1.Effect of Astragali Radix on Gut Microbiota and GLP-1 in Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Patients with Qi Deficiency Type
Keke HOU ; Lin CHEN ; Zhidan ZHANG ; Yunyi YANG ; Fangli ZHANG ; Yuanying XU ; Hongping YIN ; Lan DING ; Tao LEI ; Wenjun SHA
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(6):161-170
ObjectiveTo investigate the therapeutic effect of Astragali Radix-mediated changes in gut microbiota on treating type 2 diabetes (T2DM). MethodsA 12-week randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial enrolled eighty patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and poor glycemic control in the Qi deficiency type. All patients received insulin therapy. The observation group (40 cases) was administered with Astragali Radix Granules, while the control group (40 cases) received a placebo. Both treamtents were taken orally twice daily. Changes in gut microbiota were assessed by 16s rDNA sequencing. Serum glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Glucose metabolism indicators including fasting blood glucose (FPG), 2-hour postprandial blood glucose (2 h PG),glycated albumin(GA), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) were evaluated. Pancreatic function was evaluated using fasting C-peptide (FCP), 2-hour postprandial C-peptide (2 h CP), and C-peptide area under the curve (AUCcp). Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome scores, clinical efficacy, and safety indicators were also observed. ResultsIn terms of glucose metabolism indicators, compared with the baseline, both groups exhibited significantly lower FPG, 2 h PG, GA and HbA1C (P<0.01),while FCP, 2 h CP and AUCcp were significantly higher (P<0.01). Compared with the control group after the treatment, the observation group showed significantly lower FPG, 2 h PG, GA and HbA1C(P<0.05, P<0.01),and significantly higher FCP, 2 h CP and AUCcp (P<0.05, P<0.01), indicating that Astragali Radix can improve glucose metabolism. In terms of the diversity of gut microbiota, no significant differences were detected in the Chao1, Shannon and Simpson indexes of the two groups compared with their respective baselines. However, compared with the post-treatment control group, the observation group demonstrated significant increases in the Chao1, Shannon and Simpson indexes (P<0.05, P<0.01). The β-diversity analysis showed significant separation in gut microbiota composition before and after treatment in both groups, indicating that Astragali Radix can significantly alter the structure and improve the diversity of gut microbiota. At the phylum level, compared with the baseline, both groups showed a significant increase in the relative abundance of Bacteroidota(P<0.01). The relative abundance of the potentially harmful phylum Proteobacteria was significantly lower in the observation Group after treatment (P<0.01). Compared with the post-treatment control group, the observation group had a significantly higher relative abundance of Bacteroidota(P<0.01). No significant difference was found in Firmicutes/Bacteroidota (F/B) ratio between the two groups after treatment, and other phyla showed no significant differences. At the genus level, compared with the baseline, the observation group exhibited a significant increase in Bacteroides (P<0.01) and a significant decrease in Escherichia-Shigella (P<0.01), whereas no significant difference was seen in the control group . Compared with the control group after treatment, the observation group after treatment had a significantly higher relative abundance of Bacteroides (P<0.01). No significant differences were seen in other genera. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) identified potential characteristics taxa: in the observation group, Bacteroidota at the phylum level and Bacteroides and Dubosiella at the genus level, in the control group, Proteobacteria at the phylum level as well as Barnesiella and Staphylococcus at the genus level. Correlation analysis based on a heatmap revealed that GLP-1 levels were positively correlated with Firmicutes, F/B ratio and Fusobacterium, and negatively correlated with Bacteroidota, Proteobacteria, Bacteroides and Escherichia-Shigella. In terms of clinical efficacy, compared with the control group, the total effective rate of the observation group was significantly higher (P<0.05). Compared with the baseline, the scores for shortness of breath, fatigue, weakness, spontaneous sweating and reluctance to speak significantly decreased in both groups (P<0.01). Compared with the control group after treatment, the score for weakness was significantly lower in the observation group (P<0.01),indicating that Astragali Radix could improve clinical symptoms and alleviate weakness symptoms. In terms of safety, compared with the baseline, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels significantly decreased in both groups (P<0.05,P<0.01),indicating that Astragali Radix did not induce any significant abnormalities in liver and kidney functions. ConclusionAstragali Radix demonstrates the potential to significantly improve the gut microbiota environment in patients of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes with Qi deficiency. The therapeutic effect may contribute to glycemic control, possibly mediated by an elevation in GLP-1 level. These findings may support its further clinical investigations and potential applications.
2.Targeted fluorescent imaging probes for detecting the spatial distribution of VEGF in the retinas of rats with radiation retinopathy
Yunhe DING ; Bin WANG ; Feng LIU ; Zhiyang ZHANG ; Haibei DONG ; Wenwen GUO ; Haitao YIN
International Eye Science 2026;26(4):567-572
AIM: To detect the distribution and expression of vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)in radiation retinopathy(RR)through fluorescence targeted imaging.METHODS:Covalent binding of fluorescein FITC with VEGF antibody ranibizumab to prepare targeted fluorescent imaging probe ranibizumab-FITC. SD rats were randomly divided into three groups based on the principle of weight balance: a normal control group(Con group), a low-dose radiation group(10 Gy group), and a high-dose radiation group(30 Gy group). Medical linear accelerators and lead blocks were used to locally irradiate the rat eyeballs for modeling. Western blot and qRT-PCR were used to detect the expression levels of VEGF-A in each group and to screen for appropriate modeling dose. The inverted fluorescence microscope and the confocal microscope were used to observe the distribution of VEGF and imaging probes in the retinas of control and RR model group rats, and to verify the effectiveness of targeted probes.RESULTS:The expression level of VEGF-A in the retina of rats in the high-dose radiation group(30 Gy group)was higher than that in the normal control group(Con group). In early RR, VEGF expression was observed to be associated with microaneurysms and abnormal microvessels in the retina. VEGF accumulation was observed at the site of capillary wall damage. When retinal capillary endothelial damage occurred, targeted probes gathered on the outer surface of the vessel wall.CONCLUSION:The expression level of VEGF in the retina of RR model rats is elevated, and fluorescent targeted molecular imaging probes can detect the spatial distribution of VEGF at the microvascular lesions in the retina of RR rats.
3.Differences in deltamethrin resistance and kdr gene mutation in Culex tritaeniorhynchus population in and outside the Yellow Sea wetland
Xiao-er ZHANG ; Zhi-ming WU ; Ye TIAN ; Qian CUI ; Yu-qian JI ; Huan WANG ; Shu-juan YANG ; Yi-chao ZHAO ; Yu WANG ; Hua-yu YIN ; Yu DING ; Guo-jin YAN ; Min-sen ZHAO ; Shou-gang ZHANG ; Bing-dong SONG ; Hong-na CHEN ; Jian GAO ; Wei-fang YANG ; Yu-fu ZHANG ; Hui LIU ; Hong-liang CHU
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(2):101-107
Objective To gain insights into the biological characteristics of different populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus within and around the Yellow Sea wetland from the perspective of the occurrence of resistance, we investigated the levels of resistance to deltamethrin and kdr gene mutation in the wetland and its peripheral areas. Methods Specimens were collected from Cx. tritaeniorhynchus populations at two monitoring sites in the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area, and also from two populations in Yancheng City and the Liuhe District of Nanjing, and the resistance of these mosquitoes to deltamethrin was determined using the CDC biotest bottle method. For each concentration of deltamethrin assessed, a random subset of exposed specimens was selected for amplification of the kdr gene fragment, followed by Sanger sequencing to identify and analyze resistance-associated mutations. Results The LC50 levels of deltamethrin among mosquitoes from the four populations in Luhe, Yancheng, the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and the Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area were 2.048 5, 7.798 2, 3.473 3, and 17.695 5 mg/mL, respectively, with corresponding concentrations of deltamethrin ranging from 0.005 to 5.000,0.050 to 50.000,0.050 to 25.000 and 0.050 to 50.000 mg/mL, respectively. Furthermore, the ranges of the KT50 values were 11.76-107.43, 67.05-216.30,29.77-107.43 and 28.40-329.51 min; the 1-h knockdown rates were 34.58%-99.15%, 9.52%-43.80%, 55.09%-73.01%, and 10.09%-68.07%; and the 24-h mortality rates were 12.15%-67.52%,9.52%-79.56%,13.17%-82.21%, and 11.01%-78.99%, respectively. With respect to kdr gene mutation, we assayed a total of 63,70,59, and 57 mosquitoes for the four populations, for which we detected L1014F mutation frequencies of 14.29%, 35.00%, 20.34%, and 31.58%, respectively, with a majority of these mutations being heterozygous for resistance. In addition, five adult mosquitoes were identified has having synonymous mutations at site 1011[i. e. , AAT(asparagine)mutation to AAC(asparagine)]. Conclusions Our findings revealed the clear resistance of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus to deltamethrin in the Yancheng region of the Yellow Sea wetland, and the resistance phenotype and kdr frequency of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment were comparable to those of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment, thereby indicating that the resistance of different populations of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus was homogeneous under the pressure of different insecticide selection within and around the wetland. However, the underlying mechanisms need to be further studied.
4.Cationic nanoemulsions on the tear film of orthokeratology wearers
Xiang SI ; Peiran ZHANG ; Lei DING ; Haixia HU ; Lei YIN ; Shuqin LI
International Eye Science 2026;26(8):1343-1347
AIM:To observe the effect of cationic nanoemulsion eye drops on the tear film and ocular surface morphology of orthokeratology wearers, and to provide a basis for the clinical selection of eye drops during orthokeratology wear. METHODS:A prospective study was conducted on patients with refractive errors who were fitted with orthokeratology lenses for the first time at Anhui Aier Eye Hospital,from February 2025 to October 2025. Patients were randomly assigned to the experimental group, which received a cationic nanoemulsion eye drops, or the control group, which received a 0.1% sodium hyaluronate eye drops. One drop of the assigned lubricant was instilled in each eye before lens insertion and before lens removal in both groups for 3 consecutive months. Uncorrected visual acuity, spherical equivalent, anterior corneal curvature, tear film break-up time, tear film lipid layer score, and corneal fluorescein staining score were compared between the two groups at baseline and at 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after lens wear. RESULTS: A total of 64 eyes(all right eyes)from 64 patients with refractive errors were enrolled. Ultimately, 60 patients completed the final follow-up, including 30 in the experimental group(n=30; male/female: 14/16; age: 9.57±1.07 y)and the control group(n=30; male/female: 12/18; age: 9.43±1.01 y). No significant intergroup differences were found in uncorrected visual acuity, spherical equivalent, anterior corneal curvature, or corneal fluorescein staining scores either before or after lens wear(all P>0.05).The tear film break-up time was significantly longer and tear film lipid layer score was significantly better in the experimental group than in the control group at post-wear time point(all P<0.05). Uncorrected visual acuity, spherical equivalent, and anterior corneal curvature improved significantly from baseline at 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after lens wear in both groups(all P<0.05). Corneal fluorescein staining scores increased significantly from baseline at 1 wk and 1 mo in the control group(both P<0.05), whereas no significant change was observed in the experimental group. No cases of severe corneal injury(score of 3)were found in either group. CONCLUSION: Cationic nanoemulsion eye drops have a similar effect to 0.1% sodium hyaluronate eye drops in improving the visual acuity and corneal morphology of orthokeratology wearers, but have more advantages in stabilizing the tear film and improving the state of the tear film lipid layer, and have good safety, so they can be used as an ideal choice of eye drops for orthokeratology wearers.
5.Effects of three-dimensional foot-ankle exercises on mild-to-moderate hallux valgus for young women
Luo YIN ; Liwei GUO ; Jiaxin DING ; Qirui QIN ; Chao WANG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(8):968-977
ObjectiveTo investigate the effects of three-dimensional foot-ankle exercises (3DFAE) on mild-to-moderate hallux valgus in young women. MethodsFrom October to December, 2024, 45 female patients aged 18 to 26 years with hallux valgus were recruited from Capital University of Physical Education and Sports. They were randomly divided into control group (n = 15), toe-spread-out (TSO) group (n = 15) and 3DFAE group (n = 15). The control group only received foot health education, while the two intervention groups performed corresponding exercise training, for four weeks. Hallux valgus angle (HVA) was measured with photographic method, abductor hallucis activation was detected with surface electromyography, cross-sectional area of abductor hallucis was measured with Doppler ultrasound, and active ankle dorsiflexion range of motion (ROM) was assessed with a goniometer, before intervention, immediately after intervention, and four weeks after training cessation. A perceived difficulty scale was adopted to evaluate the training difficulty of TSO group and 3DFAE group at the first training session and upon completion of intervention. ResultsThe effects of time and interaction were significant for bilateral HVA, abductor hallucis activation, cross-sectional area of abductor hallucis and ankle dorsiflexion ROM (F > 2.728, P < 0.05), and the effect of group of left ankle dorsiflexion ROM was also significant (F = 4.995, P < 0.05). After intervention, bilateral HVA, abductor hallucis activation, cross-sectional area of abductor hallucis and ankle dorsiflexion ROM were all better than those before intervention (P < 0.05), and most indicators were superior to those measured at the 4-week follow-up (P < 0.05). The left ankle dorsiflexion ROM was better in 3DFAE group than in the control group and TSO group (P < 0.05). At the first intervention session, the perceived training difficulty was lower in 3DFAE group than in TSO group (t = 3.334, P = 0.002), and it decreased (t = 5.292, P < 0.001) after four weeks of training in TSO group, with no significant difference compared with 3DFAE group (P > 0.05). Conclusion3DFAE can improve ankle dorsiflexion ROM in young female patients with hallux valgus, with no more difficulty than TSO, and lower initial operation difficulty.
6.Current status of healthy school construction in public junior and senior high schools in Yinchuan
YIN Ding, NA Dongxia, WANG Hui
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(8):1193-1197
Objective:
To investigate the current status of healthy school construction in public junior and senior high schools of Yinchuan, so as to provide data support and practical references for the optimized development of healthy school construction.
Methods:
In March 2026, a total of 60 schools (senior high school, urban junior high school and rural junior high school) in Yinchuan City, were selected combining stratified random sampling and convenience sampling methods. The survey was conducted using the "Reference Standards for Healthy School Construction in Primary and Secondary Schools and Kindergartens", comprising 16 indicators across three dimensions: indicator based, guarantee based, and measure based categories. Data were collected through on site inspections and document reviews. The compliance rates of various school types across different dimensions and indicators were calculated, and between group comparisons were performed using the Chi-square test.
Results:
A total of 28 public junior and senior high schools (46.7%) met the "healthy school" standard. The compliance rates for senior high schools, urban junior high schools and rural junior high schools were 61.1%, 53.8%, and 18.8%, respectively, with statistically significant differences ( χ 2=16.28, P <0.01). The overall compliance rates for indicator based, guarantee based, and measure based standards were 51.7%, 66.7%, and 63.3%, respectively, with statistically significant differences ( χ 2=18.42, P < 0.01 ). The compliance rates across all 16 indicators within the three dimensions differed significantly among different types of schools ( χ 2=6.32-26.47, all P <0.05), consistently showing a pattern of senior high schools > urban junior high schools > rural junior high schools.
Conclusions
The overall compliance of healthy school construction in public junior and senior high schools in Yinchuan City is suboptimal, with significant disparities across school types and unbalanced development across dimensions. Rural junior high schools exhibit notable deficiencies in healthy school construction.
7.Comparison of public health emergency response capacity in Yangzhou City, Jiangsu before and after the COVID-19 epidemic
WANG Yin ; WU Cheng ; DING Dingyi
China Tropical Medicine 2025;25(2):237-
Objective By comparing the changes in public health emergency response capacity and epidemic response effect in Yangzhou before and after the outbreak of COVID-19, we can provide a reference for epidemic prevention and control work in the post-COVID-19 era. Methods The three periods of 2018-2019, 2020-2022, and 2023 were selected to correspond to the pre-COVID-19 period, the middle period, and the post-COVID-19 period, respectively, and the epidemic period of COVID-19 was divided into two sub-dimensions: the early epidemic period of 2020 and the high-intensity epidemic period of 2021-2022. Through questionnaire surveys and descriptive epidemiology, a comprehensive comparison was conducted on all aspects of emergency response capacity and the effectiveness of epidemic management. Results Since the outbreak of COVID-19, the Yangzhou emergency response system has set up a joint control and prevention network of cities, counties, and districts, as well as special emergency departments in all regions; optimized the personnel allocation and professional disposal teams; improved the number, mode, and coverage of emergency plans, emergency drills, and training; optimized emergency material reserve and dispatch; and standardized institutional construction. The overall incidence of influenza outbreaks decreased from 2.71% to 1.03% and 1.50%; During the different epidemic periods of COVID-19, the average duration of influenza outbreaks decreased continuously, which was 16.70, 11.34, and 9.88 days, respectively. The proportion of influenza outbreaks that met the criteria for a public health emergency controlled within an average incubation period increased from 18.75% in the pre-COVID-19 period to 75.00% in the post-COVID-19 period. Conclusion The public health emergency response capacity of Yangzhou city has been improved after the COVID-19 epidemic, but there are still shortcomings in the emergency management mechanism, the function of emergency departments, the multi-trigger monitoring warning system, the quantity and quality of professionals, and the multi-department coordination mechanism. In particular, the capacity of county-level emergency response teams needs to be continuously strengthened, which can be achieved by gradually improving emergency management systems and monitoring warning systems, further strengthening talent training, continuously promoting the integration of medical and prevention, and focusing on practical effects.
8.Percutaneous coronary intervention vs . medical therapy in patients on dialysis with coronary artery disease in China.
Enmin XIE ; Yaxin WU ; Zixiang YE ; Yong HE ; Hesong ZENG ; Jianfang LUO ; Mulei CHEN ; Wenyue PANG ; Yanmin XU ; Chuanyu GAO ; Xiaogang GUO ; Lin CAI ; Qingwei JI ; Yining YANG ; Di WU ; Yiqiang YUAN ; Jing WAN ; Yuliang MA ; Jun ZHANG ; Zhimin DU ; Qing YANG ; Jinsong CHENG ; Chunhua DING ; Xiang MA ; Chunlin YIN ; Zeyuan FAN ; Qiang TANG ; Yue LI ; Lihua SUN ; Chengzhi LU ; Jufang CHI ; Zhuhua YAO ; Yanxiang GAO ; Changan YU ; Jingyi REN ; Jingang ZHENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(3):301-310
BACKGROUND:
The available evidence regarding the benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on patients receiving dialysis with coronary artery disease (CAD) is limited and inconsistent. This study aimed to evaluate the association between PCI and clinical outcomes as compared with medical therapy alone in patients undergoing dialysis with CAD in China.
METHODS:
This multicenter, retrospective study was conducted in 30 tertiary medical centers across 12 provinces in China from January 2015 to June 2021 to include patients on dialysis with CAD. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause death, the individual components of MACE, and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between PCI and outcomes. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) were performed to account for potential between-group differences.
RESULTS:
Of the 1146 patients on dialysis with significant CAD, 821 (71.6%) underwent PCI. After a median follow-up of 23.0 months, PCI was associated with a 43.0% significantly lower risk for MACE (33.9% [ n = 278] vs . 43.7% [ n = 142]; adjusted hazards ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.71), along with a slightly increased risk for bleeding outcomes that did not reach statistical significance (11.1% vs . 8.3%; adjusted hazards ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval, 0.82-2.11). Furthermore, PCI was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities. Subgroup analysis did not modify the association of PCI with patient outcomes. These primary findings were consistent across IPTW, PSM, and competing risk analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study indicated that PCI in patients on dialysis with CAD was significantly associated with lower MACE and mortality when comparing with those with medical therapy alone, albeit with a slightly increased risk for bleeding events that did not reach statistical significance.
Humans
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Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods*
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Male
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Female
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Coronary Artery Disease/drug therapy*
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Retrospective Studies
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Renal Dialysis/methods*
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Middle Aged
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Aged
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China
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Proportional Hazards Models
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Treatment Outcome
9.Comprehensive analysis of the antibacterial activity of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone derivatives against methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus.
Qingqing CHEN ; Yuhang DING ; Zhongyi LI ; Xingyu CHEN ; Aliya FAZAL ; Yahan ZHANG ; Yudi MA ; Changyi WANG ; Liu YANG ; Tongming YIN ; Guihua LU ; Hongyan LIN ; Zhongling WEN ; Jinliang QI ; Hongwei HAN ; Yonghua YANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(5):604-613
Given the increasing concern regarding antibacterial resistance, the antimicrobial properties of naphthoquinones have recently attracted significant attention. While 1,4-naphthoquinone and its derivatives have been extensively studied, the antibacterial properties of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone derivatives remain relatively unexplored. This study presents a comprehensive in vitro and in vivo analysis of the antibacterial activity of 35 naturally sourced and chemically synthesized derivatives of 5,8-dihydroxy-1,4-naphthoquinone. Kirby-Bauer antibiotic testing identified three compounds with activity against methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), with one compound (PNP-02) demonstrating activity comparable to vancomycin in minimum inhibitory concentration, minimum bactericidal concentration (MBC), and time-kill assays. Microscopic and biochemical analyses revealed that PNP-02 adversely affects the cell wall and cell membrane of MRSA. Mechanistic investigations, including proteomic sequencing analyses, Western blotting, and RT-qPCR assays, indicated that PNP-02 compromises cell membrane integrity by inhibiting arginine biosynthesis and pyrimidine metabolism pathways, thereby increasing membrane permeability and inducing bacterial death. In an in vivo mouse model of skin wound healing, PNP-02 exhibited antibacterial efficacy similar to vancomycin. The compound demonstrated low toxicity to cultured human cells and in hemolysis assays and remained stable during serum incubation. These findings suggest that PNP-02 possesses promising bioactivity against MRSA and represents a potential novel antibacterial agent.
Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/genetics*
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Anti-Bacterial Agents/chemistry*
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Naphthoquinones/administration & dosage*
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Animals
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Microbial Sensitivity Tests
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Mice
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Humans
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Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology*
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Molecular Structure
10.Application of a multimodal model based on radiomics and 3D deep learning in predicting severe acute pancreatitis
Xianglin DING ; Xin CHEN ; Meiyu CHEN ; Yiping SHEN ; Yu WANG ; Minyue YIN ; Kai ZHAO ; Jinzhou ZHU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(10):2110-2117
ObjectiveTo investigate the application value of a multimodal model integrating radiomics features, deep learning features, and clinical structured data in predicting severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), and to provide more accurate tools for the early identification of SAP in clinical practice. MethodsThe patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) who attended The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Jintan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University, and Suzhou Yongding Hospital from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2023 were included. Related data were collected, including demographic information, previous medical history, etiology, laboratory test data, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) within 24 hours after admission, as well as imaging data within 72 hours after admission, while related scores were calculated, including Ranson score, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome, albumin, blood urea nitrogen and pleural effusion (SABP) score. The model was constructed in the following process: (1) three-dimensional CT images were used to extract and identify radiomics features, and a radiomics classification model was established based on the extreme gradient Boost (XGBoost) algorithm; (2) U-Net is used to perform semantic segmentation of three-dimensional CT images, and then the results of segmentation were imported into 3D ResNet50 to construct a deep learning classification model; (3) the predicted values of the above two models were integrated with clinical structured data to establish a multimodal model based on the XGBoost algorithm. The variable importance plot and local interpretability plot were used to perform visual interpretation of the model. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted for each model and existing scoring systems, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to assess their performance; the Delong test was used for comparison of AUC. ResultsA total of 609 patients who met the criteria were included, among whom 114 (18.7%) developed SAP. In this study, the data of 426 patients from The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University was used as the training set, and the data of 183 patients from Jintan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University and Suzhou Yongding Hospital were used as the independent test set. The multimodal model had an AUC of 0.914 in the test set, which was significantly higher than the AUC of traditional scoring systems such as MCTSI (AUC=0.827), Ranson score (AUC=0.675), BISAP (AUC=0.791), and SABP score (AUC=0.648); in addition, the multimodal model showed a significant improvement in performance compared with the radiomics classification model (AUC=0.739) and the deep learning classification model (AUC=0.685) (the Delong test: Z=-3.23, -4.83, -3.48, -4.92, -4.31, and -4.59, all P <0.01). The top 10 variables in terms of importance in the multimodal model were pleural effusion, predicted value of the deep learning model, predicted value of the radiomics model, triglycerides, calcium ions, SIRS, white blood cell count, age, platelets, and C-reactive protein, suggesting that the above variables had significant contributions to the performance of the model in predicting SAP. ConclusionBased on structured data, radiomic features, and deep learning features, this study constructs a multicenter prediction model for SAP based on the XGBoost algorithm, which has a better predictive performance than existing traditional scoring systems and unimodal models.


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