1.The influencing factors of prognosis in critically ill patients and the predictive value of CALLY index
Pu LI ; Ting YE ; Yangmei MEI ; Yujie WANG ; Wenting WU ; Zhipeng HU
Clinical Medicine of China 2025;41(6):446-451
Objective:To investigate the factors influencing the prognosis of critically ill patients and the predictive value of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 122 critically ill patients admitted to Guoyao Dongfeng General Hospital affiliated with Hubei University of Medicine from June 2022 to December 2023. Patients were divided into a death group and a survival group based on their 28-day prognosis. Clinical data were compared between the two groups to analyze the factors influencing prognosis and assess the predictive value of various indicators. Normally distributed measurement data were expressed as Mean±SD, and intergroup comparisons were performed by independent samples t-test; non-normally distributed measurement data were expressed as M( Q1,Q3), and intergroup comparisons were performed by the Mann-Whitney U test. Counting data were expressed as case (%), and intergroup comparisons were performed by the χ2 test. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze factors influencing patient prognosis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the predictive value of each indicator. Results:The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score, blood lactate, CRP, and B-type natriuretic peptide levels in the death group were higher than those in the survival group [22 (17, 30) points vs. 17 (14, 22) points, (4.8±1.4) mmol/L vs. (3.3±1.0) mmol/L, 134 (83, 2 381) mg/L vs. 13 (10, 27) mg/L, 259 (111, 592) ng/L vs. 108 (40, 247) ng/L; Z=3.04, P=0.002; t=5.79, P<0.001; Z=8.57, P<0.001; Z=3.28, P=0.001, respectively]. Albumin, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count (LYC), and the CALLY index were lower in the death group than in the survival group [(31±5) g/L vs. (37±6) g/L, (58±9)×10 9/L vs. (63±10)×10 9/L, 0.6 (0.4, 0.8)×10 9/L vs. 1.3 (0.8, 1.7)×10 9/L, 0.03 (0.02, 0.11) vs. 0.26 (0.13, 0.49); t=6.05, P<0.001; t=3.04, P=0.003; Z=5.82, P<0.001; Z=6.52, P<0.001, respectively]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the APACHE Ⅱ score and CRP were risk factors for poor prognosis in critically ill patients ( OR=1.349, 95% CI: 1.004-1.821, P=0.048; OR=1.006, 95% CI: 1.003-1.010, P=0.001, respectively), while LYC and the CALLY index were protective factors ( OR=0.297, 95% CI: 0.111-0.795, P=0.016; OR=0.989, 95% CI: 0.955-0.999, P=0.001, respectively). The area under the ROC curve for the CALLY index predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients was 0.872 (95% CI: 0.800-0.926), which was higher than that of the APACHE Ⅱ score, LYC, and CRP [0.673 (95% CI: 0.582-0.756), 0.664 (95% CI: 0.573-0.748), 0.576 (95% CI: 0.482-0.665), respectively]. The cut-off values were 0.06, 20 points, 0.8×10 9/L, and 50 mg/L, respectively. When the CALLY index was 0.06, the specificity was 97.65%, the sensitivity was 72.97%, and the Youden index was 0.706. Conclusions:The APACHE Ⅱ score, CRP, LYC, and CALLY index are all factors influencing the prognosis of critically ill patients. The CALLY index has certain predictive value, but its false negative rate is relatively high. Further combination with other indicators is needed to improve its predictive value.
2.The influencing factors of prognosis in critically ill patients and the predictive value of CALLY index
Pu LI ; Ting YE ; Yangmei MEI ; Yujie WANG ; Wenting WU ; Zhipeng HU
Clinical Medicine of China 2025;41(6):446-451
Objective:To investigate the factors influencing the prognosis of critically ill patients and the predictive value of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 122 critically ill patients admitted to Guoyao Dongfeng General Hospital affiliated with Hubei University of Medicine from June 2022 to December 2023. Patients were divided into a death group and a survival group based on their 28-day prognosis. Clinical data were compared between the two groups to analyze the factors influencing prognosis and assess the predictive value of various indicators. Normally distributed measurement data were expressed as Mean±SD, and intergroup comparisons were performed by independent samples t-test; non-normally distributed measurement data were expressed as M( Q1,Q3), and intergroup comparisons were performed by the Mann-Whitney U test. Counting data were expressed as case (%), and intergroup comparisons were performed by the χ2 test. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze factors influencing patient prognosis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the predictive value of each indicator. Results:The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score, blood lactate, CRP, and B-type natriuretic peptide levels in the death group were higher than those in the survival group [22 (17, 30) points vs. 17 (14, 22) points, (4.8±1.4) mmol/L vs. (3.3±1.0) mmol/L, 134 (83, 2 381) mg/L vs. 13 (10, 27) mg/L, 259 (111, 592) ng/L vs. 108 (40, 247) ng/L; Z=3.04, P=0.002; t=5.79, P<0.001; Z=8.57, P<0.001; Z=3.28, P=0.001, respectively]. Albumin, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count (LYC), and the CALLY index were lower in the death group than in the survival group [(31±5) g/L vs. (37±6) g/L, (58±9)×10 9/L vs. (63±10)×10 9/L, 0.6 (0.4, 0.8)×10 9/L vs. 1.3 (0.8, 1.7)×10 9/L, 0.03 (0.02, 0.11) vs. 0.26 (0.13, 0.49); t=6.05, P<0.001; t=3.04, P=0.003; Z=5.82, P<0.001; Z=6.52, P<0.001, respectively]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the APACHE Ⅱ score and CRP were risk factors for poor prognosis in critically ill patients ( OR=1.349, 95% CI: 1.004-1.821, P=0.048; OR=1.006, 95% CI: 1.003-1.010, P=0.001, respectively), while LYC and the CALLY index were protective factors ( OR=0.297, 95% CI: 0.111-0.795, P=0.016; OR=0.989, 95% CI: 0.955-0.999, P=0.001, respectively). The area under the ROC curve for the CALLY index predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients was 0.872 (95% CI: 0.800-0.926), which was higher than that of the APACHE Ⅱ score, LYC, and CRP [0.673 (95% CI: 0.582-0.756), 0.664 (95% CI: 0.573-0.748), 0.576 (95% CI: 0.482-0.665), respectively]. The cut-off values were 0.06, 20 points, 0.8×10 9/L, and 50 mg/L, respectively. When the CALLY index was 0.06, the specificity was 97.65%, the sensitivity was 72.97%, and the Youden index was 0.706. Conclusions:The APACHE Ⅱ score, CRP, LYC, and CALLY index are all factors influencing the prognosis of critically ill patients. The CALLY index has certain predictive value, but its false negative rate is relatively high. Further combination with other indicators is needed to improve its predictive value.
3.Prognostic evaluating value of serum tenascin-X level in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
Zhipeng HU ; Yangmei MEI ; Ting YE ; Pu LI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2023;46(7):645-650
Objective:To explore the prognostic evaluating value of serum tenascin-X in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).Methods:The clinical data of 121 patients with STEMI in the Affiliated Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine from August 2017 to August 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The clinical data were collected, the serum tenascin-X level was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The patients were followed up for 3 years, the major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were identified as endpoint events. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of serum tenascin-X for MACE in patients with STEMI. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn, the rates of non-MACE survival in patients with different serum tenascin-X levels were analyzed by log-rank method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of MACE in patients with STEMI.Results:Until the end of follow-up, among 121 patients with STEMI, 42 cases (34.7%) developed MACE (MACE group), and 79 cases had not MACE (non-MACE group). The left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the MACE group was significantly lower than that in the non-MACE group: (47.14 ± 6.70)% vs. (52.67 ± 4.41)%, the C-reactive protein (CRP), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and tenascin-X were significantly higher than those in non-MACE group: (27.92 ± 8.06) mg/L vs. (8.77 ± 3.49) mg/L, (918.31 ± 315.47) μg/L vs. (220.47 ± 108.37) μg/L, (214.73 ± 80.46) μg/L vs. (81.35 ± 28.96) μg/L and (110.67 ± 42.55) μg/L vs. (65.21 ± 28.06) μg/L, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01). ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of serum tenascin-X to predict the MACE in patients with STEMI was 0.806 (95% CI 0.724 to 0.872), and the optimal cut-off was 93.25 μg/L, the sensitivity was 69.0%, the specificity was 86.1%. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis result showed that the rate of non-MACE in 80 patients with low serum tenascin-X level (<93.25 μg/L) was significantly higher than that in 41 patients with high serum tenascin-X level (≥93.25 μg/L): 83.8% vs. 29.3%, and there was statistical difference ( χ2 = 42.47, P<0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis result showed that the CRP, BNP and tenascin-X were the independent risk factors of MACE in patients with STEMI ( HR = 1.092, 1.001 and 1.018; 95% CI 1.051 to 1.135, 1.000 to 1.002 and 1.008 to 1.027; P<0.01 or <0.05). Conclusions:The significant increase in serum tendon protein X levels in patients with STEMI has predictive value for the MACE, and it is an independent predictor of MACE within 3 years.

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