or BDNF content of brain tissue between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion Continuous exposure to a 100 mT SMF for 14 d at 0.5 h/d induces neuroinflammation and brain damage in mice,without inducing anxiety-like behavior.
9.Establishment and evaluation of a predictive model for spontaneous peritonitis in HBV-related primary liver cancer
Hong-Yan WEI ; Yong-Zhen CHEN ; Ren-Hai TIAN ; Li-Xian CHANG ; Ying-Yuan ZHANG ; Dan-Qing XU ; Chun-Yun LIU ; Li LIU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(8):949-957
Objective To establish and evaluate a nomogram prediction model for spontaneous peritonitis in HBV-related primary liver cancer.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 1298 patients with HBV-related primary liver cancer hospitalized in the Kunming Third People's Hospital from January 2012 to December 2022.General data and serological indicators were collected,and patients were divided into infection group(n=262)and control group(n=1036)based on the occurrence of spontaneous peritonitis.Univariate and LASSO regression analyses were used to screen variables,followed by binary logistic regression to analyze the influencing factors of spontaneous peritonitis in HBV-related primary liver cancer patients,leading to the establishment of a nomogram prediction model.Finally,the Hosmer-lemeshow(H-L)goodness of fit test,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,decision curve analysis(DCA)and clinical impact curve(CIC)were utilized to evaluate the fit degree,accuracy,calibration,and clinical practicability of the nomogram prediction model.Results Single factor analysis revealed significant differences between infection group and control group in portal vein cancer thrombus(PVTT),Child-Pugh grade,China Liver Cancer Staging(CNLC)stage,alcohol consumption history,smoking history,white blood cell count(WBC),neutrophil count(NE),hemoglobin(Hb),fibrinogen(FIB),abnormal prothrombin(PIVKA-Ⅱ),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),total protein(TP),prealbumin(PA),γ-glutamyltransferase(GGT),alkaline phosphatase(ALP),cholinesterase(CHE),total bile acid(TBA),total cholesterol(TC),low density lipoprotein(LDL),creatinine(Cr),HBV DNA,CD3+T cells count,CD4+T cells count,CD8+T cells count,CD4+T cells/CD8+T cells ratio,procalcitonin(PCT),serum amyloid A(SAA),interleukin-6(IL-6),high-sensitivity C-reactive protein(hs-CRP),alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),and IL-4(P<0.05).LASSO regression analysis identified 5 variables:Child-Pugh grade,PVTT,WBC,CHE and hs-CRP.Binary logistic regression analysis indicated that Child-Pugh grade(Grade B:OR=5.780,95%CI 3.271-10.213,P<0.001;Grade C:OR=14.818,95%CI 7.697-28.526,P<0.001),PVTT(OR=2.893,95%CI 2.037-4.108,P<0.001),WBC(OR=1.088,95%CI 1.031-1.148,P=0.002),and hs-CRP(OR=1.005,95%CI 1.001-1.010,P=0.026)were the independent risk factors of spontaneous peritonitis in HBV-related primary liver cancer patients.Using these 4 variables,a nomogram prediction model was constructed and evaluated.The P-value of the H-L goodness of fit test was 0.760.Moreover,the area under ROC curve(AUC)was 0.866,with a sensitivity of 0.870 and a specificity of 0.716.The average absolute error of the calibration curve is 0.022.DCA and CIC analyses demonstrated that the nomogram prediction model possessed some clinical utility.Conclusion The nomogram prediction model for spontaneous peritonitis in HBV-related primary liver cancer patients,constructed using Child-Pugh grade,PVTT,WBC and hs-CRP,exhibits a high fitting degree and accuracy,with the prediction probability highly consistent with the actual occurrence probability,and possesses certain clinical practicability.
10.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.


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