1.Construction and validation of a medication deviation prediction model for hospital-to-home transition period in coronary heart disease patients with initial treatment
Yushuang LI ; Shu LI ; Qianying ZHANG ; Yan HUANG ; Kun LIU ; Xiulin GU ; Huanhuan JIANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(4):491-496
OBJECTIVE To develope a predictive model for medication deviation risks during the hospital-to-home transition period in coronary heart disease (CHD) patients with initial treatment, aiming to assist medical staff in rapidly identifying high-risk groups for medication deviation. METHODS A total of 462 CHD patients with initial treatment from the Affiliated Hospital of North China University of Science and Technology (hereinafter referred to as “our hospital”) between January and July 2024 were enrolled. The patients were randomly divided into a modeling group and an internal validation group. The modeling group was further categorized into a medication deviation group and a non-medication deviation group based on whether medication deviations occurred. Similarly, 57 CHD patients with initial treatment from the cardiology department of our hospital between June and September 2025 were collected as an external validation group. Univariate analysis was used to screen predictive factors, followed by multivariate Logistic regression to construct the predictive model. Internal validation methods were employed to evaluate model performance, while external validation methods were used to test the model’s generalizability. RESULTS The 462 patients were divided into a modeling group (319 cases) and an internal validation group (143 cases). In the modeling group, the medication deviation group (192 cases, 60.19%) and the non-medication deviation group (127 cases, 39.81%) were identified. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that age, medication type, medication adherence, and self-efficacy in rational medication use were predictive factors for medication deviations in CHD patients with initial treatment ( P <0.05). The predictive model equation was logit P =ln[ P /(1- P ) ] =1.321+1.732×age+4.091×medication type -4.360×medication adherence -3.081×self-efficacy in rational medication use. The model demonstrated good discrimination, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test P -value of 0.439, an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.870, sensitivity of 0.970, and specificity of 0.607. A risk nomogram with a total score of 350 points and a cutoff value of 110 points was plotted. The internal validation group showed an AUC o f 0.787 and a prediction accuracy of 77.6%, while the external validation group exhibited an AUC of 0.802 and a prediction accuracy of 73.7%. CONCLUSIONS This study successfully developed a predictive model for medication deviation risks during the hospital-to-home transition period in CHD patients with initial treatment. The model demonstrates excellent discrimination and predictive accuracy, effectively identifying high-risk populations for medication deviations. Age (>70 years), number of drug types≥5, poor medication adherence, and poor self-efficacy in rational medication use are independent risk factors for medication deviations.
2.Predictive modle for violence risk in hospitalized schizophrenia patients based on support vector machine
Huan LIU ; Peifang SHI ; Kun ZHANG ; Li KANG ; Yan ZHANG ; Long NA ; Binhong WANG ; Meiqing HE
Sichuan Mental Health 2026;39(1):27-35
BackgroundThe violent aggressive behaviors of patients with schizophrenia usually have the characteristics of suddenness, unpredictability, high severity, and great difficulty in prevention. Early identification and accurate assessment of their risk of violent aggression have significant clinical significance. ObjectiveTo construct a predictive model for the violence risk in hospitalized patients with schizophrenia, to identify the key factors influencing the occurrence of violent behavior in these patients, so as to provide references for clinical precise quantitative assessment and early intervention. MethodsA total of 200 patients with schizophrenia who were hospitalized at Taiyuan Psychiatric Hospital from March 2022 to September 2024 and met the diagnostic criteria of the International Classification of Diseases, eleventh edition (ICD-11) were collected to form the modeling cohort. They were randomly divided into a training set (n=140) and a test set (n=60) at a ratio of 7∶3. Based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm, the feature variables were screened and dimension-reduced. The support vector machine (SVM) from machine learning was selected for model training and prediction. The discrimination efficacy of the model was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, F1 value, and Brier value. ResultsLASSO regression screening identified 16 feature variables. Pearson correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation between prior violent behavior frequency and clinical psychiatric symptom scores (r=0.580, P<0.01), a positive correlation between hospitalization compliance and current disease status (r=0.550, P=0.003), and a positive correlation between educational level and family per capita monthly income (r=0.367, P<0.01). The SVM model achieved an AUC of 0.853, accuracy of 0.800, precision of 0.810, sensitivity of 0.895, specificity of 0.636, F1 value of 0.850, and Brier value of 0.168. ConclusionThe SVM model has a relatively high level of applicability and overall predictive performance in the assessment of violent risk in schizophrenia patients, which is helpful for the early identification of violent risks in such patients. [Funded by Specialized Research Project for Enhancing the Competence of Health Professionals in Taiyuan City (number, Y2023006)]
3.Yanghe Xiaonang Decoction (阳和消囊汤) for the Treatment of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome-Related Infertility with Healthy Qi Deficiency and Phlegm Stasis Syndrome:A Randomized Controlled Trial
Pengxuan YAN ; Jia FU ; Kun LI ; Jingchun ZHANG ; Yukun ZHAO ; Nanxing XIAN ; Wentong ZHU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(18):1995-2002
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical efficacy and safety of Yanghe Xiaonang Decoction (阳和消囊汤, YXD) in the treatment of polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS)-related infertility with healthy qi deficiency and phlegm stasis syndrome. MethodsA total of 120 PCOS-related infertility participants with healthy qi deficiency and phlegm stasis syndrome were randomly divided into a treatment group and a control group in a 1∶1 ratio, with 60 cases in each group. The treatment group started taking YXD on the first day of the menstrual cycle, one dose daily, until the day of sexual intercourse when follicles matured and were released. Those without mature follicles or ovulation could take it until the 14th to 28th day. The control group was given oral letrozole at 2.5 mg daily starting on the 5th day of the menstrual cycle for 5 consecutive days. If the basal body temperature curve remained monophasic on the 28th day of the menstrual cycle, and no dominant follicle was detected by color Doppler ultrasound, estrogen plus progesterone or progesterone alone was administered for withdrawal bleeding, followed by a new treatment cycle. The treatment lasted for three consecutive menstrual cycles. Patients were followed up for 3 months upon confirmed pregnancy or after the completion of the 3rd treatment cycle. The clinical pregnancy rate, total effective rate, pregnancy rate, biochemical pregnancy rate, embryonic arrest rate, and ectopic pregnancy rate between the two groups were compared. Transvaginal color Doppler ultrasound was used for monitoring endometrial thickness, cyclic ovulation status, number of follicles between 2-9 mm, and the difference in transverse and longitudinal diameters of dominant follicles. The levels of endocrine hormone indicators including serum testosterone (T), prolactin (PRL), luteinizing hormone (LH), follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), progesterone (P), estradiol (E2), free testosterone (F-T), androstenedione (ASD), inhibin B (INH-B), and anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), as well as the total traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) symptom scores before and after treatment were compared between the two groups. ResultsA total of 58 patients in each group were included in the statistical analysis. The clinical pregnancy rate in the treatment group was 39.66% (23/58), higher than 22.41% (13/58) in the control group (P<0.05). The total effective rate in the treatment group was 96.55% (56/58), higher than 79.31% (46/58) in the control group (P<0.05). The biochemical pregnancy rate and embryonic arrest rate in the treatment group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05). The treatment group was superior to the control group in increasing endometrial thickness and reducing the number of 2-9 mm follicles at the 2nd and 3rd cycles, as well as in improving the cyclic ovulation status and the difference in transverse and longitudinal diameters of dominant follicles at the 3rd cycle (P<0.05). After treatment, the treatment group exhibited significant reductions in serum T, LH, F-T, ASD, INH-B, and AMH levels (P<0.05). The control group also showed significant decreases in LH, F-T, INH-B, and AMH levels (P<0.05). The levels of F-T, INH-B, and AMH in the treatment group after treatment were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05). The improvement of the total TCM symptom score in the treatment group was superior to that in the control group (P<0.05). ConclusionYXD can significantly improve the clinical pregnancy rate, reduce the rates of biochemical pregnancy and embryonic arrest, alleviate clinical symptoms, increase endometrial thickness, enhance dominant follicles, and improve endocrine hormone levels in PCOS-related infertility with healthy qi deficiency and phlegm stasis syndrome, showing good safety.
4.Integrating O-RADS,Contrast-enhanced Ultrasound and ROMA z-score for Three-category Prediction of Ovarian Epithelial Tumors
Kun YUAN ; Xiaomin ZHU ; Huanyu ZHANG ; Yujun HUANG ; Qingying LI ; Yan OU ; Yunxiao ZHU
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2026;47(2):336-345
ObjectiveTo develop and evaluate an O-RADSbased multiparametric model integratingcontrast-enhanced US (CEUS) and the z-score standardized risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm (ROMA z-score) to improve the diagnostic accuracy for differentiating benign, borderline, and malignant ovarian epithelial tumors (OETs). MethodsThis retrospective study included 129 patients with pathologically confirmed OETs between May 2018 and December 2024. Clinical variables (age, menopausal status, BMI, HE4, CA125) and sonographic features (conventional US and CEUS) were collected. Tumors were classified as benign, borderline, or malignant according to pathological findings. A random forest algorithm was used to contruct the predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated tocompare the diagnostic performance of O-RADS, O-RADS+CEUS, O-RADS+ROMA z-score, and O-RADS+ CEUS+ROMA z-score. ResultsAmong the 129 patients, 63 had benign tumors, 25 had borderline tumors, and 41 had malignant tumors. Compared with O-RADS alone, the combined O-RADS+CEUS+ROMA z-score model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance, with an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79-0.95) vs. 0.64 (95% CI: 0.51-0.76), P<0.001, for differentiating benign from borderline tumors, and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.83-0.97) vs. 0.64 (95% CI: 0.50-0.78), P<0.001, for differentiating borderline from malignant tumors. The random forest analysis identified HE4, CA125 and CEUS features as the most important predictors,contributing 11.02, 8.82, 18.1 points, respectively, to the total importance score of 51.94. In the test cohort, the model achieved an overall diagnostic accuracy of 72.97%, with an AUC of 0.89(95%CI:0.77-1.00), sensitivity of 67.06%, and specificity of 85.01%. ConclusionsO-RADS+CEUS+ROMA z-score multiparametric model demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance for in differentiating benign from borderline and borderline from malignant OETs. HE4, CA125 and CEUS features were identified as key predictive risk factors, supporting the role of this model in improving preoperative risk stratification of OETs.
5.Study on the relationship between parenting styles of toddlers aged 30 months and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder symptom trajectories in preschool children
Han LI ; Juan TONG ; Xing WANG ; Shuangqin YAN ; Kun HUANG ; Xiaoyan WU ; Shuman TAO ; Beibei ZHU ; Hui GAO ; Fangbiao TAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):709-716
Objective:To explore the relationship between parenting styles of toddlers aged 30 months and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) symptom trajectories in preschool children.Methods:The subjects were 2 111 children and their parents in Ma'anshan Birth Cohort. Parenting styles were assessed at 30 months of age using the Brief Toddler Parenting Style Questionnaire, which defines parenting styles on four dimensions: warmth and interaction, attention and acceptance, outdoor and social activities, and neglect and restrictions. The Chinese version of the Conners Abbreviated Symptom Questionnaire was used to examine preschooler's ADHD symptoms aged 3, 5, and 6 years. ADHD symptom trajectories were fitted using group-based trajectory modeling. The multinomial logistic regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between parenting styles at 30 months of age and ADHD symptom trajectories in children. The additive and multiplicative models were applied to analyze the interaction effect of negative parenting styles in children's ADHD symptom trajectories.Results:ADHD symptom trajectories in children included the low-score (48.3%), moderate-score (47.7%), and high-score groups (4.0%). After adjusting for the confounding factors, the results of the multinomial logistic regression analysis showed that negative parenting styles of the father/mother were associated with ADHD symptom trajectories in children ( P<0.05). The father/mother's low warmth and interaction (father: OR=2.07,95% CI:1.68-2.54; mother: OR=2.02,95% CI:1.64-2.48), low attention and acceptance (father: OR=1.94,95% CI:1.57-2.39; mother: OR=1.47,95% CI:1.20-1.81), low outdoor and social (father: OR=1.74,95% CI:1.43-2.13; mother: OR=1.60,95% CI:1.32-1.94), and high neglect and restriction (father: OR=2.09,95% CI:1.67-2.62; mother: OR=2.06,95% CI:1.65-2.56) were associated with ADHD symptom moderate-score trajectories compared to the low-score trajectory group, mother's low warmth and interaction, low outdoor and social, and high neglect and restrictions. Statistically significant association was seen in negative parenting styles of fathers with the high-score group. There was a multiplicative interaction for hostile parenting ( P<0.05). The additive interaction results showed that there was a synergistic effect of hostile parenting, which increased the risk of the high-score trajectories of ADHD symptoms in children. Conclusions:Both parents' parenting styles influenced ADHD symptom change the trajectories in preschoolers. Negative parenting styles of the father/mother increase the risk of the moderate-score and high-score trajectories of ADHD symptoms in children. Hostile parenting by both parents has a synergistic impact on the risk of ADHD symptom trajectories in children, and the simultaneous presence of both increases the risk of the high-score trajectory of ADHD symptoms.
6.Effects of Supplemented Wendan Decoction on glycolipid metabolism and PI3K/Akt/FOXO1 signalling pathway in 3T3-L1 adipocytes
Kai-yin ZHANG ; Feng-yun YAO ; Yao-yao HAN ; Jie-lin JIANG ; Lin WANG ; Wen LI ; Hong-fang YANG ; Huan-yuan ZHANG ; Yan-kun CUI
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(10):3242-3248
AIM To investigate the impact of varying dosages of Supplemented Wendan Decoction on the PI3K/Akt/FOXO1 glycolipid metabolic pathway in 3T3-L1 adipocytes.METHODS The CCK-8 assay was used to determine the concentration of Supplemented Wendan Decoction-medicated serum.The mature adipocytes differentiated from 3T3-L1 preadipocytes after induction were further divided into the blank control group,the model group,the rosiglitazone group(10 mg/L),and the Supplemented Wendan Decoction groups(5%,10%,and 20%),followed by the sample collections after 48 hours of treatment.Oil red O staining quantified lipid accumulation in 3T3-L1 adipocytes;extracellular glucose levels were measured using glucose oxidase(GOD)assay;RT-qPCR analyzed mRNA expressions of IRS-1,PI3K,Akt,GLUT4,IL-6,TNF-α and IL-1β;Western blot assessed protein expressions of INSR,IRS-1,PI3K-p85,Akt,FOXO1 and GLUT4.RESULTS No significant changes in cell viability(P>0.05)were observed in 3T3-L1 preadipocytes exposed to serum containing supplemented Wendan Decoction at different concentrations for 24,48,or 72 hours.The 3T3-L1 preadipocytes held the capacity to differentiate into mature adipocytes within a 14-day induction period.Compared to the model group,all supplemented Wendan Decoction groups exhibited reduced lipid accumulation in adipocytes and downregulated mRNA expression of IRS-1,IL-6,TNF-α and IL-1β(P<0.01);the low-dose group demonstrated increased mRNA expressions of PI3K and GLUT4(P<0.05,P<0.01),alongside elevated protein expressions of INSR,IRS-1,PI3K-p85,Akt and GLUT4(P<0.05,P<0.01);the medium-dose group showed enhanced GLUT4 mRNA expression,and upregulated protein expressions of INSR and FOXO1(P<0.01).After 24 hours intervention,the high-dose Supplemented Wendan Decoction group exhibited increased glucose consumption in adipocytes(P<0.01),and elevated protein expression of INSR,Akt and FOXO1(P<0.05,P<0.01).CONCLUSION Supplemented Wendan Decoction reduces lipid accumulation in adipocytes,regulates glucose and lipid metabolism,and promotes metabolic homeostasis through PI3K/Akt/FOXO1 signaling pathway.
7.Methylamine Thiocyanate-doped FA 0.8Cs 0.2PbI 2Br Perovskite Sensor for Sensitive and Ultrafast Detection of NO 2 at Room Temperature
Yan-Shang GONG ; Meng-Han ZHAO ; Jian-Kun SUN ; Li-Xue ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(4):525-534,中插1-中插8
Nitrogen dioxide(NO 2)is a prevalent air pollutant that poses significant threats to the environment and human health,emphasizing the urgent need for high-performance NO 2 sensors for effective environmental monitoring at room temperature.Sensors based on metal halide perovskites have emerged as promising candidates for gas detection at room temperature,but their long-term stability remains a major challenge.In this study,a methylamine thiocyanate(MT)-doped FA 0.8Cs 0.2PbI 2Br(PVK)gas sensor(MT-PVK)was prepared using a simple one-step spin-coating method and ethyl acetate(EA)anti-solvent extraction technique.The crystalline structure,chemical composition,and particle morphology of the MT-PVK thin film were characterized.The MT-PVK thin film was then utilized as a gas sensor for NO 2 detection at room temperature.The results demonstrated that the sensor exhibited outstanding selectivity and reversibility at low concentrations of NO 2 gas,with a detection limit as low as 33 ppb(10-9,nL/L).For 10 ppm(10-6,μL/L)NO 2,the sensor showed rapid response and recovery time of only 1.6 s and 27 s,outperforming most traditional metal oxide NO 2 sensors.Furthermore,compared to the original PVK,the MT molecules significantly enhanced the structural and sensing stability of the MT-PVK sensor under high humidity conditions(55%±5%).These findings suggested that MT-doped FA 0.8Cs 0.2PbI 2Br perovskite gas sensors offered a promising pathway for the development of rapid-response gas sensing technologies suitable for room temperature operation.
8.Knocking Out DNMT1 Enhances the Inhibitory Effect of NK Cells on Acute Myeloid Leukemia.
Kun WU ; Jia-Li HUANG ; Shen-Ju CHENG ; Yan-Hong LI ; Yun ZENG ; Ming-Xia SHI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):653-659
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the effect and mechanism of DNA methyltransferase 1 (DNMT1) knockout on the inhibition of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) by natural killer (NK) cells.
METHODS:
The peripheral blood NK cells of AML patients and controls were collected, and the mRNA and protein level of DNMT1 were measured by PCR and Western blot, respectively. The DNMT1 knockout mice were constructed to obtain NKDNMT1-/- cells. The NK cells were stimulated with interleukin (IL)-12, IL-15, and IL-18 to construct memory NK cells, and then the interferon-γ (IFN-γ) levels were measured by ELISA. After co-culturing with memory NK cells and HL60 cells, the killing effect of NKDNMT1-/- cells on HL60 cells was detected by LDH assay. Then, the HL60 cell apoptosis and NK cell NKG2D level were measured by flow cytometry. The perforin and granzyme B protein levels of NK cells were measured by Western blot. The AML model mice were constructed by injecting HL60 cells into the tail vein, meanwhile, memory NK cells were also injected, and then the mouse weights, CD33 positive rates, and survival time were detected.
RESULTS:
The mRNA and protein levels of DNMT1 in NK cells of AML patients were significantly higher than those in the control group (both P < 0.01), while the IFN-γ level induced by interleukin was significantly lower than that in the control group (P < 0.05). Compared with NKDNMT1+/+ cells, the ability of NKDNMT1-/- cells to secrete IFN-γ after interleukin stimulation was significantly increased (P < 0.05). The killing and apoptosis-inducing effects of NKDNMT1-/- cells on HL60 cells were significantly stronger than those of NKDNMT1+/+ cells (both P < 0.05). The NKG2D level and expression of perforin and granzyme B of NKDNMT1-/- cells were significantly increased compared with NKDNMT1+/+ cells (all P < 0.05). Compared with AML mice injected with NKDNMT1+/+ cells, AML mice injected with NKDNMT1-/- cells showed significantly increased body weight, decreased CD33 positive rate, and prolonged survival time (all P < 0.05).
CONCLUSION
Knocking out DNMT1 can enhance the inhibitory effect of NK cells on AML, which may be related to enhancing NK cell memory function.
Killer Cells, Natural/metabolism*
;
Animals
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute
;
Humans
;
DNA (Cytosine-5-)-Methyltransferase 1
;
Mice
;
Mice, Knockout
;
HL-60 Cells
;
Apoptosis
;
Interferon-gamma/metabolism*
;
Granzymes/metabolism*
;
Perforin/metabolism*
;
NK Cell Lectin-Like Receptor Subfamily K/metabolism*
9.Traditional Chinese Exercise Improves Lung Function and Exercise Capacity in Patients with Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry.
Yan-Yi LIU ; Gai-Hua HOU ; Kun XIA ; Xiao-Yan YAO ; Yi WANG ; Guang-Xi LI
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(12):1113-1118
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the effect of traditional Chinese Five-body balance exercise on patients with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm).
METHODS:
Fifteen patients with PRISm and 15 patients diagnosed with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were recruited from the Outpatient Department of Guang'anmen Hospital and Beijing Niujie Health Service Center from April to December, 2023. Participants in both groups attended supervised Five-body balance exercise training twice a week for 12 weeks. Patients with COPD continued their regular medication regimen during the intervention period. The endpoints were mean changes in the 6-min walk test (6MWT), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score, cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET), pulmonary function, and scores of COPD assessment test (CAT), modified British Medical Research Council, Self-Rating Anxiety Scale, and Self-Rating Depression Scale from baseline to 12 weeks. Adverse events were monitored throughout the study.
RESULTS:
The PRISm group showed a significant improvement from baseline to week 12 in 6MWT, SGRQ symptom score, and forced vital capacity (FVC) compared to the COPD group (P<0.05). No significant between-group changes were observed in other outcome measurements (P>0.05). In addition, compared with baseline, both groups exhibited improvements in 6MWT, SGRQ score, and CPET at week 12 (P<0.05). The PRISm group also showed a significant increase in forced expiratory volume in 1 s and FVC, as well as a significant decrease in CAT score at week 12 (P<0.05). No adverse events were reported.
CONCLUSION
Patients with PRISm may benefit from Five-body balance exercise training, which can improve the exercise capacity, health-related quality of life, and lung function. (Registration No. ChiCTR2200059290).
Humans
;
Spirometry
;
Male
;
Female
;
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/therapy*
;
Lung/physiopathology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Exercise Tolerance/physiology*
;
Exercise Therapy
;
Aged
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Respiratory Function Tests
;
East Asian People
10.Gender differences in the burden of near vision loss in China: An analysis based on GBD 2021 data.
Yu LIU ; Liping ZHU ; Yanhui LIN ; Yanbing WANG ; Kun XIONG ; Xuhong LI ; Wenguang YAN
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(6):1030-1041
OBJECTIVES:
Near vision loss (NVL) is one of the leading causes of visual impairment worldwide, exerting a profound impact on individual quality of life and socio-economic development. This study aims to analyze the burden of NVL in China by sex and age groups from 1990 to 2021 and to project trends over the next 15 years.
METHODS:
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we conducted descriptive analyses of NVL prevalence in China, calculated age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rates (ASDR) to compare burden differences between sexes and age groups, and applied an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict NVL trends for the next 15 years. The model selection was based on best-fit criteria to ensure reliable projections.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2021, China's ASPR of NVL rose from 10 096.24/100 000 to 15 624.54/100 000, and ASDR increased from 101.75/100 000 to 158.75/100 000. In 2021, ASPR (16 551.70/100 000) and ASDR (167.69/100 000) were higher among females than males (14 686.21/100 000 and 149.76/100 000, respectively). China ranked highest globally in both NVL cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), with female burden significantly exceeding male burden. Projections indicated this trend and sex gap will persist until 2036. Compared with 1990, the prevalence cases and DALYs increased by 239.20% and 238.82%, respectively in 2021, with the highest burden among females and the 55-59 age group. The ARIMA model predicted continued increases in prevalence and DALYs by 2036, with females maintaining a higher burden than males.
CONCLUSIONS
This study reveals a marked increase in the NVL burden in China and predicts continued growth in the coming years. Public health policies should prioritize NVL prevention and control, with special attention to women and middle-aged populations to mitigate long-term societal and health impacts.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Prevalence
;
Middle Aged
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Adult
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Adolescent
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Aged
;
Sex Factors
;
Child
;
Young Adult
;
Child, Preschool
;
Cost of Illness
;
Infant
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Vision Disorders/epidemiology*

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail