1.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
2.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
3.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
4.Investigation of incidence of gathering and eating Trogia venenata among populations in communities affected by the Yunnan unexplained sudden death
Yanmei XI ; Xue TANG ; Lin MA ; Mengyao SUN ; Yongpeng YANG ; Yi DONG ; Mingfang QIN ; Yuebing WANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(1):90-95
Objective:This study investigated the awareness and consumption of Trogia venenata among populations in regions affected by Yunnan unexplained sudden death (YUSD). The findings aim to support etiological research on YUSD and contribute to the formulation of preventive measures against Trogia venenata poisoning. Methods:This study was a case-control study. From 2018 to 2021, surveys were conducted in 90 villages across 25 counties within YUSD-affected areas in Yunnan Province. Households with YUSD cases were designated as case households, whereas households without YUSD cases served as controls, ande were selected through convenience sampling at a 3:1 ratio. An enhanced questionnaire was designed to collect information on the consumption of Trogia venenata, and symptoms following consumption. Frequency data were presented as percentages, and group comparisons were conducted using χ 2 tests or Fisher’s exact tests. Results:A total of 711 questionnaires were collected (response rate: 100%), comprising 175 case households and 536 control households. Trogia venenata was present in 80.82% of the villages surveyed. Among the 711 households, 15.89% reported consuming Trogia venenata, primarily through stir-frying (53.10%), followed by boiling (29.20%), boiling and stir-frying (15.93%), and steaming (1.77%). Most households (94.69%) consumed fresh fruiting bodies, with 69.02% consuming them fewer than three times annually. The consumption rates were higher among the case households than among the control households. Of the 113 households with a history of Trogia venenata consumption, 35.40% reported symptoms such as nausea, vomiting, and limb soreness. The proportions of affected families in each group were compared according to their source, cooking method, fruiting body status and consumption frequency. The proportion of affected families with high consumption frequency (≥3 times/year) was higher than that with low consumption frequency (<3 times/year). Among 421 YUSD cases, 63 cases (14.96%) had a history of Trogia venenata consumption before death, with 43 cases showing symptoms within the longest known latency period (14 d) for poisoning by this mushroom. Conclusions:Trogia venenata is prevalent in 80.82% of YUSD-affected regions, with 16.67% of the population reporting its consumption, predominantly as fresh fruiting bodies prepared by stir-frying or boiling. Confirmed Trogia venenata consumption was identified in 14.96% of YUSD cases, suggesting that mushroom poisoning is a significant risk factor for YUSD. Ongoing health education and interventions are critical for mitigating the risk of Trogia venenata poisoning.
5.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.
6.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.
7.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.
8.Aortic stenosis of fetus caused by chimeric Y-chromosome isobaric double-adherent granules:A case report and literature review
Yulu QUAN ; Pingping ZHANG ; Yan LUO ; Jing HUO ; Xiaoping YU ; Yanmei SUN ; Yali LI
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2024;50(1):260-264
Objective:To confirm the potential etiological factors of congenital aortic stenosis(AS)by genetic analysis on prenatal diagnostic results of the fetus with AS.Methods:Amniocentesis for chromosomal G-band karyotyping combinated with single nucleotide polymorphism array(SNP-array)analysis was conducted on the amniotic fluid collected from a 25-week pregnant woman diagnosed as"fetus AS";chromosome karyotyping was also performed on the peripheral blood of the fetal parents.Results:The fetal karyotype analysis showed a chimeric Y-chromosome isobaric double-adherent granules.The SNP-array analysis results revealed a 11.2 Mb duplication in the Yp11.31q11.21 region and a 14.8 Mb deletion in the Yq11.21q11.23 region.Both the parents presented a normal karyotype,suggesting it was a newfound mutation.After extensive genetic counseling,the pregnant woman and her family chose to terminate the pregnancy locally.Conclusion:The chromosomal karyotype of the chimeric Y-chromosome isobaric double-adherent granules may be a contributing factor to the AS phenotype in the male fetus.The combined use of chromosomal karyotyping and SNP-array analysis on the amniotic cells is instrumental in the early diagnosis of the disease.
9.Trajectories and influencing factors of post-traumatic stress disorder in women with multiple in vitro fertilization embryo transfer failures
Yanhua SUN ; Jing ZHAO ; Yanmei HU ; Xia WANG ; Xiaohui SHENG ; Xiaoyue ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2024;40(2):129-136
Objective:To explore the potential categories of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) trajectories in women with multiple in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) failures, and to analyze the effects of different demographic characteristics and psychological factors on the potential categories of PTSD trajectories.Methods:This was a prospective empirical research, from May 2021 to October 2022, women with IVF-ET failure ≥ 2 times in the reproductive department of Shanghai First People′s Hospital from May 2021 to October 2022 were selected as the research objects. Post-traumatic stress disorder civilian version scale was used for 4 follow-ups at 3 d (T1), 10 d (T2), 20 d (T3) after the last transplantation failure and 3 d before the next transplantation cycle (T4). Telephone follow-up and online follow-up were combined to obtain the PTSD level at 4 time points. Potential categories of PTSD score trajectories at four time points were identified using a latent category growth model, and analyze influencing factors using unordered multi classification logistic analysis.Results:Totally 196 IVF-ET women were admitted, aged (29.42 ± 4.13) years. Three PTSD trajectories were fitted in this study, including 82 cases (42%) in non-PTSD group, 61 cases (31%) in mild PTSD group and 53 cases (27%) in elevated PTSD group. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, education level, fertility pressure and marital adjustment level were the predictors of PTSD trajectory in women with multiple IVF-ET failures. Compared with the non-PTSD group, women aged ≥35 years, with lower education level and marital adjustment level were more likely to enter the elevated PTSD group ( OR=4.570, 8.540, 0.949, all P<0.05). Women aged 35 years and with greater reproductive pressure were more likely to enter the mild PTSD group ( OR=3.871, 1.063, both P<0.05). Conclusions:There is group heterogeneity in the trajectories of PTSD in women with multiple IVF-ET failures in the next transplantation cycle. Old age, low education level, high fertility pressure and poor marital adjustment can predict the trajectories of PTSD. Fertility stress and marriage adjustment are changeable variables. Medical staff can relieve women′s fertility pressure through health education and mindfulness intervention, promote a good state of marriage adjustment, and minimize the adverse effects of PTSD on the next cycle of conception.
10.Analysis of electrocardiogram and echocardiography in key areas of unexplained sudden death in Yunnan Province
Ying LIU ; Yuebing WANG ; Yanmei XI ; Lin MA ; Xue TANG ; Mengyao SUN ; Yongpeng YANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(3):202-206
Objective:To understand the electrocardiogram and echocardiography examination results of population in key areas of unexplained sudden death in Yunnan Province (referred to as Yunnan sudden death).Methods:From 2014 to 2022, electrocardiogram examination was performed on population (including same incident cases, relatives of the cases, villagers of the affected villages, and control individuals) in key areas of Yunnan sudden death from May to October each year. Echocardiography examination was performed on relatives of the cases and villagers of the affected villages, and the types of electrocardiogram and echocardiography changes were sorted out and analyzed.Results:Electrocardiogram examination was conducted on 1 same incident case, 241 relatives of the cases, 464 villagers of the affected villages, and 99 control individuals, respectively. The types of electrocardiogram changes in the same incident case were Q-T interval prolongation and sinus tachycardia. A total of 17 types of electrocardiogram changes were detected in the relatives of the cases, mainly including sinus arrhythmia (12.45%, 30/241), sinus bradycardia (11.20%, 27/241), and left axis deviation (8.30%, 20/241). A total of 21 types of electrocardiogram changes were detected in the villagers of the affected villages, mainly including left axis deviation (9.48%, 44/464), sinus bradycardia (8.19%, 38/464), and T-wave abnormalities (7.76%, 36/464). A total of 10 types of electrocardiogram changes were detected in the control individuals, mainly including sinus arrhythmia (12.12%, 12/99), T-wave abnormalities (9.09%, 9/99), and sinus bradycardia (7.07%, 7/99). Echocardiography examination was conducted on 49 relatives of the cases and 365 villagers of the affected villages, respectively. A total of 12 types of echocardiography changes were detected in the relatives of the cases, mainly including tricuspid regurgitation (18.37%, 9/49), decreased right ventricular diastolic function (8.16%, 4/49), aortic regurgitation (6.12%, 3/49), and atrial septal defect (6.12%, 3/49). A total of 15 types of echocardiography changes were detected in the villagers of the affected villages, mainly including tricuspid regurgitation (8.77%, 32/365), aortic regurgitation (6.85%, 25/365), and decreased left ventricular diastolic function (6.58%, 24/365).Conclusion:There are many types of changes in electrocardiogram and echocardiography in the population of key areas of Yunnan sudden death.


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