1.Single-center analysis of unplanned reoperation case after liver transplantation
Zhi CHEN ; Qingqing DAI ; Fan HUANG ; Guobin WANG ; Xiaojun YU ; Ruolin WU ; Liujin HOU ; Zhenghui YE ; Xinghua ZHANG ; Wei WANG ; Xiaoping GENG ; Hongchuan ZHAO
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(3):452-459
Objective To analyze the main causes and risk factors of unplanned reoperation after liver transplantation. Methods The clinical data of 242 liver transplant recipients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2015 to December 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. According to whether unplanned reoperation was performed during the same hospitalization after surgery, the recipients were divided into the reoperation group (n=36) and the non-reoperation group (n=206). The preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative data of the two groups, as well as donor and graft-related data, were compared to analyze the risk factors of unplanned reoperation after liver transplantation and the survival status of the two groups. Results Among the 242 liver transplant recipients, 36 underwent unplanned reoperations, with a total of 54 procedures including various laparotomies, endoscopic and interventional surgeries, among which there were 20 laparotomies, 18 endoscopic surgeries and 16 interventional surgeries. The most common cause of unplanned reoperation was biliary complications (20 times), followed by vascular complications (17 times). Compared with the non-reoperation group, the reoperation group had longer graft cold ischemia time, higher postoperative fatality rate of recipients, longer length of stay in the intensive care unit and postoperative hospital stay, and higher total hospitalization costs (all P<0.05). The incidence of unplanned reoperation was higher in recipients who underwent split liver transplantation (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that intraoperative blood loss ≥1 000 mL, positive culture of graft perfusate and split liver transplantation were independent risk factors for unplanned reoperation (all P<0.05). The postoperative 7-day, 1-month, 3-month and 6-month survival rates of recipients in the reoperation group and the non-reoperation group were 100% vs. 98.1%, 88.9% vs. 94.2%, 69.4% vs. 90.8% and 66.7% vs. 90.8%, respectively, and the postoperative survival rate of recipients in the reoperation group was lower than that in the non-reoperation group (P<0.05). Conclusions The main causes of unplanned reoperation after liver transplantation are biliary complications, vascular complications, abdominal incision infection and intra-abdominal hemorrhage. Intraoperative massive blood loss, positive culture of graft perfusate and split liver transplantation are the risk factors associated with unplanned reoperation after liver transplantation.
2.Effect of intraoperative flushing treatment with Nocardia rubra cell-wall skeleton on drainage after radical surgery of lung cancer: A retrospective cohort study
Guanzhi YE ; Zhenyang XU ; Xiaolei ZHU ; Hongming LIU ; Ning LI ; Jie JIANG ; Guojun GENG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(03):376-382
Objective To evaluate the efficacy and safety of intraoperative pleural irrigation with Nocardia rubra cell-wall skeleton (N-CWS) for reducing pleural effusion drainage after radical surgery for lung cancer. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of lung cancer patients who underwent lobectomy and mediastinal lymph node dissection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University between December 2024 and May 2025. Patients were divided into a control group and an irrigation group based on the intraoperative use of N-CWS. Patients in the irrigation group received pleural irrigation with 800 μg of N-CWS diluted in 10 mL of normal saline. The following outcomes were compared between the two groups: pleural effusion drainage volume at 0-24 h, 24-48 h, and 48-72 h postoperatively, degree of air leak, chest tube duration, postoperative length of stay, and the incidence of adverse events (fever, chest pain, and nausea and vomiting). Results A total of 245 patients were included (97 males, 148 females) with a mean age of (61.28±6.26) years, with 205 in the control group and 40 in the irrigation group. Compared to the control group, the irrigation group showed significantly lower pleural effusion drainage volumes at 0-24 h, 24-48 h, and 48-72 h, as well as shorter chest tube duration and postoperative length of stay (all P<0.05). There was no statistical difference in the degree of postoperative air leak (P=0.661). No significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding the highest body temperature within 72 h post-surgery (P=0.130), fever grade (P=0.196), severity of chest pain (P=0.105), or the incidence of nausea and vomiting (P=0.376). Conclusion Intraoperative pleural irrigation with N-CWS in patients undergoing lobectomy and mediastinal lymph node dissection for lung cancer can significantly reduce postoperative pleural effusion drainage volume, shorten chest tube duration and length of hospital stay. The procedure is safe and feasible.
3.Impact of carotid artery stenting on the progression of white matter hyperintensity volume in patients with carotid artery stenosis
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2025;42(5):440-446
Objective To investigate whether carotid artery stenting (CAS) is a protective factor against the progression of white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume in patients with carotid artery stenosis. Methods A prospective study was conducted for the clinical, imaging, and follow-up data of patients with carotid artery stenosis who were treated in Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital from January 2021 to June 2023. A total of 99 participants were included in this study, among whom 48 received CAS treatment (CAS group) and 51 did not receive CAS treatment (non-CAS group). The two groups were analyzed in terms of baseline data and WMH volume during the 1-year follow-up. Results There were no significant differences in baseline data between the two groups (P>0.05). There was no significant difference in overall WMH volume after follow-up between the two groups (P>0.05), but compared with the non-CAS group, the CAS group showed a significantly lower degree of the progression of WMH volume within one year (-0.27 ml vs 2.82 ml, P<0.001). There was a significant difference in the proportion of patients with new-onset stroke within one year between the CAS group and the non-CAS group (18.75% vs 37.25%, P=0.041). The binary logistic regression analysis showed that CAS was an independent protective factor against the progression of WMH volume(OR=-0.37, 95%CI -0.78 to -0.03,P=0.046) and new-onset stroke within one year (OR=0.28, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.83, P=0.022). Conclusion CAS is a protective factor against the progression of WMH volume and can effectively reduce the risk of stroke recurrence in patients with carotid artery stenosis.
4.Expert consensus on evaluation index system construction for new traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) from TCM clinical practice in medical institutions.
Li LIU ; Lei ZHANG ; Wei-An YUAN ; Zhong-Qi YANG ; Jun-Hua ZHANG ; Bao-He WANG ; Si-Yuan HU ; Zu-Guang YE ; Ling HAN ; Yue-Hua ZHOU ; Zi-Feng YANG ; Rui GAO ; Ming YANG ; Ting WANG ; Jie-Lai XIA ; Shi-Shan YU ; Xiao-Hui FAN ; Hua HUA ; Jia HE ; Yin LU ; Zhong WANG ; Jin-Hui DOU ; Geng LI ; Yu DONG ; Hao YU ; Li-Ping QU ; Jian-Yuan TANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3474-3482
Medical institutions, with their clinical practice foundation and abundant human use experience data, have become important carriers for the inheritance and innovation of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) and the "cradles" of the preparation of new TCM. To effectively promote the transformation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions and establish an effective evaluation index system for the transformation of new TCM conforming to the characteristics of TCM, consensus experts adopted the literature research, questionnaire survey, Delphi method, etc. By focusing on the policy and technical evaluation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions, a comprehensive evaluation from the dimensions of drug safety, efficacy, feasibility, and characteristic advantages was conducted, thus forming a comprehensive evaluation system with four primary indicators and 37 secondary indicators. The expert consensus reached aims to encourage medical institutions at all levels to continuously improve the high-quality research and development and transformation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions and targeted at clinical needs, so as to provide a decision-making basis for the preparation, selection, cultivation, and transformation of new TCM for medical institutions, improve the development efficiency of new TCM, and precisely respond to the public medication needs.
Medicine, Chinese Traditional/standards*
;
Humans
;
Consensus
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
5.Layered double hydroxide-loaded si-NEAT1 regulates paclitaxel resistance and tumor-associated macrophage polarization in breast cancer by targeting miR-133b/PD-L1.
Zhaojun ZHANG ; Qiong WU ; Miaomiao XIE ; Ruyin YE ; Chenchen GENG ; Jiwen SHI ; Qingling YANG ; Wenrui WANG ; Yurong SHI
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(8):1718-1731
OBJECTIVES:
To study the molecular mechanisms of LDH-loaded si-NEAT1 for regulating paclitaxel resistance and tumor-associated macrophage (TAM) polarization in breast cancer.
METHODS:
qRT-PCR and Western blotting were used to detect the expression of lncRNA NEAT1, miR-133b, and PD-L1 in breast cancer SKBR3 cells and paclitaxel-resistant SKBR3 cells (SKBR3-PR). The effects of transfection with si-NEAT1 and miR-133b mimics on MRP, MCRP and PD-L1 expressions and cell proliferation, migration and apoptosis were investigated using qRT-PCR, Western blotting, scratch and Transwell assays, and flow cytometry. Rescue experiments were conducted using si-NEAT1 and miR-133b inhibitor. Human THP-1 macrophages were cultured in the presence of conditioned media (CM) derived from SKBR3 and SKBR3-PR cells with or with si-NEAT1 transfection for comparison of IL-4-induced macrophage polarization by detecting the surface markers. LDH@si-NEAT1 nanocarriers were constructed, and their effects on MRP, MCRP and PD-L1 expressions and cell behaviors of the tumor cells were examined. THP-1 cells were treated with the CM from LDH@si-NEAT1-treated tumor cells, and the changes in their polarization were assessed.
RESULTS:
SKBR3-PR cells showered significantly upregulated NEAT1 and PD-L1 expressions and lowered miR-133b expression as compared with their parental cells. Transfection with si-NEAT1 and miR-133b mimics inhibited viability, promoted apoptosis and enhanced MRP and BCRP expressions in SKBR3-PR cells. NEAT1 knockdown obvious upregulated miR-133b and downregulated PD-L1, MRP and BCRP expressions. The CM from SKBR3-PR cells obviously promoted M2 polarization of THP-1 macrophages, which was significantly inhibited by CM from si-NEAT1-transfected cells. Treatment with LDH@si-NEAT1 effectively inhibited migration and invasion, promoted apoptosis, and reduced MRP, BCRP and PD-L1 expressions in the tumor cells. The CM from LDH@si-NEAT1-treated SKBR3-PR cells significantly downregulated Arg-1, CD163, IL-10, and PD-L1 and upregulated miR-133b expression in THP-1 macrophages.
CONCLUSIONS
LDH@si-NEAT1 reduces paclitaxel resistance of breast cancer cells and inhibits TAM polarization by targeting the miR-133b/PD-L1 axis.
Humans
;
MicroRNAs/genetics*
;
RNA, Long Noncoding/genetics*
;
Paclitaxel/pharmacology*
;
Breast Neoplasms/metabolism*
;
Drug Resistance, Neoplasm
;
B7-H1 Antigen/metabolism*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
;
Female
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Tumor-Associated Macrophages
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Apoptosis
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Cell Proliferation
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Macrophages
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Cell Movement
6.A multicenter clinical study on intramedullary vancomycin injection for preventing periprosthetic joint infection in total knee arthroplasty
Te LIU ; Jun FU ; Shiguang LAI ; Zhuo ZHANG ; Chi XU ; Lei GENG ; Yang LUO ; Peng REN ; Xin ZHI ; Quanbo JI ; Heng ZHANG ; Runkai ZHAO ; Haichao REN ; Ye TAO ; Qingyuan ZHENG ; Zeyu FENG ; Jianfeng YANG ; Yiming WANG ; Pengcheng LI ; Shuai LIU ; Wei CHAI ; Xiang LI ; Huiwu LI ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Baochao JI ; Xianzhe LIU ; Xinzhan MAO ; Jianbing MA ; Xiangxiang SUN ; Jiying CHEN ; Yonggang ZHOU ; Jinliang WANG ; Weijun WANG ; Guoqiang ZHANG ; Ming NI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(12):803-811
Objective:To explore the safety and efficacy of intraosseous regional administration (IORA) of vancomycin for preventing infection in primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA).Methods:A total of 124 patients with knee osteoarthritis undergoing TKA between February 2024 and May 2024 at nine hospitals were enrolled. Preoperative infection prophylaxis involved either IORA (0.5 g vancomycin administered via intraosseous regional infusion before incision) or intravenous infusion (1 g vancomycin via peripheral vein). The IORA group included 15 males and 47 females with a median age of 66.5 years (range, 60.0-70.0 years), while the intravenous group included 14 males and 48 females with a median age of 66.0 years (range, 61.8-70.3 years) years. Intraoperative samples were collected including fat and synovium tissues after incision, before prosthesis placement, and after tourniquet release; distal femoral cancellous bone during femoral osteotomy; proximal tibial cancellous bone during tibial osteotomy; proximal intercondylar cancellous bone before prosthesis placement; and peripheral blood from non-infused arms at surgery initiation and after tourniquet release. Vancomycin concentrations were measured using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Vital sign changes were recorded from admission to 5~10 minutes post-IORA (IORA group) or post-incision (intravenous group). Follow-ups were conducted on postoperative day 1 and 3, and at 1 and 3 months, to document complications including IORA-related adverse events, periprosthetic joint infections, surgical site infections, red man syndrome, acute kidney injury, deep vein thrombosis and so on.Results:Vancomycin concentrations in bone, fat, and synovial tissue samples were significantly higher in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05), while vancomycin concentrations in blood samples were significantly lower in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05). Only 7.3%(41/558) of tissue samples in the IORA group had vancomycin concentrations below 2.0 μg/g (the minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin against coagulase-negative staphylococcus), compared to 59.3%(331/558) in the intravenous group (χ 2=11.285, P<0.001). In the intravenous group, 16.9%(21/124) of blood samples had vancomycin concentrations exceeding 15.0 mg/L (the threshold associated with a significantly increased risk of nephrotoxicity), while all concentrations in the IORA group were below this threshold, the difference was statistically significant (χ 2=22.943, P<0.001). There were no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05) in vital signs changes before and after vancomycin administration between the two groups. Two patients in the intravenous group experienced incision exudate, while no other related complications occurred in either group. Conclusions:Compared to the traditional intravenous infusion of 1 g vancomycin, intraosseous injection of a low dose (0.5 g) of vancomycin achieves higher local tissue concentrations in the knee joint with a lower incidence of adverse reactions and is safe for infection prophylaxis. Despite guidelines not recommending the routine use of vancomycin for preventing infection after primary TKA, intraosseous injection of 0.5 g vancomycin may be considered intraoperatively for primary TKA in the following scenarios: patients in medical institutions with a high prevalence of methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections, patients with potential preoperative MRSA colonization, or patients with cephalosporin allergy.
7.Case 06 (2025): A case of pregnancy complicated by type 1 diabetes with severe diabetic nephropathy and retinopathy
Hongli HUANG ; Huixia YANG ; Geng SONG ; Shuxian WANG ; Ye FENG ; Yumei WEI ; Yu SUN ; Sufang SHI ; Xiaoyong YUAN ; Jing ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Perinatal Medicine 2025;28(1):51-56
This paper reported a type 1 diabetes patient who had severe diabetic nephropathy, retinopathy, hypertension, and hypothyroidism before pregnancy. The patient's blood glucose control was poor before pregnancy, and the complications were not properly treated. This was an unintended pregnancy, with a pre-pregnancy glycated hemoglobin A1c of 7.8% and early pregnancy urine protein of 3.81-4.53 g/24 h. Considering the patient's poor blood glucose control before pregnancy and the lack of proper treatment for multiple complications including nephropathy, a multidisciplinary consultation at an external hospital recommended termination of the pregnancy. However, the patient was determined to continue the pregnancy and was referred to Peking University First Hospital. Through strict blood glucose control, monitoring and evaluation of complications, and comprehensive management, the patient's blood glucose and blood pressure were well controlled during pregnancy. Regular monitoring of urine protein, renal function, and ocular fundus was conducted. At 31 weeks and 4 days of gestation, the patient's 24-hour urine protein significantly increased. After promoting fetal lung maturity, a cesarean section was performed at 34 weeks and 1 day of gestation, resulting in a successful delivery with good maternal and neonatal outcomes. At the 42-day postpartum follow-up, the patient's blood glucose and blood pressure were stable, urine protein returned to pre-pregnancy levels, and the infant was in good general condition.
8.Development of a machine learning model for predicting severe AECOPD based on non-contrast CT imaging of accessory respiratory muscles
Zhe YE ; Qiong PAN ; Shiyuan GAO ; Yakang DAI ; Chen GENG ; Yixin LIAN ; Weibo YU
Chinese Journal of Medical Physics 2025;42(7):892-900
Regarding the challenge of early identification of critically ill patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD),a radiomics-clinical fusion model is proposed based on non-contrast CT images of accessory respiratory muscles to predict life-threatening conditions.A retrospective study is conducted involving 233 AECOPD patients(153 non-life-threatening and 80 life-threatening cases).Patients are divided into a training set(n=186)and a test set(n=47)at a 4:1 ratio.A total of 1 874 radiomic features are extracted from the erector spinae and pectoralis muscle regions delineated by radiologists on non-contrast CT images,and the features selection is performed using maximum relevance minimum redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)algorithms.Meanwhile,clinical data are analyzed with t-test and LASSO for variable screening.The selected features are input into C-support vector classification,Logistic regression,random forest,adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),and extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)to construct radiomics model,clinical model,and fusion model.Predictive performance and clinical practicality are evaluated in the test set using receiver operating characteristic curve,area under the curve(AUC),and decision curve analysis.The radiomics-clinical fusion model built with XGBoost outperformed standalone radiomics and clinical models,achieving an AUC of 0.902(95%CI 0.846,0.994),with accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,and precision of 0.837,0.933,0.786,and 0.7,respectively.Results demonstrate that the fusion model based on the non-contrast CT radiomics of accessory respiratory muscles and clinical data exhibits promising diagnostic performance,highlighting its potential clinical significance for stratified management and preemptive critical care intervention in AECOPD patients.
9.Mechanism of long noncoding RNA RP11-97C16.1 regulating the proliferation of bladder cancer cells
Jinlun FU ; Zhihua YE ; Dan PAN ; Shuai LUO ; Geng HUANG
International Journal of Surgery 2025;52(2):93-98
Objective:To observe the expression level of long noncoding RNA RP11-97C16.1 in bladder cancer tissues and its relationship with the survival time of bladder cancer patients, and to explore the role and potential molecular mechanism of RP11-97C16.1 in the proliferation of bladder cancer cells.Methods:The expression difference of RP11-97C16.1 in bladder cancer tissue and adjacent tissue was analyzed by TCGA database, and the relationship between the expression level of RP11-97C16.1 and the survival time of bladder cancer patients was analyzed by GEPIA database. The expression of RP11-97C16.1 in four bladder cancer cell lines (T24, MGH-U3, J82, UM-UC-3) was detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). The UM-UC-3 cells were divided into RP11-97C16.1 group and control group, and the transfectants were pcDNA-RP11-97C16.1 plasmid and negative control plasmid, respectively. The expression levels of RP11-97C16.1 and miR-3687 were detected by RT-qPCR. The viability and proliferation ability of UM-UC-3 cells were detected by cell counting kit-8 (CCK8) and colony formation assay. The complementary relationship between RP11-97C16.1 and miR-3687 was verified by dual-luciferase reporter gene assay. The expression levels of Cyclin E2, CDK2, CDK4, CDK6 and Cyclin D2 were detected by Western blotting. Measurement data were expressed as mean ± standard deviation ( ± s), independent sample t-test was used for comparison between two groups, and one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison between multiple groups. Results:Compared with adjacent tissues, the expression of RP11-97C16.1 in bladder cancer tissues was significantly decreased ( P<0.01). Compared with patients with lower expression of RP11-97C16.1, patients with higher expression of RP11-97C16.1 had longer overall survival time ( P<0.01). Compared with the SV-HUC-1 cell line, the expression of RP11-97C16.1 was significantly decreased in the four bladder cancer cell lines ( P<0.01). In UM-UC-3 cells in which RP11-97C16.1 was upregulated, the expression of miR-3687 was decreased ( P<0.01). Compared with the control group, up-regulation of RP11-97C16.1 could significantly reduce the proliferation ability of UM-UC-3 cells ( P<0.05), and decrease the number of bladder cancer cell colonies ( P<0.01). RP11-97C16.1 could target and bind miR-3687 ( P<0.01). Compared with the control group, overexpression of RP11-97C16.1 could significantly decreased the expression of Cyclin E2, CDK2, CDK4, CDK6, and Cyclin D2 proteins. Conclusions:The expression of RP11-97C16.1 is low in bladder cancer tissue, and patients with higher expression of RP11-97C16.1 have a longer survival time. Up-regulation of RP11-97C16.1 can down-regulate the expression of miR-3687, thereby inhibiting the proliferation of bladder cancer cells UM-UC-3.
10.Diagnostic value of preoperative diffusion weighted imaging histogram parameters in the depth of invasion of early rectal cancer
Shengchao JI ; Xiaofeng JIN ; Daixi YE ; Zehua LU ; Lulu XUAN ; Chengjun GENG
Journal of International Oncology 2025;52(10):621-627
Objective:To explore the diagnostic value of preoperative diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) histogram parameters in the depth of invasion of early rectal cancer.Methods:A total of 180 patients with early rectal cancer admitted to 904th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force of Chinese People's Liberation Army from August 2020 to August 2024 were selected as the study objects. Patients were divided into intramucosal cancer group ( n=102) and submucosal cancer group ( n=78) according to the depth of tumor invasion. The general data of the two groups were compared. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to analyze the consistency of DWI histogram parameters extracted by the two radiologists, and the differences between the two groups were compared. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of each parameter to the depth of tumor invasion. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent influencing factors of invasion depth, and a predictive model was constructed. The ROC curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value of the model for tumor invasion depth, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to analyze the goodness of fit of the model. Results:There were statistically significant differences in age ( t=8.15, P<0.001), maximum tumor diameter ( χ2=29.29, P<0.001), endoscopic type ( χ2=20.96, P<0.001), histological type ( χ2=24.93, P<0.001) and differentiation degree ( χ2=73.35, P<0.001) between intramucosal cancer group and submucosal cancer group. The mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, the 1 st, 10 th, 50 th, 90 th, and 99 th percentiles of the histogram parameters of DWI had good consistency (all ICC>0.75). There were statistically significant differences in the mean ( t=5.69, P<0.001), variance ( t=9.75, P<0.001), skewness ( t=10.88, P<0.001), kurtosis ( t=10.06, P<0.001), the 1 st percentile ( t=3.43, P<0.001), 10 th percentile ( t=3.59, P<0.001), 50 th percentile ( t=9.97, P<0.001), 90 th percentile ( t=4.63, P<0.001), and 99 th percentile ( t=2.44, P=0.016) of the DWI histogram parameters between the intramucosal cancer group and the submucosal cancer group. ROC curve analysis results showed that mean [area under the curve (AUC) =0.77], variance (AUC=0.88), skewness (AUC=0.88), kurtosis (AUC=0.78), 50 th percentile (AUC=0.86) and 90 th percentile (AUC=0.82) had certain diagnostic value for submucous cancer. Multivariate analysis showed that age ( OR=9.98, 95% CI: 1.10-90.70, P=0.041), maximum tumor diameter ( OR=7.36, 95% CI: 1.08-50.23, P=0.042), and differentiation degree ( OR=19.88, 95% CI: 1.21-327.92, P=0.037), variance ( OR=16.24, 95% CI: 2.26-116.68, P=0.006), skewness ( OR=21.13, 95% CI: 2.80-59.61, P=0.003), 1 st percentile ( OR=9.78, 95% CI: 1.17-81.76, P=0.035) were independent factors in predicting tumor invasion depth in patients with early rectal cancer. The predictive model based on the above indicators was logit ( P) =1.51+2.30×age+2.00×maximum tumor diameter+2.99×differentiation degree+2.79×variance+3.05×skewness+ 2.28×the 1 st percentile. ROC curve analysis showed that the predictive model had an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.99) for judging the occurrence of submucosal cancer in patients with early rectal cancer, the sensitivity was 0.95, and the specificity was 0.88. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results showed that the goodness of fit of the model was ideal ( P=0.823) . Conclusions:Age, maximum tumor diameter, differentiation degree, variance, skewness, and the 1 st percentile are independent factors in predicting tumor invasion depth in patients with early rectal cancer. The predictive model constructed based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of submucosal cancer in patients with early rectal cancer.

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