1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2.Intermittent fasting ameliorates rheumatoid arthritis by harassing deregulated synovial fibroblasts.
Lei LI ; Jin DONG ; Yumu ZHANG ; Chen ZHAO ; Wen WEI ; Xueqin GAO ; Yao YU ; Meilin LU ; Qiyuan SUN ; Yuwei CHEN ; Xuehua JIAO ; Jie LU ; Na YUAN ; Yixuan FANG ; Jianrong WANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(23):3201-3203
3.Dynamic gait parameters reveal long-term compensatory characteristics in knee joint function recovery following anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction: A retrospective cohort study.
Qitai LIN ; Zehao LI ; Meiming LI ; Yongsheng MA ; Wenming YANG ; Yugang XING ; Yang LIU ; Ruifeng LIANG ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Ruipeng ZHAO ; Wangping DUAN ; Pengcui LI ; Xiaochun WEI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):3016-3018
4.A cisplatin prodrug-based self-assembling ozone delivery nanosystem sensitizes radiotherapy in triple-negative breast cancer.
Tianyue XU ; Dan ZHENG ; Meixu CHEN ; Linlin SONG ; Zhihui LIU ; Yan CHENG ; Yujie ZHAO ; Liwen HUANG ; Yixuan LI ; Zhankun YANG ; Cong LI ; Biao DONG ; Jing JING ; Hubing SHI
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(5):2703-2722
Lacking therapeutic targets highlights the crucial roles of chemotherapy and radiotherapy in the clinical management of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). To relieve the side effects of the chemoradiotherapy combination regimen, we design and develop a self-assembled micelle nanosystem consisting of perfluorocarbon chain-modified cisplatin prodrug. By incorporating perfluorodecalin, this nanosystem can effectively carry ozone and promote irradiation-derived reactive oxygen species (ROS) production. By leveraging the perfluorocarbon sidechain, the nanosystem exhibits efficient internalization by TNBC cells and effectively escapes from lysosomal entrapment. Under X-ray irradiation, ozone-generated ROS disrupts the intracellular redox balance, thereby facilitating the release of cisplatin in a reduction-responsive manner mediated by reduced glutathione. Moreover, oxygen derived from ozone decomposition enhances the efficacy of radiotherapy by alleviating tumor hypoxia. Notably, the combination of irradiation with ozone-loaded cisplatin prodrug nano system synergistically prompts antitumor efficacy and reduces cellular/systemic toxicity in vitro and in vivo. Furthermore, the combo regimen remodels the tumor microenvironment into an immune-favored state by triggering immunogenic cell death and relieving hypoxia, which provides a promising foundation for a combination regimen of immunotherapy. In conclusion, our nanosystem presents a novel strategy for integrating chemotherapy and radiotherapy to optimize the efficacy and safety of TNBC clinical treatment.
5.Salvianolic Acid B and Ginsenoside Rg1 Combination Attenuates Cerebral Edema Accompanying Glymphatic Modulation.
Lingxiao ZHANG ; Yanan SHAO ; Zhao FANG ; Siqi CHEN ; Yixuan WANG ; Han SHA ; Yuhan ZHANG ; Linlin WANG ; Yi JIN ; Hao CHEN ; Baohong JIANG
Neuroscience Bulletin 2025;41(11):1909-1923
Cerebral edema is characterized by fluid accumulation, and the glymphatic system (GS) plays a pivotal role in regulating fluid transport. Using the Tenecteplase system, magnesium salt of salvianolic acid B/ginsenoside Rg1 (SalB/Rg1) was injected intravenously into mice 4.5 h after middle cerebral artery occlusion and once every 24 h for the following 72 h. GS function was assessed by Evans blue imaging, near-infrared fluorescence region II (NIR-II) imaging, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). SalB/Rg1 had significant effects on reducing the infarct volume and hemorrhagic transformation score, improving neurobehavioral function, and protecting tissue structure, especially inhibiting cerebral edema. Meanwhile, the influx/efflux drainage of GS was enhanced by SalB/Rg1 according to NIR-II imaging and MRI. SalB/Rg1 inhibited matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) activity, reduced cleaved β-dystroglycan (β-DG), and stabilized aquaporin-4 (AQP4) polarity, which was verified by colocalization with CD31. Our findings indicated that SalB/Rg1 treatment enhances GS function and attenuates cerebral edema, accompanying the regulation of the MMP9/β-DG/AQP4 pathway.
Animals
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Ginsenosides/administration & dosage*
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Brain Edema/etiology*
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Male
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Benzofurans/administration & dosage*
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Glymphatic System/diagnostic imaging*
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Mice
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Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery/drug therapy*
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Aquaporin 4/metabolism*
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Disease Models, Animal
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Matrix Metalloproteinase 9/metabolism*
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Neuroprotective Agents/pharmacology*
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Depsides
6.Donor-driven advancements in reconstructive surgery: 20 years of facial transplantation reconstruction
Yixuan ZHAO ; Tao ZAN ; Qingfeng LI
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(5):441-446
'Injury but not disability, disability but not useless’ is the guiding principle behind the establishment of plastic and reconstructive surgery, making it a unique specialty in modern medicine. Its development relies not only on the optimized use of donor resources but also on technological advancements and innovations in concepts. However, in the face of severe tissue damage caused by burns, trauma, and congenital deformities, traditional repair method often fall short, necessitating more effective solutions. Against this backdrop, progress in donor sourcing and interdisciplinary innovation will inject new vitality into reconstructive surgery. In this context, we take facial transplantation reconstruction as a starting point, reviewing and organizing the technological development, issues, and challenges of autologous and allogeneic facial transplantation reconstruction from the perspective of donors. This exploration aims to shed light on the future direction of this field and gain a deeper understanding of the present and future of donor-driven reconstructive surgery.
7.Machine learning prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events following endovascular aneurysm repair in the elderly with abdominal aortic aneurysm
Yaming ZHOU ; Ning ZHAO ; Wenxin ZHAO ; Yixuan WANG ; Zhiyuan WU ; Dajie SUOLANG ; Zuoguan CHEN ; Yongpeng DIAO ; Ciren PUBU ; Yongjun LI
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(12):1674-1681
Objective:To establish the predictive model for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE) following endovascular repair in elderly patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm(AAA).Methods:The clinical data and postoperative MACE were retrospectively collected from elderly patients with AAA who underwent their first endovascular aneurysm repair(EVAR)in Beijing Hospital and Tibet Autonomous Region People's Hospital between January 2016 and December 2023.Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7∶3.Predictive models were using logistic regression, LASSO regression, random forest, linear discriminant analysis, na?ve Bayes, k-nearest neighbor algorithm, support vector machine, decision tree, and AdaBoost.Models were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves.Results:A total of 171 elderly AAA patients were enrolled, aged 60 to 94 years(mean 73.0 ± 7.5 years), of whom 145 were male.MACE occurred after EVAR in 30 patients(17.5%). LASSO regression identified monocyte count, history of coronary artery disease, the ratio of maximum AAA diameter to body mass index(DBR), neutrophil-lymphocyte count ratio(NLR), and age as significant predictors, yielding an area under the ROC curve(AUC)of 0.816.Logistic regression achieved an AUC of 0.813 in the training cohort and 0.772 in the validation cohort.Among all models, AdaBoost demonstrated the best performance, with an AUC of 0.92 in the validation cohort.Conclusions:Age, monocyte count, DBR, NLR and creatinine could predict the occurrence of MACE after EVAR in AAA patients.The AdaBoost model provides the most accurate prediction of postoperative MACE.
8.Study on risk prediction model of hypertension in steel workers
Keyun GUO ; Yaxin ZHU ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Chen YANG ; Hao ZHAO ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(8):573-579
Objective:To identify risk factors influencing the incidence of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and establish an effective and easily implementable hypertension prediction model.Methods:In September 2023, 2214 steelworkers (Homo sapiens) were selected as study subjects. Basic demographic information, lifestyle, and occupational exposure data were collected, along with physiological measurements such as height, weight, and blood pressure. Multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was employed based on relevant literature to determine influencing factors for hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens). Python 3.9 software was used to construct and compare logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost), and LGBM models. Model performance was evaluated using metrics such as receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, accuracy, calibration curves, and F1 scores. The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) model was introduced for feature importance analysis to enhance the interpretability of the prediction model.Results:A total of 432 cases of hypertension were detected among 2214 study subjects, with a detection rate of 19.51%. Age, smoking status, salt intake, use of cooling equipment, carbon monoxide exposure, family history of hypertension, fasting blood glucose, triglycerides, and hemoglobin were identified as independent risk factors for hypertension ( P<0.05). A comparison of the five models revealed the following performance metrics: logistic regression achieved an accuracy of 0.853, F1 score of 0.680, Brier score of 0.108, and AUC of 0.907; SVM demonstrated an accuracy of 0.863, F1 score of 0.687, Brier score of 0.081, and AUC of 0.910; random forest showed an accuracy of 0.857, F1 score of 0.603, Brier score of 0.105, and AUC of 0.861; XGBoost yielded an accuracy of 0.850, F1 score of 0.684, Brier score of 0.117, and AUC of 0.899; and the LGBM model exhibited an accuracy of 0.838, F1 score of 0.625, Brier score of 0.112, and AUC of 0.870. Conclusion:The SVM model demonstrated strong predictive performance, effectively assessing the risk of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and facilitating targeted health management interventions.
9.Risk factors for disease progression after treatment of post-tuberculosis chronic pulmonary aspergillosis
Wuchen ZHAO ; Qiaoling RUAN ; Rongsheng ZHU ; Yixuan YANG
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2025;43(5):274-280
Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors for disease progression after treatment in patients with post-tuberculosis chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (post-TB CPA).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on post-TB CPA patients admitted to Hangzhou Red Cross Hospital between January 2020 and December 2023. The demographic manifestation, clinical manifestation, laboratory indicators, imaging findings, and treatment strategies were collected. Patients were divided into progression group and non-progression group based on treatment outcomes, and the clinical data of the two groups were compared. Chi-square test was used for univariate analysis, and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify independent risk factors for disease progression after treatment.Results:A total of 109 post-TB CPA patients were included, and 33.9%(37/109) were in the progression group and 66.1%(72/109) in the non-progression group. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that subacute invasive aspergillosis (SAIA) (odds ratio ( OR)=14.356, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 2.923 to 70.504, P=0.001), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) ( OR=5.276, 95% CI 1.505 to 18.491, P=0.009), and pulmonary fibrosis ( OR=5.030, 95% CI 1.437 to 17.612, P=0.012) were independent risk factors for disease progression. Antifungal treatment for ≥3 months was associated with a lower risk of disease progression ( OR=0.038, 95% CI 0.003 to 0.431, P=0.008). The proportion of non-progression group receiving surgical treatment was higher than that of progression group with statistical significance (31.9%(23/72) vs 5.4% (2/37), χ2=8.30, P=0.004), but the protective effect of surgery on disease progression was not confirmed by multivariate analysis ( OR=0.735, 95% CI 0.132 to 4.080, P=0.724). Conclusions:Disease progression in patients with post-TB CPA is strongly associated with SAIA, elevated ESR, and pulmonary fibrosis. Standardized anti-fungal treatment for ≥3 months significantly improves the prognosis.
10.Surgical techniques and clinical outcomes of upper urinary tract reconstruction for stone-related ureteral strictures
Xiaoteng YU ; Yixuan HUANG ; Xinfei LI ; Changfu CHEN ; Fangzhou ZHAO ; Honggang YING ; Zihao TAO ; Yiming ZHANG ; Liqing XU ; Zhihua LI ; Kunlin YANG ; Liqun ZHOU ; Xuesong LI ; Zheng ZHAO
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(4):670-675
Objective:To summarize the surgical strategies and to evaluate the clinical outcomes of up-per urinary tract reconstruction in patients with stone-related ureteral strictures.Methods:This retro-spective study included 71 patients diagnosed with ureteral strictures secondary to urinary stones who un-derwent upper urinary tract reconstructive surgery at Peking University First Hospital between March 2014 and November 2023.Patient data were collected,including demographic characteristics,clinical presen-tation,laboratory results,imaging findings,surgical procedures,and follow-up outcomes.Ureteral stric-tures were classified according to anatomical location into upper,middle,lower,or multiple segments.Surgical procedures were carried out depending on the stricture characteristics.Surgical success was de-fined as resolution or improvement of clinical symptoms,radiographic improvement or stabilization of hy-dronephrosis,and maintenance of normal and stable renal function.Results:Among the 71 patients,36(50.7%)had strictures in the upper ureter,9(12.7%)in the middle ureter,15(21.1%)in the lower ureter,and 11(15.5%)had multifocal ureteral strictures.The median stricture length was 5.0 cm(interquartile range:3.0-15.0 cm).Surgical approach selection was individualized based on the location and extent of the stricture.For upper ureteral strictures,the most frequently employed techniques were oral mucosal graft ureteroplasty(13/36,36.1%)and appendiceal flap ureteroplasty(8/36,22.2%).Other options included ureteroureterostomy and ileal ureter replacement for longer or more complex strictures.In middle ureteral strictures,treatment was stratified by length:balloon dilation(1/9,11.1%)and ureteroureterostomy(1/9,11.1%)were applied in shorter strictures,while oral mucosal graft ureteroplasty(3/9,33.3%)and ileal ureter replacement(4/9,44.4%)were reserved for longer segments.For lower ureteral strictures,ureteral reimplantation into the bladder was the most common approach(10/15,66.7%),often combined with a psoas hitch or Boari flap when necessary.All the patients with multiple segmental strictures underwent ileal ureter replacement due to the extensive nature of the disease.The median follow-up period was 14.2 months(range:6.1-107.1 months).During follow-up,69 of 71 patients(97.2%)achieved surgical success.Conclusion:Stone-related ure-teral strictures present with considerable heterogeneity in terms of anatomical location,length,and com-plexity.Careful preoperative evaluation and individualized surgical planning are critical to successful re-construction.With appropriate selection of surgical methods,favorable long-term clinical outcomes can be achieved in the majority of patients.

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