1.Development and evaluation of nomogram prediction model for refractory chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting
Bo SUN ; Shufang LI ; Xun LIU ; Lu CHEN ; Erfeng ZHANG ; Huipin WANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(9):1105-1110
OBJECTIVE To construct and evaluate nomogram prediction model for refractory chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV). METHODS The data of malignant tumor patients who received chemotherapy at the Third People’s Hospital of Zhengzhou from January 2017 to December 2023 were collected. These patients were categorized into the occurrence group and the non-occurrence group according to the occurrence of refractory CINV. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was employed to screen predictive factors for refractory CINV and constructing a nomogram prediction model. Model performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Model calibration was evaluated using Bootstrap resampling. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical net benefit of three strategies under different risk thresholds. Clinical impact curves were utilized to assess the clinical value of the model at different risk thresholds. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis was performed to evaluate individual factor contributions to the predictive model. RESULTS A total of 388 patients were included, with 219 experiencing refractory CINV. Multivariate Logistic regression identified 11 predictive factors for refractory CINV, including gastrointestinal disease history, anticipated nausea and vomiting, chemotherapy-induced emetic risk classification, and electrolyte levels, etc. The model’s area under the curve was 0.80 [95% confidence interval (0.76, 0.84)], with a mean error of 0.036. DCA demonstrated the prediction model had higher clinical net benefit when the risk threshold was between 0.05 and 0.85. SHAP analysis revealed the top three predictive factors as gastrointestinal disease history (0.924), chemotherapy- induced emetic risk classification (0.866), and electrolyte levels (0.581). CONCLUSIONS Eleven factors, including gastrointestinal disease history, anticipated nausea and vomiting, chemotherapy-induced emetic risk classification, and electrolyte levels, are identified as predictors of refractory CINV. The model based on these factors has good predictive ability, which can be used to predict the risk of refractory CINV.
2.Investigation and Trend Prediction of Disease Burden of Hypertensionin the Elderly Population Globally and in China from 1990 to 2021
Xiaoxiao ZHAO ; Xiaohui LU ; Lixin KE ; Wulin GAO ; Xiangran MENG ; Lili REN ; Yunhan DING ; Qiang ZHANG ; Yangqin XUN ; Jibiao WU ; Cuncun LU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(3):647-658
To analyze the disease burden of hypertension in the elderly population from 1990 to 2021 and to predict future trends in China and globally, thereby providing insights for public health decision-making regarding older adults with hypertension in China. Data on hypertension-related deaths and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) for individuals aged ≥60 years was extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD)2021 database for the world, China, and five sociodemographic index (SDI) regions. Age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates for hypertension in the elderly population were calculated, and Joinpoint regression was used to assess trend changes of disease burden, with results reported as average annual percentage change (AAPC). Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted based on age and sex. The relative impact of aging, population growth, and epidemiological changes on disease burden was analyzed using a three-factor decomposition method. Future projections for the disease burden from 2022 to 2040 were performed using a Bayesian model. From 1990 to 2021, both age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates for hypertension in the elderly population demonstrated a significant downward trend globally and in China (both AAPC values were negative, all Although age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates for hypertension among the elderly in China have shown a downward trend over the past three decades, the absolute burden remains substantial. There is an urgent need for the formulation and implementation of more effective public health policies and clinical interventions to address this critical public health challenge.
3.Incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis and its influencing factors in Hubei Province based on the geographically weighted regression model
Xingxing LU ; Xun LIU ; Fan WANG ; Jianjun YE ; Yu ZHANG ; Chengfeng YANG ; Liping ZHOU ; Hongxing WANG ; Wenqian ZHOU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(5):28-31
Objective To study the spatial distribution of the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Hubei Province and its influencing factors, so as to improve the theoretical basis for scientific development of tuberculosis prevention and control measures in the future. Methods The data of reported incidence of tuberculosis and related influencing factors in various counties and districts of Hubei Province in 2020 were collected. Global Moran's I index, hotspot analysis and geographically weighted regression (GWR) model analysis were used to calculate the spatial autocorrelation of the incidence of tuberculosis, and to analyze the influencing factors affecting the incidence rate of tuberculosis. Results There were obvious regional differences in the space distribution of the incidence rate of tuberculosis. Hot spot analysis showed positive spatial correlation and obvious clustering. The GWR model (AICc=784.251) in this study had higher AICc value compared to the ordinary least squares regression (OLS) model (AICc=804.2585). The GWR model showed that the increase in the proportion of the population aged 65 and above and the proportion of the ethnic minority population had a significant promoting effect on the increase of the incidence rate of tuberculosis, and there was significant spatial heterogeneity. The effect of PM2.5 concentration on the incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis varied in different regions, and the degree of effect was also different. Conclusion The proportion of people aged 65 and above and the proportion of ethnic minorities may significantly influence the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis. The effect of PM2.5 concentration varies in different regions, so targeted measures should be formulated according to the situation in different regions.
4.Clinical features of recompensation in autoimmune hepatitis-related decompensated cirrhosis and related predictive factors
Xiaolong LU ; Lin HAN ; Huan XIE ; Lilong YAN ; Xuemei MA ; Dongyan LIU ; Xun LI ; Qingsheng LIANG ; Zhengsheng ZOU ; Caizhe GU ; Ying SUN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(9):1808-1817
ObjectiveTo investigate the clinical features and outcomes of recompensation in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH)-related decompensated cirrhosis, to identify independent predictive factors, and to construct a nomogram prediction model for the probability of recompensation. MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted among the adult patients with AIH-related decompensated cirrhosis who were admitted to The Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2015 to August 2023 (n=211). The primary endpoint was achievement of recompensation, and the secondary endpoint was liver-related death or liver transplantation. According to the outcome of the patients at the end of the follow-up, the patients were divided into the recompensation group (n=16) and the persistent decompensation group(n=150).The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data with homogeneity of variance, and the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data with heterogeneity of variance; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups; the Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis; the Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to identify independent predictive factors, and a nomogram model was constructed and validated. ResultsA total of 211 patients were enrolled, with a median age of 55.0 years and a median follow-up time of 44.0 months, and female patients accounted for 87.2%. Among the 211 patients, 61 (with a cumulative proportion of 35.5%) achieved recompensation. Compared with the persistent decompensation group, the recompensation group had significantly higher white blood cell count, platelet count (PLT), total bilirubin (TBil), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bile acid, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio (INR), SMA positive rate, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh score, and rate of use of glucocorticoids (all P0.05), as well as significantly lower age at baseline, number of complications, and death/liver transplantation rate (all P0.05). At 3 and 12 months after treatment, the recompensation group had continuous improvements in AST, TBil, INR, IgG, MELD score, and Child-Pugh score, which were significantly lower than the values in the persistent decompensation group (all P0.05), alongside with continuous increases in PLT and albumin, which were significantly higher than the values in the persistent decompensation group (P0.05). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that baseline ALT (hazard ratio [HR]=1.067, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.010 — 1.127, P=0.021), IgG (HR=0.463,95%CI:0.258 — 0.833, P=0.010), SMA positivity (HR=3.122,95%CI:1.768 — 5.515, P0.001), and glucocorticoid therapy (HR=20.651,95%CI:8.744 — 48.770, P0.001) were independent predictive factors for recompensation, and the nomogram model based on these predictive factors showed excellent predictive performance (C-index=0.87,95%CI:0.84 — 0.90). ConclusionAchieving recompensation significantly improves clinical outcomes in patients with AIH-related decompensated cirrhosis. Baseline SMA positivity, a high level of ALT, a low level of IgG, and corticosteroid therapy are independent predictive factors for recompensation. The predictive model constructed based on these factors can provide a basis for decision-making in individualized clinical management.
5.Genome-wide methylation profiling identified methylated KCNA3 and OTOP2 as promising diagnostic markers for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
Yan BIAN ; Ye GAO ; Chaojing LU ; Bo TIAN ; Lei XIN ; Han LIN ; Yanhui ZHANG ; Xun ZHANG ; Siwei ZHOU ; Kangkang WAN ; Jun ZHOU ; Zhaoshen LI ; Hezhong CHEN ; Luowei WANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(14):1724-1735
Background::Early detection of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) can considerably improve the prognosis of patients. Aberrant cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation signatures are a promising tool for detecting ESCC. However, available markers based on cell-free DNA methylation are still inadequate. This study aimed to identify ESCC-specific cfDNA methylation markers and evaluate the diagnostic performance in the early detection of ESCC.Methods::We performed whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS) for 24 ESCC tissues and their normal adjacent tissues. Based on the WGBS data, we identified 21,469,837 eligible CpG sites (CpGs). By integrating several methylation datasets, we identified several promising ESCC-specific cell-free DNA methylation markers. Finally, we developed a dual-marker panel based on methylated KCNA3 and OTOP2, and then, we evaluated its performance in our training and validation cohorts. Results::The ESCC diagnostic model constructed based on KCNA3 and OTOP2 had an AUC of 0.91 [95% CI: 0.85–0.95], and an optimal sensitivity and specificity of 84.91% and 94.32%, respectively, in the training cohort. In the independent validation cohort, the AUC was 0.88 [95% CI: 0.83–0.92], along with an optimal sensitivity of 81.5% and specificity of 92.9%. The model sensitivity for stage I–II ESCC was 78.4%, which was slightly lower than the sensitivity of the model (85.7%) for stage III–IV ESCC. Conclusion::The dual-target panel based on cfDNA showed excellent performance for detecting ESCC and might be an alternative strategy for screening ESCC.
6.Effect of silencing lncRNA TUG1 on pyroptosis induced by high glucose in microglia
Youzhuo PAN ; Wenhui GUO ; Haoyue LEI ; Xun LU ; Qi ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2024;32(10):764-769
Objective To investigate the mechanism of action of the long non-coding RNA(lncRNA)taurine up-regulating factor 1(TUG1)with high glucose(HG)-induced cellular pyroptosisin microglial cell.Methods Mouse BV2 cells were cultured and divided into normal control(NC),HG,lentiviral empty vector(sh-Con),TUG1 lentiviral gene silencing vector(sh-TUG1),HG+sh-Con and HG+sh-TUG1 group.RT-PCR was used to detect the expression and transfection efficiency of TUG1 mRNA.Nucleotide-binding oligomerized structural domain-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3),cysteoaspartate protease-1(Caspase-1),and ghrelin D(GSDMD),IL-18,IL-1β mRNA and protein expression were detected by RT-PCR and Western blot.Results TUG1 mRNA expression was higher in HG group than in NC group(P<0.05).After transfection,a lot of green fluorescence appeared in sh-TUG1 and sh-Con group,while no green fluorescence was observed in NC group.The expression of TUG1 mRNA was lower in sh-TUG1 group than in NC group(P<0.05).Accordingly,the recombinant lentivirus successfully infected BV2 cell.The expressions of the mRNA and protein of NLRP3,Caspase-1,GSDMD,IL-18 and L-1β were higher in HG,HG+sh-Con groups than in NC group(P<0.05).The expressions of the mRNA and protein of NLRP3,Caspase-1,GSDMD and IL-18 and L-1β were lower in HG+shTUG1 group than in HG,HG+sh-Con groups(P<0.05).Conclusions TUG1 is involved in high glucose induced pyroptosis in microglia and leads to inflammatory response.Silencing TUG1 can inhibit the pathological reaction.
7.Maintenance and improvement program for WYD2000 field surgical lamp
Ming-Ming ZHU ; Ji-Su CAO ; Ze-Rui ZHANG ; Jiang-Hui HAO ; Rui-Zhe WANG ; Feng ZHOU ; Lu-Chuan XUN
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2024;45(4):116-118
The steps for installation and withdrawal of WYD2000 field surgical lamp were introduced.The failures and causes of broken cross-arm connector of WYD2000 field surgical lamp were analyzed.The problems of WYD2000 field surgical lamp in vulnerability to breaking and difficulty in maintenance were solved by designing and manufacturing a special maintenance tool and optimizing the materials and fixing mode of cross-arm connection.References were provided for main-tenance and improvement of WYD2000 field surgical lamp.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2024,45(4):116-118]
8.Formulation and Analysis on the Standard of Automation and Information Technology
Xun YU ; Jiancun ZHEN ; Liyan MIAO ; Zongqi CHENG ; Wei ZHANG ; Rongsheng ZHAO ; Lan ZHANG ; Xiaoyang LU ; Jian ZHANG ; Dong LIU ; Aizong SHEN ; Weihua LAI ; Jingcheng HE
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(7):1074-1078
To improve patient-centered pharmaceutical management and pharmaceutical service capabilities in the pharmaceutical department of medical institutions,automation and information technology are indispensable.The Pharmacy Administration-Automation and Information Technology is one of the social organization standards of the Chinese Hospital Association as part 4-4 of Pharmaceutical Administration and Pharmaceutical Practice in Healthcare,which standardizes 32 key elements in four aspects:basic requirements for automation construction in medical institutions,construction of automation hardware equipment,construction of intelligent information platform,and quality management and continuous improvement.It can be used to guide medical institutions at all levels to select and optimize pharmacy automation equipment and information platforms.This article introduced the construction methods and contents of the pharmacy automation and information technology standards,to deepen the understanding of peers on this standard and promote its implementation.This article aimed to promote the modernization,informatization,and intelligence of pharmaceutical services in medical institutions,and improve the quality and efficiency of overall medical pharmaceutical administration and service.
9.Clinical study of sacubitril valsartan sodium combined with Wenxin granule in the treatment of hyper-tension complicated with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation
Yong HOU ; Lian-Fa WANG ; Hong-Tao LU ; Zhen CHEN ; Meng-Xun HUANG ; Chen CHEN ; Bang-Zhu ZHANG ; Quan-Xiu TONG ; Yun-Fei WANG
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine 2024;33(1):40-44
Objective:To explore therapeutic effect of sacubitril valsartan sodium combined with Wenxin granule in the treatment of hypertension complicated with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation(AF)and its effect on cardiac electro-physiological structure.Methods:A total of 116 patients with hypertension and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation treated in our hospital from Oct 2021 to Nov 2022 were consecutively selected.According to random number table,they were divided into Wenxin granule group(received Wenxin granule treatment based on routine antihypertensive ther-apy)and combined treatment group(received sacubitril valsartan sodium combined Wenxin granule therapy based on routine antihypertensive therapy)with 58 cases in each group,and both groups were consecutively treated for six months.Clinical symptom score,AF burden,P wave duration,P wave dispersion,left atrial diameter(LAD),left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVEDd)and left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)were compared between two groups before and after treatment.Results:After treatment,compared with Wenxin granule group,there were significant reductions in clinical symptom score[(1.66±0.69)scores vs.(1.40±0.53)scores],AF burden[4.43(1.65)%vs.1.62(3.50)%],P wave duration[(112.17±6.46)ms vs.(109.29±8.59)ms],P wave dispersion[(32.47±8.11)ms vs.(29.02±7.49)ms]and LAD[(34.83±3.41)mm vs.(33.40±3.74)mm]in combined treatment group(P<0.05 or<0.01).There were no significant difference in LVEDd and LVEF between two groups,P>0.05 both.Conclusion:Sacubitril valsartan sodium combined with Wenxin granule can significantly im-prove clinical symptoms and atrial fibrillation burden,reduce the susceptibility to atrial fibrillation,and inhibit atrial electrical remodeling and structural remodeling in patients with hypertension complicated with paroxysmal atrial fi-brillation.
10.Investigation and analysis of adult skeletal fluorosis caused by drinking tea-type endemic fluorosis in Yushu Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, Qinghai Province in 2021
Guanglan PU ; Mingjun WANG ; Yanan LI ; Xin ZHOU ; Peizhen YANG ; Ping CHEN ; Qing LU ; Xun CHEN ; Hongting SHEN ; Jing MA ; Jinmei ZHANG ; Cuiling LA ; Qiang ZHANG ; Xianya MENG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(3):207-211
Objective:To investigate the prevalence of adult skeletal fluorosis caused by drinking tea-type endemic fluorosis in Yushu Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture (hereinafter referred to as Yushu Prefecture), Qinghai Province, and provide scientific basis for prevention and control of the disease.Methods:In August 2021, one village was selected as a survey site in six counties (cities) in Yushu Prefecture, including Nangqian, Chindu, Yushu, Zadoi, Qumarlêb, and Zhiduo. Drinking water samples and 10 brick tea samples were collected from each village to determine the fluoride content in water and brick tea; at least 100 permanent residents aged ≥ 25, who had a habit of drinking brick tea and had lived in the local area for more than 5 years, were selected for X-ray imaging to examine the prevalence of adult skeletal fluorosis.Results:A total of 75 samples of residential drinking water were collected, with a fluoride content of (0.21 ± 0.05) mg/L, ranging from 0.11 to 0.34 mg/L; 60 samples of brick tea, with a fluoride content of (626.70 ± 157.27) mg/kg, ranging from 324.00 to 2 102.00 mg/kg. A total of 1 136 adults were examined, and 318 cases of skeletal fluorosis were diagnosed, with a detection rate of 27.99%. Among them, the detection rates of mild, moderate, and severe skeletal fluorosis were 20.95% (238/1 136), 6.07% (69/1 136), and 0.97% (11/1 136), respectively, with mild symptoms being the main. The detection rates of skeletal fluorosis in males and females were 29.09% (121/416) and 27.36% (197/720), respectively, with no statistically significant difference between the gender (χ 2 = 0.39, P = 0.533). Comparison of the skeletal fluorosis in different gender, the differences were statistically significant (χ 2 = 22.31, P < 0.001). The detection rates of skeletal fluorosis in the age groups of 25 - 35, 36 - 45, 46 - 55, 56 - 65, 66 - 75, and ≥76 years old were 6.86% (7/102), 22.37% (51/228), 24.02% (92/383), 37.44% (73/195), 43.48% (70/161), and 37.31% (25/67), respectively. The differences between the groups were statistically significant (χ 2 = 59.84, P < 0.001). Moreover, there was a statistically significant difference in the composition of skeletal fluorosis among different age groups ( H = 37.66, P < 0.001). The Spearman correlation analysis results showed that the severity of adult skeletal fluorosis was positively correlated with age ( r = 0.34, P < 0.001). Conclusions:There is a certain degree of prevalence of adult skeletal fluorosis in Yushu Prefecture. And as age increases, the condition of skeletal fluorosis becomes more severe.


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