1.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
2.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
3.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
4.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
5.The Association of CHADS-P2A2RC Risk Score With Clinical Outcomes in Patients Taking P2Y12 Inhibitor Monotherapy After 3 Months of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
Pil Sang SONG ; Seok-Woo SEONG ; Ji-Yeon KIM ; Soo Yeon AN ; Mi Joo KIM ; Kye Taek AHN ; Seon-Ah JIN ; Jin-Ok JEONG ; Jeong Hoon YANG ; Joo-Yong HAHN ; Hyeon-Cheol GWON ; Woo Jin JANG ; Hyuck Jun YOON ; Jang-Whan BAE ; Woong Gil CHOI ; Young Bin SONG
Korean Circulation Journal 2024;54(4):189-200
Background and Objectives:
Concerns remain that early aspirin cessation may be associated with potential harm in subsets at high risk of ischemic events. This study aimed to assess the effects of P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy after 3-month dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) vs.prolonged DAPT (12-month or longer) based on the ischemic risk stratification, the CHADSP2A2RC, after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Methods:
This was a sub-study of the SMART-CHOICE trial. The effect of the randomized antiplatelet strategies was assessed across 3 CHADS-P2A2RC risk score categories. The primary outcome was a major adverse cardiac and cerebral event (MACCE), a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke.
Results:
Up to 3 years, the high CHADS-P2A2RC risk score group had the highest incidence of MACCE (105 [12.1%], adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.927; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.358–6.309; p=0.006) followed by moderate-risk (40 [1.4%], adjusted HR, 1.786; 95% CI, 0.868–3.674; p=0.115) and low-risk (9 [0.5%], reference). In secondary analyses, P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy reduced the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding without increasing the risk of MACCE as compared with prolonged DAPT across the 3 CHADS-P2A2RC risk strata without significant interaction term (interaction p for MACCE=0.705 and interaction p for BARC types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding=0.055).
Conclusions
The CHADS-P2A2RC risk score is valuable in discriminating high-ischemicrisk patients. Even in such patients with a high risk of ischemic events, P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy was associated with a lower incidence of bleeding without increased risk of ischemic events compared with prolonged DAPT.
6.Severe Liver Dysfunction after Donor Lymphocyte Infusion for Relapsed Multiple Myeloma
Tae-Hoon NO ; Nae-Yun HEO ; Seung Ha PARK ; Joon Hyuk CHOI ; Junghwan LEE ; Sung Nam LIM ; Seon Yang PARK
The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology 2024;83(3):123-126
Donor lymphocyte infusion (DLI) is performed to augment an anti-tumor immune response or ensure donor stem cells remain engrafted following allogeneic stem cell transplantation but may induce graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) involving skin, intestine, and liver. Although hepatic involvement of GVHD can manifest as mild to severe hepatitis, few reports have mentioned acute severe liver dysfunction with encephalopathy. We experienced a case of acute severe liver dysfunction with semicoma after DLI in a patient with relapsed multiple myeloma following allogeneic stem cell transplantation, in whom chronic viral hepatitis B had been suppressed by antiviral treatment. The patient recovered after high-dose glucocorticoid administration based on an assessment of hepatic GVHD.Clinicians should be aware of the possibility of this catastrophic hepatic complication after DLI in hematologic disorders.
7.Learning Curve of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Formation for Junior Vascular Surgeons
Mun Chae CHOI ; Seung Hyuk YIM ; Seong Wook SHIN ; Seok Jeong YANG ; Deok-Gie KIM ; Seon-Hee HEO ; Soo Jin KIM
Vascular Specialist International 2024;40(4):37-
Purpose:
Autologous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are considered the gold standard for hemodialysis access, with outcomes largely dependent on the surgeon’s experience. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted on the learning curve of junior vascular surgeons in AVF creation. This study aims to address this by examining the development of surgical skills among junior vascular surgeons.
Materials and Methods:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 100 patients who underwent autologous AVF procedures performed by five junior surgeons between January 2018 and December 2023. To establish the cutoff number of cases for the learning curve, we examined the cubic spline curve using the hazard ratio for primary failure.
Results:
The cutoff number for operation cases was 15.33, and we divided the analysis into a pre-learning curve period (≤15 cases of AVF) and a post-learning curve period (>15 cases of AVF). The 1-year primary patency rate for AVF during the post-learning curve period was 84.0%, which was higher than the 65.5% rate observed during the pre-learning curve period. In a subgroup analysis based on AVF type, the radiocephalic fistula patient group demonstrated a significant increase in 1-year primary patency in the post-learning curve period compared to that in the pre-learning curve period (80.0% vs. 43.0%, log-rank P=0.033). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the primary patency rates between the post- and pre-learning curve periods in the brachiocephalic fistula patient group (90.0% vs. 89.2%, log-rank P=0.930).
Conclusion
Junior vascular surgeons demonstrated improved primary AVF patency beyond the learning curve benchmark in 15 patients, with particularly notable enhancements in radiocephalic fistulas.
8.Learning Curve of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Formation for Junior Vascular Surgeons
Mun Chae CHOI ; Seung Hyuk YIM ; Seong Wook SHIN ; Seok Jeong YANG ; Deok-Gie KIM ; Seon-Hee HEO ; Soo Jin KIM
Vascular Specialist International 2024;40(4):37-
Purpose:
Autologous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are considered the gold standard for hemodialysis access, with outcomes largely dependent on the surgeon’s experience. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted on the learning curve of junior vascular surgeons in AVF creation. This study aims to address this by examining the development of surgical skills among junior vascular surgeons.
Materials and Methods:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 100 patients who underwent autologous AVF procedures performed by five junior surgeons between January 2018 and December 2023. To establish the cutoff number of cases for the learning curve, we examined the cubic spline curve using the hazard ratio for primary failure.
Results:
The cutoff number for operation cases was 15.33, and we divided the analysis into a pre-learning curve period (≤15 cases of AVF) and a post-learning curve period (>15 cases of AVF). The 1-year primary patency rate for AVF during the post-learning curve period was 84.0%, which was higher than the 65.5% rate observed during the pre-learning curve period. In a subgroup analysis based on AVF type, the radiocephalic fistula patient group demonstrated a significant increase in 1-year primary patency in the post-learning curve period compared to that in the pre-learning curve period (80.0% vs. 43.0%, log-rank P=0.033). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the primary patency rates between the post- and pre-learning curve periods in the brachiocephalic fistula patient group (90.0% vs. 89.2%, log-rank P=0.930).
Conclusion
Junior vascular surgeons demonstrated improved primary AVF patency beyond the learning curve benchmark in 15 patients, with particularly notable enhancements in radiocephalic fistulas.
9.Learning Curve of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Formation for Junior Vascular Surgeons
Mun Chae CHOI ; Seung Hyuk YIM ; Seong Wook SHIN ; Seok Jeong YANG ; Deok-Gie KIM ; Seon-Hee HEO ; Soo Jin KIM
Vascular Specialist International 2024;40(4):37-
Purpose:
Autologous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are considered the gold standard for hemodialysis access, with outcomes largely dependent on the surgeon’s experience. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted on the learning curve of junior vascular surgeons in AVF creation. This study aims to address this by examining the development of surgical skills among junior vascular surgeons.
Materials and Methods:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 100 patients who underwent autologous AVF procedures performed by five junior surgeons between January 2018 and December 2023. To establish the cutoff number of cases for the learning curve, we examined the cubic spline curve using the hazard ratio for primary failure.
Results:
The cutoff number for operation cases was 15.33, and we divided the analysis into a pre-learning curve period (≤15 cases of AVF) and a post-learning curve period (>15 cases of AVF). The 1-year primary patency rate for AVF during the post-learning curve period was 84.0%, which was higher than the 65.5% rate observed during the pre-learning curve period. In a subgroup analysis based on AVF type, the radiocephalic fistula patient group demonstrated a significant increase in 1-year primary patency in the post-learning curve period compared to that in the pre-learning curve period (80.0% vs. 43.0%, log-rank P=0.033). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the primary patency rates between the post- and pre-learning curve periods in the brachiocephalic fistula patient group (90.0% vs. 89.2%, log-rank P=0.930).
Conclusion
Junior vascular surgeons demonstrated improved primary AVF patency beyond the learning curve benchmark in 15 patients, with particularly notable enhancements in radiocephalic fistulas.
10.Learning Curve of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Formation for Junior Vascular Surgeons
Mun Chae CHOI ; Seung Hyuk YIM ; Seong Wook SHIN ; Seok Jeong YANG ; Deok-Gie KIM ; Seon-Hee HEO ; Soo Jin KIM
Vascular Specialist International 2024;40(4):37-
Purpose:
Autologous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are considered the gold standard for hemodialysis access, with outcomes largely dependent on the surgeon’s experience. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted on the learning curve of junior vascular surgeons in AVF creation. This study aims to address this by examining the development of surgical skills among junior vascular surgeons.
Materials and Methods:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 100 patients who underwent autologous AVF procedures performed by five junior surgeons between January 2018 and December 2023. To establish the cutoff number of cases for the learning curve, we examined the cubic spline curve using the hazard ratio for primary failure.
Results:
The cutoff number for operation cases was 15.33, and we divided the analysis into a pre-learning curve period (≤15 cases of AVF) and a post-learning curve period (>15 cases of AVF). The 1-year primary patency rate for AVF during the post-learning curve period was 84.0%, which was higher than the 65.5% rate observed during the pre-learning curve period. In a subgroup analysis based on AVF type, the radiocephalic fistula patient group demonstrated a significant increase in 1-year primary patency in the post-learning curve period compared to that in the pre-learning curve period (80.0% vs. 43.0%, log-rank P=0.033). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the primary patency rates between the post- and pre-learning curve periods in the brachiocephalic fistula patient group (90.0% vs. 89.2%, log-rank P=0.930).
Conclusion
Junior vascular surgeons demonstrated improved primary AVF patency beyond the learning curve benchmark in 15 patients, with particularly notable enhancements in radiocephalic fistulas.

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