1.Effects of total extract of Anthriscus sylvestris on immune inflammation and thrombosis in rats with pulmonary arterial hypertension based on TGF-β1/Smad3 signaling pathway.
Ya-Juan ZHENG ; Pei-Pei YUAN ; Zhen-Kai ZHANG ; Yan-Ling LIU ; Sai-Fei LI ; Yuan RUAN ; Yi CHEN ; Yang FU ; Wei-Sheng FENG ; Xiao-Ke ZHENG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(9):2472-2483
This study aimed to explore the effects and mechanisms of total extracts from Anthriscus sylvestris on pulmonary hypertension in rats. Sixty male SD rats were divided into normal(NC) group, model(M) group, positive drug sildenafil(Y) group, low-dose A. sylvestris(ES-L) group, medium-dose A. sylvestris(ES-M) group, and high-dose A. sylvestris(ES-H) group. On day 1, rats were intraperitoneally injected with monocrotaline(60 mg·kg~(-1)) to induce pulmonary hypertension, and the rat model was established on day 28. From days 15 to 28, intragastric administration of the respective treatments was performed. After modeling and treatment, small animal echocardiography was used to detect the right heart function of the rats. Arterial blood gas was measured using a blood gas analyzer. Hematoxylin and eosin(HE) staining and Masson staining were performed to observe cardiopulmonary pathological damage. Flow cytometry was used to detect apoptosis in the lung and myocardial tissues and reactive oxygen species(ROS) levels. Western blot was applied to detect the expression levels of transforming growth factor-β1(TGF-β1), phosphorylated mothers against decapentaplegic homolog 3(p-Smad3), Smad3, tissue plasminogen activator(t-PA), and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1(PAI-1) in lung tissue. A blood routine analyzer was used to measure inflammatory immune cell levels in the blood. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) was used to detect the expression levels of P-selectin and thromboxane A2(TXA2) in plasma. The results showed that, compared with the NC group, right heart hypertrophy index, right ventricular free wall thickness, right heart internal diameter, partial carbon dioxide pressure(PaCO_2), apoptosis in cardiopulmonary tissue, and ROS levels were significantly increased in the M group. In contrast, the ratio of pulmonary blood flow acceleration time(PAT)/ejection time(PET), right cardiac output, change rate of right ventricular systolic area, systolic displacement of the tricuspid ring, oxygen partial pressure(PaO_2), and blood oxygen saturation(SaO_2) were significantly decreased in the M group. After administration of the total extract of A. sylvestris, right heart function and blood gas levels were significantly improved, while apoptosis in cardiopulmonary tissue and ROS levels significantly decreased. Further testing revealed that the total extract of A. sylvestris significantly decreased the levels of interleukin-1β(IL-1β), interleukin-6(IL-6), and PAI-1 proteins in lung tissue, while increasing the expression of t-PA. Additionally, the extract reduced the levels of inflammatory cells such as leukocytes, lymphocytes, granulocytes, and monocytes in the blood, as well as the levels of P-selectin and TXA2 in plasma. Metabolomics results showed that the total extract of A. sylvestris significantly affected metabolic pathways, including arginine biosynthesis, tyrosine metabolism, and taurine and hypotaurine metabolism. In conclusion, the total extract of A. sylvestris may exert an anti-pulmonary hypertension effect by inhibiting the TGF-β1/Smad3 signaling pathway, thereby alleviating immune-inflammatory responses and thrombosis.
Animals
;
Male
;
Smad3 Protein/metabolism*
;
Transforming Growth Factor beta1/metabolism*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Rats
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
;
Hypertension, Pulmonary/genetics*
;
Thrombosis/immunology*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Humans
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
2.Association between low ambient temperature during pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
Tiechao RUAN ; Yan YUE ; Wenting LU ; Ruixi ZHOU ; Tao XIONG ; Yin JIANG ; Junjie YING ; Jun TANG ; Jing SHI ; Hua WANG ; Guoguang XIAO ; Jinhui LI ; Yi QU ; Dezhi MU
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(19):2307-2315
BACKGROUND:
Extreme temperature events, including extreme cold, are becoming more frequent worldwide, which might be harmful to pregnant women and cause adverse birth outcomes. We aimed to investigate the association between exposure to low ambient temperature in pregnant women and adverse birth outcomes, such as preterm birth, low birth weight, and stillbirth, and to summarize the evidence herein.
METHODS:
Relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Cochrane, and Embase electronic databases until November 2021. Studies involving low ambient temperature, preterm birth, birth weight, and stillbirth were included. The guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses were followed to conduct this study risk of bias and methods for data synthesis.
RESULTS:
A total of 34 studies were included. First, pregnant women exposed to low ambient temperature had an increased risk of preterm birth (risk ratio [RR] 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.13). Subgroup analyses revealed that exposure during late pregnancy was more likely to induce preterm birth. In addition, only pregnant women exposed to <1st percentile of the mean temperature suffered increased risk of preterm birth. Moreover, pregnant women living in medium or hot areas were more prone to have preterm births than those in cold areas when exposed to low ambient temperatures. Asians and Blacks were more susceptible to low ambient temperatures than Caucasians. Second, pregnant women exposed to low ambient temperature had an increased risk of low birth weight (RR 1.07; 95% CI 1.03-1.12). Third, pregnant women had an increased risk of stillbirth while exposed to low ambient temperature during the entire pregnancy (RR 4.63; 95% CI 3.99-5.38).
CONCLUSIONS:
Exposure to low ambient temperature during pregnancy increases the risk of adverse birth outcomes. Pregnant women should avoid exposure to extremely low ambient temperature (<1st percentile of the mean temperature), especially in their late pregnancy. This study could provide clues for preventing adverse outcomes from meteorological factors.
REGISTRATION
No. CRD42021259776 at PROSPERO ( https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ ).
Pregnancy
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Pregnancy Outcome
;
Premature Birth/epidemiology*
;
Stillbirth/epidemiology*
;
Temperature
;
Pregnancy Complications
3.Clinical trial of ranibizumab combined with dexamethasone intravitreal implant in the treatment of macular edema secondary to retinal vein obstruction
Yi-Meng RUAN ; Dong-Wei YAO ; Yan SHI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2023;39(23):3397-3400
Objective To observe the clinical efficacy and safety of ranibizumab injection combined with dexamethasone intravitreal implant in the treatment of macular edema secondary to retinal vein obstruction(RVO-ME).Methods The RVO-ME patients were divided into control and treatment groups.Control group received intravitreal ranibizumab injection 0.05 mL once a month for 3 consecutive times.Treatment group received the intravitreal ranibizumab injection 0.05 mL combined with intravitreal injection of dexamethasone intravitreal implant 0.7 mg.Two groups were given another intravitreal injection of ranibizumab as needed,if the macular edema did not fully subside or relapsed.Two groups were followed up for six months.The best-corrected visual acuity(BCVA),central macular thickness(CMT),macular vascular density(MVD)of superficial retinal vascular complex(SVC)and macular deep vascular complex(DVC),the area of foveal avascular area(FAZ),number of injections on-demand treatment and adverse drug reactions were compared between two groups.Results Twenty cases in the control group were included,and 16 cases in the treatment group were included.After 6 months of treatment,the BCVA of treatment and control groups were 0.58±0.16 and 0.47±0.19;CMT were(313.00±53.55)μm and(293±40.47)μm;SVC-MVD were(56.82±8.89)%and(53.18±8.17)%;SVC-FAZ were(0.58±0.16)and(0.47±0.19)mm2;DVC-FAZ were(0.29±0.07)and(0.31±0.08)mm2;and the differences were not statistically significant(all P>0.05).After 6 months of treatment,the DVC-MVD of treatment and control groups were(52.68±6.72)%and(43.87±3.18)%;the number of injections on-demand treatment was 0.25±0.45 and 1.05±0.76,the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).The adverse drug reactions in the treatment group were subconjunctival hemorrhage and increased intraocular pressure,and those in control group were subconjunctival hemorrhage.The total incidences of adverse drug reactions in treatment and control groups were 12.50%and 15.00%,without significant difference(P>0.05).Conclusion The clinical efficacy of ranibizumab injection combined with dexamethasone intravitreal implant and ranibizumab injection alone in the treatment of the patients with RVO-ME was similar.However,the recovery of blood flow density in the retinal DVC layer after the former treatment is faster,which can obtain more lasting clinical efficacy,without increasing the incidence of adverse drug reactions.
4.Adverse cardiovascular effects of antiretrovirals in female mice during gestation.
Hai-Juan YU ; Zu-Sheng CHEN ; Tong CHEN ; Yi-Jing WU ; Ke-Yue SUN ; Yu-Jing LI ; Qin XU ; Han-Hui YE ; Ya-Hong CHEN ; Qin-Yun RUAN ; Li-Yun FU ; Chun-Yan HUANG ; Lin-Ying ZHOU ; Min-Hua WANG ; Qiu-Juan FANG
Chinese Journal of Applied Physiology 2022;38(3):252-257
Objective: To evaluate the effects of antiretrovirals on cardiovascular function and some biochemical indexes in gestational female rats. Methods: Nineteen 9-week-old female and six 10-week-old male SD rats were divided into normal control group (CON) and highly active antiretroviral therapy group (HARRT), 9/10 female rats and 3 male rats were combined into one cage, totally 2 cages. Female rats in CON group were intragastrically given with normal saline (NS, 10 ml/kg) every morning and evening, while female rats in HARRT group were treated with equal volume antiretrovirals (AZT 31.25 mg/kg + 3TC 15.63 mg/kg + LPV/r (41.67/10.42) mg/kg) for 3 months. The body weight and survival rate of female rats were recorded. Echocardiography and multichannel physiological recorder were used to detect arterial blood pressure and cardiac hemodynamic parameters. The levels of blood glucose, blood lipids, myocardial enzymes and liver enzymes were detected by corresponding kits. Myocardial collagen fibers were observed by Masson staining and the ultrastructure of myocardial cells were observed by transmission electron microscopy. Results: All female rats in CON group survived (9/9), while only 6 rats in HARRT group survived (6/10). Compared with CON group, the body weight of female rats in HAART group was decreased significantly(P<0.01); the levels of left ventricular end diastolic diameter (LVDd), interventricular septal thickness (IVST), thickness of left ventricular posterior wall (LVPWT) , left atrial diameter (LAD) and arterial diastolic pressure were increased significantly (P<0.05); the level of LVP+dP/dtmax was decreased (P<0.01). The levels of triglyceride, creatine kinase, and glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase were decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01), while the level of glucose was increased (P<0.05). The collagen fibers were increased in myocardial tissue, and ultrastructure of myocardial cells was abnormal. Conclusion: Antiretrovirals during gestation can cause cardiovascular diseases in female rats.
Animals
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Anti-Retroviral Agents/adverse effects*
;
Body Weight
;
Cardiotoxicity
;
Collagen
;
Female
;
Myocytes, Cardiac/ultrastructure*
;
Pregnancy
;
Rats
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
5.Identification of metabolites of imperatorin in rats: based on UHPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS.
Yi-Fang CUI ; Hong WANG ; Jian RUAN ; Wen-Wen ZHANG ; Hong-Yan ZHOU ; Ya-Nan LI ; Long DAI ; Jia-Yu ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2022;47(15):4202-4213
This study aims to identify and analyze the metabolites of imperatorin in rats by UHPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS. Specifically, after rats were treated(ig) with imperatorin, the plasma, urine, and feces were collected, and the samples were processed by solid phase extraction. Then, UHPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS was performed. In MS, 0.1% formic acid water(A)-acetonitrile(B) was applied as mobile phase for gradient elution and the data of MS in both positive and negative ion modes were collected. The metabolites of imperatorin in blood, urine, and feces of rats were analyzed to explore the metabolic pathways of imperatorin in rats. According to accurate molecular weight, multistage MS data, MS fragmentation rule of the standard substance, and previous reports, a total of 51 metabolites were identified, with 35, 40, and 16 from plasma, urine, and feces, separately. The main metabolic pathways were oxidization, glucuronidation, isopentenyl removal, sulphation, carboxylation, among others. The conclusion in this study is expected to serve as a reference for the further development and the further pharmacodynamics study of imperatorin.
Animals
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Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid
;
Feces
;
Furocoumarins
;
Plasma
;
Rats
;
Solid Phase Extraction
6.Clinical characteristics of 18 children with chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis.
Hai Mei LIU ; Ying Yan SHI ; Xie Mei RUAN ; Yi Ru GONG ; Tao ZHANG ; Yi Fan LI ; Qiao Qian ZENG ; Qian Ying LYU ; Guo Min LI ; Zhong Wei QIAO ; Ha WU ; Da Hui WANG ; Lian CHEN ; Hui YU ; Hong XU ; Li SUN
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2022;60(12):1271-1275
Objective: To investigate the clinical features of children with chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis (CNO), and raise awareness among clinicians. Methods: In this retrospective study, 18 patients with CNO who were diagnosed in Children's Hospital of Fudan University from January 2015 to December 2021 were included. Results: Eighteen children with CNO (12 males, 6 females) were identified. Their age at onset was 9 (5, 11) years, the delay in diagnosis was 2 (1, 6) months, and follow-up-was 17 (8, 34) months. The most common symptoms were fever in 14 children, as well as bone pain and (or) arthralgia in 14 children. In terms of laboratory results, normal white blood cell counts were observed at onset in 17 patients; increased erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) in all patients; increased C reactive protein (CRP) over the normal value in 14 patients. Of the 18 patients, 2 had positive antinuclear antibodies, while none had positive human leukocyte antigen-B27 or rheumatoid factor. Imaging examination revealed that all the patients had symmetrical and multifocal skeletal lesions. The number of structural lesions detected by imaging investigation was 8 (6, 11). The most frequently affected bones were tibia in 18 patients and femur in 17 patients. Bone biopsy was conducted in 14 patients and acute or chronic osteomyelitis manifested with inflammatory cells infiltration were detected. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) found bone lesions in all the patients and bone scintigraphy were positive in 13 patients. All the patients were treated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, among whom 10 cases also treated with oral glucocorticoids, 9 cases with traditional disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs, 8 cases with bisphosphonates and 6 cases with tumor necrosis factor inhibitors. The pediatric chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis disease activity score, increased by 70% or more in 13 patients within the initial 6-month follow-up. Conclusions: The clinical manifestations of CNO are lack of specificity. The first symptom of CNO is fever, with or without bone pain and (or) arthralgia, with normal peripheral blood leukocytes, elevated CRP and (or) ESR. Whole body bone scanning combined with MRI can early detect osteomyelitis at subclinical sites, and improve the diagnostic rate of CNO.
Female
;
Male
;
Humans
;
Child
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Osteomyelitis/drug therapy*
;
Arthralgia
;
Diphosphonates
;
Fever
;
Graft vs Host Disease
7.Assessment of diaphragmatic dysfunction by two-dimensional speckle tracking imaging in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Yi XIAO ; Junjun LI ; Yajuan HE ; Yuli JIA ; Yan SONG ; Jinru YANG ; Litao RUAN
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2022;31(12):1046-1052
Objective:To explore the application value of two-dimensional speckle tracking imaging (2D-STI) in evaluating diaphragm function, and to compare the ability of 2D-STI and conventional diaphragm ultrasonography in diagnosing diaphragmatic dysfunction and evaluating disease severity in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD).Methods:A total of 58 AECOPD patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January to October 2021 were retrospectively enrolled as AECOPD group, and 34 healthy subjects were recruited as control group during the same period. Repeatability test of diaphragmatic 2D-STI was performed. According to modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea scores system and COPD Assessment Test (CAT), mMRC 0-1 and CAT<10 was classified as group A, mMRC≥2 and CAT≥10 was classified as group B. The baseline characteristics, conventional diaphragm ultrasonography parameters(thickening fraction and excursion) and 2D-STI parameters (longitudinal and radial strains) were compared between the AECOPD group and the control group, and the Spearman correlation between parameters of AECOPD group and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) was analyzed. The differences of these parameters between group A and B were also compared. The ROC curve of conventional diaphragm ultrasonography parameters and 2D-STI parameters was plotted to differentiate group A from group B, and the diagnostic efficacy was evaluated.Results:Great intra- and inter-observer reproducibility was found for all diaphragmatic 2D-STI parameters, with ICCs above 0.80 for all measurements. The control group and the AECOPD group did not differ in age, sex and body mass index( P>0.05), whereas there were significant differences in smoking history, lung function, bilateral thickening fraction, excursion, longitudinal and radial strains( P<0.05). Compared with control group, patients in group A had a significant increase in diaphragm thickness ( P<0.05), while there was no significant difference in that between group B and control group ( P>0.05). The bilateral longitudinal strains, radial strains and thickening fraction of diaphragm were linearly correlated with FEV1 (right side rs=0.828, 0.794, 0.843, respectively; all P<0.001; left side rs=0.757, 0.704, 0.752, respectively; all P<0.001 ), while the correlation between excursion and FEV1 was not significant(right side rs=0.247, left side rs=0.253; all P>0.05). There were significant differences in bilateral longitudinal strains, radial strains and thickening fraction between group A and group B(all P<0.05), whereas there was no significant difference in excursion between the two groups ( P>0.05). ROC analysis showed bilateral longitudinal and radial strains had higher accuracy in distinguishing group A from group B than thickening fraction and excursion(right side AUCs 0.90, 0.84, 0.78 and 0.62, respectively; left side AUCs 0.85, 0.83, 0.77 and 0.62, respectively). Conclusions:2D-STI is a real-time noninvasive technique for diaphragm function assessment, which has high clinical value. Compared with conventional ultrasonography, 2D-STI shows more accuracy and effectiveness in diagnosing diaphragmatic dysfunction and evaluating disease severity of patients with AECOPD.
8.Analysis on characteristics of virus isolation and unique recombinant forms from untreated HIV-1 infected patients in three provinces of China
Lijie WANG ; Yi FENG ; Lin HE ; Ruolei XIN ; Yan WANG ; Shu LIANG ; Yibo DING ; Shujia LIANG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Caiqin HU ; Yuhua RUAN ; Hui XING ; Kunxue HONG ; Yiming SHAO ; Liying MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2022;36(3):263-269
Objective:To analyze the characteristics of viral isolation and unique recombinant from untreated HIV-1 patients infected through sexual transmission and injection drug use, so as to provide evidence for understanding the biological characteristics and precise prevention and control of HIV-1 infection in different transmission routes.Methods:In view of the different HIV-1 transmission risks, newly diagnosed untreated HIV-1 patients from Beijing, Guangxi and Sichuan were carefully selected. Venous blood was collected to detect the viral load and CD4 + T cell count, and peripheral blood lymphocytes were isolated for virus isolation. Viral RNAs were extracted from the virus supernatant, and the near full-length genome sequences were obtained using in-house method, then the recombination patterns were determined. Results:Among the 65 HIV-1 infection, 32(49.2%), 20(30.8%) and 13(20.0%) were infected via men who have sex with men (MSM), heterosexual and injection drug use (IDU), respectively; genotypes mainly included 26(40.0%) CRF07_ BC, 23(35.4%) CRF01_ AE, and 9(13.8%) unique recombinant types (URFs). A total of 46 HIV-1 clinical strains were isolated. The positive rate of HIV-1 isolation was significantly negatively correlated with CD4 + T cells ( X2=4.22, P=0.04), but positively correlated with viral load ( X2=22.4, P<0.001); the multi-variate generalized estimating equations(GEE) model analysis of HIV-1 P24 antigen content showed similar result. In addition, GEE model showed a positive correlation between viral P24 antigen content and virus-producing culture time (52.14, 95% CI: 9.42~94.87, P=0.017). Viral growth curve analysis showed that the level of viral P24 antigen in MSM Group was significantly higher than that in heterosexual group and IDU group (adjusted P values were p<0.01 and P<0.05, respectively), on the 14th day after culture. The proportion of URFs in MSM Group was higher than that in heterosexual group, and the recombinant breakpoints in MSM Group were more than that in heterosexual group. Conclusions:MSM population was more sensitive to HIV-1 virus isolation; there was unique diversity of recombinant forms of HIV-1 among those with sexually transmitted infections, especially in the MSM population.
9.Deep learning applied to two-dimensional color Doppler flow imaging ultrasound images significantly improves diagnostic performance in the classification of breast masses: a multicenter study.
Teng-Fei YU ; Wen HE ; Cong-Gui GAN ; Ming-Chang ZHAO ; Qiang ZHU ; Wei ZHANG ; Hui WANG ; Yu-Kun LUO ; Fang NIE ; Li-Jun YUAN ; Yong WANG ; Yan-Li GUO ; Jian-Jun YUAN ; Li-Tao RUAN ; Yi-Cheng WANG ; Rui-Fang ZHANG ; Hong-Xia ZHANG ; Bin NING ; Hai-Man SONG ; Shuai ZHENG ; Yi LI ; Yang GUANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2021;134(4):415-424
BACKGROUND:
The current deep learning diagnosis of breast masses is mainly reflected by the diagnosis of benign and malignant lesions. In China, breast masses are divided into four categories according to the treatment method: inflammatory masses, adenosis, benign tumors, and malignant tumors. These categorizations are important for guiding clinical treatment. In this study, we aimed to develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) for classification of these four breast mass types using ultrasound (US) images.
METHODS:
Taking breast biopsy or pathological examinations as the reference standard, CNNs were used to establish models for the four-way classification of 3623 breast cancer patients from 13 centers. The patients were randomly divided into training and test groups (n = 1810 vs. n = 1813). Separate models were created for two-dimensional (2D) images only, 2D and color Doppler flow imaging (2D-CDFI), and 2D-CDFI and pulsed wave Doppler (2D-CDFI-PW) images. The performance of these three models was compared using sensitivity, specificity, area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV), positive (LR+) and negative likelihood ratios (LR-), and the performance of the 2D model was further compared between masses of different sizes with above statistical indicators, between images from different hospitals with AUC, and with the performance of 37 radiologists.
RESULTS:
The accuracies of the 2D, 2D-CDFI, and 2D-CDFI-PW models on the test set were 87.9%, 89.2%, and 88.7%, respectively. The AUCs for classification of benign tumors, malignant tumors, inflammatory masses, and adenosis were 0.90, 0.91, 0.90, and 0.89, respectively (95% confidence intervals [CIs], 0.87-0.91, 0.89-0.92, 0.87-0.91, and 0.86-0.90). The 2D-CDFI model showed better accuracy (89.2%) on the test set than the 2D (87.9%) and 2D-CDFI-PW (88.7%) models. The 2D model showed accuracy of 81.7% on breast masses ≤1 cm and 82.3% on breast masses >1 cm; there was a significant difference between the two groups (P < 0.001). The accuracy of the CNN classifications for the test set (89.2%) was significantly higher than that of all the radiologists (30%).
CONCLUSIONS:
The CNN may have high accuracy for classification of US images of breast masses and perform significantly better than human radiologists.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
Chictr.org, ChiCTR1900021375; http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=33139.
Area Under Curve
;
Breast/diagnostic imaging*
;
Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging*
;
China
;
Deep Learning
;
Humans
;
ROC Curve
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
10.Factors Defining the Development of Severe Illness in Patients with COVID-19: A Retrospective Study.
Yi Bai XIONG ; Ya Xin TIAN ; Yan MA ; Wei YANG ; Bin LIU ; Lian Guo RUAN ; Cheng LU ; Lu Qi HUANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2021;34(12):984-991
Objective:
Early triage of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is pivotal in managing the disease. However, studies on the clinical risk score system of the risk factors for the development of severe disease are limited. Hence, we conducted a clinical risk score system for severe illness, which might optimize appropriate treatment strategies.
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective, single-center study at the JinYinTan Hospital from January 24, 2020 to March 31, 2020. We evaluated the demographic, clinical, and laboratory data and performed a 10-fold cross-validation to split the data into a training set and validation set. We then screened the prognostic factors for severe illness using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression, and finally conducted a risk score to estimate the probability of severe illness in the training set. Data from the validation set were used to validate the score.
Results:
A total of 295 patients were included. From 49 potential risk factors, 3 variables were measured as the risk score: neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (
Conclusion
This report may help define the potential of developing severe illness in patients with COVID-19 at an early stage, which might be related to the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, albumin, and chest computed tomography abnormalities.
Aged
;
COVID-19/diagnosis*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Nomograms
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Assessment
;
Severity of Illness Index

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