1.Construction of a nomogram model for clinical cure of chronic hepatitis B with a low level of hepatitis B surface antigen treated with pegylated interferon α-2b
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Huan MU ; Lixian CHANG ; Danqing XU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Huangchenghao ZHANG ; Chunyan MOU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(5):1038-1047
ObjectiveTo investigate the predictive factors for HBsAg clearance in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with a low level of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) treated with pegylated interferon α-2b (PEG-IFN-α-2b), to establish a combined predictive model and a nomogram based on multiple factors, and to provide a reference for formulating individualized treatment regimens and predicting treatment outcome in clinical practice. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for 167 CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL who attended The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2022 to January 2024 and were treated with PEG-IFN-α-2b. According to whether clinical cure was achieved, the patients were divided into HBsAg clearance group and HBsAg non-clearance group. Related data were collected, including general information and serological/biochemical/virological indicators at different time points during treatment. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the value of indicators used alone or in combination in predicting clinical cure, and calibration curves were plotted to assess the risk prediction model. ResultsThe univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences between the two groups in age (t=-6.839, P<0.05), history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year (χ2=59.339, P<0.05), genotype (χ2=4.610, P<0.05), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (χ2=5.319, P<0.05), hepatitis B virus DNA status before treatment (χ2=60.861, P <0.05), compensated liver cirrhosis (χ2=10.960, P<0.05), HBeAg status before treatment (χ2=19.060, P<0.05), a history of interferon treatment (χ2=8.162, P<0.05), presence of interferon antibodies after treatment (χ2=12.858, P<0.05), HBsAg level before treatment (Z=-7.412, P<0.05), alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) level at baseline (Z=-6.117, P<0.05), ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment (Z=-7.171, P<0.05), platelet count (PLT) at 24 weeks of treatment (Z=-3.622, P<0.05), and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) level at 24 weeks of treatment (Z=-2.830, P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio [OR]=1.230, P=0.007), history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year (OR=0.008, P=0.011), HBeAg status before treatment (OR=0.003, P=0.012), HBsAg level before treatment (OR=1.005, P=0.014), ALT level at baseline (OR=0.949, P=0.014), ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment (OR=0.969, P=0.016), PLT at 24 weeks of treatment (OR=0.969, P=0.022), and TSH level at 24 weeks of treatment (OR=3.608, P=0.045) were independent influencing factors for HBsAg clearance at 48 weeks of treatment in CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded χ2=1.398, P=0.994, indicating that the model had good fitting. The Bootstrap method was used to perform internal validation of the nomogram model, and there was a good degree of fitting between the calibration curve and the ideal curve, with a mean absolute error of 0.029. The ROC curve analysis showed that the combination of predictive factors had an area under the ROC curve of 0.982 (95% confidence interval: 0.961 — 0.999), with a sensitivity of 94.10% and a specificity of 93.10%, suggesting that the nomogram model had a good discriminatory ability. For the CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL and different features, further analysis of HBsAg clearance rate at 48 weeks of treatment showed an HBsAg clearance rate of 69.60% for those with HBsAg ≤67.65 IU/mL before treatment, 58.30% for those with a baseline ALT level of ≥62.50 U/L, 68.30% for those with an ALT level of ≥92.50 U/L at 12 weeks of treatment, 42.40% for those with PLT ≥104×109/L at 24 weeks of treatment, and 48.30% for those with a TSH level of ≤1.38 μIU/mL at 24 weeks of treatment, with significant differences between the two groups (all P<0.001). ConclusionAge, history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year, HBeAg status before treatment, HBsAg level before treatment, baseline ALT level, ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment, PLT level at 24 weeks, and TSH level at 24 weeks of treatment are independent predictive factors. The combined prediction nomogram model constructed in this study has a relatively high value in predicting clinical cure at 48 weeks of PEG-IFN-α-2b treatment in CHB patients with HBsAg<1 500 IU/mL, thereby providing a reference for selecting suitable treatment population and predicting clinical cure.
2.Analysis of influencing factors and construction of predictive model for HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B treated with PEG-IFN-α-2b
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yuanqiang HE ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyan MOU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1525-1532
Objective To investigate the predictive factors for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B(CHB)receiving peginterferon alfa-2b(PEG-IFN-α-2b)treatment,analyze the effects of various indicators on the HBsAg clearance rate under different characteristics,and construct and evaluate a combined predictive model.Methods We included 125 patients with HBeAg-negative CHB at Kunming Third People's Hospital from May 2021 to May 2023.After treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b combined with nucleoside analogues for a course of 48 weeks,they were divided into HBsAg clearance group and HBsAg non-clearance group.Their general information and serological,biochemical,and virological indicators at different time points during treatment were recorded.Continuous data in normal distribution were compared using the t test.Continuous data in non-normal distribution were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test,and comparisons across different time points were performed using the multiple paired-sample Friedman test.Categorical data were compared using the χ2 test.A Logistic regression analysis was used to select variables to establish a combined multi-parameter predictive model.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were generated to evaluate the diagnostic value of individual indicators and the combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance.Results Before treatment,there were significant differences in baseline HBsAg level(Z=-3.997,P<0.05)and treatment history(χ2=8.221,P<0.05)between the two groups.During treatment,gradually decreasing trends were observed in white blood cell count(χ2=104.944),neutrophil count(χ2=132.036),platelet count(χ2=162.881),and thyroid-stimulating hormone level(TSH,χ2=83.304,all P<0.05),while alanine aminotransferase(ALT,χ2=157.618)and alpha fetoprotein(χ2=159.472)showed gradually increasing trends(both P<0.05).At 48 weeks of treatment,treatment history(odds ratio[OR]=0.232,95%confidence interval[CI]:0.071-0.753),baseline HBsAg level(OR=13.423,95%CI:3.276-54.997),the extent of decrease in HBsAg from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(OR=0.143,95%CI:0.040-0.515),the maximum ALT level during treatment(OR=0.986,95%CI:0.980-0.993),and the minimum TSH level during treatment(OR=3.281,95%CI:1.413-7.619)were independent factors affecting HBsAg clearance(all P<0.05).A combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance was built:Y=-1.603-1.462×treatment history+2.597×baseline HBsAg value-1.944×the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment-0.014×the maximum ALT value during treatment+1.188×the minimum TSH value during treatment.The diagnostic value of the individual indicators for HBsAg clearance from high to low was as following:the maximum ALT value during treatment(AUC=0.824),baseline HBsAg value(AUC=0.727),the minimum TSH value during treatment(AUC=0.707),the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(AUC=0.641),and treatment history(AUC=0.636).The combined model showed better predictive performance than the individual indicators,with the AUC being 0.921(all P<0.05).Conclusion The combined model,constructed with baseline HBsAg value,the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment,the maximum ALT value during treatment,and the minimum TSH value during treatment,has high predictive value for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative CHB after 48 weeks of treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b,which can provide a reference for identifying suitable patients for treatment and predicting clinical outcome.
3.Efficacy and safety of amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)for injection versus ampicillin-sulbactam in the treatment of community-acquired pneumonia
Xiaohua QIN ; Haihui HUANG ; Xingang HUANG ; Shenghua SUN ; Dongyang HE ; Wenjing WANG ; Yingyuan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(4):357-363
Objective To evaluate the efficacy and safety of amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)for injection in the treatment of community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)in adult patients.Methods Eligible patients were randomized to receive amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)2.2 g or ampicillin-sulbactam(2∶1)3.0 g via intravenous infusion q12h or q8h for 7 to 14 days.The primary endpoint was to the clinical efficacy 7-14 days after discontinuation of treatment.The secondary endpoints included microbiological efficacy and safety.Results All enrolled patients(n=324)were included in the full analysis set(FAS),specifically 165 patients receiving amoxicillin sodium-clavulanate potassium(10∶1)and 159 patients receiving ampicillin sodium-sulbactam sodium(2∶1).The clinical cure rate was 78.8%(130/165)for amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)and 77.4%(123/159)for ampicillin-sulbactam 7-14 days after end of treatment(P>0.05).The clinical cure rate was 87.5%(126/144)for amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)and 87.4%(111/127)for ampicillin-sulbactam(2∶1)in per protocol set(P>0.05).Therefore,amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)was non-inferior to ampicillin-sulbactam in the primary endpoint in the treatment of CAP in adult patients.The overall bacterial eradication rate was 94.4%(34/36)for amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)and 89.3%(25/28)for ampicillin-sulbactam(P>0.05).The common study drug-related clinical adverse event were abnormalities of hepatic function in both the amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)group(4.8%,8/165)and ampicillin-sulbactam group(3.1%,5/159)(P>0.05).Conclusions Amoxicillin-clavulanate(10∶1)2.2 g Ⅳ infusion q12h or q8h for 7-14 days was noninferior to ampicillin-sulbactam in terms of clinical and microbiological efficacy in the treatment of CAP in adult patients.The safety of the two dosing regimens was comparable.
4.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Huan MU ; Caifen SA ; Chunyan MOU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1364-1370
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis,and to establish a predictive model.Methods A total of 517 patients who attended The Third People's Hospital of Kunming and were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis from January 1,2016 to December 31,2022 were enrolled.The clinical data of the patients were reviewed,and the 207 patients with no portal hypertension-related complications within at least 1 year were enrolled as recompensation group,while the 310 patients without recompensation were enrolled as persistent decompensation group.Related clinical data were collected,and the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for the factors that might affect the occurrence of recompensation.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups,and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test or the Fisher's exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The"rms"package was used to establish a nomogram;the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted,and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)was calculated;the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the degree of fitting of the model;the"Calibration Curves"package was used to plot the calibration curve for model assessment.Results Among the patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis,207(40.03%)had recompensation.The univariate Cox regression analysis showed that there were significant differences between the recompensation group and the persistent decompensation group in TIPS history,genotyping,portal vein thrombosis,complicated infection,Child-Pugh class,age,hemoglobin(Hb),platelet count,total protein,albumin(Alb),alanine aminotransferase,triglyceride,cholesterol,creatinine,Na,interleukin-6,high-sensitivity C-reactive protein,portal vein width,and portal vein velocity(all P<0.05).The multivariate regression analysis showed that TIPS history(hazard ratio[HR]=2.491,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.325-4.681,P=0.005),portal vein thrombosis(HR=0.345,95%CI:0.152-0.783,P=0.001),Hb(HR=1.007,95%CI:1.000-1.013,P=0.028),Alb(HR=1.048,95%CI:1.017-1.080,P=0.002),and portal vein width(HR=0.899,95%CI:0.835-0.967,P=0.004)were independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.A nomogram model was established based on the above five influencing factors,and the Hosmers-Lemeshow test showed that this model had a good degree of fitting(χ2=3.202,P=0.921).The nomogram model had an AUC of 0.728,a sensitivity of 50.3%,and a specificity of 85.0%,and the calibration curve showed good consistency between the actual value of this model in predicting the occurrence of recompensation and the predicted value in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.Conclusion Patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis who have a history of TIPS and high levels of Alb and Hb are more likely to have recompensation,and it is relatively difficult for patients with portal vein thrombosis and an increase in portal vein width to achieve recompensation.
5.Clinical analysis of the use of carglumic acid to treat organic acidemia-induced neonatal hyperammonemia in 6 cases
Caijun WANG ; Mengchen CAO ; Mengmeng CHEN ; Xiaoyuan ZHANG ; Yingyuan WANG ; Yanmei ZHAO ; Yongxing CHEN ; Wenqing KANG
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2025;40(8):625-629
Objective:To analyze the clinical efficacy and safety of carglumic acid in the treatment of neonatal hyperammonemia caused by organic acidemia.Methods:A case summary was made.Six cases of neonatal hyperammonemia caused by organic acidemia treated at the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit of Henan Children′s Hospital from March to September in 2024 were included.They received comprehensive ammonia-lowering treatment in combination with oral carglumic acid dispersible tablets.The clinical data of the children were collected and analyzed retrospectively.Changes in blood ammonia levels, blood gas parameters, and complete blood count before and after treatment with carglumic acid were analyzed using the Wilcoxon test.The incidence of adverse reactions and clinical regression during the treatment with carglumic acid was observed.Results:There were 2 females and 4 males in the 6 patients included.Four children suffered from isolated methylmalonic acidemia caused by MUT gene mutations, and the other 2 had propionic acidemia.The clinical manifestations were poor breastfeeding in 6 cases, vomiting in 2 cases, poor response in 6 cases, weight loss in 6 cases, and convulsions in 3 cases.Acute metabolic decompensation abnormalities were presented in all children, such as metabolic acidosis, hyperammonemia, leukopenia and thrombocytopenia.The first dose of carglumic acid was 62-255 mg/kg, the second dose was 75-172 mg/kg.The blood ammonia level decreased from 411.7 (339.7, 623.8) μmol/L before treatment to 108.1 (35.5, 229.1) μmol/L after 48 hours of treatment, showing a statistically significant reduction ( Z=2.20, P<0.05).Three cases with a blood ammonia level higher than 400 μmol/L, it was effectively reduced after treatment with carglumic acid.Two cases did not undergo hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis.One case underwent hemodialysis but died after withdrawing the treatment.After administration of carglumic acid, metabolic acidosis was corrected in all children, and 2 patients ultimately died after discontinuing the treatment.No causal relationship was identified between adverse events and carglumic acid treatment.The examinations at discharge and during the follow-up period (2-7 months) showed that most laboratory abnormalities (including leukopenia, anemia, thrombocytopenia, hyperlactatemia, hyponatremia, hyperkalemia, elevated myocardial enzymes, and hyperbilirubinemia) returned to normal. Conclusions:Carglumic acid can effectively reduce neonatal hyperammonemia caused by organic academia, improve metabolic disorders, and reduce the need for blood purification or peritoneal dialysis, with good safety.
6.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Huan MU ; Caifen SA ; Chunyan MOU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1364-1370
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis,and to establish a predictive model.Methods A total of 517 patients who attended The Third People's Hospital of Kunming and were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis from January 1,2016 to December 31,2022 were enrolled.The clinical data of the patients were reviewed,and the 207 patients with no portal hypertension-related complications within at least 1 year were enrolled as recompensation group,while the 310 patients without recompensation were enrolled as persistent decompensation group.Related clinical data were collected,and the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for the factors that might affect the occurrence of recompensation.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups,and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test or the Fisher's exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The"rms"package was used to establish a nomogram;the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted,and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)was calculated;the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the degree of fitting of the model;the"Calibration Curves"package was used to plot the calibration curve for model assessment.Results Among the patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis,207(40.03%)had recompensation.The univariate Cox regression analysis showed that there were significant differences between the recompensation group and the persistent decompensation group in TIPS history,genotyping,portal vein thrombosis,complicated infection,Child-Pugh class,age,hemoglobin(Hb),platelet count,total protein,albumin(Alb),alanine aminotransferase,triglyceride,cholesterol,creatinine,Na,interleukin-6,high-sensitivity C-reactive protein,portal vein width,and portal vein velocity(all P<0.05).The multivariate regression analysis showed that TIPS history(hazard ratio[HR]=2.491,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.325-4.681,P=0.005),portal vein thrombosis(HR=0.345,95%CI:0.152-0.783,P=0.001),Hb(HR=1.007,95%CI:1.000-1.013,P=0.028),Alb(HR=1.048,95%CI:1.017-1.080,P=0.002),and portal vein width(HR=0.899,95%CI:0.835-0.967,P=0.004)were independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.A nomogram model was established based on the above five influencing factors,and the Hosmers-Lemeshow test showed that this model had a good degree of fitting(χ2=3.202,P=0.921).The nomogram model had an AUC of 0.728,a sensitivity of 50.3%,and a specificity of 85.0%,and the calibration curve showed good consistency between the actual value of this model in predicting the occurrence of recompensation and the predicted value in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.Conclusion Patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis who have a history of TIPS and high levels of Alb and Hb are more likely to have recompensation,and it is relatively difficult for patients with portal vein thrombosis and an increase in portal vein width to achieve recompensation.
7.Analysis of influencing factors and construction of predictive model for HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B treated with PEG-IFN-α-2b
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yuanqiang HE ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyan MOU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1525-1532
Objective To investigate the predictive factors for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B(CHB)receiving peginterferon alfa-2b(PEG-IFN-α-2b)treatment,analyze the effects of various indicators on the HBsAg clearance rate under different characteristics,and construct and evaluate a combined predictive model.Methods We included 125 patients with HBeAg-negative CHB at Kunming Third People's Hospital from May 2021 to May 2023.After treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b combined with nucleoside analogues for a course of 48 weeks,they were divided into HBsAg clearance group and HBsAg non-clearance group.Their general information and serological,biochemical,and virological indicators at different time points during treatment were recorded.Continuous data in normal distribution were compared using the t test.Continuous data in non-normal distribution were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test,and comparisons across different time points were performed using the multiple paired-sample Friedman test.Categorical data were compared using the χ2 test.A Logistic regression analysis was used to select variables to establish a combined multi-parameter predictive model.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were generated to evaluate the diagnostic value of individual indicators and the combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance.Results Before treatment,there were significant differences in baseline HBsAg level(Z=-3.997,P<0.05)and treatment history(χ2=8.221,P<0.05)between the two groups.During treatment,gradually decreasing trends were observed in white blood cell count(χ2=104.944),neutrophil count(χ2=132.036),platelet count(χ2=162.881),and thyroid-stimulating hormone level(TSH,χ2=83.304,all P<0.05),while alanine aminotransferase(ALT,χ2=157.618)and alpha fetoprotein(χ2=159.472)showed gradually increasing trends(both P<0.05).At 48 weeks of treatment,treatment history(odds ratio[OR]=0.232,95%confidence interval[CI]:0.071-0.753),baseline HBsAg level(OR=13.423,95%CI:3.276-54.997),the extent of decrease in HBsAg from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(OR=0.143,95%CI:0.040-0.515),the maximum ALT level during treatment(OR=0.986,95%CI:0.980-0.993),and the minimum TSH level during treatment(OR=3.281,95%CI:1.413-7.619)were independent factors affecting HBsAg clearance(all P<0.05).A combined predictive model for HBsAg clearance was built:Y=-1.603-1.462×treatment history+2.597×baseline HBsAg value-1.944×the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment-0.014×the maximum ALT value during treatment+1.188×the minimum TSH value during treatment.The diagnostic value of the individual indicators for HBsAg clearance from high to low was as following:the maximum ALT value during treatment(AUC=0.824),baseline HBsAg value(AUC=0.727),the minimum TSH value during treatment(AUC=0.707),the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment(AUC=0.641),and treatment history(AUC=0.636).The combined model showed better predictive performance than the individual indicators,with the AUC being 0.921(all P<0.05).Conclusion The combined model,constructed with baseline HBsAg value,the extent of HBsAg reduction from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment,the maximum ALT value during treatment,and the minimum TSH value during treatment,has high predictive value for the occurrence of HBsAg clearance in patients with HBeAg-negative CHB after 48 weeks of treatment with PEG-IFN-α-2b,which can provide a reference for identifying suitable patients for treatment and predicting clinical outcome.
8.Risk factors for concurrent hepatic hydrothorax before intervention in primary liver cancer and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Yuanzhen WANG ; Renhai TIAN ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):75-83
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for hepatic hydrothorax (HH) before intervention for primary hepatic carcinoma (PHC), and to construct and assess the nomogram risk prediction model. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 353 hospitalized patients who attended the Third People’s Hospital of Kunming for the first time from October 2012 to October 2021 and there diagnosed with PHC, and according to the presence or absence of HH, they were divided into HH group with 153 patients and non-HH group with 200 patients. General data and the data of initial clinical testing after admission were collected from all PHC patients. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. After the multicollinearity test was performed for the variables with statistical significance determined by the univariate analysis, the multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The “rms” software package was used to construct a nomogram risk prediction model, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to assess the risk prediction model; the “Calibration Curves” software package was used to plot the calibration curve, and the “rmda” software package was used to plot the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve. ResultsAmong the 353 patients with PHC, there were 153 patients with HH, with a prevalence rate of 43.34%. Child-Pugh class B (odds ratio [OR]=2.652, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050 — 6.698, P=0.039), Child-Pugh class C (OR=7.963, 95%CI: 1.046 — 60.632, P=0.045), total protein (OR=0.947, 95%CI: 0.914 — 0.981, P=0.003), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (OR=1.007, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.014, P=0.025), and interleukin-2 (OR=0.801, 95%CI: 0.653 — 0.981, P=0.032) were independent influencing factors for HH before PHC intervention, and a nomogram risk prediction model was established based on these factors. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good degree of fitting (χ2=5.006, P=0.757), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.752 (95%CI: 0.701 — 0.803), a sensitivity of 78.40%, and a specificity of 63.50%. The calibration curve showed that the model had good consistency in predicting HH before PHC intervention, and the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve showed that the model had good clinical practicability within a certain threshold range. ConclusionChild-Pugh class, total protein, interleukin-2, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein are independent influencing factors for developing HH before PHC intervention, and the nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of developing HH.
9.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Zhijian DONG ; Lihua ZHANG ; Yijing CHENG ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):269-276
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and to establish a predictive model. MethodsA total of 217 patients who were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis and were admitted to The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming l from January, 2019 to December, 2022 were enrolled, among whom 63 patients who were readmitted within at least 1 year and had no portal hypertension-related complications were enrolled as recompensation group, and 154 patients without recompensation were enrolled as control group. Related clinical data were collected, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the factors that may affect the occurrence of recompensation. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed measurement data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed measurement data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A binary Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of the model. ResultsAmong the 217 patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, 63 (29.03%) had recompensation. There were significant differences between the recompensation group and the control group in HIV history (χ2=4.566, P=0.034), history of partial splenic embolism (χ2=6.687, P=0.014), Child-Pugh classification (χ2=11.978, P=0.003), grade of ascites (χ2=14.229, P<0.001), albumin (t=4.063, P<0.001), prealbumin (Z=-3.077, P=0.002), high-density lipoprotein (t=2.854, P=0.011), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (Z=-2.447, P=0.014), prothrombin time (Z=-2.441, P=0.015), carcinoembryonic antigen (Z=-2.113, P=0.035), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (Z=-2.063, P=0.039), CA125 (Z=-2.270, P=0.023), TT3 (Z=-3.304, P<0.001), TT4 (Z=-2.221, P=0.026), CD45+ (Z=-2.278, P=0.023), interleukin-5 (Z=-2.845, P=0.004), tumor necrosis factor-α (Z=-2.176, P=0.030), and portal vein width (Z=-5.283, P=0.005). The multivariate analysis showed that history of partial splenic embolism (odds ratio [OR]=3.064, P=0.049), HIV history (OR=0.195, P=0.027), a small amount of ascites (OR=3.390, P=0.017), AFP (OR=1.003, P=0.004), and portal vein width (OR=0.600, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis. The ROC curve analysis showed that HIV history, grade of ascites, history of partial splenic embolism, AFP, portal vein width, and the combined predictive model of these indices had an area under the ROC curve of 0.556, 0.641, 0.560, 0.589, 0.745, and 0.817, respectively. ConclusionFor patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, those with a history of partial splenic embolism, a small amount of ascites, and an increase in AFP level are more likely to experience recompensation, while those with a history of HIV and an increase in portal vein width are less likely to experience recompensation.
10.Value of FibroScan, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio, S index, interleukin-6, and tumor necrosis factor-α in the diagnosis of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B liver fibrosis
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Chunyan MOU ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Hongyan WEI ; Li LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyun LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(4):670-676
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of noninvasive imaging detection (FibroScan), two serological models of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) score and S index, and two inflammatory factors of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in predicting liver fibrosis in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB), as well as the consistency of liver biopsy in pathological staging, and to provide early warning for early intervention of CHB. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for 131 HBeAg-positive CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy in The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2019 to December 2023. The results of liver biopsy were collected from all patients, and related examinations were performed before liver biopsy, including total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, albumin, IL-6, TNF-α, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and abdominal ultrasound. An analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A Kappa analysis was used to investigate the consistency between LSM noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy, and the Spearman analysis was used to investigate the correlation between each variable and FibroScan in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis stage. The Logistic regression analysis was used to construct joint predictive factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the value of each indicator alone and the joint predictive model in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, and the Delong test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve (AUC). ResultsIn the consistency check, inflammation degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.807 (P<0.001), and liver fibrosis degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.827 (P<0.001), suggesting that FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and liver biopsy showed good consistency in assessing inflammation degree and liver fibrosis stage. Age was positively correlated with LSM, GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α (all P<0.05), and GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were positively correlated with LSM (all P<0.05). GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were all independent risk factors for diagnosing significant liver fibrosis (≥S2) and progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3) (all P<0.05). As for each indicator alone, GPR score had the highest value in the diagnosis of significant liver fibrosis (≥S2), followed by S index, IL-6, and TNF-α, while S index had the highest value in the diagnosis of progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3), followed by GPR score, TNF-α, and IL-6. The joint model had a higher predictive value than each indicator alone (all P<0.05). ConclusionThere is a good consistency between FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy. GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α are independent risk factors for evaluating different degree of liver fibrosis in CHB, and the combined prediction model established by them can better diagnose liver fibrosis.

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