1.Change trend and prediction of congenital heart disease burden in China from 1990 to 2021
Zihao BAI ; Hao WANG ; Jia AN ; Qiang WANG ; Yang WANG ; Xuming MO
Chinese Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;41(3):156-162
Objective:To summarize and evaluate the temporal trends of the burden of congenital heart disease (CHD) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and to predict the burden of the disease up to 2035.Methods:The Joinpoint regression method was used to study the time trend of congenital heart disease, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort method (BAPC) was used to predict the change in disease burden due to congenital heart disease in China and globally between 2022 and 2035. Results:From 1990 to 2021, the disability-adjusted life years and mortality burdens of congenital heart disease have decreased in China and globally. Although the disease burden is higher in men than in women, the difference is gradually decreasing. BAPC estimates that the burden of congenital heart disease is expected to continue to decline in China and globally in 2022-2035, but congenital heart disease remains a major health problem. China has made remarkable progress in reducing the burden of congenital heart disease, which reflects the positive impact of rapid advances in medical technology and improved public health policies.Conclusion:Although congenital heart disease will remain a significant disease burden over the past three decades and into 2035, it is critical to focus on disease-specific differences to develop more targeted interventions to further reduce the disease burden of congenital heart disease and improve the quality of life and living standards of patients.
2.Analysis of influencing factors and construction of a predictive model for muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients
Yuetong QIAN ; Jingjing JIN ; Rongfang ZHU ; Xuming SU ; Yaling BAI ; Shenglei ZHANG ; Zhezhe NIU ; Jinsheng XU
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(3):189-196
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods:It was a retrospective cohort study. Patients undergoing regular hemodialysis at the Blood Purification Center of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (West and East Campuses) from June 2023 to December 2023 were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into a muscle cramps group and a non-muscle cramps group based on whether cramps occurred during or after dialysis. Patients from the West Campus were allocated to the training set, while those from the East Campus were assigned to the validation set, with an approximately 5∶1 ratio. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for muscle cramps in the training set. A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R software. Model performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis in both the training and validation sets.Results:A total of 498 maintenance hemodialysis patients were enrolled, including 409 in the training set (22.98% incidence of muscle cramps) and 89 in the validation set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that heart failure history ( OR=8.566, 95% CI 2.448-29.979, P=0.001), pre-dialysis corrected narrowed inferior vena cava width ( OR=0.531, 95% CI 0.433-0.650, P<0.001), increased ultrafiltration rate ( OR=1.002, 95% CI 1.001-1.003, P=0.002), decreased hemoglobin level ( OR=0.971, 95% CI 0.948-0.994, P=0.014), and decreased serum albumin ( OR=0.886, 95% CI 0.799-0.982, P=0.021) were independent associated factors for muscle cramps in the training set. The nomogram model based on these factors demonstrated an area under the ROC curve ( AUC) of 0.813 (95% CI 0.760-0.866, P<0.001) in the training set, with a Brier score of 0.129, indicating stable predictive performance. In the validation set, the area under of the ROC curve was 0.821 (95% CI 0.731-0.911, P<0.001) with a Brier score of 0.142. The decision curve showed that the model provided high clinical net benefit when the risk threshold probability for muscle cramps ranged from 0.22 to 0.77. Conclusion:Combined heart failure, narrowed inferior vena cava width, increased ultrafiltration rate, and decreased hemoglobin and serum albumin levels were the independent correlated factors for muscle spasm in maintenance hemodialysis patients. The nomogram model constructed based on these risk factors holds significant clinical value for predicting muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients.
3.Analysis of influencing factors and construction of a predictive model for muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients
Yuetong QIAN ; Jingjing JIN ; Rongfang ZHU ; Xuming SU ; Yaling BAI ; Shenglei ZHANG ; Zhezhe NIU ; Jinsheng XU
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2025;41(3):189-196
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods:It was a retrospective cohort study. Patients undergoing regular hemodialysis at the Blood Purification Center of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (West and East Campuses) from June 2023 to December 2023 were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into a muscle cramps group and a non-muscle cramps group based on whether cramps occurred during or after dialysis. Patients from the West Campus were allocated to the training set, while those from the East Campus were assigned to the validation set, with an approximately 5∶1 ratio. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for muscle cramps in the training set. A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R software. Model performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis in both the training and validation sets.Results:A total of 498 maintenance hemodialysis patients were enrolled, including 409 in the training set (22.98% incidence of muscle cramps) and 89 in the validation set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that heart failure history ( OR=8.566, 95% CI 2.448-29.979, P=0.001), pre-dialysis corrected narrowed inferior vena cava width ( OR=0.531, 95% CI 0.433-0.650, P<0.001), increased ultrafiltration rate ( OR=1.002, 95% CI 1.001-1.003, P=0.002), decreased hemoglobin level ( OR=0.971, 95% CI 0.948-0.994, P=0.014), and decreased serum albumin ( OR=0.886, 95% CI 0.799-0.982, P=0.021) were independent associated factors for muscle cramps in the training set. The nomogram model based on these factors demonstrated an area under the ROC curve ( AUC) of 0.813 (95% CI 0.760-0.866, P<0.001) in the training set, with a Brier score of 0.129, indicating stable predictive performance. In the validation set, the area under of the ROC curve was 0.821 (95% CI 0.731-0.911, P<0.001) with a Brier score of 0.142. The decision curve showed that the model provided high clinical net benefit when the risk threshold probability for muscle cramps ranged from 0.22 to 0.77. Conclusion:Combined heart failure, narrowed inferior vena cava width, increased ultrafiltration rate, and decreased hemoglobin and serum albumin levels were the independent correlated factors for muscle spasm in maintenance hemodialysis patients. The nomogram model constructed based on these risk factors holds significant clinical value for predicting muscle cramps in maintenance hemodialysis patients.
4.Change trend and prediction of congenital heart disease burden in China from 1990 to 2021
Zihao BAI ; Hao WANG ; Jia AN ; Qiang WANG ; Yang WANG ; Xuming MO
Chinese Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;41(3):156-162
Objective:To summarize and evaluate the temporal trends of the burden of congenital heart disease (CHD) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and to predict the burden of the disease up to 2035.Methods:The Joinpoint regression method was used to study the time trend of congenital heart disease, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort method (BAPC) was used to predict the change in disease burden due to congenital heart disease in China and globally between 2022 and 2035. Results:From 1990 to 2021, the disability-adjusted life years and mortality burdens of congenital heart disease have decreased in China and globally. Although the disease burden is higher in men than in women, the difference is gradually decreasing. BAPC estimates that the burden of congenital heart disease is expected to continue to decline in China and globally in 2022-2035, but congenital heart disease remains a major health problem. China has made remarkable progress in reducing the burden of congenital heart disease, which reflects the positive impact of rapid advances in medical technology and improved public health policies.Conclusion:Although congenital heart disease will remain a significant disease burden over the past three decades and into 2035, it is critical to focus on disease-specific differences to develop more targeted interventions to further reduce the disease burden of congenital heart disease and improve the quality of life and living standards of patients.
5.Inguinal intranodal lymphangiography for abdominal and pelvic cavity traumatic lymphatic leakages
Mingqing ZHANG ; Xingwei SUN ; Jian ZHANG ; Xuming BAI ; Yong JIN
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(5):281-284
Objective To observe the therapeutic effect and safety of inguinal intranodal lymphangiography in patients with abdominal and pelvic cavity traumatic lymphatic leakages.Methods Data of 12 patients with abdominal and pelvic cavity traumatic lymphatic leakages after ineffective conservative treatment and underwent inguinal intranodal lymphangiography were retrospectively analyzed.The clinical manifestations,therapeutic effects and complications were recorded.Results Totally 21 times of inguinal intranodal lymphangiography were performed in 12 patients,including 5 cases received 1 time,6 cases received 2 times and 1 case received 4 times,and the technical success rate of inguinal intranodal lymphangiography was 100%.After inguinal intranodal lymphangiography,7 cases(7/12,58.33%)were cured while 5 cases(5/12,41.67%)were not cured.The incidence of complications of inguinal intranodal lymphangiography was 14.29%(3/21),including chronic diarrhea after 2 times and puncture point pain in 1 case.No serious complication occurred.Conclusion Inguinal intranodal lymphangiography had certain therapeutic effect and high safety for abdominal and pelvic cavity traumatic lymphatic leakages.
6.Clinical efficacy of hepatic arterial chemoembolization before percutaneous microwave ablation on liver cancer in elderly patients
Xingshi GU ; Xuming BAI ; Long CHENG ; Qiang YUAN ; Yong JIN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2019;38(8):885-888
Objective To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE) before percutaneous microwave ablation(MWA) on liver cancer in elderly patients.Methods Eighty elderly patients with primary liver cancer admitted into our hospital from January 2015 to December 2017 were randomly divided into the MWA group(n=32)and the MWA combined with TACE group(n=48).The MWA group received percutaneous microwave ablation,and the MWA combined with TACE group were treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization before percutaneous microwave ablation.The therapeutic effects were compared between groups.Results The total effective rate was increased in the MWA combined with TACE group vs.MWA group(79.2% vs.56.3%,x2 =7.064,P =0.008).The proportion of patients who presented with serum AFP level >200 mg/L had no significant difference between the combination group and the MWA group(68.8% vs.70.8%,x2 =0.040,P =0.842).While,after treatment,the proportion of patients who presented with serum AFP level decreased by > 50% was higher in the combination group than in the MWA group(79.2% vs.56.3%,x2 =7.064,P =0.008).There was no significant difference in the incidences of adverse reactions between the two groups (P > 0.05).Conclusions Compared with percutaneous microwave ablation,transcatheter arterial chemoembolization combined with percutaneous microwave ablation has a better efficacy and higher safety.
7.Preliminary clinical study of C-arm CT assisted transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt for the treatment of portal hypertension
Jian JING ; Xuming BAI ; Xingshi GU ; Long CHENG ; Qiang YUAN ; Jianfeng ZHOU ; Yong JIN
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2019;53(1):46-49
Objective To explore the value of C-arm CT in transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS).Methods Between June 2015 and October 2017,a total of 16 patients with cirrhosis complicated by upper gastrointestinal bleeding or massive ascites due to portal hypertention in our center were retrospectively enrolled in the study.Abdominal enhanced CT was routinely performed before surgery.Postprocessing images of portal vein were used as a guidance of TIPS in real time after integrated with intraoperative c-arm CT images during selective operations.Results The success rate of C-arm CT-guided TIPS was 100%.Portal vein angiography showed the position basically consistent with CT matched images reference position.No obvious abdominal hemorrhage,injury of biliary tract and other complications occurred in all patients.The mean number of needle passes was 2.1 ±0.9 passes(range of 1.0-4.0 passes),the mean time of portal vein entry was 4.3 ± 1.9 min (range of 2.0-8.0 min),the mean fluoroscopy period was 22.6 ± 4.8 min (range of 17.0-32.0 min),DAP was (256.2± 96.7)mGy/cm2.Conclusion C-arm CT-guided TIPS is technically feasible and safe.
8.The placement of totally implantable venous access port via right brachiocephalic vein access: its clinical application
Xingwei SUN ; Xuming BAI ; Long CHENG ; Xingshi GU ; Qiang YUAN ; Jian JING ; Jian ZHANG ; Yong JIN
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2017;26(8):699-701
Objective To evaluate the feasibility and safety of embedding the totally implantable venous access port (TIVAP) via the access of right brachiocephalic vein (BCV).Methods The clinical data of 493 patients,who underwent the placement of TIVAP by using right BCV route during the period from March 2013 to December 2015,were retrospectively analyzed.The patients included 137 males and 356 females,with a mean age of (47.3±13.2) years old (ranging from 29 to 78 years old).The puncture success rate and TIVAP indwelling procedure-related complications were analyzed.Results The technical success rate was 100%,the success rate of initial puncturing was 99% (488/493).The mean operation time was (22.5± 8.3) minutes (range of 18-35 minutes).Mis-puncturing of artery happened in 3 patients (0.61%,3/493);and no severe complications such as hemothorax or pneumothorax occurred.After implantation,the patients carried TIVAP for 124-986 days,with a mean of (271.1±53.8) days.The incidence of complications was 2.25% (11/488),including hemorrhage at port site (n=2),catheter-related infection (n=l),partial thrombosis (n=2),and formation of fibrous protein sheath (n=6).No serious complications such as displacement or rupture of catheter,or catheter pinch-off syndrome (POS),etc.were observed.Conclusion The implantation of TIVAP by using right BCV route has high puncturing success rate,the technique is safe and reliable,and it can provide another option of catheter access for the clinical performance of TIVAP implantation.
9.Application of a guide-wire shaping during subclavian vein catheterization
Xingwei SUN ; Xuming BAI ; Long CHENG ; Xingshi GU ; Qiang YUAN ; Jian JING ; Jian ZHANG ; Yong JIN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2017;25(2):124-126
Objective To explore the clinical value of guide-wire shaping in subclavian vein catheter-ization.Methods Totally 400 patients requiring right subclavian vein catheterization were equally divided into two groups according to the clinic date: intervention group ( with guide-wire shaping , n =200 ) and control group (without guide-wire shaping, n=200).The catheterization was carried out by the same doctor .The rates of ectopic wire were compared between the two groups .Results The overall success rate of catheteriza-tion was 98.25%(393/400) [98.5% (197/200) in intervention group and 98.0% (196/200) in control group, P=0.500].The incidence of catheter displacement was 1.02%(2/197) in intervention group, which was significantly lower than that [7.14% (14/196)] in control group (P=0.002).Conclusion As a sim-ple procedure , guide-wire shaping can effectively prevent catheter displacement during catheterization .
10.Biliary stenting for the treatment of malignant obstructive jaundice:comparison study of different metallic stents
Xulong LU ; Xuming BAI ; Long CHENG ; Xingshi GU ; Yong JIN
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2014;(7):606-610
Objective To evaluate the patency rate of two types of metallic biliary stent in treating malignant biliary stenosis, and to discuss the patient’s survival rate. Methods A total of 126 patients with malignant biliary stenosis were treated with percutaneous implantation of biliary stent. The clinical data were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 167 metallic biliary stents were used in 126 patients. Ninety - two metal stents of mesh type were employed in 70 cases, while 75 metal stents of laser engraving type were adopted in 56 cases. After the treatment all patients were followed up, and the stent patency time as well as the median survival time was determined. The results were analyzed and compared between the two types of stents. Results Technical success rate was 100% (126/126). The median patency rate time of mesh type and laser type was 182 days and 196 days respectively, the patient’s median survival time of mesh type group and laser type group was 179 days and 186 days respectively. No statistically significant differences in the stent patency time and in the median survival time existed between the two groups (P > 0.05). Conclusion In treating malignant biliary obstruction with stenting, the mesh type stent and the laser type stent have quite same therapeutic effect. Therefore, in clinical practice the two types of stent can be replaced with each other to a certain degree.

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