1.Predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly hemodialysis patients
Yifan YANG ; Huayu YANG ; Zongli DIAO ; Xu LIU ; Xiaotian SHI ; Qing MA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(9):1240-1245
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index(NRI)for one-year all-cause mortality risk among elderly maintenance hemodialysis (MHD)patients.Additionally, it seeks to compare the predictive abilities of NRI with those of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI)and the mini nutritional assessment short-form(MNA-SF).Methods:This research was conducted as a prospective cohort study.Elderly patients(aged ≥60 years)who underwent hemodialysis treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University for more than three months between July and October 2019 were selected for inclusion.The NRI score was utilized to evaluate the nutritional status of the participants, with the maximum point of the Jordan index designated as the cut-off value, thereby categorizing patients into high-risk and low-risk groups.The follow-up period concluded in August 2020, with all-cause mortality serving as the primary outcome measure.Kaplan-Meier methods were employed to construct survival curves, and the Cox proportional hazards model was applied to analyze the association between NRI and all-cause mortality.Furthermore, area under the curve(AUC) of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were utilized to compare the predictive values of the three nutritional assessment methods(NRI, GNRI, and MNA-SF)regarding mortality risk.Results:A total of 150 patients were included in the study, with a median age of 69(64.75) years.The cohort comprised 73 males(48.7%)and 77 females(51.3%). Based on the NRI, patients were categorized into a low-risk group(NRI<5; n=81, 54.0%)and a high-risk group(NRI ≥ 5; n=69, 46.0%). Of the 150 patients, 147 completed the follow-up.During the follow-up period, 15 patients died, with 13 from the high-risk group and 2 from the low-risk group.The Kaplan-Meier survival curve indicated that the 1-year cumulative survival rate for patients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than the low-risk group (log-rank χ2=11.71, P<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed a significant association between NRI and 1-year all-cause mortality in elderly patients undergoing MHD ( HR=3.779, 95% CI: 1.036-13.783, P=0.044). Additionally, NRI demonstrated a high predictive value for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients, with an AUC of 0.755(95% CI: 0.654-0.855), a sensitivity of 86.7%, and a specificity of 59.1%.Its predictive capability was slightly superior to that of the GNRI(AUC=0.691, 95% CI: 0.548-0.835)and the MNA-SF(AUC=0.634, 95% CI: 0.475-0.793), although no statistically significant differences were observed( Z=0.880, 1.177, P=0.379, 0.239). Conclusions:The NRI score demonstrates effective predictive capability for one-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients and may serve as a more suitable nutritional assessment method for this population.
2.Characterization of preclinical radio ADME properties of ARV-471 for predicting human PK using PBPK modeling
Yifei HE ; Chenggu ZHU ; Peng LEI ; Chen YANG ; Yifan ZHANG ; Yuandong ZHENG ; Xingxing DIAO
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(5):1145-1159
Proteolysis-targeting chimeras(PROTACs)represent a promising class of drugs that can target disease-causing proteins more effectively than traditional small molecule inhibitors can,potentially revolu-tionizing drug discovery and treatment strategies.However,the links between in vitro and in vivo data are poorly understood,hindering a comprehensive understanding of the absorption,distribution,metabolism,and excretion(ADME)of PROTACs.In this work,14C-labeled vepdegestrant(ARV-471),which is currently in phase Ⅲ clinical trials for breast cancer,was synthesized as a model PROTAC to characterize its preclinical ADME properties and simulate its clinical pharmacokinetics(PK)by estab-lishing a physiologically based pharmacokinetics(PBPK)model.For in vitro-in vivo extrapolation(IVIVE),hepatocyte clearance correlated more closely with in vivo rat PK data than liver microsomal clearance did.PBPK models,which were initially developed and validated in rats,accurately simulate ARV-471's PK across fed and fasted states,with parameters within 1.75-fold of the observed values.Human models,informed by in vitro ADME data,closely mirrored postoral dose plasma profiles at 30 mg.Furthermore,no human-specific metabolites were identified in vitro and the metabolic profile of rats could overlap that of humans.This work presents a roadmap for developing future PROTAC medications by elucidating the correlation between in vitro and in vivo characteristics.
3.Characterization of preclinical radio ADME properties of ARV-471 for predicting human PK using PBPK modeling.
Yifei HE ; Chenggu ZHU ; Peng LEI ; Chen YANG ; Yifan ZHANG ; Yuandong ZHENG ; Xingxing DIAO
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(5):101175-101175
Proteolysis-targeting chimeras (PROTACs) represent a promising class of drugs that can target disease-causing proteins more effectively than traditional small molecule inhibitors can, potentially revolutionizing drug discovery and treatment strategies. However, the links between in vitro and in vivo data are poorly understood, hindering a comprehensive understanding of the absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) of PROTACs. In this work, 14C-labeled vepdegestrant (ARV-471), which is currently in phase III clinical trials for breast cancer, was synthesized as a model PROTAC to characterize its preclinical ADME properties and simulate its clinical pharmacokinetics (PK) by establishing a physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK) model. For in vitro-in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE), hepatocyte clearance correlated more closely with in vivo rat PK data than liver microsomal clearance did. PBPK models, which were initially developed and validated in rats, accurately simulate ARV-471's PK across fed and fasted states, with parameters within 1.75-fold of the observed values. Human models, informed by in vitro ADME data, closely mirrored postoral dose plasma profiles at 30 mg. Furthermore, no human-specific metabolites were identified in vitro and the metabolic profile of rats could overlap that of humans. This work presents a roadmap for developing future PROTAC medications by elucidating the correlation between in vitro and in vivo characteristics.
4.Frailty trajectory and risk factors in elderly hemodialysis patients after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Yifan YANG ; Huayu YANG ; Zongli DIAO ; Xu LIU ; Lan YAO ; Liyan WANG ; Xiaotian SHI ; Xu LI ; Qing MA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(2):167-172
Objective:To investigate the trajectory of frailty in elderly patients on maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)following SARS-CoV-2 infection and its associated risk factors.Methods:This prospective cohort study focused on elderly patients who underwent baseline frailty assessment(T0)during hemodialysis treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital for over 3 months between December 1st, 2022, and December 31th, 2022, and were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection.The Fried Frailty Phenotype was evaluated at 1 month(T1), 3 months(T2), and 6 months(T3)post-infection.Frailty trajectory after infection was analyzed using repeated measurement ANOVA.Patients were divided into stable/improvement or exacerbation groups based on their frailty status at T0 and T3, with logistic regression analysis employed to identify risk factors for different frailty trajectories.Results:A total of 130 elderly maintenance hemodialysis patients, with a median age of 66 years(range: 63-71 years)and 62 males(47.7%), were included in the study.Six months after the infection, a majority of surviving patients saw their frailty scores return to baseline levels.Specifically, 72 patients(55.4%)either maintained or improved to robust or pre-frail states, while 9 patients(6.9%)progressed to a pre-frail state, 18 patients(13.8%)progressed to a frail state, and 31 patients(23.8%)remained in a frail state.Results from multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that low grip strength( OR: 6.30, 95% CI: 1.48-26.73)and all-cause hospitalization( OR: 5.01, 95% CI: 1.19-21.03)were identified as risk factors for non-frail patients transitioning to frailty( P<0.05). Conclusions:The majority of elderly maintenance hemodialysis patients who survived SARS-CoV-2 infection returned to their baseline level of frailty or showed improvement within 6 months.Non-frail patients with low grip strength or those who were hospitalized were more likely to deteriorate towards frailty.
5.Predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly hemodialysis patients
Yifan YANG ; Huayu YANG ; Zongli DIAO ; Xu LIU ; Xiaotian SHI ; Qing MA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(9):1240-1245
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index(NRI)for one-year all-cause mortality risk among elderly maintenance hemodialysis (MHD)patients.Additionally, it seeks to compare the predictive abilities of NRI with those of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI)and the mini nutritional assessment short-form(MNA-SF).Methods:This research was conducted as a prospective cohort study.Elderly patients(aged ≥60 years)who underwent hemodialysis treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University for more than three months between July and October 2019 were selected for inclusion.The NRI score was utilized to evaluate the nutritional status of the participants, with the maximum point of the Jordan index designated as the cut-off value, thereby categorizing patients into high-risk and low-risk groups.The follow-up period concluded in August 2020, with all-cause mortality serving as the primary outcome measure.Kaplan-Meier methods were employed to construct survival curves, and the Cox proportional hazards model was applied to analyze the association between NRI and all-cause mortality.Furthermore, area under the curve(AUC) of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were utilized to compare the predictive values of the three nutritional assessment methods(NRI, GNRI, and MNA-SF)regarding mortality risk.Results:A total of 150 patients were included in the study, with a median age of 69(64.75) years.The cohort comprised 73 males(48.7%)and 77 females(51.3%). Based on the NRI, patients were categorized into a low-risk group(NRI<5; n=81, 54.0%)and a high-risk group(NRI ≥ 5; n=69, 46.0%). Of the 150 patients, 147 completed the follow-up.During the follow-up period, 15 patients died, with 13 from the high-risk group and 2 from the low-risk group.The Kaplan-Meier survival curve indicated that the 1-year cumulative survival rate for patients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than the low-risk group (log-rank χ2=11.71, P<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed a significant association between NRI and 1-year all-cause mortality in elderly patients undergoing MHD ( HR=3.779, 95% CI: 1.036-13.783, P=0.044). Additionally, NRI demonstrated a high predictive value for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients, with an AUC of 0.755(95% CI: 0.654-0.855), a sensitivity of 86.7%, and a specificity of 59.1%.Its predictive capability was slightly superior to that of the GNRI(AUC=0.691, 95% CI: 0.548-0.835)and the MNA-SF(AUC=0.634, 95% CI: 0.475-0.793), although no statistically significant differences were observed( Z=0.880, 1.177, P=0.379, 0.239). Conclusions:The NRI score demonstrates effective predictive capability for one-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients and may serve as a more suitable nutritional assessment method for this population.
6.Frailty trajectory and risk factors in elderly hemodialysis patients after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Yifan YANG ; Huayu YANG ; Zongli DIAO ; Xu LIU ; Lan YAO ; Liyan WANG ; Xiaotian SHI ; Xu LI ; Qing MA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(2):167-172
Objective:To investigate the trajectory of frailty in elderly patients on maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)following SARS-CoV-2 infection and its associated risk factors.Methods:This prospective cohort study focused on elderly patients who underwent baseline frailty assessment(T0)during hemodialysis treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital for over 3 months between December 1st, 2022, and December 31th, 2022, and were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection.The Fried Frailty Phenotype was evaluated at 1 month(T1), 3 months(T2), and 6 months(T3)post-infection.Frailty trajectory after infection was analyzed using repeated measurement ANOVA.Patients were divided into stable/improvement or exacerbation groups based on their frailty status at T0 and T3, with logistic regression analysis employed to identify risk factors for different frailty trajectories.Results:A total of 130 elderly maintenance hemodialysis patients, with a median age of 66 years(range: 63-71 years)and 62 males(47.7%), were included in the study.Six months after the infection, a majority of surviving patients saw their frailty scores return to baseline levels.Specifically, 72 patients(55.4%)either maintained or improved to robust or pre-frail states, while 9 patients(6.9%)progressed to a pre-frail state, 18 patients(13.8%)progressed to a frail state, and 31 patients(23.8%)remained in a frail state.Results from multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that low grip strength( OR: 6.30, 95% CI: 1.48-26.73)and all-cause hospitalization( OR: 5.01, 95% CI: 1.19-21.03)were identified as risk factors for non-frail patients transitioning to frailty( P<0.05). Conclusions:The majority of elderly maintenance hemodialysis patients who survived SARS-CoV-2 infection returned to their baseline level of frailty or showed improvement within 6 months.Non-frail patients with low grip strength or those who were hospitalized were more likely to deteriorate towards frailty.
7. Cancer epidemics and the cancer prevention and control strategies in the United States: a review study
Nan LEI ; Yifan DIAO ; Huijun BAI ; Hao FENG ; Jufang SHI ; Juan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(7):737-743
In the past two decades,the United States made an impressed progress in the prevention and control of cancer that the overall morbidity and mortality of cancer had shown a downward trend, while China had seen an opposite trend. Cancer, one of the major public health concerns in China, has imposed an enormous burden onthe society and individuals. Therefore,in order to scientifically formulate cancer prevention and control policies, it is essential to make a comprehensive understanding of the practical experience in the field of cancer prevention and control from the United States. This article reviews the relevant literature on cancer trends as well as the prevention and control strategies in the United States,depictsthe cancer epidemic situation in the United States in the past 30 years, and summarizes the influencing factors, strategies and intervention experiences that lead to the improvement of cancer epidemic. It highlights the policy support, surveillance and intervention adopted by the United States for the cancer prevention and control. This article is expected to provide some implications and reference for the cancer prevention and control in China.
8.Cancer epidemics and the cancer prevention and control strategies in the United States: a review study
Nan LEI ; Yifan DIAO ; Huijun BAI ; Hao FENG ; Jufang SHI ; Juan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(7):737-743
In the past two decades,the United States made an impressed progress in the prevention and control of cancer that the overall morbidity and mortality of cancer had shown a downward trend, while China had seen an opposite trend. Cancer, one of the major public health concerns in China, has imposed an enormous burden onthe society and individuals. Therefore,in order to scientifically formulate cancer prevention and control policies, it is essential to make a comprehensive understanding of the practical experience in the field of cancer prevention and control from the United States. This article reviews the relevant literature on cancer trends as well as the prevention and control strategies in the United States,depictsthe cancer epidemic situation in the United States in the past 30 years, and summarizes the influencing factors, strategies and intervention experiences that lead to the improvement of cancer epidemic. It highlights the policy support, surveillance and intervention adopted by the United States for the cancer prevention and control. This article is expected to provide some implications and reference for the cancer prevention and control in China.
9.Cancer epidemics and the cancer prevention and control strategies in the United States: a review study
Nan LEI ; Yifan DIAO ; Huijun BAI ; Hao FENG ; Jufang SHI ; Juan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(7):737-743
In the past two decades,the United States made an impressed progress in the prevention and control of cancer that the overall morbidity and mortality of cancer had shown a downward trend, while China had seen an opposite trend. Cancer, one of the major public health concerns in China, has imposed an enormous burden onthe society and individuals. Therefore,in order to scientifically formulate cancer prevention and control policies, it is essential to make a comprehensive understanding of the practical experience in the field of cancer prevention and control from the United States. This article reviews the relevant literature on cancer trends as well as the prevention and control strategies in the United States,depictsthe cancer epidemic situation in the United States in the past 30 years, and summarizes the influencing factors, strategies and intervention experiences that lead to the improvement of cancer epidemic. It highlights the policy support, surveillance and intervention adopted by the United States for the cancer prevention and control. This article is expected to provide some implications and reference for the cancer prevention and control in China.

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