1.Development of a diagnostic model for severe coronary artery stenosis using resting echocardiography
Qingyu ZHONG ; Luwei YE ; Lan SHANG ; Sijia WANG ; Hang WU ; Zhenni ZHANG ; Qingguo MENG ; Chunmei LI ; Yan DENG ; Lixue YIN ; Yi WANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(11):958-966
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic performance of resting echocardiography in detecting severe coronary artery stenosis.Methods:A total of 136 patients with suspected coronary artery disease(CAD)who presented to Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital between January 2021 and December 2024 were prospectively enrolled. All patients underwent both coronary computed tomography angiography(CCTA)and transthoracic echocardiography within one week. Based on CCTA results,the patients were divided into non-severe stenosis group( n=78)and severe stenosis group( n=58). Echocardiographic parameters including left atrial maximum volume(LAVmax),left ventricular global longitudinal strain(GLS),left ventricular longitudinal strain of endo-myocardium,mid-myocardium,epi-myocardium(LSendo,LSmid,LSepi),early diastolic mitral inflow velocity(E),early diastolic mitral annular velocity of the lateral and septal walls(e'),and E/e' were measured. Predictive factors for severe coronary stenosis were identified using LASSO regression,and a nomogram model was developed via multivariate Logistic regression. Model performance was evaluated using ROC curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis. Results:Multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed LSendo,LAVmax,and E/e' as independent predictors of severe coronary artery stenosis. The nomogram constructed based on these predictors achieved an area under the curve of 0.798(95% CI=0.723-0.873),with sensitivity and specificity of 0.756 and 0.759,respectively. Conclusions:The resting echocardiography-based nomogram model demonstrates good diagnostic efficacy for severe coronary artery stenosis. It may serve as a noninvasive tool to assist in risk stratification and clinical decision-making in patients with suspected CAD.
2.Develop and assessment of a predictive model for the first-course efficacy of acute myeloid leukemia
Feng ZHU ; Yile ZHOU ; Yi ZHANG ; Liping MAO ; De ZHOU ; Liya MA ; Chunmei YANG ; Wenjuan YU ; Xingnong YE ; Juying WEI ; Haitao MENG ; Min YANG ; Wenyuan MAI ; Jiejing QIAN ; Yanling REN ; Yinjun LOU ; Jian HUANG ; Gaixiang XU ; Wanzhuo XIE ; Hongyan TONG ; Huafeng WANG ; Jie JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(4):336-342
Objective:To identify the relevant factors for the first-course remission of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and to develop a predictive model as well as assess its predictive capability.Methods:Clinical data of 749 patients newly diagnosed with AML admitted to the Department of Hematology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine from January 1, 2019, to April 30, 2023, were collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine variables associated with complete remission in the first course of induction therapy, and a predictive model was established based on these variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predictive model was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.Results:The indicators predicting the first remission course included peripheral blood white blood cell count during onset, CBF::MYH11 fusion gene, CEBPA bZIP region mutation, myelodysplastic syndrome-related gene mutation, and induction chemotherapy regimen selection as independent factors for the first remission course. The model’s area under the training and validation curves was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.696-0.780) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.650-0.801), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results yielded P-values of 0.993 and 0.335, respectively. Conclusion:In this study, the developed model demonstrates a strong predictive capability for the efficacy of the first course of patients with AML, providing valuable guidance to clinicians in assessing patient prognosis and selecting appropriate treatment strategies.
3.Anti-SARS-CoV-2 prodrug ATV006 has broad-spectrum antiviral activity against human and animal coronaviruses.
Tiefeng XU ; Kun LI ; Siyao HUANG ; Konstantin I IVANOV ; Sidi YANG ; Yanxi JI ; Hanwei ZHANG ; Wenbin WU ; Ye HE ; Qiang ZENG ; Feng CONG ; Qifan ZHOU ; Yingjun LI ; Jian PAN ; Jincun ZHAO ; Chunmei LI ; Xumu ZHANG ; Liu CAO ; Deyin GUO
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(5):2498-2510
Coronavirus-related diseases pose a significant challenge to the global health system. Given the diversity of coronaviruses and the unpredictable nature of disease outbreaks, the traditional "one bug, one drug" paradigm struggles to address the growing number of emerging crises. Therefore, there is an urgent need for therapeutic agents with broad-spectrum anti-coronavirus activity. Here, we provide evidence that ATV006, an anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleoside analog targeting RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), has broad antiviral activity against human and animal coronaviruses. Using mouse hepatitis virus (MHV) and human coronavirus NL63 (HCoV-NL63) as a model, we show that ATV006 has potent prophylactic and therapeutic activity against murine coronavirus infection in vivo. Remarkably, ATV006 successfully inhibits viral replication in mice even when administered 96 h after infection. Due to its oral bioavailability and potency against multiple coronaviruses, ATV006 has the potential to become a useful antiviral agent against SARS-CoV-2 and other circulating and emerging coronaviruses in humans and animals.
4.(±)-Talapyrones A-F: six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers with unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems from Talaromycesadpressus.
Meijia ZHENG ; Xinyi ZHAO ; Chenxi ZHOU ; Hong LIAO ; Qin LI ; Yuling LU ; Bingbing DAI ; Weiguang SUN ; Ying YE ; Chunmei CHEN ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Hucheng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(8):932-937
(±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6), six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers featuring unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems, were isolated from the fungus Talaromyces adpressus. Their structures were determined by spectroscopic analysis and HR-ESI-MS data, and their absolute configurations were elucidated using a modified Mosher's method and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations. (±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6) possess a 6/6/6 tricyclic skeleton, presumably formed through a Michael addition reaction between one molecule of α-pyrone derivative and one molecule of C8 poly-β-keto chain. In addition, compounds 2/3 and 4/5 are two pairs of C-18 epimers, respectively. Putative biosynthetic pathways of 1-6 were discussed.
Polyketides/isolation & purification*
;
Talaromyces/chemistry*
;
Stereoisomerism
;
Molecular Structure
;
Circular Dichroism
;
Pyrones/chemistry*
5.Construction of an evaluation index system for patient safety education among undergraduate nursing interns
Qingyi XUE ; Qianqian CHEN ; Yimei LI ; Xiaolei WANG ; Xiaojing YE ; Xin LU ; Chunmei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(16):2210-2214
Objective:To establish an evaluation index system for patient safety education targeted at undergraduate nursing interns.Methods:Based on the CIPP (Context, Input, Process, Product) evaluation model, a preliminary draft of the index system was developed using a literature review and semi-structured interviews. The Delphi method and the Analytic Hierarchy Process were applied to finalize the index system.Results:Two rounds of Delphi expert consultation were conducted. In the first round, 23 questionnaires were distributed, and 20 valid responses were received (effective response rate: 86.96%) . Among them, 15 experts (75.00%) provided revision suggestions. In the second round, 20 questionnaires were distributed, and 19 valid responses were received (effective response rate: 95.00%) , with two experts (10.53%) offering suggestions. The expert authority coefficients for the two rounds were 0.900 and 0.921, respectively. Kendall's coordination coefficients were 0.272 and 0.273 ( P<0.01) . The final evaluation system consisted of four first-level indicators, eight second-level indicators, and 18 third-level indicators. Conclusions:The evaluation index system constructed in this study is scientifically grounded and reliable. However, its practical utility and applicability require further validation.
6.Construction of an evaluation index system for patient safety education among undergraduate nursing interns
Qingyi XUE ; Qianqian CHEN ; Yimei LI ; Xiaolei WANG ; Xiaojing YE ; Xin LU ; Chunmei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(16):2210-2214
Objective:To establish an evaluation index system for patient safety education targeted at undergraduate nursing interns.Methods:Based on the CIPP (Context, Input, Process, Product) evaluation model, a preliminary draft of the index system was developed using a literature review and semi-structured interviews. The Delphi method and the Analytic Hierarchy Process were applied to finalize the index system.Results:Two rounds of Delphi expert consultation were conducted. In the first round, 23 questionnaires were distributed, and 20 valid responses were received (effective response rate: 86.96%) . Among them, 15 experts (75.00%) provided revision suggestions. In the second round, 20 questionnaires were distributed, and 19 valid responses were received (effective response rate: 95.00%) , with two experts (10.53%) offering suggestions. The expert authority coefficients for the two rounds were 0.900 and 0.921, respectively. Kendall's coordination coefficients were 0.272 and 0.273 ( P<0.01) . The final evaluation system consisted of four first-level indicators, eight second-level indicators, and 18 third-level indicators. Conclusions:The evaluation index system constructed in this study is scientifically grounded and reliable. However, its practical utility and applicability require further validation.
7.Develop and assessment of a predictive model for the first-course efficacy of acute myeloid leukemia
Feng ZHU ; Yile ZHOU ; Yi ZHANG ; Liping MAO ; De ZHOU ; Liya MA ; Chunmei YANG ; Wenjuan YU ; Xingnong YE ; Juying WEI ; Haitao MENG ; Min YANG ; Wenyuan MAI ; Jiejing QIAN ; Yanling REN ; Yinjun LOU ; Jian HUANG ; Gaixiang XU ; Wanzhuo XIE ; Hongyan TONG ; Huafeng WANG ; Jie JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(4):336-342
Objective:To identify the relevant factors for the first-course remission of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and to develop a predictive model as well as assess its predictive capability.Methods:Clinical data of 749 patients newly diagnosed with AML admitted to the Department of Hematology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine from January 1, 2019, to April 30, 2023, were collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine variables associated with complete remission in the first course of induction therapy, and a predictive model was established based on these variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predictive model was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.Results:The indicators predicting the first remission course included peripheral blood white blood cell count during onset, CBF::MYH11 fusion gene, CEBPA bZIP region mutation, myelodysplastic syndrome-related gene mutation, and induction chemotherapy regimen selection as independent factors for the first remission course. The model’s area under the training and validation curves was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.696-0.780) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.650-0.801), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results yielded P-values of 0.993 and 0.335, respectively. Conclusion:In this study, the developed model demonstrates a strong predictive capability for the efficacy of the first course of patients with AML, providing valuable guidance to clinicians in assessing patient prognosis and selecting appropriate treatment strategies.
8.Development of a diagnostic model for severe coronary artery stenosis using resting echocardiography
Qingyu ZHONG ; Luwei YE ; Lan SHANG ; Sijia WANG ; Hang WU ; Zhenni ZHANG ; Qingguo MENG ; Chunmei LI ; Yan DENG ; Lixue YIN ; Yi WANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(11):958-966
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic performance of resting echocardiography in detecting severe coronary artery stenosis.Methods:A total of 136 patients with suspected coronary artery disease(CAD)who presented to Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital between January 2021 and December 2024 were prospectively enrolled. All patients underwent both coronary computed tomography angiography(CCTA)and transthoracic echocardiography within one week. Based on CCTA results,the patients were divided into non-severe stenosis group( n=78)and severe stenosis group( n=58). Echocardiographic parameters including left atrial maximum volume(LAVmax),left ventricular global longitudinal strain(GLS),left ventricular longitudinal strain of endo-myocardium,mid-myocardium,epi-myocardium(LSendo,LSmid,LSepi),early diastolic mitral inflow velocity(E),early diastolic mitral annular velocity of the lateral and septal walls(e'),and E/e' were measured. Predictive factors for severe coronary stenosis were identified using LASSO regression,and a nomogram model was developed via multivariate Logistic regression. Model performance was evaluated using ROC curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis. Results:Multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed LSendo,LAVmax,and E/e' as independent predictors of severe coronary artery stenosis. The nomogram constructed based on these predictors achieved an area under the curve of 0.798(95% CI=0.723-0.873),with sensitivity and specificity of 0.756 and 0.759,respectively. Conclusions:The resting echocardiography-based nomogram model demonstrates good diagnostic efficacy for severe coronary artery stenosis. It may serve as a noninvasive tool to assist in risk stratification and clinical decision-making in patients with suspected CAD.
9.Efficacy observation of ZR2 regimen for treatment of elderly patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma
Chunmei YE ; Hui XU ; Juan LI ; Peimin SHI ; Jun LI
Journal of Leukemia & Lymphoma 2024;33(1):52-54
Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of ZR2 (zevalin + lenalidomide + rituximab) regimen in the treatment of elderly patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted. The clinical data of 16 elderly (>65 years old) non-germinal center B-cell-like DLBCL patients treated with ZR2 regimen at the Taixing People's Hospital from January 2021 to March 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The efficacy, adverse reactions and prognosis of patients were observed.Results:Of the 16 patients, 11 were male and 5 were female, with the age [ M ( Q1, Q3)] of 76 years old (70 years old, 78 years old), and 10 cases were Ann Arbor stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ. Among the 16 patients, 9 achieved complete remission, 4 patients achieved partial remission. All 16 patients experienced varying degrees of reversible bone marrow suppression, grade Ⅲ-Ⅳ hematologic adverse reactions included neutropenia (7 cases) and thrombocytopenia (2 cases), and the bone marrow hematopoiesis recovered after treatment with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor and thrombopoietin. The main ≥grade Ⅱ non-hematologic adverse reactions were gastrointestinal reactions (5 cases), liver function abnormalities (3 cases) and peripheral neuropathy (2 cases), which were improved after the appropriate treatment. Two patients discontinued the treatment of this regimen due to disease progression, and 1 patient died from complications after 2 cycles of treatment. No deep vein thrombosis, cardiac toxicity or renal toxicity occurred during the treatment process. Conclusions:The ZR2 regimen is effective in the treatment of elderly DLBCL patients with tolerable adverse reactions.
10.Establish of the risk predictive model for varicella outbreaks in primary and middle schools
ZHENG Yongtao, YE Chunmei, NI Zuowei, ZHANG Jiani, LAI Fenhua, GAO Yanmin, YANG Dongbo, WANG Yanmei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(6):873-877
Objective:
To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of varicella outbreaks in primary and middle schools, and to establish a risk predictive model, so as to provide scientific guidance for the prevention of varicella outbreaks in schools.
Methods:
Based on a nested case-control study, primary and middle schools in 4 districts of Shanghai (Yangpu District and Jingan District) and Hangzhou (Xiaoshan District and Linping District) from January to December 2023 were selected to observe the status of varicella outbreaks. Associated factors of varicella outbreaks were investigated and used for establishing the predictive model, which was evaluated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L) goodness of fit test, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA).
Results:
A total of 98 varicella outbreaks were included, with 195 schools without varicella outbreaks during the same period as controls. Eight factors, including the availability of warm water in restroom, availability of hand soap in restroom, average class size, duration of student attendance at school per day, presence of a fulltime school doctor, hesitancy of the school principal towards varicella vaccination, and rates of first and second doses of varicella vaccination, were identified as potential factors for school varicella outbreaks, with statistically significant differences (χ2/Z=10.01, 20.49, 17.43, 9.74, 32.17, 6.60, 2.20, 3.39, P<0.05). The 8 variables above were employed to construct a risk predictive model, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test yielded a χ2 value of 5.863 (P>0.05); the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.846 (95%CI=0.799-0.893); Calibration curve analysis indicated good consistency between predicted and actual values of the model. DCA demonstrated favorable predictive performance of the model over a wide range.
Conclusions
The predictive model for school varicella outbreaks demonstrates satisfactory accuracy and efficacy. It suggested to make good use of this prediction model and take relevant measures to reduce the risk of varicella transmission in schools.


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