1.Development and multicenter validation of machine learning models for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications after neurosurgery.
Ming XU ; Wenhao ZHU ; Siyu HOU ; Hongzhi XU ; Jingwen XIA ; Liyu LIN ; Hao FU ; Mingyu YOU ; Jiafeng WANG ; Zhi XIE ; Xiaohong WEN ; Yingwei WANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(17):2170-2179
BACKGROUND:
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are major adverse events in neurosurgical patients. This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models predicting PPCs after neurosurgery.
METHODS:
PPCs were defined according to the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome standards as occurring within 7 postoperative days. Data of cases meeting inclusion/exclusion criteria were extracted from the anesthesia information management system to create three datasets: The development (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University from 2018 to 2020), temporal validation (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University in 2021) and external validation (data of other three hospitals in 2023) datasets. Machine learning models of six algorithms were trained using either 35 retrievable and plausible features or the 11 features selected by Lasso regression. Temporal validation was conducted for all models and the 11-feature models were also externally validated. Independent risk factors were identified and feature importance in top models was analyzed.
RESULTS:
PPCs occurred in 712 of 7533 (9.5%), 258 of 2824 (9.1%), and 207 of 2300 (9.0%) patients in the development, temporal validation and external validation datasets, respectively. During cross-validation training, all models except Bayes demonstrated good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.840. In temporal validation of full-feature models, deep neural network (DNN) performed the best with an AUC of 0.835 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.805-0.858) and a Brier score of 0.069, followed by Logistic regression (LR), random forest and XGBoost. The 11-feature models performed comparable to full-feature models with very close but statistically significantly lower AUCs, with the top models of DNN and LR in temporal and external validations. An 11-feature nomogram was drawn based on the LR algorithm and it outperformed the minimally modified Assess respiratory RIsk in Surgical patients in CATalonia (ARISCAT) and Laparoscopic Surgery Video Educational Guidelines (LAS VEGAS) scores with a higher AUC (LR: 0.824, ARISCAT: 0.672, LAS: 0.663). Independent risk factors based on multivariate LR mostly overlapped with Lasso-selected features, but lacked consistency with the important features using the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) method of the LR model.
CONCLUSIONS:
The developed models, especially the DNN model and the nomogram, had good discrimination and calibration, and could be used for predicting PPCs in neurosurgical patients. The establishment of machine learning models and the ascertainment of risk factors might assist clinical decision support for improving surgical outcomes.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ChiCTR 2100047474; https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=128279 .
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Algorithms
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Lung Diseases/etiology*
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Machine Learning
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Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects*
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Postoperative Complications/diagnosis*
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Risk Factors
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ROC Curve
2.Application of assisted reproductive technology in fertility pre-servation and promotion for women with malignant tumors.
Chunmei MA ; Xiaoling HU ; Shanshan ZHANG ; Lanfeng XING ; Yingwei ZHANG ; Yimin ZHU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;():1-10
OBJECTIVES:
To evaluate the strategies and outcomes of assisted reproductive technology (ART) for fertility preservation and promotion in women with malignant tumors, and to analyze ART outcomes across different tumor types.
METHODS:
We conducted a retrospective analysis of female patients who underwent ART for fertility preservation or treatment at the Reproductive Center of the Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2023. A total of 163 ART-aided pregnancy patients with malignant tumors were included in the case group, among which 6 patients underwent embryo cryopreservation for fertility preservation before radiotherapy or chemotherapy. Additionally, 11 unmarried women underwent oocyte cryopreservation due to borderline ovarian tumors, ovarian cancer, breast cancer, or hematological malignancies. The control group was selected from women without a history of malignant tumors who received ART treatment during the same period, using propensity score matching at a ratio of 1∶2, resulting in 326 cases. Data were collected through the reproductive medical record system and telephone follow-up (as of October 31, 2024). Baseline characteristics, controlled ovarian hyperstimulation parameters, laboratory indicators, and pregnancy outcomes were compared between case and control groups and among patients with different tumor types, and the tumor recurrence of the patients was followed up.
RESULTS:
Patients in the case group had significantly lower ovarian reserve (AMH, AFC) and a higher proportion of diminished ovarian reserve compared to the control group (all P<0.01). Regarding the ovulation induction protocol, the proportion of patients using the minimal stimulation protocol in the case group was significantly higher than that in the control group (29.45% vs. 12.88%, P<0.01), and the total dosage of gonadotropins used was lower (P<0.01). In terms of assisted reproductive outcomes, there were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in the number of retrieved oocytes, number of high-quality embryos, fertilization rate, cumulative pregnancy rate, cumulative live birth rate, or miscarriage rate (all P>0.05). However, the number of oocyte retrieval cycles and embryo transfer cycles required to achieve a live birth outcome in the case group were significantly higher than those in the control group (both P<0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that there were no significant differences in cumulative pregnancy rate and live birth rate among patients with different tumor types (thyroid cancer, reproductive system tumors, breast cancer, lung cancer). Nevertheless, lung cancer patients had the lowest ovarian reserve and required the most oocyte retrieval cycles due to their older age; breast cancer patients had a relatively lower fertilization rate partially because some of them were complicated with male factors. A follow-up of 154 tumor patients (with a follow-up rate of 88.5%) revealed that 6 patients (4.20%) had tumor recurrence, and 1 breast cancer patient died due to tumor recurrence. None of the 11 unmarried patients who had undergone oocyte cryopreservation had used the cryopreserved oocytes for assisted pregnancy yet, and 1 patient who had undergone fertility preservation died due to tumor recurrence.
CONCLUSIONS
Women of reproductive age with malignant tumors are at risk of diminished fertility. ART can effectively preserve and promote fertility, enabling favorable pregnancy and live birth outcomes. It is recommended to initiate a multidisciplinary assessment promptly prior to radiotherapy/chemotherapy and formulate an individualized ART regimen for fertility preservation or promotion, so as to achieve reproductive goals or safeguard future fertility potential.
3.A multicenter study on the efficacy of percutaneous transhepatic cholangial drainage and endoscopic retrograde cholagiopancreatography for acute obstructive suppurative cholangitis
Lili ZHANG ; Lei GONG ; Lei WANG ; Yingwei ZHU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2023;29(9):659-663
Objective:To study the efficacy of percutaneous transhepatic cholangial drainage (PTCD) and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) for acute obstructive suppurative cholangitis (AOSC).Methods:Clinical data of 63 patients with AOSC admitted to Wuxi No.2 People’s Hospital and the Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School from January 2018 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including 38 males and 25 females, aged (72.0±13.9) years. According to the treatment modality, patients were divided into PTCD group ( n=30) and ERCP group ( n=33). The laboratory data of inflammation and liver function, clinical effect and survival were compared between the groups. Results:The white blood cell count, neutrophil ratio, serum levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase, glutamic-pyruvic transaminase, and glutamyl transpeptidase in both groups decreased significantly at seven days after the procedures, compared to those before treatment (all P<0.05). The postoperative levels of total bilirubin and direct bilirubin in the ERCP group were significantly lower than those in the PTCD group [48.6 (35.0, 99.5) vs 34.5 (24.4, 69.5) μmol/L, ( Z=1.97, P=0.047) and 102.0 (37.5, 108.0) vs 77.0 (22.0, 115.6) μmol/L, ( Z=2.11, P=0.036)]. The levels of total bilirubin ( Z=4.06, P<0.001) and direct bilirubin ( Z=3.47, P<0.001) were significantly decreased after ERCP, compared to those before the treatment. There was no significant difference in the total effective rate and survival between the groups (both P>0.05). Conclusion:Both PTCD and ERCP can effectively alleviate biliary obstruction and inflammatory reaction and enhance the recovery of liver function. ERCP could better relieve the jaundice.
4.Effect of preoperative cognitive behavioral therapy on pain catastrophizing in patients with orthopedic trauma
Xiaoxing LU ; Liuyi WANG ; Yangzi ZHU ; Meiyan ZHOU ; Ting ZHANG ; Shuwen LIU ; Youjia YU ; Yingwei WANG ; Liwei WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2022;42(8):941-944
Objective:To evaluate the effect of preoperative cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) on pain catastrophizing in the patients with orthopedic trauma.Methods:A total of 120 patients with lower extremity bone trauma, aged 18-64 yr, of American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status Ⅰor Ⅱ, with body mass index of 18-28 kg/m 2, with Pain Catastrophic Scale (PCS) score on admission >16, scheduled for surgical treatment, were enrolled.The patients were divided into 2 groups ( n=60 each) by the stratified randomization method based on the type of fracture: CBT group and routine group (group R). Group CBT received CBT for pain through the internet on the day of admission and one day before operation.The patients in both groups underwent reduction and internal fixation of lower extremity fractures under combined spinal-epidural anesthesia.The PCS scores were recorded immediately after admission and on the morning of the operation day.The effective pressing times of the patient-controlled analgesia pump, consumption of analgesics for rescue analgesia, and occurrence of nausea and vomiting within 48 h after operation were recorded.The visual analogue scale score of the surgical site during activity and occurrence of the score >3 at 3 months after operation and use of opioids within 3 months after operation were recorded. Results:Compared with group R, the PCS score was significantly decreased on the morning of the operation day, the pressing times of the patient-controlled analgesia pump, consumption of analgesics for rescue analgesia and incidence of nausea and vomiting within 48 h after operation were decreased, the requirement for opioids within 3 months after operation was decreased ( P<0.05), and no significant change was found in VAS score during activity and occurrence of the score >3 at 3 months after operation in group CBT ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Preoperative CBT can reduce the degree of pain catastrophizing and is helpful in increasing the quality of postoperative analgesia in the patients with orthopedic trauma.
5.Effect and mechanism of transcutaneous electrical acustimulation on the improving gastrointestinal motility and inflammation in patients with acute pancreatitis
Gaojue WU ; Wenhui XU ; Jialei XUAN ; Xuejun TANG ; Lei GONG ; Yingwei ZHU
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2022;42(7):445-451
Objective:To explore the regulation effect and possible mechanism of transcutaneous electrical acustimulation (TEA) on the improvement of gastrointestinal motility and inflammation in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).Methods:A randomized, single-blinded, sham-controlled study was performed. A total of 62 AP patients were randomly divided into the TEA group ( n=31) and sham-TEA group ( n=31), on the basis of regular treatment, who received TEA treatment at Neiguan (PC6) and Zusanli (ST36) or sham-TEA treatment at corresponding pseudo stimulation acupoints for 2 days. Abdominal distension score, time to first defecation, gastric slow wave, heart rate variability (low frequency and high frequency, reflecting sympathetic and vagal activity, respectively), serum level of tumor tecrosis factor (TNF)-α, plasma levels of motilin, ghrelin and vasoactive intestinal peptide(VIP) tested by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay were compared before and after the treatment. Wilcoxon rank test, Mann-Whitney U test, t-test and two factor repeated measurement analysis of variance were used for statistical analysis. Results:After the treatment, abdominal distension score of TEA group was lower than that of sham-TEA group(1 (0 to 2) vs.5(3 to 6)) and time to first defecation was earlier than that of sham-TEA group((55.00±24.27) h vs.(67.95±23.84) h), the percentage of normal gastric slow wave was higher than that of sham-TEA group((57.42±11.16)% vs. (40.92±8.52)%), and the differences were statistically significant ( Z=-4.95、 t=-2.12、 F=61.53, all P<0.05). After the treatment, the serum level of TNF-α of TEA group was significantly lower than that of sham-TEA group((4.27±1.28) ng/L vs.(6.19±2.03) ng/L), and the difference was statistically significant ( F=28.65, P<0.05). The ratio of post/pre-treatment of low frequency heart rate variability of the TEA group was significantly lower than that of sham-TEA group, however, the result of high frequency was opposite (0.87±0.18 vs.1.14±0.16, 1.19±0.18 vs.0.96±0.13), and the differences were statistically significant ( t=-6.22 and 5.74, both P<0.05). After the treatment, the plasma level of ghrelin of TEA group was higher than that of sham-TEA group ((2.02±0.62) μg/L vs. (0.93±0.49) μg/L), the VIP level was lower than of sham-TEA group ((30.58±12.20) μg/L vs.(44.35±29.52) μg/L), and the differences were statistically significant ( F=59.22 and 5.50, both P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference in motilin levels between two groups ((24.57±9.58) ng/L vs. (22.75±9.58) ng/L, P>0.05). Conclusion:TEA treatment can improve gastrointestinal motility and inhibit the inflammation in early AP, which may be related with the regulation of autonomic function, gastrointestinal hormone ghrelin and VIP.
6.Analysis of common viral infection in surveillance cases of febrile respiratory syndrome in 9 provinces of China from 2009 to 2021
Aili CUI ; Zhen ZHU ; Naiying MAO ; Zhibo XIE ; Luyuan GUAN ; Kongxin HU ; Runan ZHU ; Julong WU ; Yan LI ; Yingwei MA ; Fangcai LI ; Wenyang WANG ; Zhenguo GAO ; Yan ZHANG ; Wenbo XU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(7):912-918
Objective:To understand the common viral infection among the surveillance cases of fever respiratory syndrome (FRS) in nine provinces in China.Methods:The research data were obtained from nine provinces (Anhui, Beijing, Guangdong, Hebei, Hunan, Jilin, Shandong, Shaanxi and Xinjiang) in the "Infectious Disease Surveillance Technology Platform Information Management System" of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from January 2009 to June 2021. Finally, 8 243 FRS cases with nucleic acid detection results of eight viruses [human influenza virus (HIFV), human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), human adenovirus (HAdV), human parainfluenza virus (HPIV), human rhinovirus (HRV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human coronavirus (HCoV) and human Boca virus (HBoV)] were included in the study. The χ 2 test/Fisher exact probability method was used to analyze the difference of virus detection rate in different age groups, regions and seasons. Results The M ( Q1, Q3) age of 8 243 FRS cases was 4 (1, 18) years old, and 56.56% (4 662 cases) were children under 5 years old. Males accounted for 58.1% (4 792 cases) of all cases. All cases were from outpatient/emergency department (2 043 cases) and inpatient department (6 200 cases). The virus detection rates of FRS cases from high to low were HRSV, HIFV, HPIV, HRV, HAdV, HMPV, HCoV and HBoV. Two or more viruses were detected simultaneously in 524 cases, accounting for 15.66% of virus-positive cases. The difference of the virus detection rate in different age groups was statistically significant (all P values<0.05), and the virus detection rate in children<5 years old was higher (49.96%). The positive rate of any virus in south China was higher than that in north China ( P<0.001). The virus-positive FRS cases were detected throughout the year. The detection rate of HRSV was higher in autumn and winter. The detection rate of HIFV was higher in winter. The detection rate of HMPV was higher in winter and spring. The detection rates of HPIV, HRV, HCoV and HBoV were higher in summer and autumn, while there was no significant difference in the detection rate of HAdV in different seasons. Compared with 2009-2019, the detection rate of any virus in 2020-2021 decreased from 41.37% to 37.86%. The detection rate of HIFV decreased sharply from 10.62% to 1.37%. The detection rate of HPIV decreased from 8.24% to 5.88%. The detection rate of HRV and HBoV increased from 5.43% and 1.79% to 9.67% and 3.19%, respectively. Conclusion:HRSV and HIFV infections are more common among FRS cases in nine provinces in China from 2009 to 2021, and the epidemiological characteristics of eight common respiratory viruses vary in different age groups, regions and seasons.
7.Analysis of common viral infection in surveillance cases of febrile respiratory syndrome in 9 provinces of China from 2009 to 2021
Aili CUI ; Zhen ZHU ; Naiying MAO ; Zhibo XIE ; Luyuan GUAN ; Kongxin HU ; Runan ZHU ; Julong WU ; Yan LI ; Yingwei MA ; Fangcai LI ; Wenyang WANG ; Zhenguo GAO ; Yan ZHANG ; Wenbo XU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(7):912-918
Objective:To understand the common viral infection among the surveillance cases of fever respiratory syndrome (FRS) in nine provinces in China.Methods:The research data were obtained from nine provinces (Anhui, Beijing, Guangdong, Hebei, Hunan, Jilin, Shandong, Shaanxi and Xinjiang) in the "Infectious Disease Surveillance Technology Platform Information Management System" of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from January 2009 to June 2021. Finally, 8 243 FRS cases with nucleic acid detection results of eight viruses [human influenza virus (HIFV), human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), human adenovirus (HAdV), human parainfluenza virus (HPIV), human rhinovirus (HRV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human coronavirus (HCoV) and human Boca virus (HBoV)] were included in the study. The χ 2 test/Fisher exact probability method was used to analyze the difference of virus detection rate in different age groups, regions and seasons. Results The M ( Q1, Q3) age of 8 243 FRS cases was 4 (1, 18) years old, and 56.56% (4 662 cases) were children under 5 years old. Males accounted for 58.1% (4 792 cases) of all cases. All cases were from outpatient/emergency department (2 043 cases) and inpatient department (6 200 cases). The virus detection rates of FRS cases from high to low were HRSV, HIFV, HPIV, HRV, HAdV, HMPV, HCoV and HBoV. Two or more viruses were detected simultaneously in 524 cases, accounting for 15.66% of virus-positive cases. The difference of the virus detection rate in different age groups was statistically significant (all P values<0.05), and the virus detection rate in children<5 years old was higher (49.96%). The positive rate of any virus in south China was higher than that in north China ( P<0.001). The virus-positive FRS cases were detected throughout the year. The detection rate of HRSV was higher in autumn and winter. The detection rate of HIFV was higher in winter. The detection rate of HMPV was higher in winter and spring. The detection rates of HPIV, HRV, HCoV and HBoV were higher in summer and autumn, while there was no significant difference in the detection rate of HAdV in different seasons. Compared with 2009-2019, the detection rate of any virus in 2020-2021 decreased from 41.37% to 37.86%. The detection rate of HIFV decreased sharply from 10.62% to 1.37%. The detection rate of HPIV decreased from 8.24% to 5.88%. The detection rate of HRV and HBoV increased from 5.43% and 1.79% to 9.67% and 3.19%, respectively. Conclusion:HRSV and HIFV infections are more common among FRS cases in nine provinces in China from 2009 to 2021, and the epidemiological characteristics of eight common respiratory viruses vary in different age groups, regions and seasons.
8.Practice and thinking on constructing a scientific research system for regional liver pathology center under the concept of collaborative innovation
Hong TANG ; Yingwei ZHU ; Zhonghua LU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2021;37(9):2167-2170
Objective To investigate the influence of the concept of collaborative innovation on the construction of a scientific research system for regional liver pathology center from multiple perspectives, and to explore its application significance. Methods A total of 1246 liver biopsy specimens which were examined in Department of Pathology in Wuxi Second People's Hospital and Wuxi Fifth People's Hospital from January 2014 to September 2020 were collected, among which the specimens examined before the founding of the regional liver pathology center were collected as nI group, and those examined after the founding of the center were collected as nII group. According to the examination time of the first, second, or third year after founding, the nII group was further divided into nIIa group, nIIb group, and nIIc group. A multi-perspective analysis was performed based on five indices, i.e., number of liver biopsy specimens, growth rate of liver biopsy specimens, growth rate of internal collaborative departments, growth rate of external collaborative units, and evaluation of the collaborative and innovative scientific research system. Results The growth rate of liver biopsy specimens in the nI group was 15.51%; after the founding of the regional liver pathology center, the highest growth rate of 187.76% was observed in the nIIa group, and a relatively stable growth rate of 76.35% was observed in the nIIb group. There was a gradual increase in the number of specimens in internal collaborative departments, with a growth rate of 50% in the nIIa group and 83.33% in the nIIb group, while the number of external collaborative units increased steadily, with a growth rate of 100% in the nIIa group and 50% in the nIIb group. The nII group showed a diversified increasing trend in the evaluation indices of the scientific research system. Conclusion It is a new perspective for the construction of regional disciplinary scientific research system to grasp the opportunity of policy-supported development and innovate the effective cooperation mode between internal departments and external units under the concept of collaborative innovation.
9.Bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells protect myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury by inducing regulatory T cells in mice
Lingxiao PANG ; Qian LI ; Wei ZHU ; Bin SHENG ; Yongsheng YUAN ; Yingwei OU ; Rongcheng AN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2021;30(8):973-978
Objective:To investigate the protective effect and mechanism of bone marrow-derived mesenchymal stem cell (BM-MSC) on myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury (MIRI) in mice.Methods:Twenty four C57 MIRI mice were randomly(random number) divided into four groups: SO group, RI group, MSC+RI group, and MSC + RI+ PC61 group. The ratio of Treg were detected by flow cytometry. Serum levels of CK, TNI, BNP, IL-10 and TGF-β were measured by ELISA. The histological changes of myocardium were observed by HE staining. The number of cardiomyocyte apoptosis was measured by TUNEL staining, and the area ratio of myocardial infarction were determined by TTC staining. One-way ANOVA was used to analyze the data.Results:In the MSC + RI group, the ratio of Treg and the levels of IL-10 and TGF-β were the highest, while CK, TNI and BNP were the lowest ( P<0.01) .The number of myocardial apoptotic cells, infarct size and tissue fibrosis were the least ( P<0.01) . Conclusions:MSC can induce the production of Treg, increase the release of anti-inflammatory cytokines IL-10 and TGF-β, and reduce the inflammatory injury after myocardial ischemia-reperfusion.
10.Role of heterogeneity of cancer-associated fibroblasts in targeted therapy of pancreatic cancer
Zhiying YAN ; Yifeng MAO ; Yingwei ZHU ; Kequn XU
Journal of International Oncology 2021;48(5):308-312
The incidence of pancreatic cancer is increasing year by year, but the clinical diagnosis and treatment progress is limited and the prognosis is poor. Tumor microenvironment (TME) is closely related to the invasion, metastasis and chemotherapy resistance of pancreatic cancer. Cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) are fibroblasts in a state of continuous activation, which are the most prominent components in TME. CAFs can promote the malignant biological behavior of pancreatic cancer through a variety of molecule-mediated mechanisms. Moreover, several attempts targeting CAFs for the treatment of pancreatic cancer have been largely unsuccessful. It may be related to the heterogeneity of CAFs in pancreatic cancer. Therefore, in-depth study of its heterogeneity and accurate targeting of some specific phenotypes and functional CAFs subtypes in the matrix on this basis may be more promising in the clinical treatment of pancreatic cancer.

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