1.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
2.Screening for refractive status in 4 989 children under 6 years old in Wuhan
Jiangwei WANG ; Maoxiong LIU ; Yanmei FANG ; Shuang LI
International Eye Science 2026;26(3):546-550
AIM:To investigate the visual development of children under 6 years old in Wuhan, and provide evidence-based support for the formulation and optimization of regional policies for children's eye health care.METHODS:Suresight refractive screener was applied to rapid refractive status examination in 4 989 preschool children under 6 years old in Wuhan City, with results determined according to the manufacturer's age-specific referral criteria. All screened pre-school children completed vision screening and comprehensive ophthalmic examination.RESULTS: A total of 4 989 children under 6 years old were screened out, including 2 641 males and 2 348 females. They were divided into 6 groups according to age: 426 aged from 6-month to 1-year-old, 903 aged >1 to 2 years old, 1 078 aged >2 to 3 years old, 442 aged >3 to 4 years old, 808 aged >4 to 5 years old, and 1 332 aged >5 to 6 years old. The abnormal rate in the 6-month to 1-year-old group was 44.60%, in the >1 to 2 years old group was 26.02%, in the >2 to 3 years old group was 15.58%, in the >3 to 4 years old group was 10.86%, in the >4 to 5 years old group was 21.91%, in the >5 to 6 years old group was 23.27%, and the total refractive abnormal rate for children aged 6 mo to 6 years old was 22.61%. The refractive abnormal rate generally showed a decreasing trend with increasing age(P<0.001); the refractive abnormal rate in boys aged 6-month to 6 years old was 12.33%, and in girls was 10.28%, with no statistically significant difference in the abnormal rate between boys and girls(P>0.05); among children aged 6-month to 6 years old, the abnormal rate of single-eye myopia was 0.98%, of single-eye hyperopia was 5.41%, of single-eye astigmatism was 9.92%, of binocular myopia was 0.98%, of binocular hyperopia was 2.79%, and of binocular astigmatism was 8.14%; the prevalence of astigmatism in children aged 6-month to 1-year-old was 40.38%, in those aged >1 to 2 years old was 19.82%, in those aged >2 to 3 years old was 12.34%, in those aged >3 to 4 years old was 9.05%, in those aged >4 to 5 years old was 18.81%, and in those aged >5 to 6 years old was 16.89%; the prevalence of astigmatism in children aged 6-month to 6 years old was 18.06%. The abnormal rate of astigmatism in the four age groups ranging from 6-month to 4 years old decreased continuously with age(P<0.001). There was no statistically significant difference in the abnormal rate of astigmatism between the >4 to 5 years old group and the >5 to 6 years old group(P>0.05).CONCLUSION:Refractive error has become a common eye disease among preschool children. Through early vision screening, establishing a systematic refractive management file, and early intervention, the best treatment period can be seized to avoid missing it and causing adverse consequences.
3.Study on the discrimination of roasting degree of Ziziphus jujuba based on the correlation of colorimetric values with component content
Yuan LI ; Yanmei LIU ; Cheng HUANG ; Tangyi PENG ; Yanquan HAN
China Pharmacy 2026;37(9):1148-1154
OBJECTIVE To investigate the correlation of component content with colorimetric values during the roasting process of Ziziphus jujuba , and to provide criteria for discriminating the roasting degree of Z. jujuba . METHODS Samples were prepared by dry stir-frying for different roasting times. The eight main components in raw Z. jujuba and the samples stir-fried for different roasting times-namely adenosine, magnoflorine, jujuboside A, spinosin, 6-feruloylspinosin, betulinic acid, oleic acid, and linoleic acid-were quantitativel y analyzed using ultra-performance liquid chromatography. The chromaticity values were determined using a UV spectrophotometer. The correlation and differences between the chromaticity values of Z. jujuba at different roasting times and their components content were analyzed by Pearson correlation analysis, linear regression analysis, principal component analysis (PCA) , cluster heatmap analysis (CHA), and partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) to clarify the processing endpoint. RESULTS As the roasting time increased, the contents of linoleic acid and oleic acid decreased, while the contents of other components exhibited an increasing trend. Concurrently, the colorimetric value L* and E*ab were observed to decline, whereas the a* value demonstrated a gradual increase. Pearson correlation analysis revealed that L* and E*ab exhibited a significant negative correlation with the contents of adenosine, spinosin, 6-feruloylspinosin, jujuboside A, betulinic acid and magnoflorine ( P <0.05). The results of linear regression analysis indicate that the content of six components, including adenosine, in the medicinal material can be preliminarily predicted by analyzing the colorimetric values of Z. jujuba powder. PCA and CHA successfully classified raw and stir-fried samples. The PLS-DA results indicated that L*, E*ab, a*, linoleic acid content, and oleic acid content were the main parameters that differentiated the color and quality of Z. jujuba at different roasting times. After frying for 9 to 10 minutes, the colorimetric values L* and E*ab decreased to their minimum values and stabilized, while a* remained consistently high with little variation;simultaneously, the concentrations of the six major components, excluding linoleic acid and oleic acid, reached their peak levels. CONCLUSIONS A significant correlation between the colorimetric values of Z. jujuba and the contents of six components, including adenosine, is confirmed. The optimal roasting time range is determined to be 9-10 minutes. Furthermore, the colorimetric value-component content correlation analysis method established in this study proved to be practical and applicable for discriminating the roasting degree of Z. jujuba .
4.A comparative analysis of radiation dose to adult patients from two types of computed tomography scanners at a hospital in Shanghai City, China
Yanmei WANG ; Song JIANG ; Yan LI
Chinese Journal of Radiological Health 2026;35(3):319-324
Objective To compare the radiation doses to adult patients from two types of computed tomography (CT) scanners at a hospital in Shanghai City, analyze the radiation dose to patients and impact factors, and provide data for reducing radiation dose in CT examinations. Methods Radiation parameters and radiation doses to adult patients from two types of CT scanners were investigated. Adult patients aged 15-<40 years and 40-70 years who underwent head, chest, abdomen, and lumbar spine CT examinations were randomly selected to collect their scanning data. Effective doses for different scanning regions and age groups were estimated using conversion formulas and compared. Results The CT scanning data of 160 adult patients from each type of CT scanners were collected. For scanner A, the 75th percentiles of volume CT dose index (CTDIvol) of the head, chest, abdomen, and lumbar spine were 45, 4, 7, and 6 mGy; the 75th percentiles of dose-length product (DLP) were 726, 143, 373, and 179 mGy·cm; the 75th percentiles of effective dose were 1.5, 2.0, 5.6, and 2.7 mSv. For scanner B, the 75th percentiles of CTDIvol of the head, chest, abdomen, and lumbar spine were 54, 6, 9, and 15 mGy; the 75th percentiles of DLP were 755, 215, 502, and 428 mGy·cm; the 75th percentiles of effective dose were 1.6, 3.0, 7.4, and 6.4 mSv. Conclusion The 75th percentiles of the CTDIvol and DLP of all scanning regions were lower than the diagnostic reference levels for both types of scanners. Except for head DLP, scanner A demonstrated significantly lower CTDIvol and DLP values than scanner B across all regions. The 75th percentiles of effective dose for head, chest, and abdomen examinations on both scanners did not exceed the corresponding values reported for patients in Hangzhou City.
5.A Large-Scale Observational Centralized Monitoring Study on the Clinical Use and Safety of Traditional Chinese Medicine Formula Granules
Chengfeng WU ; Yaqin TANG ; Dan LI ; Jiabao LIAO ; Kaiwei HUANG ; Yanmei WU ; Zhongqi YANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(20):2187-2194
ObjectiveTo evaluate the safety and clinical utilization of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) formula granules based on real-world data, and to provide evidence for their rational clinical use. MethodsA multicenter, prospective, open-label, observational centralized monitoring study was conducted. Participants who received TCM formula granules in 293 medical institutions throughout China from February 5th, 2020 to May 20th, 2025 were consecutively enrolled. The year of data collection was used as the stratification factor. Demographic characteristics (including sex, age, and concomitant medication use), information on TCM formula granule use (including mean prescribed dosage and inappropriate use), and adverse event(AE)/adverse drug reaction(ADR) occurrence and related factors were collected and statistically analyzed. ResultsA total of 42 011 participants were included in the safety set (SS), with a mean age of (38.34±22.30) years, including 18 693 males and 23 318 females. Among them, 3519 participants (8.38%) had a history of or concomitant diseases. The three most common comorbidities were hypertension (1189 cases, 33.79%), diabetes mellitus (850 cases, 24.15%), and coronary heart disease (471 cases, 13.38%). The top three diagnostic categories were respiratory, thoracic, and mediastinal diseases (7008 cases, 16.68%), infectious and parasitic diseases (6591 cases, 15.69%), and gastrointestinal diseases (4580 cases, 10.90%).Among 41 961 participants with available concomitant medication data, 3332(7.94%) received concomitant medications, and western medicines were the most commonly used concomitant medications (2819 cases, 6.72%). The mean prescribed dosage of TCM formula granules (expressed as the equivalent dosage of crude herbal pieces) was (158.23±104.86) g in 2020, (131.70±65.84) g in 2021, (130.62±59.96) g in 2022, (86.74±50.61) g in 2023, (118.59±52.01) g in 2024, and (134.38±49.43) g in 2025. The five most frequently prescribed toxic herbs were Kuxingren (Semen Armeniacae Amarum, 2746 cases, 6.54%), Xixin (Radix et Rhizoma Asari, 2193 cases, 5.22%), processed Kuxingren (862 cases, 2.05%), Baiqucai (Herba Chelidonii, 747 cases, 1.78%), and Wuzhuyu (Fructus Evodiae, 645 cases, 1.54%). Prescriptions involving incompatible combinations of the "eighteen antagonisms" and the "nineteen mutual inhibitions" were most frequently observed in 2020 (54 cases, 0.503%), and then decreased markedly, remaining at zero or an extremely low level thereafter. The overall incidence of adverse drug reactions (ADRs) associated with TCM formula granules was 0.057% (24 cases), indicating a rare occurrence. The annual incidence was 0.028% (3 cases) in 2020, 0 in both 2021 and 2022, 0.065% (5 cases) in 2023, 0.158% (15 cases) in 2024, and 0.226% (1 case) in 2025. Among the 24 patients who experienced ADRs, 15 had inappropriate medication use.Five of the 24 patients used toxic herbs, and all five had inappropriate medication. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that no history of drug-related adverse reactions [OR=0.053, 95%CI(0.006, 0.465)] and no concomitant medication [OR=0.315, 95%CI(0.109, 0.911)] were associated with a lower risk of ADRs. ConclusionTCM formula granules are widely used in clinical practice and exhibit a favorable overall safety. Greater attention should be paid to people with a history of drug-related adverse reactions and those receiving concomitant medications to further improve medication safety.
6.Analysis of status and associated factors of wasting among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi, 2021-2025
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(9):1246-1251
Objective:
To analyze the status of wasting among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi from 2021 to 2025, to explore the factors associated with wasting, so as to provide scientific evidence for improving student s nutrition.
Methods:
Based on the National Surveillance and Intervention Program on Common Diseases and Health Risk Factors among Students, a stratified cluster random sampling was adopted from 2021 to 2025 to recruit 71 077, 236 511, 243 466, 249 619 and 246 259 primary and secondary school students in Guangxi for physical examination and questionnaire survey. The χ 2 test was used for intergroup comparisons. Chi-square trend test was used to conduct trend analysis. Multilevel Logistic regression model was employed to identify factors associated with wasting.
Results:
The overall wasting detection rate was 11.65% during 2021-2025. Over the five year period, the rate exhibited a S shaped fluctuation pattern characterized by "decline-rise-decline" and the difference across years was statistically significant ( χ 2=230.53, P <0.05). Multilevel Logistic regression analysis showed that male students ( OR = 1.63 ), primary school students ( OR =1.53) and junior high school students ( OR =1.12), boarding students ( OR =1.08), and students with adequate sleep duration ( OR =1.12) were positively correlated with the risk of wasting (all P <0.05). Students who consumed sugar sweetened beverages ≥1 time/day ( OR =0.93), ate fresh fruit ≥1 time/day ( OR =0.95), had moderate to vigorous physical activity for more than 60 minutes per day ( OR =0.88), and had moderate to vigorous physical activity for more than 60 minutes per day on more than half of weekend days ( OR =0.88) were negatively correlated with the risk of wasting (all P <0.05).
Conclusions
Wasting status among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi improved between 2021 and 2025, though fluctuations persisted. Greater attention should be paid to the nutritional status of male students and boarding students. While cultivating balanced dietary habits and appropriate exercise behaviors, the complex relationship between sleep and malnutrition should also be given due consideration.
7.Impact of sarcopenia on short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure and the predictive gain of combining traditional scoring systems
Tingji WANG ; Jing SUN ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Liping ZHAO ; Yuting YUN ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(9):2154-2161
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between sarcopenia and short-term prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to assess the value of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD combined with serum sodium concentration (MELD-Na), MELD 3.0, and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH)-ACLF Ⅱ score in predicting the 90-day prognosis of ACLF patients, and to analyze the predictive gain of sarcopenia over traditional prognostic scoring models. MethodsA retrospective study was conducted among 219 patients with ACLF who were hospitalized in The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University, No. 2 Hospital of Hohhot, Hohhot First Hospital, and Inner Mongolia People’s Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024. L3 skeletal muscle index (L3-SMI) was measured and calculated based on abdominal computed tomography images, and sarcopenia was diagnosed based on L3-SMI. According to 90-day prognosis, the patients with ACLF were divided into survival group with 124 patients and death group with 95 patients. The chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups; the independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups. The multivariate Cox regression analysis (stepwise backward approach) was used to identify independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in ACLF patients. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive performance of each model, and the DeLong test, bootstrap internal validation, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess the predictive gain of sarcopenia. ResultsThe multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that presence of sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR]=3.385, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.722 — 6.657, P<0.05), older age (HR=1.036, 95%CI: 1.017 — 1.056, P<0.05), elevated alkaline phosphatase (HR=1.006, 95%CI: 1.004 — 1.009, P<0.05), elevated total bilirubin (HR=1.003, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.005, P<0.05), elevated potassium (HR=1.581, 95%CI: 1.160 — 2.155, P<0.05), elevated serum creatinine (HR=1.015, 95%CI: 1.007 — 1.024, P<0.05), and prolonged prothrombin time (HR=1.035, 95%CI: 1.015 — 1.055, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in ACLF patients, while elevated albumin (HR=0.885, 95%CI: 0.837 — 0.935, P<0.05) was an independent protective factor against 90-day mortality. MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.569, 0.570, 0.632, and 0.659, respectively, for predicting the 90-day prognosis of ACLF patients, suggesting that these scores had unsatisfactory performance; after they were respectively combined with sarcopenia, the AUC was increased to 0.702, 0.687, 0.723, and 0.728, respectively. The DeLong test, NRI, and IDI analyses showed the combined models had significantly better predictive performance (all P<0.05). ConclusionSarcopenia is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Traditional scoring models have limited predictive performance for 90-day prognosis in ACLF patients, and the combination with sarcopenia significantly improves predictive value, suggesting that sarcopenia can be used as an important supplementary indicator for prognostic evaluation of ACLF in clinical practice.
8.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
9.Study on effect of andrographolide for inhibiting proliferation of colon cancer cells by up-regulating BMP9
Shiyu WANG ; Xiaoli ZHOU ; Yanmei LI ; Baicheng HE ; Jun SHEN ; Zhenhua CHEN
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(1):24-30
Objective To study the related molecular mechanism of andrographolide(AGP)in inhibi-ting the proliferation of human colon cancer LoVo cells and promoting their apoptosis.Methods The LoVo cells were set up as the control group and experimental group.The cells were treated with different concentra-tions of AGP(0,20,40,80 μmol/L).The cell viability was detected by CCK-8,the cellular cycle and apoptosis were detected by flow cytometery,and Western blot was used to detect protein level of PCNA,Bad and Bcl-2,and the effect of AGP of BMP9 overexpression or silencing AGP on PCNA,Bad and Bcl-2 protein levels;West-ern blot was used to analyze the effect of AGP on PTEN,Akt1/2/3 and p-Akt1/2/3 levels.Results AGP could inhibit the proliferation of LoVo cells,promoted their apoptosis and increased the BMP9 expression lev-el.The BMP9 overexpression could enhance the effect of AGP for inhibiting the proliferation and promoting the apoptosis,silencing BMP9 could weaken the above effects of AGP(P<0.05).AGP decreased the expres-sion level of p-Akt1/2/3 in the LoVo cells and increased the PTEN expression level(P<0.05).BMP9 over-expression enhanced AGP and decreased the p-Akt 1/2/3 expression level in the LoVo cells,and silencing BMP9 could weaken the above effects of AGP(P<0.05).Conclusion AGP could inhibit the proliferation of human colon cancer LoVo cells,its mechanism may be related with up-regulating BMP9 expression,thus in-crease PTEN protein level and inhibit P13K/Akt signal.
10.Development and validation of a risk prediction model for sleep disorders in patients with chronic heart failure
Yanmei GAN ; Gaoye LI ; Tingting LIAO ; Hua LU ; Lixia CHEN ; Qini PAN ; Yao DU
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(3):597-605,611
Objective To analyze risk factors for sleep disorders in patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods Using simple random sampling,306 hospital-ized CHF patients meeting inclusion criteria were enrolled from four Grade A tertiary hospitals in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region(two in Nanning,one each in Yulin and Guilin)between March 2023 and March 2024.LASSO regression analysis was initially employed for variable screening,followed by logistic regression to identify predictive variables for constructing the nomogram model.Model validation and performance evalua-tion were conducted using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration curves,and clinical decision curves,with internal validation performed through Bootstrap resampling(1 000 iterations).Results The incidence of sleep disorders among the 306 patients was 57.5%(176/306).Logistic regression analysis identified eight independent risk factors for sleep disorders in CHF patients(P<0.05):age,education level,monthly house-hold income per capita,NYHA cardiac function classification,number of comorbidities,triglyceride levels,ano-rexia,and anxiety.The model demonstrated good discrimination for the AUC of 0.91(95%CI:0.77-0.88)and calibration consistency.Conclusion The prediction model established in this study shows good predictive performance,serving as a valuable reference for healthcare providers to early identify sleep disorders and im-plement preventive care strategies in patients with CHF.


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