1.Long-term survival outcomes and prognostic factors following radical resection of pancreatic body and tail cancer:a retrospective analysis of 992 patients
Dong XU ; Yang WU ; Kai ZHANG ; Nan LYU ; Qianqian WANG ; Pengfei WU ; Jie YIN ; Baobao CAI ; Guodong SHI ; Jianzhen LIN ; Yazhou WANG ; Lingdi YIN ; Zipeng LU ; Min TU ; Jianmin CHEN ; Feng GUO ; Jishu WEI ; Junli WU ; Wentao GAO ; Cuncai DAI ; Yi MIAO ; Kuirong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2026;64(1):46-54
Objective:To investigate the survival outcomes and prognostic factors in patients undergoing radical resection for pancreatic body and tail cancer.Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted on 992 patients who underwent radical resection for pancreatic body and tail cancer at the Pancreatic Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2016 to June 2024. In this study, 577 (58.2%) were male and 415 (41.8%) were female,with an age of (65±9) years (range: 26 to 86 years). Follow-up continued until June 2024. Survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method,and prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.Results:Among 992 patients,open surgery was the predominant approach (89.1%, 884/992), and radical antegrade modular pancreatosplenectomy (RAMPS) was performed in 317 patients (32.0%). Combined organ resection,venous resection,and arterial resection were performed in 23.5%, 9.3%,and 11.2% of patients,respectively. The rates of R0, R1-1 mm, and R1-direct resections were 49.8% (494/992),41.5% (412/992), and 8.7% (86/992),respectively. Stage ⅡB was the most common TNM stage (32.2%,319/992). A total of 801 patients (80.8%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. The median follow-up period was 32.0(8.8) months(range:3.2 to 105.3 months),during which 508 patients (51.2%) died. The overall median survival (OS) was 26.4 months,with 1-,3-, and 5-year survival rates of 79.0%,40.0%, and 29.0%, respectively. In the recent five years (from 2020 to 2024), the median OS improved significantly to 34.1 months compared to 20.0 months from 2016 to 2019 ( P<0.01). Histological subtype analysis showed that the median OS time was 26.7 months for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC, n=855),58.9 months for invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC, n=32),and 15.7 months for adenosquamous carcinoma of pancreas (ASCP, n=73) ( P=0.001). Among PDAC patients, adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved survival (29.1 months vs. 14.4 months, P<0.01);in IPMC patients, adjuvant chemotherapy also extended survival (65.7 months vs. 58.9 months, P=0.047). Although ASCP patients receiving chemotherapy had a longer median OS time than those without (18.8 months vs. 8.9 months),the difference was not statistically significant ( P=0.151). Multivariate Cox regression analysis in PDAC patients indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy, R0 resection, T stage,N stage,and tumor differentiation were independent prognostic factors ( P<0.01). The median OS time by TNM stage was:not reached for stage ⅠA, 51.6 months for ⅠB, 25.5 months for ⅡA, 23.7 months for ⅡB, 23.0 months for Ⅲ, and 14.4 months for Ⅳ. The median OS time for R0,R1-1 mm,and R1-direct resections was 34.1,24.7,and 15.7 months,respectively ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Adjuvant chemotherapy,R0 resection,tumor stage,and differentiation are independent prognostic factors for pancreatic body and tail cancer.
2.Long-term survival outcomes and prognostic factors following radical resection of pancreatic body and tail cancer:a retrospective analysis of 992 patients
Dong XU ; Yang WU ; Kai ZHANG ; Nan LYU ; Qianqian WANG ; Pengfei WU ; Jie YIN ; Baobao CAI ; Guodong SHI ; Jianzhen LIN ; Yazhou WANG ; Lingdi YIN ; Zipeng LU ; Min TU ; Jianmin CHEN ; Feng GUO ; Jishu WEI ; Junli WU ; Wentao GAO ; Cuncai DAI ; Yi MIAO ; Kuirong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2026;64(1):46-54
Objective:To investigate the survival outcomes and prognostic factors in patients undergoing radical resection for pancreatic body and tail cancer.Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted on 992 patients who underwent radical resection for pancreatic body and tail cancer at the Pancreatic Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2016 to June 2024. In this study, 577 (58.2%) were male and 415 (41.8%) were female,with an age of (65±9) years (range: 26 to 86 years). Follow-up continued until June 2024. Survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method,and prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.Results:Among 992 patients,open surgery was the predominant approach (89.1%, 884/992), and radical antegrade modular pancreatosplenectomy (RAMPS) was performed in 317 patients (32.0%). Combined organ resection,venous resection,and arterial resection were performed in 23.5%, 9.3%,and 11.2% of patients,respectively. The rates of R0, R1-1 mm, and R1-direct resections were 49.8% (494/992),41.5% (412/992), and 8.7% (86/992),respectively. Stage ⅡB was the most common TNM stage (32.2%,319/992). A total of 801 patients (80.8%) received adjuvant chemotherapy. The median follow-up period was 32.0(8.8) months(range:3.2 to 105.3 months),during which 508 patients (51.2%) died. The overall median survival (OS) was 26.4 months,with 1-,3-, and 5-year survival rates of 79.0%,40.0%, and 29.0%, respectively. In the recent five years (from 2020 to 2024), the median OS improved significantly to 34.1 months compared to 20.0 months from 2016 to 2019 ( P<0.01). Histological subtype analysis showed that the median OS time was 26.7 months for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC, n=855),58.9 months for invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC, n=32),and 15.7 months for adenosquamous carcinoma of pancreas (ASCP, n=73) ( P=0.001). Among PDAC patients, adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved survival (29.1 months vs. 14.4 months, P<0.01);in IPMC patients, adjuvant chemotherapy also extended survival (65.7 months vs. 58.9 months, P=0.047). Although ASCP patients receiving chemotherapy had a longer median OS time than those without (18.8 months vs. 8.9 months),the difference was not statistically significant ( P=0.151). Multivariate Cox regression analysis in PDAC patients indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy, R0 resection, T stage,N stage,and tumor differentiation were independent prognostic factors ( P<0.01). The median OS time by TNM stage was:not reached for stage ⅠA, 51.6 months for ⅠB, 25.5 months for ⅡA, 23.7 months for ⅡB, 23.0 months for Ⅲ, and 14.4 months for Ⅳ. The median OS time for R0,R1-1 mm,and R1-direct resections was 34.1,24.7,and 15.7 months,respectively ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Adjuvant chemotherapy,R0 resection,tumor stage,and differentiation are independent prognostic factors for pancreatic body and tail cancer.
3.Research on the Conceptual Boundaries and Connotations of Accessibility to Novel Anticancer Drugs Based on Value Orientation
Hong ZHU ; Hongwei CHEN ; Ya LI ; Meixiang GAO ; Yiru YIN ; Jia'an YANG ; Haohao FENG ; Qunhong WU
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(6):7-12
Objective:Based on value orientation,it aimed to scientifically define the concept and connotation of accessibility to novel anticancer drugs,in order to deeply understand the nature and current status of the accessibility issues of novel anticancer drugs,and to provide a reference for the formulation and optimization of policies related to novel anticancer drugs.Methods:Data was collected through literature review and expert interviews,and the concept of drug accessibility was defined using the atomic diagram method.Results:The core images include"affordability","availability","high quality"and"patients".The concept of accessibility to novel anticancer drugs is defined as"the process of ensuring the sustainable supply,equitable access,affordability,and rational use of high-quality anticancer drugs to safeguard the realization of patient benefit goals."The connotation of the value orientation in policies on the accessibility of novel anticancer drugs is profoundly reflected in the multi-dimensional value-driven approach to ensure the ultimate benefit of patients,which includes quality,sustainability,equity,affordability,and rational use.Conclusion:The proposal of the concept and connotation of accessibility provides a theoretical basis for a deep understanding of the accessibility of novel anticancer drugs and offers valuable references for subsequent policy-making and practical operations.
4.The development and validation of the quick self-assessment questionnaire for cochlear implant out-come
Carol PANG ; Qingyuan FENG ; Li YIN ; Yongmao CAO ; Shanxian GAO ; Yanni CHEN ; Xiaoqiang ZHANG ; Qiaoling SHI ; Zhen SU ; Mingyuan SUN
Journal of Audiology and Speech Pathology 2025;33(5):454-459
Objective To develop and validate a"quick self-assessment questionnaire for cochlear implant out-come(QSACI)".Methods A research team,composed of audiologists,otolaryngologists,data analysis experts,and cochlear implant(CI)recipients,was formed to establish objectives,research subject criteria,and framework of the QSACI.An item pool was creaed through literature review and brainstorming.Question items were evaluated and screened,and the framework and answer options of the questionnaire were established.The comprehensibility,etc.,was analyzed and refined through pilot test,interviews,and expert consultation,leading to the development of the final version.A total of 39 post-lingually deafened adults with known stable outcomes completed the question-naire.The split-half and test-retest reliabilty of the questionnaire was analyzed,and the validity was quantitatively analyzed by comparing scores with the categories of auditory performance(CAP)scores.Results The initial item pool of the questionnaire had 18 items,and the final questionnaire consisted of 12 questions in four dimensions:com-munication status,audiological status,medical factors,and other factors.The average score of 39 recipients was 88.81±6.17 and CAP was 6.19±0.94.The questionnaire showed good reliability and validity,with a Cronbach's alpha coefficient of 0.71 and a test-retest reliability of 0.824(P<0.05).The criterion-related validity,assessed by the correlation between the self-assessment questionnaire scores and CAP scores,showed a significant moderate pos-itive correlation(r=0.512,P<0.05).The correlation coefficient between self-assessment and professional assess-ment was 0.720(P<0.05),indicating a significant correlation.The area under the receiver operating characterstic(ROC)curve was 0.82(P<0.05),the cutoff values corresponding to the maximal Youden index were 82.5 and 88.6,therefore score of 85 was taken as the median threshold score of judgement.Conclusion The QSACI reflects the post-imlplant outcomes,and it can serve as a tool for people with postlingually deafness and their families to un-derstand the eligbility of CI and the expected outcomes,helping to establish realistic expectations before CI surgery.
5.Association between dynamic indexes of maternal progesterone in the first trimester of pregnancy and fetal head circumference growth and development
Hui NIU ; Juan XIN ; Jinlu LIANG ; Jiayuan FENG ; Sijing ZHU ; Xiaoxue LI ; Yin YANG ; Liu FANG ; Mengfei SUN ; Ziyi CHEN ; Wenfang YANG
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(5):871-879
Objective To explore the association between dynamic indexes of maternal progesterone in early pregnancy and the average level and growth rate of fetal head circumference(HC)in mid-and late pregnancy.Methods This study adopted a retrospective cohort design and included 255 singleton pregnant women in the maternal and infant cohort of The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2015 to December 2024.The progesterone levels of their early venous blood were detected and divided into two groups of progesterone trajectories,namely,fluctuating type and increasing type,by morphology.The dynamic indicators of progesterone in early pregnancy were constructed:cumulative dynamic deviation index in the first trimester(CDDI-P1T),gestational age at progesterone peak(GA-PP),and maximal relative progesterone decline in the first trimester(MRD-P1T).The average head circumference level and linear growth rate of the fetuses in the middle and late pregnancy were calculated.Generalized linear regression(GLM)was used to analyze the linear association between progesterone dynamic indicators and head circumference development.The key gestational weeks of progesterone affecting fetal head development were explored by linear regression of gestational weeks.Ordinary least squares(OLS)regression and restricted cubic spline(RCS)plots were used to draw the nonlinear association between progesterone dynamic indicators and head circumference.Results Among the 255 pregnant women included,92.5%of the progesterone trajectories in early pregnancy were fluctuating,and 7.5%were increasing.The growth rates of the increasing progesterone trajectory group were higher in the second and third trimesters than in the fluctuating group,but the differences were not statistically significant(all P>0.05).GLM analysis showed that for every 1 unit increase in CDDI-P1T,the head circumference in the middle and late pregnancy increased significantly by 1.574 cm and 1.193 cm(Z=3.714,2.885,P<0.01).The delay of GA-PP was negatively correlated with the head circumference in the middle pregnancy(β=-0.190 cm,95%CI:-0.339--0.041,P=0.010)but positively correlated with the head circumference growth rate in the late pregnancy(β=0.022 cm/week,95%CI:0.003-0.041,P=0.025).A 10%decrease in the decline of CDDI-P1T increased the head circumference in the middle pregnancy by 0.200 cm(95%CI:0.016-0.384,P=0.033),and a 100%decrease in the decline increased the head circumference growth rate in the late pregnancy by 0.201 cm/week(95%CI:0.002-0.399,P=0.048).The analysis of the key time window showed that for every 20 nmol/L increase in progesterone during 9.5-13 weeks of pregnancy,the mid-term head circumference increased by 0.035-0.166 cm(Z=2.452-3.517,allP<0.05),and the late-term head circumference increased by 0.767 cm during 9-13 weeks of pregnancy(Z=2.452-3.517,all P<0.05).When progesterone increased during 9.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy,the growth rate of mid-term head circumference increased by 0.013-0.023 cm/week(Z=2.074-2.243,all P<0.01).When progesterone increased during 8.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy,the growth rate of late-term head circumference increased by 0.010-0.026 cm/week(Z=2.061-3.137,all P<0.05).Conclusion Progesterone dynamic index is a new sensitive tool for evaluating fetal head circumference development.There is a stage-specific window period for progesterone regulation.9.5-13 weeks of pregnancy is the critical period for progesterone to affect head circumference growth,and 9.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy is the core window for regulating the growth rate of head circumference.Therefore,it is necessary to combine progesterone dynamic index and time window for individualized intervention to promote the transformation of prenatal care from pregnancy maintenance to eugenics intervention.
6.Research on the knowledge of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and its influencing factors among residents in Jiading District,Shanghai
Bao-hui CHEN ; Xin YIN ; Ke XU ; Xi-wen ZHANG ; Feng GAO ; Na WANG
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(5):737-742
To effectively carry out community health education and prevention and control of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD),we conducted a questionnaire survey on the awareness of COPD knowledge among residents aged 40 and above in Jiading District of Shanghai by using two-stage sampling method.We included 1 783 permanent residents in 4 districts and collected 1 666 valid questionnaires.The awareness rates of COPD name,pulmonary function test and related knowledge were 15.9%,11.9%and 17.2%,respectively.For the main symptoms of COPD,the awareness rate of sputum was the lowest(65.2%),of shortness of breath and dyspnea was the highest(78.4%).For the risk factors,the awareness rate of severe respiratory tract infection in childhood was the lowest(67.3%),of smoking was the highest(86.8%).Multiple response analysis showed that mobile phones and computers accounted for the highest proportion of acquiring knowledge of COPD(66.7%).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that low educational level,low monthly income,engaged in production and manufacturing,never or less exercise,no use of indoor air improvement measures,no wearing of masks in public places and no vaccination of influenza vaccine per year were associated with lower awareness rate of COPD.The community should improve the way and ability of health science popularization,and carry out health education for key groups.
7.Baicalein inhibits proliferation,migration and invasion of human pancre-atic cancer Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 cells via AKT/β-catenin signaling pathway
Xiaoliang CHEN ; Qiong WANG ; Lin TANG ; Lili YIN ; Jinsheng YU ; Yun-feng BAI ; Yi QIN ; Feng FENG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(9):1738-1747
AIM:To investigate the antitumor activity and targets of baicalein(Bai)in pancreatic cancer using network pharmacology combined with in vitro and in vivo experiments.METHODS:The targets of Bai and pancreatic can-cer were analyzed via multi-data screening.A protein-protein interaction network was constructed using STRING,and core targets were identified via Cytoscape.Functional enrichment was analyzed by Gene Ontology(GO)and Kyoto Ency-clopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG).Antitumor effects of Bai were assessed in pancreatic cancer cells Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 using MTT and colony formation assays for proliferation,flow cytometry for apoptosis and cell cycle analysis,and Transwell assays for migration and invasion.A xenograft tumor model was established to evaluate tumor proliferation,im-munohistochemistry was performed to detect the protein expression of AKT in tumor tissues,and Western blot was used to analyze the expression levels of AKT,β-catenin,N-cadherin and Slug.RESULTS:A total of 108 overlapping targets were identified between Bai and pancreatic cancer.Among these,7 core targets were recognized,including proto-onco-gene tyrosine-protein kinase Src,heat shock protein 90 alpha family class A member 1(HSP90AA1),estrogen receptor 1(ESR1),tumor protein p53(TP53),epidermal growth factor receptor(EGFR),AKT1,and mitogen-activated protein ki-nase 3(MAPK3).The GO analysis revealed significant enrichment in oxidative stress response,protein phosphorylation,and serine/threonine kinase activity.The KEGG analysis primarily enriched the PI3K/AKT,MAPK and Ras signaling pathways.The MTT and colony formation assays showed that Bai inhibited the viability of Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 cells in a dose-dependent manner(72 h IC50 values were 73.6 μmol/L and 83.4 μmol/L,respectively)and reduced cell colony for-mation(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Flow cytometry confirmed that Bai induced apoptosis of Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 cells(P<0.01)and blocked the cell cycle at the G0/G1 phase(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Transwell experiments indicated that Bai inhibited the migration and invasion of Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 cells(P<0.05 or P<0.01).In vivo,Bai significantly inhibited the growth of Aspc-1 cell xenograft tumors(P<0.01).Immunohistochemistry revealed a significant reduction in AKT expression in tu-mor tissues(P<0.01),and Western blot showed decreased expression of AKT,β-catenin,N-cadherin and Slug in both Aspc-1 and Bxpc-3 cells(P<0.01).CONCLUSION:Baicalein inhibits pancreatic cancer cell proliferation,migration,and invasion,potentially through down-regulation of AKT,β-catenin,N-cadherin,and Slug expression.
8.Construction of dynamic online nomogram for spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer
Yunfang DONG ; Peng CHEN ; Ziyan YIN ; Ji LIANG ; Wei SHI ; Feng LIU ; Manqin HU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(1):23-28
Objective:To construct and evaluate the nomogram prediction model of spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer (STRPLC), and make the web-based dynamic online nomogram.Methods:Clinical data of 346 patients with PLC treated in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were retrospectively analyzed, including 87 males and 15 females, aged 58.15±10.32 years. Single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were used to screen the influencing factors of STRPLC, and the prediction model was constructed based on the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and clinical decision analysis were used to evaluate the model. The web-based dynamic online nomogram was developed using the DynNom package in R4.3.1 software.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for spontaneous rupture and hemorrhage of tumor were no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, tumor protrusion on liver surface, tumor length, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites (all P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the prediction model constructed by this nomogram is 0.913 (95% CI: 0.884-0.943), the best cutoff value is 0.254, with a sensitivity of 0.892, and a specificity of 0.803. The calibration curve shows a good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. The decision curve of the model is above the two invalid lines of " none" and " all" in the horizontal range of 0.07-0.98, and the clinical net benefit of the model is >0. Then user-friendly web-based dynamic online nomogram is constructed. Conclusion:Large tumor size, superficial location, no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, high AFP level, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites are independent risk factors for STRPLC. The prediction model and dynamic online nanogram constructed by this method can effectively assess the risk of STRPLC.
9.Epidemiological Characteristics of Female Breast Cancer in Henan Province in 2020 and Its Temporal Trends from 2010 to 2020
Shucun MAO ; Qiong CHEN ; Shuzheng LIU ; Hongwei LIU ; Yin LIU ; Huifang XU ; Xiaoli GUO ; Hong WANG ; Xiaoyang WANG ; Chenxi FENG ; Ning ZHANG ; Shaokai ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(7):507-512
[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality rates of female breast cancer in Henan Province in 2020 and the trends from 2010 to 2020.[Methods]Breast cancer incidence and mor-tality data stratified by urban and rural areas and age groups were collected from Henan Provincial tumor registry,and the province's household population statistics were used.The crude incidence/mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC)and world standard population(ASIRW/ASMRW),cumulative rate(0~74 year old)were calculated.The annual percentage change(APC),average annual percentage change(AAPC)and 95%confidence interval(CI)were calculated using Joinpoint software to analyze the trends of the incidence and mortality from 2010 to 2020.[Results]In 2020,24 744 new cases and 4 989 deaths of female breast cancer were documented in Henan Province,with a crude incidence rate of 46.96/105,ASIRC of 38.43/105 and ASIRW of 35.71/105;a crude mortality rate of 9.47/105,ASMRC of 6.80/105 and ASMRW of 6.72/105,respectively.The above indicators in urban areas were signifi-cantly higher than those in rural areas.The highest incidence was observed in the age group of 50~54 years old,while the highest mortality reached in the age group of 85 years old and above.From 2010 to 2020,the overall incidence of female breast cancer showed a slow upward trend(AAPC=2.09%,95%CI:0.62%~3.58%,P=0.010),while the mortality rate exhibited a signif-icant downward trend(AAPC=-3.49%,95%CI:-5.62%~-1.30%,P=0.005).[Conclusion]The incidence and mortality rates of female breast cancer in Henan Province are still at a high level,and corresponding preventive measures and control strategies are needed to effectively reduce the health hazards of breast cancer to women.
10.Construction of dynamic online nomogram for spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer
Yunfang DONG ; Peng CHEN ; Ziyan YIN ; Ji LIANG ; Wei SHI ; Feng LIU ; Manqin HU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(1):23-28
Objective:To construct and evaluate the nomogram prediction model of spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer (STRPLC), and make the web-based dynamic online nomogram.Methods:Clinical data of 346 patients with PLC treated in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were retrospectively analyzed, including 87 males and 15 females, aged 58.15±10.32 years. Single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were used to screen the influencing factors of STRPLC, and the prediction model was constructed based on the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and clinical decision analysis were used to evaluate the model. The web-based dynamic online nomogram was developed using the DynNom package in R4.3.1 software.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for spontaneous rupture and hemorrhage of tumor were no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, tumor protrusion on liver surface, tumor length, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites (all P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the prediction model constructed by this nomogram is 0.913 (95% CI: 0.884-0.943), the best cutoff value is 0.254, with a sensitivity of 0.892, and a specificity of 0.803. The calibration curve shows a good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. The decision curve of the model is above the two invalid lines of " none" and " all" in the horizontal range of 0.07-0.98, and the clinical net benefit of the model is >0. Then user-friendly web-based dynamic online nomogram is constructed. Conclusion:Large tumor size, superficial location, no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, high AFP level, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites are independent risk factors for STRPLC. The prediction model and dynamic online nanogram constructed by this method can effectively assess the risk of STRPLC.

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