1.The incidence trend and age-period-cohort analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis in Yecheng County, Xinjiang from 2011 to 2022
Zhifei Chen ; Yimamu Maiwulajiang ; Kerimu Munire ; Liping Zhang ; Yanling Zheng
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(2):326-331
Objective:
To analyze the trend of the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Yecheng County of Xinjiang from 2011 to 2022 and the influence of age, period and birth cohort effect on the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis, so as to provide a new theoretical reference for the prevention and control of local pulmonary tuberculosis.
Methods :
Based on the registration data of new pulmonary tuberculosis cases in Yecheng County, Xinjiang from 2011 to 2022, the connection point regression model was used to calculate the crude incidence rate, age-standardized incidence rate, annual percentage change(APC), and average annual percentage change(AAPC) to describe the epidemic trend of pulmonary tuberculosis. The age-period-cohort model was used to explore the influence of age, period and birth cohort effect on the trend of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence.
Results :
From 2011 to 2022, a total of 17 057 new cases of pulmonary tuberculosis were registered in Yecheng County, Xinjiang. The crude incidence and standardized incidence were 416.07/100 000 and 496.01/100 000, respectively. The incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis increased first and then decreased during the 12 years, with an upward trend from 2011 to 2018. The APC values of the standardized incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in the total population, males and females were 24.42%(95%CI: 11.55-38.78), 27.24%(95%CI: 12.35-44.10) and 21.79%(95%CI: 9.81-35.09), respectively. From 2018 to 2022, there was a downward trend. The APC values of the standardized incidence of tuberculosis in the total population, males and females were-38.51%(95%CI:-53.27--19.09),-38.18%(95%CI:-54.59--15.85) and-38.73%(95%CI:-52.96--20.19), respectively. With the increase of age, the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis showed a trend of rising first and then fluctuating steadily. The risk of the population increased first and then decreased over time, and the later the birth, the lower the risk of the cohort.
Conclusion
The incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Yecheng County of Xinjiang showed a trend of increasing first and then decreasing in the past 12 years, and gradually increased with age. The earlier the birth, the higher the risk of the disease. Men and the elderly are the key targets of tuberculosis prevention and control in Yecheng County, Xinjiang. It is recommended to strengthen the screening of key populations.
2.Discriminant analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis patients and pneumonia patients based on machine learning
Minli Chang ; Shuping You ; Xiaodie Chen ; Zhifei Chen ; Yanling Zheng
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(3):507-514
Objective :
To explore the feasibility of machine learning methods in the discrimination of tuberculosis patients.
Methods :
The data of 15 observation indicators of 860 patients were obtained from a tertiary hospital. Through in-depth mining and analysis of the data, support vector machine, random forest and neural network model methods were used to discriminate the diseases of patients.
Results :
The accuracies of the TB suspected patient discrimination models based on support vector machine, random forest and neural network were 90%, 91% and 88%, respectively.
Conclusion
All three machine learning methods can be used for discriminative analysis of suspected tuberculosis patients. In comparison, random forest performs better in discriminating patients with tuberculosis from those with pneumonia.
3.Spatial and temporal epidemiological characteristics of tuberculosis in Shache county, Kashgar region, 2019—2021
Xiaodie Chen ; Yimamu Maiwulajiang ; Minli Chang ; Lining Zhang ; Yanling Zheng
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(5):937-944
Objective:
To investigate the characteristics of temporal and spatial distribution of tuberculosis epidemics in Shache County, Kashgar Region, Xinjiang.
Methods:
Information on the incidence of tuberculosis in Sacha County from 2019—2021 was collected and spatiotemporally analyzed by applying the circular distribution method, local spatial autocorrelation analysis, hot and cold spot analysis, directional distribution and spatial center of gravity methods.
Results :
The total number of tuberculosis cases in Shache County in 2019—2021 was 8 345, of which 52.03%were male and 47.97% were female, and the patients were predominantly 60-75 years old. The number of reported incidences of TB in Tagarqi Township, Shache Township, and Chajek Township ranked among the top three in the county. Spring and summer were the disease-prone seasons for TB, and mid-March to mid-July was the period of high disease incidence. Misha Township and Ishkuli Township are the “high and high” gathering areas, while the “low and low” gathering areas are mainly concentrated in Khoshrav Township and Karasu Township. The hotspots of TB incidence in Shache county were Tagarqi township, Misha township, and Ishkuli township. During the study period, the center of gravity of TB incidence in Shache county of Kashgar area gradually shifted from the southwest to the northeast.
Conclusion
In Shache county, there is a certain degree of aggregation of tuberculosis outbreaks, with more men than women reporting illnesses, a larger proportion of older people, and a strong seasonal incidence of the disease, with Mixia township and Ishikuli township being the key areas of incidence. Relevant departments should continue to strengthen the disease surveillance of key populations and regions during the high incidence of tuberculosis, and take appropriate intervention measures to reduce the risk of tuberculosis transmission.
4.Reflection on the Elderly Discrimination in the Allocation of Scarce Medical Resources from the Age Restriction Phenomenon in ICU of a Certain Country
Jingwen ZHENG ; Yanling CHEN ; Zihan DAI ; Yuling WU ; Linhai CHU ; Wanlin ZHOU
Chinese Medical Ethics 2024;35(1):78-83
In March 2020, the outflow of age limited videos from ICU in Spain inspired us to rethink whether there is age discrimination in the allocation of scarce medical resources. This paper frist reflected on the problem of age discrimination caused by this phenomenon from four moral intuitions: the sacred view of life, the quality of life and values, public health ethics and Chinese culture, and then examined whether it is illegal from the legal level, finally pointed out the negative impact on the society, and put forward that taking age as the standard for the allocation of scarce medical resources is not suitable for China’s national conditions.
5.Construction of air quality health index for respiratory diseases in Urumqi
Yu SHI ; Di WU ; YILIPA YILIHAMU ; Yanling ZHENG ; Liping ZHANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(3):276-281
Background Air quality health index (AQHI) is derived from exposure-response coefficients calculated from air pollution and morbidity/mortality time series, which helps to understand the overall short-term health impacts of air pollution. Objective To study the effects of common air pollutants on respiratory diseases in Urumqi and to develop an AQHI for the risk of respiratory diseases in the city. Methods The daily outpatient volume data of respiratory diseases from The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, meteorological data (daily mean temperature and daily mean relative humidity), and air pollutants [fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon dioxide (CO), and ozone (O3)] in Urumqi City, Xinjiang, China were collected from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2021. A distributed lag nonlinear model based on quasi-Poisson distribution was constructed by time-stratified case crossover design. Adopting zero concentration of air pollutants as reference, the exposure-response coefficient (β value) was used to quantify the impact of included air pollutants on the risk of seeking medical treatment for respiratory diseases, and the AQHI was established. The association of between AQHI and the incidence of respiratory diseases and between air quality index (AQI) and the incidence of respiratory diseases was compared to evaluate the prediction effect of AQHI. Results Each 10 µg·m−3 increase in PM10, SO2, NO2, and O3 concentrations presented the highest excess risk of seeking outpatient services at 3 d cumulative lag (Lag03) and 2d cumulative lag (Lag02), with increased risks of morbidity of 0.687% (95%CI: 0.101%, 1.276%), 17.609% (95%CI: 3.253%, 33.961%), 13.344% (95%CI: 8.619%, 18.275%), and 4.921% (95%CI: 1.401%, 8.502%), respectively. There was no statistically significant PM2.5 or CO lag effect. An AQHI was constructed based on a model containing PM10, SO2, NO2, and O3, and the results showed that the excess risk of respiratory disease consultation for the whole population, different genders, ages, or seasons for each inter-quartile range increase in the AQHI was higher than the corresponding value of AQI. Conclusion PM10, SO2, NO2, and O3 impact the number of outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Urumqi, and the constructed AQHI for the risk of respiratory diseases in Urumqi outperforms the AQI in predicting the effect of air pollution on respiratory health.
6.Iodine nutritional status of population before and after system reform of salt industry in Gansu Province
Yugui DOU ; Yanling WANG ; Yongqin CAO ; Wei SUN ; Xiaoyan CHEN ; Jing ZHENG ; Xiaonan ZHU ; Xiulan FEI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(2):71-74
Objective To understand the impact of system reform of salt industry on iodine nutrition of people in Gansu Province, and to provide a scientific basis for policy adjustment of relevant departments. Methods The investigation period (2014-2021) was divided into two sub-periods: before system reform of salt industry (2014-2016) and after system reform of salt industry (2017-2021). Thirty counties were selected according to the method of “population proportional probability sampling (PPS)” in 2014. According to the iodine deficiency disease monitoring program of Gansu Province, from 2016 to 2021, children aged 8-10 years and pregnant women were taken as research objects to collect urine samples for urine iodine detection. Children in 2014 and 2018 were selected to measure thyroid volume. Results A total of 90 989 children urine iodine samples were investigated, and the median urinary iodine (MUI) of children was 194.70µg/L; 7 663 and 83,326 children's urinary iodine samples were investigated in the two periods, the MUI was 180.73 µg/L and 196.00 µg/L, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). A total of 44 741 pregnant women's urinary iodine samples were investigated, and the MUI of pregnant women was 176.50 µg/L; 4 480 and 40 261 pregnant women's urinary iodine samples were investigated in the two periods, the MUI was 160.61 µg/L and 178.10 µg/L, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). The thyroid volume of 1 555 children and 8 509 children was investigated in the two periods, the median thyroid volume was 2.70 mL and 2.55 mL , respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). The rates of goiter in children were 3.15% and 1.26%, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). Conclusion The iodine nutrition of people in Gansu Province has not fluctuated significantly after the reform of salt industry system and has maintained an appropriate level. It is necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of insufficient iodine nutrition level and thyroid health of key populations such as children and pregnant women and strengthen health education of scientific iodine supplementation.
7.Effects of meteorological factors and air pollutants on hospitalization volume of ischemic heart disease in Urumqi City
Di WU ; Chenchen WANG ; Yaoqin LU ; Cheng LI ; Yu SHI ; YILIPA YILIHAMU ; Yanling ZHENG ; Liping ZHANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(10):1115-1123
Background The effects of meteorological factors and air pollutants on ischemic heart disease (IHD) hospitalizations in Urumqi have not been fully understood. Objective To investigate the effects of meteorological conditions (temperature, relative humidity) and common air pollutants [fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO)] on the daily hospitalization volume of IHD, and to provide a scientific basis for the development of targeted prevention and management strategies. Methods Basic information of
8.Spatial and temporal distribution of tuberculosis in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2010 to 2022
Feifei Li ; Peiyao Zhou ; Yaoqin Lu ; Yanling Zheng ; Liping Zhang
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(12):2176-2182
Objective:
To analyze the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in Xinjiang, and to provide reference for the prevention and control of pulmonary tuberculosis.
Methods:
The reported incidence numbers of tuberculosis and population data from various counties, cities(prefectures), and districts in Xinjiang from 2010 to 2022 were collected. Based on spatial-temporal scan statistics, standard deviational ellipse analysis, and centroid migration models, the clustering and migration trends of tuberculosis incidence were evaluated. Utilizing Kriging interpolation techniques, an interpolation analysis of the 2022 incidence rate was conducted on an annual scale, with the reported incidence rate in 2018 serving as a temporal control, to identify hotspots of the spatio-temporal distribution. ArcGIS software was employed to visualize the continuous spatial trends of incidence rate changes.
Results:
The annual reported incidence rate of tuberculosis in Xinjiang from 2010 to 2022 varied year by year, with fluctuations and increases prior to 2018, peaking in 2018, and then declining annually thereafter. The spatial distribution of the incidence rate exhibited a trend of initial clustering followed by diffusion, with the centroid of incidence shifting towards the northeast, yet the epicenter of the epidemic remained in Aksu Prefecture. The results of spatiotemporal scan statistics analysis revealed that the three-level aggregated areas of the epidemic encompassed a total of 41 prefectures, counties, and cities, with the tuberculosis incidence risk in the primary and secondary aggregated areas being significantly higher than that in other regions(P<0.01). The Kriging interpolation prediction map suggested that the four prefectures in southern Xinjiang continued to be high-risk regions for tuberculosis(incidence rate>300/100 000). The overall incidence rate in the northern region was relatively low, with the lowest rate observed in Urumqi, radiating outwards.
Conclusion
The incidence rate of tuberculosis in Xinjiang shows an upward trend before 2018, followed by a year-on-year decrease. The centroid of the incidence rate shifts towards the northeast. From 2010 to 2022, the tuberculosis epidemic in Xinjiang exhibits a notable spatiotemporal clustering, particularly prominent in the southwestern region, where the four prefectures constitute high-risk areas for tuberculosis. The prevention and control efforts of tuberculosis in Xinjiang should prioritize the regions with high tuberculosis incidence, intensifying prevention and control measures as well as policy support.
9.A survey on the intelligence status of children born during iodine deficiency disorders intervention period in rural areas of Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Gansu Province
Aiwei HE ; Limei YIN ; Yanling WANG ; Qinglin LI ; Xiaonan ZHU ; Xiulan FEI ; Jing ZHENG ; Yongqin CAO
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(3):229-232
Objective:To investigate the intelligence status of children aged 10 - 12 in rural areas of Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture (referred to as Linxia) in Gansu Province.Methods:From September to November 2019, a cross-sectional study was carried out to investigate the intelligence status of children aged 10 to 12 in 8 counties (cities) of Linxia. Chinese Raven's Progressive Matrices (rural version) was used for intelligence test and children's intelligence quotient (IQ) was calculated by regular mold to evaluate children's intelligence level.Results:A total of 1 721 children in Linxia were tested for intelligence, with an average IQ of 103.2. Among them, low intelligence (≤69) accounted for 1.0% (18/1 721), borderline (70 - 79) accounted for 3.0% (52/1 721), middle and lower (80 - 89) accounted for 8.4% (144/1 721), moderate (90 - 109) accounted for 56.6% (974/1 721), middle and upper (110 - 119) accounted for 21.9% (377/1 721), excellent (120 - 129) accounted for 7.8% (135/1 721), extremely excellent (≥130) accounted for 1.2% (21/1 721). There were 635, 598 and 488 children aged 10, 11 and 12, respectively, with an average IQ of 106.1, 103.3 and 99.2. There were 919 males and 802 females, with an average IQ of 102.9 and 103.4, respectively.Conclusion:In 2019, the intelligence of children aged 10 to 12 in rural areas of Linxia has reached the moderate level.
10.Seminoma characterized by thickening of the pituitary stalk:A case report
Bing PENG ; Xingtian WANG ; Yuhuan DENG ; Yu LIAN ; Yanling ZHENG ; Jianren KUANG ; Jinyu QIAN ; Jie LIANG ; Yanlin ZHANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2024;49(6):863-869
Intracranial seminoma is a rare malignant tumor originating from the germ cells,usually occurring in the pineal gland or pituitary gland.In June 2020,the Department of Endocrinology at the First Affiliated Hospital of Army Military Medical University admitted a 20-year-old male patient with an intracranial germ cell tumor and spinal metastases.The patient presented with headache,dizziness,and visual impairment.Enhanced magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)of the head indicated thickening of the pituitary stalk.After multidisciplinary consultation,the patient underwent endonasal transsphenoidal resection of the tumor,with the pathological diagnosis confirming germ cell tumor.The patient received regular radiotherapy postoperatively.One year later,the tumor recurred and metastasized,leading to a second surgery for tumor resection in the thoracic spinal canal,followed by continued chemotherapy.The patient's clinical symptoms,such as headache and visual disturbances,improved,but he continued to experience panhypopituitarism and required long-term hormone replacement therapy.Early diagnosis of intracranial germ cell tumors is challenging,and they are prone to metastasis and highly sensitive to radiotherapy and chemotherapy.Early diagnosis and multidisciplinary comprehensive treatment can help improve the quality of life and prognosis for patients.


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