1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Study on work-related musculoskeletal disorders and influencing factors of underground workers in a coal mine
Yaxin ZHU ; Kun SUN ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Chen YANG ; Keyun GUO ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(8):600-605
Objective:To investigate the occurrence of work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs) among underground coal mine workers, identify the risk factors for WMSDs, and provide a scientific evidence for the prevention and treatment of WMSDs.Methods:In March 2024, through cluster sampling, the on-the-job workers who underwent questionnaire surveys and health examinations at a certain coal mine from July to August 2018 were selected as the research subjects. Basic information of employees, ergonomics-related characteristics, and the occurrence status of WMSDs in each part were collected, and multivariate logistic regression was used for analysis.Results:The incidence rate of WMSDs in at least one site among underground coal mine workers within the past year was 62.22% (219/352). The top three sites in sequence were the lower back (44.32%, 156/352), neck (26.14%, 92/352), and knee (26.14%, 92/352). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that frequently exerting great force with arms or hands during work ( OR=2.223, 95% CI: 1.022-4.836), prolonged static forward bending ( OR=1.544, 95% CI: 1.305-1.972), and frequently exerting great effort to operate tools or machines ( OR=2.206, 95% CI: 1.011-4.813), absence of external support systems ( OR=1.589, 95% CI: 1.349-1.996), and repetitive full-body twisting ( OR=1.523, 95% CI: 1.298-1.916) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the lower back ( P<0.05). Both night shift work ( OR=1.564, 95% CI: 1.339-1.939) and frequent forward neck flexion ( OR=1.532, 95% CI: 1.312-1.907) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the neck ( P<0.05). Lifting heavy objects above the shoulder ( OR=1.333, 95% CI: 1.142-1.782), uncomfortable posture and inability to exert force ( OR=1.873, 95% CI: 1.104-2.712), the use of vibration tools ( OR=2.958, 95% CI: 1.255-6.972), and length of service >10 years ( OR=1.525, 95% CI: 1.105-1.967) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the knee ( P<0.05) . Conclusion:The incidence of WMSDs among underground coal miners is relatively high, mainly concentrated in the lower back, neck and knee, and is related to factors such as poor working postures, and work organization. Coal mining enterprises should strengthen work organization, provide appropriate working equipment, and ensure reasonable distribution of workloads.
3.Study on risk prediction model of hypertension in steel workers
Keyun GUO ; Yaxin ZHU ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Chen YANG ; Hao ZHAO ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(8):573-579
Objective:To identify risk factors influencing the incidence of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and establish an effective and easily implementable hypertension prediction model.Methods:In September 2023, 2214 steelworkers (Homo sapiens) were selected as study subjects. Basic demographic information, lifestyle, and occupational exposure data were collected, along with physiological measurements such as height, weight, and blood pressure. Multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was employed based on relevant literature to determine influencing factors for hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens). Python 3.9 software was used to construct and compare logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost), and LGBM models. Model performance was evaluated using metrics such as receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, accuracy, calibration curves, and F1 scores. The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) model was introduced for feature importance analysis to enhance the interpretability of the prediction model.Results:A total of 432 cases of hypertension were detected among 2214 study subjects, with a detection rate of 19.51%. Age, smoking status, salt intake, use of cooling equipment, carbon monoxide exposure, family history of hypertension, fasting blood glucose, triglycerides, and hemoglobin were identified as independent risk factors for hypertension ( P<0.05). A comparison of the five models revealed the following performance metrics: logistic regression achieved an accuracy of 0.853, F1 score of 0.680, Brier score of 0.108, and AUC of 0.907; SVM demonstrated an accuracy of 0.863, F1 score of 0.687, Brier score of 0.081, and AUC of 0.910; random forest showed an accuracy of 0.857, F1 score of 0.603, Brier score of 0.105, and AUC of 0.861; XGBoost yielded an accuracy of 0.850, F1 score of 0.684, Brier score of 0.117, and AUC of 0.899; and the LGBM model exhibited an accuracy of 0.838, F1 score of 0.625, Brier score of 0.112, and AUC of 0.870. Conclusion:The SVM model demonstrated strong predictive performance, effectively assessing the risk of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and facilitating targeted health management interventions.
4.Development and validation of risk assessment models for abnormal lung function in coal workers based on machine learning
Yaxin ZHU ; Keyun GUO ; Chen YANG ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Hao ZHU ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(5):332-337
Objective:To analyze the factors influencing the lung function of coal miners, identify the optimal combination of indicators for evaluating lung function, develop a risk assessment model using machine learning, and offer personalized risk assessment for workers.Methods:In June 2023, through cluster sampling, male underground workers who participated in occupational health examinations at a coal mine in North China from July to August 2018 were selected as the research subjects. Their health examination results and occupational environmental data were collected. A total of 3, 320 coal miners were included. Randomly divide the research subjects into a training set (2324 people) and a validation set (996 people) in a ratio of 7∶3, and the balance of the two sets was tested. Perform LASSO regression analysis using R 4.2.2 software to select relevant important variables, and determine the model's input variables by combining them with relevant literature. Utilize Python 3.8 to construct logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and XG Boost models, assess the models' discriminative ability using metrics like accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, ROC curve, and AUC, evaluate the models' calibration using Brier score, Log loss score, and calibration curve, and further analyze the clinical performance of the developed models through DCA decision curve analysis.Results:Among the 3 320 coal miners, 856 had abnormal lung function (25.78%). The XG Boost model was identified as the optimal model, achieving a training set accuracy of 87.39%, sensitivity of 86.60%, specificity of 87.67%, F1 score of 0.779, AUC of 0.945, Brier score of 0.071, Log loss of 0.267 and demonstrated good calibration curve consistency.Conclusion:The XG Boost model exhibits superior predictive performance compared to other models, and the model has high application value. The Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) method is employed for interpretation, making it a reliable basis for preventing abnormal lung function in coal miners.
5.Study on work-related musculoskeletal disorders and influencing factors of underground workers in a coal mine
Yaxin ZHU ; Kun SUN ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Chen YANG ; Keyun GUO ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(8):600-605
Objective:To investigate the occurrence of work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs) among underground coal mine workers, identify the risk factors for WMSDs, and provide a scientific evidence for the prevention and treatment of WMSDs.Methods:In March 2024, through cluster sampling, the on-the-job workers who underwent questionnaire surveys and health examinations at a certain coal mine from July to August 2018 were selected as the research subjects. Basic information of employees, ergonomics-related characteristics, and the occurrence status of WMSDs in each part were collected, and multivariate logistic regression was used for analysis.Results:The incidence rate of WMSDs in at least one site among underground coal mine workers within the past year was 62.22% (219/352). The top three sites in sequence were the lower back (44.32%, 156/352), neck (26.14%, 92/352), and knee (26.14%, 92/352). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that frequently exerting great force with arms or hands during work ( OR=2.223, 95% CI: 1.022-4.836), prolonged static forward bending ( OR=1.544, 95% CI: 1.305-1.972), and frequently exerting great effort to operate tools or machines ( OR=2.206, 95% CI: 1.011-4.813), absence of external support systems ( OR=1.589, 95% CI: 1.349-1.996), and repetitive full-body twisting ( OR=1.523, 95% CI: 1.298-1.916) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the lower back ( P<0.05). Both night shift work ( OR=1.564, 95% CI: 1.339-1.939) and frequent forward neck flexion ( OR=1.532, 95% CI: 1.312-1.907) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the neck ( P<0.05). Lifting heavy objects above the shoulder ( OR=1.333, 95% CI: 1.142-1.782), uncomfortable posture and inability to exert force ( OR=1.873, 95% CI: 1.104-2.712), the use of vibration tools ( OR=2.958, 95% CI: 1.255-6.972), and length of service >10 years ( OR=1.525, 95% CI: 1.105-1.967) were all risk factors for the occurrence of WMSDs in the knee ( P<0.05) . Conclusion:The incidence of WMSDs among underground coal miners is relatively high, mainly concentrated in the lower back, neck and knee, and is related to factors such as poor working postures, and work organization. Coal mining enterprises should strengthen work organization, provide appropriate working equipment, and ensure reasonable distribution of workloads.
6.Study on risk prediction model of hypertension in steel workers
Keyun GUO ; Yaxin ZHU ; Yixuan ZHANG ; Chen YANG ; Hao ZHAO ; Yulan JIN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2025;43(8):573-579
Objective:To identify risk factors influencing the incidence of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and establish an effective and easily implementable hypertension prediction model.Methods:In September 2023, 2214 steelworkers (Homo sapiens) were selected as study subjects. Basic demographic information, lifestyle, and occupational exposure data were collected, along with physiological measurements such as height, weight, and blood pressure. Multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was employed based on relevant literature to determine influencing factors for hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens). Python 3.9 software was used to construct and compare logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost), and LGBM models. Model performance was evaluated using metrics such as receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, accuracy, calibration curves, and F1 scores. The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) model was introduced for feature importance analysis to enhance the interpretability of the prediction model.Results:A total of 432 cases of hypertension were detected among 2214 study subjects, with a detection rate of 19.51%. Age, smoking status, salt intake, use of cooling equipment, carbon monoxide exposure, family history of hypertension, fasting blood glucose, triglycerides, and hemoglobin were identified as independent risk factors for hypertension ( P<0.05). A comparison of the five models revealed the following performance metrics: logistic regression achieved an accuracy of 0.853, F1 score of 0.680, Brier score of 0.108, and AUC of 0.907; SVM demonstrated an accuracy of 0.863, F1 score of 0.687, Brier score of 0.081, and AUC of 0.910; random forest showed an accuracy of 0.857, F1 score of 0.603, Brier score of 0.105, and AUC of 0.861; XGBoost yielded an accuracy of 0.850, F1 score of 0.684, Brier score of 0.117, and AUC of 0.899; and the LGBM model exhibited an accuracy of 0.838, F1 score of 0.625, Brier score of 0.112, and AUC of 0.870. Conclusion:The SVM model demonstrated strong predictive performance, effectively assessing the risk of hypertension among steelworkers (Homo sapiens) and facilitating targeted health management interventions.
7.Determination of polymyxin E in human plasma by LC-MS/MS and its application in therapeutic drug monitoring
Yan CHEN ; Xiaolan HUANG ; Yi LI ; Xin LI ; Beining GUO ; Yaxin FAN ; Hailan WU ; Mengting CHEN ; Wanzhen LI ; Jing ZHANG ; Xiaofen LIU
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(2):155-161
Objective To develop and validate an efficient and simple liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)method for determination of polymyxin E in human plasma,and apply the established method in therapeutic drug monitoring(TDM)of polymyxin E.Methods The LC-MS/MS platform was based on AB SCIEX HPLC-4500MD system.Gradient elution was performed with 0.2%formic acid in water and 0.2%formic acid in acetonitrile.Phenomenex Kinetex XB-C18 column(100 mm × 2.1 mm,2.6 μm)were used.The analytes were detected by electrospray ionization(ESI)positive multiple reaction monitoring mode.The ion pairs for analytes(polymyxins E1,E2)and internal standard(polymyxins B1)were m/z 390.7→101.3,m/z 386.0→101.2,and m/z 402.3→101.2,respectively.Plasma samples were processed with protein precipitation method.Results Polymyxin E1 and E2 showed good linearity in the range of 0.031 2-6.24 mg/L and 0.006 15-1.23 mg/L,respectively.The within-run accuracy of polymyxin E1 and E2 in plasma ranged from 89.4%to 99.8%and 91.5%to 108.2%,respectively,while the between-run accuracy ranged from 91.8%to 104.7%and 95.6%to 105.2%,respectively.The within-run precision of polymyxin E1 and E2 in plasma ranged from 4.9%to 8.9%and 2.8%to 8.5%,respectively,while the between-run precision ranged from 4.1%to 7.6%and 4.2%to 9.8%,respectively.The average internal standard normalized matrix effect factors of polymyxins E1 and E2 were 96.9%-111.2%and 106.1%-112.8%in blank plasma samples from 6 different sources,102.5%-106.8%and 98.8%-105.2%in lipemic plasma,respectively,107.8%-108.9%and 106.9%-1 07.4%in hemolyzed plasma,respectively.The precision of matrix effects was less than 15.0%.The average recovery rate was 102.9%-107.5%for polymyxin E1 and E2,and 107.0%for internal standard polymyxin B1.The precision was less than 3.7%.Conclusions In this study,a simple and efficient LC-MS/MS method was established for determination of polymyxin E1 and E2 in human plasma,which is reliable in the therapeutic drug monitoring and pharmacokinetic study of polymyxin E.
8.Prediction of Lymphovascular Invasion in cN0 Breast Cancer Based on Multi-Parametric MRI Radiomics Features
Shunian LI ; Yiyan SHANG ; Yaxin GUO ; Jun LIAO ; Yunxia WANG ; Xiaodong LI ; Meiyun WANG ; Hongna TAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(10):1035-1042
Purpose To investigate the value of intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features based on multi-parametric MRI for preoperative prediction of lymphovascular invasion(LVI)in clinical lymph node-negative(cN0)breast cancer.Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 280 patients with pathologically confirmed breast cancer who underwent preoperative MRI at Henan Provincial People's Hospital from January 2017 to May 2021.Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and a testing cohort.After Z-score normalization,feature selection was performed using Select K Best and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression.Random forest algorithms were used to construct intratumoral,peritumoral,and combined intratumoral-peritumoral radiomics models for LVI prediction.Model performance and clinical utility were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),calibration curves and decision curve analysis.Results High Ki-67 expression(≥20%),axillary lymph node metastasis and positive diffusion weighted imaging(DWI)margin sign were more common in the LVI-positive group(χ2=5.959,18.316,20.554,all P<0.05).In the testing cohort,the AUC values of the dynamic contrast-enhanced(DCE)-Intra and DCE-Com models for predicting LVI status were higher than those of the DWI sequence,whereas the AUC value of the DWI-Peri model was higher than that of the DCE sequence.The DWI-DCE-Com model achieved AUCs of 0.836 and 0.818 in the training and testing cohorts,respectively,which surpassed the predictive performance of single-sequence intratumoral-peritumoral radiomics models(DWI-Com,DCE-Com).Decision curve analysis showed that the DWI-DCE-Com model provided greater net clinical benefit across a reasonable range of threshold probabilities.Conclusion Radiomics models based on multiparametric MRI features from intratumoral and peritumoral regions can effectively predict LVI status in cN0 breast cancer,offering valuable support for preoperative individualized treatment decision-making.
9.Diagnosis and treatment of cirrhotic portal hypertension with spontaneous portosystemic shunt: Current status and prospects
Yaxin CHEN ; Wen GUO ; Kaige LIU ; Qian LI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):176-182
Liver cirrhosis is the terminal stage of various chronic liver diseases, with the main clinical manifestation of portal hypertension, which can lead to spontaneous portosystemic shunt (SPSS). SPSS is very common in clinical practice and is closely associated with the prognosis of patients. This article summarizes the recent studies in the clinical significance of cirrhotic portal hypertension with SPSS, the controversies in studies, and the current status and future prospects and challenges of treatment, in order to provide a reference for the standardized diagnosis and treatment of portal hypertension.
10.Research progress of lacrimal gland organoids
Yaxin MO ; Xinyu LIU ; Huiyi GUO ; Xin CHEN ; Qiang CHEN
International Eye Science 2025;25(3):395-399
The lacrimal gland organoids are innovative in vitro cultured tissue model that mimics the lacrimal gland, retaining its original histological and molecular biological properties. This model can more accurately reproduce the physiological environment of the lacrimal gland, including its ductal system and tear film protein secretion. It offers a new platform for studying the physiopathological basis of the lacrimal gland, establishing disease models, conducting regenerative medicine applications, and performing drug screening. Currently, organoids technology is continuously evolving, with ongoing updates to the methods for in vitro culturing of the lacrimal gland. These advancements gradually address challenges related to cultivation complexity, cost, and time, demonstrating a wide range of application potential. In this paper, we summarize the latest progress in lacrimal gland organoids research both domestically and internationally, exploring the development of lacrimal gland organoids, 3D construction technologies, and their potential for clinical applications, in order to provide new insights for clinical research on lacrimal gland-related diseases and to promote broader application of lacrimal gland organoids in drug development and personalized diagnosis and treatment.

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