1.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
2.Screening for refractive status in 4 989 children under 6 years old in Wuhan
Jiangwei WANG ; Maoxiong LIU ; Yanmei FANG ; Shuang LI
International Eye Science 2026;26(3):546-550
AIM:To investigate the visual development of children under 6 years old in Wuhan, and provide evidence-based support for the formulation and optimization of regional policies for children's eye health care.METHODS:Suresight refractive screener was applied to rapid refractive status examination in 4 989 preschool children under 6 years old in Wuhan City, with results determined according to the manufacturer's age-specific referral criteria. All screened pre-school children completed vision screening and comprehensive ophthalmic examination.RESULTS: A total of 4 989 children under 6 years old were screened out, including 2 641 males and 2 348 females. They were divided into 6 groups according to age: 426 aged from 6-month to 1-year-old, 903 aged >1 to 2 years old, 1 078 aged >2 to 3 years old, 442 aged >3 to 4 years old, 808 aged >4 to 5 years old, and 1 332 aged >5 to 6 years old. The abnormal rate in the 6-month to 1-year-old group was 44.60%, in the >1 to 2 years old group was 26.02%, in the >2 to 3 years old group was 15.58%, in the >3 to 4 years old group was 10.86%, in the >4 to 5 years old group was 21.91%, in the >5 to 6 years old group was 23.27%, and the total refractive abnormal rate for children aged 6 mo to 6 years old was 22.61%. The refractive abnormal rate generally showed a decreasing trend with increasing age(P<0.001); the refractive abnormal rate in boys aged 6-month to 6 years old was 12.33%, and in girls was 10.28%, with no statistically significant difference in the abnormal rate between boys and girls(P>0.05); among children aged 6-month to 6 years old, the abnormal rate of single-eye myopia was 0.98%, of single-eye hyperopia was 5.41%, of single-eye astigmatism was 9.92%, of binocular myopia was 0.98%, of binocular hyperopia was 2.79%, and of binocular astigmatism was 8.14%; the prevalence of astigmatism in children aged 6-month to 1-year-old was 40.38%, in those aged >1 to 2 years old was 19.82%, in those aged >2 to 3 years old was 12.34%, in those aged >3 to 4 years old was 9.05%, in those aged >4 to 5 years old was 18.81%, and in those aged >5 to 6 years old was 16.89%; the prevalence of astigmatism in children aged 6-month to 6 years old was 18.06%. The abnormal rate of astigmatism in the four age groups ranging from 6-month to 4 years old decreased continuously with age(P<0.001). There was no statistically significant difference in the abnormal rate of astigmatism between the >4 to 5 years old group and the >5 to 6 years old group(P>0.05).CONCLUSION:Refractive error has become a common eye disease among preschool children. Through early vision screening, establishing a systematic refractive management file, and early intervention, the best treatment period can be seized to avoid missing it and causing adverse consequences.
3.Association between obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome and cerebral white matter lesions
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2025;42(3):204-208
Objective To investigate the association between obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome (OSAHS) and white matter lesions (WMLs). Methods A total of 91 patients who attended Department of Neurology and Department of Epilepsy and Sleep Disorders in The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from June 2019 to December 2020 and met the diagnostic criteria for WMLs were enrolled as WMLs group, and 61 patients without WMLs were enrolled as control group. All subjects underwent brain MRI and PSG examinations, and related data were collected, including demographic data, past history, personal history, laboratory examination, and imaging findings. Results The WMLs group had a prevalence rate of OSAHS of 92.3% and an AHI of (32.85±19.86) events/hour on PSG, which were significantly higher than those in the control group (P<0.05). The Spearman rank correlation analysis showed a strong positive correlation between WMLs severity and OSAHS severity(r=0.602 52,P<0.0001). Conclusion The WMLs group is more susceptible to OSAHS than the control group, and the severity of WMLs is positively correlated with the severity of OSAHS.
4.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
5.Mechanisms of Action of Dendrobium officinale Against Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Base on Its Components in Blood
Jilei ZHANG ; Lei FENG ; Yumei XU ; Heyan YAO ; Yanmei ZHANG ; Shunzhen ZHANG ; Jiao WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(10):168-175
ObjectiveTo investigate the preventive effect and mechanism of Dendrobium officinale (DO) on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) by network pharmacology and animal experiments. MethodsDO components in blood after administration were identified and analyzed using ultra-performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole-electrostatic field orbitrap high-resolution mass spectrometry (UPLC-QE-HF-MS/MS). Network pharmacology and molecular docking methods were employed to obtain active ingredients and potential targets of DO for NAFLD control. High-fat feeds were used to replicate the NAFLD rat model. Biochemical kits were used for detecting the expression levels of blood lipids, hepatic lipids, and liver functions of rats. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and oil red O staining were employed to observe pathological changes in rat liver, and real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (Real-time PCR) assay was performed to validate potential targets obtained from the network pharmacology analysis. ResultsA total of 13 DO components were identified in blood, including berberine, dihydrosanguinarine, and oxypeucedanin. A total of 14 potential targets were screened through network pharmacology, including Forkhead box protein O1 (FoxO1), epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1R), involving pathways such as the advanced glycation end product (AGE)/receptor for AGE (RAGE) signaling pathway, blood lipids and atherosclerosis, insulin resistance, and FoxO signaling. The results of animal experiments showed that the NAFLD rat model was successfully replicated. After the preventive treatment with DO for NAFLD rats, the indexes of blood lipids, hepatic lipids, and liver function were normalized; lipid deposition and lesions in the liver were significantly improved; the expression level of FoxO1 mRNA in the liver was significantly reduced (P<0.05), and the mRNA expression levels of phosphatidylinositide 3-kinases (PI3K), protein kinase B (Akt), EGFR, and IGF-1R were significantly increased (P<0.05). ConclusionDO has a preventive effect on NAFLD rats, and the mechanism of action may be related to the modulation of IGF1R and EGFR targets and activation of the PI3K/Akt/FoxO1 signaling pathway.
6.The value of coronary CT angiography-based traditional features and radiomics in identification of culprit plaques to cause acute myocardial infarction
Pei NIE ; Shuo ZHANG ; Yan DENG ; Shifeng YANG ; Xinxin YU ; Kaiyue ZHI ; He ZHU ; Peng LI ; Jingjing CUI ; Wenjing CHEN ; Yanmei WANG ; Yuchao XU ; Dapeng HAO ; Ximing WANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(9):1017-1028
Objective:To investigate the value of coronary CTA (CCTA)-based traditional features and radiomics of plaque in the identification of culprit lesions that caused acute myocardial infarction (AMI).Methods:This was a retrospective multicenter study. From July 2016 to November 2023, a total of 344 patients from the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University (training cohort, n=184), Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University (validation cohort, n=88) and Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (test cohort, n=72) who received percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) due to AMI and underwent CCTA within 48 hours of AMI were enrolled. The culprit plaques and non-culprit plaques were identified using a combination of electrocardiogram, CCTA, and angiographic findings. The vessel, plaque location, plaque type, Coronary Artery Disease-Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS) score, high-risk plaque characteristics, plaque length, plaque volume, and burden were analyzed, and 1 904 radiomics features were extracted for each plaque. The traditional imaging model, the radiomics model, and the combined model were established by using multivariate Logistic regression analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of each model in identifying culprit lesions. The DeLong test was used for the comparison of AUC between every two models. The net reclassification index (NRI) was used to evaluate the incremental value of the combined model to the traditional imaging model and the radiomics model. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical net benefit of these models. A correlation heatmap was used to evaluate the correlation between the radiomics score and traditional CCTA factors. The interpretable analysis of the decision process of the combined model was performed by the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Results:In the validation cohort and the test cohort, the AUC of the traditional imaging model developed by the vessel, plaque type, positive remodeling and CAD-RADS score was 0.898 (95% CI 0.869-0.922) and 0.881 (95% CI 0.848-0.910), respectively. The radiomics model developed by six radiomics features was 0.863 (95% CI 0.831-0.891) and 0.863 (95% CI 0.827-0.864), respectively. The AUC of the combined model was 0.930 (95% CI 0.905-0.950)and 0.919 (95% CI 0.889-0.942), respectively. In the validation cohort and the test cohort, the AUC of the combined model was higher than that of the traditional imaging model ( Z=4.013, 4.272, P<0.001) and that of the radiomics model ( Z=4.819, 3.784, P<0.001), respectively. In the validation cohort, the combined model yielded an NRI of 20.43% (95% CI 10.43%-30.44%, P<0.001) and 20.21% (95% CI 9.62%-30.80%, P<0.001) for identifying culprit lesions compared with the traditional imaging model and the radiomics model, respectively. In the test cohort, the combined model yielded an NRI of 28.05% (95% CI 16.72%-39.38%, P<0.001) and 23.57% (95% CI 13.58%-33.56%, P<0.001) for identifying culprit lesions compared with the traditional imaging model and the radiomics model, respectively. DCA showed the combined model had the highest clinical net benefit. The correlation heatmap showed the radiomics score was not correlated or only weakly correlated with traditional CCTA factors. SHAP indicated the radiomics and CAD-RADS score contributed significantly to the model. Conclusion:The CCTA-based traditional features and radiomics of plaque have favorable performance for the identification of culprit plaques in patients with AMI.
7.Prevalence of chronic kidney disease and risk factors in adults with hypertension in China
Yanmei CHEN ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):33-42
Objective:To understand the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and influencing factors in adults with hypertension in China and provide evidence for the management of CKD in hypertension patients.Methods:The prevalence data of CKD in hypertension patients in China were collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018, the data of 68 829 hypertension patients were analyzed. After complex weighting, the prevalence of CKD in the study population was compared. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to explore the influencing factors of CKD in adults with hypertension.Results:The prevalence of CKD in the hypertension patients was 18.2% (95% CI: 17.4%-19.0%) and increased with age, and the prevalence was 16.4% in men and 20.6% in women ( P<0.001). In different age groups, CKD at stage G1 mainly occurred in those aged 18-44 and 45-59 years, with the prevalence of 10.8% and 7.8%, respectively, while CKD at stages G2 and G3a mainly occurred in those aged >60 years, with the prevalence of 9.4% and 9.7%. Multivariate logistic regression results showed that in the hypertension patients, being aged ≥60 years, being women, smoking (including current and ever smoking), physical inactivity, being underweight or obese, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia were the potential risk factors for CKD (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The prevalence of CKD was higher in people with hypertension than in general population in China, and age, gender, smoking status, physical activity level, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hyperuricemia or not were significant influencing factors. It is necessary to strengthen health education and kidney function testing in adults with hypertension and develop comprehensive CKD prevention and control measures targeting high-risk population.
8.The trend of change in insulin resistance among Chinese adults from 2010 to 2018
Chunli YE ; Limin WANG ; Yanfang ZHAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Yue HOU ; Yanmei CHEN ; Mei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):179-187
Objective:To investigate the trends in insulin resistance, as represented by the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index), among Chinese adult residents from 2010 to 2018 and to explore influencing factors.Methods:China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance was conducted in 2010, 2013, and 2018, using a multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling method across all 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China. This study sampled 98 712 adults in 2010, 176 534 adults in 2013, and 184 876 adults in 2018, all aged ≥18 years, totaling 406 933 participants. Individuals with a TyG index > P75 were classified as having insulin resistance. The mean TyG index and the prevalence of insulin resistance were calculated for different years, sexes, age groups, provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), and subgroups for 2018. Linear and logistic regression models were used to test trends in means and rates over time, and multivariate logistic regression models were conducted to analyze potential factors associated with insulin resistance. All analyses were adjusted for complex sampling weights based on the study design. Results:From 2010 to 2018, the mean TyG index among Chinese adults increased from 8.44±0.63 to 8.70±0.64, with significant upward trends observed across different age groups, sexes, and urban-rural residencies (all P<0.001). The mean TyG index was higher among males, urban residents, and those aged 45-59. There were significant differences in the mean TyG indices and prevalence of insulin resistance across provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) (all P<0.05). Higher insulin resistance prevalence was independently associated with being male, aged ≥45 years, living in urban areas, excessive alcohol consumption, and insufficient physical activity (all P<0.05). Conclusions:From 2010 to 2018, the level of insulin resistance, as indicated by the TyG index, showed an increasing trend among Chinese adults. Males, individuals aged ≥45 years, urban residents, and individuals with unhealthy lifestyles such as excessive alcohol consumption or insufficient physical activity should be the focus of efforts to prevent and control metabolic diseases related to insulin resistance.
9.Application value of mycoplasma pneumoniae SAT detection in the diagnosis and treatment of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Yuanyuan WANG ; Yanmei CHANG ; Lijuan YU ; Shuping MENG
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(26):28-32
Objective To assess the application value of mycoplasma pneumonia(MP)real-time fluorescence of RNA simultaneous amplification and testing(SAT)and MP antibody(MP-Ab)in the diagnosis of MP pneumonia(MPP)in children.Methods A total of 242 children with community-acquired pneumonia hospitalized at Beijing Haidian Hospital from September 2023 to October 2024 were enrolled as subjects.The children were divided into MPP group(n=193)and non-MPP group(n=49)based on MPP diagnosis.All children underwent simultaneous MP-SAT testing and initial MP-Ab detection within 24h of admission.MP-SAT results were monitored until they turned negative,with retesting for MP-Ab on 5-7d post-hospitalization in negative cases.The study compared diagnostic accuracy between MP-SAT and MP-Ab methods,while analyzing correlations between MP-SAT negative conversion time and clinical cure duration.Results For children with disease duration ≤ 7 days,MP-SAT demonstrated higher sensitivity than MP-Ab,with statistically significant difference(P<0.001).The concordance between MP-SAT and initial MP-Ab test results was weak(Kappa=0.072),while the consistency between MP-SAT and follow-up MP-Ab test results was moderate(Kappa=0.614,P<0.00 1).Both the clinical cure time and SAT seroconversion time were shorter with doxycycline treatment compared to azithromycin therapy.Conclusion The results of MP-SAT can be used to evaluate the condition of MPP children and guide the timely discontinuation of antibiotics.
10.Allergens induce upregulated expressions of IL-18 and IL-18Rα in blood CD4+Th1 cells of patients with allergic asthma
Yanmei LIU ; Mengmeng ZHAN ; Siqin WANG ; Shihao LIU ; Feng WANG ; Junling WANG
Immunological Journal 2025;41(3):173-179
Objective To investigate the expressions of IL-18,IL-18 binding protein isoform a(IL-18BPa)and IL-18Rα in blood CD4+Th1 cells of patients with allergic asthma(AA),and with allergic rhinitis and asthma syndrome(ARA),and the effects of allergens on their expressions.Methods Blood samples were collected from patients with AA,ARA and healthy control(HC)subjects.Flow cytometry was used to evaluate the actions of allergens on the expressions of IL-18,IL-18BPa and IL-18Rα in CD4+Th1 cells.Ovalbumin(OVA)-induced AA mouse models were established,and the expression level of IL-18Rα along with the influence of IL-18 on its expression in blood and lung Th1 cells was also explored by flow cytometry.Results Compared with HC,we observed increased IL-18 while decreased IL-18BPa expression in blood Th1 cells of AA and ARA patients.Moreover,allergens upregulated the expression levels of IL-18,IL-18BPa and IL-18Rα in Th1 cells of patients with AA and ARA.Additionally,intratracheal challenge with OVA plus IL-18 increased the proportions of blood and lung Th1 cells of HC and AA mice,and upregulated IL-18Rα expression on blood and lung Th1 cells of HC mice.Conclusion Allergens may be involved in the pathogenesis of airway allergic diseases by inducing the expressions of IL-18 and IL-18Rα in CD4+Th1 cells.


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