1.Establishment of a nomogram prediction model for poor prognosis of acute pancreatitis based on inflammatory factors, lung ultrasound, and CT scores
Xia REN ; Ye YE ; Luojie LIU ; Xiaodan XU ; Yan ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(4):713-721
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) by analyzing inflammatory factors, lung ultrasound (LUS) scores, and CT scores, to establish a nomogram prediction model, and to provide a basis for early clinical intervention. MethodsA total of 409 patients with AP who were admitted to Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University from January 2021 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and they were divided into modeling group with 288 patients and validation group with 121 patients using the simple random sampling method at a ratio of 7∶3. According to the prognosis, each group was further divided into poor prognosis group and good prognosis group. The levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-10 (IL-10), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) were measured for both groups within 72 hours after admission, and LUS scores, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), and extrapancreatic inflammation on computed tomography (EPIC) scores were assessed within 48 — 72 hours after admission. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A LASSO regression analysis was used to screen for the variables that were included in the multivariate logistic regression model to identify the independent risk factors for the poor prognosis of AP, and then a nomogram prediction model was established. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the calibration curve were used to assess the discriminatory ability and goodness of fit of the nomogram model, and a decision curve analysis was used to assess the clinical applicability of the model. ResultsAmong the 288 patients with AP in the modeling group, there were 33 (11.46%) in the poor prognosis group and 255 (88.54%) in the good prognosis group; among the 121 patients with AP in the validation group, there were 13 (10.74%) in the poor prognosis group and 108 (89.26%) in the good prognosis group. Compared with the good prognosis group, the poor prognosis group had significantly higher levels of CRP (Z=3.607, P<0.05), IL-6 (Z=4.189, P<0.05), and TNF-α (t=2.584, P<0.05), and significantly higher scores of LUS (t=8.075, P<0.05), MCTSI (t=5.929, P<0.05), and EPIC (t=8.626, P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CRP (odds ratio [OR]=3.592, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.272 — 10.138, P<0.05), IL-6 (OR=4.225, 95%CI: 1.468 — 12.156, P<0.05), TNF-α (OR=3.540, 95%CI: 1.205 — 10.401, P<0.05), LUS (OR=7.094, 95%CI: 2.398 — 20.986, P<0.05), MCTSI (OR=7.612, 95%CI: 2.832 — 20.462, P<0.05), and EPIC (OR=11.915, 95%CI: 4.007 — 35.432, P<0.05) were independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients with AP. A nomogram prediction model was established based on the above 6 indicators, which had an area under the ROC curve of 0.924 (95%CI: 0.883 — 0.964), and the Youden index for the optimal cut-off value was 0.670, with a sensitivity of 0.909 and a specificity of 0.761. The calibration curve showed good consistency between the predicted and observed results in both the modeling group and the validation group. The decision curve analysis showed that the predictive model had certain clinical effectiveness. ConclusionThe nomogram model for predicting the risk of poor prognosis in AP patients based on CRP, IL-6, TNF-α, LUS score, MCTSI score, and EPIC score has relatively good predictive performance and can provide important strategic guidance for developing early intensified treatment regimens for AP patients in clinical practice.
2.A Case Report of Pachydermoperiostosis by Multidisciplinary Diagnosis and Treatment
Jie ZHANG ; Yan ZHANG ; Li HUO ; Ke LYU ; Tao WANG ; Ze'nan XIA ; Xiao LONG ; Kexin XU ; Nan WU ; Bo YANG ; Weibo XIA ; Rongrong HU ; Limeng CHEN ; Ji LI ; Xia HONG ; Yan ZHANG ; Yagang ZUO
JOURNAL OF RARE DISEASES 2025;4(1):75-82
A 20-year-old male patient presented to the Department of Dermatology of Peking Union Medical College Hospital with complaints of an 8-year history of facial scarring, swelling of the lower limbs, and a 4-year history of scalp thickening. Physical examination showed thickening furrowing wrinkling of the skin on the face and behind the ears, ciliary body hirsutism, blepharoptosis, and cutis verticis gyrate. Both lower limbs were swollen, especially the knees and ankles. The skin of the palms and soles of the feet was keratinized and thickened. Laboratory examination using bone and joint X-ray showed periostosis of the proximal middle phalanges and metacarpals of both hands, distal ulna and radius, tibia and fibula, distal femurs, and metatarsals.Genetic testing revealed two variants in
3.Disease burden of chronic kidney disease attributable to high BMI in China and trend prediction in 1992-2021
Hong LIU ; Guimao YANG ; Yan SUI ; Xia ZHANG ; Xuebing CHENG ; Yaxing WU ; Xu GUO ; Yanfeng REN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(1):27-31
Objective To analyze the disease burden of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) attributed to high body mass index (BMI) in China from 1992 to 2021 and predict the disease burden for the next decade, and to provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of CKD. Methods Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database and the Joinpoint model, the average annual percentage rate change (AAPC) of the mortality rate and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate was calculated to describe and analyze the CKD disease burden attributed to high BMI in China from 1992 to 2021. The ARIMA model was employed to predict and analyze the change trend of the CKD disease burden. Results From 1992 to 2021, the mortality rate and DALY rate attributed to high BMI-induced chronic kidney disease showed an upward trend. Compared to 1992, the attributed number of deaths increased by 324.38%, and DALYs increased by 268.56%; the mortality rate increased by 64.00%, and the DALY rate grew by 51.62%. From 1992 to 2021, the mortality rate and DALY rate for males were lower than those for females, but the growth rate for males exceeded that of females. From 1992 to 2021, the mortality rate and DALY rate of chronic kidney disease attributed to high BMI in China increased with age. The average annual change rate of chronic kidney disease attributed to high BMI in China from 1992 to 2021 (mortality rate: 1.40 per 100,000 (95% CI: 1.04–1.76), DALY rate: 1.43 per 100 000 (95% CI: 1.17–1.70)) was higher than thHuaiyin Normal University, Huai'anher social demographic index (SDI) regions. The ARIMA model predicted that the age-standardized mortality rate increased from 2.91 per 100 000 in 2022 to 3.05 per 100 000 in 2026, and the age-standardized DALY rate increased from 69.65 per 100 000 in 2022 to 73.58 per 100 000 in 2026. Conclusion Chronic kidney disease attributed to high BMI in China is on the rise, and it will continue to grow in the future. The focus of CKD prevention and control should be on males and the elderly, while active measures should be taken to reduce the occurrence and progression of chronic kidney disease.
4.Research progress on application of immune checkpoint inhibitors in neoadjuvant treatment of melanoma
Du XIAOYU ; Ma JIANGUO ; Xia RENJIE ; Yao WEIQING ; Xu WEI ; Ou SIYI ; Wang DONGSHAN ; Miao BAIWEN ; Song LEI ; Yan LONG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(2):86-91
As the application of immune checkpoint inhibitors(ICIs)in the perioperative treatment of melanoma is increasingly introduced at earlier stages,it presents a critical opportunity for the development and clinical translation of neoadjuvant therapy.The results of phaseⅠ/Ⅱ clinical trials on neoadjuvant ICI therapy for melanoma demonstrate that neoadjuvant ICIs effectively improve the pathologic re-sponse rate in melanoma patients.Recent studies have shown that combining ICIs with other treatment modalities,including radiotherapy,chemotherapy,and targeted therapies,can enhance antitumor efficacy of neoadjuvant treatment for patients with melanoma.Optimizing treatment regimens,managing adverse events,identifying and addressing pseudoprogression,and handling cases of oligoprogression have become key areas of research in incorporating ICI regimens into neoadjuvant treatment for patients with melanoma.The search for bio-markers to monitor immunotherapy efficacy is expected to become a major focus of future research.This article provides a review of the re-search progress,controversies,and challenges in the application of ICIs in the neoadjuvant treatment of melanoma,and discusses future re-search directions,aiming to offer insights into the clinical application and development of ICIs in melanoma neoadjuvant therapy.
5.Characteristics of ketosis and its effect on lactation performance of dairy cows in large-scale pastures
Hongyu WANG ; Yan XING ; Feng TIAN ; Yunlong BAI ; Cheng XIA ; Chuang XU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(7):1502-1507
The purpose of this study was to clarify the incidence of ketosis in dairy cows in large-scale dairy farms and the effect of ketosis on the subsequent lactation performance of dairy cows.In this experiment,79 perinatal cows in 8 stages of prenatal 21,14,7 days,delivery day,postpartum 3,7,14,21 days were selected to determine the blood biochemical indexes such as BHB,GLU,NE-FA and ALT in their blood.According to the concentration of BHB in the blood,they were divided into healthy group(CON),subclinical ketosis group(SCK)and clinical ketosis group(CK).There was a disorder of mineral elements in dairy cows in the experimental ranch,and the liver function of dairy cows was abnormal,and there was a disorder of energy metabolism.The incidence of keto-sis in dairy cows in the survey pasture was 26.14%,of which the incidence of SCK was 19.32%,and the incidence of CK was 6.82%,which was comparable to the global average incidence and lower than the average incidence in China.Compared with CON cows,SCK and CK cows had energy metabolism disorders and abnormal liver function,and CK cows were more serious.The milk yield of dairy cows with ketosis decreased significantly.The milk fat rate of dairy cows in SCK group was higher than that in CON group,while the milk fat rate of dairy cows in CK group was significantly lower than that in CON group.The fat-to-egg ratio of dairy cows in CK group was sig-nificantly lower than that in SCK group and CON group.The changes of lactation performance in different types of ketosis at 6 months after ketosis were different,and the lactation performance of dairy cows in CON group was the most stable.In the production of pastures,timely and effective treatment and management are essential for restoring the health and milk production performance of dairy cows.Ketosis can lead to disorder of energy metabolism and abnormal liver function in dairy cows,reduce milk yield,and have a continuous effect on lactation performance of dairy cows.Maintaining the health of dairy cows is the key to improving milk production and maintaining sta-ble lactation performance.For different types of ketosis cows,corresponding management and treatment measures should be taken to reduce economic losses.
6.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
7.The Role of Liver Function Characteristics in Preeclampsia Disease Pheno-types Based on Cluster Analysis and Its Pregnancy Complications
Yanhong XU ; Jiaying ZHENG ; Chengcheng JIN ; Xingyi QI ; Xia XU ; Jianying YAN
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;41(9):760-764
Objective:To identify different subtypes of patients with preeclampsia(PE)through clinical liver function index data-driven the cluster analysis,to explore the correlation between liver function of different sub-types and pregnancy complications.Methods:From January 2012 to December 2022,the general data of 2230 sin-gleton pregnant women with PE who underwent prenatal examination and delivered in Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital were collected.Using 13 liver function indexes before delivery as baseline variables,all included subjects were classified into subtypes by cluster method.The clinical characteristics of different subtypes of PE patients were compared.Single-factor Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk of pregnancy complications among subtypes.Results:PE patients were divided into 3 subgroups that represented different characteristics of patients' liver function.The first subtype(n=1065)exhibited abnormal liver enzymology index characterized by in-creased alkaline phosphatase(ALP)level.The second subtype(n=648)showed abnormal bilirubin metabolism index with the highest levels of total bilirubin(TBIL),direct(DBIL)and indirect bilirubin(IBIL).The third subtype(n=517)had abnormal liver enzymology indexes with elevated alanine aminotransferase(ALT)and aspartate aminotransferase(AST)levels,abnormal bile acid detection indexes with elevated total bile acid(TBA)levels,and abnormal liver synthesis function indexes with decreased total protein(TP),albumin(ALB),and globulin lev-els(GLB).Significant differences were observed among the three subtypes in age,severe PE,anemia,cardiac dysfunction,and renal dysfunction(P<0.05).Single-factor Logistic regression demonstrated that the third sub-type had significantly higher risks of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy,fetal growth restriction,premature rup-ture of membranes,and preterm birth compared to the first and second subtypes(P<0.05),as well as a higher risk of placental abruption than the second subtype(P<0.05).The first subtype had higher risks of placental ab-ruption and fetal growth restriction than the second subtype(P<0.05).Conclusions:Cluster analysis could be used to subclassify PE patients by liver function characteristics,so as to identify the occurrence of pregnancy complications.The results had significance for understanding the heterogeneity of PE and promoting individualized management.
8.Development and application of pilot hypoxia endurance testing system
Lin-xia LI ; Guo-yun MAO ; Ming-rui HU ; Jia-ling XU ; Yao-xuan JI ; Na ZHI ; Yan-qing BAI ; Yun-ying WANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(10):23-28
Objective To develop a hypoxia endurance testing system for aviation physiological training of pilots.Methods The hypoxia endurance testing system comprised a low-oxygen mixed gas generator,a pressurization system for low-oxygen mixed gas and a personal breathing apparatus.The low-oxygen mixed gas generator consisted of a main unit composed of an air compressor,a filter,a buffer tank,polymer membrane,a control module,sensors and regulators,wire cables,supporting hoses,etc.;the pressurization system for low-oxygen mixed gas was made up of a protective box,a cooling fan,a motor and a driver,a control module,a solenoid valve,a convergence block,a pressure gauge,etc.;the personal breating apparatus was composed of a gas cylinder,a pressure reducer,an oxygen supply regulator,etc.Forty-eight subjects were selected for hypoxia exposure tests to verify the effectiveness of the system.Results The system developed had the functions of low-oxygen gas preparation,pressurized filling and hypoxia experiment,and the experimental results indicated the acute hypoxia exposure by the system significantly caused signs and symptoms of hypoxia and weakened physiological functions.Conclusion The system developed gains advantages in high accuracy of gas volume fraction control,safety and remarkable effect of simulated hypoxia,and can be an effective tool for acute high-altitude hypoxia testing and training of pilots.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(10):23-28]
9.Subchronic systemic toxicity of disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets
Qiu-jin QU ; Ling-xiao SUN ; Xiao-fei WANG ; Fu-yu ZHU ; Guo-xi CHE ; Jing XU ; Xiao-yan WANG ; Nai-shui HAN ; Xiao-xia SUN ; Chun-xia QIAO
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(10):29-35
Objective To evaluate the subchronic systemic toxicity of disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets using hydroxyethyl starch(HES)130/0.4 sodium chloride injection as an extraction medium.Methods Firstly,40 Sprague Dawley(SD)rats including 20 male and 20 female ones were seleted and randomly enrolled into a sample group and a control group by sex,with 20 ones in each group.Secondly,instead of plasma HES 130/0.4 sodium chloride injection was used to leach disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets to prepare the test solution by simulating clinical application such as lighting,adsorption and filtration and storage.Finally,the test solution and HES 130/0.4 sodium chloride injection were injected into the tail vein of the SD rats at a dose of 20 mL/kg for 28 d in the sample group and in the control group respectively,and the subchronic systemic toxicity of disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets and the feasibility of using HES 130/0.4 sodium chloride injection as the extraction medium to assess their subchronic systemic toxicity were evaluated with clinical observation,body mass monitoring,clinical pathology examination,gross necropsy and histopathology examination.Results The sample group and control group had no significant differences in mortality rates,clinical observation results,body mass,gross necropsy results,hematological and coagulation examination results and organ weight(all P>0.05);blood biochemical examinations showed the male rats in the sample group had the cholesterol(CHO)values higher while the creatinine(CR)values lower than those in the control group,with the differences being statistically significant(both P<0.05)and the two indexes within the range of the laboratory's historical reference data,and other blood biochemical indexes were not significantly different(all P>0.05);the sample group had the spleen weight-to-body mass ratios of the female rates lower significantly than those in the control group(P<0.05),and the ratios of other organ weight to body mass had significant differences(all P>0.05);histopathology examination showed slight pathological changes in liver,spleen and kidney of female rats and in spleen and kidney of male rats in the sample group,and the female and male rats in the control group had similar pathological changes found in the sample group,which might be caused by HES metabolites.Conclusion Disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets prove to have no significant subchronic systemic toxicity,and its feasible to use HES 130/0.4 sodium chloride injection as the extraction medium to evaluate the subchronic systemic toxicity of disposable plasma virus-inactivated blood transfusion sets.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(10):29-35]
10.Monitoring of birth defects and analysis of correlation factors in assisted reproductive technology in Jiangxi Province
Leizhen XIA ; Yan ZHAO ; Qiongfang WU ; Xingwu WU ; Jialyu HUANG ; Zhihui HUANG ; Dingfei XU ; Lifeng TIAN
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(3):267-276
Objective:To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and trends of birth defects related to assisted reproductive technology (ART) in Jiangxi Province from 2014 to 2023, and to explore the correlation factors of birth defect occurrence.Methods:A retrospective collection of ART treatment data and follow-up results from January 2014 to December 2023 across 18 reproductive centers in Jiangxi Province was conducted. The trend of birth defects and the rank order of defect types were analyzed. Exact probability methods were used to estimate the 95% confidence intervals ( CI) of the incidence rates, and Poisson regression was applied to identify independent correlation factors. Results:A total of 65 003 ART offspring were included in this study, comprising 2 025 offspring from intrauterine insemination (IUI) and 62 978 from in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET). The overall incidence of birth defects was 13.46‰ (95% CI: 12.59‰-14.38‰), with 9.38‰ (95% CI: 5.66‰-14.61‰) for IUI and 13.59‰ (95% CI:12.70‰-14.53‰) for IVF-ET. The incidence of birth defects showed a decreasing trend from 2014 to 2023 (17.11‰ to 11.47‰, Ptrend=0.003). The top three birth defect types were circulatory system defects (3.71‰, 95% CI: 3.25‰-4.21‰), musculoskeletal system defects (2.37‰, 95% CI: 2.01‰-2.77‰), and congenital malformations of the face, ears, eyes, and neck (1.23‰, 95% CI: 0.98‰-1.53‰). Univariate analysis indicated that male offspring from IVF-ET had a higher incidence of birth defects than that in female offspring (14.72‰ vs. 12.31‰, P=0.009). Additionally, gestational age, birth weight, fetal number, cause of infertility, and year of delivery were significantly associated with birth defect incidence in IVF-ET offspring ( P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, P=0.025, P=0.037). Multivariate analysis showed that in singleton pregnancies, male offspring, gestational age 32-36 weeks birth weight <1 500 g, and infertility with bilateral factors were independent risk factors for birth defects ( OR=1.21, 95% CI: 1.00-1.47, P=0.046; OR=1.90,95% CI: 1.41-2.56, P<0.001; OR=3.37, 95% CI: 1.33-8.51, P=0.010; OR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.12-1.69, P=0.003), while in multiple pregnancies, male offspring, gestational age <32 weeks, gestational age 32-36 weeks, birth weight <1 500 g, birth weight 1 500-2 499 g, maternal age 25-29 years and maternal age 30-34 years were independent risk factors ( OR=1.25, 95% CI: 1.03-1.52, P=0.023; OR=2.06, 95% CI: 1.35-3.15, P=0.001; OR=1.32,95% CI: 1.05-1.66, P=0.016; OR=1.98,95% CI: 1.19-3.28, P=0.009; OR=2.06,95% CI: 1.64-2.60, P<0.001; OR=2.00, 95% CI: 1.31-3.06, P=0.001; OR=1.90,95% CI: 1.24-2.92, P=0.003). Conclusion:Over the past 10 years, the incidence of birth defects in ART offspring in Jiangxi Province has shown a decreasing trend annually, with circulatory system malformations being the most common. The occurrence of birth defects in IVF offspring is primarily associated with maternal and infant characteristics, such as gender, gestational age, birth weight, number of fetuses, and cause of infertility, independent of ART treatment factors.


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