1.Analysis of repeated nucleic acid test results in blood donors with dual-reactive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay results and nonreactive nucleic acid test results
Liang ZANG ; Lei ZHOU ; Xiaochun LIU ; Peng SUN ; Yaxin FAN ; Xiaohua LIANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(6):757-761
Objective: To investigate the impact of current laboratory testing models and screening strategies on blood safety by analyzing repeat nucleic acid testing (NAT) results obtained from blood donors who had dual-reactive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) results but were initially nonreactive by NAT. Methods: Samples from blood donors with dual-reactive ELISA results and initially nonreactive NAT results collected at Dalian Blood Center from 2017 to 2025 were included. Repeated testing was performed using two NAT systems: transcription-mediated amplification (TMA) and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The results were analyzed in terms of the frequency of reactive NAT results and the testing strategies, including minipool and individual donation testing. Results: A total of 199 samples with dual-reactive ELISA results and initially nonreactive NAT results were included,comprising 66 HBsAg-reactive samples,130 anti-HCV-reactive samples,and 3 HIV Ag/Ab-reactive samples. Among the HBsAg-reactive samples,57(57/66,86.4%)showed at least one reactive NAT result upon repeated testing,and 49 showed two or more repeat reactive results. Anti-HBc was reactive in 64 samples(64/66,97.0%)and nonreactive in 2 samples(2/66,3.0%);both anti-HBc-nonreactive samples remained nonreactive in repeated NAT. No stable repeat nucleic acid reactivity was observed in anti-HCV- or HIV Ag/Abreactive samples. The TMA system detected 50 reactive samples(50/66,75.8%)through three combined assays plus one discriminatory assay, whereas the PCR system detected 51 reactive samples (51/66, 77.3%) through four rounds of individual-donation testing. Fortyfour samples were reactive on both systems, 6 were reactive only on the TMA system, and 7 were reactive only on the PCR system. Conclusion: Among blood donors with dual-reactive ELISA results and initially non-reactive NAT results, HBsAg-reactive samples contain a high proportion of low viral load HBV-related cases, with intermittent and probabilistic nucleic acid detectability. Both testing frequency and detection strategy significantly affect the detection of low viral load samples. These findings highlight the importance of recognizing the detection characteristics of low viral load HBV-related samples in order to optimize blood screening strategies and improve blood safety.
2.Research advances in the application of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors in intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2025;42(7):664-668
Intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS) is an important cause of stroke worldwide, and abnormalities in lipid metabolism are major risk factors for its development and progression. Statins as lipid-lowering drugs can stabilize atherosclerotic plaques and prevent their rupture, but approximately 60% of statin users fail to achieve the goal of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) recommended in guidelines, and statins are associated with the adverse effects such as drug resistance and abnormal liver function. Numerous studies have confirmed that proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors can significantly reduce the level of LDL-C and the incidence rate of atherosclerosis-associated cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and stabilize or even reverse atherosclerotic plaques, but with limited application in ICAS. This article reviews the mechanism of action of PCSK9 inhibitors, their therapeutic efficacy in intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis, and related research advances.
3.Therapeutic Effect of Cranial Painkiller Pills' Extract Powder in Treatment of Trigeminal Neuralgia Induced by Injection of Talci Pulvis into Infraorbital Foramen of Model Rats Based on OTULIN-regulated Neuroinflammation
Shuran LI ; Xinwei WANG ; Jing SUN ; Dan XIE ; Ronghua ZHAO ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Qiyue SUN ; Jingsheng ZHANG ; Yaxin WANG ; Xihe CUI ; Xinying LI ; Bing HAN ; Tianjiao LU ; Xiaolan CUI ; Liying LIU ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):21-28
ObjectiveThis paper aims to verify the therapeutic effect of Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder prepared by the new process on the rat's trigeminal neuralgia model caused by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, evaluate its potential clinical application value, and compare the therapeutic effect with that of Cranial Painkiller granules, so as to provide data support for the application of the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and precise treatment. MethodsThe rat's trigeminal neuralgia model was constructed by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, and the rats were randomly divided into the normal group, model group, carbamazepine group (60 mg·kg-1), Cranial Painkiller granules group (2.70 g·kg-1), and low, medium, and high dosage groups of Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder (1.35, 2.70, 5.40 g·kg-1) according to the basal mechanical pain thresholds, and there were 10 rats in each group. The drug was administered by gavage to each group 2 h after modeling, and distilled water was given by gavage to the normal and model groups under the same conditions once a day for 10 d. Von Frey brushes were used to measure mechanical pain thresholds in rats. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to detect pathological changes in the trigeminal ganglion, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the inflammatory factors interleukin-1 (IL-1), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) levels in rat serum, as well as neuropeptide substance P (SP) and β-endorphin (β-EP) levels in rat brain tissue. Western blot technique was used to detect the levels of NLRP3, ASC, Caspase-1, and OTULIN proteins in rat brain tissue. ResultsCompared with the normal group, the pain threshold of rats in the model group showed a continuous significant decrease (P<0.01). The pathological damage of brain tissue was significant (P<0.01), and the inflammatory levels of IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α in serum were significantly elevated (P<0.01). The level of the SP in the brain tissue was significantly elevated (P<0.01), and the level of β-EP was significantly reduced (P<0.01), while the level of OTULIN was significantly reduced, and NLRP3, ASC, and Caspase-1 protein levels were significantly elevated (P<0.01). After administration of the drug, compared with the model group, the pain threshold of each dose group of the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and the Cranial Painkiller granules group significantly increased (P<0.01). The inflammatory levels of IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α and SP levels significantly decreased (P<0.01), and the β-EP levels were significantly elevated (P<0.01), while the levels of OTULIN protein were significantly elevated (P<0.05, P<0.01), and the levels of NLRP3, ASC proteins were decreased (P<0.01)in high dose Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder. Meanwhile, compared with those in the model group, the trigeminal ganglion lesions of rats in the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and Cranial Painkiller granules groups showed different degrees of improvement (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionThe Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder has significant therapeutic effects on the rat model of trigeminal neuralgia induced by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, and its mechanism is related to the improvement of OTULIN-regulated neuroinflammation.
4.Construction and Application of An Animal Model of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Based on Humanized IGF1R Mice
Xiaowei YANG ; Dan XIE ; Shuran LI ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Xian LIU ; Mengyao CUI ; Yaxin WANG ; Shan CAO ; Xiaolan CUI ; Jing SUN ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):48-53
ObjectiveTo construct an animal model of respiratory syncytial virus(RSV)-infected pneumonia suitable for preclinical studies. MethodsThe virulence of RSV to the four cell lines was observed by cytopathic effect (CPE), and 50% tissue culture infective dose(TCID50) was calculated. Twenty BALB/c mice were randomly divided into a normal group and a model group. Six BALB/c-hIGF1R mice served as the humanized IGF1R model group. Except for the normal group, the other groups received intranasal RSV infection on days 1 and 3 to establish a viral pneumonia model. The efficacy of establishing an RSV-induced pneumonia animal model based on humanized insulin-like growth factor 1 receptor (IGF1R) mice was evaluated by measuring organ indices, peripheral blood lymphocyte percentages, pulmonary pathology and imaging, and pulmonary viral load. Additionally, ten BALB/c mice served as normal group, and thirty-two BALB/c-hIGF1R mice were randomly assigned to humanized IGF1R model group, ribavirin group (82.5 mg·kg-¹·d-¹), and high and low dose groups of Lianhua Qingwen (3.3 mg·kg-¹·d-¹ , 1.65 mg·kg-¹·d-¹), with 8 mice per group. The viral load in lung tissue was measured after ribavirin and Lianhua Qingwen intervention, and the model was applied to the evaluation of anti-RSV drugs. ResultsIn the lungs of the humanized IGF1R model group, large solid and diffuse ground-glass shadows were seen, and the lung volume was significantly increased (P<0.01). The lung index was significantly increased (P<0.01), and both the spleen index and thymus index were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The percentages of CD3+ and CD4+T cells were significantly decreased (P<0.05), and there was a large amount of inflammation and stasis in the perivascular area of the lung tissue, which was predominantly characterized by lymphocytes. The endothelium of blood vessels was partially detached, with a small number of eosinophils. After infecting BALB/c-hIGF1R mice with RSV, the expression of viral nucleic acids in the lung tissue of the mice was significantly increased, with significant differences compared with the normal group (P<0.01). The expression of viral nucleic acids in the ribavirin group and the high and low dose groups of Lianhua Qingwen was significantly reduced, with significant differences compared with the normal group (P<0.01). ConclusionHumanized IGF1R mice are more susceptible to respiratory SVC, and the animal model of RSV-infected pneumonia based on humanized IGF1R mice was successfully constructed, which is suitable for the evaluation of anti-RSV drugs.
5.Mechanism of Tibetan Medicine Sanwei Doukoutang to Improve Cognitive Dysfunction in 5×FAD Mice Based on Wnt/β-catenin Signaling Pathway
Shuran LI ; Yaxin WANG ; Jing SUN ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Dan XIE ; Ronghua ZHAO ; Yanyan BAO ; Qiyue SUN ; Jingsheng ZHANG ; Xinwei WANG ; Xinying LI ; Xihe CUI ; Xiaowei YANG ; LIUXIAN ; Mengyao CUI ; Qingshan LIU ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):54-60
ObjectiveTo explore the effects of the Tibetan medicine Sanwei Doukoutang (SWDK) on cognitive dysfunction in mice suffering from Alzheimer's disease (AD) and its related mechanism. MethodsFifty SPF 5 × FAD mice were randomly divided into model group, total ginsenoside group(0.04 g·kg-1), high-, medium-, and low-dose groups of SWDK (32.60, 16.30, 8.15 g·kg-1), with 10 mice in each group, and ten wild-type mice of the same age were used as the normal group, male and female in 1∶1. Gavage administration was performed once daily for 8 weeks. The Morris water maze test and contextual fear memory experiment were used to observe learning and memory function. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was utilized to observe the changes in the pathomorphology of brain tissue in mice. The levels of synaptophysin (SYP) and postsynaptic dense substance 95 (PSD95) in mice serum were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The positive expression of brain-derived neurotrophic factor(BDNF) in the dentate gyrus (DG) region of mouse brain tissue was observed by immunohistochemistry (IHC). The protein levels of BDNF, Wnt family member 3A(Wnt3a), and β-catenin were detected in the hippocampus of mice by Western blot. ResultsCompared with the normal group of mice, the model group of mice had significantly more complex swimming routes and lower swimming speed (P<0.01), significantly lower percentage of time spent in the target quadrant (P<0.01), and a significantly lower percentage of freezing time (P<0.05). The number of neurons in the hippocampal region of mice was obviously reduced and unevenly arranged. The levels of SYP and PSD95(P<0.01) in the serum of mice were reduced, and the positive expression of BDNF in the DG region of the brain tissue of mice was reduced. The levels of hippocampal BDNF, Wnt3a, and β-catenin proteins in the hippocampus of mice were obviously reduced (P<0.05, P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the mice in the SWDK group and the total ginsenoside group had significantly shorter swimming routes, the high- and medium- dose SWDK groups significantly higher swimming speeds (P<0.01), significantly higher percentage of time spent in the target quadrant (P<0.01), obviously higher percentage of Freezing time (P<0.05), and obviously more neurons in the hippocampal region of the mice with tighter arrangement. The mice had elevated levels of serum SYP (P<0.05, P<0.01), PSD95 (P<0.01), increased BDNF-positive cells in the DG region of brain tissue, and obviously elevated levels of BDNF, Wnt3a, and β-catenin proteins in the hippocampus of mice (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionSWDK can significantly improve the cognitive dysfunction of AD mice, and its mechanism may be related to regulating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway, which promotes BDNF expression and thereby enhances synaptic plasticity, allowing neuronal signaling to be restored.
6.Therapeutic Effect of Cranial Painkiller Pills' Extract Powder in Treatment of Trigeminal Neuralgia Induced by Injection of Talci Pulvis into Infraorbital Foramen of Model Rats Based on OTULIN-regulated Neuroinflammation
Shuran LI ; Xinwei WANG ; Jing SUN ; Dan XIE ; Ronghua ZHAO ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Qiyue SUN ; Jingsheng ZHANG ; Yaxin WANG ; Xihe CUI ; Xinying LI ; Bing HAN ; Tianjiao LU ; Xiaolan CUI ; Liying LIU ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):21-28
ObjectiveThis paper aims to verify the therapeutic effect of Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder prepared by the new process on the rat's trigeminal neuralgia model caused by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, evaluate its potential clinical application value, and compare the therapeutic effect with that of Cranial Painkiller granules, so as to provide data support for the application of the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and precise treatment. MethodsThe rat's trigeminal neuralgia model was constructed by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, and the rats were randomly divided into the normal group, model group, carbamazepine group (60 mg·kg-1), Cranial Painkiller granules group (2.70 g·kg-1), and low, medium, and high dosage groups of Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder (1.35, 2.70, 5.40 g·kg-1) according to the basal mechanical pain thresholds, and there were 10 rats in each group. The drug was administered by gavage to each group 2 h after modeling, and distilled water was given by gavage to the normal and model groups under the same conditions once a day for 10 d. Von Frey brushes were used to measure mechanical pain thresholds in rats. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to detect pathological changes in the trigeminal ganglion, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the inflammatory factors interleukin-1 (IL-1), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) levels in rat serum, as well as neuropeptide substance P (SP) and β-endorphin (β-EP) levels in rat brain tissue. Western blot technique was used to detect the levels of NLRP3, ASC, Caspase-1, and OTULIN proteins in rat brain tissue. ResultsCompared with the normal group, the pain threshold of rats in the model group showed a continuous significant decrease (P<0.01). The pathological damage of brain tissue was significant (P<0.01), and the inflammatory levels of IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α in serum were significantly elevated (P<0.01). The level of the SP in the brain tissue was significantly elevated (P<0.01), and the level of β-EP was significantly reduced (P<0.01), while the level of OTULIN was significantly reduced, and NLRP3, ASC, and Caspase-1 protein levels were significantly elevated (P<0.01). After administration of the drug, compared with the model group, the pain threshold of each dose group of the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and the Cranial Painkiller granules group significantly increased (P<0.01). The inflammatory levels of IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α and SP levels significantly decreased (P<0.01), and the β-EP levels were significantly elevated (P<0.01), while the levels of OTULIN protein were significantly elevated (P<0.05, P<0.01), and the levels of NLRP3, ASC proteins were decreased (P<0.01)in high dose Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder. Meanwhile, compared with those in the model group, the trigeminal ganglion lesions of rats in the Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder and Cranial Painkiller granules groups showed different degrees of improvement (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionThe Cranial Painkiller pills' extract powder has significant therapeutic effects on the rat model of trigeminal neuralgia induced by infraorbital injection of Talci Pulvis, and its mechanism is related to the improvement of OTULIN-regulated neuroinflammation.
7.Construction and Application of An Animal Model of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Based on Humanized IGF1R Mice
Xiaowei YANG ; Dan XIE ; Shuran LI ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Xian LIU ; Mengyao CUI ; Yaxin WANG ; Shan CAO ; Xiaolan CUI ; Jing SUN ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):48-53
ObjectiveTo construct an animal model of respiratory syncytial virus(RSV)-infected pneumonia suitable for preclinical studies. MethodsThe virulence of RSV to the four cell lines was observed by cytopathic effect (CPE), and 50% tissue culture infective dose(TCID50) was calculated. Twenty BALB/c mice were randomly divided into a normal group and a model group. Six BALB/c-hIGF1R mice served as the humanized IGF1R model group. Except for the normal group, the other groups received intranasal RSV infection on days 1 and 3 to establish a viral pneumonia model. The efficacy of establishing an RSV-induced pneumonia animal model based on humanized insulin-like growth factor 1 receptor (IGF1R) mice was evaluated by measuring organ indices, peripheral blood lymphocyte percentages, pulmonary pathology and imaging, and pulmonary viral load. Additionally, ten BALB/c mice served as normal group, and thirty-two BALB/c-hIGF1R mice were randomly assigned to humanized IGF1R model group, ribavirin group (82.5 mg·kg-¹·d-¹), and high and low dose groups of Lianhua Qingwen (3.3 mg·kg-¹·d-¹ , 1.65 mg·kg-¹·d-¹), with 8 mice per group. The viral load in lung tissue was measured after ribavirin and Lianhua Qingwen intervention, and the model was applied to the evaluation of anti-RSV drugs. ResultsIn the lungs of the humanized IGF1R model group, large solid and diffuse ground-glass shadows were seen, and the lung volume was significantly increased (P<0.01). The lung index was significantly increased (P<0.01), and both the spleen index and thymus index were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The percentages of CD3+ and CD4+T cells were significantly decreased (P<0.05), and there was a large amount of inflammation and stasis in the perivascular area of the lung tissue, which was predominantly characterized by lymphocytes. The endothelium of blood vessels was partially detached, with a small number of eosinophils. After infecting BALB/c-hIGF1R mice with RSV, the expression of viral nucleic acids in the lung tissue of the mice was significantly increased, with significant differences compared with the normal group (P<0.01). The expression of viral nucleic acids in the ribavirin group and the high and low dose groups of Lianhua Qingwen was significantly reduced, with significant differences compared with the normal group (P<0.01). ConclusionHumanized IGF1R mice are more susceptible to respiratory SVC, and the animal model of RSV-infected pneumonia based on humanized IGF1R mice was successfully constructed, which is suitable for the evaluation of anti-RSV drugs.
8.Mechanism of Tibetan Medicine Sanwei Doukoutang to Improve Cognitive Dysfunction in 5×FAD Mice Based on Wnt/β-catenin Signaling Pathway
Shuran LI ; Yaxin WANG ; Jing SUN ; Lei BAO ; Zihan GENG ; Dan XIE ; Ronghua ZHAO ; Yanyan BAO ; Qiyue SUN ; Jingsheng ZHANG ; Xinwei WANG ; Xinying LI ; Xihe CUI ; Xiaowei YANG ; LIUXIAN ; Mengyao CUI ; Qingshan LIU ; Shanshan GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(21):54-60
ObjectiveTo explore the effects of the Tibetan medicine Sanwei Doukoutang (SWDK) on cognitive dysfunction in mice suffering from Alzheimer's disease (AD) and its related mechanism. MethodsFifty SPF 5 × FAD mice were randomly divided into model group, total ginsenoside group(0.04 g·kg-1), high-, medium-, and low-dose groups of SWDK (32.60, 16.30, 8.15 g·kg-1), with 10 mice in each group, and ten wild-type mice of the same age were used as the normal group, male and female in 1∶1. Gavage administration was performed once daily for 8 weeks. The Morris water maze test and contextual fear memory experiment were used to observe learning and memory function. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was utilized to observe the changes in the pathomorphology of brain tissue in mice. The levels of synaptophysin (SYP) and postsynaptic dense substance 95 (PSD95) in mice serum were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The positive expression of brain-derived neurotrophic factor(BDNF) in the dentate gyrus (DG) region of mouse brain tissue was observed by immunohistochemistry (IHC). The protein levels of BDNF, Wnt family member 3A(Wnt3a), and β-catenin were detected in the hippocampus of mice by Western blot. ResultsCompared with the normal group of mice, the model group of mice had significantly more complex swimming routes and lower swimming speed (P<0.01), significantly lower percentage of time spent in the target quadrant (P<0.01), and a significantly lower percentage of freezing time (P<0.05). The number of neurons in the hippocampal region of mice was obviously reduced and unevenly arranged. The levels of SYP and PSD95(P<0.01) in the serum of mice were reduced, and the positive expression of BDNF in the DG region of the brain tissue of mice was reduced. The levels of hippocampal BDNF, Wnt3a, and β-catenin proteins in the hippocampus of mice were obviously reduced (P<0.05, P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the mice in the SWDK group and the total ginsenoside group had significantly shorter swimming routes, the high- and medium- dose SWDK groups significantly higher swimming speeds (P<0.01), significantly higher percentage of time spent in the target quadrant (P<0.01), obviously higher percentage of Freezing time (P<0.05), and obviously more neurons in the hippocampal region of the mice with tighter arrangement. The mice had elevated levels of serum SYP (P<0.05, P<0.01), PSD95 (P<0.01), increased BDNF-positive cells in the DG region of brain tissue, and obviously elevated levels of BDNF, Wnt3a, and β-catenin proteins in the hippocampus of mice (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionSWDK can significantly improve the cognitive dysfunction of AD mice, and its mechanism may be related to regulating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway, which promotes BDNF expression and thereby enhances synaptic plasticity, allowing neuronal signaling to be restored.
9.Quantitative analysis of high-quality development policies for provincial public hospitals based on PMC index model
Yaxin ZHANG ; Chongjin WANG ; Huajun SUN ; Fengran TAO
Modern Hospital 2025;25(3):329-334,338
Objective Quantitatively evaluate the policies for high-quality development of public hospitals in China,an-alyze the strengths and weaknesses of policies in different provinces,and provide theoretical support and decision-making basis for further optimizing relevant policies for high-quality development of public hospitals.Methods Based on text mining and quanti-tative analysis,combined with existing research,a PMC index model is constructed to analyze the relevant policies for high-quali-ty development of public hospitals in China.Results Among the 32 policy texts included,11 are excellent policies and 21 are good policies.The average PMC index of the 32 policies is 6.66,indicating overall good performance.However,some policies have some problems in terms of reference basis,task list,and monitoring indicators.Conclusion The policy for high-quality de-velopment of public hospitals in our country is basically complete.The formulation of relevant policies in the future should consider further improvement of policy objectives,incentive measures,and rich content,in order to achieve alignment with national policies at the macro level and optimization and improvement based on the actual situation of each province and city at the micro level.
10.Analysis of the trends of gout disease burden in China from 1990 to 2021 and age-period-cohort model
Jianhu ZHENG ; Ziyan GUO ; Xudong SUN ; Yaxin PAN ; Anyu WANG ; Weidong SUN
Tianjin Medical Journal 2025;53(12):1250-1257
Objective To analyze the temporal trends of gout disezse burden in China from 1990 to 2021,and construct an age-period-cohort(APC)model to explore the independent effects of age,period,and birth cohort on epidemiological indicators,and predict the future burden of gout disease in China from 2022 to 2035.Methods Data on gout disease burden in China during 1990-2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2021 database.Joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess temporal trends.The APC model was applied to evaluate the age,period and cohort effects on prevalence risk and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs).A Bayesian age-period-cohort(BAPC)model was employed to project the age-standardized prevalence rate(ASPR)and age-standardized DALY rate(ASDR)of gout in China from 2022 to 2035.Results From 1990 to 2021,the incidence,prevalence and DALYs of gout in China all increased substantially,with overall rising trends in the age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR),ASPR and ASDR.Compared with 1990,the incidence,prevalence and DALYs in 2021 increased by 160.45%,181.12%,and 175.93%,respectively,while their age-standardized rates increased by 23.74%,26.48%and 25.89%.Joinpoint regression analysis revealed that average annual percentage changes(AAPCs)of 0.73%for ASIR,0.82%for ASPR and 0.80%for ASDR during 1990-2021.In 2021,the number of cases and DALYs reached their peaks in males aged 55-59 years and females aged 65-69 years.Both prevalence and DALY rates increased steadily with age,with marked rises starting at age 30 in men and age 40 in women.Overall,males showed higher prevalence,DALYs and corresponding rates than those of females across all age groups.APC model results indicated that the age effect,period effect and cohort effects on prevalence and DALY rates presented an overall upward tread.Decomposition analysis showed that population aging contributed the most to the increase in incidence and DALYs from 1990 to 2021.BAPC projections suggested that by 2035,the ASPR and ASDR of gout in China reached 890.50 per 100,000 and 27.26 per 100,000,respectively.Conclusion The ASPR and ASDR of gout in China are projected to continue increasing from 2022 to 2035.Targeted public health strategies for high-risk populations are urgently needed to reduce the growing burden of gout.

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