1.Application of machine learning models in schistosomiasis control: a review
Yu ZHOU ; Yixin TONG ; Yibiao ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(5):535-541
Schistosomiasis is a major public health concern in the world, and precision control is crucial to combating this disease. Due to the complex and diverse transmission route of schistosomiasis, conventional statistical models have significant limitations for precision control of schistosomiasis. As an important branch of artificial intelligence, machine learning has shown remarkable advantages in schistosomiasis control and research. It has been shown that machine learning is highly effective for disease prediction and risk assessment, so as to optimize the disease control strategy and resource allocation and achieve the precision control target. This review summarizes the characteristics of machine learning models and their applications in the research of intermediate host snails and schistosomiasis.
2.Application of artificial intelligence in parasitic diseases and parasitology
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(6):551-554
The rapid development of artificial intelligence poses a huge impact on health and has become a core driving force for the new generation of the scientific and technological revolution in the field of healthcare. Recently, artificial intelligence has been gradually applied in the field of parasitic diseases and parasitology, including disease diagnosis, prognosis prediction, prediction of transmission risk, intelligent identification of vectors and intermediate hosts, and disease prevention and control, which facilitates the progress towards elimination of parasitic diseases. In addition, artificial intelligence provides highly efficient tools and approaches for healthcare workers and researchers. This comment mainly reviews the application of artificial intelligence in the fields of parasitic diseases and parasitology.
3.Spatio-temporal distribution of emerging snail-infested sites in different environmental types in Yunnan Province
Junhui HUANG ; Yun ZHANG ; Chunhong DU ; Jing SONG ; Ning XU ; Honglin JIANG ; Zhengzhong WANG ; Ying XIONG ; Yixin TONG ; Jiangfan YIN ; Feng JIANG ; Qingwu JIANG ; Yi DONG ; Yibiao ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2023;42(3):178-184
Objective:To explore the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of emerging snail-infested sites in different environmental types in Yunnan Province.Methods:The data of snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province from 1950 to 2014 (from Yunnan Institute for Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention), were collected and sorted out, a spatial and temporal database on the distribution of emerging snail-infested sites were established, and the changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types (ditches, tangerines, paddy fields, dry land, beaches and other environments) were studied by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and scanning statistics analysis.Results:From 1950 to 2014, the annual number of emerging snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province reached a peak (1 730) in 1955 and then showed a fluctuating downward trend. From 1993 to 2014, the number of emerging snail-infested sites remained below 100, and increased to 160 and 131, respectively, in 2004 and 2013. The longest mean duration of 43.85 years was recorded for the beaches environment for emerging snail-infested sites, followed by the paddy fields environment with a mean duration of 37.01 years, and the shortest mean duration of 20.44 years for the tangerines environment. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation between the duration of emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types (global Moran's I ranged from 0.43 to 0.64, P < 0.05). Scanning statistics analysis showed that emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types had spatial and temporal aggregation ( P < 0.001), with 3- 6 clusters of statistically significant aggregation detected respectively. Conclusion:The emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types in Yunnan Province have spatial and temporal aggregation, and it is necessary to strengthen monitoring and prevention and control of the aggregation areas of different environment types to prevent further spread of the snail.
4.Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and related factors among pregnant women with non-local household registration in Xuhui District, Shanghai
Jiangfan YIN ; Fang FANG ; Yang LIU ; Ming LIN ; Meixia YANG ; Yibiao ZHOU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(2):110-115
ObjectiveTo study the sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in pregnant women with non-local household registration in Xuhui District and analyze the risk factors for STIs. MethodsFrom April 2020 to March 2022, pregnant women with non-local household registration who received their first prenatal examination in a general hospital in Shanghai Xuhui District were selected to conduct a status survey of STIs. Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of bacterial vaginitis and ureaplasma uaplasma infection. ResultsThe top three infection rates in the pregnant women were Ureaplasma urealyticum (13.2%), bacterial vaginosis (9.8%) and mycotic vaginitis (4.7%). Age between 25 and 35 years (aOR=0.53,95%CI: 0.28‒0.98) and monthly income ≥8 000 yuan (aOR=0.30,95%CI: 0.11‒0.82) were significantly correlated with ureaplasma uaplasma infection. Pregnancy number of 2 (aOR=4.95, 95%CI: 1.59‒15.46), first sexual relationship occurred before marriage (aOR=2.83, 95%CI: 1.04‒7.74), husband's alcoholism (aOR=3.83, 95%CI: 1.08‒13.56), high school education (aOR=0.27, 95%CI: 0.08‒0.93), and husband's travel history (aOR=0.30, 95%CI: 0.12‒0.79) were significantly correlated with bacterial vaginitis. ConclusionPregnant women with more gestation times, first sexual intercourse before marriage and husband with heavy drinking are more likely to be infected with bacterial vaginosis. Pregnant women with younger age and lower income are more likely to be infected with Ureaplasma urealyticum. Follow-up and monitoring should be strengthened in these groups.
5.Optimization of the medium and fermentation condition for the Penicillium aurantiocandidum Z12 strain with molluscicidal actions against Oncomelania hupensis
Ying XIONG ; Ning XU ; Junhui HUANG ; Jiamin WANG ; Zhengzhong WANG ; Honglin JIANG ; Yixin TONG ; Jiangfan YIN ; Yanfeng GONG ; Qingwu JIANG ; Yibiao ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2023;35(2):137-146
Objective To optimize the culture and fermentation conditions of the Penicillium aurantiocandidum Z12 strain, a fungal strain with molluscicidal actions against Oncomelania hupensis, so as to provide the basis for the research and development of molluscicidal active substances from the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain and its fermentation broth and large-scale fermentation. Methods The carbon source, nitrogen source and mineral salts were identified in the optimal culture medium for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain with a single-factor experiment to determine the best fermentation condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain were identified using the Plackett-Burman design, and the best range of each factor was determined using the steepest climb test. Response surface analyses of temperature, pH value, seeding amount and liquid-filling quantity were performed using the Box-Behnken design to create a regression model for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain to identify the optimal culture medium. Results Single-factor experiment preliminarily identified the best culture medium and conditions for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain as follows: sucrose as the carbon source at approximately 20 g/L, tryptone as the nitrogen source at approximately 5 g/L, K2HPO4 as the mineral salt at approximately 5 g/L, initial pH at approximately 8, temperature at approximately 28 °C, seeding amount at approximately 6%, and liquid-filling quantity at approximately 50 mL/100 mL. Plackett-Burman design showed that factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included temperature (t = −5.28, P < 0.05), seeding amount (t = 5.22, P < 0.05), pH (t = −4.30, P < 0.05) and liquid-filling quantity (t = −4.39, P < 0.05). Steepest climb test showed the highest mycelial growth at pH of 7.5, seeding amount of 8%, and liquid-filling quantity of 40 mL/100 mL, and this condition was selected as the central point of response surface analysis for the subsequent optimization of fermentation conditions. Response surface analyses using the Box-Behnken design showed that the optimal conditions for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included sucrose at 15 g/L, tryptone at 5 g/L, K2HPO4 at 5 g/L, temperature at 28.2 °C, pH at 7.5, seeding amount at 10%, and liquid-filling quantity at 35.8 mL/100.0 mL, resulting in 0.132 g yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Conclusion The optimal culture condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain has been identified, and the optimized culture medium and fermentation condition may effectively improve the fermentation yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain.
6.Changing trend of sickness absenteeism among students during 2010-2017 academic years and its correlation with the incidence of acute infectious diseases in Jiading District,Shanghai
Chinese Journal of School Health 2023;44(6):914-918
Objective:
To describe the sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District and to analyze its correlation with the incidence of infectious diseases and associated lead or lag times, so as,to provide a scientific basis for the health and education departments to take measures.
Methods:
The regularity and symptom composition of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District from the 2010-2017 were described. The Joinpoint model was applied to analyze the changing trend of absenteeism. And the rate of school sickness absenteeism and incidences of 7 acute infectious diseases were compared through visual analysis. The time lagged correlation coefficients and Granger causality tests were applied to quantitatively analyze the correlation and lead/lag patterns.
Results:
The average rate of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District, Shanghai was 0.27%. Since the 2012 academic year, the overall rate of sickness absenteeism has been on the rise. Fever was the most common symptom of absenteeism (47.49%). The trend of sickness absenteeism rate was mainly consistent with the incidence of influenza, and showed a one way Granger causality. The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient was obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year with a value of 0.43 (95% CI =0.25-0.58). The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient between the rate of sickness absenteeism with fever and other respiratory symptoms and the incidence of influenza was also obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year and the maximum correlation coefficient was 0.50(95% CI =0.33-0.65).
Conclusion
The sickness absenteeism rate in primary and secondary school students is correlated to influenza incidence, and it has potential application value in supplementing early warning of influenza activities in the community.
7.Arthroscopic reduction and double-tunnel button fixation of fractures of the tibial intercondylar eminence in children
Chao YOU ; Chao DENG ; Yibiao ZHOU ; Tianfeng ZHU ; Yongjie XIA
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2023;25(8):728-731
Objective:To investigate the efficacy of arthroscopic reduction and double-tunnel button fixation in the treatment of fractures of the tibial intercondylar eminence in children.Methods:From January 2019 to June 2022, 8 children with fracture of the tibial intercondylar eminence were treated at Orthopedics Department, Shenzhen Children's Hospital with arthroscopic reduction and double-tunnel button fixation. They were 6 boys and 2 girls, with an age of (8.4±1.9) years. Injured sites: 4 left knees and 4 right knees. Their operation time, intraoperative blood loss, knee flexion and extension, and complications were recorded. Their Lysholm scores were compared between preoperation and the last follow-up.Results:The operation time was (161.9±57.9)min. All patients were followed up for (12.1±5.7) months. The intraoperative blood loss was 3.5 (1.0,4.3)mL. Their knee flexion was 145.0°±5.0° and extension 0.9°±1.2° after operation. All their incisions healed at one stage, with no postoperative infection or other complications. Their preoperative Lysholm score [(20.3±15.8) points (from 2 to 54 points)] increased significantly to (99.3±1.0) points (from 98 to 100 points) after operation ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Arthroscopic reduction and double-tunnel button fixation is effective for fractures of the tibial intercondylar eminence in children, leading to limited complications, limited bleeding and a low infection rate.
8.Transmission characteristics and prevention measures of Naegleria fowleri: a review
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(2):187-191
Objective To review the
9.False positives of screening in large-scale population with low infection rate of an infectious diseasea: a modeling analysis
Honglin JIANG ; Yixin TONG ; Ning XU ; Yibiao ZHOU ; Qingwu JIANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(4):314-317
ObjectiveTo explore the positive predictive value (PPV) and false positive (FP) number of screening test in mass testing when the prevalence of infection is low. MethodsAssuming a population of 20 million with the prevalence of disease infection ranging from 0.1% to 5.0%, PPV, true positive (TP) and FP numbers were calculated under different scenarios of combination of sensitivity (99.0%, 99.5%, and 100.0%) with specificity (97.0%, 97.5%, 98.0%, 98.5%, 99.0%, 99.5%, and 99.9%). ResultsFor low infection prevalence (≤5.0%), specificity has a greater impact on PPV than sensitivity; with the decrease of infection prevalence, the increase in PPV elevates when the specificity increases. When the infection prevalence is >1.0%, the closer the specificity is to 99.9%, the closer the PPV is to 100.0%. However, when the infection prevalence is <1.0%, the maximum PPV is only about 90.0%. When the infection rate is 0.1%, a screening test with more than 99.0% sensitivity could detect about 20 thousand TP cases in a population of 20 million. Additionally, the FP and PPV are estimated to be 599 thousand and 3.2% if the specificity is 97.0%, and 20 thousand and 50.0% if the specificity is 99.9%. When the infection rate is 1.0%, a screening test with ≥99.0% sensitivity and ≥97.0% specificity could detect about 0.198‒0.200 million TP cases; and the number of FP decreases from 594 thousand to 20 thousand when the specificity increases from 97.0% to 99.9%. When the infection rate is 5.0%, a screening test with ≥99.0% sensitivity and ≥97.0% specificity could detect about 0.99‒1.00 million TP cases; and the number of FP decreases from 570 thousand to 19 thousand when the specificity increases from 97.0% to 99.9%. When the infection prevalence is ≤5.0% in a total population of 20 million, there are about 20,000 FP cases even if the sensitivity and specificity reach the maximum values of 100.0% and 99.9%, respectively. ConclusionWhen the population is large and the infection prevalence is low, in addition to improving the specificity of the screening test in mass testing, the problem of a large number of false positives cannot be ignored.
10.False negatives of screening in large-scale population
Ning XU ; Yixin TONG ; Honglin JIANG ; Yibiao ZHOU ; Qingwu JIANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(5):432-435
ObjectiveTo explore the changing trend of negative predictive value and number of false negatives in screening tests under the condition of low infection rate of infectious diseases. MethodsAssuming that the population is 20 million, to calculate the negative predictive value, numbers of true negatives and false negatives of the combination of different sensitivity (75.0%, 80.0%, 85.0%, 90.0%, 95.0%, 99.0%) and specificity (90.0%, 95.0%, 99.0%, 99.9%) when the disease infection rate of the population is 0.10%, 1.0% and 5.0% respectively. ResultsWhen the population infection rate is 0.1%, with the screening test sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0%, the number of true negatives in 20 million people is about 17.98‒19.96 million. When the sensitivity is 75.0%, the negative predictive value is 99.972%‒99.975%, and the number of false negatives is 5 000; When the sensitivity increases to 99.0%, the negative predictive value is 99.999%, and the number of false negatives decreases to 200. When the population infection rate is 1.0%, a screening test with sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0% can detect about 17.82‒19.78 million true negatives in 20 million population. When the sensitivity is 75.0%, the negative predictive value is 99.720%‒99.748%, and the number of false negatives is 50 000; When the sensitivity increases to 99.0%, the negative predictive value increases to 99.990%, and the number of false negatives decreases to 2 000. When the population infection rate is 5.0%, with sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0%, the number of true negatives in 20 million people is about 17.10‒18.98 million; when the sensitivity is 75.0%, the negative predictive value is 98.559%‒98.700%, and the number of false negatives can reach 250 000; When the sensitivity is 99.0%, the negative predictive value increases to 99.942%‒99.947%, and the number of false negatives decreases to 10 000. The lower the infection rate of the population, the fewer false negatives will appear in the screening. ConclusionThe number of false negatives in large-scale screenings increases exponentially with the increase of infection rate. Screenings should be carried out as early as possible in a pandemic of infectious diseases, so as to control the spread of the pandemic as soon as possible.


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