1.Relationship between traumatic infectious endophthalmitis and the levels of serum macrophage inflammatory protein 1α, heat shock protein 70, and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1
Ruihong WANG ; Linlin ZHANG ; Yanna WANG ; Junxia REN ; Cuiying LIU
International Eye Science 2026;26(1):119-124
AIM: To investigate the distribution characteristics of pathogens in patients with post-traumatic infectious endophthalmitis(PTIE)and their relationship with serum levels of macrophage inflammatory protein 1α(MIP-1α), heat shock protein 70(HSP70), and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1(sTREM-1).METHODS:A total of 157 patients with PTIE from the Handan City Eye Hospital(The Third Hospital of Handan)from May 2023 to May 2025 were selected as the study group. They were divided into a good prognosis group and a poor prognosis group based on their uncorrected visual acuity at discharge. Meanwhile, 157 patients with ocular trauma but without endophthalmitis during the same period were selected as control group 1, and 157 healthy volunteers who underwent physical examinations during the same period were selected as control group 2. Aqueous humor and vitreous fluid samples were collected from the study group to detect the distribution of pathogens. The levels of serum MIP-1α, HSP70, and sTREM-1 were measured using the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for poor prognosis. The predictive value of serum MIP-1α, HSP70, and sTREM-1 levels for poor prognosis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)and decision curve analysis(DCA).RESULTS: The general data of the participants in the three groups was comparable. A total of 173 pathogens were detected in the 157 patients with PTIE, with Gram-positive bacteria being the predominant type. The levels of serum MIP-1α and sTREM-1 in the study group were higher than those in control groups 1 and 2, while the level of HSP70 was lower than those in control groups 1 and 2(all P<0.05). There were no significant differences in the levels of serum MIP-1α, HSP70, and sTREM-1 between control groups 1 and 2(all P>0.05). In the poor prognosis group, the time of wound suture was ≥24 h, the wound location was in zones II/III, the type of trauma was rupture, the proportion of rupture injuries, and the levels of serum C-reactive protein, MIP-1α, and sTREM-1 were higher than those in the good prognosis group, while the level of HSP70 was decreased(all P<0.001). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the time of wound suture, wound location, type of trauma, C-reactive protein, MIP-1α, HSP70, and sTREM-1 were risk factors for poor visual prognosis in patients with PTIE(all P<0.05). The ROC curve results showed that the combined prediction of serum MIP-1α, HSP70, and sTREM-1 for poor visual prognosis in PTIE patients had an AUC value of 0.965, which was significantly higher than that of individual predictions(ZMIP-1α, ZHSP70, ZsTREM-1=3.628, 4.705, 3.930, all P<0.05). Additionally, the DCA curve showed that the combined prediction had a higher net benefit rate than individual predictions in the high-risk threshold range of 0.03-0.97.CONCLUSION:Gram-positive bacteria are the predominant type of pathogenic bacteria in patients with PTIE, with elevated levels of serum MIP-1α and sTREM-1 and decreased levels of HSP70. The combined detection of these three factors has a high predictive efficacy for visual prognosis in patients.
2.Pharmacokinetics of Esketamine hydrochloride nasal spray in rats and ciliary toxicity to maxillary mucosa of bullfrog
Jingyu ZHOU ; Haixia WU ; Jingnan QUAN ; Yanna YANG ; Shijie ZHONG ; Yi CHENG ; Meng LI ; Zengming WANG ; Nan LIU ; Aiping ZHENG ; Hui ZHANG
China Pharmacy 2024;35(10):1174-1178
OBJECTIVE To study the pharmacokinetics of Esketamine hydrochloride nasal spray in rats and ciliary toxicity to maxillary mucosa of bullfrog. METHODS The plasma concentration of esketamine hydrochloride in rats was determined by LC-MS/ MS after intravenous injection of esketamine hydrochloride solution and nasal administration of esketamine hydrochloride; the pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated by using Phoenix WinNonlin 8.1.0 software. Using the maxillary mucosa of isolated bullfrog as a model, the morphological changes of maxillary mucosa were investigated, and the duration and recovery of ciliary oscillation were recorded after nasal administration of esketamine hydrochloride. RESULTS The peak of blood concentration occurred 2 min after nasal administration of esketamine hydrochloride; cmax was (814.58±418.80) ng/mL, AUC0-∞ was (203.75± 92.76) ng·h/mL, and the absolute bioavailability was 60.68%. After nasal administration of esketamine hydrochloride, it was observed that the cilia of bullfrog were arranged neatly, the edges were clear, the cilia tissue structure was complete and the cilia moved actively. The cilia movement time was (178.17±13.30) min for the first time, and after the cilia moved again, the ciliary movement time measured again was (24.50±9.19)min with a relative movement percentage of 53.56%. CONCLUSIONS Esketamine hydrochloride nasal spray has a rapid onset of action, high bioavailability, and low ciliary toxicity.
3.Development of Postoperative Subdelirium Syndrome Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Surgical Nurses and its reliability and validity
Qin LIU ; Li NING ; Xunv YANG ; Jiayun WU ; Jianqun XU ; Yanna SUN
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(6):784-790
Objective:To develop the Postoperative Subdelirium Syndrome Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Surgical Nurses and test its reliability and validity.Methods:Based on the theory of knowledge, attitude, and practice, the preliminary Postoperative Subdelirium Syndrome Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Surgical Nurses was developed through literature search and analysis, Delphi expert consultation, and pre-survey. From February to April 2022, convenience sampling was used to select 375 surgical nurses from five Class Ⅲ Grade A hospitals and three Class Ⅲ Grade B hospitals in Zhejiang Province for questionnaire item analysis, exploratory factor analysis, and reliability testing.Results:The final Postoperative Subdelirium Syndrome Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Surgical Nurses consisted of 33 items in three dimensions of knowledge, attitude, and practice. Exploratory factor analysis extracted three common factors with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 67.016%. The total Cronbach's α coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.931, and the Cronbach's α coefficients for each dimension were 0.972, 0.906, and 0.932, respectively. The overall test-retest reliability coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.999, and the test-retest reliability coefficients for each dimension were 0.997, 0.994, and 0.998. The questionnaire-level content validity index was 0.889, and the item-level content validity index was 0.833 to 1.000.Conclusions:The Postoperative Subdelirium Syndrome Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Surgical Nurses has good reliability and validity, and can be used to evaluate the knowledge, attitude, and practice of postoperative subdelirium syndrome among surgical nurses.
4.Evaluation of the Difference Between Angelica-Astragalus Medicine Pair Dispensing Granules Decoction and Traditional Decoction Based on Chemical Composition and Pharmacological Action
Jing YAO ; Lijie MA ; Yanna REN ; Xiaopeng LI ; Junhan SHI ; Xinjing GUI ; Lu ZHANG ; Qingxiao WANG ; Xuelin LI ; Ruixin LIU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(7):1112-1119
Objective To evaluate the differences in chemical composition and pharmacological effects between Angelica-Astragalus medicine pair decoction(DGD)and traditional decotion,and to provide a reference for the rational clinical application of Danggui Buxue decoction.Methods With the two comparison methods of unified and non-uniform raw material source batches,we set up different sample groups,established characteristic maps by HPLC,and evaluated the chemical components based on the similarity of characteristic maps,component types,index component content,common peak area,and other factors.The efficacy of the drug was evaluated in the hemorrhagic blood deficiency model mice.Results ①The similarity of the feature map between the DGD and TD was high(similarity was greater than 0.87).②The number of chromatographic peaks was inconsistent.Traditional decoction from self-purchased decoction pieces,or traditional decoction-Factory A decoction pieces had a total of 12 chromatographic peaks each.The DGD of Factory A had a total of 15 chromatographic peaks.There were 10 chromatographic peaks in the DGD of Factory B.③The contents of ferulic acid and calycosin 7-O-glucoside(CG)in DGD of Factory A were higher than those in traditional decoction(P<0.05,n=3).There was no significant difference between DGD and TD ferulic acid content in Factory B,but the content of CG was lower than that in traditional decoction(P<0.05).④The total area of common peaks in DGD was different from that in TD.The relative total ratios of the contents of the components in the self-purchased traditional decoction pieces,the traditional decoction pieces of Factory A,the formula granules of Factory A,and the formula granules of Factory B were 1.00,0.96,2.14,0.60,respectively.⑤Both DGD and traditional decoction could significantly promote the recovery of hemoglobin and red blood cells in hemorrhagic anemia model mice(P<0.01);Compared with the model control group,there was a significantly difference(P<0.05)except for the DGD group of Plant B.There was no significant difference between DGD and TD of Plant A,but there was a very significant difference between DGD and TD of Plant B(P<0.01).Conclusion Whether the raw material source batch is consistent or not,DGD and TD have certain differences in chemical composition.In terms of pharmacological effect,DGD,prepared from a unified batch of decoction pieces,has similar efficacy to traditional decoction in alleviating hemorrhagic anemia.There are certain differences in the pharmacological effects between DGD prepared from different batches of decoction pieces and traditional decoctions.The differences caused by the different preparation processes of the same source batch of prepared slices were compared,and the quality differences of the formula granules from different manufacturers were caused by the different source batches of prepared slices and different preparation processes,indicating the necessity and urgency of the country to formulate a unified quality standard for formula granules and related process specifications.
5.Predictive value of FAR, CAR and PLR in hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis
Qiaofang WANG ; Chaopeng MEI ; Yaodong SONG ; Yanna LIU ; Dejian LI ; Mengwei CUI ; Qianqian HE ; Huihui LI ; Haifeng WANG ; Changju ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(10):1376-1382
Objective:To investigate the value of fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR), creatinine to albumin ratio (CAR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting the poor prognosis of hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis (HLAP).Methods:Clinical data of HLAP patients admitted to the hospital from January 2021 to January and December 2023 were retrospectively collected. According to the prognosis, the patients were divided into two groups: good prognosis group and poor prognosis group.The independent risk factors of HLAP in different prognostic groups were obtained by multivariate Logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the prognostic value of FAR, CAR and PLR alone and in combination.Results:A total of 118 patients with HLAP were included, including 69 patients with good prognosis and 49 patients with poor prognosis.The difference of heart rate, lymphocyte, triglyceride, albumin, creatinine, urea nitrogen, blood calcium, blood glucose, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, fibrinogen, FAR, CAR, PLR, Bedside indicator of acute pancreatitis Severity score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health status score, hospitalization time assessment between the two groups was statistically significant ( P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that FAR (odds ratio ( OR) = 25.949, 95% confidence interval (95% CI):3.190 ~ 211.080, P = 0.002), CAR ( OR = 1.453, 95% CI:1.095 ~ 1.928, P = 0.010) and PLR ( OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.001 ~ 1.009, P = 0.020) were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in HLAP patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of FAR, CAR and PLR to predict poor prognosis of HLAP patients were 0.823, 0.781 and 0.652, respectively.The AUC of FAR combined with CAR, FAR combined with PLR and CAR combined with PLR were 0.840, 0.845 and 0.849, respectively.The combined ability of FAR, CAR and PLR to predict poor prognosis in HLAP patients was (AUC=0.875,95% CI:0.814 ~ 0.937). When the cut-off value was 0.387, the sensitivity was 83.7%, and the specificity was 79.7%. Conclusions:The prognostic value of FAR, CAR and PLR in HLAP patients is better than that of single or pairwise combination.
6.Effect of multiparameter electroencephalogram-guided anesthesia management on electroencephalo-gram burst suppression and postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing lower abdominal laparoscopic surgery
Jian CHEN ; Yue FENG ; Po SHEN ; Jingjing LIU ; Yi ZHONG ; Xinlong ZHANG ; Jiayong ZHANG ; Yuping HU ; Yanna SI
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2024;40(9):905-910
Objective To explore the effect of multiparameter electroencephalogram(EEG)-guided anesthesia management on EEG burst suppression(BS)and postoperative delirium(POD)in elderly patients undergoing lower abdominal laparoscopic surgery.Methods A total of 100 elderly patients,48 males and 52 females,aged 65-85 years,BMI 18.5-28.0 kg/m2,and ASA physical status Ⅱ or Ⅲ,were enrolled for lower abdominal surgery under general anesthesia.Patients were randomly divided into two groups:multiparameter group and single parameter group,50 patients in each group.In multiparameter group,multiparameter EEG monitoring with patient statu index(PSI),spectral edge frequency(SEF),burst suppression ratio(BSR)and density spectral array(DSA)were used to guide the depth management of anesthesia.In single parameter group,single parameter PSI was used to guide the depth management of anesthesia.The total area under the hypotensive threshold of MAP(AUTMAP)was calculated,and the amount of anesthetic used during the operation and the use of vasoactive drugs,duration of anesthesia,extu-bation time,duration of PACU stay,and postoperative hospitalisation days were recorded.HR,MAP,PSI,and SEF were recorded before the induction of anesthesia,5 minutes after induction of anesthesia,5,30,and 60 minutes after incision,and at the end of surgery.The incidence,duration,and maximum BSR of in-traoperative BS,as well as the incidence of POD 1,2,and 3 days after surgery were recorded.Results There was no significant difference in AUTMAP values between the two groups.Compared with single parame-ter group,intraoperative propofol and remifentanil dosage were significantly decreased(P<0.05),awak-ening time,PACU stay,and postoperative hospitalization time were significantly shorter in multiparameter group(P<0.05),the PSI was significantly increased 5,30,and 60 minutes after incision and at the end of surgery,and the SEF was significantly increased 5 minutes after induction of anesthesia,5,30,and 60 minutes after induction and the end of surgery(P<0.05).Compared with single parameter group,inci-dence of intraoperative BS was significantly decreased,duration of BS was significantly shorter,smaller maximum BSR was significantly decreased,and incidence of POD on 1 day after surgery in multiparameter group(P<0.05).Conclusion Anesthesia management guided by multiparameter EEG can inhibit the oc-currence of BS,mitigate the degree of BS,and reduce the incidence of POD in elderly patients undergoing abdominal surgery.
7.Correlations of serum NLRC3 and ECM1 expression with acute respiratory distress syndrome in sepsis patients
Xiaoyan XING ; Lirui LIU ; Long BAI ; Yanna JI ; Xiaolong HE
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2024;28(21):38-42
Objective To investigate the correlations of serum levels of NOD-like receptor family CARD domain containing 3 (NLRC3) and extracellular matrix protein 1 (ECM1) with the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with sepsis. Methods A total of 133 patients with sepsis were enrolled in sepsis group, and 80 healthy individuals during the same period were included in control group. The sepsis group was further divided into ARDS group (52 cases) and non-ARDS group (81 cases) based on the presence or absence of ARDS. Serum levels of NLRC3 and ECM1 expression were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with the development of ARDS in sepsis patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of serum NLRC3 and ECM1 levels for ARDS in sepsis patients. Results Compared with the control group, the sepsis group had significantly lower serum NLRC3 level and higher ECM1 level (
8.Analysis of the efficacy of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation on 9 children with Epstein-Barr virus-positive lymphoproliferative diseases
Jianwen ZHOU ; Yongyan HE ; Ping MA ; Weifang ZHANG ; Yafeng WANG ; Wei LIU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Yanna MAO
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2023;38(12):932-936
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) on the childhood Epstein-Barr virus(EBV)-positive lymphoproliferative diseases(EBV + LPD). Methods:The clinical features, treatment course, and prognosis of 9 children with EBV + LPD who underwent allo-HSCT in Children′s Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University from July 2019 to July 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. Results:All the 9 children underwent histopathological examination, including 6 patients with EBV-positive T-cell lymphoproliferative disease (EBV + T-LPD), 1 with pulmonary lymphomatoid granuloma, and 2 with systemic EBV-positive T-cell lymphoma.There were 6 males and 3 females, with the median age of 5.8 (1.5-13.0) years.At the initial diagnosis, plasma and peripheral EBV-DNA copy at the initial diagnosis was (5.67-865.00)×10 2/mL, and (5.13-1 250.00)×10 2/mL, respectively.The EBV-DNA load of cerebrospinal fluid increased to (5.18-291.00)×10 2/mL in 3 cases.The whole exon sequencing data showed no abnormality in 3 cases, pulmonary lymphomatoid granuloma with the IL2RG mutation in 1 case and EBV + T-LPD with a hemizygous mutation in the SH2D1A gene as the pathogenic mutation in 1 case.Pathogenic mutations were not detected in the remaining 4 cases.The course of disease before transplantation was 5.4(3.0-10.0) months.Disease status before transplantation was as follows: all 3 cases of lymphomas had partial regression; 2 cases of EBV + T-LPD had active disease; and 4 cases had no active disease.Among the donors, there were 5 cases of half-matched relatives, 2 cases of full-matched siblings and 2 cases of unrelated full-matched donors.The median number of mononuclear cells in peripheral blood and/or bone marrow hematopoietic stem cell was 6.60(3.64-12.18)×10 8/kg, while the median implantation time of neutrophils was 18(9-23) days.One month after the transfusion of hematopoietic stem cells, plasma EBV-DNA copy was negative in all cases, and peripheral EBV-DNA copy was negative in 7 cases.The copy number in the other 2 cases was 10 2/mL.At the 3-month evaluation, plasma and peripheral EBV-DNA copy were negative in all cases.In addition, 3 cases of lymphomas achieved radiographic complete remission, and 6 cases of EBV + T-LPD were inactive.All transplant-related complications were effectively controlled after medication.Following the median follow-up of 24 (11-42) months, all patients had disease-free survival.Serious impact on the quality of life due to graft versus host disease was not reported. Conclusions:allo-HSCT is an effective treatment of childhood EBV + LPD, which is able to control transplant-related complications.Children with EBV + LPD can achieve long-term disease-free survival through transplantation.
9.Observation on the recovery effect of continuous infusion of dexmedetomidine combined with oxycodone in anesthesia intensive care unit for elderly patients undergoing thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer
Xin LENG ; Xin XU ; Yongling LIU ; Yong ZHANG ; Yanna SI ; Baolin CHEN ; Zhonghua LUO
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2023;46(3):230-236
Objective:To compare the recovery effect of continuous infusion of dexmedetomidine combined with oxycodone or sufentanil in the anesthesia intensive care unit (AICU) in elderly patients after thoracoscopic radical surgery for lung cancer.Methods:Using the method of prospective study, 80 elderly lung cancer patients underwent selective thoracoscopic radical surgery under general anesthesia in Nanjing First Hospital from February 2021 to May 2022 were selected. The patients were divided into dexmedetomidine combined with sufentanil group (S group) and dexmedetomidine combined with oxycodone group (Q group) by random digits table method with 40 cases each group. On the basis of routine monitoring and treatment after operation, the patients in Q group were continuously injected with oxycodone 0.03 mg/(kg·h) and dexmedetomidine 0.4 μg/(kg·h) through analgesia pump, the patients in S group were continuously injected with sufentanil 0.03 mg/(kg·h) and dexmedetomidine 0.4 μg/(kg·h) through analgesia pump. The wake-up time, extubation time, awakening quality (Aldrete score and bucking score) and comfort level (Bruggrmann comfort scale score, BCS score) after entering the AICU were record; the sedation score (Ramsay score) and pain relief score (numerical rating scale score, NRS score) and hemodynamic changes (mean arterial pressure and heart rate) 3, 5, 7, 10 and 14 h after entering the AICU were record; the level of serum inflammatory factors, including tumor necrosis factor (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) immediately, 5 h and 14 h after entering the AICU; press times of analgesia pump, adverse events, bleeding volume of drainage tube during AICU and overall satisfaction score when leaving the AICU were record.Results:The bucking score in Q group was significantly lower than that in S group: (1.02 ± 0.77) scores vs. (1.88 ± 0.34) scores, the Aldrete score and BCS score were significantly higher than those in S group: (8.93 ± 0.25) scores vs. (5.97 ± 0.32) scores and (3.03 ± 0.32) scores vs. (0.93 ± 0.52) scores, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there were no statistical difference in wake-up time and extubation time between two groups ( P>0.05). There were no statistical difference Ramassy score, NRS score 3 and 5 h after entering the AICU, mean arterial pressure and heart rate between two groups ( P>0.05); the Ramassy score 7, 10 and 14 h after entering the AICU in Q group was significantly lower than that in S group, the NRS score, mean arterial pressure and heart rate were significantly lower than those in S group, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01). There were no statistical differences in TNF-α, IL-6 and CRP immediately after entering the AICU between two groups ( P>0.05); the TNF-α, IL-6 and CRP 5 and 14 h after entering the AICU in Q group were significantly lower than those in S group, and there were statistical difference ( P<0.01). The press times of analgesia pump, bleeding volume of drainage tube and the incidences of nausea vomiting, respiratory depression, lethargy, restlessness, fever and lung infection in Q group were significantly lower than those in S group: (4.63 ± 1.10) times vs. (18.80 ± 1.54) times, (129.67 ± 4.14) ml vs. (164.00 ± 8.14) ml, 10.0% (4/40) vs. 52.5% (21/40), 2.5% (1/40) vs. 25.0% (10/40), 7.5% (3/40) vs. 47.5% (19/40), 0 vs. 20.0% (8/40), 2.5% (1/40) vs. 22.5% (9/40) and 2.5% (1/40) vs. 20.0% (8/40), and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01 or <0.05); there was no severe hypotension, severe bradycardia and delirium in both groups. The overall satisfaction score in Q group was significantly higher than that in S group: (3.53 ± 0.63) scores vs. (2.70 ± 0.65) scores, and there was statistical difference ( P<0.01). Conclusions:Continuous micro-pump infusion of dexmedetomidine combined with oxycodone in AICU elderly patients with lung cancer after thoracoscopic radical surgery can significantly improve the quality of recovery and comfort during extubation, without affecting the extubation time, and can effectively reduce the degree of pain, stress and inflammatory reaction in the early recovery period, and reduce the incidence of adverse events after surgery.
10.Analysis of early risk factors and establishment of predictive model for prognosis of traumatic pancreatitis
Chaopeng MEI ; Huning CUI ; Mengwei CUI ; Qianqian HE ; Yaodong SONG ; Qiaofang WANG ; Yanna LIU ; Dejian LI ; Sanyang CHEN ; Changju ZHU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2023;32(5):617-623
Objective:To analyze the prognostic risk factors of patients with traumatic pancreatitis (TP) and establish an early combined prediction of multiple indicators model for TP.Methods:Patients admitted to the ICU of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from June 2017 to June 2022 were collected retrospectively. Based on their prognosis, the patients were divided into two groups: the good prognosis group and the poor prognosis group. The general data such as sex, age, underlying diseases, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ (APACHEⅡ), injury severity score (ISS), bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), and clinical test indices such as blood routine, blood coagulation, blood gas analysis, and liver and kidney function at admission were compared between the two groups. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to screen the early independent predictors of poor prognosis of TP, and the prediction model of TP was established by combining all of the independent indicators. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of each independent predictor and prediction model was drawn, and the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and optimal cut-off value were calculated to examine the diagnostic impact of each independent predictor and the combined prediction model.Results:There were statistically significant differences in the complication rate of mental disorders, GCS, APACHE II, combined craniocerebral injury, combined chest injury, activated partial thromboplastin time, fibrin(pro)degradation products, lactate, aspartate aminotransferase, glomerular filtration rate, amylase, lipase, NT-proBNP, myoglobin, procalcitonin, ISS, and BISAP between the good and poor prognosis groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that lactate ( OR=1.636, 95% CI: 1.046-2.559), lipase ( OR=1.005, 95% CI: 1.001-1.008), and ISS ( OR=1.161, 95% CI: 1.064-1.266) were independent risk factors influencing the prognosis of patients with TP. Based on the risk factors listed above, a prediction model was created: Logit P=-9.260+0.492×lactate+0.005×lipase+0.149×ISS, and the ROC curve was plotted. The AUC curve of the prediction model was 0.96 (95% CI: 0.91-1.00). Conclusions:Lactate, lipase, and ISS are early independent risk factors associated with the prognosis of TP. Their combined multi-indicator prediction model has an excellent clinical prediction effect, which can provide a clinical reference for early prediction and treatment of TP.


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