1.Relationship between NFKB1 and LHX2 gene polymorphisms and esophageal cancer susceptibility
ZHANG Wenluo ; ZHU Lin ; WANG Yan ; LIU Guangchao ; WANG Wenxiang ; CAI Yingbin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(4):350-355
Objective:
To explore the relationship between nuclear factor-kappa B subunit 1 (NFKB1) and LIM-homeobox gene 2 (LHX2) polymorphisms and esophageal cancer susceptibility, so as to provide the reference for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer.
Methods:
A total of 100 patients with primary esophageal cancer diagnosed at the Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from 2019 to 2023 were selected as the case group, and 100 healthy individuals undergoing physical examination during the same period of time were selected as the control group. Demographic information, disease history and lifestyle data were collected through questionnaire surveys. The single nucleotide polymorphisms at the rs28362491 and rs4648068 loci of NFKB1 gene as well as rs10760310 and rs10121751 loci of LHX2 gene were detected using multiplex high-temperature ligase detection reaction technology. The relationship between these loci and esophageal cancer susceptibility were analyzed using a multivariable conditional logistic regression, linkage disequilibrium and haplotype analysis. The impact of the interaction between the above-mentioned loci and environmental factors on esophageal cancer susceptibility using the generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction (GMDR) method.
Results:
The case group comprised 73 males and 27 females, with a mean age of (64.02±8.90) years. The control group included 73 males and 27 females, with a mean age of (64.54±9.43) years. The genotype distributions of rs28362491, rs4648068, rs10760310 and rs10121751, loci in both groups conformed to Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (all P>0.05). Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis showed that rs10760310 and rs10121751 loci of LHX2 gene were associated with the esophageal cancer susceptibility (both P<0.05). The overdominant model of rs10760310 loci of LHX2 gene had the lowest Akaike information criterion value (OR=0.22, 95%CI: 0.10-0.47). GAA haplotypes at rs4648068, rs10760310 and rs10121751 loci were associated with a lower risk of esophageal cancer susceptibility (OR=0.26, 95%CI: 0.13-0.50). GMDR analysis revealed a statistically significant interaction between rs10760310 loci and smoking on esophageal cancer susceptibility (P<0.05, cross-validation consistency coefficient: 10/10).
Conclusion
The rs10760310 and rs10121751 loci polymorphisms of LHX2 gene may be associated with esophageal cancer susceptibility, and there is an interaction between rs10760310 loci and smoking on the esophageal cancer susceptibility.
2.Four nutritional screening tools for evaluating the nutritional status of children with aplastic anemia
Memet GULIBAHAR ; Yu LIU ; Chuncan WU ; Changda ZHAO ; Yingbin YUE ; Mei YAN
International Journal of Pediatrics 2025;52(5):353-358
Objective:To evaluate the nutritional status of children with aplastic anemia(AA)using the children's nutritional risk index(CNRI),prognostic nutritional index(PNI),controlling nutritional status(CONUT),instant nutritional assessment(INA),and combined index(CI),in order to provide scientific evidence to support clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of pediatric AA patients treated in the Department of Pediatrics,Ward 1,First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 1st,2019 to April 30st,2024.Nutritional status was assessed using CNRI,PNI,CONUT,and INA,and integrated into CI.The agreement between different nutritional screening tools was evaluated using Kappa statistics. Results:A total of 68 pediatric AA patients were included,with an overall malnutrition prevalence of 44.1%.The malnutrition rates were 39.4% in the body mass index(BMI)normal group and 48.6% in the BMI abnormal group.Across disease severity groups,malnutrition was observed in 66.67% of very severe AA(VSAA)patients,54.17% of severe AA(SAA)patients,and 28.13% of non-severe AA(NSAA)patients,and the difference was statistically significant( χ2=6.778, P=0.034). Kappa analysis demonstrated the highest concordance between CONUT,INA,and CI,with Kappa values of 0.882( P<0.001). Conclusion:Pediatric AA patients have a high prevalence of malnutrition,and their nutritional status decline significantly with increasing disease severity.CONUT and INA are effective tools for assessing nutritional status in children with AA,providing reliable evidence for clinical evaluation.
3.Preparation of fluorescent nanoprobes based on aggregation-induced emission and their application in the diagnosis and treatment of oral cancer
Yanze WANG ; Ruixin NIE ; Guanhua WANG ; Xiaoli LIAN ; Yingbin YAN ; Xiaoyan ZHANG
International Journal of Biomedical Engineering 2025;48(5):443-453
Objective:To develop fluorescent nanoprobes with aggregation-induced emission characteristics and to systematically evaluate their optical properties, biosafety, anti-tumor activity, and imaging capability, thereby assessing their potential for early precision diagnosis and treatment of oral cancer in mice.Methods:Control probes (PEG@TPD) were prepared by encapsulating ( E)-4-(2-(4′-(1-phenyl-2,2-bis(4-methoxyphenyl)vinyl)biphenyl-4-yl)vinyl)-4-(dicyanomethylene)-4 H-chromene (TPD) using 1,2-distearoyl- SN-glycerol-3-phosphoethanolamine- N-polyethylene glycol 2000-maleimide as the carrier. Fluorescent nanoprobes (GE11-PEG@TPD) were subsequently fabricated by surface modification with the targeting GE11 peptide. The morphology and particle size of the nanoprobes were characterized by transmission electron microscopy and dynamic light scattering. The optical properties of the nanoprobes were analyzed using ultraviolet-visible spectrophotometry and fluorescence spectrophotometry. Mouse squamous carcinoma SCC-7 cells were randomly divided into six groups by the random number table method. The PBS, PEG@TPD, and GE11-PEG@TPD groups were not treated with light, while the PBS+L, PEG@TPD+L, and GE11-PEG@TPD+L groups were exposed to white light (25 W/cm 2, 10 min) at a nanoprobe concentration of 20 μg/ml (based on TPD concentration). Cell survival rate was assessed by the cell counting kit-8 assay. Cellular uptake, intracellular reactive oxygen species levels, and cytotoxicity were evaluated using laser scanning confocal microscopy. The apoptosis rate was evaluated by cell apoptosis assay. Twelve 6-week-old female C3H/HeN mice were randomly divided into two groups: PEG@TPD-1 group and GE11-PEG@TPD-1 group, with 6 mice in each group. Subcutaneous oral cancer models were established by injecting SCC-7 cell suspensions into the dorsal region of mice in two groups. Each mouse was intravenously administered 200 μl of PEG@TPD or GE11-PEG@TPD solution (1 mg/ml, based on TPD concentration). Tumor boundaries and scope were visualized using a small animal in vivo imaging system. At the optimal imaging time point, three mice from each group were euthanized, and major organs and tumor tissues were collected to measure probe accumulation. Statistical comparisons between two groups were performed using independent samples t-tests, while one-way or two-way analysis of variance was applied for multiple group comparisons. Results:Both PEG@TPD and GE11-PEG@TPD exhibited a relatively regular sphere, with average particle sizes of (92.76±8.80 and 117.50±6.40) nm, respectively. PEG@TPD showed two obvious absorption peaks at 352 and 444 nm. GE11 peptide showed a polypeptide characteristic absorption peak at 280 nm, GE11-PEG@TPD showed three characteristic absorption peaks at 280, 352 and 444 nm. Under dark conditions, cell survival rate remained above 80% even at a concentration of 160 μg/ml. After light irradiation, cell survival rate in the PEG@TPD+L group at 20 and 40 μg/ml [(68.2±5.2)% and (48.6±7.1)%] were higher than those in the GE11-PEG@TPD+L group [(55.0±2.8)% and (30.0±9.2)%], with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05, 0.01). At incubation time points of 2, 4, and 6 h, the relative fluorescence intensity of the GE11-PEG@TPD group (119.4±10.2, 192.9±14.2, and 234.1±4.8) were higher than those of the PEG@TPD group (98.6±7.5, 163.8±3.1, 204.6±11.2), with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). The relative fluorescence intensity of the PEG@TPD+L and GE11-PEG@TPD+L group (68.5±4.7 and 86.8±10.0) were higher than those in the PBS, PEG@TPD, GE11-PEG@TPD, and PBS+L groups (6.1±8.0, 7.6±1.8, 4.7±4.2 and 21.1±7.6), with statistically significant differences (all P<0.01). And the difference between the GE11-PEG@TPD+L and PEG@TPD+L groups was also statistically significant ( P<0.05). Viable cell proportions in the PBS, PEG@TPD, GE11-PEG@TPD, and PBS+L groups all exceeded 95.0%, while those in the PEG@TPD+L and GE11-PEG@TPD+L groups decreased to (11.1±3.7)% and (4.3±1.1)%, respectively, with a statistically significant difference between them ( P<0.05). The apoptotic cell proportions in the PEG@TPD+L and GE11-PEG@TPD+L groups [(40.5±4.3)% and (55.3±7.4)%] were higher than those in the PBS, PEG@TPD, GE11-PEG@TPD, and PBS+L groups [(27.3±2.0)%, (28.2±1.9)%, (28.6±1.2)%, and (29.7±3.0)%], with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05, 0.01). Moreover, the difference between the GE11-PEG@TPD+L and the PEG@TPD+L groups was also statistically significant ( P<0.01). The mean fluorescence intensities of the GE11-PEG@TPD-1 group at 1, 3, 5, 8, and 24 h, as well as in ex vivo tumor tissues[(5.2±0.8, 5.9±0.7, 6.6±1.0, 7.9±0.6, 7.8±0.7 and 20.6±3.5)×10 6 p/s/cm 2/sr] were all higher than those in the PEG@TPD-1 group [(3.2±0.7, 4.2±0.7, 4.6±0.9, 5.1±0.9, 4.7±0.9 and 14.2±1.8)×10 6 p/s/cm 2/sr], with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05, 0.01). Conclusions:The fluorescent nanoprobes exhibit uniform particle size, high photostability, and good biocompatibility. They demonstrate significant tumor-killing effects at the cellular level and possess tumor-targeting capability in vivo, showing promising application potential for the early precision diagnosis and treatment of oral cancer.
4.Effect of remimazolam on cellular immune function and quality of postoperative recovery in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical surgery for colorectal cancer
Yan LIU ; Yingbin WANG ; Li ZHANG ; Lu CAO ; Wei ZHANG
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2024;40(8):797-803
Objective To evaluate the effect of remimazolam for general anesthesia on cellular im-mune function and quality of postoperative recovery in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical surgery for colorectal cancer.Methods Sixty patients undergoing laparoscopic radical surgery for colorectal cancer,36 males and 24 females,aged 18-80 years,BMI 18.5-28.0 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅰ or Ⅱ,were en-rolled in this study.The patients were divided into remimazolam group(group R)and propofol group(group P)by using a random number,with 30 patients in each group.Induction of anesthesia was as follows:remimazolam at a dose of 0.2-0.3 mg/kg was intravenously infused(intravenous injection time>1 minute)in group R,propofol at a dose of 1.0-2.0 mg/kg was intravenously infused in group P,and sufen-tanil at a dose of 0.3-0.5 μg/kg and cisatracurium at a dose of 0.15-0.2 mg/kg were intravenously in-fused injected after the patients consciousness disappeared,that is the modified observer's assessment of alertness/sedation score of 1-2 in two groups to complete tracheal intubation.Anesthesia maintenance was as follows:remimazolam at a dose of 1.0-2.0 mg·kg-1·h-1 was intravenously infused in group R,propo-fol at a dose of 4.0-12.0 mg·kg-1·h-1 was intravenously infused in group P,remifentanil at a dose of 0.1-0.2 μg·kg-1·min-1 was intravenously infused in two groups,and intravenous cisatracurium was in-jected intermittently to maintain the BIS value at 40-60 intraoperatively.The two groups percentage of CD3+,CD4+,CD8+T lymphocytes,natural killer cell and CD4+/CD8+ratio were collected before induction of anesthesia,at immediately after the end of the surgery,and 24,72 hours after surgery.The HR,MAP,percutaneous oxygen saturation,and bispectral index were collected before induction of anesthesia,immedi-ately after endotracheal intubation,immediately after surgical incision,immediately after endotracheal extu-bation.The incidence of intraoperative adverse cardiovascular events and utilization rate of vasoactive drugs were collected.The quality of recovery-15(QoR-15)scores before induction of anesthesia,and 24,72 hours after surgery were recorded.The Riker and Ramsay scores at awakening,emergence time,tracheal ex-tubation time,duration of post-anesthesia care unit(PACU)stay,first postoperative expiration time,and postoperative length of hospital stay were recorded.And the incidence of nausea,vomiting and sleepiness in the postoperative period of 24 hours were collected.Results Compared with group P,group R had signifi-cantly higher NK,CD3+,and CD4+cells immediately after the end of the surgery and 24 hours after surgery(P<0.05),significantly faster HR and higher MAP immediately after the end of the surgery(P<0.05),significantly lower incidence of intraoperative hypotension,bradycardia and the utilization rate of vasoactive drugs(P<0.05),and significantly higher QoR-15 scores 24,72 hours after surgery(P<0.05).There were no significant differences in the Riker and Ramsay scores between the two groups.Conclusion Com-pared with propofol,general anesthesia with remimazolam has less impact on the perioperative cellular im-mune function in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical surgery for colorectal cancer,with lower incidence of intraoperative hypotension and bradycardia,and higher quality of postoperative recovery.
5.Effect of astaxanthin regulating autophagy on cognitive function of rats with intestinal ischemia/reperfusion injury
Wei ZHANG ; Yingbin WANG ; Jingyu ZHANG ; Lu CAO ; Yan LIU ; Li ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2024;40(5):836-843
AIM:To evaluate the effect of astaxanthin(AST)on cognitive function of intestinal ischemia/re-perfusion(I/R)injury in rats and the role of autophagy.METHODS:Eight-week-old SPF-grade male Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats were randomly divided into sham group,I/R group,AST group and AST+3-methyladenine(3-MA)group,with 12 animals in each group.The superior mesenteric artery(SMA)of the rats in sham group was only exposed without clamping.The SMA in other 3 groups was clamped for 90 min,and then the arterial clamp was released to restore blood supply and perform reperfusion,thus establishing the intestinal I/R model.The rats in AST group were intraperitoneally in-jected with AST(45 mg·kg-1·d-1)3 d before modeling,and those in AST+3-MA group were intraperitoneally injected with AST(45 mg·kg-1·d-1)+3-MA(1.5 mg·kg-1·d-1)3 d before modeling.Morris water maze was used to evaluate the cogni-tive function of rats 48 h after surgery.Hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining was used to evaluate intestinal tissue damage.Nissl staining of the frontal cortex was used to evaluate neuronal damage.The levels of interleukin-6(IL-6),IL-1β and tu-mor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α)in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were measured by ELISA kits.The protein levels of beclin-1,microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3(LC3)and P62 in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were detected by Western blot.RESULTS:Compared with sham group,the swimming distance of rats in I/R group was increased,with prolonged latency,elevated Chiu's score and decreased number of neurons(P<0.01),while the levels of IL-6,IL-1β and TNF-α in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were increased(P<0.01).Beclin-1 expression and LC3-II/LC3-I ratio in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were increased(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Compared with I/R group,the swimming distance and latency of rats in AST group were shortened,with decreased Chiu's score,increased neuronal number(P<0.01),de-creased IL-6,IL-1β and TNF-α levels in the frontal cortex and hippocampus(P<0.01),and increased beclin-1 expres-sion and decreased of P62 expression in the frontal cortex and hippocampus(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Compared with AST group,the swimming distance of rats in AST+3-MA group was increased,with prolonged latency,elevated Chiu's score,decreased number of neurons(P<0.05),increased levels of IL-6,IL-1β and TNF-α in the frontal cortex and hippocam-pus,and decreased beclin-1 expression and LC3-II/LC3-I ratio and increased P62 expression in the frontal cortex and hip-pocampus(P<0.01).CONCLUSION:Astaxanthin alleviates intestinal I/R-induced cognitive impairment in rats by pro-moting autophagy and inhibiting neuroinflammation.
6.Research progress in surgical standards for biliary tract cancer
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2024;30(6):401-406
Surgery for biliary tract cancer (BTC) is characterized by technical difficulty, high morbidity, and poor prognosis. Establishing the surgical standards for BTC is crucial for a better quality of medical care, prolonged survival, and improved prognosis. The surgical standards for BTC consist of preoperative evaluation, preoperative management, and surgical procedures. In preoperative evaluation and management, the fashions of preoperative biliary drainage and the strategies for liver remnant enlargement remain controversial. In surgical procedures, the appropriate extent of liver resection, the management of bile duct margins, the indication of vascular resection and reconstruction, and the extent of lymphadenectomy remain debated. More insights into these controversies contribute to better surgical standards.
7.Sodium butyrate preconditioning improves cognitive impairment in-duced by intestinal ischemia/reperfusion by reducing blood-brain barrier damage in rats
Lu CAO ; Yingbin WANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Yan LIU ; Li ZHANG ; Jingyu ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2024;29(6):637-644
AIM:To investigate the possible mech-anisms by observing the effects of sodium butyrate on the blood-brain barrier and cognitive function after intestinal ischemia/reperfusion in rats.METH-ODS:SD rats were randomly divided into 4 groups of 12 rats each,(1)sham-operated group(the Sham group);(2)intestinal ischemia/reperfusion group(the Ⅱ/R group);(3)intestinal ischemia/re-perfusion+sodium butyrate group(the NaB group):gavage of NaB 500 mg·kg-1·d-1 for 1 week before modeling;(4)intestinal ischemia/reperfusion+sodi-um butyrate+ITSA-1 group(the ITSA-1 group):NaB 500 mg·kg-1·d-1 gavage 1 week before modeling+IT-SA-1 0.5 mg/kg intraperitoneal injection in the first 5 d,3 d and 1 d.Intestinal mucosal injury was eval-uated by HE staining.Morris water maze test evalu-ated the cognitive function of rats.The microstruc-ture of the blood-brain barrier was observed by transmission electron microscope.The levels of in-flammatory cytokines IL-1β,IL-6,TNF-α,Claudin5,ZO-1,and MMP-9 in brain tissue were detected by ELISA.Western blotting detected Claudin5,ZO-1,CypA,and MMP-9 levels.RESULTS:Compared with the Sham group,Chiu's score in the Ⅱ/R group was increased(P<0.001).The swimming distance was increased(P<0.05),the proportion of the non-plat-form quadrant was increased(P<0.001),and the in-cubation period was prolonged(P<0.05).The micro-structure of the blood-brain barrier was changed under the transmission electron microscope.The inflammatory cytokines IL-1β,IL-6,and TNF-α were increased(P<0.001),the expressions of CypA and MMP-9 were increased(P<0.01),and the expres-sions of Claudin5 and ZO-1 were decreased(P<0.01,P<0.001).Compared with the Ⅱ/R group,neu-roinflammation,and blood-brain barrier damage were reduced,and cognitive function was im-proved in the Ⅱ/R+NaB group.The above injuries in group Ⅱ/R+NaB+ITSA-1 were similar to those in group Ⅱ/R.CONCLUSION:Sodium butyrate can ameliorate Ⅱ/R-induced neurocognitive dysfunction in rats by alleviating blood-brain barrier damage,possibly related to inhibiting the CypA/MMP-9 pathway.
8.Disease burden of biliary tract cancer in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021: A comprehensive demographic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Xuheng SUN ; Jiangmei LIU ; Wei ZHANG ; Yijun WANG ; Yan JIANG ; Lijun WANG ; Yixin ZOU ; Yuxuan XIAO ; Yongbing XIANG ; Maolan LI ; Maigeng ZHOU ; Yingbin LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3117-3125
BACKGROUND:
Biliary tract carcinomas (BTCs) are relatively rare but lethal primary malignant tumors derived from the biliary tract system. The burden of BTCs varies according to sex, age, region, and country, but limited attention has been paid to the burden of BTCs. We sought to explore the up-to-date data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) and expand findings by accessing the demographic features of BTC disease burden.
METHODS:
Using the latest data from the GBD 2021, we evaluated and analyzed the distributions and patterns of BTC disease burden in various age groups, sexes, regions, and countries.
RESULTS:
The number of incident cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) tended to increase and peaked at 216,770 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 181,890-245,240), 171,960 (95% UI: 142,350-194,240), and 3,732,100 (95% UI: 3,102,900-4,317,000) person-years, respectively, in 2021. However, the average global age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs shrunk by -11.46% (95% UI: -21.91 to 3.35%), -24.09% (95% UI: -33.19 to 16.88%), and -26.25% (95% UI: -35.53 to 18.36%), respectively, from 1990 to 2021. Meanwhile, the male/female ratio (male per 100 female) of incidence, deaths, and DALYs changed from 76.40, 75.41, and 74.72 to 86.89, 79.11, and 82.29, respectively. In 2021, the highest number of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs occurred in East Asia. The top three highest incidences, deaths, and DALYs were observed in China, India, and Japan, and the highest ASRs were observed in Chile in 2021. Analysis of the Human Development Index along with disease burden estimates of BTCs also suggests that the burden of the disease is related to the level of comprehensive development of the society.
CONCLUSION
This study provided a comprehensive comparison of differences in the burden of disease across populations and over time, and further presented evidence concerning the formulation of prevention and control policies and etiologic studies for BTCs and proposed logical hypotheses to investigate.
Humans
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Biliary Tract Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Incidence
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Cost of Illness
9.Analysis of long-term trend changes in breast cancer incidence and death among females in Shanghai,1973-2017
Jiaying YAN ; Mengyin WU ; Kai GU ; Chunxiao WU ; Yi PANG ; Chunfang WANG ; Yangming GONG ; Yongmei XIANG ; Chen FU ; Yingbin LIU ; Yan SHI
Tumor 2023;43(4):316-324
Objective:To describe the long-term characteristics and trend changes in the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in Shanghai from 1 973 to 2017,aiming to provide references for exploring the etiology of breast cancer and formulating strategies and measures for prevention,intervention and control. Methods:Joinpoint software was used to analyze the trend changes in the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in Shanghai from 1 973 to 2017,and an age-period-cohort model was constructed to explore the effects of age,year of diagnosis,and birth cohort on long-term trend changes. Results:From 1 973 to 2017,there were 68 192 new cases of female breast cancer in Shanghai,with a diagnosed rate of 31.72/100 000.The incidence rate continued to rise,and the risk of the disease continued to rise from the age of 20 years,and the rise rate accelerated significantly after the age of 40 years.There were 21 535 female breast cancer deaths from 1 973 to 2017.The mortality rate was stable,with a death rate of 8.62/100 000,and the risk of death increased significantly from the age of 45 years.The effects of age,period and cohort had a significant impact on the incidence of breast cancer(P<0.01),while the increase in mortality rate was related to age and cohort effects(P<0.01). Conclusion:The incidence rate of female breast cancer in Shanghai is still rising rapidly,and the mortality trend is generally stable,suggesting that the treatment is effective and the quality of life is improved.However,breast cancer is still the main malignant tumor among females in Shanghai.It should be continued to implement prevention and control strategies such as lifestyle intervention and screening of high-risk individuals to further strengthen the prevention and control of breast cancer.
10.Colorectal cancer incidence and mortality trends in urban Shanghai,China from 1973 to 2017:a Joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analysis
Mengyin WU ; Kai GU ; Chunxiao WU ; Yi PANG ; Chunfang WANG ; Yangming GONG ; Peng PENG ; Jianming DOU ; Xiaocong ZHANG ; Yongmei XIANG ; Yan SHI ; Yingbin LIU ; Chen FU
Tumor 2023;43(4):325-336
Objective:To describe the epidemiological features and temporal trends of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai from 1973 to 2017. Methods:Data on colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai was obtained through Shanghai Cancer Registry and Vital Statistics System.Joinpoint analysis was used to describe the temporal trends and annual percent change(APC)and age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the association between age,period and birth cohort and colorectal cancer. Results:A total of 105 847 cases and 60 447 deaths of colorectal cancer were diagnosed in urban Shanghai over the 45-year study period.Both the number of new cases and the number of deaths showed an increasing trend.In the same period,the age-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in urban areas of Shanghai increased significantly from 14.1/100 000 in 1973 to 27.7/100 000 in 2017,while the age-standardized mortality rate increased from 8.2/100 000 to 10.7/100 000.The overall average annual age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were 20.4/100 000 and 11.0/100 000,respectively.With the increase of age,the age-standardized morbidity and mortality of colorectal cancer showed an obvious upward trend.Taking 1993-1997 as reference,the risk of colorectal cancer in Shanghai reached the highest in 2013-2017,and the corresponding relative risk was 1.2(95%confidence interval:1.2-1.3),while the lowest was 0.9(95%confidence interval:0.8-1.0)during 1973-1977.Mortality risk,on the contrary,decreased with the increase of time.Before 1953-1957,the risk of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai increased with the increase of birth cohort time,and then showed a downward trend.There was a corresponding decline in the risk of colorectal cancer death among people born after 1957. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Shanghai showed an increasing trend from 1973 to 2017,but the prevalence trend of colorectal cancer is still different among different populations.


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